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Pr ofessor Nissaf Bouafif ép Ben Alaya
General Director Observatory of New and Emerging Diseases
Early Warning System in Tunisia:
Evolution, Challenges and place of Environment and
Modeling
Timeline
1
• Presentation of Tunisian national surveillance system
2
• Examples of emerging diseases surveillance system implemented in Tunisia
3
• Challenges to improve Health surveillance in Tunisia
4
• Implementation of IHR capacities and health hazards in Tunisia
5
• Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system 2013-2014 and priorities
6
• German partnership program in Tunisia
7
• Perspectives
Timeline
1
• Presentation of Tunisian national surveillance system
2
• Examples of emerging diseases surveillance system implemented in Tunisia
3
• Challenges to improve Health surveillance in Tunisia
4
• Implementation of IHR capacities and health hazards in Tunisia
5
• Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system 2013-2014 and priorities
6
• German partnership program in Tunisia
7
• Perspectives
Local
level
Organization of national surveillance system of
Infectious Diseases in Tunisia
National
Level
Moh
DMSU DHMPE
Regional
level
Departement of
preventive medecine
Early Warning Unit
Rapid Response
Team
CSB ER Laboratories GP Hospitals Others
ShocRoom
National Public Health Surveillance System for Infectious
Diseases (IDs)
 Disease monitoring
 To guide intervention and control programs
 To give evidence for policy making
 To allow Appropriate allocation of resources
 Structured data
 Routinely produced
 Passively collected
 With established case definitions
 Sources of data
 Health-care facilities
 Laboratories
 Death registers
IBS: Indicator-based surveillance
DSSB
Objectives of National Public Health Surveillance
System for Infectious Diseases (IDs)
 Disease monitoring
 To guide intervention
and control programs
 To give evidence for
policy making
 To allow Appropriate
allocation of
resources
 Early detection of
acute public health
events
 To ensure rapid
detection and
investigation
 To implement
appropriate response
and control of events
DSSB ONMNE
Timeline
1
• Presentation of Tunisian national surveillance system
2
• Examples of emerging diseases surveillance system implemented in Tunisia
3
• Challenges to improve Health surveillance in Tunisia
4
• Implementation of IHR capacities and health hazards in Tunisia
5
• Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system 2013-2014 and priorities
6
• German partnership program in Tunisia
7
• Perspectives
Human Geographic distribution
of 2012 outbreak
Predicted distribution according to
animal surveillance
West Nile surveillance
Multidisciplinary approach
 Risk assessment and
appropriate
management
 Prepare documents
 Preparation of the
national response to a
possible outbreak of
human infection with
the MERS-Cov
 Information for
travelers
 Technical data sheet
Prepardness plan for MERS-CoV
in Tunisia
Period of exposure of
the index case
Period of
exposure of
contacts
Confirmation of
MERS-Cov index cas
Investigation of the MERS- CoV cluster in Tunisia
Timeline
1
• Presentation of Tunisian national surveillance system
2
• Examples of emerging diseases surveillance system implemented in Tunisia
3
• Challenges to improve Health surveillance in Tunisia
4
• Implementation of IHR capacities and health hazards in Tunisia
5
• Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system 2013-2014 and priorities
6
• German partnership program in Tunisia
7
• Perspectives
Advantages
 Highly valuable for
 Known diseases,
 Stable context
 Good access to
healthcare / laboratory
facilities
 Specificity
Disadvantages
 Scope
 Often communicable diseases
 Fixed list of diseases & syndromes
 Timeliness
 Delays for Reporting procedure /data
analysis & biological confirmation
 Reactivity
 Fixed case definitions, procedures….
