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Housing Delivery Test
Action Plan Support
Shelly Rouse, PAS
Richard Crawley, PAS
March 2020 www.local.gov.uk/pas
Introductions
• You will be a “mixed ability” group
– Some expert monitoring people
– Others … ?
• Informal, friendly
• Frank
• Learning environment – no stupid questions
• Who are you?
Why are we here?...
1. What we learned from the first cohort
2. Forecasting and scenarios
3. What a good Action Plan is
4. Lessons learnt (save time and hassle!)
5. Dealing with “presumption”
6. Talking to developers
7. ? Anything else ?
Hot off the press!
Remember our Councillors guide
• Find the whole thing online
• https://local.gov.uk/pas/pas-
topics/monitoring-and-delivery
• Steal it all
• Suggest improvements
Advice for your younger self
● Good bits of your action plan ?
● Pointless bits of your action plan?
● Make a new friend
Make a friend
Think about
• Good / bad bits of your action plan
• Missed opportunity?
• Waste of time ?
• Key messages
• Key audiences
• Summarise the story of your new friend
Group Therapy
Break ?
How to forecast HDT results
Three step proposal:
1. Forecast your rates of delivery
2. Understand your local plan position
3. Guess what is going to happen to LHN
Plug the numbers into the LGA’s model, and let it take the
strain
How to forecast HDT results
1. Forecast your rates of delivery
You may need to break down types of supply ?
Use these figures in columns O, P and Q
[hint: use the name box]
How to forecast HDT results
2. Understand your local plan position
Turns 5 ?
New plan ?
Plan “review” ?
[for London boroughs] new London Plan ?
Use these figures in column D
How to forecast HDT results
3. Guess what is happening to LHN
The 2018 set of ONS household projections is out in
September [we are still using the 2014 set. the 2016 ones
were mostly lower. Smart people think the 2018 ones are
going to be lower again]
There is a review of LHN coming (probably in September)
What do we think Govt will do ?
Use these figures in column I
How to forecast HDT results
How was that ?
PAS support
• We are in year two
• https://local.gov.uk/pas/pas-topics/monitoring/housing-
delivery-test-action-plans
What we have for you
1. A guide (it’s quite good !)
2. Two templates
3. Some things we learned – the next guide will be better
• Take it all away – save yourself some angst
A guide
A guide
• Broadly speaking – it’s all good straightforward stuff
• We’re going to update it
– More numbers, scenarios
• Projections (eg “do nothing”)
– Be clearer about purpose
• Preferably before you start
– More focus on creating a material planning consideration ?
• Discuss…
Template 1 - actions
Template 2 – land supply
• Identify typologies
• Quantify options
• To be updated as part of APS
work
What we learned + TOP TIPS
• AP must reinforce your strategy not undermine it. Think about
how it might be used against you.
• Think about how you will revisit your actions and demonstrate
progress
– it doesn't need to be a complete record !
• Identify key decisions and caveat them if you don't have council
sign-off
• Ensure that actions really are connected to delivery
– and your existing strategy
Sketch out the strategy, demonstrate the
link to actions
Lunch
Action Plans - What does ‘good’ look like?
• Content and Coverage
• The right audience
• HDT result looks back - Action plan looks forward
• Lessons learnt
Content and Coverage - Keep It Simple
• Try and make it straightforward and framed in terms that
allow [normal] people to understand what you're trying to
do and why it matters to them
• Would the CEx or resident recognise the narrative ?
• Is it a neat parcel that links back to what matters ?
– think of a busy reader
Numbers and the direction of travel
• Projections
• Scenarios
• Predictions
• HINT: many peoples results will get worse because of the
way LHN is phased in - the perception that your actions
are making things worse is not good
The right audience
Who are you expecting to read this thing?
• Hint: it's not going to be government / an inspector
– unless it is ! in a topic paper supporting your plan !
• Your developer community ? Your leader ?
• Why do they care ?
