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BUSINESS VALUATION &
FINANCIAL ADVISORY SERVICES
VALUE FOCUS
Exploration & Production
First Quarter 2022 // Region Focus: Eagle Ford
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Oil prices rose through the quarter as increased demand was met with continued producer restraint. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) front-month futures began the
quarter at $75/bbl and settled just over $100/bbl to close the quarter, after peaking March 8th at $124/bbl. The climbing prices come as geopolitics became front
and center with Russia launching its invasion of Ukraine. Western nations enacted a series of economic sanctions against Russia. While the sanctions generally
included carve-outs for energy exports, issues with financing and insurance, as well as the exit of Western oil and gas companies and oilfield service providers
from Russia, have resulted in a substantial decline in Russian oil exports. Russia was the third-largest producer of petroleum and other liquids in 2020, behind
the U.S. and just shy of Saudi Arabia, according to data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Prices swung dramatically throughout March
based on the progress of peace talks, among other new developments pertaining to the conflict; the high price volatility is the direct reaction from global markets
weighing the potential that much Russian oil may no longer be available.
Contact Us
BUSINESS VALUATION &
FINANCIAL ADVISORY SERVICES
Oil and Gas Industry Services
Mercer Capital provides business valuation and financial advisory services to
companies in the energy industry.
Services Provided
•	 Valuation of oil & gas companies
•	 Transaction advisory for acquisitions and
divestitures
•	 Valuations for purchase accounting and
impairment testing
•	 Fairness and solvency opinions
•	 Litigation support for economic damages and
valuation and shareholder disputes
Learn More about Mercer Capital &
our Oil and Gas Industry Services at
mer.cr/oilgas
Copyright © 2022 Mercer Capital Management, Inc. All rights reserved. It is illegal under Federal law to reproduce this publication or any portion of its contents without the publisher’s permission. Media quotations with source attribution are encouraged. Reporters requesting additional
information or editorial comment should contact Barbara Walters Price at 901.685.2120. Mercer Capital’s Industry Focus is published quarterly and does not constitute legal or financial consulting advice. It is offered as an information service to our clients and friends. Those interested
in specific guidance for legal or accounting matters should seek competent professional advice. Inquiries to discuss specific valuation matters are welcomed. To add your name to our mailing list to receive this complimentary publication, visit our web site at www.mercercapital.com.
In This Issue
Oil and Gas Commodity Prices 		 1
Macro Update	
Domestic Dynamics
(Not Russia’s) Keeping Public
Valuations Relatively Grounded	 2
Private Companies Take to the Front	
3
Region Focus: Eagle Ford	 5
Production and Activity Levels	 5
Financial Performance	  7
Survey Says Eagle Ford Wells
Among Most Economic	 8
Market Valuations  Transaction History	10
Transaction Activity Picks Over
Past Four Quarters	 10
SilverBow Resources Builds Up its
Eagle Ford Assets	 11
Callon Petroleum Divests Non-Core
Eagle Ford Assets	 11
Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. Acquires
Non-Operated Appalachian Assets	
12
Selected Public Company Information	13
Production	 17
Rig Count	 18
Industry Segments
Mercer Capital serves the following industry segments:
•	 Exploration  Production
•	 Oil Field Services
•	 Midstream Operations
•	 Alternative Energy
•	 Downstream
•	 Retail
Bryce Erickson, ASA, MRICS
214.468.8400
ericksonb@mercercapital.com
Dallas Office
Don Erickson, ASA
214.468.8400
ericksond@mercercapital.com
Dallas Office
J. David Smith, ASA, CFA
713.239.1005
smithd@mercercapital.com
Houston Office
Sebastian S. Elzein
214.468.8400
elzeins@mercercapital.com
Dallas Office
Justin J. F. Ramirez, ASA, ABV
832.966.0307
ramirezj@mercercapital.com
Houston Office
© 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation  Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 1
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy
Oil prices rose through the quarter as increased demand was met with continued producer restraint. While the shale
revolution had largely put geopolitics in the back seat as a key driver of commodity prices, geopolitics once again
became front and center as Russia launched its invasion of Ukraine. In response, Western nations launched a series
of economic sanctions against Russia. While the sanctions generally included carve-outs for energy exports,
issues with financing and insurance, as well as the exit of Western oil and gas companies and oilfield service
providers from Russia, have resulted in a substantial decline in oil exports from the country. Russia was the third-
largest producer of petroleum and other liquids in 2020, according to data from the EIA, behind the U.S. and just shy
of Saudi Arabia. The potential for that much oil to no longer be available for global markets has led to a high degree of
volatility in oil prices. WTI front-month futures prices began the quarter at ~$75/bbl, peaked at $124/bbl in early March,
and settled at just over $120/bbl to end the quarter. Prices have swung dramatically based on actions in Ukraine and
the progress of peace talks.
Natural gas prices did not exhibit the same level of volatility as oil prices, given the more localized nature of the com-
modity. However, natural gas is becoming more globalized as Europe grapples with how to replace Russian imports.
One obvious source is the United States, as President Biden pledged to boost LNG exports to Europe, despite these
same exports being demonized by Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren just a few short months ago. Adminis-
tration officials are aiming to increase European LNG exports to 50 billion cubic meters annually, up from 22 billion
cubic meters exported to the EU last year.
Oil and Gas
Commodity
Prices
Commodity Futures Prices
$0.00
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
$6.00
$7.00
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
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Natural
Gas
($/mmbtu)
Crude
Oil
($/bbl)
WTI Brent Henry Hub
Source: Capital IQ
Price Volatility
© 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation  Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 2
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy
Macro Update As the term “energy security” comes back into the public lexicon, the values of U.S. oil companies are rising. This
comes at the delight of some and chagrin of others. Regardless, it represents a foreshadowing of a potential lon-
ger-term cycle; whereby U.S. oil production being able to meet energy demands will be increasingly important. Many
believe the U.S. is now the world’s “swing” producer (although John Hess disagrees), and it is not due to government
action (or inaction). Biden’s third SPR release in the last six months is largely symbolic and more of a political gesture
than a meaningful macro-economic needle mover. Demand and supply were drifting apart before Russia’s invasion
of Ukraine and this geopolitical dynamic has only widened that gap. The market participants best positioned to seize
upon this unexpected gap are private U.S. operators.
The current price expectations of oil make a lot of reserves economically attractive. The rate of return on capital
deployed for drilling is going to (if not already) outstrip the demand for other capital deployment options such as divi-
dends or debt repayment. However, most U.S. public companies are not shifting their strategies.
As we have written before, shareholders have demanded returns from oil companies for years now in forms other
than production growth. Oil company valuation in its fundamental form is a function of the present value of future cash
flows. Therefore, if capital available today is best served in drilling more wells tomorrow, then production growth is
the most efficient path to a higher value. At historical prices from a year ago, the decision to return more capital to
shareholders (as opposed to deploying it in capex) made sense. It doesn’t now. However, public companies have yet
to change the courses they’ve been setting for the past several years. That’s partly why the public sector (using XOP
as a proxy) only rose 65% in the past year while prices nearly doubled.
Demand is strong with the anticipated depletion of Russian oil on world markets. U.S. capital budgets would have to
quadruple by the end of 2024 for shale to replace Russian oil exports to continental Europe according to Wells Fargo.
