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Credit rating

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Credit rating

  1. 1. CREDIT RATING Made by: Megha Aggarwal Diksha Mantry Kunal Goyal
  2. 2. MEANING A credit rating evaluates the credit worthiness ofa debtor, especially a business (company) or a government.It is an evaluation made by a credit rating agency of thedebtors ability to pay back the debt and the likelihoodof default. Credit ratings are determined by credit ratings agencies.The credit rating represents the credit rating agencysevaluation of qualitative and quantitative information for acompany or government; including non-public informationobtained by the credit rating agencies analysts.
  3. 3. MEANING Credit ratings are not based on mathematical formulas.Instead, credit rating agencies use their judgment andexperience in determining what public and private informationshould be considered in giving a rating to a particularcompany or government. The credit rating is used by individuals and entities thatpurchase the bonds issued by companies and governments todetermine the likelihood that the government will pay its bondobligations. A poor credit rating indicates a credit rating agencysopinion that the company or government has a high riskof defaulting, based on the agencys analysis of the entityshistory and analysis of long term economic prospects.
  4. 4. NEED FOR CREDIT RATING It is necessary in view of the growing number of cases of defaults in payment of interest and repayment of principal sum borrowed by way of fixed deposits, issue of debentures or preference shares or commercial papers. Maintenance of investor’s confidence, since defaults shatter the confidence of investors in corporate instruments. Protect the interest of investors who can not into merits of the debt instruments of a company. Motivate savers to invest in industry and trade.
  5. 5. OBJECTIVES OF CREDIT RATINGThe main objective is to provide superior and low cost info to investors fortaking a decision regarding risk return trade off, but it also helps to marketparticipants in the following ways: improves a healthy discipline on borrowers, Lends greater credence to financial and other representations, Facilitates formulation of public guidelines on institutional investments, Helps merchant bankers, brokers, regulatory authorities, etc., in discharging their functions related to debt issues, Encourages greater information disclosure, better accounting standards and improved financial information (helps in investors protection), May reduce interest costs for highly rated companies, Acts as a marketing tool
  6. 6. TYPES OF RATINGS• SOVEREIGN CREDIT RATING A sovereign credit rating is the credit rating of a sovereign entity, i.e., a national government. The sovereign credit rating indicates the risk level of the investing environment of a country and is used by investors looking to invest abroad. It takes political risk into account.• SHORT TERM RATING A short-term rating is a probability factor of an individual going into default within a year. This is in contrast to long-term rating which is evaluated over a long timeframe. In the past institutional investors preferred to consider long-term ratings. Nowadays, short- term ratings are commonly used.
  7. 7. TYPES OF RATINGS• CORPORATE CREDIT RATINGS The credit rating of a corporation is a financial indicator to potential investors of debt securities such as bonds. Credit rating is usually of a financial instrument such as a bond, rather than the whole corporation and have letter designations such as A, B, C. The Standard & Poors rating scale is as follows, from excellent to poor: AAA, AA+, AA, AA-, A+, A, A-, BBB+, BBB, BBB-, BB+, BB, BB-, B+, B, B-, CCC+, CCC, CCC-, CC, C, D. Anything lower than a BBB- rating is considered a speculative or junk bond.
  8. 8. WHAT EXACTLY DO THE CREDIT RATINGS MEAN?The table below summaries the meanings of the comparative ratings of the threemajor credit rating companies.Moody’s S&P Fitch Meaning (Highest quality; EXTREMELY Aaa AAA AAA STRONG capacity to meet financial obligations.) (High quality; VERY STRONG Aa1 AA+ AA+ capacity to meet financial obligations. It Aa2 AA AA differs from the top-line rating only in small Aa3 AA- AA- degree.) (High quality; STRONG capacity A1 A+ A+ to meet financial obligations but is somewhat more susceptible A2 A A to the adverse effects
  9. 9. of changes in circumstances andA3 A- A- economic conditions.) (Medium grade; ADEQUATEBaa1 BBB+ BBB+ capacity to meet financial obligations but adverse conditions orBaa2 BBB BBB changing circumstances are more likely to lead to a weakenedBaa3 BBB- BBB- capacity to meet financial commitments.) (Lower medium grade; LESSBa1 BB+ BB+ VULNERABLE but faces major ongoing uncertainties andBa2 BB BB exposure to adverse conditions which could lead to inadequate capacityBa3 BB- BB- to meet financial commitments.) (Low grade; MOREB1 B+ B+ VULNERABLE and adverse business,
  10. 10. financial, or economicB2 B B conditions will likely impair its capacity or willingness to meetB3 B- B- financial commitments.) (Poor quality; CURRENTLY VULNERABLE andCaa CCC CCC dependent upon favourable conditions to meet commitments.) (Poor quality;Ca CC CC CURRENTLY HIGHLY- VULNERABLE.) (CURRENTLY HIGHLY- C C VULNERABLE to non- payment.) (FAILED to pay one orC D D more of its financial obligations.)
  11. 11. BENEFITS OF CREDIT RATINGTo the investors Helps in Investment Decision : Credit rating gives an idea to the investors about the credibility of the issuer company, and the risk factor attached to a particular instrument. So the investors can decide whether to invest in such companies or not. Higher the rating, the more will be the willingness to invest in these instruments and visa-versa. Benefits of Rating Reviews : The rating agency regularly reviews the rating given to a particular instrument. So, the present investors can decide whether to keep the instrument or to sell it. For e.g. if the instrument is downgraded, then the investor may decide to sell it and if the rating is maintained or upgraded, he may decide to keep the instrument until the next rating or maturity. Assurance of Safety : High credit rating gives assurance to the investors about the safety of the instrument and minimum risk of bankruptcy. The companies which get a high rating for their instruments, will try to maintain healthy financial discipline. This will protect them from bankruptcy. So the investors will be safe.