– No one wants to read your “things to do list”
• Think “inside” / “outside” [the council]
• Think “big up Bolton” = promotion and intent
• Think “paint a picture” to support your team
Looking in both directions
HDT HDT HDT Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5
Now
Looking backward 3yrs Looking forward 5yrs
Actions - Bang for your buck
• You are the author and most likely reader
• What can only you do ? What can others do?
• Where are the biggest and quickest wins ?
• Look forward to the 5YHLS for solutions
• Weaponise your Action Plan - make it a tool to
work for you
The Actions
• Actions like being in a table
– what is the best table ?
• Framed in ways your audience connects with
– outcomes on their terms
• Not enormous leaps but steps along the way
• Realistic timescales
• With previous completed steps still visible
Shelly’s Take on ‘Good’ Action Plans
● Concise
● Respond to the ‘Wake Up Call’ the HDT is
● Have immediate actions as well as
short/medium/long term
● Look beyond planning
● Are written for yourselves as a tool to use
Good Action Plans
• Addressing both general and site-specific issues/barriers
and providing solutions tailored to those
• Critical evaluation of current council led processes
• Acknowledgement of issues that are outside of council’s
control but still attempting to influence
• Providing estimated timelines for further steps
• Communication with neighbouring local authorities with
better HDT results for advice
• Feedback gathering from the communities and
developers
Good Actions
• improve/adopt local plan
• improve monitoring process
• address delays in commencement after planning permission
• prompt engagement with early stalling site
• improve planning application process (provide pre-planning
application advice; check list and ‘model’ information)
• attempt to retain skill and labour force
• pursue funding (such as HIF)
• identification of land (launch Call for Sites, update Brownfield
site register)
• Influence the wider housing market
A few good reads
Sevenoaks, Great Yarmouth, South Holland, Basingstoke
and Deane, Bracknell Forest, Havering, Huntingdonshire,
Mid Suffolk, Pendle, Sefton, Thanet
Or does it really matter?
There are some options available
1. Do the minimum to update the Action Plan
a. Short term blip
b. Plan imminent
2. Make it a useable tool - mat con
a. This is an ongoing trend
b. Presumption already applied?
3. Maximum effort - move, move, move
a. Dynamic tool and real culture change
Don’t make it pointless
“Presumption”
In this section
1. How is it different to 5YHLS presumption?
2. Planning research
3. https://www.bailii.org/ew/cases/EWHC/Admin/20
20/518.html
How is it different to 5YHLS presumption?
• Honest answer?
• We don’t know yet
– Need to see how PINS behave
– And how appellants behave
– And how planning committee behaves
How is it different to 5YHLS presumption?
• Looks backward not forward
– Could it be the numbers (yrs1-3)
– What's happened - is it a specific thing
– Is the future bright?
• Unlike 5YHLS it's a simple sum and may not
involve dissecting sites
• Fixed for a year – different risk profile ?
https://www.planningresource.co.uk/article/1674517/seven-
key-factors-differentiate-successful-unplanned-housing-
appeals-unsuccessful-ones
Focus was land supply, but principles apply
Planning research found …
1. You are not necessarily doomed
2. Harm matters more than benefit
3. Impact (on landscape) is critical
4. Green belt proposals must demonstrate no harm to
openness or purpose of GB
5. Proposals that reduce gaps must leave enough gap
6. Transport impact and Highway objections matter
7. If heritage harm, benefit to public crucial
Mr Justice Holgate has today handed down judgment
in Gladman Developments Ltd v SSHCLG & Corby BC &
Uttlesford DC [2020] EWHC 518 (Admin), a rolled-up
hearing in two linked challenges under s288 of the Town
and Country Planning Act 1990. The Judge refused
permission, concluding that all four issues were
unarguable.
• Does this judgement provide a useful framework for
describing one useful version of a HDTAP ?
• ie to describe how you will approach a doubly balanced
decision ?
Why are we here?... Did we succeed?