In addition, break even prices in most basins for new wells are still around where they were a year ago according to
the Dallas Fed Survey. That cost is going up and will continue to, but there is still lots of room for profitability at over
$100 per barrel. Also, as I have mentioned before as well, DUC wells continue to shrink. In summary, there are a lot
of signals to public companies to “drill baby drill”, yet they aren’t.
Domestic Dynamics
(Not Russia’s) Keeping
Public Valuations
Relatively Grounded
© 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation  Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 3
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy
Macro Update
(cont.)
Private Companies
Take to the Front
To be fair there are some caution signs on the horizon that should be considered and are baked into these public val-
uations. First, the futures curve is still backwardated, meaning that prices are anticipated to fall in the future (not rise).
However, even the long-term NYMEX curve is still over $70 in four years, which is still profitable for a lot of reserve
inventory. Second, new wells drilled today appear to be less productive. The EIA’s drilling productivity report shows
that new well production per rig is going down (although they acknowledge that metric is “unstable” right now). Lastly
oilfield services markets have become very tight.
Labor and equipment shortages, along with inflation in oil country tubular goods and shortages of key
equipment and materials, will limit growth in our business and U.S. oil production. In particular, truck
drivers are in critical shortage, perhaps due to competition from delivery services.
– Dallas Fed Survey Respondent
Enter the private oil companies. If forecasts suggest the U.S. can add between 600,000 and 800,000 barrels of oil by
the end of the year (EIA says this can be 760,000) then the path to get there will be through the drill bits of private
and private equity backed producers. According to an Enverus Report cited by Hart Energy, these types of operators
have assumed the vast majority of new rig activity since the summer of 2020. With fewer external concerns, less ESG
pressure, and lower regulatory costs, the private sector’s flexibility and nimbleness allow it to surge in front in search
of the growth that the fundamental economics suggest is lurking.
© 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation  Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 4
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy
Macro Update
(cont.)
Merger and acquisition activity suggested that the markets signaled to potential buyers that the time was right to
increase their footprint in southern Texas while conversely providing for an exit for sellers who could either capitalize
on the prospect of a continued upswing in energy prices or redeploy capital elsewhere.
Whatever the exact incentives may have been that drove the MA activity, the result was ten deals closed, mostly by
private buyers or small-cap producers such as SilverBow Resources.
These implied valuation metrics suggest that there are outsized returns to be made on incremental new wells at the
present time. Lots of eyes are turning to watch U.S. production, not only in the Permian, but South Texas, Oklahoma,
and the Bakken as well. What they are seeing right now is public companies remaining grounded with their capital,
while private companies could be leaving them behind – and quickly.
Private Companies
Take to the Front
(cont.)
© 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation  Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 5
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy
The economics of oil and gas production varies by region. Mercer Capital focuses on trends in the Eagle Ford,
Permian, Bakken, and Appalachia plays. The cost of producing oil and gas depends on the geological makeup of
the reserve, depth of reserve, and cost to transport the raw crude to market. We can observe different costs in dif-
ferent regions depending on these factors. This quarter we take a closer look at the Eagle Ford.
Estimated Eagle Ford production (on a barrels of oil equivalent, or “boe,” basis) increased approximately 4% year-
over-year through March. This is in line with the production increases seen in the Bakken and Appalachia (4% and
5%, respectively), but lags behind the Permian, where production increased 14% year-over-year.
Eagle Ford
Production and Activity
Levels
1-Year Change in Production
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
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Bakken Eagle Ford Permian Appalachia
Source: Energy Information Administration
Source: EIA
© 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation  Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 6
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy
There were 56 rigs in the Eagle Ford as of March 31, 2022, up 81% from 31 rigs one year prior. Bakken, Permian, and
Appalachia rig counts were up 136%, 44%, and 21%, respectively, over the same period.
One may wonder why the Eagle Ford has lagged the Permian in terms of production growth, despite a larger increase
in rigs. The answer has to do with legacy production declines and new well production per rig. Based on data from
the EIA, the Eagle Ford needs ~40-45 rigs running to offset existing production declines, and only recently (starting
in January) had more rigs running than this maintenance level. The Permian has generally been operating with more
than the maintenance level of rigs, so it has seen a higher level of production growth despite a smaller increase in rigs.
However, with 56 rigs now running in the Eagle Ford, more production growth should be on the way.
Production and Activity
Levels (cont.)
1-Year Change in Rig Count
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
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Bakken Eagle Ford Permian Appalachia Total
Source: Baker Hughes
© 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation  Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 7
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy
The Eagle Ford public comp group saw relatively strong stock price performance over the past year. The beneficial
commodity price environment was a significant tailwind to smaller, more leveraged producers like SilverBow and
Ranger, whose stock prices increased 311% and 158%, respectively, during the past year, outperforming the broader
EP sector (as proxied by XOP, which rose 65% during the same period). Larger, less leveraged EOG was a laggard,
with its stock price rising 64%, slightly behind the broader EP sector.
Financial Performance
1-Year Change in Stock Price
-100%
-50%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
400%
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EOG MGY ROCC SBOW XOP
Source: Capital IQ
Source: SP Capital IQ Pro
© 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation  Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 8
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy
According to participants of the First Quarter 2022 Dallas Fed Energy Survey, Eagle Ford wells are among the most
economic in the nation.
Survey Says Eagle Ford
Wells Among Most
Economic
In the top two areas in which your firm is active: What West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price does your firm
need to cover operating expenses for existing wells?
© 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation  Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 9
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy
Survey respondents indicated that the average WTI price needed to break even on existing Eagle Ford wells was
$23/bbl. This is below the average breakeven in the Permian ($28-$29) and other parts of the U.S. ($30+). While
the economic advantage diminishes somewhat with respect to drilling new wells, the Eagle Ford also had the lowest
average breakeven for new development, with producers needing WTI at $48/bbl to profitably drill new wells, besting
the Permian ($50-51) and other parts of the country ($54-$69).
The Eagle Ford’s economic advantage comes from both its geology and geography. The basin’s proximity to Gulf
Coast refining and export markets gives it a leg up relative to more inland basins.
Survey Says Eagle Ford
Wells Among Most
Economic (cont.)
In the top two areas in which your firm is active: What WTI oil price does your firm need to profitably drill
a new well?
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy
© 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation  Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 10
Market Valuations  Transaction History
Deal activity in the Eagle Ford increased over the past year as energy prices recovered from a tumultuous 2020. As
we noted in June of last year, production in the Eagle Ford remained relatively flat over the prior year despite 146%
growth in the regional rig count, suggesting the significant increase in drilling activity was just enough to offset the
decline in already-producing wells, but not economical enough to meaningfully spur growth in production. This may
also have signaled to potential buyers that the time was right to increase their footprint in southern Texas, while con-
versely providing an exit for sellers who could either capitalize on the prospect of continued upswing in energy prices
or redeploy capital elsewhere. Whatever the exact incentives may have been that drove the MA activity, the result
was that 10 deals closed in the Eagle Ford over the past 4 quarters, up from 8 transactions closed in the 4 quarters
prior to then.
