Diversified Export
Basket : Less Dependency
On RMG
Short-Term
Economic
Slowdown
RecoveryBudget Focused On
AgricultureAnd Health
Rapidly emerging
economyafter
reviving
Cashless Transaction
Trend
InfrequentPhysical
Banking
Mega-growth of Mobile Wallet
OperatorsAnd Fintech
Industry
Strong Technology
InfrastructureIn Banks
Online Banking
Economy Banking& Transaction
Abdur Rafeu Yead
ID: 1811984030
POSTCOVID-19
BANGLADESH
Economy Banking Education Business Transport Habitual
TechIntensive
Industry Boom
IOT-Based Digital
transformationin
business
Work from Home Trend-
in white collar jobs
Increase Remote
Workers
Social Distancing in
Office
Virtual
Meetings
IT Backed
Startups
Flexible Work-hour
Replacing 9-5 Office
‘No’ to Expensive
CommercialSpaces
Rise in Healthcare
Industry
Adventof Online Learning
Platforms
Congested classroom will
be unappreciated
New learning evaluations
Shift of learning space
Less People in Public
Transport
Restrictionsin international
route
Higher Transport
Expenses
Preferencein Personalized
Ride Services
Passenger on
RearSeats
Education Business&Startups Transport
FrequentTemperature
check
Change in General consumption patterns
and spending habits
More Domestic Travels
FrequentHand Sanitizing
& Surface Cleaning
Shop Individually, Not
in Groups
Socializing with
video calls
Prayer in home
No Large
gatherings
No handshakes, Greeting with
Salam
Avoid Eating out, Street
Foods
Spend Quality times with
Family
Stepping Out only when
Necessary
Disinfecting EveryPurchase
MandatoryMask in
Public Places
Habitual
Unemployment
JobCrisis
HealthCrisis
FoodCrisis
SomeUnwantedNewNormal-
Need Sustainable DevelopmentInitiatives
Abdur Rafeu Yead
ID: 1811984030
A Rise in Conscious Consumption-
Consumerswill be More Mindful of What
They’re Buying.
Safety Will Be The New Measure Along With
Quality & Quantity.Hygiene will be a Customer
Attracter
Short
Term
CONSUMERBUYINGPATTERN LongTerm
ShortTerm
Changes +
FrequentPurchase of
Personal Care & Hygiene
Products
Less FrequentPurchases & Buying Larger
Quantities to Avoid Frequent Repetitive
Purchases
The Ever-IncreasingFocus on Health –
Healthiness will be a Strategic
Differentiatorfor Future Market
Growing Reliance on Local Brands-
The Desire to Shop Local will be
Reflected
Long
Term
Abdur Rafeu Yead
ID: 1811984030
OurCustomerServingStrategiesata Glimpse
MY SELECTED FMCGCOMPANY
ReasonstoselectACILimited
One of the largest Local
FMCG Brand
5k + FMCG Product varieties in
market to serve customer
Huge workforce to
serve
StrategyBreakdown
EnsuringAvailability
& Reachability
Ensuring
Affordability
Guaranteed
Hygiene
Abdur Rafeu Yead
ID: 1811984030
StrategyExecution:
EnsuringAvailability& Reachability:Product available when
they need and where they need
EligibilityAvailabletoPursue:
Strong Supply Chain Great Salesforce
Large Production
Capacity
StrategyExecution:
GuaranteedHygiene:Productioninitiatives to make sure
hygiene measures are flawless.
EligibilityAvailabletoPursue:
Advanced Infrastructure Automated
Machineries
Quality Control
Department
Integrated DemandForecasting &
Productionquantity adjustments
Digitalizing Purchasing
Supply chain enhancementand
distribution initiatives
Multi-layeredpackaging for easy safety
maintenance
Strict hygiene maintenancemeasures in
productionfacility
Product hygiene instructions with each
variety of products
Strategy-1 Strategy-2
1000Units
Forecasted customer
demandfor hygiene
products
1500Units
Retailer orders, including
safety stock
2000Units
Retailer orders, to avail
discountsand maintain enough
stock
4000Units
Manufacturer orders materials
to reduce cost andtimely
delivery
After the lockdown period ends,
people will start going out
Hygiene and safety will be a major
concernas everyone willstart
stepping out
Demand for sanitizers and other
hygiene products should be on peak
Overstatingconsumerdemand due to
wrong predictive analysis
BullwhipEffect!
ReasonsAnalysis
PostCovid-19BullwhipEffect
Abdur Rafeu Yead
ID: 1811984030
ActualDemand= 800Units
Abdur Rafeu Yead
ID: 1811984030
Top-Notch Quality& Seamless Delivery
Adapting:TQMApproach
Continuous flow of improving and
maintainingquality from thescratch to
top level of theoperations
FollowingISO9000Standards
This will help to maintain top-notch
quality standards in product focusing on
bothefficiency and customer satisfaction
TrackingImprovements
Tracking improvements and scope to
upgrade continuously. A real time data
centric analysis will help towards a
great management
THANKYOU!
