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Product Development
Process – Economics and
Base Case Financial
Models.
Presented By:
Shivangi Dubey P004
Rupsa Halder P005
Mohit S. Harsolekar P006
13th Jan 2016
WHAT IS PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT ?
EXAMPLE
IMPORTANCE
PRODUCT DESIGN
IMPORTANT TO UNDERSTAND ?
1) CONTRACT MANUFACTURING
2) CORE COMPETENCY
>Provides potential access to a wide variety of markets
>Increases perceived customer benefits
>Hard for competitors to imitate.
PHASE 0 : Planning
PHASE 1 : Concept Development
PHASE 2 : System – Level Design
PHASE 3 : Detail Design
PHASE 4 : Testing and Refinement
PHASE 5 : Production Ramp - Up
PHASE 0 : Planning
» Corporate strategy
» Assessment of technology
development
» Market Objectives
» Project mission statement
» Set supply chain strategy
» Research
PHASE 1 : Concept Development
» Identify needs of target market
» Generate product concept
» Alternative concepts
» Analysis of competitive products
» Economic analysis
PHASE 2 : System – Level Design
» Define product architecture
» Generate geometric layout
» Define functional specifications
of subsystems
» Preliminary process flow
diagram for final assembly
process
» Facilitate make-buy analysis
» Set target costs
PHASE 3 : Detail Design
» Complete specification of all parts
» Identification of all standard parts from
suppliers
» Define whole process plan
» Design tooling
» Define quality assurance processes
» Develop marketing plan
PHASE 4 : Testing and Refinement
» Construction and evaluation of
prototypes
» Obtain regulatory approvals
» Implement design changes
» Refine fabrication and assembly
processes
» Develop promotion and launch
materials
» Develop sales plan
PHASE 5 : Production Ramp - Up
» Train workforce
» Place early production with key
customers
» Carefully evaluate and
identify remaining flaws
» Begin operation of entire
production system
» Product launch and widespread
distribution after transition to
on-going production
Economics Involved in
Product Development
Process
What is a Base Case Model..??
• A Financial analysis model which consists of
the determination of the inflow and outflow
of cash from all the major activities in the
project simultaneously taking into
consideration the time required for each
activity.
Developing a Base Case
Estimating Timing And Magnitude of
Future Cash Flows.
Computing the NPV
The Cash Flow is obtained from the
most basic activities..
• Development Costs.
• Ramp Up Costs.
• Marketing Costs.
• Production Costs.
• Sales Revenues.
NPV
Net Present Value (NPV) is the difference between
the present value of cash inflows and the present
value of cash outflows.
IRR
• Internal Rate of Return
Defined as the interest rate that equates the
present value of an income stream to the
cost of the investment.
Time = Money
IIR with Different Development cost levels.
• Premium brand of Nestle which manufactures and
sells coffee brewers.
• Brews coffee from the premeasured coffee pods
which are also produced by the company in different
flavours and combinations.
Net Present Value computation for Base Model
• The expected sales are assumed to be spread
cyclically as 20%, 25%, 35% and 20%.
• Developmental Cost is $ 4 Million spread
equally over 4 quarters.
• Production Ramp Up cost expected to be $ 1
Million.
• Equipment and Tooling Costs: 2 million
upfront, then 1/2 million a year and scale up
with volume of machines sold.
• Marketing expense calculation: Nestle's
expense is $17,395 M.
• Nespresso will contribute nearly 4% to
Nestle's sales. Assuming the same 4% for
marketing cost, Nespresso's marketing cost
will be (17,395*.04) =$ 695.8. Per quarter cost
is 173.9.
• Assuming 50% of this is for machines and 50%
for capsules, it is 86.9 for each.
Cost and Revenue Base Model.
Cost and Revenue of Base Model with Capsules
Summary
• Nespresso machines are a base equipment whose
sales gaurantee the sael of the nespresso coffee
capsules.
• Inturn the estimates of revenue generated from
capsules is much higher to that of those
generated from the machine.
• This helps us to take the Go/No GO decisions in
the product development at every crucial stage.