 Emergency situation
 Coverage
 Uneven accessibility to healthcare
 Hard to reach areas &population
Timeline
1
• Presentation of Tunisian national surveillance system
2
• Examples of emerging diseases surveillance system implemented in Tunisia
3
• Challenges to improve Health surveillance in Tunisia
4
• Implementation of IHR capacities and health hazards in Tunisia
5
• Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system 2013-2014 and priorities
6
• German partnership program in Tunisia
7
• Perspectives
● Paradigm shift
 Disease-based surveillance  All hazards
 All sources of information
● Core surveillance capacities :
 Detection
 Assessment
 Notification/reporting
 Response
● IHR requirements
 Early detection based on health reporting is not enough
 Needs to develop access to other sources of information
International Context : IHR
WHO evaluation of IHR capacities and health hazards Implementation
Global Level - 2013
70
73
80 79
63
72
60
76
54
81
71
52 51
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
 EWAR and EBS are not well defined and
implemented
 Not all events (not only communicable diseases)
are detected timely and comprehensively
 Preparedness plan are limited to some diseases
 Laboratories capacities are to improve
 Risk Communication strategy is not available
Timeline
1
• Presentation of Tunisian national surveillance system
2
• Examples of emerging diseases surveillance system implemented in Tunisia
3
• Challenges to improve Health surveillance in Tunisia
4
• Implementation of IHR capacities and health hazards in Tunisia
5
• Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system 2013-2014 and priorities
6
• German partnership program in Tunisia
7
• Perspectives
 IBS is implemented but is not
optimal because of
 lack of resources, Trained staff
and turn over
 Operating budget:
implementation and supervision
of activities
 Tools and equipment
 Electronic transmission of data
 EBS is not well defined
 Access to other sources of
information, multisectoral
collaboration and processes are
not systematized/formalized
National Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system, 2013-2014
Priorities
 To improve surveillance with the
establishment of Epidemic
intelligence
 Integration of EBS and IBS
 Rapid reporting of events using
regular epidemiological conference
« EpiTec » tool
 To improve crisis communication
 To improve preparednessDelays in detection, reporting,
analysis, and response
Priorities
Epidemic intelligence
 Systematic collection, analysis, and
communication of information to:
 Detect
 Verify
 Assess
 Investigate
 Integrates IBS and EBS
Events and
health risks
with an EWAR
objective
• Outbreak
Investigation
• Field Research
• Support through
Communicating results of
Assessments
• Targeted
recommendations
• Surveillance
• EBS
• GP Networking
• ER Networking
• Diseases Specific
surveillance
• Field Research
• Program Evaluation
Evaluation
&
Monitoring
Event
Detection
Risk
Assessment
Prevention
& Control
Measures
Epidemic Intelligence for Risk Management Cycle
EpidemicIntelligence
Risk management cycle
Event Detection
risk assessment (formal
and rapid)
Control measures and
prevention
Monitoring and
evaluation
Communication
des risques Epidemiological
intelligence
Prevention Preparedness Response Resilience
Early Warning System
Assessment and management of
public health threats
Institutes and Public Health
Departments
other Partners
national experts
Ministry of Health
Other parteners
Assessment
Management
Timeline
1
• Presentation of Tunisian national surveillance system
2
• Examples of emerging diseases surveillance system implemented in Tunisia
3
• Challenges to improve Health surveillance in Tunisia
4
• Implementation of IHR capacities and health hazards in Tunisia
5
• Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system 2013-2014 and priorities
6
• German partnership program in Tunisia
7
• Perspectives
24
Goals of the project
19.10.2016
 Reduce biological security risks
 Enhance Tunisian health capacities
 Foster international scientific exchange and qualify scientific
personnel
 Contribute to the fight against dangerous diseases
 Support the safe and secure conduct with dangerous
pathogens and toxins
Crisis communication Strategy
development and media training
Joint training for epidemiologists and
laboratory EpiLab
Support the establishment of an
“Epidemic Intelligence Committee”
•EBS implementation
•EpiTec implementation
Support of the development
of a Tunisian epidemic
preparedness plan
Improvement of P3 capacities
Improvement of biosafety &
diagnostics of highly pathogenic
viruses
Training Biosafety and Biosecurity &
Biorisk Management
• EpiTec
