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The World Copper Factbook 2012

 Copper Mine Production
                                            World Copper Mine Production, 1900-2011
                                                             (thousand metric tonnes)
                                                                   Source: ICSG
                       16,000


                       14,000


                       12,000


                       10,000


                        8,000


                        6,000


                        4,000


                        2,000


                            0
                             1900    1910    1920    1930    1940   1950    1960    1970    1980    1990    2000    2010
                                                            Concentrates    SX-EW

  Since 1900, when world production was less than 500 thousand tonnes copper, world copper mine production has grown by around 3% per year to
  reach over 16 million tonnes in 2011. SX-EW production, virtually non-existent before the 1960s, reached nearly 3.4 million tonnes copper in 2011.


International Copper Study Group                                                                                                                       8
The World Copper Factbook 2012

                                   Copper Mine Production by Region, 1960, 1980 & 2011p*
                               Copper Mine Productionmetric tonnes copper) 1980 & 2011p
                                             (Thousand by Region, 1960,
                                                      (Thousand metric tonnes)
                                                            Source: ICSG
                                                           Source: ICSG

                                                    1960         1980            2011p
                7000

                6000

                5000

                4000

                3000

                2000

                1000

                     0
                             Africa          Asia          Europe       Latin America     North       Oceania
                                                                                         America
                               From less than 750 thousand tonnes copper in 1960, copper mine
                             production in Latin America surged to around 7 million tonnes in 2011.
                                                                                                          *preliminary data

International Copper Study Group                                                                                              9
The World Copper Factbook 2012


                          Copper Mine Production by Country: Top 20 Countries in 2011p
                                                     (Thousand metric tonnes)
                                                          Source: ICSG


                           Chile
                          China
                           Peru
                  United States
                       Australia
                  Russian Fed.
                         Zambia
                        Canada
                      Indonesia
                         Mexico
                         Congo
                         Poland
                    Kazakhstan
                            Iran
                          Brazil
              Papua New Guinea
                           Laos
                       Mongolia
                      Argentina
                        Bulgaria

                                   0         1,000          2,000         3,000        4,000          5,000
                                       Chile accounted for over one-third of world copper mine production
                                           in 2011 with mine output of nearly 5.3 million tones copper.

International Copper Study Group                                                                              10
The World Copper Factbook 2012


                                   Trends in Copper Mining Capacity, 1995-2015
                                                     Thousand metric tonnes
                                                         Source: ICSG
         28,000
         26,000
         24,000
         22,000
         20,000
         18,000
         16,000
         14,000
         12,000
         10,000
          8,000
          6,000
          4,000
          2,000
             -
                   1995       1997     1999      2001     2003      2005     2007     2009      2011     2013   2015
                                              Concentrates         SX-EW        Total Mines



                                     Copper mining capacity is estimated to reach 26.2 million tonnes copper
                                                  in 2015, with 22% being SX-EW production.

International Copper Study Group                                                                                       11
The World Copper Factbook 2012

                                                        Top 20 Copper Mines by Capacity, 2011
                                                                       Thousand metric tones copper
                                                                              Source: ICSG

 Rank                  Mine                           Country                                     Owner(s)                                      Source        Capacity
    1   Escondida                              Chile            BHP Billiton (57.5%), Rio Tinto Corp. (30%), Japan Escondida (12.5%)          Concs & SX-EW         1,250
        Codelco Norte
    2    (includes Chuquicamata, Radomiro      Chile            Codelco                                                                       Concs & SX-EW          920
         Tomic, Mina Ministro Hales project)
    3   Grasberg                               Indonesia        P.T. Freeport Indonesia Co. (PT-FI), Rio Tinto                                 Concentrates          750
    4   Collahuasi                             Chile            Anglo American (44%), Xstrata plc (44%), Mitsui + Nippon (12%)                Concs & SX-EW          520
    5   Los Pelambres                          Chile            Antofagasta Plc (60%), Nippon Mining (25%), Mitsubishi Materials (15%)         Concentrates          470
    6   El Teniente                            Chile            Codelco                                                                       Concs & SX-EW          434
        Taimyr Peninsula (Norilsk/
    7                                          Russia           Norilsk Nickel                                                                 Concentrates          430
        Talnakh Mills)
    8   Morenci                                United States    Freeport-McMoRan Inc 85%, 15% affiliates of Sumitomo Corporation              Concs & SX-EW          420
                                                                BHP Billiton (33.75%), Teck (22.5%), Xstrata plc (33.75%), Mitsubishi Corp.
    9   Antamina                               Peru                                                                                            Concentrates          370
                                                                (10%)
   10   Andina                                 Chile            Codelco                                                                        Concentrates          300
   11   Bingham Canyon                         United States    Kennecott                                                                      Concentrates          280
                                                                PT Pukuafu 20%, Newmont 41.5%, Sumitomo Corp., Sumitomo Metal Mining &
   12   Batu Hijau                             Indonesia                                                                                       Concentrates          250
                                                                Mitsubishi Materials 31.5%, PT Multi Daerah Bersaing 7%
   12   Kansanshi                              Zambia           First Quantum Minerals Ltd (80%), ZCCM (20%)                                  Concs & SX-EW          250
   14   Los Bronces                            Chile            Anglo Amercian 75.5%, Mitsubishi Corp. 24.5%                                  Concs & SX-EW          246
   15   Zhezkazgan Complex                     Kazakhstan       Kazakhmys (Samsung)                                                            Concentrates          230
   16   Olympic Dam                            Australia        BHP Billiton                                                                  Concs & SX-EW          225
   17   Rudna                                  Poland           KGHM Polska Miedz S.A.                                                         Concentrates          215
   18   Sarcheshmeh                            Iran             National Iranian Copper Industry Co.                                          Concs & SX-EW          204
   19   Spence                                 Chile            BHP Billiton                                                                     SX-EW               200
   20   La Caridad                             Mexico           Mexicana de Cobre S. A. (Grupo Mexico)                                        Concs & SX-EW          195