A table detailing EP transaction activity in the Eagle Ford over the last twelve months is shown below. The median
deal value in the past 4 quarters ($370 million) was approximately $282 million higher than the median deal value
from Q2 2020 to Q1 2021, excluding Chevron’s acquisition of Noble Energy in July 2020. The average deal value
over the past year ($573 million) was more than double the average value ($274 million) over the prior year (excluding
the Chevron-Noble Energy deal). Also notable, larger positions were transacted over the past year, with a median
size of 45,000 net acres as compared to 26,500 net acres in the prior year (excluding Chevron-Noble Energy), and an
average deal acreage of nearly 80,000 net acres this past year which was more than double the average of 34,775
net acres in the prior year.
Transaction Activity Picks
Over Past Four Quarters
Announced
Date Buyer Seller
Deal Value
($MM) $ / Acre $ / Boe/d
3/7/2022 WildFire Energy MD America Energy LLC Undisclosed nm nm
1/12/2022 Desert Peak Minerals Falcon Minerals 1,900 56,427 nm
11/22/2021 Paloma Partners Llc Goodrich Petroleum Corp. 480 6,828 15,219
10/11/2021 Undisclosed Buyer Callon Petroleum Co. 100 4,545 52,632
10/11/2021 SilverBow Resources Undisclosed Seller 75 4,412 30,000
8/16/2021 SilverBow Resources Undisclosed Seller 33 733 20,886
8/11/2021 Encap Investments EP Energy Corp 1,500 5,474 18,657
7/12/2021 Penn Virginia Corp Lonestar Resources Ltd. 370 6,981 28,462
7/9/2021 WildFire Energy Hawkwood Energy Llc 650 4,063 43,333
6/14/2021 Earthstone Energy Inc. Undisclosed Seller 48 nm 41,739
Median $370 $5,010 $29,231
Average $573 $11,183 $31,366
Source: Shale Experts and company filings.
© 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation  Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 11
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy
On October 4, 2021, SilverBow Resources announced the closing of its purchase to acquire oil and gas assets in the
Eagle Ford from an undisclosed seller in an all-stock transaction. The aggregate purchase price for these assets was
$33 million, with the transaction consisting of approximately 1.5 million shares of SilverBow’s common stock. In late
November 2021, SilverBow announced another transaction closed with its purchase of oil and gas assets from an
undisclosed seller for $75 million, including $45 million in cash and approximately 1.35 million shares of SilverBow’s
common stock.
Of this second transaction, Sean Woolverton, CEO of SilverBow, commented, “This is the third acquisition we have
closed in the second half of this year. This transaction represents SilverBow’s largest to date. As we look to 2022,
the Company is set to grow production by double digits in part from the incremental development locations and a full
year’s worth of contribution from the acquired assets. With greater cash flow and liquidity, SilverBow remains well-po-
sitioned for strategic MA and further de-levering.
On October 5, 2021, Callon Petroleum – one of the upstream companies we follow regularly in our quarterly review
of earnings call themes from EP operators – announced it had entered into an agreement to sell non-core acreage
in the Eagle Ford as part of its acquisition of leasehold interests and related oil, gas, and infrastructure assets in the
Permian basin from Primexx Energy Partners. Total cash proceeds from the divestiture were approximately $100
million. The Eagle Ford properties included approximately 22,000 net acres in northern LaSalle and Frio counties.
Net daily production from the properties was approximately 1,900 Boe/d (66% oil) on average in the third quarter
through month-end August. Callon noted in its press release that the sale would eliminate approximately $50 million
in capital expenditures related to continuous drilling obligations over the next two years, allowing for redeployment of
capital to higher return projects.
Market Valuations 
Transaction History
(cont.)
SilverBow Resources
Builds Up its Eagle Ford
Assets
Callon Petroleum Divests
Non-Core Eagle Ford
Assets
© 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation  Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 12
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy
Market Valuations 
Transaction History
(cont.)
On February 3, Northern Oil and Gas (NYSEAM:NOG) agreed to acquire certain non-operated natural gas assets
in the Appalachian basin from Reliance Marcellus, LLC (“Reliance”), a subsidiary of Reliance Industries, Ltd., for a total
consideration of $175 million in cash and approximately 3.25 million warrants to purchase shares of NOG common
stock at an exercise price of $14.00 per share. The transaction was expected to be funded through a combination
of equity and debt financings and anticipated to be leverage neutral on a trailing basis and leverage accretive on a
forward basis. At the effective date of July 1, 2020, the acquired assets were producing approximately 120 MMcfe/d
of natural gas equivalents, net to Northern Oil and Gas. The assets were expected to produce approximately 100,110
MMcfe/d (or approximately 19,000 Boe/d) in 2021, net to Northern Oil and Gas, and consisted of approximately 64,000
net acres containing approximately 102.2 net producing wells, 22.6 net wells in process, and 231.1 net undrilled loca-
tions in the core of the Marcellus and Utica plays.
Furthermore, an inventory of 94 gross highly-economic, work-in-progress (“WIP”) wells were slated for completion
over the following five years by EQT. As of the transaction announcement, approximately $50 million of net devel-
opment capital had already been deployed on the WIP wells, which was not subject to reimbursement by Northern
Oil and Gas. The acquisition complemented Northern Oil and Gas’s then-existing approximate 183,000 net acreage
portfolio in the Williston and Permian basins. As of year-end 2020, the acquired assets held an estimated 493 Bcf of
proved reserves, of which approximately 55% were comprised of PDP reserves, with PV-10 of $269 million (at strip
pricing as of January 20, 2021).
Nick O’Grady, Northern Oil and Gas’s CEO, commented, “This transaction furthers our goal of becoming a national
non-operated franchise with low leverage, strong free cash flow and a path towards returning capital to shareholders.
With this transaction, we expect increased opportunities to efficiently allocate capital and diversify risk, our com-
modity mix and geographic footprint.”
Northern Oil and Gas,
Inc. Acquires Non-
Operated Appalachian
Assets
© 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation  Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 13
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy
Mercer Capital tracks the performance of Exploration and Production companies across different mineral reserves in order to understand how the current pricing envi-
ronment affects operators in each region. We created an index of seven groups to better understand performance trends across reserves and the industry. The current
pricing multiples of each company in the index are summarized below.
Appendix A
Selected Public Company Information
as of 3/31/2022
Company Name Ticker
3/31/2022
Enterprise Value
YoY % Change in
Stock Price
EBITDAX
Margin
EV/
EBITDAX
Daily
Production
(mboe/d)
Price per Flowing
Barrel*
Global Integrated
Exxon Mobil Corp XOM $402,985 47.9% 20.4% 7.1x 3,445 $116,965
Shell PLC SHEL $264,782 42.3% 20.9% 4.8x 3,067 $86,332
Chevron Corp CVX $347,190 55.4% 25.4% 8.8x 3,067 $113,212
BP PLC BP. $149,452 21.6% 19.0% 5.0x 2,820 $52,991
Equinor ASA EQNR $122,401 93.0% 49.4% 2.8x 2,104 $58,168
Group Median 47.9% 20.9% 5.0x 3,067 $86,332
Global EP
Marathon Oil Corporation MRO $21,882 135.1% 67.0% 5.8x 347 $63,056
Hess Corporation HES $40,136 51.3% 54.9% 10.0x 337 $119,038
ConocoPhillips COP $143,615 88.8% 44.2% 7.0x 1,788 $80,332
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $91,297 113.1% 56.2% 6.3x 1,157 $78,875
APA Corporation APA $23,381 130.9% 57.5% 5.1x 401 $58,364
Murphy Oil Corporation MUR $9,284 146.1% 60.6% 5.5x 171 $54,435
Group Median 122.0% 56.9% 6.0x 374 $70,965
Source: Bloomberg L.P.
