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2008 North Bridge Future of Open Source Study

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2008 North Bridge Future of Open Source Study

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2008 Future of Open Source study; presented at InfoWorld Open Source Business Conference Keynote Panel: Roger Burkhardt, President & CEO, Ingres; Marten Mickos, SVP, Sun Microsystems; John Roberts, Chairman, CEO, SugarCRM; Mark Shuttleworth, Founder, Ubuntu Jeff Whatcott, VP Marketing, Acquia, Inc. The panel was chaired by North Bridge.

2008 Future of Open Source study; presented at InfoWorld Open Source Business Conference Keynote Panel: Roger Burkhardt, President & CEO, Ingres; Marten Mickos, SVP, Sun Microsystems; John Roberts, Chairman, CEO, SugarCRM; Mark Shuttleworth, Founder, Ubuntu Jeff Whatcott, VP Marketing, Acquia, Inc. The panel was chaired by North Bridge.

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2008 North Bridge Future of Open Source Study

  1. 1. Putting Open Source to Work The Future of Open Source: Exploring the Investments, Innovations, Applications, Opportunities and Threats North Bridge Venture Partners March 2008 Putting Open Source to Work
  2. 2. Putting Open Source to Work Our Panel • Roger Burkhardt, President & CEO, Ingres • Marten Mickos, SVP, Sun Microsystems • John Roberts, Chairman, CEO, SugarCRM • Mark Shuttleworth, Founder, Ubuntu • Jeff Whatcott, VP Marketing, Acquia, Inc. • Michael Skok, GP, North Bridge Venture Partners
  3. 3. Putting Open Source to Work Annual Survey Results 2008 Respondents include OSBC attendees and customers from all of the panelist’s companies
  4. 4. Putting Open Source to Work Is the economy’s turbulence good or bad for open source software? 81% 19% Good Bad
  5. 5. Putting Open Source to Work What are the top 3 factors that make open source software attractive? 12 16 28 68 76 92 97 108 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Other Superior Security Community-provided support Freedom of DIY Rapid pace of releases Freedom from vendor-lockin Flex/access to libraries of comn code Lower acquisition/maint costs # of votes
  6. 6. Putting Open Source to Work Is open source a … 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Business Model Marketing Model Dev Model None of these All of these
  7. 7. Putting Open Source to Work In 5 years, what % of purchased software will be open source ? 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 75 - 100% 50 - 75% 25 - 50% 0 - 25%
  8. 8. Putting Open Source to Work When will there be another open source company with the stature of Red Hat? 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Never 10 years 5 years 2 years
  9. 9. Putting Open Source to Work Who will command the majority of commercial OS software revenue (non- consulting) in 2012? 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Platform vendors (Oracle, Sun, IBM, SAP, etc) Pure play vendors like Red Hat Consortia working together on interoperability Independent vendors who do their own thing Conglomerates like Google, MS, Yahoo
  10. 10. Putting Open Source to Work Which of the following will have GREATEST impact on software delivery and/or business models for OS apps and middleware vendors? 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% SaaS Software Appliances Virtualized Infrastructure Cloud Computing Other
  11. 11. Putting Open Source to Work Can a startup software vendor realistically enter the (enterprise) market with a product/ service that is NOT open source? 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Yes No
  12. 12. Putting Open Source to Work Which sector of the software industry is MOST vulnerable to disruption by open source in the next 5 years? • Top 3 answers: – Web Publishing/Content Mgmt – Social Software – Business Intelligence • Bottom 3 answers: – Configuration Mgmt – Enterprise Portals – Security Tools
  13. 13. Putting Open Source to Work Which sectors of the software industry will NEVER be vulnerable to disruption? • Top 3 answers: – Security Tools (consistent) – Business Intelligence (not so consistent?) – Enterprise Service Bus – Many write-ins for “NONE!”
  14. 14. Putting Open Source to Work In 5 years, what will be typical % software, % services revenue at an open source company?
  15. 15. Putting Open Source to Work In 5 years, what % of open source software licenses sold will be subscription vs. perpetual?
  16. 16. Putting Open Source to Work Putting Open Source to Work

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