2. Agenda
1. Current Situation
2. Review History and Vision/Mission
3. Strategic and Financial Objectives
4. Business Model and Strategic Group Map
5. SWOT
6. Strategic Issues
3. Current Situation: Google Performance
2014 revenue $66 billion- a 19% gain over 2013
-11% revenue from non-advertising venues in 2014- up 2%; 59% outside U.S.
Net Income $14.4 billion- 16% gain vs 2013 resulting in a 22% net margin.
Return on Equity (ROE) 14.6%-down 2.2 points.
Earnings per share (EPS) $21.07 nearly $2.00 increase versus 2013
Debt/equity .05
Cash from operations $22.3 billion- a 20% increase over 2013 & representing
34% of revenues.
U.S. search engine market share grew slightly to 67.8% in 2014.
Digital ad market share remained at 31.5% worldwide.
4. Current Situation: Google Products
Web: “Google”: Search, Toolbar, Chrome, Bookmarks
Specialized Search: “Google”: Custom Search, Patent Search, Scholar, Shopping,
Finance, Trends, Flights
Home and Office: “Google”: Docs, Slides, Drive, Drawing, Sheets, Forms, Sites,
Calendar, Translate, Voice, Wallet, Cloud Print, Store, Keep, Gmail, Chrome
PC
Social: “Google”: Groups, Blogger, Hangouts and Google+
Mobile: “Google”: Search, Maps, Play, Waze and Android OS
Geo: “Google”: Maps, Earth, Panoramio
Media: “Google”: Books, News, Play, Image Search, Video Search, Picasa and
YouTube
Business: “Google”: Cloud Platform, Analytics, Trends, App Premiere, Bigquery,
DoubleClick, AdWords, AdSense, Mobile AdSense, My Business, AdMob,
Domains, DropCam and Google for Nonprofits
Innovation: “Google”: Code, Glass, Loon, Fiber, TV, Deepmind, Car, Nest
5. A Simple History of Google...
Google was founded in 1998 by Larry Page and Sergey Brin to provide effective and
more efficient web search services through their PageRank algorithm
In 1999, Overture monetized the search market and introduced paid listings based on
cost/impression (CPC) on search sites.
In 2000, Google became Yahoo’s search engine. 2002 AOL’s. Started weighted
(CPC) bid system based on actual and expected click through rates (CTR) in 2002.
Introduced “contextual” paid listings in 2003.
On August 19, 2004, Google went public on the NASDAQ stock market; it completed
an IPO of $85 per share and raised $1.66 billion in the public offering.
Since the IPO, Google has completed 174 acquisitions, launched a myriad of
innovative products and services beyond its core web search service.
Google has since become the third largest company in the world in terms of
6. Google’s Vision
● Provide access to the world’s information in one click
● Have a positive impact on the world through technology
Source: 2013 Founder’s Letter
7. Google’s Mission
● Unofficial Mission: “Don’t be Evil”
To organize the world’s information and make it universally
accessible and useful.
8. Google’s Strategic Objectives
● Increase U.S. search engine market share to 69% in 2015.
● Increase share of advertisements by 4th Q 2015 to 32%
● Increase share of mobile ads by year end 2015 to 51%
● Derive 14% of revenue from non-search venues in 2015.
● Further strengthen and protect strong brand and perception
● Enhance breadth and depth of product line; enhance and expand
technical expertise
● Invest heavily in R&D on new search and information and other leading
edge technologies in 2015 and next 5 years
● Expand international search, distribution and operations in emerging
9. Google’s Financial Objectives
16% increase in annual revenues
12% increase in net income
Increase non-search revenue from 11% to 14% of total revenue
Maintain net margin at 22%
Maintain ROE at 14.6%
Maintain debt/equity of .05
Increase EPS 10%
Maintain cash position from operations
Maintain R&D expenditures at 15% of revenue
10. Google’s Business Model
Profits Formula:
Revenues: Advertising sales, Google AdWords,
AdSense, DoubleClick, Mobile AdSense.
Main costs: people, data centers, acquisition cost
and R&D costs.
Key Resources:
Intellectual: portfolio of patents and algorithm
technology. Brand is an important asset.
Physical: offices and data centers in 40+ countries
and 1 million+ servers.
Human: The “Googlers” (Google Employees)
Financial: Ad revenue from Google website and
non-Google websites and product sales.
