This presentation will cover the Composite Market growth trends and Owens Corning glass fiber product developments for end-user productivity and product performance improvements. The presentation includes Owens Corning product developments around sizing chemistry, product property and glass chemistry innovations that deliver a range of product solutions in key glass fiber market segments including wind energy, automotive, construction and industrial applications.
2. Outline
75 Years of Glass Fiber Industry
Glass Fiber Growth and Markets
Innovative Product Developments
Composites Moving Forward
3. Glass fiber composites over time:
Accelerating growth through new applications
Source: Citi, IHS Global Insights, JEC Composites, WorldBank report, OC Assumptions.
Index
Automotive
201020001990198019701960
Marine
Ladder
Pipe (Multi-Appl.)
Tanks - Chemical
Shingles
Sporting Goods
Tanks - Petroleum Military/Armor
Desulpherization
Other
Wind Energy - Blades
Glass Fiber Composites
A positive story of accelerating growth, providing key benefits
Glass Fiber Composites replacing traditional materials
(Aluminum, Steel, Wood)
Composites key values of light weight, high strength and
corrosion resistance fit with the key challenges facing the world:
clean energy, & water, infrastructure, urbanization , light
weighting
4. 0
0.8
1.2
1.6
3.7
Wood Steel Aluminum Glass Fiber Carbon Fiber
Materials Growth as a Multiple of Change in Industrial Production
Global Market
Size (Indexed to
Glass Fiber)
Growth multiples over 1981-2011, except carbon fiber which is 1990-2011. Global market sizes estimated in revenue USD as of
2011
Source: IHS Global Insight, Owens Corning management estimates, World Steel Association, Food and Agriculture Association of
the United Nations, U.S. Geological Service
Glass Fiber Growth
Compared to traditional materials
Glass Fiber Growing as a Substitute for Traditional Materials
26 111 14 1 0.1
5. *75% confidence interval; “excellent correlation” defined as >95% R2
Source: IHS Global Insight, Fiber Economic Bureau, Glass Fiber Europe, Global Trade Information
Services, Inc. and Owens Corning management estimates
1101009080706050
4000
3000
2000
1500
1000
Industrial Production
Indexed:2005=100
Log Basis
GlassFiberMarket(Ktons)
LogBasis
Global Glass Fiber Demand
vs. Industrial Production
1981-2011
4000
3000
2000
1500
1000
Industrial Production
Indexed: 2005=100
Log Basis
50 60 70 80 11010090
GlassFiberMarket(Ktons)
LogBasis
Global Glass Fiber Demand Grows at 1.6 Multiple of
Industrial Production Growth
Excellent 30-year correlation
Glass fiber / industrial production
growth multiple:
30-year average: 1.6
Any 10-year period: 1.3-1.7*
Any 5-year period: 1.0-2.0*
Glass Fiber Growth
Driven by Global Industrial Production
6. 1
10
1981 1991 2001 2011
GlassFiberDemand
(MMTons)-logbasisGlass Fiber Market Outlook
6
Glass Fiber Market Demand
30 Years Averaging 5% CAGR
2013-2016 Growth Forecast
2017
Glass Fiber Market Expected to Continue
to Grow at Historical Rates
About 60% of Growth
Expected to Come from China
Glass fiber market demand excludes E-glass yarns
Sources: Fiber economic bureau, Glass Fiber Europe, Global Trade information Services, inc. and Owens Corning management estimates as of Apr 2013
-
250
500
750
China Americas EMEA Rest of Asia India
DemandGrowth(ktons)Megatrends
Forecasted Glass Fiber
Growth 2013, 2014 *3
Industrial Production
Growth*1:
Population
Urbanization
Sustainability
4.8% CAGR
+400-500kt
2013 – 1.9%
2014 - 4.1%
X
Material
Substitution *2: 1.6
7. Industrial Production by region *1
( yoy growth%)
Resilience in
2012
2011 2012 2013F 2014F
World
3.1 1.6 1.9 4.1
N America
3.4 3.4 2.4 3.4
Euro zone
2.3 (2.7) (0.7) 1.8