• Networking
Tools
• IBS
• EBS
EWRS
• Procedures, SOPs
• Risk communication
strategy and media training
• Prepardness plan 2P2R
Preparedness and
response plan
Activities implemented by the project
Tab
simulation
exercice
Field Simulation
exercice
Activities implemented by the project
Timeline
1
• Presentation of Tunisian national surveillance system
2
• Examples of emerging diseases surveillance system implemented in Tunisia
3
• Challenges to improve Health surveillance in Tunisia
4
• Implementation of IHR capacities and health hazards in Tunisia
5
• Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system 2013-2014 and priorities
6
• German partnership program in Tunisia
7
• Perspectives
 Elaboration of action plan
(national and regional)
 Development of
standardized protocols,
SOPs & guides
 Preparation of records of
data collection
 Computerized monitoring
system and electronic
transmission of
information
 Conduct more simulation
exercises
Next steps for strengthening of EWAR
 Establishment of an
environmental warning
system
 Climate warning system
 Animal and entomological
system
 Connection to other partners
(other administrative
database)
 Human resources capacity
development and training
Data collectionGeo-referencing Data entry
Common database for the EWRS
What are the challenges for the development
of health Surveillance EWRS
 Political vision for the organization of health systems in the
coming decades
 The legal framework and review of the different institutions
Missions
 Strengthening public health institutions
 Convergence of different epidemiological surveillance networks in
Tunisia
 The governance of epidemic warning tools
 Organization of health surveillance
 Operating the health alert system
 The development of health warning tools
 The strengthening of health surveillance systems
 Human resources
 Logistic
 Funding
 The development of international cooperation and networks (InVs,
ECDC, RKI,GIZ, ACDC, CDC)
Early Warning System in Tunisia: Evolution, Challenges and place of Environment and Modeling

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Early Warning System in Tunisia: Evolution, Challenges and place of Environment and Modeling

  • 1. Pr ofessor Nissaf Bouafif ép Ben Alaya General Director Observatory of New and Emerging Diseases Early Warning System in Tunisia: Evolution, Challenges and place of Environment and Modeling
  • 2. Timeline 1 • Presentation of Tunisian national surveillance system 2 • Examples of emerging diseases surveillance system implemented in Tunisia 3 • Challenges to improve Health surveillance in Tunisia 4 • Implementation of IHR capacities and health hazards in Tunisia 5 • Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system 2013-2014 and priorities 6 • German partnership program in Tunisia 7 • Perspectives
  • 3. Timeline 1 • Presentation of Tunisian national surveillance system 2 • Examples of emerging diseases surveillance system implemented in Tunisia 3 • Challenges to improve Health surveillance in Tunisia 4 • Implementation of IHR capacities and health hazards in Tunisia 5 • Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system 2013-2014 and priorities 6 • German partnership program in Tunisia 7 • Perspectives
  • 4. Local level Organization of national surveillance system of Infectious Diseases in Tunisia National Level Moh DMSU DHMPE Regional level Departement of preventive medecine Early Warning Unit Rapid Response Team CSB ER Laboratories GP Hospitals Others ShocRoom
  • 5. National Public Health Surveillance System for Infectious Diseases (IDs)  Disease monitoring  To guide intervention and control programs  To give evidence for policy making  To allow Appropriate allocation of resources  Structured data  Routinely produced  Passively collected  With established case definitions  Sources of data  Health-care facilities  Laboratories  Death registers IBS: Indicator-based surveillance DSSB
  • 6. Objectives of National Public Health Surveillance System for Infectious Diseases (IDs)  Disease monitoring  To guide intervention and control programs  To give evidence for policy making  To allow Appropriate allocation of resources  Early detection of acute public health events  To ensure rapid detection and investigation  To implement appropriate response and control of events DSSB ONMNE
  • 7. Timeline 1 • Presentation of Tunisian national surveillance system 2 • Examples of emerging diseases surveillance system implemented in Tunisia 3 • Challenges to improve Health surveillance in Tunisia 4 • Implementation of IHR capacities and health hazards in Tunisia 5 • Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system 2013-2014 and priorities 6 • German partnership program in Tunisia 7 • Perspectives
