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Exploring the upside of risk optimize the IT portfolio 
“Opportunities multiply as they are seized.” Sun Tzu 
Alliander IT CIO Office 
Michel de Goede
1. Introduction of Alliander
2. The EU (1/3) 
Low prices for all, better quality, more choice Innovation Better competitors in global markets
2. The EU (2/3) 
Sustainable, secure and affordable energy for Europeans
2. The EU (3/3) 
2020 Goals: 
•20% reduction of greenhouse gas emission 
•20% share for renewable energy sources 
•20% saving in energy consumption 
Measures: 
•Step up energy performance 
•Improve energy transformation 
•Financing 
•Change behaviour
3. Issues of a grid operator: Electric vehicles (1/5) 
•Roll out of thousands of electric vehicle charging stations 
•Grid Capacity is insufficient 
•What if we use cars as backup energy storage?
3. Issues of a grid operator: Two way traffic (2/5) 
Monetary flow 
Information flow 
Transmission 
Trade/PRP/ Shipper 
Distribution 
Supply 
Metering 
Production 
Physical flow 
© Jeroen Scheer, Alliander, 2011 
•Flows change 
•Capacity increase
3. Issues of a grid operator: Smart metering and home automation (3/5) 
•Roll out of 5 Million Smart Meters (Gas + Electricity) 
•Inform customer regarding energy consumption and create awareness 
•Respect privacy concerns 
•Manage the potential data ocean
3. Issues of a grid operator: Smart city initiatives (4/5) 
•Combination of various techniques (Amsterdam) 
•Self healing and self regulating micro grid (Bronsbergen)
3. Issues of a grid operator: Smart grid (5/5) 
•Accommodate higher peaks and two-way traffic through intelligence 
•Accomodate energy transition scenario’s through intelligence 
•Provide the necessary information to all parties involved
4. Innovation: sixth Schumpeter / Kondratiev wave of innovation (1/5)
4. Innovation: The semantic wave (2/5)
4. Innovation: And then there is also..... (3/5) 
Source: Sogeti VINT
4. Innovation: And then there is also..... (4/5) 
Sources: Wired, PSFK, Google, Motorola, Artefact Group, Glow Caps
Business Processes 
4. Innovation: into the virtual world (5/5) 
Virtual World 
Personal Devices 
Home Automation 
Operational Technology 
IT Connected 
Organizations 
Crime
5. Business Model Innovation: Steering on output (1/5)
5. Business Model Innovaton: create composite services (2/5)
5. Business Model Innovation: choose your battles well (3/5) 
There typically are 6 potential treatments for both the up and downside of risk: 
•Ignore, the ostrich ‘see-no-evil-hear-no-evil’ tactic; 
•Accept, the potential impact of some risks may be deemed acceptable to your organization; 
•Reduce, e.g. the potential impact or probability of occurrence of a risk, like the banking app; 
•Transfer, use insurance or subcontracting to transfer potential consequences of risk; 
•Avoid , not entering the type of business that may incur potential risk impact deemed too high; 
•Exploit, risk is also an opportunity and high risk investments may yield high returns.
5. Business Model Innovation: Real option planning (4/5) 
Source: Ronald Poppe, Reader Financial Engineering, Rotterdam School of Management / Erasmus University 
Bankers understand steady cash-flows 
Insurance companies understand risk 
1.Calculate future cash-flows 
2.Calculate volatility 
3.Calculate option value
5. Business Model Innovation: Lean startup methods (5/5) 
Source: Alexander Cowan, Steve Blank 
Agile
6. Implementation: Learn from the past (1/6) 
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 
Traditional 
Ad-Hoc 
Lean 
Agile 
Iterative 
Successful Challenged Failed 
Copyright: Scott W. Ambler (see www.ambysoft.com/surveys/)
6. Implementation: use the different speeds in your landscape (2/6) 
Source: ING
6. Implementation: separate your systems by type (3/6) 
Source: Forrester
Cross functional teams 
•Product driven 
•No projects 
•No ITIL 
Self Service 
•Automated Testing 
•Automated Configuration 
Streamlined Operating Procedures 
•Continuous Integration 
•Collaborative Development 
•Continuous Monitoring & Feedback 
DevOps properties1 
Preconditions DevOps 
Impact our time1 
Lead to business outcomes1 
Agility 
Resiliency 
1 See also:: http://www.pwc.com/us/en/technology-forecast/2013/issue2/features/cios-agility-stability-paradox.jhtml 
6. Implementation: Use DevOps if possible, PMO if necessary (4/6)
6. Implementation: 1 size fits all architecture pattern (5/6) 
Internet (open) 
Access Management (access layer) 
Representation 
(presentation layer) 
Authorization Management 
(application layer) 
Application 
1 
Application n 
May I enter the house? 
What goods and services 
am I allowed to 
use in these rooms? 
Any device 
Offices (closed) 
For which rooms do you 
give me the key(s)? 
What goods and services 
am I allowed to 
use in these rooms? 
Protocol and data- format decoupling such as: Citrix, 
HTML 5, JSON, XML, Sybase SUP and so on 
Application 2 
Application 3
6. Implementation: Allow for pro-active business scenario’s (6/6) 
© Wim Bouman, Alliander IT 
Needs semantics
7. Governance: Extend GRC structure 
GRC 
controls testing 
Operations 
Yearly audits 
& escalations
7. Governance: Allow for quality driven IT using ISO and OCEG 
Source: OCEG
7. Governance: The optimized portfolio 
Source: http://toolsformoney.com/portfolio_optimization.htm/ 
Ʃ
Questions? 