China
10.3 8.1 7.5 7.0
Japan
(2.3) (1.0) (0.0) 5.6
Latin Am
3.2 (0.0) 2.0 3.6
India
4.8 0.7 3.3 6.5
US Industrial Production quarterly (Growth, %) *1
• 2014 forecast with increasing strength and
North America and Europe offsetting
slowing developing economies
• The acceleration forecast through
2013 was slower and less pronounced
• 2014 IP is forecast to return to
historical levels
Economic Forecasts
1
2
3
4
5
2,8
3,6
Q1
2013
2,5
Q1
2012
4,8
Q3
2013
2,5
3,4
2,0
4,5
Q3
2012
4,0
4,6
eQ3
2014
4,0 3,9
eQ1
2014
Source: Oxford Economics. February 2014
8. Construction
34%
Transportation
27%
Industrial
15%
Consumer
16%
Wind
8%
Glass reinforcements market defined as glass fiber reinforcements and direct conversion products as consumed, excluding yarns
Source: Owens Corning management estimates
• Residential
• Commercial
• Water transportation
& storage
• Cars
• Trucks, buses, trains
• Marine
• Factories
• Mining
• Offshore platforms
• Appliances
• Electronics
• Recreation
The benefits of composites continue to drive penetration and growth
Miniaturization
Maintenance free living
Corrosion resistance
Productivity
Skilled labor shortage
Aging Infrastructure
Light weighting
Productivity
Glass Fiber
A $7 Billion Global Market
9. Light Vehicle Production, MM Units*4
Key Trend; EURO 5,6, & NA CAFÉ
regulations require lower vehicle weight to
meet CO2 / mpg targets
Governments are implementing regulations which
are driving applications for composites.
Composites penetration is forecast to hit 25kg per
vehicle in 2020
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
2005 2010 2015 2020
CAFÉFuelEconomyRequirements
(mpgbasis)
A 1mpg miss can result in up to $55/vehicle penalty *1
1) http://www.cato.org/pubs/regulation/regv25n3/v25n3-8.pdf 3) Plasmart, MarketsandMarkets Report, Transparency Market Research
2) http://www.un.org/esa/dsd/resources/res_pdfs/csd-19/Background-paper3-transport.pdf 4) IIHS Global Insights and CSM Auto Forecast December2013
Comparison of Fuel Economy Standards *2
9
Transportation Market
Driven by Vehicle Light Weighting
Automotive Impact:
• On average glass fiber consumption per car is
8kg globally *1
• 500K units creates 4,000tn of demand
• Unit usage forecasted to double to 16kg/unit by
2020 *1
28 28 28
19 21 23
19 19 20
15 16 17
17
29
25
20
0
20
40
60
80
100
2012 2013
84 87
e2015
RoW
92
e2014
Europe
China
North America
82
10. Sizing Technology Developments:
Transportation Market
OC™ Product innovations: Direct Roving for Long Fiber Thermoplastics
Poor adhesion between fiber/resin
No Resin Bonding
Good adhesion between fiber/resin
Excellent Resin Bonding
Sizing chemistry to improve the glass / polymer interface
11. Focused developments on FRP bonding performance
PERFORMAX® SE4502 Roving
for LFTP PA
Improved glass adhesion to PA enables:
• 30% improvement in impact
• 15% improvement in tensile/flex
PERFORMAX ® SE4849 Roving
for LFTP PP
Excellent glass processing/wet-out enables:
• 20% higher line speeds
• Increased glass loading for new
applications
Transportation Market
OC™ Product innovations: Direct Roving for Long Fiber Thermoplastics
12. Key Trend: Shortage of skilled labor, stricter
codes & green building trends drive the
adoption of composites in construction
sector. *1
Aging Infrastructure
Productivity Improvement Materials Conservation
Weather & Disaster
Source: 1)FMI Forecast 2013, McGraw Hill World Green Building Trend, Innovation in Construction Summit2) US Census Bureau and Freddie Mac January 2014 4) CompositesWorld
Construction Market
Driven by Durability, Toughness, Strength
Housing Starts:
1 house = 100kgs of glass on average *4 (roofing
shingles, tub/shower, window lineals ,
doors etc.)