International Copper Study Group                                                                                                                                         12
The World Copper Factbook 2012

                                                                               Energy: coal is the fuel chosen to power main copper mines
Constraints on Copper Supply                                                    and processes… climate change may increase costs.
                                                                               Resource nationalism: It has become a priority for certain
With copper concentrate in strong demand, there has been growing
                                                                                governments to develop their mineral resources that have not
interest in understanding the obstacles that can prevent copper mine
                                                                                been exploited until now. While willing to develop their natural
supply from coming on-stream. During 2008-2009, the ICSG Secretariat
                                                                                resources, countries might be seeking to extract strong revenue
conducted a project on Constraints on New Copper Supply Coming On
                                                                                flows from them. It will be important to balance
Stream, with the final project report completed in October 2009. Below          royalty/taxation levels with the need to encourage capital
are some of the operational and financial constraints identified from the       investment to develop their rising industries.
study. For more information about ICSG research related to constraints on      Shipping costs: not an issue for copper... for now
copper supply, please contact the ICSG Secretariat at mail@icsg.org            Sulphuric acid supply and price: 16% cost factor for SX-EW
                                                                                projects
   Falling Ore Grades: a serious issue in developed copper areas
                                                                               Skilled labor: open labor markets would help address this
    such as the USA and Chile
                                                                                constraint
   Project finance: cost of capital is a central factor. High interest        Labor strikes: tend to increase when refined prices are high and
    rates may reduce supply significantly                                       GDP is growing faster, but tend to be longer and less frequent
                                                                                in cool economic times and also when copper prices are down
   Capital cost overruns: in the past. underestimations of US                 High  domestic  costs  if  there  is  “dutch  disease”  (resulting  in  
    dollar inflation was source of many cost overruns                           higher exchange rates due in part to strong exports)
                                                                               Rate between imported inputs and domestic input costs
   Tax & investment regimes: recent research indicates these are               affected by the currency strength of the producer
    less important than geological endowments                                  Market power/concentration: risks have moved to the import
                                                                                demand side versus export supply side in recent years
   Water supply: a critical issue in dry mining districts                     Peace and security is also a key factor




International Copper Study Group                                                                                                                     13
The World Copper Factbook 2012

Copper Smelter Production
                                World Copper Smelter Production, 1976-2011p
                                                   Thousand metric tonnes
                                                       Source: ICSG
                       16,000



                       13,500



                       11,000



                        8,500



                        6,000
                             1976        1981       1986        1991        1996        2001       2006        2011

                                                   Primary Feed            Secondary Feed
   Smelting is the pyrometallurgical process used to produce copper metal. In 2011, world copper smelter production reached 15.8
   million tonnes copper. Recently, the trend to recover copper directly from ores through leaching processes has been on the increase.
   Primary smelters use mine concentrates as their main source of feed (although some use copper scrap as well). Secondary copper
   smelters use copper scrap as their feed.


International Copper Study Group                                                                                                          14
The World Copper Factbook 2012


                                    Trends in Copper Smelting Capacity, 1995-2015
                                                         Thousand metric tonnes
                                                              Source: ICSG


       20,000




       15,000




       10,000




        5,000




           -
                1995       1997     1999      2001         2003      2005         2007       2009       2011       2013      2015

                Flash/Continuous   Reverb/Blast/Rotary     Modified Reverb/Convert       Electric   Low Grade EW    Unkown



International Copper Study Group                                                                                                    15
The World Copper Factbook 2012


                               Copper Smelter Production by Region, 1990-2011p
                                                       Thousand metric tonnes
                                                           Source: ICSG
                 9,000
                 8,000
                 7,000
                 6,000
                 5,000
                 4,000
                 3,000
                 2,000
                 1,000
                       0
                           1990
                           1991
                           1992
                           1993
                           1994
                           1995
                           1996

                           1998

                           2000

                           2002
                           2003
                           2004
                           2005
                           2006
                           2007
                           2008
                           2009
                           2010
                           2011
                           1997

                           1999

                           2001
                                    Africa            America              Asia           Europe              Oceania
                                   Asia’s  share  of  world  copper  smelter  output  jumped  from  27%  in  1990  to  
                                         55% in 2011 as smelter production in China expanded rapidly.

International Copper Study Group                                                                                          16
The World Copper Factbook 2012


                                 Copper Smelter Production by Country: Top 20 Countries in 2011p
                                                             Thousand metric tonnes
                                                                  Source: ICSG
                        China
                        Japan
                         Chile
                 Russian Fed.
                         India
                     Germany
                 United States
                  Korean Rep.
                       Poland
                       Zambia
                     Australia
                   Kazakhstan
                       Canada
                         Peru
                      Bulgaria
                    Indonesia
                          Iran
                        Spain
                        Brazil
                      Sweden

                                 0               1,000          2,000           3,000           4,000          5,000
                                     In 2011, China accounted for around 30% of world copper smelter output,
                                        followed by Japan (9%), Chile (9%) and the Russian Federation (5%).

