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Pay Reform in Public
Administration: Moving
Beyond Standard Advice

         Zahid Hasnain, Senior Public
         Sector Specialist (EASPR)


                                        1
Outline of the Presentation
1. What is the ―functional problem‖?
2. Key theories and reform levers
3. Short term career incentives
4. Longer term career incentives
5. Pay reform options

                                       2
1. What’s the problem?




                         3
In general, there are 3 problems that pay policy
reform are seeking to mitigate:
 1. Agency productivity:
    •    Need to attract and retain high quality staff — competitive with the
         labor market for all the key positions.
 2. Individual effort:
    •    Pay should be perceived to be fair and transparent — compensation
         should be matched to the demands of the job and staff should be
         able to easily see this.
    •    Need to induce performance and accountability of staff to serve the
         public.
 3. Public sector wide :
    •    Need to do all of the above while ensuring that the overall wage bill
         is fiscally sustainable and does not crowd out other expenditures.
    Difficult to achieve all of these objectives as they may
    be mutually inconsistent                                                     4
2. Key theories and reform levers




                                    5
What motivates people?
• Theories of motivation
  • Expectancy theory
  • Reinforcement theory
  • Microeconomic principal-agent model of labor
    relations
  • Behavioral economics - distinction between
    intrinsic and extrinsic motivation (are public
    service workers ―knaves or knights‖?) – LeGrand
    vs Pink

                                                      6
What are the reform levers?
• External incentives
  • Longer term incentives: Promotion, steadily increasing pay
    over a long career, and recognition from peers.
  • Short term incentives: Performance-related pay, non-
    monetary recognition , and renewal of a fixed term contract.

• Opportunities to perform
  • The space for self-directed work, a key enhancement to
    intrinsic motivation, and adequate resources including, for
    managers, reasonable confidence that they can obtain
    results via the staff that they direct:

• Both external incentives and opportunities to perform are
  important, particularly for managers.                            7
Long and short term incentives seek to
address these differently
• Long term career incentives are largely about intrinsic motivation
  • The public sector attracts people who like stability/certainty/predictability
  • Respect and reputation are important parts of the long term reward structure;
  • As long as pay is adequate to recruit people who are attracted by public
    service then (merit-based promotion providing the prospect of higher pay later
    in the career is an important part of the reward structure;

• Short term performance incentives focus on extrinsic motivation:
  • Performance rewards are ways of addressing the problems of moral hazard
    and adverse selection
  • PRP however, can crowd out ―intrinsic incentives‖ (―if you’re going to treat me
    like a factory worker on piece rate, I’ll act like one‖);
  • The big return from performance-based rewards might be over time – as staff
    who work well under performance-based incentives are attracted into a public
    service that has it in place.
                                                                                      8
The pay structures in developing countries can
be seen as unstructured attempts to address at
least some of the external incentive problems
• ―Typical‖ country will have base pay plus a plethora of allowances
  and salary ―top-ups‖ for ―key‖ staff

• Why does this structure exist?
   • Allowances and top-ups are needed to attract and retain certain
     categories of staff

   • Decompression of pay is generally not politically possible and
     increases in pay for all staff will blow the budget

   • The pay system is non-transparent; but that is at some level the
     whole point because a transparent system would make it politically
     more difficult to have pay that varies by categories of staff
                                                                          9
Indonesia is typical in many ways
 Example: Monetary compensation in selected agencies
      (excluding honoraria and in-kind benefits)




                                                       10
WB standard advice of merging allowances into
basic pay has not worked

   • We usually see these allowances re-
     emerge over time
   • The main reason is that it does not solve
     the underlying problems, given the
     political constraints




                                                 11
3. Short term incentives




                           12
OECD countries have moved towards short term
incentives to try solve the 4 problems
• Realization that a uniform pay spine across the civil service was
  not meeting the objectives.
• Starting in late 1980s, several OECD countries moved to pay
  flexibility in the civil service:
   • Differentiation: The same job can pay differently across agencies
     and geographical locations
   • Individualization, or performance-related pay: Two individuals in
     the same agency in the same job get paid differently based on
     performance
   • Delegation: Decisions on pay are transferred from central civil
     service agency to line ministry/agency which presumably has better
     information about staff
• This mirrored developments in the private sector in the 60s and
  70s.                                                                    13
Performance-related pay is now on the agenda:
What is the international experience?
• Many OECD countries, and some MICs (e.g. Thailand, Brazil)
  have introduced PRP for core civil servants and service delivery
  staff.

