Présentation de Nissaf Ben Alaya Bouafif, directrice générale de l'observatoire national des maladies nouvelles et émergentes, durant le symposium organisé conjointement entre le Robert Koch Institute et l'Institut Pasteur de Tunis "Current challenges of Biological Risks and Heealth Security" (22-23 septembre 2016)
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Early Warning System in Tunisia: Evolution, Challenges and place of Environment and Modeling
1. Pr ofessor Nissaf Bouafif ép Ben Alaya
General Director Observatory of New and Emerging Diseases
Early Warning System in Tunisia:
Evolution, Challenges and place of Environment and
Modeling
2. Timeline
1
• Presentation of Tunisian national surveillance system
2
• Examples of emerging diseases surveillance system implemented in Tunisia
3
• Challenges to improve Health surveillance in Tunisia
4
• Implementation of IHR capacities and health hazards in Tunisia
5
• Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system 2013-2014 and priorities
6
• German partnership program in Tunisia
7
• Perspectives
3. Timeline
1
• Presentation of Tunisian national surveillance system
2
• Examples of emerging diseases surveillance system implemented in Tunisia
3
• Challenges to improve Health surveillance in Tunisia
4
• Implementation of IHR capacities and health hazards in Tunisia
5
• Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system 2013-2014 and priorities
6
• German partnership program in Tunisia
7
• Perspectives
4. Local
level
Organization of national surveillance system of
Infectious Diseases in Tunisia
National
Level
Moh
DMSU DHMPE
Regional
level
Departement of
preventive medecine
Early Warning Unit
Rapid Response
Team
CSB ER Laboratories GP Hospitals Others
ShocRoom
5. National Public Health Surveillance System for Infectious
Diseases (IDs)
Disease monitoring
To guide intervention and control programs
To give evidence for policy making
To allow Appropriate allocation of resources
Structured data
Routinely produced
Passively collected
With established case definitions
Sources of data
Health-care facilities
Laboratories
Death registers
IBS: Indicator-based surveillance
DSSB
6. Objectives of National Public Health Surveillance
System for Infectious Diseases (IDs)
Disease monitoring
To guide intervention
and control programs
To give evidence for
policy making
To allow Appropriate
allocation of
resources
Early detection of
acute public health
events
To ensure rapid
detection and
investigation
To implement
appropriate response
and control of events
DSSB ONMNE
7. Timeline
1
• Presentation of Tunisian national surveillance system
2
• Examples of emerging diseases surveillance system implemented in Tunisia
3
• Challenges to improve Health surveillance in Tunisia
4
• Implementation of IHR capacities and health hazards in Tunisia
5
• Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system 2013-2014 and priorities
6
• German partnership program in Tunisia
7
• Perspectives
8. Human Geographic distribution
of 2012 outbreak
Predicted distribution according to
animal surveillance
West Nile surveillance
Multidisciplinary approach
9. Risk assessment and
appropriate
management
Prepare documents
Preparation of the
national response to a
possible outbreak of
human infection with
the MERS-Cov
Information for
travelers
Technical data sheet
Prepardness plan for MERS-CoV
in Tunisia
10. Period of exposure of
the index case
Period of
exposure of
contacts
Confirmation of
MERS-Cov index cas
Investigation of the MERS- CoV cluster in Tunisia
11. Timeline
1
• Presentation of Tunisian national surveillance system
2
• Examples of emerging diseases surveillance system implemented in Tunisia
3
• Challenges to improve Health surveillance in Tunisia
4
• Implementation of IHR capacities and health hazards in Tunisia
5
• Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system 2013-2014 and priorities
6
• German partnership program in Tunisia
7
• Perspectives
12. Advantages
Highly valuable for
Known diseases,
Stable context
Good access to
healthcare / laboratory
facilities
Specificity
Disadvantages
Scope
Often communicable diseases
Fixed list of diseases & syndromes
Timeliness
Delays for Reporting procedure /data
analysis & biological confirmation
Reactivity
Fixed case definitions, procedures….