International Copper Study Group                                                                                       17
The World Copper Factbook 2012

                                                  Top 20 Copper Smelters by Capacity, 2011
                                                                         Thousand metric tones copper
                                                                                Source: ICSG

Rank                  Smelter              Country                        Operator/Owner(s)                                             Process                   Capacity

   1    Guixi (smelter)                China             Jiangxi Copper Corp.                                   Outokumpu Flash                                         900
   2    Birla Copper (Dahej)           India             Birla Group                                            Outokumpu Flash, Ausmelt, Mitsubishi Continuous         500
   3    Codelco Norte (smelter)        Chile             Codelco                                                Outokumpu/ Teniente Converter                           450
   3    Saganoseki/ Ooita (smelter)    Japan             Pan Pacific Copper Co. Ltd                             Outokumpu Flash                                         450
   3    Hamburg                        Germany           Aurubis                                                Outokumpu, Contimelt, Electric                          450
   3    Besshi/ Ehime (Toyo)           Japan             Sumitomo Metal Mining Co. Ltd.                         Outokumpu Flash                                         450
   3    Saganoseki/ Oita (smelter)     Japan             Pan Pacific Copper Co. Ltd                             Outokumpu Flash                                         450
   8    El Teniente (Caletones)        Chile             Codelco Chile                                          Reverberatory/ Teniente Conv.                           400
   8    Jinchuan (smelter)             China             Jinchuan Non- Ferrous Metal Co.                        Reverberatory/ Kaldo Conv.                              400
   8    Norilsk (Nikelevy, Medny)      Russia            Norilsk G-M                                            Reverb, Electric, Vanyukov                              400
   11   Sterlite Smelter (Tuticorin)   India             Vedanta                                                Isasmelt Process                                        380
   12   Ilo Smelter                    Peru              Southern Copper Corp. (Grupo Mexico 75.1%)             Isasmelt Process                                        360
   13   Altonorte (La Negra)           Chile             Xstrata plc                                            Noranda Continuous                                      350

                                                         Tongling Nonferrous Metals Corp. (57.4%), Sumitomo
   13   Jinlong (Tongdu)               China                                                                    Flash Smelter                                           350
                                                         (35%), Pingguo Aluminium Co.

   13   Yunnan                         China             Yunnan Copper Industry Group (Local Government)        Isasmelt Process                                        350
                                                         Mitsubishi Materials Corp. (49.29%), Dowa Metals &
   16   Onahama/ Fukushima             Japan             Mining Co. Ltd.(31.15%), Furukawa Metals & Resources   Reverberatory                                           322
                                                         Co. Ltd. (12.67%)
   17   Onsan II                       Korean Republic   LS-Nikko Co. (LS, Nippon Mining)                       Mitsubishi Continuous                                   320
   17   Huelva                         Spain             Atlantic Copper S.A. (Freeport McMoran)                Outokumpu Flash                                         320
   17   Garfield (smelter)             United States     Kennecott (Rio Tinto)                                  Kennecott/ Outokumpu                                    320
   20   Naoshima/ Kagawa (smelter)     Japan             Mitsubishi Materials Corp.                             Mitsubishi Continuous                                   306

International Copper Study Group                                                                                                                                      18
The World Copper Factbook 2012

Refined Copper Production
                                       World Refined Copper Production, 1960-2011p
                                                            Thousand metric tonnes
                                                                 Source: ICSG
                    20,000

                    17,500

                    15,000

                    12,500

                    10,000

                      7,500

                      5,000

                      2,500

                           0
                               1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

                                           Refinery Primary       Refinery Secondary          Refinery SX-EW
  With the emergence of solvent extraction-electrowinning (SX-EW) technology, refined copper produced from leaching ores has
 been on the rise, increasing from less than 1% of world refined copper production  in  the  late  1960’s  to  17% of world output in 2011.

International Copper Study Group                                                                                                          19
The World Copper Factbook 2012


                                       Trends in Refined Capacity, 1995-2015
                                                        Thousand metric tonnes
                                                            Source: ICSG

         28,000
         26,000
         24,000
         22,000
         20,000
         18,000
         16,000
         14,000
         12,000
         10,000
          8,000
          6,000
          4,000
          2,000
              -
                  1995      1997      1999       2001       2003       2005       2007       2009       2011        2013       2015

                                           Electrolytic              Electrowinning                 Fire Refining
       This chart shows world copper refinery capacity by refining process. The ratio between production and capacity is called the
                      capacity utilization rate. The world refinery capacity utilization rate was around 80% in 2011.


International Copper Study Group                                                                                                  20
The World Copper Factbook 2012


                           Refined Copper Production by Region, 1990-2011p
                                                      Thousand metric tonnes
                                                           Source: ICSG
           9,000

           8,000

           7,000

           6,000

           5,000

           4,000

           3,000

           2,000

           1,000

               0



                                   Africa           America               Asia             Europe              Oceania

                   Region with the highest output of refined copper in 1990: the Americas (4,250 kt), followed by Europe (3,004 kt)
                   Leading region in the world in 2011: Asia (9,024 kt) as compared to 2,500kt in 1990.