•	 Price per Flowing Barrel is EV/daily production ($/boe/d)
•	 We review 10-K’s and annual reports from guideline companies to ensure companies continue to operate in the regions and groups we have identified.
© 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation  Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 14
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy
as of 3/31/2022
Company Name Ticker
3/31/2022
Enterprise Value
YoY % Change in
Stock Price
EBITDAX
Margin
EV/
EBITDAX
Daily
Production
(mboe/d)
Price per Flowing
Barrel*
Bakken
Continental Resources, Inc. CLR $29,254 137.1% 82.9% 6.5x 392 $74,586
Whiting Petroleum Corporation WLL $3,177 129.93% 37.4% 5.5x 93 $33,987
Oasis Petroleum Inc. OAS $3,263 146.34% 9.3% 23.5x 95 $34,226
Group Median 137.1% 37.41% 6.5x 95 $34,226
Appalachia
Range Resources Corporation RRC $10,719 194.1% 30.5% 9.7x 359 $29,842
EQT Corporation EQT $18,395 85.2% 11.6% 23.6x 925 $19,892
Coterra Energy Inc CTRA $9,598 43.6% 65.1% 10.2x 639 $15,019
Antero Resources Corporation AR $15,463 199.3% 39.3% 6.0x 533 $29,018
Southwestern Energy Company SWN $13,553 54.2% 13.6% 15.0x 761 $17,804
Group Median 85.2% 30.5% 10.2x 639 $19,892
Permian Basin
Diamondback Energy, Inc. FANG $31,528 86.5% 68.2% 7.2x 374 $84,238
Centennial Resource Development, Inc. CDEV $3,052 92.1% 53.9% 5.5x 65 $47,079
Callon Petroleum Company CPE $6,359 53.3% 44.0% 7.1x 105 $60,580
Laredo Petroleum, Inc. LPI $2,724 163.3% 36.5% 5.3x 83 $32,902
Pioneer Natural Resources Company PXD $64,523 57.4% 39.4% 9.2x 640 $100,826
Group Median 86.5% 44.0% 7.1x 105 $60,580
Eagle Ford
Source: Bloomberg L.P.
•	 Price per Flowing Barrel is EV/daily production ($/boe/d)
•	 We review 10-K’s and annual reports from guideline companies to ensure companies continue to operate in the regions and groups we have identified.
Appendix A
Selected Public Company Information
© 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation  Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 15
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy
as of 3/31/2022
Company Name Ticker
3/31/2022
Enterprise Value
YoY % Change in
Stock Price
EBITDAX
Margin
EV/
EBITDAX
Daily
Production
(mboe/d)
Price per Flowing
Barrel*
EOG Resources, Inc. EOG $70,494 64.4% 55.4% 6.4x 901 $78,268
Magnolia Oil  Gas Corporation MGY $4,719 106.0% 76.8% 5.7x 72 $65,785
SilverBow Resources, Inc. SBOW $920 311.3% 48.9% 4.6x 41 $22,227
Ranger Oil Corporation ROCC $1,660 157.7% 60.0% 5.0x 40 $41,318
Group Median 131.8% 57.7% 5.4x 57 $53,551
OVERALL MEDIAN 92.6% 46.6% 6.3x 396 $58,266
Source: Bloomberg L.P.
•	 Price per Flowing Barrel is EV/daily production ($/boe/d)
•	 We review 10-K’s and annual reports from guideline companies to ensure companies continue to operate in the regions and groups we have identified.
Appendix A
Selected Public Company Information
© 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation  Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 16
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy
Price per Flowing Barrel
Appendix A
Selected Public
Company
Information
The following graph depicts the median of EV/production multiples, also known as price per flowing barrel, for Q1 2022,
as compared to the median multiples for Q4 2021.
•	 Price per Flowing Barrel is EV/ daily production ($/boe/d)
•	 This is simply a graphic depiction of median figures of our selected public companies for each region. This should be interpreted solely in
the context of relative valuation between the various basins over time. Bloomberg aggregates this raw data, and Mercer Capital does not
represent or warrant these figures as indicative of valuation multiples attributable to EP companies or other interests.
$0
$30,000
$60,000
$90,000
2021 Q4 2022 Q1
Bakken Eagle Ford Permian Appalachia
Source: Bloomberg
© 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation  Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 17
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy
Appendix B
Production
Oil production in the Bakken,
Eagle Ford, and Permian
increased over the last year by
3.9%, 7.1%, and 17.7%, respec-
tively. Appalachia, however,
experienced a production
decline of 11.0% year-over-year.
Natural gas production in the
Bakken, Eagle Ford, Permian,
and Appalachia all increased
over the last year 10.5%, 13.0%,
17.5%, and 5.8% respectively.
Daily Production of Crude Oil
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
M
ar-17
M
ar-18
M
ar-19
M
ar-20
M
ar-21
M
ar-22
Thousand
Barrels
per
Day
Bakken Eagle Ford Permian Appalachia
Source: EIA
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
M
ar-17
M
ar-18
M
ar-19
M
ar-20
M
ar-21
M
ar-22
Thousand
Barrels
per
Day
Bakken Eagle Ford Permian Appalachia
Source: EIA
Daily Production of Natural Gas
© 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation  Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 18
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy
Appendix C
Rig Count
Rig Count by Region
Baker Hughes collects and publishes information regarding active drilling rigs in the United States and internationally.
The number of active rigs is a key indicator of demand for oilfield services  equipment. Factors influencing rig counts
include energy prices, investment climate, technological changes, regulatory activity, weather, and seasonality.
The number of active rigs in the U.S. as of March 31, 2022 stood at 668, nearly 61% higher than the 416 count as of
March 31, 2021, and 14.0% greater than the count in December 2021. The rig count in the Bakken increased more
than twofold, from 14 to 33 rigs over the last year as energy prices increased.
1	
Calculations based on monthly crude oil and gas production and EIA drilling report by region.
0
300
600
900
1,200
M
a
r
-
1
7
S
e
p
-
1
7
M
a
r
-
1
8
S
e
p
-
1
8
M
a
r
-
1
9
S
e
p
-
1
9
M
a
r
-
2
0
S
e
p
-
2
0
M
a
r
-
2
1
S
e
p
-
2
1
M
a
r
-
2
2
Bakken Eagle Ford Permian Appalachia Other
Source: Baker Hughes
© 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation  Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 19
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
M
a
r
-
1
7
S
e
p
-
1
7
M
a
r
-
1
8
S
e
p
-
1
8
M
a
r
-
1
9
S
e
p
-
1
9
M
a
r
-
2
0
S
e
p
-
2
0
M
a
r
-
2
1
S
e
p
-
2
1
M
a
r
-
2
2
Oil Gas
Source: Baker Hughes
U.S. Rig Count by Oil vs. Natural Gas
Appendix C
Rig Count
U.S. Rig Count by Trajectory
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
M
a
r
-
1
7
S
e
p
-
1
7
M
a
r
-
1
8
S
e
p
-
1
8
M
a
r
-
1
9
S
e
p
-
1
9
M
a
r
-
2
0
S
e
p
-
2
0
M
a
r
-
2
1
S
e
p
-
2
1
M
a
r
-
2
2
Directional Horizontal Vertical
Source: Baker Hughes
Mercer Capital
www.mercercapital.com

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Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Energy Industry | Q1 2022 | Region Focus: Eagle Ford

  • 1. BUSINESS VALUATION & FINANCIAL ADVISORY SERVICES VALUE FOCUS Exploration & Production First Quarter 2022 // Region Focus: Eagle Ford EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Oil prices rose through the quarter as increased demand was met with continued producer restraint. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) front-month futures began the quarter at $75/bbl and settled just over $100/bbl to close the quarter, after peaking March 8th at $124/bbl. The climbing prices come as geopolitics became front and center with Russia launching its invasion of Ukraine. Western nations enacted a series of economic sanctions against Russia. While the sanctions generally included carve-outs for energy exports, issues with financing and insurance, as well as the exit of Western oil and gas companies and oilfield service providers from Russia, have resulted in a substantial decline in Russian oil exports. Russia was the third-largest producer of petroleum and other liquids in 2020, behind the U.S. and just shy of Saudi Arabia, according to data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Prices swung dramatically throughout March based on the progress of peace talks, among other new developments pertaining to the conflict; the high price volatility is the direct reaction from global markets weighing the potential that much Russian oil may no longer be available.
