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  1. 1. Unit 5
  2. 2. BALANCE OF PAYMANT ACCOUNT
  3. 3. BALANCE OF PAYMANT ACCOUNT • MEANING • The balance of payments of a country is a systematic record of all its economic transactions with the outside world in a given year. It is a statistical record of the character and dimensions of the country’s economic relationships with the rest of the world. • When a payment is received from a foreign country, it is a credit transaction while payment to a foreign country is a debit transaction. The principal items shown on the credit side (+) are  exports of goods and services  unrequited (or transfer) receipts in the form of gifts, grants, etc. from foreigners  borrowings from abroad etc. The principal items on the Debit side (-) include  imports of goods and services  transfer (or unrequited) payments to foreigners as gifts, grants, etc.  lending to foreign countries  investments by residents to foreign countries, and official purchase of reserve assets or gold from foreign countries and international agencies.
  4. 4. Components of Balance of Payments: • (1) Current Account • (2) Capital Account (1) Current Account: • Current account refers to an account which records all the transactions relating to export and import of goods and services and unilateral transfers during a given period of time. • Current account contains the receipts and payments relating to all the transactions of visible items, invisible items and unilateral transfers.
  5. 5. Current Account The main components of Current Account are: • Visible Trade • Invisible Trade VISIBLE TRADE • Export and Import of Goods (Visible Trade): A major part of transactions in foreign trade is in the form of export and import of goods (visible items). Payment for import of goods is written on the negative side (debit items) and receipt from exports is shown on the positive side (credit items). Balance of these visible exports and imports is known as balance of trade (or trade balance).
  6. 6. INVISIBLE TRADE 1 Export and Import of Services • It includes a large variety of non- factor services (known as invisible items) sold and purchased by the residents of a country, to and from the rest of the world. Payments are either received or made to the other countries for use of these services. • Services are generally of three kinds: • (a) Shipping, • (b) Banking, and • (c) Insurance. • Payments for these services are recorded on the negative side and receipts on the positive side. 2. Unilateral or Unrequited Transfers to and from abroad (One sided Transactions): • Unilateral transfers include gifts, donations, personal remittances and other ‘one- way’ transactions. These refer to those receipts and payments, which take place without any service in return. Receipt of unilateral transfers from rest of the world is shown on the credit side and unilateral transfers to rest of the world on the debit side. 3. Income receipts and payments to and from abroad: • It includes investment income in the form of interest, rent and profits.
  7. 7. CAPITAL ACCOUNT • Capital account of BOP records all those transactions, between the residents of a country and the rest of the world, which cause a change in the assets or liabilities of the residents of the country or its government. It is related to claims and liabilities of financial nature. • The main components of capital account are: • 1. Borrowings and landings to and from abroad • 2. Investments to and from abroad • 3. Change in Foreign Exchange Reserves
  8. 8. Borrowings and landings to and from abroad: It includes:  All transactions relating to borrowings from abroad by private sector, government, etc. Receipts of such loans and repayment of loans by foreigners are recorded on the positive (credit) side.  All transactions of lending to abroad by private sector and government. Lending abroad and repayment of loans to abroad is recorded as negative or debit item. Investments to and from abroad: It includes:  Investments by rest of the world in shares of Indian companies, real estate in India, etc. Such investments from abroad are recorded on the positive (credit) side as they bring in foreign exchange.  Investments by Indian residents in shares of foreign companies, real estate abroad, etc. Such investments to abroad be recorded on the negative (debit) side as they lead to outflow of foreign exchange. Change in Foreign Exchange Reserves:  The foreign exchange reserves are the financial assets of the government held in the central bank. A change in reserves serves as the financing item in India’s BOP. So, any withdrawal from the reserves is recorded on the positive (credit) side and any addition to these reserves is recorded on the negative (debit) side. It must be noted that ‘change in reserves’ is recorded in the BOP account and not ‘reserves’.
  9. 9. Fixed Exchange Rate system
  10. 10. • In a fixed exchange rate system, the monetary authority picks rates of exchange with each other currency and commits to adjusting the money supply, restricting exchange transactions and adjusting other variables to ensure that the exchange rates do not move. All variations on fixed rates reduce the time inconsistency problem and reduce exchange rate volatility, albeit to different degrees. • Under a fixed exchange rate system, DEVALUATION AND REVALUATION are official changes in the value of a country's currency relative to other currencies.
  11. 11. Advantages Of Fixed Exchange Rates • Certainty - with a fixed exchange rate, firms will always know the exchange rate and this makes trade and investment less risky. • Absence of speculation - with a fixed exchange rate, there will be no speculation if people believe that the rate will stay fixed with no revaluation or devaluation. • Constraint on government policy - if the exchange rate is fixed, then the government may be unable to pursue extreme or irresponsible macro-economic policies as these would cause a run on the foreign exchange reserves and this would be unsustainable in the medium-term.
  12. 12. Disadvantages Of Fixed Exchange Rates  The economy may be unable to respond to shocks - a fixed exchange rate means that there may be no mechanism for the government to respond rapidly to balance of payments crises.  Problems with reserves - fixed exchange rate systems require large foreign exchange reserves and there can be international liquidity problems as a result.  Speculation - if foreign exchange markets believe that there may be a revaluation or devaluation, then there may be a run of speculation. Fighting this may cost the government significantly in terms of their foreign exchange reserves.  Deflation - if countries with balance of payments deficits deflate their economies to try to correct the deficits, this will reduce the surpluses of other countries as well as deflating their own economies to restore their surpluses. This may give the system a deflationary bias.  Policy conflicts - the fixed exchange rate may not be compatible with other economic targets for growth, inflation and unemployment and this may cause conflicts of policies. This is especially true if the exchange rate is fixed at a level that is either too high or too low.
  13. 13. Floating Exchange Rate system
  14. 14. A floating exchange rate is a country's exchange rate regime where its currency is set by the foreign-exchange market through supply and demand for that particular currency relative to other currencies. Thus, floating exchange rates change freely and are determined by trading in the forex market. Every currency area must decide what type of exchange rate arrangement to maintain. Between permanently fixed and completely flexible however, are heterogeneous approaches. They have different implications for the extent to which national authorities participate in foreign exchange markets. Under a floating exchange rate system, market forces generate changes in the value of the currency, known as currency depreciation or appreciation.
  15. 15. Advantages Of Floating Exchange Rates • Protection from external shocks - if the exchange rate is free to float, then it can change in response to external shocks like oil price rises. This should reduce the negative impact of any external shocks. • Lack of policy constraints - the government are free with a floating exchange rate system to pursue the policies they feel are appropriate for the domestic economy without worrying about them conflicting with their external policy. • Correction of balance of payments deficits - a floating exchange rate can depreciate to compensate for a balance of payments deficit. This will help restore the competitiveness of exports. There is a link to Figure 1 below which illustrates the operation of the automatic adjustment mechanism under a floating exchange rate system.
  16. 16. Disadvantages of floating exchange rates • Instability - floating exchange rates can be prone to large fluctuations in value and this can cause uncertainty for firms. Investment and trade may be adversely affected. • No constraints on domestic policy - governments may be free to pursue inappropriate domestic policies (e.g. excessively expansionary policies) as the exchange rate will not act as a constraint. • Speculation - the existence of speculation can lead to exchange rate changes that are unrelated to the underlying pattern of trade. This will also cause instability and uncertainty for firms and consumers.

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