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Liberia - Investing in the Energy Sector

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Liberia - Investing in the Energy Sector

  1. 1. Liberia: Investing in the Energy Sector Mohamed Radhouani | Financing for Development
  2. 2. Facts & Figures 4/1/2017 2 830 578 622 733 785 1,444 2,185 1,439 2,061 2,5003% -30% 8% 8% 0% - 1,000 2,000 3,000 -40% -20% 0% 20% 2000 2002 2005 2010 2014 Gross Domestic Product GDP per capita, PPP (constant 2011 international $) GDP per person employed (constant 2011 PPP $) GDP growth (annual %) 2% 89% 18% 85% 36%[CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] 60 147 301 751 744 -100% -50% 0% 50% 100% 50 400 750 2000 2002 2005 2010 2013 FDI & OfficialAid FDI, net inflows (% of GDP) FDI, net outflows (% of GDP) ODA & Official Aid (constant 2013 US$ million) 44% 45% 46% 48% 50% 6% 3% 3% 4% 3% 2.89 3.07 3.27 3.96 4.50 0% 20% 40% 60% 2000 2002 2005 2010 2015 - 2.00 4.00 6.00 Population Urban population (% of total) Urban population growth (annual %) Population, total (million) Indicator Year Value Account at a financial institution (% age 15+) 2011 19% Urban population (% of total) 2015 50% Investment in energy with PS participation (current US$ million) 200 8 340 Human Development Index (HDI) 2015 177/188 WB Cost of Doing Business Report 2016 179/189 SOURCE: WB Data
  3. 3. 4/1/2017 3 Country Context * Debt Sustainability analysis (DSA) of the IMF  Volatile political landscape  Corruption still a big challenge  Public dissatisfaction heightened by EbolaVirus Disease (EVD)  Strong post-conflict economic growth interrupted by the EVD  Worsening debt distress risk (from low to moderate)*  Highly dollarized economy  Exports heavily impacted by the drop in the international commodity prices  PS growth constrained by inadequate energy and transport infrastructure  Limited skills & capacity  HighVulnerability to Climate Change  Improved stability  Key governance reforms started since 2006  Establishment of Liberia Revenue Authority (LRA)  improved revenue administration and mobilization  Contained Inflation  Improved gender equity
  4. 4. Destruction of the public infrastructure due to 14 years of political crisis Weak capacity Low level of investments Obsolete infrastructure Very low electrification rate and high average electricity cost ($0.52/kWh) Unavailability of reliable statistics 4/1/2017 4 Energy Sector 1% 8% 19% 17% 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 4% 10% 10% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 2000 2011 2012 2013 Access to Electricity Access to electricity, urban (% of urban population) Access to electricity, rural (% of rural population) Access to electricity (% of population) SOURCE: WB Data , Sustainable Energy for All SE4LL initiative, IEA Energy Outlook  Liberia ranked 179/189 in 2016 WB Cost of Doing Business report.  Inadequate supply of infrastructure is one of the top problematic factors to set up business as per 2015 Global Competitiveness Report.
  5. 5. 4/1/2017 5 Why focusing on Energy?  Education & Energy is a development priority.  Education & Energy would contribute most to reducing priority.  Energy would contribute most to generating economic growth. SOURCE: WB Data 2014 Country Opinion Survey for Liberia  Energy is a …
  6. 6. 4/1/2017 6 Why focusing on Energy? (Cont’d) Power Africa initiative* • Grid connection to 70% of Monrovia and 35% of the rest of the country by 2030 New Deal on Energy for Africa** • 100% urban access and 95% rural access by 2025 SDG*** • Universal access to affordable, reliable and modern energy services by 2030 * https://www.usaid.gov/powerafrica/liberia **https://www.afdb.org/en/the-high-5/light-up-and-power-africa-%E2%80%93-a-new-deal-on-energy-for-Africa ***https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/sdg7 Efforts will be supported by
  7. 7. 4/1/2017 7 Why is it important for the Government? * http://www.lr.undp.org/content/dam/liberia/docs/docs/Liberia%20Agenda%20for%20transformation.AfT.pdf
  8. 8. Deliver on Corporate Strategy Efficient & targeted use of Aid resources Deliver on SDG Mobilize additional resources 4/1/2017 8 Why is it important for Development Partners*? * Only key partners selected
  9. 9. Explore new markets High returns Risks mitigated by other stakeholders Improved reputation by contributing to SDG 4/1/2017 9 Why is it important for the Private Sector?
  10. 10. 4/1/2017 10 Major Challenges, proposed solutions and source of funding Weak Governance Improve Public Expenditure Management Sector Refor ms Improve Investment Climate Limited Capacity Capacity Building Programs Improve Data Collectio n & Analysis Lack of Investments Build a pipeline of bankable projects PS Resources Mobilization Investment Operations Government Budget ODA (Technical Assistance) Trust funds MDB (ADF**, IDA) MDB (Syndication & arranged financing) MDB (Risk Guarantees through PSF* & PSW) MDB (Technical Assistance, Economic & Sector Work & Project Preparation Facilities) Private Sector * PSF: Private Sector Facility of the African Development Bank. A facility providing guarantees to PS operations in the countries with fragile situation. ** ADF: Concessional window of the African Development Bank.

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