International Copper Study Group                                                                                                      21
The World Copper Factbook 2012


                     Refined Copper Production by Country: Top 20 Countries in 2011p
                                                  Thousand metric tonnes
                                                       Source: ICSG
        China
         Chile
        Japan
 United States
 Russian Fed.
     Germany
         India
  Korean Rep.
       Poland
       Zambia
     Australia
      Belgium
         Peru
        Spain
       Mexico
       Congo
  Kazakhstan
    Indonesia
      Canada
          Iran
                 0                 1,000           2,000           3,000    4,000   5,000


International Copper Study Group                                                            22
The World Copper Factbook 2012

                                             Top 20 Copper Refineries by Capacity, 2011
                                                                 Thousand metric tones copper
                                                                        Source: ICSG
        Rank                Refinery                   Country                                   Owner(s)                                  Process       Capacity
          1    Guixi                           China               Jiangxi Copper Corporation                                            Electrolytic      900
          2    Chuquicamata Refinery           Chile               Codelco                                                               Electrolytic      600
          3    Yunnan Copper                   China               Yunnan Copper Industry Group (64.8%)                                  Electrolytic      500
          3    Birla                           India               Birla Group Hidalco                                                   Electrolytic      500
          3    Jinchuan                        China               Jinchuan Non Ferrous Co.                                              Electrolytic      500
          6    Codelco Norte (SX-EW)           Chile               Codelco                                                              Electrowinning     470
          7    Toyo/Niihama (Besshi)           Japan               Sumitomo Metal Mining Co. Ltd.                                        Electrolytic      450
          7    Amarillo                        United States       Grupo Mexico                                                          Electrolytic      450
          9    El Paso (refinery)              United States       Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc.                                   Electrolytic      415
         10    Las Ventanas                    Chile               Codelco                                                               Electrolytic      400

                                                                   Tongling NonFerrous Metal Corp. 52 %, Sharpline International 13%,
         10    Jinlong (Tongdu) (refinery)     China                                                                                     Electrolytic      400
                                                                   Sumitomo Corp. 7.5%, Itochu Corp. 7.5%

         12    Hamburg (refinery)              Germany             Aurubis                                                               Electrolytic      395
         13    Sterlite Refinery               India               Vedanta                                                               Electrolytic      380
         13    Pyshma Refinery                 Russia              Uralelectromed (Urals Mining & Metallurgical Co.)                     Electrolytic      380
         15    CCR Refinery (Montreal)         Canada              Xstrata plc                                                           Electrolytic      370
         16    Ilo Copper Refinery             Peru                Southern Copper Corp.                                                 Electrolytic      360
         16    Morenci (SX-EW)                 United States       Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc./Sumitomo                         Electrowinning     350

         16    Escondida (SX-EW)               Chile               BHP Billiton (57.5%), Rio Tinto Corp. (30%), Japan Escondida (12.5%) Electrowinning     350
         16    Zhangjiagang                    China               Tongling Non Ferrous Co.                                              Electrolytic      350
         20    Olen                            Belgium             Aurubis                                                               Electrolytic      345
         20    Norilsk Refinery                Russia              Norilsk Nickel                                                        Electrolytic      330

International Copper Study Group                                                                                                                                    23
The World Copper Factbook 2012

Semis Production
                                    Copper and Copper Alloy and Casting Production, 1980-2010
                                                                    Thousand metric tonnes
                                                                         Source: ICSG
                   27,000

                   24,000

                   21,000

                   18,000

                   15,000

                   12,000

                    9,000

                    6,000

                    3,000

                          0
                          1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
                          Copper Semis                Copper Alloy Semis                   Not specified (1)               Foundry Castings
                     (1) Includes all semis production of not specified composition. China data included here since 2009 as no breakdown available

 Semis fabricators process refinery shapes such as cathodes, wire bar, ingot, billet slab and cake into semi-finished copper and copper alloy
 products using both unwrought copper materials and direct melt scrap as raw material feed. Semis fabricators are considered to be the  “first  
 users”  of  refined  copper  and  include  ingot  makers,  master  alloy  plants,  wire  rod  plants,  brass  mills,  alloy  wire  mills,  foundries and foil mills.

International Copper Study Group                                                                                                                                   24
The World Copper Factbook 2012


                Copper and Copper Alloy Semis and Casting Production by Region, 1980 & 2010
                                              Thousand metric tonnes
                                                   Source: ICSG
          16,000

          14,000                                                                         1980
                                                                                         2010

          12,000

          10,000

           8,000

           6,000

           4,000

           2,000

                0
                         Africa       Asia           Europe       North America      Oceania      South America

  Asia accounted for 66% of semis production in 2010, or more than 15.2 million metric tonnes, up from 22% in 1980.

International Copper Study Group                                                                                      25
The World Copper Factbook 2012


                           Copper & Copper Alloy Semis Capacity by Region & Product
   Semis Production Capacity by Region, 2011 (%)                                Semis Production Capacity by Product,
                            Source: ICSG                                           2010 vs 2011 (kt gross weight)
                                                                                           Source: ICSG
                              Africa Russian Fed. &
                                      Central Asia                   50,000
                               1%
                                          5%
                                                                     45,000

                                           Middle East               40,000
                                               5%
                                                                     35,000
                                               South Asia &
               China                             Oceania             30,000
               32%                                 7%
                                                                     25,000

                                                   Americas          20,000
                                                     14%
                                                                     15,000

                                                                     10,000

                                                                      5,000
                                        North Asia (ex-
                 EU27, Norway &             China)
                  Switzerland                                             -
                                             15%
                      21%                                                                2010                        2011
                                                                                 Wire Rod          PSS                RBS
                                                                                 Tubes             Unclassified       Alloy Wire
                                                                                 Ingots            Foil               Powder
           In 2011, China accounted for the largest share of                  Wire rod plants are estimated to have accounted
            world semis capacity production (32%) and the                     for just under half of all first use capacity in 2011,
                 largest number of semis plants (499).                                         or nearly 21 Mt.