1. What we learned from the first cohort
2. Forecasting and scenarios
3. What a good Action Plan is
4. Lessons learnt (save time and hassle!)
5. Dealing with “presumption”
6. Talking to developers
7. ? Anything else ?
pas@local.gov.uk
@Pas_Team
web www.local.gov.uk/pas
phone 020 7664 3000

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Housing Delivery Test Action Plan Support

  • 1. Housing Delivery Test Action Plan Support Shelly Rouse, PAS Richard Crawley, PAS March 2020 www.local.gov.uk/pas
  • 2. Introductions • You will be a “mixed ability” group – Some expert monitoring people – Others … ? • Informal, friendly • Frank • Learning environment – no stupid questions • Who are you?
  • 3. Why are we here?... 1. What we learned from the first cohort 2. Forecasting and scenarios 3. What a good Action Plan is 4. Lessons learnt (save time and hassle!) 5. Dealing with “presumption” 6. Talking to developers 7. ? Anything else ?
  • 4. Hot off the press!
  • 5. Remember our Councillors guide • Find the whole thing online • https://local.gov.uk/pas/pas- topics/monitoring-and-delivery • Steal it all • Suggest improvements
  • 6. Advice for your younger self ● Good bits of your action plan ? ● Pointless bits of your action plan? ● Make a new friend
  • 7. Make a friend Think about • Good / bad bits of your action plan • Missed opportunity? • Waste of time ? • Key messages • Key audiences • Summarise the story of your new friend
  • 10. How to forecast HDT results Three step proposal: 1. Forecast your rates of delivery 2. Understand your local plan position 3. Guess what is going to happen to LHN Plug the numbers into the LGA’s model, and let it take the strain
  • 11. How to forecast HDT results 1. Forecast your rates of delivery You may need to break down types of supply ? Use these figures in columns O, P and Q [hint: use the name box]
  • 12. How to forecast HDT results 2. Understand your local plan position Turns 5 ? New plan ? Plan “review” ? [for London boroughs] new London Plan ? Use these figures in column D
  • 13. How to forecast HDT results 3. Guess what is happening to LHN The 2018 set of ONS household projections is out in September [we are still using the 2014 set. the 2016 ones were mostly lower. Smart people think the 2018 ones are going to be lower again] There is a review of LHN coming (probably in September) What do we think Govt will do ? Use these figures in column I
  • 14. How to forecast HDT results How was that ?
  • 15. PAS support • We are in year two • https://local.gov.uk/pas/pas-topics/monitoring/housing- delivery-test-action-plans
  • 16. What we have for you 1. A guide (it’s quite good !) 2. Two templates 3. Some things we learned – the next guide will be better • Take it all away – save yourself some angst
  • 18. A guide • Broadly speaking – it’s all good straightforward stuff • We’re going to update it – More numbers, scenarios • Projections (eg “do nothing”) – Be clearer about purpose • Preferably before you start – More focus on creating a material planning consideration ? • Discuss…
  • 19. Template 1 - actions
  • 20. Template 2 – land supply • Identify typologies • Quantify options • To be updated as part of APS work
  • 21. What we learned + TOP TIPS • AP must reinforce your strategy not undermine it. Think about how it might be used against you. • Think about how you will revisit your actions and demonstrate progress – it doesn't need to be a complete record ! • Identify key decisions and caveat them if you don't have council sign-off • Ensure that actions really are connected to delivery – and your existing strategy
  • 22. Sketch out the strategy, demonstrate the link to actions
  • 23. Lunch
  • 24. Action Plans - What does ‘good’ look like? • Content and Coverage • The right audience • HDT result looks back - Action plan looks forward • Lessons learnt
  • 25. Content and Coverage - Keep It Simple • Try and make it straightforward and framed in terms that allow [normal] people to understand what you're trying to do and why it matters to them • Would the CEx or resident recognise the narrative ? • Is it a neat parcel that links back to what matters ? – think of a busy reader
  • 26. Numbers and the direction of travel • Projections • Scenarios • Predictions • HINT: many peoples results will get worse because of the way LHN is phased in - the perception that your actions are making things worse is not good