  • 2. Contact Us BUSINESS VALUATION & FINANCIAL ADVISORY SERVICES Oil and Gas Industry Services Mercer Capital provides business valuation and financial advisory services to companies in the energy industry. Services Provided • Valuation of oil & gas companies • Transaction advisory for acquisitions and divestitures • Valuations for purchase accounting and impairment testing • Fairness and solvency opinions • Litigation support for economic damages and valuation and shareholder disputes Learn More about Mercer Capital & our Oil and Gas Industry Services at mer.cr/oilgas Copyright © 2022 Mercer Capital Management, Inc. All rights reserved. It is illegal under Federal law to reproduce this publication or any portion of its contents without the publisher’s permission. Media quotations with source attribution are encouraged. Reporters requesting additional information or editorial comment should contact Barbara Walters Price at 901.685.2120. Mercer Capital’s Industry Focus is published quarterly and does not constitute legal or financial consulting advice. It is offered as an information service to our clients and friends. Those interested in specific guidance for legal or accounting matters should seek competent professional advice. Inquiries to discuss specific valuation matters are welcomed. To add your name to our mailing list to receive this complimentary publication, visit our web site at www.mercercapital.com. In This Issue Oil and Gas Commodity Prices 1 Macro Update Domestic Dynamics (Not Russia’s) Keeping Public Valuations Relatively Grounded 2 Private Companies Take to the Front 3 Region Focus: Eagle Ford 5 Production and Activity Levels 5 Financial Performance 7 Survey Says Eagle Ford Wells Among Most Economic 8 Market Valuations Transaction History 10 Transaction Activity Picks Over Past Four Quarters 10 SilverBow Resources Builds Up its Eagle Ford Assets 11 Callon Petroleum Divests Non-Core Eagle Ford Assets 11 Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. Acquires Non-Operated Appalachian Assets 12 Selected Public Company Information 13 Production 17 Rig Count 18 Industry Segments Mercer Capital serves the following industry segments: • Exploration Production • Oil Field Services • Midstream Operations • Alternative Energy • Downstream • Retail Bryce Erickson, ASA, MRICS 214.468.8400 ericksonb@mercercapital.com Dallas Office Don Erickson, ASA 214.468.8400 ericksond@mercercapital.com Dallas Office J. David Smith, ASA, CFA 713.239.1005 smithd@mercercapital.com Houston Office Sebastian S. Elzein 214.468.8400 elzeins@mercercapital.com Dallas Office Justin J. F. Ramirez, ASA, ABV 832.966.0307 ramirezj@mercercapital.com Houston Office
  • 3. © 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 1 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy Oil prices rose through the quarter as increased demand was met with continued producer restraint. While the shale revolution had largely put geopolitics in the back seat as a key driver of commodity prices, geopolitics once again became front and center as Russia launched its invasion of Ukraine. In response, Western nations launched a series of economic sanctions against Russia. While the sanctions generally included carve-outs for energy exports, issues with financing and insurance, as well as the exit of Western oil and gas companies and oilfield service providers from Russia, have resulted in a substantial decline in oil exports from the country. Russia was the third- largest producer of petroleum and other liquids in 2020, according to data from the EIA, behind the U.S. and just shy of Saudi Arabia. The potential for that much oil to no longer be available for global markets has led to a high degree of volatility in oil prices. WTI front-month futures prices began the quarter at ~$75/bbl, peaked at $124/bbl in early March, and settled at just over $120/bbl to end the quarter. Prices have swung dramatically based on actions in Ukraine and the progress of peace talks. Natural gas prices did not exhibit the same level of volatility as oil prices, given the more localized nature of the com- modity. However, natural gas is becoming more globalized as Europe grapples with how to replace Russian imports. One obvious source is the United States, as President Biden pledged to boost LNG exports to Europe, despite these same exports being demonized by Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren just a few short months ago. Adminis- tration officials are aiming to increase European LNG exports to 50 billion cubic meters annually, up from 22 billion cubic meters exported to the EU last year. Oil and Gas Commodity Prices Commodity Futures Prices $0.00 $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 $6.00 $7.00 $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140 M a r - 2 1 A p r - 2 1 M a y - 2 1 J u n - 2 1 J u l - 2 1 A u g - 2 1 S e p - 2 1 O c t - 2 1 N o v - 2 1 D e c - 2 1 J a n - 2 2 F e b - 2 2 M a r - 2 2 Natural Gas ($/mmbtu) Crude Oil ($/bbl) WTI Brent Henry Hub Source: Capital IQ Price Volatility
  • 4. © 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 2 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy Macro Update As the term “energy security” comes back into the public lexicon, the values of U.S. oil companies are rising. This comes at the delight of some and chagrin of others. Regardless, it represents a foreshadowing of a potential lon- ger-term cycle; whereby U.S. oil production being able to meet energy demands will be increasingly important. Many believe the U.S. is now the world’s “swing” producer (although John Hess disagrees), and it is not due to government action (or inaction). Biden’s third SPR release in the last six months is largely symbolic and more of a political gesture than a meaningful macro-economic needle mover. Demand and supply were drifting apart before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and this geopolitical dynamic has only widened that gap. The market participants best positioned to seize upon this unexpected gap are private U.S. operators. The current price expectations of oil make a lot of reserves economically attractive. The rate of return on capital deployed for drilling is going to (if not already) outstrip the demand for other capital deployment options such as divi- dends or debt repayment. However, most U.S. public companies are not shifting their strategies. As we have written before, shareholders have demanded returns from oil companies for years now in forms other than production growth. Oil company valuation in its fundamental form is a function of the present value of future cash flows. Therefore, if capital available today is best served in drilling more wells tomorrow, then production growth is the most efficient path to a higher value. At historical prices from a year ago, the decision to return more capital to shareholders (as opposed to deploying it in capex) made sense. It doesn’t now. However, public companies have yet to change the courses they’ve been setting for the past several years. That’s partly why the public sector (using XOP as a proxy) only rose 65% in the past year while prices nearly doubled. Demand is strong with the anticipated depletion of Russian oil on world markets. U.S. capital budgets would have to quadruple by the end of 2024 for shale to replace Russian oil exports to continental Europe according to Wells Fargo. In addition, break even prices in most basins for new wells are still around where they were a year ago according to the Dallas Fed Survey. That cost is going up and will continue to, but there is still lots of room for profitability at over $100 per barrel. Also, as I have mentioned before as well, DUC wells continue to shrink. In summary, there are a lot of signals to public companies to “drill baby drill”, yet they aren’t. Domestic Dynamics (Not Russia’s) Keeping Public Valuations Relatively Grounded
  • 5. © 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 3 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy Macro Update (cont.) Private Companies Take to the Front To be fair there are some caution signs on the horizon that should be considered and are baked into these public val- uations. First, the futures curve is still backwardated, meaning that prices are anticipated to fall in the future (not rise). However, even the long-term NYMEX curve is still over $70 in four years, which is still profitable for a lot of reserve inventory. Second, new wells drilled today appear to be less productive. The EIA’s drilling productivity report shows that new well production per rig is going down (although they acknowledge that metric is “unstable” right now). Lastly oilfield services markets have become very tight. Labor and equipment shortages, along with inflation in oil country tubular goods and shortages of key equipment and materials, will limit growth in our business and U.S. oil production. In particular, truck drivers are in critical shortage, perhaps due to competition from delivery services. – Dallas Fed Survey Respondent Enter the private oil companies. If forecasts suggest the U.S. can add between 600,000 and 800,000 barrels of oil by the end of the year (EIA says this can be 760,000) then the path to get there will be through the drill bits of private and private equity backed producers. According to an Enverus Report cited by Hart Energy, these types of operators have assumed the vast majority of new rig activity since the summer of 2020. With fewer external concerns, less ESG pressure, and lower regulatory costs, the private sector’s flexibility and nimbleness allow it to surge in front in search of the growth that the fundamental economics suggest is lurking.