International Copper Study Group                                                                                                       26
The World Copper Factbook 2012



                        Copper and Copper Alloy Semis Production Capacity by Country:
                                           Top 20 Countries, 2011
                                               Thousand metric tonnes
                                                    Source: ICSG
         China
           USA
         Japan
      Germany
         Korea
           Italy
          India
        Taiwan
        Russia
        Turkey
        France
         Brazil
       Belgium
         Spain
      Thailand
        United…
     Indonesia
         Egypt
        Poland
            Iran
                 0             2,000   4,000       6,000         8,000   10,000   12,000   14,000

International Copper Study Group                                                               27
The World Copper Factbook 2012

                                                                1
Major International Trade Flows of Copper Ores and Concentrates
Major               Trade Flows of Copper
Ores and Concentrates1

Major Exporters of                                                                               Major Importers of
Copper Ores and                                                                                  Copper Ores and
Concentrates, 2010                                                                               Concentrates, 2010

1.  Chile                                                                                        1. China
2.  Peru                                                                                         2. Japan
3.  Indonesia                                                                                    3. India
4.  Australia                                                                                    4. Korean Rep.
5.  Canada                                                                                       5. Spain
6.  Brazil                                                                                       6. Germany
7.  Argentina                                                                                    7. Philippines
8.  Papua New                                                                                    8. Bulgaria
    Guinea                                                                                       9. Brazil
9. Mongolia                                                                                      10. Finland
10. Kazakhstan




1
 Figure is intended to illustrate trade flows but not actual trade routes.
The World Copper Factbook 2012


Major International Trade of Copper Blister
Major International Trade Flows of Copper Blister and Anode1
and Anode1

Major Exporters of                                                                               Major Importers of
Copper Blister and                                                                               Copper Blister and
Anode, 2010                                                                                      Anode, 2010

1. Chile                                                                                         1. China
2. Netherlands                                                                                   2. Belgium
3. Belgium                                                                                       3. Netherlands
4. Finland                                                                                       4. Australia
5. Spain                                                                                         5. Canada
6. Bulgaria                                                                                      6. Mexico
7. Canada                                                                                        7. Korean Rep.
8. Peru                                                                                          8. Austria
9. USA                                                                                           9. USA
10. Armenia                                                                                      10. Germany




1
 Figure is intended to illustrate trade flows but not actual trade routes.


International Copper Study Group                                                                                  30
The World Copper Factbook 2012


           Major Uses of Copper: Usage by Region and End Use Sector, 2010
                                   Basis: copper content, thousand metric tonnes
                                     Source: International Copper Association


                                       North
                                      America
         Europe                        10% Latin
          22%                                America
                                               6%
                                                                                          Building
                                                                                        Construction
                                                                                           32%


                                                                         Equipment
                                                                            54%



                                                                                     Infrastructure
                                                                                          14%



                                   Asia
                                   62%




International Copper Study Group                                                                       47

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The world copper factbook 2012