  • 8. Human Geographic distribution of 2012 outbreak Predicted distribution according to animal surveillance West Nile surveillance Multidisciplinary approach
  • 9.  Risk assessment and appropriate management  Prepare documents  Preparation of the national response to a possible outbreak of human infection with the MERS-Cov  Information for travelers  Technical data sheet Prepardness plan for MERS-CoV in Tunisia
  • 10. Period of exposure of the index case Period of exposure of contacts Confirmation of MERS-Cov index cas Investigation of the MERS- CoV cluster in Tunisia
  • 11. Timeline 1 • Presentation of Tunisian national surveillance system 2 • Examples of emerging diseases surveillance system implemented in Tunisia 3 • Challenges to improve Health surveillance in Tunisia 4 • Implementation of IHR capacities and health hazards in Tunisia 5 • Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system 2013-2014 and priorities 6 • German partnership program in Tunisia 7 • Perspectives
  • 12. Advantages  Highly valuable for  Known diseases,  Stable context  Good access to healthcare / laboratory facilities  Specificity Disadvantages  Scope  Often communicable diseases  Fixed list of diseases & syndromes  Timeliness  Delays for Reporting procedure /data analysis & biological confirmation  Reactivity  Fixed case definitions, procedures….  Emergency situation  Coverage  Uneven accessibility to healthcare  Hard to reach areas &population
  • 13. Timeline 1 • Presentation of Tunisian national surveillance system 2 • Examples of emerging diseases surveillance system implemented in Tunisia 3 • Challenges to improve Health surveillance in Tunisia 4 • Implementation of IHR capacities and health hazards in Tunisia 5 • Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system 2013-2014 and priorities 6 • German partnership program in Tunisia 7 • Perspectives
  • 14. ● Paradigm shift  Disease-based surveillance  All hazards  All sources of information ● Core surveillance capacities :  Detection  Assessment  Notification/reporting  Response ● IHR requirements  Early detection based on health reporting is not enough  Needs to develop access to other sources of information International Context : IHR
  • 15. WHO evaluation of IHR capacities and health hazards Implementation Global Level - 2013 70 73 80 79 63 72 60 76 54 81 71 52 51 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100  EWAR and EBS are not well defined and implemented  Not all events (not only communicable diseases) are detected timely and comprehensively  Preparedness plan are limited to some diseases  Laboratories capacities are to improve  Risk Communication strategy is not available
  • 16. Timeline 1 • Presentation of Tunisian national surveillance system 2 • Examples of emerging diseases surveillance system implemented in Tunisia 3 • Challenges to improve Health surveillance in Tunisia 4 • Implementation of IHR capacities and health hazards in Tunisia 5 • Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system 2013-2014 and priorities 6 • German partnership program in Tunisia 7 • Perspectives
  • 17.  IBS is implemented but is not optimal because of  lack of resources, Trained staff and turn over  Operating budget: implementation and supervision of activities  Tools and equipment  Electronic transmission of data  EBS is not well defined  Access to other sources of information, multisectoral collaboration and processes are not systematized/formalized National Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system, 2013-2014 Priorities  To improve surveillance with the establishment of Epidemic intelligence  Integration of EBS and IBS  Rapid reporting of events using regular epidemiological conference « EpiTec » tool  To improve crisis communication  To improve preparednessDelays in detection, reporting, analysis, and response Priorities
  • 18. Epidemic intelligence  Systematic collection, analysis, and communication of information to:  Detect  Verify  Assess  Investigate  Integrates IBS and EBS Events and health risks with an EWAR objective
  • 19. • Outbreak Investigation • Field Research • Support through Communicating results of Assessments • Targeted recommendations • Surveillance • EBS • GP Networking • ER Networking • Diseases Specific surveillance • Field Research • Program Evaluation Evaluation & Monitoring Event Detection Risk Assessment Prevention & Control Measures Epidemic Intelligence for Risk Management Cycle EpidemicIntelligence
  • 20. Risk management cycle Event Detection risk assessment (formal and rapid) Control measures and prevention Monitoring and evaluation Communication des risques Epidemiological intelligence