• Opinion is highly divided on whether or not performance pay
  works.

• (Hasnain, Manning, and Pierskalla, 2012) recently completed a
  review of the literature on performance related pay:
   • 110 studies reviewed

   • Disaggregated findings by (a) quality of the empirical study; (b) the
     different types of public sector jobs; and (c) geographical context
     (OECD or developing country)
                                                                             14
The theory behind PRP
• Largely focuses on individual incentive effects: Addressing
  problems of moral hazard and adverse selection
   • Impact on staff effort

   • Impact on sorting: Higher quality staff who are likely to do better
     under PRP self-select into the agency

• Counter argument: when tasks are multi-dimensional
  incentivizing only some tasks that are observable and
  measurable will lead to a substitution of effort allocation from
  the unobservable to the observable tasks (―teaching to the
  test‖)

• Behavioral economics also warns that PRP may crowd out
  intrinsic motivation
                                                                           15
Findings disaggregated by job type using
James Q. Wilson’s typology

                                             Findings by job type
                        70
                                                                 60
                        60   Failed       Neutral   Positive
    Number of studies




                        50

                        40

                        30                 24
                                                            19
                        20                             15
                                                                          8
                        10                                                     5
                              1       3                               3
                        0
                               Prod. Job                Craft Job     Coping Job   16
Findings by job type and country context

        Relevant studies (craft or coping job) by country
        context
   50                    46
   45
                                      Failed   Neutral   Positive
   40
   35
   30
                  24
   25
                                                         19
   20      17
   15
   10
    5                                            3
                                         1
    0
                 OECD                    Developing Country
                                                                    17
Findings by job type and quality of study




                                            18
Findings by job type and quality of study

          Findings for high quality (4 and 5) relevent
                          studies only
   50                              Failed       Neutral       Positive
                           44
   45
   40
   35
   30
   25
   20
   15     12
                  10
   10
   5                                                            2
                                            0        0
   0
               Craft Job                         Coping Job
                                                                         19
To summarize
• Evidence suggests that explicit performance standards linked to
  some form of bonus pay can improve, at times
  dramatically, desired service outcomes.

• More rigorous studies are overwhelmingly for jobs where the
  outputs or outcomes are more readily observable, such as
  teaching, health care, and revenue collection.

• Insufficient evidence, positive or negative, of the effect of
  performance-related pay in organizational contexts that that are
  similar to that of the core civil service.

• Insufficient evidence in developing country contexts, particularly
  for high quality studies.

                                                                       20
However, plenty of caveats
• Design of the PRP is key — badly designed incentive
  schemes can result in ―gaming‖ the system.
• Lots of design elements to consider — what aspect of
  ―performance‖ is to be measured, how is it to be
  measured, what will be the size of the performance
  bonus, group vs. individual bonus.
• Few studies follow up PRP effects over a long period of
  time — positive findings may be due to Hawthorne
  Effects that dissipate over time.
• How does politics effect PRP? May be difficult to give
  performance bonus to only few staff                       21
Gaming




Frequency distribution of ambulance response times for life-
                                                               22
threatening emergency calls in UK
Source: (Bevan and Hamblin 2009)
3. Longer term career incentives




                                   23
Longer-term incentives are less
information intensive
• Evidence of effort and ability gradually
  emerge as staff undertake a variety of
  different roles
• Much performance information is
  tacit/reputational – more likely to be
  accurate (but harder to refute if inaccurate)



                                                  24
Longer-term incentives may be harder to
“game”
• The proposition is that it is hard to cheat about effort and ability
  over the long term

• Long term incentives may also be more in line with intrinsic
  motivation

• Types of long-term incentives:
   • Competitive promotions
   • Deferred compensation
   • Reputation
• Necessary conditions
   • There must be a real risk of not getting promoted based on
     performance
   • There must be room for career progression                           25
   • Pay must be sufficiently decompressed
5. Pay reform options




                        26
Why change?
What is the evidence that the system is broken?

1. Is there an agency productivity problem?
  •   Review the ability of the public sector to attract
      and retain necessary skills
2. Is there an individual effort problem:
  •   Assess the degree to which current
      management arrangements are minimizing
      absenteeism and are keeping staff ―engaged‖ in
      the agency’s mission.
3. Is there a public sector wide problem:                  27