  • 1.
  • 2. The World Copper Factbook 2012 Copper Mine Production World Copper Mine Production, 1900-2011 (thousand metric tonnes) Source: ICSG 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Concentrates SX-EW Since 1900, when world production was less than 500 thousand tonnes copper, world copper mine production has grown by around 3% per year to reach over 16 million tonnes in 2011. SX-EW production, virtually non-existent before the 1960s, reached nearly 3.4 million tonnes copper in 2011. International Copper Study Group 8
  • 3. The World Copper Factbook 2012 Copper Mine Production by Region, 1960, 1980 & 2011p* Copper Mine Productionmetric tonnes copper) 1980 & 2011p (Thousand by Region, 1960, (Thousand metric tonnes) Source: ICSG Source: ICSG 1960 1980 2011p 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 Africa Asia Europe Latin America North Oceania America From less than 750 thousand tonnes copper in 1960, copper mine production in Latin America surged to around 7 million tonnes in 2011. *preliminary data International Copper Study Group 9
  • 4. The World Copper Factbook 2012 Copper Mine Production by Country: Top 20 Countries in 2011p (Thousand metric tonnes) Source: ICSG Chile China Peru United States Australia Russian Fed. Zambia Canada Indonesia Mexico Congo Poland Kazakhstan Iran Brazil Papua New Guinea Laos Mongolia Argentina Bulgaria 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 Chile accounted for over one-third of world copper mine production in 2011 with mine output of nearly 5.3 million tones copper. International Copper Study Group 10
  • 5. The World Copper Factbook 2012 Trends in Copper Mining Capacity, 1995-2015 Thousand metric tonnes Source: ICSG 28,000 26,000 24,000 22,000 20,000 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 - 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 Concentrates SX-EW Total Mines Copper mining capacity is estimated to reach 26.2 million tonnes copper in 2015, with 22% being SX-EW production. International Copper Study Group 11
  • 6. The World Copper Factbook 2012 Top 20 Copper Mines by Capacity, 2011 Thousand metric tones copper Source: ICSG Rank Mine Country Owner(s) Source Capacity 1 Escondida Chile BHP Billiton (57.5%), Rio Tinto Corp. (30%), Japan Escondida (12.5%) Concs & SX-EW 1,250 Codelco Norte 2 (includes Chuquicamata, Radomiro Chile Codelco Concs & SX-EW 920 Tomic, Mina Ministro Hales project) 3 Grasberg Indonesia P.T. Freeport Indonesia Co. (PT-FI), Rio Tinto Concentrates 750 4 Collahuasi Chile Anglo American (44%), Xstrata plc (44%), Mitsui + Nippon (12%) Concs & SX-EW 520 5 Los Pelambres Chile Antofagasta Plc (60%), Nippon Mining (25%), Mitsubishi Materials (15%) Concentrates 470 6 El Teniente Chile Codelco Concs & SX-EW 434 Taimyr Peninsula (Norilsk/ 7 Russia Norilsk Nickel Concentrates 430 Talnakh Mills) 8 Morenci United States Freeport-McMoRan Inc 85%, 15% affiliates of Sumitomo Corporation Concs & SX-EW 420 BHP Billiton (33.75%), Teck (22.5%), Xstrata plc (33.75%), Mitsubishi Corp. 9 Antamina Peru Concentrates 370 (10%) 10 Andina Chile Codelco Concentrates 300 11 Bingham Canyon United States Kennecott Concentrates 280 PT Pukuafu 20%, Newmont 41.5%, Sumitomo Corp., Sumitomo Metal Mining & 12 Batu Hijau Indonesia Concentrates 250 Mitsubishi Materials 31.5%, PT Multi Daerah Bersaing 7% 12 Kansanshi Zambia First Quantum Minerals Ltd (80%), ZCCM (20%) Concs & SX-EW 250 14 Los Bronces Chile Anglo Amercian 75.5%, Mitsubishi Corp. 24.5% Concs & SX-EW 246 15 Zhezkazgan Complex Kazakhstan Kazakhmys (Samsung) Concentrates 230 16 Olympic Dam Australia BHP Billiton Concs & SX-EW 225 17 Rudna Poland KGHM Polska Miedz S.A. Concentrates 215 18 Sarcheshmeh Iran National Iranian Copper Industry Co. Concs & SX-EW 204 19 Spence Chile BHP Billiton SX-EW 200 20 La Caridad Mexico Mexicana de Cobre S. A. (Grupo Mexico) Concs & SX-EW 195 International Copper Study Group 12
  • 7. The World Copper Factbook 2012  Energy: coal is the fuel chosen to power main copper mines Constraints on Copper Supply and processes… climate change may increase costs.  Resource nationalism: It has become a priority for certain With copper concentrate in strong demand, there has been growing governments to develop their mineral resources that have not interest in understanding the obstacles that can prevent copper mine been exploited until now. While willing to develop their natural supply from coming on-stream. During 2008-2009, the ICSG Secretariat resources, countries might be seeking to extract strong revenue conducted a project on Constraints on New Copper Supply Coming On flows from them. It will be important to balance Stream, with the final project report completed in October 2009. Below royalty/taxation levels with the need to encourage capital are some of the operational and financial constraints identified from the investment to develop their rising industries. study. For more information about ICSG research related to constraints on  Shipping costs: not an issue for copper... for now copper supply, please contact the ICSG Secretariat at mail@icsg.org  Sulphuric acid supply and price: 16% cost factor for SX-EW projects  Falling Ore Grades: a serious issue in developed copper areas  Skilled labor: open labor markets would help address this such as the USA and Chile constraint  Project finance: cost of capital is a central factor. High interest  Labor strikes: tend to increase when refined prices are high and rates may reduce supply significantly GDP is growing faster, but tend to be longer and less frequent in cool economic times and also when copper prices are down  Capital cost overruns: in the past. underestimations of US  High  domestic  costs  if  there  is  “dutch  disease”  (resulting  in   dollar inflation was source of many cost overruns higher exchange rates due in part to strong exports)  Rate between imported inputs and domestic input costs  Tax & investment regimes: recent research indicates these are affected by the currency strength of the producer less important than geological endowments  Market power/concentration: risks have moved to the import demand side versus export supply side in recent years  Water supply: a critical issue in dry mining districts  Peace and security is also a key factor International Copper Study Group 13