1,0
0,6
0,8
0,4
1,4
1,2
CAGR+21%
e2015e2014
1,10
1,35
MM Units
2012
0,92
2013
0,78
Housing Starts*2
13. Construction Market
OC™ Product Innovations: Multi-end Roving for Spray-up
Physical Property Developments
• Glass fiber micronage, bundle tex, bundle integrity and stiffness
• Sizing chemistry for end product smoothness, resin impregnation
and color
• Doff dimensions, weight and package run-out
Property optimization for application performance
14. Construction Market
OC™ Product Innovations: Multi-end Roving for Spray-up
Focused developments on downstream
fabrication process performance
OptiSpray ® F Multi-end Roving
for Spray-up
• High runnability, low gun stoppage
• High dispersion, easy too roll
• Good laydown, low air entrapment
• Fast wet-out, excellent conformability
• Higher glass/resin ratio
15. Key trend Glass fiber composites are now
lower first cost than stainless steel
Increasing demand and extraction costs for Nickel
and Chrome have increased stainless steel costs.
This trend is forecast to continue. For many
applications composites are now a lower first cost.
Composites, with 1.2MM tons used annually (800kt
of glass fiber) in the corrosion market, still only
compose 0.2% of total corrosion materials market.
1) IHS Global Insight December 2013
2) IBIS and Associates, July 2012. Simple single wall cylindrical tank, no manway, vents, flanged ports etc.
$0
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000
costpertank
TankSize - Gallons
Tank Cost Comparison
Composites vs Stainless Steel *2
Industrial Market
Driven by Durability, Long Life, Corrosion Resistance
Industrial:
Each mile of 4 inch diameter pipe
contains approx. 4 tons of glass fiber
Adding a Flue Gas Desulphurization (FGD)
system to a 9GW coal fired power plant uses
approx. 8-9,000 tons of glass fiber
40 38 41
28 28 28
11 16 18
37
29
19
Refineries
201420132012
Chemicals
Utilities
80 82
87
2015
86
North America Industrial Spending, Real $Bln*1
16. Glass Chemistry Developments
Advantex® boron-free,
anti-corrosive E-CR glass
• Improved Mechanical Properties
• Improved Corrosion Resistance
Advance sizing chemistry
• Increased epoxy resin bonding
• Protection for glass fibers
E- Glass Advantex® Glass
Conventional E-glass breaks down when FRP laminate
is exposed to 10% sulfuric acid at ambient conditions
Industrial Market
OC™ Product Innovations: Direct Roving for Filament Winding
17. Advantex® SE 2307 Type 30 Roving for High Pressure Epoxy Pipe
76647
50098.3
55054.3
Aromatic Amine (MDA)
Curing System
Commercial
Industrial Market
OC™ Product Innovations: Direct Roving for Filament Winding
Pipe Burst Strength
Advance sizing provides step-out improvements in high
pressure epoxy pipe burst strength
18. Key Trend: Wind power forecast to be 12% of
global electricity production by 2050 *1 at which
time over 2,000 GW of installed wind capacity will
annually avoid the emission of up to 2.8 gigatons
of CO2.*1
•US Wind Market Positioned for strong near terms growth*2
•Efforts to secure PTC eligibility in 2013 resulted in 13GW under
construction and 11.5GW in order intake from Jan 13 to Feb 14
•A potential tax extenders package that include a PTC extension
would create upside to the n16GW forecast from 2014 to 2016.
18
CO2 emissions reductions by 2050
(share of power sector emissions reductions,
IEA Blue map scenario) *1
Source: 1) International Energy Agency (IEA) Technology Map till 2050. March 2012 2) MAKE Consultant Q4 2013 Report and Flash Note Feb. 2014. AWEA FY2013 report
Wind Energy Market
Driven by clean renewable resources
Wind Energy:
Each MW of wind energy consumes
approximately 7.5 tons of glass fiber*2
This translates to ~13Ktn in 2013 and ~30Ktns in
2014
e20152012 2013 e2014
13,8
3,3
8,2 8,2
North America Wind Turbine GW Installed*2
19. Industrial Market
OC™ Product Innovations: Glass fiber fabrics for Wind Energy
Downstream glass fiber engineered fabrics
LONGER BLADES ON-SHORE /
OFF-SHORE / IN LOW WIND AREAS
INDUSTRY
TRENDS
LONGER BLADES ON-SHORE
Ultrablade® Fabrics
20. Production of energy with no
emission of CO2 (wind, tidal,
solar, geothermal)
Providing the basic infrastructure
to deliver clean water to excess of
5 billion people
Providing housing and infrastructure
to a growing population in
developing and third world countries
Reducing the weight of modes of
transportation to responding to
increasing cost of energy
Clean Energy
Water
Infrastructure
Urban
Infrastructure
Industrial
Light Weighting
Composites Moving Forward