  • 6. © 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 4 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy Macro Update (cont.) Merger and acquisition activity suggested that the markets signaled to potential buyers that the time was right to increase their footprint in southern Texas while conversely providing for an exit for sellers who could either capitalize on the prospect of a continued upswing in energy prices or redeploy capital elsewhere. Whatever the exact incentives may have been that drove the MA activity, the result was ten deals closed, mostly by private buyers or small-cap producers such as SilverBow Resources. These implied valuation metrics suggest that there are outsized returns to be made on incremental new wells at the present time. Lots of eyes are turning to watch U.S. production, not only in the Permian, but South Texas, Oklahoma, and the Bakken as well. What they are seeing right now is public companies remaining grounded with their capital, while private companies could be leaving them behind – and quickly. Private Companies Take to the Front (cont.)
  • 7. © 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 5 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy The economics of oil and gas production varies by region. Mercer Capital focuses on trends in the Eagle Ford, Permian, Bakken, and Appalachia plays. The cost of producing oil and gas depends on the geological makeup of the reserve, depth of reserve, and cost to transport the raw crude to market. We can observe different costs in dif- ferent regions depending on these factors. This quarter we take a closer look at the Eagle Ford. Estimated Eagle Ford production (on a barrels of oil equivalent, or “boe,” basis) increased approximately 4% year- over-year through March. This is in line with the production increases seen in the Bakken and Appalachia (4% and 5%, respectively), but lags behind the Permian, where production increased 14% year-over-year. Eagle Ford Production and Activity Levels 1-Year Change in Production -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% M a r - 2 1 A p r - 2 1 M a y - 2 1 J u n - 2 1 J u l - 2 1 A u g - 2 1 S e p - 2 1 O c t - 2 1 N o v - 2 1 D e c - 2 1 J a n - 2 2 F e b - 2 2 M a r - 2 2 Bakken Eagle Ford Permian Appalachia Source: Energy Information Administration Source: EIA
  • 8. © 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 6 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy There were 56 rigs in the Eagle Ford as of March 31, 2022, up 81% from 31 rigs one year prior. Bakken, Permian, and Appalachia rig counts were up 136%, 44%, and 21%, respectively, over the same period. One may wonder why the Eagle Ford has lagged the Permian in terms of production growth, despite a larger increase in rigs. The answer has to do with legacy production declines and new well production per rig. Based on data from the EIA, the Eagle Ford needs ~40-45 rigs running to offset existing production declines, and only recently (starting in January) had more rigs running than this maintenance level. The Permian has generally been operating with more than the maintenance level of rigs, so it has seen a higher level of production growth despite a smaller increase in rigs. However, with 56 rigs now running in the Eagle Ford, more production growth should be on the way. Production and Activity Levels (cont.) 1-Year Change in Rig Count -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% M a r - 2 1 A p r - 2 1 M a y - 2 1 J u n - 2 1 J u l - 2 1 A u g - 2 1 S e p - 2 1 O c t - 2 1 N o v - 2 1 D e c - 2 1 J a n - 2 2 F e b - 2 2 M a r - 2 2 Bakken Eagle Ford Permian Appalachia Total Source: Baker Hughes
  • 9. © 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 7 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy The Eagle Ford public comp group saw relatively strong stock price performance over the past year. The beneficial commodity price environment was a significant tailwind to smaller, more leveraged producers like SilverBow and Ranger, whose stock prices increased 311% and 158%, respectively, during the past year, outperforming the broader EP sector (as proxied by XOP, which rose 65% during the same period). Larger, less leveraged EOG was a laggard, with its stock price rising 64%, slightly behind the broader EP sector. Financial Performance 1-Year Change in Stock Price -100% -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350% 400% M a r - 2 1 A p r - 2 1 M a y - 2 1 J u n - 2 1 J u l - 2 1 A u g - 2 1 S e p - 2 1 O c t - 2 1 N o v - 2 1 D e c - 2 1 J a n - 2 2 F e b - 2 2 M a r - 2 2 EOG MGY ROCC SBOW XOP Source: Capital IQ Source: SP Capital IQ Pro
  • 10. © 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 8 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy According to participants of the First Quarter 2022 Dallas Fed Energy Survey, Eagle Ford wells are among the most economic in the nation. Survey Says Eagle Ford Wells Among Most Economic In the top two areas in which your firm is active: What West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price does your firm need to cover operating expenses for existing wells?
  • 11. © 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 9 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy Survey respondents indicated that the average WTI price needed to break even on existing Eagle Ford wells was $23/bbl. This is below the average breakeven in the Permian ($28-$29) and other parts of the U.S. ($30+). While the economic advantage diminishes somewhat with respect to drilling new wells, the Eagle Ford also had the lowest average breakeven for new development, with producers needing WTI at $48/bbl to profitably drill new wells, besting the Permian ($50-51) and other parts of the country ($54-$69). The Eagle Ford’s economic advantage comes from both its geology and geography. The basin’s proximity to Gulf Coast refining and export markets gives it a leg up relative to more inland basins. Survey Says Eagle Ford Wells Among Most Economic (cont.) In the top two areas in which your firm is active: What WTI oil price does your firm need to profitably drill a new well?