Transitioning to the new normal in education. (2020). Retrieved 24 May 2020, from
https://www.thestar.com.my/opinion/letters/2020/04/28/transitioning-to-the-new-normal-in-education
What will the new normal look like?. (2020). Retrieved 24 May 2020, from https://www.dhakatribune.com/opinion/op-ed/2020/05/19/what-
will-the-new-normal-look-like
Express, T. (2020). COVID-19 outbreak: Next budget to focus on agriculture, health, mega projects. Retrieved 24 May 2020, from
https://thefinancialexpress.com.bd/economy/bangladesh/covid-19-outbreak-next-budget-to-focus-on-agriculture-health-mega-
projects-1588747031
REFERENCES
Hinweis der Redaktion
After covid-19 major impacted sectors will be Economy, Banking, Education, Transport. Besides we will most likely notice several habitual new normal among people.
Economy:
1. Bangladesh largely depends on RMG sector for foreign earnings. Currently, since this pandemic this started this sector has been at risk due to economic downturn in our major buyer countries. In coming future RMG dependent export sector might be diversified.
2. According to many analysts Bangladesh will face a short-term economic slowdown. GDP growth rate might fall to 2.2% but this won’t sustain very longer according to experts.
3. Agriculture sector is being affected a lot during this pandemic, Health sector is at big risk. In next few year’s budget, we’ll see a hefty recovery budget focusing on these sectors.
4. Bangladesh has an Insulated Economy. This economy is very less exposed to global supply chain and relatively safer from global economic fallout. Bangladesh has been listed as 9th strongest among 66 emerging economies in this global crisis situation. If correct initiatives are taken Bangladesh can recover this fallout and emerge as one of the South Asian Tiger’s in next 5 years.
Banking & Transaction:
People will try to avoid congested places as much as possible. As a result, physical banking will be less frequent and many people will switch to alternative. Cashless transaction and online banking will be the new trend. Mobile wallet services and fintech based industries will face massive customer flow and banks will be required to develop strong tech. infrastructure to meet the digital demand of customer.
Education
The ‘New Normal’ days will also make a transition in the education sector. The new normal for education might require us to unlearn what we have always known the only normal such as: rows of seats, heavy bags, physical exams etc. Most likely, we will get introduced the new normal of education.
Many institutes will approach to embrace e-learning.
1. Shift of learning space: Many physical classrooms will be replacing virtual classrooms. This might be the biggest change in traditional education sector of Bangladesh. At many extent learning will shift from public space to personal space. Students will still interact with the same learning community but a part of it will transform into virtual. Students will keep up conversations with classmates, teachers and lecturers but a shift in communication channel is upcoming.
2. Introduction of new learning evaluations: Many physical exams might replace formative assessments. Physical exams will exist but additionally students are most likely to habituated with virtual and formative assessments as well.
3. Group learnings in congested classrooms will be unappreciated: This situation has definitely built a concept of safe distancing. Closed classrooms congested with students will be a big concern in educational institutions. It will be required to ensure sufficient safety measures such as sitting arrangements with safe distancing, allotment of more free spaces for classrooms etc.
4. Advent of Online Learning Platforms: Since the Covid-19 breakdown took place, students from all over the country are staying at home and during this time it’s noticeable that many of them are registering courses on online course seller sites like Coursera, Udemy etc. Students are finding these platforms really useful and since they’re getting real certificates it’s encouraging as well. This trend will most likely stay even after this situation ends.
Business and Startups:
1. A boom in tech intensive industry will be visible as many businesses will start digitalizing their business. Along with this many IT based startups will be here.
2. Businesses will reduce using super expensive commercial spaces. Many of their activities will adapt work from home approach. They’ll start thinking of lessening the use of office space and cutting down costs just like Twitter has recently announced. Office meetings can be conducted from home with virtual meeting platforms and office arrangement will look different with social distancing.
3. Businesses will hire many remote workers to work from home. Demand of freelancers will rise. 9 to 5 office in white collar jobs might get replaces by flexible work hours staying in home at some extent. IOT based digital transformation will be a new trend in business.
4. Health-care industry will see a rise and their business might see big expansion.
Transport:
1. People will prefer personalized ride services like Uber, Pathao etc. Rear seats will be encouraged because of safety.
2. International routes will be limited and restricted for maintaining less vulnerability to this disease.
3. Distance sitting in transports will limit capacity and increase expanses.
Habitual:
Huge habitual transformation might be noticeable among people. Many hygiene maintenance and safety habits will most likely develop. People will try to avoid gatherings and take every possible measure to not get exposed to any infective virus.