Emergency situation
Coverage
Uneven accessibility to healthcare
Hard to reach areas &population
13. Timeline
1
• Presentation of Tunisian national surveillance system
2
• Examples of emerging diseases surveillance system implemented in Tunisia
3
• Challenges to improve Health surveillance in Tunisia
4
• Implementation of IHR capacities and health hazards in Tunisia
5
• Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system 2013-2014 and priorities
6
• German partnership program in Tunisia
7
• Perspectives
14. ● Paradigm shift
Disease-based surveillance All hazards
All sources of information
● Core surveillance capacities :
Detection
Assessment
Notification/reporting
Response
● IHR requirements
Early detection based on health reporting is not enough
Needs to develop access to other sources of information
International Context : IHR
15. WHO evaluation of IHR capacities and health hazards Implementation
Global Level - 2013
70
73
80 79
63
72
60
76
54
81
71
52 51
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
EWAR and EBS are not well defined and
implemented
Not all events (not only communicable diseases)
are detected timely and comprehensively
Preparedness plan are limited to some diseases
Laboratories capacities are to improve
Risk Communication strategy is not available
16. Timeline
1
• Presentation of Tunisian national surveillance system
2
• Examples of emerging diseases surveillance system implemented in Tunisia
3
• Challenges to improve Health surveillance in Tunisia
4
• Implementation of IHR capacities and health hazards in Tunisia
5
• Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system 2013-2014 and priorities
6
• German partnership program in Tunisia
7
• Perspectives
17. IBS is implemented but is not
optimal because of
lack of resources, Trained staff
and turn over
Operating budget:
implementation and supervision
of activities
Tools and equipment
Electronic transmission of data
EBS is not well defined
Access to other sources of
information, multisectoral
collaboration and processes are
not systematized/formalized
National Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system, 2013-2014
Priorities
To improve surveillance with the
establishment of Epidemic
intelligence
Integration of EBS and IBS
Rapid reporting of events using
regular epidemiological conference
« EpiTec » tool
To improve crisis communication
To improve preparednessDelays in detection, reporting,
analysis, and response
Priorities
18. Epidemic intelligence
Systematic collection, analysis, and
communication of information to:
Detect
Verify
Assess
Investigate
Integrates IBS and EBS
Events and
health risks
with an EWAR
objective
19. • Outbreak
Investigation
• Field Research
• Support through
Communicating results of
Assessments
• Targeted
recommendations
• Surveillance
• EBS
• GP Networking
• ER Networking
• Diseases Specific
surveillance
• Field Research
• Program Evaluation
Evaluation
&
Monitoring
Event
Detection
Risk
Assessment
Prevention
& Control
Measures
Epidemic Intelligence for Risk Management Cycle
EpidemicIntelligence
20. Risk management cycle
Event Detection
risk assessment (formal
and rapid)
Control measures and
prevention
Monitoring and
evaluation
Communication
des risques Epidemiological
intelligence
22. Assessment and management of
public health threats
Institutes and Public Health
Departments
other Partners
national experts
Ministry of Health
Other parteners
Assessment
Management
23. Timeline
1
• Presentation of Tunisian national surveillance system
2
• Examples of emerging diseases surveillance system implemented in Tunisia
3
• Challenges to improve Health surveillance in Tunisia
4
• Implementation of IHR capacities and health hazards in Tunisia
5
• Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system 2013-2014 and priorities
6
• German partnership program in Tunisia
7
• Perspectives
24. 24
Goals of the project
19.10.2016
Reduce biological security risks
Enhance Tunisian health capacities
Foster international scientific exchange and qualify scientific
personnel
Contribute to the fight against dangerous diseases
Support the safe and secure conduct with dangerous
pathogens and toxins
25. Crisis communication Strategy
development and media training
Joint training for epidemiologists and
laboratory EpiLab
Support the establishment of an
“Epidemic Intelligence Committee”
•EBS implementation
•EpiTec implementation
Support of the development
of a Tunisian epidemic
preparedness plan
26. Improvement of P3 capacities
Improvement of biosafety &
diagnostics of highly pathogenic
viruses
Training Biosafety and Biosecurity &
Biorisk Management
27. • EpiTec
• Networking
Tools
• IBS
• EBS
EWRS
• Procedures, SOPs
• Risk communication
strategy and media training
• Prepardness plan 2P2R
Preparedness and
response plan
Activities implemented by the project
Tab
simulation
exercice
Field Simulation
exercice
29. Timeline
1
• Presentation of Tunisian national surveillance system
2
• Examples of emerging diseases surveillance system implemented in Tunisia
3
• Challenges to improve Health surveillance in Tunisia
4
• Implementation of IHR capacities and health hazards in Tunisia
5
• Evaluation of Tunisian surveillance system 2013-2014 and priorities
6
• German partnership program in Tunisia
7
• Perspectives
30. Elaboration of action plan
(national and regional)
Development of
standardized protocols,
SOPs & guides
Preparation of records of
data collection
Computerized monitoring
system and electronic
transmission of
information
Conduct more simulation
exercises
Next steps for strengthening of EWAR
Establishment of an
environmental warning
system
Climate warning system
Animal and entomological
system
Connection to other partners
(other administrative
database)
Human resources capacity
development and training
32. What are the challenges for the development
of health Surveillance EWRS
Political vision for the organization of health systems in the
coming decades
The legal framework and review of the different institutions
Missions
Strengthening public health institutions
Convergence of different epidemiological surveillance networks in
Tunisia
The governance of epidemic warning tools
Organization of health surveillance
Operating the health alert system
The development of health warning tools
The strengthening of health surveillance systems
Human resources
Logistic
Funding
The development of international cooperation and networks (InVs,
ECDC, RKI,GIZ, ACDC, CDC)
Editor's Notes
The first objective consists of the continuous monitoring of the burden of infectious diseases, including the monitoring of morbidity and mortality. Ultimately, these surveillance activities create evidence for policy making, effectively guide interventions, control programs and allow for appropriate allocation of resources. The second objective is the detection of any kind of public health event requiring rapid investigation – as early as possible - and find the appropriate response to avert and minimize negative consequences for the health of affected populations.
The first objective consists of the continuous monitoring of the burden of infectious diseases, including the monitoring of morbidity and mortality. Ultimately, these surveillance activities create evidence for policy making, effectively guide interventions, control programs and allow for appropriate allocation of resources. The second objective is the detection of any kind of public health event requiring rapid investigation – as early as possible - and find the appropriate response to avert and minimize negative consequences for the health of affected populations.