  • 12. Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy © 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 10 Market Valuations Transaction History Deal activity in the Eagle Ford increased over the past year as energy prices recovered from a tumultuous 2020. As we noted in June of last year, production in the Eagle Ford remained relatively flat over the prior year despite 146% growth in the regional rig count, suggesting the significant increase in drilling activity was just enough to offset the decline in already-producing wells, but not economical enough to meaningfully spur growth in production. This may also have signaled to potential buyers that the time was right to increase their footprint in southern Texas, while con- versely providing an exit for sellers who could either capitalize on the prospect of continued upswing in energy prices or redeploy capital elsewhere. Whatever the exact incentives may have been that drove the MA activity, the result was that 10 deals closed in the Eagle Ford over the past 4 quarters, up from 8 transactions closed in the 4 quarters prior to then. A table detailing EP transaction activity in the Eagle Ford over the last twelve months is shown below. The median deal value in the past 4 quarters ($370 million) was approximately $282 million higher than the median deal value from Q2 2020 to Q1 2021, excluding Chevron’s acquisition of Noble Energy in July 2020. The average deal value over the past year ($573 million) was more than double the average value ($274 million) over the prior year (excluding the Chevron-Noble Energy deal). Also notable, larger positions were transacted over the past year, with a median size of 45,000 net acres as compared to 26,500 net acres in the prior year (excluding Chevron-Noble Energy), and an average deal acreage of nearly 80,000 net acres this past year which was more than double the average of 34,775 net acres in the prior year. Transaction Activity Picks Over Past Four Quarters Announced Date Buyer Seller Deal Value ($MM) $ / Acre $ / Boe/d 3/7/2022 WildFire Energy MD America Energy LLC Undisclosed nm nm 1/12/2022 Desert Peak Minerals Falcon Minerals 1,900 56,427 nm 11/22/2021 Paloma Partners Llc Goodrich Petroleum Corp. 480 6,828 15,219 10/11/2021 Undisclosed Buyer Callon Petroleum Co. 100 4,545 52,632 10/11/2021 SilverBow Resources Undisclosed Seller 75 4,412 30,000 8/16/2021 SilverBow Resources Undisclosed Seller 33 733 20,886 8/11/2021 Encap Investments EP Energy Corp 1,500 5,474 18,657 7/12/2021 Penn Virginia Corp Lonestar Resources Ltd. 370 6,981 28,462 7/9/2021 WildFire Energy Hawkwood Energy Llc 650 4,063 43,333 6/14/2021 Earthstone Energy Inc. Undisclosed Seller 48 nm 41,739 Median $370 $5,010 $29,231 Average $573 $11,183 $31,366 Source: Shale Experts and company filings.
  • 13. © 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 11 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy On October 4, 2021, SilverBow Resources announced the closing of its purchase to acquire oil and gas assets in the Eagle Ford from an undisclosed seller in an all-stock transaction. The aggregate purchase price for these assets was $33 million, with the transaction consisting of approximately 1.5 million shares of SilverBow’s common stock. In late November 2021, SilverBow announced another transaction closed with its purchase of oil and gas assets from an undisclosed seller for $75 million, including $45 million in cash and approximately 1.35 million shares of SilverBow’s common stock. Of this second transaction, Sean Woolverton, CEO of SilverBow, commented, “This is the third acquisition we have closed in the second half of this year. This transaction represents SilverBow’s largest to date. As we look to 2022, the Company is set to grow production by double digits in part from the incremental development locations and a full year’s worth of contribution from the acquired assets. With greater cash flow and liquidity, SilverBow remains well-po- sitioned for strategic MA and further de-levering. On October 5, 2021, Callon Petroleum – one of the upstream companies we follow regularly in our quarterly review of earnings call themes from EP operators – announced it had entered into an agreement to sell non-core acreage in the Eagle Ford as part of its acquisition of leasehold interests and related oil, gas, and infrastructure assets in the Permian basin from Primexx Energy Partners. Total cash proceeds from the divestiture were approximately $100 million. The Eagle Ford properties included approximately 22,000 net acres in northern LaSalle and Frio counties. Net daily production from the properties was approximately 1,900 Boe/d (66% oil) on average in the third quarter through month-end August. Callon noted in its press release that the sale would eliminate approximately $50 million in capital expenditures related to continuous drilling obligations over the next two years, allowing for redeployment of capital to higher return projects. Market Valuations Transaction History (cont.) SilverBow Resources Builds Up its Eagle Ford Assets Callon Petroleum Divests Non-Core Eagle Ford Assets
  • 14. © 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 12 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy Market Valuations Transaction History (cont.) On February 3, Northern Oil and Gas (NYSEAM:NOG) agreed to acquire certain non-operated natural gas assets in the Appalachian basin from Reliance Marcellus, LLC (“Reliance”), a subsidiary of Reliance Industries, Ltd., for a total consideration of $175 million in cash and approximately 3.25 million warrants to purchase shares of NOG common stock at an exercise price of $14.00 per share. The transaction was expected to be funded through a combination of equity and debt financings and anticipated to be leverage neutral on a trailing basis and leverage accretive on a forward basis. At the effective date of July 1, 2020, the acquired assets were producing approximately 120 MMcfe/d of natural gas equivalents, net to Northern Oil and Gas. The assets were expected to produce approximately 100,110 MMcfe/d (or approximately 19,000 Boe/d) in 2021, net to Northern Oil and Gas, and consisted of approximately 64,000 net acres containing approximately 102.2 net producing wells, 22.6 net wells in process, and 231.1 net undrilled loca- tions in the core of the Marcellus and Utica plays. Furthermore, an inventory of 94 gross highly-economic, work-in-progress (“WIP”) wells were slated for completion over the following five years by EQT. As of the transaction announcement, approximately $50 million of net devel- opment capital had already been deployed on the WIP wells, which was not subject to reimbursement by Northern Oil and Gas. The acquisition complemented Northern Oil and Gas’s then-existing approximate 183,000 net acreage portfolio in the Williston and Permian basins. As of year-end 2020, the acquired assets held an estimated 493 Bcf of proved reserves, of which approximately 55% were comprised of PDP reserves, with PV-10 of $269 million (at strip pricing as of January 20, 2021). Nick O’Grady, Northern Oil and Gas’s CEO, commented, “This transaction furthers our goal of becoming a national non-operated franchise with low leverage, strong free cash flow and a path towards returning capital to shareholders. With this transaction, we expect increased opportunities to efficiently allocate capital and diversify risk, our com- modity mix and geographic footprint.” Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. Acquires Non- Operated Appalachian Assets
  • 15. © 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 13 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy Mercer Capital tracks the performance of Exploration and Production companies across different mineral reserves in order to understand how the current pricing envi- ronment affects operators in each region. We created an index of seven groups to better understand performance trends across reserves and the industry. The current pricing multiples of each company in the index are summarized below. Appendix A Selected Public Company Information as of 3/31/2022 Company Name Ticker 3/31/2022 Enterprise Value YoY % Change in Stock Price EBITDAX Margin EV/ EBITDAX Daily Production (mboe/d) Price per Flowing Barrel* Global Integrated Exxon Mobil Corp XOM $402,985 47.9% 20.4% 7.1x 3,445 $116,965 Shell PLC SHEL $264,782 42.3% 20.9% 4.8x 3,067 $86,332 Chevron Corp CVX $347,190 55.4% 25.4% 8.8x 3,067 $113,212 BP PLC BP. $149,452 21.6% 19.0% 5.0x 2,820 $52,991 Equinor ASA EQNR $122,401 93.0% 49.4% 2.8x 2,104 $58,168 Group Median 47.9% 20.9% 5.0x 3,067 $86,332 Global EP Marathon Oil Corporation MRO $21,882 135.1% 67.0% 5.8x 347 $63,056 Hess Corporation HES $40,136 51.3% 54.9% 10.0x 337 $119,038 ConocoPhillips COP $143,615 88.8% 44.2% 7.0x 1,788 $80,332 Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $91,297 113.1% 56.2% 6.3x 1,157 $78,875 APA Corporation APA $23,381 130.9% 57.5% 5.1x 401 $58,364 Murphy Oil Corporation MUR $9,284 146.1% 60.6% 5.5x 171 $54,435 Group Median 122.0% 56.9% 6.0x 374 $70,965 Source: Bloomberg L.P. • Price per Flowing Barrel is EV/daily production ($/boe/d) • We review 10-K’s and annual reports from guideline companies to ensure companies continue to operate in the regions and groups we have identified.