Alliander IT CIO Office 
Michel de Goede 
Thank you!

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Exploring the upside of risk: optimize the IT portfolio

  • 1. Exploring the upside of risk optimize the IT portfolio “Opportunities multiply as they are seized.” Sun Tzu Alliander IT CIO Office Michel de Goede
  • 2. 1. Introduction of Alliander
  • 3. 2. The EU (1/3) Low prices for all, better quality, more choice Innovation Better competitors in global markets
  • 4. 2. The EU (2/3) Sustainable, secure and affordable energy for Europeans
  • 5. 2. The EU (3/3) 2020 Goals: •20% reduction of greenhouse gas emission •20% share for renewable energy sources •20% saving in energy consumption Measures: •Step up energy performance •Improve energy transformation •Financing •Change behaviour
  • 6. 3. Issues of a grid operator: Electric vehicles (1/5) •Roll out of thousands of electric vehicle charging stations •Grid Capacity is insufficient •What if we use cars as backup energy storage?
  • 7. 3. Issues of a grid operator: Two way traffic (2/5) Monetary flow Information flow Transmission Trade/PRP/ Shipper Distribution Supply Metering Production Physical flow © Jeroen Scheer, Alliander, 2011 •Flows change •Capacity increase
  • 8. 3. Issues of a grid operator: Smart metering and home automation (3/5) •Roll out of 5 Million Smart Meters (Gas + Electricity) •Inform customer regarding energy consumption and create awareness •Respect privacy concerns •Manage the potential data ocean
  • 9. 3. Issues of a grid operator: Smart city initiatives (4/5) •Combination of various techniques (Amsterdam) •Self healing and self regulating micro grid (Bronsbergen)
  • 10. 3. Issues of a grid operator: Smart grid (5/5) •Accommodate higher peaks and two-way traffic through intelligence •Accomodate energy transition scenario’s through intelligence •Provide the necessary information to all parties involved
  • 11. 4. Innovation: sixth Schumpeter / Kondratiev wave of innovation (1/5)
  • 12. 4. Innovation: The semantic wave (2/5)
  • 13. 4. Innovation: And then there is also..... (3/5) Source: Sogeti VINT
  • 14. 4. Innovation: And then there is also..... (4/5) Sources: Wired, PSFK, Google, Motorola, Artefact Group, Glow Caps
  • 15. Business Processes 4. Innovation: into the virtual world (5/5) Virtual World Personal Devices Home Automation Operational Technology IT Connected Organizations Crime
  • 16. 5. Business Model Innovation: Steering on output (1/5)
  • 17. 5. Business Model Innovaton: create composite services (2/5)
  • 18. 5. Business Model Innovation: choose your battles well (3/5) There typically are 6 potential treatments for both the up and downside of risk: •Ignore, the ostrich ‘see-no-evil-hear-no-evil’ tactic; •Accept, the potential impact of some risks may be deemed acceptable to your organization; •Reduce, e.g. the potential impact or probability of occurrence of a risk, like the banking app; •Transfer, use insurance or subcontracting to transfer potential consequences of risk; •Avoid , not entering the type of business that may incur potential risk impact deemed too high; •Exploit, risk is also an opportunity and high risk investments may yield high returns.
  • 19. 5. Business Model Innovation: Real option planning (4/5) Source: Ronald Poppe, Reader Financial Engineering, Rotterdam School of Management / Erasmus University Bankers understand steady cash-flows Insurance companies understand risk 1.Calculate future cash-flows 2.Calculate volatility 3.Calculate option value
  • 20. 5. Business Model Innovation: Lean startup methods (5/5) Source: Alexander Cowan, Steve Blank Agile
  • 21. 6. Implementation: Learn from the past (1/6) 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Traditional Ad-Hoc Lean Agile Iterative Successful Challenged Failed Copyright: Scott W. Ambler (see www.ambysoft.com/surveys/)
  • 22. 6. Implementation: use the different speeds in your landscape (2/6) Source: ING
  • 23. 6. Implementation: separate your systems by type (3/6) Source: Forrester
  • 24. Cross functional teams •Product driven •No projects •No ITIL Self Service •Automated Testing •Automated Configuration Streamlined Operating Procedures •Continuous Integration •Collaborative Development •Continuous Monitoring & Feedback DevOps properties1 Preconditions DevOps Impact our time1 Lead to business outcomes1 Agility Resiliency 1 See also:: http://www.pwc.com/us/en/technology-forecast/2013/issue2/features/cios-agility-stability-paradox.jhtml 6. Implementation: Use DevOps if possible, PMO if necessary (4/6)
  • 25. 6. Implementation: 1 size fits all architecture pattern (5/6) Internet (open) Access Management (access layer) Representation (presentation layer) Authorization Management (application layer) Application 1 Application n May I enter the house? What goods and services am I allowed to use in these rooms? Any device Offices (closed) For which rooms do you give me the key(s)? What goods and services am I allowed to use in these rooms? Protocol and data- format decoupling such as: Citrix, HTML 5, JSON, XML, Sybase SUP and so on Application 2 Application 3
  • 26. 6. Implementation: Allow for pro-active business scenario’s (6/6) © Wim Bouman, Alliander IT Needs semantics
  • 27. 7. Governance: Extend GRC structure GRC controls testing Operations Yearly audits & escalations
  • 28. 7. Governance: Allow for quality driven IT using ISO and OCEG Source: OCEG
  • 29. 7. Governance: The optimized portfolio Source: http://toolsformoney.com/portfolio_optimization.htm/ Ʃ
  • 30. Questions? Alliander IT CIO Office Michel de Goede Thank you!