Value Proposition:
Google offers a user-friendly platform that includes a
search engine that generates the most relevant
results and targeted ads; and phone OS (Android),
Google Apps and computer OS (Chrome) makes it
simpler for the user to navigate on-line.
Processes:
Google has global ad sales and support teams,
operations and data center processings and multi-
product sales force.
Google allows their employees to utilize 20% of their
time on individual, innovative ideas and projects.
12. SWOTStrengths:
Proprietary search algorithm & thousands of
patents - Distinctive Competency
Innovative culture and expertise-Core Comp.
Technology and engineering expertise
-R&D investment highest except versus MSFT
Very strong financial position-revenue, income
growth, margins, debt
Patents
High search share and brand awareness
Large database of customers and variety of search
related products
Strong operations-1 million servers
Dedicated to innovation AND profits
Corporate governance and board
Weaknesses:
89% of revenue from search advertising
Lack of strong share in non-search segments
Lack of transparency and privacy disclosure
Too many high risk ventures outside core
competencies?
Opportunities:
Over half of world doesnt have internet
Increasing smartphone, multi-device use and access
to internet
New technologies- robotics, smart homes, etc.
Increased use of social networking
Cloud use
Threats:
Traditional “search” in mature or declining lifecycle
Traditional, direct/vertical search; social networks,
mobile, apps, other operating systems, other
information sources/providers new companies
(many competitive forces!- Porter).
Regs./litigation- monopolistic, competitors, foreign
governments, consumers
Patented technology not Google’s
Displacement as default search engine
Exchange rates
Hacker attacks
14. Google’s Strategic Issues
1. How will Google protect and grow their search-ad market share?
2. How will Google stay ahead of the innovation that could block ads?
3. How will Google stay true to their mission and still stay relevant?
In the 2014 10K, Larry Page stated, “The idea of trying new things is reflected in
some of our new, ambitious projects. Everything might not fit into a neat little
box. We believe that is exactly how to stay relevant.”
4. What new technology will Google harness, develop and make theirs?
5. What will Google do to more effectively penetrate the social media, e-
commerce and PC, tablet and phone market?
15. What are the key factors behind
Google’s early success?
1. A search engine that is faster and delivers more reliable
results.
2. A simplistic homepage structure and user interface.
3. Good financial backing and advisors.
4. A new profit and cost model for paid advertising.
5. Free brand exposure due to licensing agreements for Google
search engine. Agreement with AOL.
6. Localisation of search results geographically.
7. Free ad campaign creation software portals for advertisers.
16. Is “Search” a Winner-take-all category?
Search engines are the platform for ad hosting and advertising generates revenue.
The larger your market share on your search engine, the more vendors will pay for
advertising space.
AdWords does not allow companies to design ads that can be used across multiple
search platforms. That raises that cost to the advertiser to put their ads on multiple
search engines.
40% of web searches are motivated by intention to search for products and has
commercial motives. Of all the e-commerce, 70% of transactions start with a
search.
YES
17. Could Google outbid Microsoft for AOL’s traffic?
By 2014, AOL only had a 1.3% market share so now there is no reason for Google
to want to outbid for this business. Google has plenty of cash on hand if they
would want to, but there is no strategic reason to do so.
In their 2005 partnership, it cost Google $1B for a 5% equity stake in AOL and a
$300M credit towards ads on Google that promote the parent company’s
products. This partnership lasted 5 years. AOL had a 9% market share for
searches. They effectively stopped Microsoft from adding this to their 16%. The
larger the search audience, the more that companies are willing to pay for ads. In
addition, the more people viewing these ads, the more possible Click-throughs
which adds value for the end user, Google and the advertiser.
18. Is Google’s governance structure, corporate culture and
organizational process a strength or weakness?
- Brin, Page, Schmidt have nearly 80% voting rights; Don’t be Evil Innovative Culture
Limitations - Anti-takeover stance could be negatively perceived as corporate dictatorship and
management entrenchment; detrimental to shareholders’ rights and interests. Mixed research
suggests negative performance. Backlash from those who perceive Google as evil.
Advantages - Our belief is that we maximize stockholder value by maintaining a long-term
focus. Rather than thinking about ways in which we can create short-lived economic gains each
quarter, we focus on serving our users and delivering the most relevant information as fast as
we can. -Larry Page
-Protects against hostile takeover. Allows more latitude to carry out mission and create
disruptive innovations with potential higher payoff. Board is very strong; checks and balances -
Sarbanes Oxley adherence. Some research suggests positive performance. Management is key.