Along with all new normal, something unpleasant is yet to come. There’ll be short term job crisis as many businesses are slowing down their activities and cutting off employees. Crisis in health services and food supplies might also arrive at some extent. We’ll need sustainable development goals to fight these effectively.
Consumer buying pattern will face some short-term and some long-term changes significantly.
Short term effects might be there for a certain period of time. Such as, people will go to shops less frequently to avoid gatherings and once they go, they’ll purchase necessary supplies in big quantity for some upcoming days so that they need to visit shop a smaller number of times.
There’ll be some changes which might stay permanently. Such as, their spending habit will face a big change. Consumers will be more aware of necessary purchases and avoid unnecessary spending. Products for healthy lifestyle will be more appreciated and local brands will gain much reliability among customers.
My selected FMCG brand is ACI Limited. ACI is one of the largest FMCG brands in Bangladesh with a wide range of product varieties to serve the customer. They have a huge workforce with mega factories to serve customers with quality products. There’re 3 strategies can help ACI to serve consumer better. Strategies are based on Price, Availability & Hygiene.
Strategy-1:
Ensuring Availability & Reachability will be a big differentiator between other brands and ACI. They can make sure the product is available when customers will need and where they will need. By integrated forecasting the demand they need to find out which goods are more required now and accordingly they can adjust production capacity and enhance their supply chain over online and offline to make the product available to every possible consumer touchpoint.
Strategy-2:
Guaranteed Hygiene initiatives will make sure consumers are purchasing goods which are safer for them. ACI has a dedicated individual quality control unit. They’ll need to take measured so that every raw materials and parts of manufacturing unit is disinfected. Smart packaging will also be a big player in this. Multilayered packaging will make consumer life easy. After purchasing products from local stores, they can store their goods for longer period of time with the use of this multi-layered packaging. With every products hygiene instructions on packaging will be a great awareness initiative. This will make a consumer perception that ‘This is the brand which cares for its consumers’
Strategy-3:
Ensuring affordability for every necessary FMCG products. This is very predictable that, demand for certain types of goods will be at peak and many other brands will increase price to gain traction and piggybank this situation. Whereas, ACI can do the opposite and gain customer trust and loyalty for long term with great service. ACI will need to keep the price same and lower than its competitors. Especially, the demand for healthcare goods will be much higher and price will go high. In this case, they’ll need to increase production and cut down costs to meet the demand maintaining the affordable range. This will make them gaining a large market share and consumer will like the brand who was for them in the time of necessity in a long term.
The supply chain of ACI will most likely see a digital move. The previous look of the supply chain will remain mostly the same but there’ll be some add on with this. Since the purchasing trend will see a digital trend the supply chain will need to adjust accordingly for sustainability. ACI’s supply chain will take mix media approach and focus on expansion over online channels as well. According to demand fluctuation there will be needed to keep adjustment options available.
ACI might face 3 possible bottlenecks in their operation:
1. Due to heavy demand they’ll need some raw materials at large quantity and available suppliers might not be able to deliver all within time. ACI might struggle to keep the upscaled production volume due to shortage. Alternative suppliers for supply backup might solve this case.
2.Increasing production will not be possible without increasing workforce. Due to workforce shortage production might slow down during production upscaling. Estimating requires workforce and recruit more can solve this problem.
3. Mix media approach and expansion of supply chain might cause delivery delays with previous delivery facility. Collaboration with 3rd party delivery businesses will solve this problem.
There might be a bullwhip effect after Covid-19 lockdown is over. For example, people will start going out and as a result they’ll need to use sanitizers or soaps more frequently than home. As a result, retailers might overestimate the customer demand. They might estimate the demand for 1000 units whereas actual market demand is 800 units and this overestimation of demand will affect the product flow through the whole supply chain and ultimately, mislead the company towards purchasing raw materials and producing goods.
Maintaining up to the mark quality and seamless delivery will be the most significant move as a FMCG brand. They can use following tools and strategies for sustainable maintenance goal:
1. As ACI is a really big manufacturer with mega factories they’re quite capable of maintaining proper TQM approach. This approach will help them to maintain top notch quality and continuous improvements on all level. Dynamic improvement and quality maintenance cycle can take them to their goal.
2.Following ISO 9000 standards will ensure customer satisfaction with efficient production operation with near to perfection quality standard. It will increase productivity along with cutting down unnecessary costs.
3.Tracking improvements and scope of improvements will help to identify issues in a fastest possible time and take corrective actions to resolve. Repetitive feedbacking will also be possible by utilizing this.
Additionally, tech intensive inventory management and digitalizing supply and distribution operation can ensure seamless delivery and will be a big breakthrough towards achieving their goal.