  •   Is the wage bill fiscally sustainable?
Look for a right balance between long
term and short term incentives
                          Maximizing         Maximizing
                          extrinsic          intrinsic
                          motivation         motivation
External      Long term   Can provide        Can provide
incentives to             motivation         motivation
perform
                                            
             Short term   Can provide         Can demotivate
                          powerful motivation
                                             
                          
                                                               28
If a significant move towards PRP is
contemplated – pilot and leave an escape
hatch
 • Pilot in a craft job — teaching, revenue
   collection, health
 • Meticulous focus on the design
 • If possible, build in an impact evaluation




                                                29
Thank You

            30

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Pay Reform in Public Administration

  • 1. Pay Reform in Public Administration: Moving Beyond Standard Advice Zahid Hasnain, Senior Public Sector Specialist (EASPR) 1
  • 2. Outline of the Presentation 1. What is the ―functional problem‖? 2. Key theories and reform levers 3. Short term career incentives 4. Longer term career incentives 5. Pay reform options 2
  • 3. 1. What’s the problem? 3
  • 4. In general, there are 3 problems that pay policy reform are seeking to mitigate: 1. Agency productivity: • Need to attract and retain high quality staff — competitive with the labor market for all the key positions. 2. Individual effort: • Pay should be perceived to be fair and transparent — compensation should be matched to the demands of the job and staff should be able to easily see this. • Need to induce performance and accountability of staff to serve the public. 3. Public sector wide : • Need to do all of the above while ensuring that the overall wage bill is fiscally sustainable and does not crowd out other expenditures. Difficult to achieve all of these objectives as they may be mutually inconsistent 4
  • 5. 2. Key theories and reform levers 5
  • 6. What motivates people? • Theories of motivation • Expectancy theory • Reinforcement theory • Microeconomic principal-agent model of labor relations • Behavioral economics - distinction between intrinsic and extrinsic motivation (are public service workers ―knaves or knights‖?) – LeGrand vs Pink 6
  • 7. What are the reform levers? • External incentives • Longer term incentives: Promotion, steadily increasing pay over a long career, and recognition from peers. • Short term incentives: Performance-related pay, non- monetary recognition , and renewal of a fixed term contract. • Opportunities to perform • The space for self-directed work, a key enhancement to intrinsic motivation, and adequate resources including, for managers, reasonable confidence that they can obtain results via the staff that they direct: • Both external incentives and opportunities to perform are important, particularly for managers. 7
  • 8. Long and short term incentives seek to address these differently • Long term career incentives are largely about intrinsic motivation • The public sector attracts people who like stability/certainty/predictability • Respect and reputation are important parts of the long term reward structure; • As long as pay is adequate to recruit people who are attracted by public service then (merit-based promotion providing the prospect of higher pay later in the career is an important part of the reward structure; • Short term performance incentives focus on extrinsic motivation: • Performance rewards are ways of addressing the problems of moral hazard and adverse selection • PRP however, can crowd out ―intrinsic incentives‖ (―if you’re going to treat me like a factory worker on piece rate, I’ll act like one‖); • The big return from performance-based rewards might be over time – as staff who work well under performance-based incentives are attracted into a public service that has it in place. 8
  • 9. The pay structures in developing countries can be seen as unstructured attempts to address at least some of the external incentive problems • ―Typical‖ country will have base pay plus a plethora of allowances and salary ―top-ups‖ for ―key‖ staff • Why does this structure exist? • Allowances and top-ups are needed to attract and retain certain categories of staff • Decompression of pay is generally not politically possible and increases in pay for all staff will blow the budget • The pay system is non-transparent; but that is at some level the whole point because a transparent system would make it politically more difficult to have pay that varies by categories of staff 9
  • 10. Indonesia is typical in many ways Example: Monetary compensation in selected agencies (excluding honoraria and in-kind benefits) 10
  • 11. WB standard advice of merging allowances into basic pay has not worked • We usually see these allowances re- emerge over time • The main reason is that it does not solve the underlying problems, given the political constraints 11
  • 12. 3. Short term incentives 12