Strength!- Sales up 3X, income 2X since 2009; share price 8X since IPO! Minimal backlash
from Don’t be Evil mantra. Allows very innovative culture.
21. Is Google’s unique organization a strength or liability?
As stated in last question, it allows long term focus on strategy and
culture/values.
As long as human, operational, R&D and other capital resources, with
passionate, dedicated pursuit (Jim Collins) accompany strategies outside of
core search business; at same time must be able to defend and to grow the
core search business as “opportunities” arise or attacks are made..
As long as high risk projects do not drain assets.
As long as Board and their three key owners are fiscally smart.
Strength
22. What are the managerial lessons learned from the case?
Google is the model for the successful “Late-Mover advantage” and for
being flexible and agile despite their size. (Search, Ads and Android)
“No plan survives the first shot” - Barron Von Molke. Strategies must be
flexible and aggressive and not complacent to protect share.
In the 2013 Founder’s letter, Larry Page states that they started Google “to
develop services that significantly improve the lives of as many as
possible. We’re motivated by a profound belief that access to knowledge
will improve humankind.”
Google is currently at the top when it comes to algorithms and advertising.
They must not become complacent in order to stay there.
23. What should Google do next?
1. “Defend” and enhance the core search business, maintaining status as “the”
premier search engine through internally developed new technologies and,
acquisitions and vertical integration into mobile (Protecting the Cash Cow)
2. Expand search into other venues such as video, mobile and print.
3. Avoid frontal “Offensive” attacks on Apple, Microsoft, & other major players.
Use flanking, second mover or leap frog competitive tactics in e-commerce,
office software, mobile/tablet space.
4. Continue to focus on innovation as an offensive strategy: Google Fiber, Google
Loon and other leading edge innovative technologies.
5. Find new ways to gain and utilize information: ex. purchase of Waze, Nest:Home
24.
25. In addition to enhancing its core search business,
should Google also branch out into new arenas?
1.Building a full-fledged portal like Yahoo!’s
-Not recommended. Already tried that with iGoogle which was not very
successful.
2.Targeting Microsoft’s desktop software hegemony?
-Not recommended. Not a direct attack. They already have similar/equivalent
desktop software.
3.Become an e-commerce intermediary like eBay?
-Recommended. But do not benchmark against eBay. Use existing product
26. What “Other” things could Google do?
1. Google could buy Twitter
- Google+ was a bust and getting a fast entrance into the giant market of social media gives
them instant access to more specific information and more space to place ads.
2. Google could add live streaming to YouTube
- Google already had a huge success with live streaming the 2012 Olympics. Google could
add on live sporting events like Professional Football or Soccer.
3. Google could partner with or buy Netflix
- This would give Google quick entrance into a vast amount of streaming and keep
competitors from buying Netflix. The video streaming and on-demand market has been
growing in popularity at a fast pace.
4. Google could buy GoPro
27. Final Recommendations for Google
Create a new Mission:
“Create leading edge information technology for
the betterment of mankind.”
or
“Make future generations brighter, healthier, and more informed.”
How to implement:
Create radical solutions for global problems with breakthrough technology and
resources: further develop robotics, thought communication, home ecosystem
communication & information, self health monitoring systems etc.
28. “Google’s ever-expanding agenda has put it on a collision course with
nearly every company in the information technology industry…
Who’s afraid of Google? Everyone.”1
1Kevin Kelleher, “Who’s Afraid of Google?’ Wired, December 2005, pp. 233-236
30. Alphabet - The holding company
Larry Page and Sergey Brin, CEO and President of Alphabet
Sundar Pichai, CEO of Google
Companies are Google, Inc., Calico (anti-aging research lab), Google Ventures,
Google Capital, Google X, Nest, Fiber
Idea is that Alphabet will allow Page and Brin to explore innovative sectors
All companies will share a common goal: How can Alphabet improve our lives?
Innovations - self driving cars, delivery drones for disaster relief, robots, life
extension project, artificial intelligence (Deep Mind), exploration, intelligent
glasses, contacts that measure glucose levels, fight oppression technology, virtual
reality cameras, clean energy, safe homes, internet access for all