  • 8. The World Copper Factbook 2012 Copper Smelter Production World Copper Smelter Production, 1976-2011p Thousand metric tonnes Source: ICSG 16,000 13,500 11,000 8,500 6,000 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 Primary Feed Secondary Feed Smelting is the pyrometallurgical process used to produce copper metal. In 2011, world copper smelter production reached 15.8 million tonnes copper. Recently, the trend to recover copper directly from ores through leaching processes has been on the increase. Primary smelters use mine concentrates as their main source of feed (although some use copper scrap as well). Secondary copper smelters use copper scrap as their feed. International Copper Study Group 14
  • 9. The World Copper Factbook 2012 Trends in Copper Smelting Capacity, 1995-2015 Thousand metric tonnes Source: ICSG 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 - 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 Flash/Continuous Reverb/Blast/Rotary Modified Reverb/Convert Electric Low Grade EW Unkown International Copper Study Group 15
  • 10. The World Copper Factbook 2012 Copper Smelter Production by Region, 1990-2011p Thousand metric tonnes Source: ICSG 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1998 2000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1997 1999 2001 Africa America Asia Europe Oceania Asia’s  share  of  world  copper  smelter  output  jumped  from  27%  in  1990  to   55% in 2011 as smelter production in China expanded rapidly. International Copper Study Group 16
  • 11. The World Copper Factbook 2012 Copper Smelter Production by Country: Top 20 Countries in 2011p Thousand metric tonnes Source: ICSG China Japan Chile Russian Fed. India Germany United States Korean Rep. Poland Zambia Australia Kazakhstan Canada Peru Bulgaria Indonesia Iran Spain Brazil Sweden 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 In 2011, China accounted for around 30% of world copper smelter output, followed by Japan (9%), Chile (9%) and the Russian Federation (5%). International Copper Study Group 17
  • 12. The World Copper Factbook 2012 Top 20 Copper Smelters by Capacity, 2011 Thousand metric tones copper Source: ICSG Rank Smelter Country Operator/Owner(s) Process Capacity 1 Guixi (smelter) China Jiangxi Copper Corp. Outokumpu Flash 900 2 Birla Copper (Dahej) India Birla Group Outokumpu Flash, Ausmelt, Mitsubishi Continuous 500 3 Codelco Norte (smelter) Chile Codelco Outokumpu/ Teniente Converter 450 3 Saganoseki/ Ooita (smelter) Japan Pan Pacific Copper Co. Ltd Outokumpu Flash 450 3 Hamburg Germany Aurubis Outokumpu, Contimelt, Electric 450 3 Besshi/ Ehime (Toyo) Japan Sumitomo Metal Mining Co. Ltd. Outokumpu Flash 450 3 Saganoseki/ Oita (smelter) Japan Pan Pacific Copper Co. Ltd Outokumpu Flash 450 8 El Teniente (Caletones) Chile Codelco Chile Reverberatory/ Teniente Conv. 400 8 Jinchuan (smelter) China Jinchuan Non- Ferrous Metal Co. Reverberatory/ Kaldo Conv. 400 8 Norilsk (Nikelevy, Medny) Russia Norilsk G-M Reverb, Electric, Vanyukov 400 11 Sterlite Smelter (Tuticorin) India Vedanta Isasmelt Process 380 12 Ilo Smelter Peru Southern Copper Corp. (Grupo Mexico 75.1%) Isasmelt Process 360 13 Altonorte (La Negra) Chile Xstrata plc Noranda Continuous 350 Tongling Nonferrous Metals Corp. (57.4%), Sumitomo 13 Jinlong (Tongdu) China Flash Smelter 350 (35%), Pingguo Aluminium Co. 13 Yunnan China Yunnan Copper Industry Group (Local Government) Isasmelt Process 350 Mitsubishi Materials Corp. (49.29%), Dowa Metals & 16 Onahama/ Fukushima Japan Mining Co. Ltd.(31.15%), Furukawa Metals & Resources Reverberatory 322 Co. Ltd. (12.67%) 17 Onsan II Korean Republic LS-Nikko Co. (LS, Nippon Mining) Mitsubishi Continuous 320 17 Huelva Spain Atlantic Copper S.A. (Freeport McMoran) Outokumpu Flash 320 17 Garfield (smelter) United States Kennecott (Rio Tinto) Kennecott/ Outokumpu 320 20 Naoshima/ Kagawa (smelter) Japan Mitsubishi Materials Corp. Mitsubishi Continuous 306 International Copper Study Group 18
  • 13. The World Copper Factbook 2012 Refined Copper Production World Refined Copper Production, 1960-2011p Thousand metric tonnes Source: ICSG 20,000 17,500 15,000 12,500 10,000 7,500 5,000 2,500 0 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 Refinery Primary Refinery Secondary Refinery SX-EW With the emergence of solvent extraction-electrowinning (SX-EW) technology, refined copper produced from leaching ores has been on the rise, increasing from less than 1% of world refined copper production  in  the  late  1960’s  to  17% of world output in 2011. International Copper Study Group 19
  • 14. The World Copper Factbook 2012 Trends in Refined Capacity, 1995-2015 Thousand metric tonnes Source: ICSG 28,000 26,000 24,000 22,000 20,000 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 - 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 Electrolytic Electrowinning Fire Refining This chart shows world copper refinery capacity by refining process. The ratio between production and capacity is called the capacity utilization rate. The world refinery capacity utilization rate was around 80% in 2011. International Copper Study Group 20
  • 15. The World Copper Factbook 2012 Refined Copper Production by Region, 1990-2011p Thousand metric tonnes Source: ICSG 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Africa America Asia Europe Oceania Region with the highest output of refined copper in 1990: the Americas (4,250 kt), followed by Europe (3,004 kt) Leading region in the world in 2011: Asia (9,024 kt) as compared to 2,500kt in 1990. International Copper Study Group 21
