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EAC Perspectives



   Bill Palmer
   March 30 & 31, 2004
Agenda

 EAC Definition
 Purpose of EAC Update
 Groundrules and Assumptions
 Confidence Levels
 Customer & Contractor Influences
 Customer Activities
 EAC Review
 Summary
EAC Definition

 For purposes of this presentation
 – Major look at total estimated program costs for
   development program
    •   POP exercise
    •   Budget call
    •   Yearly comprehensive ETC/EAC exercise
    •   Customer/contractor need for updated EAC
 – Not the normal EVM monthly ETC update

                Major EAC Exercise
Purpose of EAC Update

 Better EAC data
 Major issues facing program
 Identify “worst” case funding needs
 Evaluate alternatives




          Define EAC Expectations
Groundrules and Assumptions

 What does EAC include?
 –   Total existing contract
 –   Proposal(s) in work but not authorized
 –   New scope not on contract
 –   Schedule changes
 –   Funding constraint impacts



              Agree on the big picture
Groundrules and Assumptions

 What conditions apply to the exercise?
 – How do you reflect current performance?
 – How are current risks dealt with?
 – Are there projected Government impacts on
   the contract that need to be dealt with?
 Are the groundrules different than the
 existing program groundrules?

        Take Time for Up-front Planning
Confidence Levels

 Program schedule
 – What is slack position of schedule
 – What is confidence level of schedule? 50/50,
   70/30,…
 Dollar estimate
 – Independent of schedule, what is estimate
   confidence?


       What Are The Confidence Levels?
Customer Influences

 “Stick to current plan”
 “I want to build a case for more funding”
 “If I have enough money left, I want to
 issue some new work”
 “I’ll be in big trouble if your EAC grows”
 Members of customer organization are on
 competitive source selection board
   Customers Can Subtly Influence EAC Value
Contractor Influences

 Customer relations
 Political environment
 On-going competitions
 Company internal factors
 –   Ethics
 –   Job performance
 –   ROS enhancement/erosion
 –   Growth approaches
      • All at one time
      • Dribble it out
  Contractor Personnel Face Internal Influences
Positive Customer Activities

 Work with contractor to get well thought-
 out and agreed-to groundrules and
 assumptions
 Explain purpose for excursions from
 contract baseline
 Participate in detailed review of data
 Work with contractor on reasonable
 schedule
      Be Involved to Get What You Need
Disruptive Customer Activities

 Initiating EAC exercises without
 understanding what is wanted
 Changing groundrules during exercise
 Customer team members with different
 agendas
 Head in the sand


         Don’t Make It More Difficult
EAC Review

 Review contractor’s EAC
 – What is in/not in EAC
 – Contractor admitted perspectives
 – Individual CAM perspectives
 Analyze EVM metrics
 Is it what you expected?


 Even With Up-front Planning, Need EAC Review
Summary

Many factors may influence EAC value
Up-front planning is crucial
Customers may help or hinder process
Make sure you review and understand
underlying assumptions of EAC



   There Is No One EAC Until Completion

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Palmer

  • 1. EAC Perspectives Bill Palmer March 30 & 31, 2004
  • 2. Agenda EAC Definition Purpose of EAC Update Groundrules and Assumptions Confidence Levels Customer & Contractor Influences Customer Activities EAC Review Summary
  • 3. EAC Definition For purposes of this presentation – Major look at total estimated program costs for development program • POP exercise • Budget call • Yearly comprehensive ETC/EAC exercise • Customer/contractor need for updated EAC – Not the normal EVM monthly ETC update Major EAC Exercise
  • 4. Purpose of EAC Update Better EAC data Major issues facing program Identify “worst” case funding needs Evaluate alternatives Define EAC Expectations
  • 5. Groundrules and Assumptions What does EAC include? – Total existing contract – Proposal(s) in work but not authorized – New scope not on contract – Schedule changes – Funding constraint impacts Agree on the big picture
  • 6. Groundrules and Assumptions What conditions apply to the exercise? – How do you reflect current performance? – How are current risks dealt with? – Are there projected Government impacts on the contract that need to be dealt with? Are the groundrules different than the existing program groundrules? Take Time for Up-front Planning
  • 7. Confidence Levels Program schedule – What is slack position of schedule – What is confidence level of schedule? 50/50, 70/30,… Dollar estimate – Independent of schedule, what is estimate confidence? What Are The Confidence Levels?
  • 8. Customer Influences “Stick to current plan” “I want to build a case for more funding” “If I have enough money left, I want to issue some new work” “I’ll be in big trouble if your EAC grows” Members of customer organization are on competitive source selection board Customers Can Subtly Influence EAC Value
  • 9. Contractor Influences Customer relations Political environment On-going competitions Company internal factors – Ethics – Job performance – ROS enhancement/erosion – Growth approaches • All at one time • Dribble it out Contractor Personnel Face Internal Influences
  • 10. Positive Customer Activities Work with contractor to get well thought- out and agreed-to groundrules and assumptions Explain purpose for excursions from contract baseline Participate in detailed review of data Work with contractor on reasonable schedule Be Involved to Get What You Need
  • 11. Disruptive Customer Activities Initiating EAC exercises without understanding what is wanted Changing groundrules during exercise Customer team members with different agendas Head in the sand Don’t Make It More Difficult
  • 12. EAC Review Review contractor’s EAC – What is in/not in EAC – Contractor admitted perspectives – Individual CAM perspectives Analyze EVM metrics Is it what you expected? Even With Up-front Planning, Need EAC Review
  • 13. Summary Many factors may influence EAC value Up-front planning is crucial Customers may help or hinder process Make sure you review and understand underlying assumptions of EAC There Is No One EAC Until Completion