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Top of the BOPs: Observations from building online business in Africa - by Stefan Magdalinski
1. Top of The BOPs - Observations from
doing online business in Africa
By Stefan Magdalinski
@smagdali
stefan@mocality.com
2. What am I doing here?
• Mocality is a mobile (J2Me, WAP,
iPhone, Web) Mobile Business
Directory for sub-Saharan Africa
• As well as listings, we provide
additional tools and services for
entrepreneurs
• based in Cape Town, offices in Nairobi
3. What am I doing here?
• Hunger, corruption, war, poverty?
• Like the early days of the web in Europe
• Arrival of SEACOM et al provides fantastic
opportunity
4. Opportunity
"The arrival of SEACOM is as important a
development for my generation as
independence was for our parents"
- Tony Ndungu, September 2009
9. PC penetration is growing rapidly
• 250 dollar netbooks with interest free credit and a subsidised
dongle
• sub-100 dollars within 2 years?
• competitive with the top end of the
phone market? [get stats]
11. 4 characteristics of successful BOP businesses
• Scalability
• New price/performance envelope
• Modern technologies
• International standards of quality,
sustainability and aesthetics
12. Mocality at the BOP
• Scalability - uses technology to both acquire and distribute
listings
• Affordability - basic services free now, paid services later
– reaches into the semi-formal and informal sectors,
businesses that couldn't afford older forms of advertising
• Modern technologies.
• International standards: compliant code, simple clean design,
transparent model.
• targetting the middle of the pyramid
13. M-PESA
• send cash via SMS
• launched April 2007
• 9.5 million users
• 18,000 Agents
• 370 million USD/month (50% y/y growth)
stats: http://tinyurl.com/32qwsps
15. M-PESA
4.4 billion US dollars transferred (annualised)
14% of 2009 GDP (estimated)
16. Why is mobile banking important at the BOP?
• Productivity - previously remittances to the rural areas
were taken by hand
• Transparency
• Safety
• Regularises income, protects from shocks
• 'Rainy day' or investment saving becomes easier
17. Using M-Pesa for savings
• 19% of users use M-PESA to store value
• 30%+ in Kibera
• still worthwhile even though M-PESA doesn't
pay interest
19. Mocality and M-PESA
• Using M-PESA to pay people in Nairobi to crowdsource
business listings.
• Launched on 3rd May
• Anyone with a WAP-enabled phone can start earning
immediately
• multi-phase commit - checks and balances to prevent
spamming and fraud
• payments daily as soon as an agent reaches ~R100
20. Users in Kenya
• Open-minded
• Mobile power users
• Multi-modal access, always online
21. Users in Kenya
• Facebook is king
• 21% online penetration
• Different usage patterns
• FBO vs SEO
• Facebook aren't driving this November 2009 - May 2010
22. Users in Kenya
• Facebook is king
• 21% online penetration
• Different usage patterns
• FBO vs SEO
• Facebook aren't driving this November 2009 - May 2010
23. Conclusions
• Africa is a fantastic opportunity
• South African technologists are way better placed than British
imports to capitalise on it
• Spend more time looking at the opportunities at home and
next door than looking to London and San Francisco
24. Further Reading
• The Fortune at the Bottom Of the Pyramid - C K Prahalad
• http://www.mmublog.org
• http://www.cgap.org
stefan@mocality.com
@smagdali
Hinweis der Redaktion
tomorrow is the anniversary of our launch!
like the early days of the web in the UK, which was also an emerging market - first just geeks, then geeks and young people, then geeks and young people and old people, and then 'everyone except my customers' - so many organisations were left scrambling behind their audiences.
was in Mombasa the day SEACOM went live. BBC introduced the report with some girls singing a traditional song, and I remember thinking "the sound of Mombasa is RnB and Hip Hop, like the rest of the world"
but this guy
Kenyan market much more developed than I expected (remember, based on BBC vision of Africa as 'hunger, corruption, war, poverty')
These images all taken on a half hour drive across Nairobi
btw, I think that's unlimited, unshaped broadband for about R150 and they had it before South Africa did
If HP are engaging in brand-protection advertising, indicates a sophisticated market
Stats hard to come by, but advertising is a good indicator
at that point Moore's law will have fulfilled Nick Negroponte's OLPC dream
Not everyone agrees with me, but my hunch is that netbook based access is going to be way bigger than people think in Africa.
Scalability: (low margin, high volume) - 20 dollar phones not 600 dollar smartphones -Nokia vs Apple
Affordability: (price - profit =cost, not cost + profit = price)
Modern technologies (can't deliver first 2 without)
International standards of quality, sustainability and aesthetics - BOP consumers are discerning and brand conscious
affordability- I only want to charge Kenyan entrepreneurs when we can demonstrate VALUE (i.e. using us makes them richer, more efficient, more competitive)
modern tech - not a big yellow book
I have to tell you about M-Pesa - it's critical for Mocality, but also I just love it
can't really talk about Kenya without it
March 2010 numbers
just under 50% of Kenyan adults have M-PESA (20% have bank accounts)
So that's not all existing GDP, reflects a large portion of economic activity that wasn't previously being counted
Remittances make up the bulk of M-Pesa transactions
transparency - people trust Safaricom more than banks (which have been prone to crashes in the past)
safer than 'under the mattress'
Work may be intermittent and unreliable, makes managing peaks and troughs easier
Personal income increased by 5-30%, relative to a similar non-M-PESA user
By being a money transfer only service avoids stricter banking regulation
M-PESA has turned 50% of Kenyans into e-commerce enabled consumers (although not all are transacting yet) in 3 years.
people in the middle of the pyramid want to get paid quickly.
M-PESA is the substrate that makes this possible for us
Openness - people will try (and persevere) with anything that will help them get on
power users - phones are their primary device, way more sophisticated than in the UK (means can build more complex apps)
multi-modal -mix phone access with cyber access
surprise!
I think that 21% number is way too low, especially in Nairobi
People reload their inboxes to use it like an IM client
Any site launching strategy in Africa needs to consider FBO as well as SEO
mmublog and CGAP - largely focussed on Mobile Money but lots of great research and analysis on developing markets