  • 16. The World Copper Factbook 2012 Refined Copper Production by Country: Top 20 Countries in 2011p Thousand metric tonnes Source: ICSG China Chile Japan United States Russian Fed. Germany India Korean Rep. Poland Zambia Australia Belgium Peru Spain Mexico Congo Kazakhstan Indonesia Canada Iran 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 International Copper Study Group 22
  • 17. The World Copper Factbook 2012 Top 20 Copper Refineries by Capacity, 2011 Thousand metric tones copper Source: ICSG Rank Refinery Country Owner(s) Process Capacity 1 Guixi China Jiangxi Copper Corporation Electrolytic 900 2 Chuquicamata Refinery Chile Codelco Electrolytic 600 3 Yunnan Copper China Yunnan Copper Industry Group (64.8%) Electrolytic 500 3 Birla India Birla Group Hidalco Electrolytic 500 3 Jinchuan China Jinchuan Non Ferrous Co. Electrolytic 500 6 Codelco Norte (SX-EW) Chile Codelco Electrowinning 470 7 Toyo/Niihama (Besshi) Japan Sumitomo Metal Mining Co. Ltd. Electrolytic 450 7 Amarillo United States Grupo Mexico Electrolytic 450 9 El Paso (refinery) United States Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. Electrolytic 415 10 Las Ventanas Chile Codelco Electrolytic 400 Tongling NonFerrous Metal Corp. 52 %, Sharpline International 13%, 10 Jinlong (Tongdu) (refinery) China Electrolytic 400 Sumitomo Corp. 7.5%, Itochu Corp. 7.5% 12 Hamburg (refinery) Germany Aurubis Electrolytic 395 13 Sterlite Refinery India Vedanta Electrolytic 380 13 Pyshma Refinery Russia Uralelectromed (Urals Mining & Metallurgical Co.) Electrolytic 380 15 CCR Refinery (Montreal) Canada Xstrata plc Electrolytic 370 16 Ilo Copper Refinery Peru Southern Copper Corp. Electrolytic 360 16 Morenci (SX-EW) United States Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc./Sumitomo Electrowinning 350 16 Escondida (SX-EW) Chile BHP Billiton (57.5%), Rio Tinto Corp. (30%), Japan Escondida (12.5%) Electrowinning 350 16 Zhangjiagang China Tongling Non Ferrous Co. Electrolytic 350 20 Olen Belgium Aurubis Electrolytic 345 20 Norilsk Refinery Russia Norilsk Nickel Electrolytic 330 International Copper Study Group 23
  • 18. The World Copper Factbook 2012 Semis Production Copper and Copper Alloy and Casting Production, 1980-2010 Thousand metric tonnes Source: ICSG 27,000 24,000 21,000 18,000 15,000 12,000 9,000 6,000 3,000 0 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Copper Semis Copper Alloy Semis Not specified (1) Foundry Castings (1) Includes all semis production of not specified composition. China data included here since 2009 as no breakdown available Semis fabricators process refinery shapes such as cathodes, wire bar, ingot, billet slab and cake into semi-finished copper and copper alloy products using both unwrought copper materials and direct melt scrap as raw material feed. Semis fabricators are considered to be the  “first   users”  of  refined  copper  and  include  ingot  makers,  master  alloy  plants,  wire  rod  plants,  brass  mills,  alloy  wire  mills,  foundries and foil mills. International Copper Study Group 24
  • 19. The World Copper Factbook 2012 Copper and Copper Alloy Semis and Casting Production by Region, 1980 & 2010 Thousand metric tonnes Source: ICSG 16,000 14,000 1980 2010 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Africa Asia Europe North America Oceania South America Asia accounted for 66% of semis production in 2010, or more than 15.2 million metric tonnes, up from 22% in 1980. International Copper Study Group 25
  • 20. The World Copper Factbook 2012 Copper & Copper Alloy Semis Capacity by Region & Product Semis Production Capacity by Region, 2011 (%) Semis Production Capacity by Product, Source: ICSG 2010 vs 2011 (kt gross weight) Source: ICSG Africa Russian Fed. & Central Asia 50,000 1% 5% 45,000 Middle East 40,000 5% 35,000 South Asia & China Oceania 30,000 32% 7% 25,000 Americas 20,000 14% 15,000 10,000 5,000 North Asia (ex- EU27, Norway & China) Switzerland - 15% 21% 2010 2011 Wire Rod PSS RBS Tubes Unclassified Alloy Wire Ingots Foil Powder In 2011, China accounted for the largest share of Wire rod plants are estimated to have accounted world semis capacity production (32%) and the for just under half of all first use capacity in 2011, largest number of semis plants (499). or nearly 21 Mt. International Copper Study Group 26
  • 21. The World Copper Factbook 2012 Copper and Copper Alloy Semis Production Capacity by Country: Top 20 Countries, 2011 Thousand metric tonnes Source: ICSG China USA Japan Germany Korea Italy India Taiwan Russia Turkey France Brazil Belgium Spain Thailand United… Indonesia Egypt Poland Iran 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 International Copper Study Group 27
  • 22. The World Copper Factbook 2012 1 Major International Trade Flows of Copper Ores and Concentrates Major Trade Flows of Copper Ores and Concentrates1 Major Exporters of Major Importers of Copper Ores and Copper Ores and Concentrates, 2010 Concentrates, 2010 1. Chile 1. China 2. Peru 2. Japan 3. Indonesia 3. India 4. Australia 4. Korean Rep. 5. Canada 5. Spain 6. Brazil 6. Germany 7. Argentina 7. Philippines 8. Papua New 8. Bulgaria Guinea 9. Brazil 9. Mongolia 10. Finland 10. Kazakhstan 1 Figure is intended to illustrate trade flows but not actual trade routes.
  • 23. The World Copper Factbook 2012 Major International Trade of Copper Blister Major International Trade Flows of Copper Blister and Anode1 and Anode1 Major Exporters of Major Importers of Copper Blister and Copper Blister and Anode, 2010 Anode, 2010 1. Chile 1. China 2. Netherlands 2. Belgium 3. Belgium 3. Netherlands 4. Finland 4. Australia 5. Spain 5. Canada 6. Bulgaria 6. Mexico 7. Canada 7. Korean Rep. 8. Peru 8. Austria 9. USA 9. USA 10. Armenia 10. Germany 1 Figure is intended to illustrate trade flows but not actual trade routes. International Copper Study Group 30
  • 24. The World Copper Factbook 2012 Major Uses of Copper: Usage by Region and End Use Sector, 2010 Basis: copper content, thousand metric tonnes Source: International Copper Association North America Europe 10% Latin 22% America 6% Building Construction 32% Equipment 54% Infrastructure 14% Asia 62% International Copper Study Group 47