  12. 12. BENEFITS OF CREDIT RATING Easy Understandability of Investment Proposal : The rating agencies gives rating symbols to the instrument, which can be easily understood by investors. This helps them to understand the investment proposal of an issuer company. For e.g. AAA (Triple A), given by CRISIL for debentures ensures highest safety, whereas debentures rated D are in default or expect to default on maturity. Choice of Instruments : Credit rating enables an investor to select a particular instrument from many alternatives available. This choice depends upon the safety or risk of the instrument. Saves Investors Time and Effort : Credit ratings enable an investor to his save time and effort in analyzing the financial strength of an issuer company. This is because the investor can depend on the rating done by professional rating agency, in order to take an investment decision. He need not waste his time and effort to collect and analyse the financial information about the credit standing of the issuer company.
  13. 13. BENEFITS OF CREDIT RATINGTo the company Improves Corporate Image : Credit rating helps to improve the corporate image of a company. High credit rating creates confidence and trust in the minds of the investors about the company. Therefore, the company enjoys a good corporate image in the market. Lowers Cost of Borrowing : Companies that have high credit rating for their debt instruments will get funds at lower costs from the market. High rating will enable the company to offer low interest rates on fixed deposits, debentures and other debt securities. The investors will accept low interest rates because they prefer low risk instruments. A company with high rating for its instruments can reduce the cost of public issue to raise funds, because it need not spend heavily on advertising for attracting investors.
  14. 14. BENEFITS OF CREDIT RATING Wider Audience for Borrowing : A company with high rating for its instruments can get a wider audience for borrowing. It can approach financial institutions, banks, investing companies. This is because the credit ratings are easily understood not only by the financial institutions and banks, but also by the general public. Good for Non-Popular Companies : Credit rating is beneficial to the non- popular companies, such as closely-held companies. If the credit rating is good, the public will invest in these companies, even if they do not know these companies. Act as a Marketing Tool : Credit rating not only helps to develop a good image of the company among the investors, but also among the customers, dealers, suppliers, etc. High credit rating can act as a marketing tool to develop confidence in the minds of customers, dealer, suppliers, etc. Helps in Growth and Expansion : Credit rating enables a company to grow and expand. This is because better credit rating will enable a company to get finance easily for growth and expansion
  15. 15. DEMERITS OF CREDIT RATING Possibility of Bias Exist : The information collected by the rating agency may be subject to personal bias of the rating team. However, rating agencies try their best to provide an unbiased opinion of the credit quality of the company and/or instrument. If not, they will not be trusted. Improper Disclosure May Happen : The company being rated may not disclose certain material facts to the investigating team of the rating agency. This can affect the quality of credit rating. Impact of Changing Environment : Rating is done based on present and past data of the company. So, it will be difficult to predict the future financial position of the company. Many changes take place due to changes in economic, political, social, technological, legal and other environments. All this will affect the working of the company being rated. Therefore, rating is not a guarantee for financial soundness of the company.
  16. 16. DEMERITS OF CREDIT RATING Problems for New Companies : There may be problems for new companies to collect funds from the market. This is because, a new company may not be in a position to prove its financial soundness. Therefore, it may receive lower credit ratings. This will make it difficult to collect funds from the market. Downgrading by Rating Agency : The credit-rating agencies periodically review the ratings given to a particular instrument. If the performance of a company is not as expected, then the rating agency will downgrade the instrument. This will affect the image of the company. Difference in Rating : There are cases, where different ratings are provided by various rating agencies for the same instrument. These differences may be due to many reasons. This will create confusion in the minds of the investor.
  17. 17. TOP CREDIT RATING AGENCIESTOP AGENCIES : •Dun & Bradstreet • Moodys •Standard & Poors •Fitch RatingsOTHER AGENCIES : •A. M. Best (U.S.), •Baycorp Advantage (Australia) • Egan-Jones Rating Company (U.S.) •Global Credit Ratings Co. (South Africa) •Levin and Goldstein(Zambia) •Agusto& Co(Nigeria) •Japan Credit Rating Agency, Ltd. (Japan). •Rapid Ratings International (U.S.) •Credit Rating Information and Services Limited(Bangladesh
  18. 18. CREDIT RATING AGENCIES OF INDIA ONICRA Credit Rating Agency of India Ltd. Credit Rating Information Services of India Limited (CRISIL) Investment Information and Credit Rating Agency of India (ICRA) Credit Analysis & Research Limited (CARE) Duff & Phelps Credit Rating India Private Ltd. (DCR India)
  19. 19. CREDIT RATING METHODOLOGY Consist of 4 areas:  Business analysis- covers an analysis of industry risk, market position in the country, operating efficiency of the company and legal position.  Financial Analysis- analysis of accounting quality, earnings protection, cash flow adequacy and financial flexibility.  Management Evaluation- study of track record of the management’s capacity to overcome adverse situations, goals, philosophy and strategies.  Fundamental analysis- analysis of liquidity management, asset quality, profitability and interest and tax sensitivity.
  20. 20. CREDIT RATING METHODOLOGYSteps:- information is collected and then analysed by a team of professionals in an agency. If necessary, meetings with top management suppliers and dealers and a visit to the plant of proposed sites are arranged to collect additional data. This team of professionals submit their recommendations to the rating committee. Committee discusses this report and then assigns rating. Rating assigned is then notified to the issuer and only on his acceptance, rating is published. Assures confidentiality of information. Once the issuer decides to use and publish the rating, agency has to continuously monitor it over the entire life of instrument, called surveillance.
  21. 21. THANK YOU