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Under Pressure: Paper Costs and Industry Escalations
Objectives ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Themes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Glatfelter Mill Chillicothe, OH
5) Converting & Shipping Paper Making process 1) Wood Yard 2) Digesting and Pulping 4) Paper Making 1-2 Football fields in length   3) Washing – screening Bleaching (ECF)
Wood Chips ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Print Solutions magazine, August 2008
Glatfelter Wood Costs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
 
 
N.A. UFS PAPER MACHINE CAPACITY RANKINGS  (2005 - 2008) Red  = PM Closures Blue  = Operating PMs Yellow  = GLT PMs PMs both large and small have been shut as companies strive to cut costs and refocus on core competencies.  2.8 M tons of capacity shutdown since 2005
Why have we avoided the same fate? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
NA - UFS MILL INVENTORIES Inventories continue to trend downwards as producers try to balance supply with falling demand Source: PPPC
NA SHIPMENT TRENDS ( Printing & Writing Papers) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],November ‘08
Specialty Papers U.S.   Uncoated Freesheet Market Overview – Profound Structural Change Consolidation in N.A. paper industry has changed the competitive landscape. Boise Cascade Weyerhaeuser SD Warren Champion Union Camp Willamette Consolidated Mead Crown Vantage Great Northern Chesapeake Pentair Finch Pryun Hammermill James River 1998: Numerous Producers Vying for Market Share  International Paper 2007: Top 5 Producers With Over 80% Market Share Domtar Boise Cascade International Paper Georgia Pacific Industry landscape has changed very rapidly More globally focused Fewer players
Inputs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Market Cost Trends -  NBSK Pulp 13-year trend RISI list price NBSK 2-year forecast – 2009/2010 NBSK List Price 13-year Trend (2009 Forecast up 20% since 2006) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Market Cost Trends –  Coal NAPP Coal Price (RED) 3-year Trend (Up 122% since 2006) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Market Cost Trends –  Starch & Latex
Market Cost Trends –  Caustic & Sodium Chlorate Caustic 2-Year Trend – Up 220% since 2007  Source: Harrimon Gulf Coast Pricing Source:  CMAI, Delv’d US Sodium Chlorate (contract prices) 6-year Trend (up 36% since 2006) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
5 Year Price Trend Major Chemicals  Unprecedented escalation in raw material costs in the past 5 years
How far does $500 go? Domtar study, Print Solutions August 2008
Summary  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Under Pressure: Paper Costs and Industry Escalations

  • 1. Under Pressure: Paper Costs and Industry Escalations
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  • 5. 5) Converting & Shipping Paper Making process 1) Wood Yard 2) Digesting and Pulping 4) Paper Making 1-2 Football fields in length 3) Washing – screening Bleaching (ECF)
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  • 11. N.A. UFS PAPER MACHINE CAPACITY RANKINGS (2005 - 2008) Red = PM Closures Blue = Operating PMs Yellow = GLT PMs PMs both large and small have been shut as companies strive to cut costs and refocus on core competencies. 2.8 M tons of capacity shutdown since 2005
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  • 13. NA - UFS MILL INVENTORIES Inventories continue to trend downwards as producers try to balance supply with falling demand Source: PPPC
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  • 15. Specialty Papers U.S. Uncoated Freesheet Market Overview – Profound Structural Change Consolidation in N.A. paper industry has changed the competitive landscape. Boise Cascade Weyerhaeuser SD Warren Champion Union Camp Willamette Consolidated Mead Crown Vantage Great Northern Chesapeake Pentair Finch Pryun Hammermill James River 1998: Numerous Producers Vying for Market Share International Paper 2007: Top 5 Producers With Over 80% Market Share Domtar Boise Cascade International Paper Georgia Pacific Industry landscape has changed very rapidly More globally focused Fewer players
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  • 21. 5 Year Price Trend Major Chemicals Unprecedented escalation in raw material costs in the past 5 years
  • 22. How far does $500 go? Domtar study, Print Solutions August 2008
  • 23.

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. 4/23/04