  • 13. OECD countries have moved towards short term incentives to try solve the 4 problems • Realization that a uniform pay spine across the civil service was not meeting the objectives. • Starting in late 1980s, several OECD countries moved to pay flexibility in the civil service: • Differentiation: The same job can pay differently across agencies and geographical locations • Individualization, or performance-related pay: Two individuals in the same agency in the same job get paid differently based on performance • Delegation: Decisions on pay are transferred from central civil service agency to line ministry/agency which presumably has better information about staff • This mirrored developments in the private sector in the 60s and 70s. 13
  • 14. Performance-related pay is now on the agenda: What is the international experience? • Many OECD countries, and some MICs (e.g. Thailand, Brazil) have introduced PRP for core civil servants and service delivery staff. • Opinion is highly divided on whether or not performance pay works. • (Hasnain, Manning, and Pierskalla, 2012) recently completed a review of the literature on performance related pay: • 110 studies reviewed • Disaggregated findings by (a) quality of the empirical study; (b) the different types of public sector jobs; and (c) geographical context (OECD or developing country) 14
  • 15. The theory behind PRP • Largely focuses on individual incentive effects: Addressing problems of moral hazard and adverse selection • Impact on staff effort • Impact on sorting: Higher quality staff who are likely to do better under PRP self-select into the agency • Counter argument: when tasks are multi-dimensional incentivizing only some tasks that are observable and measurable will lead to a substitution of effort allocation from the unobservable to the observable tasks (―teaching to the test‖) • Behavioral economics also warns that PRP may crowd out intrinsic motivation 15
  • 16. Findings disaggregated by job type using James Q. Wilson’s typology Findings by job type 70 60 60 Failed Neutral Positive Number of studies 50 40 30 24 19 20 15 8 10 5 1 3 3 0 Prod. Job Craft Job Coping Job 16
  • 17. Findings by job type and country context Relevant studies (craft or coping job) by country context 50 46 45 Failed Neutral Positive 40 35 30 24 25 19 20 17 15 10 5 3 1 0 OECD Developing Country 17
  • 18. Findings by job type and quality of study 18
  • 19. Findings by job type and quality of study Findings for high quality (4 and 5) relevent studies only 50 Failed Neutral Positive 44 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 12 10 10 5 2 0 0 0 Craft Job Coping Job 19
  • 20. To summarize • Evidence suggests that explicit performance standards linked to some form of bonus pay can improve, at times dramatically, desired service outcomes. • More rigorous studies are overwhelmingly for jobs where the outputs or outcomes are more readily observable, such as teaching, health care, and revenue collection. • Insufficient evidence, positive or negative, of the effect of performance-related pay in organizational contexts that that are similar to that of the core civil service. • Insufficient evidence in developing country contexts, particularly for high quality studies. 20
  • 21. However, plenty of caveats • Design of the PRP is key — badly designed incentive schemes can result in ―gaming‖ the system. • Lots of design elements to consider — what aspect of ―performance‖ is to be measured, how is it to be measured, what will be the size of the performance bonus, group vs. individual bonus. • Few studies follow up PRP effects over a long period of time — positive findings may be due to Hawthorne Effects that dissipate over time. • How does politics effect PRP? May be difficult to give performance bonus to only few staff 21
  • 22. Gaming Frequency distribution of ambulance response times for life- 22 threatening emergency calls in UK Source: (Bevan and Hamblin 2009)
  • 23. 3. Longer term career incentives 23
  • 24. Longer-term incentives are less information intensive • Evidence of effort and ability gradually emerge as staff undertake a variety of different roles • Much performance information is tacit/reputational – more likely to be accurate (but harder to refute if inaccurate) 24
  • 25. Longer-term incentives may be harder to “game” • The proposition is that it is hard to cheat about effort and ability over the long term • Long term incentives may also be more in line with intrinsic motivation • Types of long-term incentives: • Competitive promotions • Deferred compensation • Reputation • Necessary conditions • There must be a real risk of not getting promoted based on performance • There must be room for career progression 25 • Pay must be sufficiently decompressed
  • 26. 5. Pay reform options 26
  • 27. Why change? What is the evidence that the system is broken? 1. Is there an agency productivity problem? • Review the ability of the public sector to attract and retain necessary skills 2. Is there an individual effort problem: • Assess the degree to which current management arrangements are minimizing absenteeism and are keeping staff ―engaged‖ in the agency’s mission. 3. Is there a public sector wide problem: 27 • Is the wage bill fiscally sustainable?
  • 28. Look for a right balance between long term and short term incentives Maximizing Maximizing extrinsic intrinsic motivation motivation External Long term Can provide Can provide incentives to motivation motivation perform   Short term Can provide Can demotivate powerful motivation   28
  • 29. If a significant move towards PRP is contemplated – pilot and leave an escape hatch • Pilot in a craft job — teaching, revenue collection, health • Meticulous focus on the design • If possible, build in an impact evaluation 29
  • 30. Thank You 30