• Financial analysis decides the feasibility of the
product development project as a whole.
product development  process-Base Case model

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product development process-Base Case model

  • 1. Product Development Process – Economics and Base Case Financial Models. Presented By: Shivangi Dubey P004 Rupsa Halder P005 Mohit S. Harsolekar P006 13th Jan 2016
  • 2. WHAT IS PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT ?
  • 5.
  • 7. IMPORTANT TO UNDERSTAND ? 1) CONTRACT MANUFACTURING 2) CORE COMPETENCY >Provides potential access to a wide variety of markets >Increases perceived customer benefits >Hard for competitors to imitate.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. PHASE 0 : Planning PHASE 1 : Concept Development PHASE 2 : System – Level Design PHASE 3 : Detail Design PHASE 4 : Testing and Refinement PHASE 5 : Production Ramp - Up
  • 11. PHASE 0 : Planning » Corporate strategy » Assessment of technology development » Market Objectives » Project mission statement » Set supply chain strategy » Research
  • 12. PHASE 1 : Concept Development » Identify needs of target market » Generate product concept » Alternative concepts » Analysis of competitive products » Economic analysis
  • 13. PHASE 2 : System – Level Design » Define product architecture » Generate geometric layout » Define functional specifications of subsystems » Preliminary process flow diagram for final assembly process » Facilitate make-buy analysis » Set target costs
  • 14. PHASE 3 : Detail Design » Complete specification of all parts » Identification of all standard parts from suppliers » Define whole process plan » Design tooling » Define quality assurance processes » Develop marketing plan
  • 15. PHASE 4 : Testing and Refinement » Construction and evaluation of prototypes » Obtain regulatory approvals » Implement design changes » Refine fabrication and assembly processes » Develop promotion and launch materials » Develop sales plan
  • 16. PHASE 5 : Production Ramp - Up » Train workforce » Place early production with key customers » Carefully evaluate and identify remaining flaws » Begin operation of entire production system » Product launch and widespread distribution after transition to on-going production
  • 17. Economics Involved in Product Development Process
  • 18.
  • 19. What is a Base Case Model..?? • A Financial analysis model which consists of the determination of the inflow and outflow of cash from all the major activities in the project simultaneously taking into consideration the time required for each activity.
  • 20. Developing a Base Case Estimating Timing And Magnitude of Future Cash Flows. Computing the NPV
  • 21. The Cash Flow is obtained from the most basic activities.. • Development Costs. • Ramp Up Costs. • Marketing Costs. • Production Costs. • Sales Revenues.
  • 22. NPV Net Present Value (NPV) is the difference between the present value of cash inflows and the present value of cash outflows.
  • 23. IRR • Internal Rate of Return Defined as the interest rate that equates the present value of an income stream to the cost of the investment.
  • 25. IIR with Different Development cost levels.
  • 26.
  • 27. • Premium brand of Nestle which manufactures and sells coffee brewers. • Brews coffee from the premeasured coffee pods which are also produced by the company in different flavours and combinations.
  • 28. Net Present Value computation for Base Model
  • 29. • The expected sales are assumed to be spread cyclically as 20%, 25%, 35% and 20%. • Developmental Cost is $ 4 Million spread equally over 4 quarters. • Production Ramp Up cost expected to be $ 1 Million. • Equipment and Tooling Costs: 2 million upfront, then 1/2 million a year and scale up with volume of machines sold.
  • 30. • Marketing expense calculation: Nestle's expense is $17,395 M. • Nespresso will contribute nearly 4% to Nestle's sales. Assuming the same 4% for marketing cost, Nespresso's marketing cost will be (17,395*.04) =$ 695.8. Per quarter cost is 173.9. • Assuming 50% of this is for machines and 50% for capsules, it is 86.9 for each.
  • 31. Cost and Revenue Base Model.
  • 32. Cost and Revenue of Base Model with Capsules
  • 33. Summary • Nespresso machines are a base equipment whose sales gaurantee the sael of the nespresso coffee capsules. • Inturn the estimates of revenue generated from capsules is much higher to that of those generated from the machine. • This helps us to take the Go/No GO decisions in the product development at every crucial stage. • Financial analysis decides the feasibility of the product development project as a whole.