  • 21. Prevention Preparedness Response Resilience Early Warning System
  • 22. Assessment and management of public health threats Institutes and Public Health Departments other Partners national experts Ministry of Health Other parteners Assessment Management
  • 23. Timeline 1 • Presentation of Tunisian national surveillance system 2 • Examples of emerging diseases surveillance system implemented in Tunisia 3 • Challenges to improve Health surveillance in Tunisia 4 • Implementation of IHR capacities and health hazards in Tunisia 5 • Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system 2013-2014 and priorities 6 • German partnership program in Tunisia 7 • Perspectives
  • 24. 24 Goals of the project 19.10.2016  Reduce biological security risks  Enhance Tunisian health capacities  Foster international scientific exchange and qualify scientific personnel  Contribute to the fight against dangerous diseases  Support the safe and secure conduct with dangerous pathogens and toxins
  • 25. Crisis communication Strategy development and media training Joint training for epidemiologists and laboratory EpiLab Support the establishment of an “Epidemic Intelligence Committee” •EBS implementation •EpiTec implementation Support of the development of a Tunisian epidemic preparedness plan
  • 26. Improvement of P3 capacities Improvement of biosafety & diagnostics of highly pathogenic viruses Training Biosafety and Biosecurity & Biorisk Management
  • 27. • EpiTec • Networking Tools • IBS • EBS EWRS • Procedures, SOPs • Risk communication strategy and media training • Prepardness plan 2P2R Preparedness and response plan Activities implemented by the project Tab simulation exercice Field Simulation exercice
  • 29. Timeline 1 • Presentation of Tunisian national surveillance system 2 • Examples of emerging diseases surveillance system implemented in Tunisia 3 • Challenges to improve Health surveillance in Tunisia 4 • Implementation of IHR capacities and health hazards in Tunisia 5 • Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system 2013-2014 and priorities 6 • German partnership program in Tunisia 7 • Perspectives
  • 30.  Elaboration of action plan (national and regional)  Development of standardized protocols, SOPs & guides  Preparation of records of data collection  Computerized monitoring system and electronic transmission of information  Conduct more simulation exercises Next steps for strengthening of EWAR  Establishment of an environmental warning system  Climate warning system  Animal and entomological system  Connection to other partners (other administrative database)  Human resources capacity development and training
  • 31. Data collectionGeo-referencing Data entry Common database for the EWRS
  • 32. What are the challenges for the development of health Surveillance EWRS  Political vision for the organization of health systems in the coming decades  The legal framework and review of the different institutions Missions  Strengthening public health institutions  Convergence of different epidemiological surveillance networks in Tunisia  The governance of epidemic warning tools  Organization of health surveillance  Operating the health alert system  The development of health warning tools  The strengthening of health surveillance systems  Human resources  Logistic  Funding  The development of international cooperation and networks (InVs, ECDC, RKI,GIZ, ACDC, CDC)

Editor's Notes

  1. The first objective consists of the continuous monitoring of the burden of infectious diseases, including the monitoring of morbidity and mortality. Ultimately, these surveillance activities create evidence for policy making, effectively guide interventions, control programs and allow for appropriate allocation of resources. The second objective is the detection of any kind of public health event requiring rapid investigation – as early as possible - and find the appropriate response to avert and minimize negative consequences for the health of affected populations.
  2. The first objective consists of the continuous monitoring of the burden of infectious diseases, including the monitoring of morbidity and mortality. Ultimately, these surveillance activities create evidence for policy making, effectively guide interventions, control programs and allow for appropriate allocation of resources. The second objective is the detection of any kind of public health event requiring rapid investigation – as early as possible - and find the appropriate response to avert and minimize negative consequences for the health of affected populations.