  • 16. © 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 14 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy as of 3/31/2022 Company Name Ticker 3/31/2022 Enterprise Value YoY % Change in Stock Price EBITDAX Margin EV/ EBITDAX Daily Production (mboe/d) Price per Flowing Barrel* Bakken Continental Resources, Inc. CLR $29,254 137.1% 82.9% 6.5x 392 $74,586 Whiting Petroleum Corporation WLL $3,177 129.93% 37.4% 5.5x 93 $33,987 Oasis Petroleum Inc. OAS $3,263 146.34% 9.3% 23.5x 95 $34,226 Group Median 137.1% 37.41% 6.5x 95 $34,226 Appalachia Range Resources Corporation RRC $10,719 194.1% 30.5% 9.7x 359 $29,842 EQT Corporation EQT $18,395 85.2% 11.6% 23.6x 925 $19,892 Coterra Energy Inc CTRA $9,598 43.6% 65.1% 10.2x 639 $15,019 Antero Resources Corporation AR $15,463 199.3% 39.3% 6.0x 533 $29,018 Southwestern Energy Company SWN $13,553 54.2% 13.6% 15.0x 761 $17,804 Group Median 85.2% 30.5% 10.2x 639 $19,892 Permian Basin Diamondback Energy, Inc. FANG $31,528 86.5% 68.2% 7.2x 374 $84,238 Centennial Resource Development, Inc. CDEV $3,052 92.1% 53.9% 5.5x 65 $47,079 Callon Petroleum Company CPE $6,359 53.3% 44.0% 7.1x 105 $60,580 Laredo Petroleum, Inc. LPI $2,724 163.3% 36.5% 5.3x 83 $32,902 Pioneer Natural Resources Company PXD $64,523 57.4% 39.4% 9.2x 640 $100,826 Group Median 86.5% 44.0% 7.1x 105 $60,580 Eagle Ford Source: Bloomberg L.P. • Price per Flowing Barrel is EV/daily production ($/boe/d) • We review 10-K’s and annual reports from guideline companies to ensure companies continue to operate in the regions and groups we have identified. Appendix A Selected Public Company Information
  • 17. © 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 15 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy as of 3/31/2022 Company Name Ticker 3/31/2022 Enterprise Value YoY % Change in Stock Price EBITDAX Margin EV/ EBITDAX Daily Production (mboe/d) Price per Flowing Barrel* EOG Resources, Inc. EOG $70,494 64.4% 55.4% 6.4x 901 $78,268 Magnolia Oil Gas Corporation MGY $4,719 106.0% 76.8% 5.7x 72 $65,785 SilverBow Resources, Inc. SBOW $920 311.3% 48.9% 4.6x 41 $22,227 Ranger Oil Corporation ROCC $1,660 157.7% 60.0% 5.0x 40 $41,318 Group Median 131.8% 57.7% 5.4x 57 $53,551 OVERALL MEDIAN 92.6% 46.6% 6.3x 396 $58,266 Source: Bloomberg L.P. • Price per Flowing Barrel is EV/daily production ($/boe/d) • We review 10-K’s and annual reports from guideline companies to ensure companies continue to operate in the regions and groups we have identified. Appendix A Selected Public Company Information
  • 18. © 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 16 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy Price per Flowing Barrel Appendix A Selected Public Company Information The following graph depicts the median of EV/production multiples, also known as price per flowing barrel, for Q1 2022, as compared to the median multiples for Q4 2021. • Price per Flowing Barrel is EV/ daily production ($/boe/d) • This is simply a graphic depiction of median figures of our selected public companies for each region. This should be interpreted solely in the context of relative valuation between the various basins over time. Bloomberg aggregates this raw data, and Mercer Capital does not represent or warrant these figures as indicative of valuation multiples attributable to EP companies or other interests. $0 $30,000 $60,000 $90,000 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 Bakken Eagle Ford Permian Appalachia Source: Bloomberg
  • 19. © 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 17 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy Appendix B Production Oil production in the Bakken, Eagle Ford, and Permian increased over the last year by 3.9%, 7.1%, and 17.7%, respec- tively. Appalachia, however, experienced a production decline of 11.0% year-over-year. Natural gas production in the Bakken, Eagle Ford, Permian, and Appalachia all increased over the last year 10.5%, 13.0%, 17.5%, and 5.8% respectively. Daily Production of Crude Oil 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 M ar-17 M ar-18 M ar-19 M ar-20 M ar-21 M ar-22 Thousand Barrels per Day Bakken Eagle Ford Permian Appalachia Source: EIA 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 M ar-17 M ar-18 M ar-19 M ar-20 M ar-21 M ar-22 Thousand Barrels per Day Bakken Eagle Ford Permian Appalachia Source: EIA Daily Production of Natural Gas
  • 20. © 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 18 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy Appendix C Rig Count Rig Count by Region Baker Hughes collects and publishes information regarding active drilling rigs in the United States and internationally. The number of active rigs is a key indicator of demand for oilfield services equipment. Factors influencing rig counts include energy prices, investment climate, technological changes, regulatory activity, weather, and seasonality. The number of active rigs in the U.S. as of March 31, 2022 stood at 668, nearly 61% higher than the 416 count as of March 31, 2021, and 14.0% greater than the count in December 2021. The rig count in the Bakken increased more than twofold, from 14 to 33 rigs over the last year as energy prices increased. 1 Calculations based on monthly crude oil and gas production and EIA drilling report by region. 0 300 600 900 1,200 M a r - 1 7 S e p - 1 7 M a r - 1 8 S e p - 1 8 M a r - 1 9 S e p - 1 9 M a r - 2 0 S e p - 2 0 M a r - 2 1 S e p - 2 1 M a r - 2 2 Bakken Eagle Ford Permian Appalachia Other Source: Baker Hughes
  • 21. © 2022 Mercer Capital // Business Valuation Financial Advisory Services // www.mercercapital.com 19 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: EP Industry // First Quarter 2022 @MercerEnergy 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 M a r - 1 7 S e p - 1 7 M a r - 1 8 S e p - 1 8 M a r - 1 9 S e p - 1 9 M a r - 2 0 S e p - 2 0 M a r - 2 1 S e p - 2 1 M a r - 2 2 Oil Gas Source: Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count by Oil vs. Natural Gas Appendix C Rig Count U.S. Rig Count by Trajectory 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 M a r - 1 7 S e p - 1 7 M a r - 1 8 S e p - 1 8 M a r - 1 9 S e p - 1 9 M a r - 2 0 S e p - 2 0 M a r - 2 1 S e p - 2 1 M a r - 2 2 Directional Horizontal Vertical Source: Baker Hughes