  • 27. The right audience Who are you expecting to read this thing? • Hint: it's not going to be government / an inspector – unless it is ! in a topic paper supporting your plan ! • Your developer community ? Your leader ? • Why do they care ? – No one wants to read your “things to do list” • Think “inside” / “outside” [the council] • Think “big up Bolton” = promotion and intent • Think “paint a picture” to support your team
  • 28. Looking in both directions HDT HDT HDT Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Now Looking backward 3yrs Looking forward 5yrs
  • 29. Actions - Bang for your buck • You are the author and most likely reader • What can only you do ? What can others do? • Where are the biggest and quickest wins ? • Look forward to the 5YHLS for solutions • Weaponise your Action Plan - make it a tool to work for you
  • 30. The Actions • Actions like being in a table – what is the best table ? • Framed in ways your audience connects with – outcomes on their terms • Not enormous leaps but steps along the way • Realistic timescales • With previous completed steps still visible
  • 31. Shelly’s Take on ‘Good’ Action Plans ● Concise ● Respond to the ‘Wake Up Call’ the HDT is ● Have immediate actions as well as short/medium/long term ● Look beyond planning ● Are written for yourselves as a tool to use
  • 32. Good Action Plans • Addressing both general and site-specific issues/barriers and providing solutions tailored to those • Critical evaluation of current council led processes • Acknowledgement of issues that are outside of council’s control but still attempting to influence • Providing estimated timelines for further steps • Communication with neighbouring local authorities with better HDT results for advice • Feedback gathering from the communities and developers
  • 33. Good Actions • improve/adopt local plan • improve monitoring process • address delays in commencement after planning permission • prompt engagement with early stalling site • improve planning application process (provide pre-planning application advice; check list and ‘model’ information) • attempt to retain skill and labour force • pursue funding (such as HIF) • identification of land (launch Call for Sites, update Brownfield site register) • Influence the wider housing market
  • 34. A few good reads Sevenoaks, Great Yarmouth, South Holland, Basingstoke and Deane, Bracknell Forest, Havering, Huntingdonshire, Mid Suffolk, Pendle, Sefton, Thanet
  • 35. Or does it really matter? There are some options available 1. Do the minimum to update the Action Plan a. Short term blip b. Plan imminent 2. Make it a useable tool - mat con a. This is an ongoing trend b. Presumption already applied? 3. Maximum effort - move, move, move a. Dynamic tool and real culture change Don’t make it pointless
  • 36. “Presumption” In this section 1. How is it different to 5YHLS presumption? 2. Planning research 3. https://www.bailii.org/ew/cases/EWHC/Admin/20 20/518.html
  • 37. How is it different to 5YHLS presumption? • Honest answer? • We don’t know yet – Need to see how PINS behave – And how appellants behave – And how planning committee behaves
  • 38. How is it different to 5YHLS presumption? • Looks backward not forward – Could it be the numbers (yrs1-3) – What's happened - is it a specific thing – Is the future bright? • Unlike 5YHLS it's a simple sum and may not involve dissecting sites • Fixed for a year – different risk profile ?
  • 40. Planning research found … 1. You are not necessarily doomed 2. Harm matters more than benefit 3. Impact (on landscape) is critical 4. Green belt proposals must demonstrate no harm to openness or purpose of GB 5. Proposals that reduce gaps must leave enough gap 6. Transport impact and Highway objections matter 7. If heritage harm, benefit to public crucial
  • 41. Mr Justice Holgate has today handed down judgment in Gladman Developments Ltd v SSHCLG & Corby BC & Uttlesford DC [2020] EWHC 518 (Admin), a rolled-up hearing in two linked challenges under s288 of the Town and Country Planning Act 1990. The Judge refused permission, concluding that all four issues were unarguable.
  • 42.
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46. • Does this judgement provide a useful framework for describing one useful version of a HDTAP ? • ie to describe how you will approach a doubly balanced decision ?
  • 47. Why are we here?... Did we succeed? 1. What we learned from the first cohort 2. Forecasting and scenarios 3. What a good Action Plan is 4. Lessons learnt (save time and hassle!) 5. Dealing with “presumption” 6. Talking to developers 7. ? Anything else ?