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Independent Statistics & Analysis

U.S. Energy Information
Administration

December 2013

Drilling Productivity Report
For key tight oil and shale gas regions

Bakken

Marcellus

Niobrara

Permian

Haynesville

Eagle Ford

The six regions analyzed in this report accounted for nearly 90% of domestic oil production
growth and virtually all domestic natural gas production growth during 2011-12.

Contents
Year-over-year summary
Bakken
Eagle Ford
Haynesville
Marcellus
Niobrara
Permian
Explanatory notes
Sources

2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Year-over-year summary

December 2013
drilling data through November
projected production through January

Drilling Productivity Report
New-well oil production per rig

New-well gas production per rig

barrels/day

thousand cubic feet/day
January-2013

January-2014

January-2013

1,000

January-2014

6,000
5,000

750
4,000
3,000

500

2,000
250
1,000
0

0
Bakken

Eagle Ford

Haynesville

Marcellus

Niobrara

Legacy oil production change

Eagle Ford Haynesville

Marcellus

Niobrara

Permian

Marcellus

Niobrara

Permian

Legacy gas production change

thousand barrels/day
Bakken

Bakken

Permian

million cubic feet/day
Eagle Ford

Haynesville

Marcellus

Niobrara

Permian

0

Bakken

Eagle Ford Haynesville

0
(50)

(10)

(100)
(20)

(150)

(30)

(200)

(40)

(250)
(300)

(50)

(350)

(60)

(400)
January-2013

January-2014

(450)

(70)

January-2013

January-2014

Indicated monthly change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec)

Indicated monthly change in gas production (Jan vs. Dec)

thousand barrels/day

million cubic feet/day
January-2013

January-2013

January-2014

January-2014

500

40

400

30

300

20

200

10
0

100

-10

0

-20

-100

-30

-200
-300

-40
Bakken

Eagle Ford

Haynesville

Marcellus

Niobrara

Bakken

Permian

Eagle Ford Haynesville

Oil production

Niobrara

Permian

Natural gas production

thousand barrels/day

Marcellus

million cubic feet/day
January-2013

January-2013

January-2014

2,000

12,000

1,600

January-2014

10,000
8,000

1,200

6,000
800

4,000

400

2,000

0

0
Bakken

Eagle Ford

Haynesville

Marcellus

Niobrara

Permian

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report

Bakken

Eagle Ford Haynesville

Marcellus

Niobrara

Permian

2
Bakken

December 2013
drilling data through November
projected production through January

Drilling Productivity Report

508
494

Oil
+14

barrels/day
month over month

Monthly
additions
from one
average rig

January
December

barrels/day

Bakken
New-well oil production per rig

Rig count
rigs

barrels/day
600

December

Bakken
New-well gas production per rig

200

400

thousand cubic feet/day
month over month

thousand cubic feet/day

250

rig count

Gas
+8

3,000

Rig count
rigs

thousand cubic feet/day
3,600

new-well oil production per rig

500

477
469

January

150

300

250

new-well gas production per rig

200

rig count

2,400

150

1,800
100

200

50

100
0
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

50

600

0
2014

2013

100

1,200

0
2007

2008

2009

2010

Bakken
Legacy oil production change

2012

2013

Bakken
Legacy gas production change

thousand barrels/day
0

2011

0
2014

million cubic feet/day
0

(10)

(10)

(20)

(20)

(30)

(30)

(40)

(40)

(50)

(60)

(50)

(70)
2007

(60)
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Bakken
Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec)

Bakken
Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec)

thousand barrels/day
100

million cubic feet/day
100

2014

+88

+25

-63

50

-55

+28

50

0

+83

0
Dec
1,000
Mbbl/d

Production
from
new wells

Legacy
production
change

Bakken
Oil production

Net
change

Jan
1,025
Mbbl/d

Dec
1,092
MMcf/d

Legacy
production
change

Bakken
Natural gas production

Oil +25

thousand barrels/day
month over month

thousand barrels/day
1,000

Production
from
new wells

Net
change

Jan
1,119
MMcf/d

Gas +28

million cubic feet/day
month over month

million cubic feet/day
6,000
5,000

800

4,000

600

3,000
400

2,000

200
0
2007

1,000
2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report

2014

0
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014
3
Eagle Ford

December 2013
drilling data through November
projected production through January

Drilling Productivity Report

422
413

Oil
+9

barrels/day
month over month

Monthly
additions
from one
average rig

January
December

barrels/day

Eagle Ford
New-well oil production per rig

Rig count
rigs

barrels/day
600

Eagle Ford
New-well gas production per rig

3,000

200

300

150

200

100

100
2009

2010

2011

2012

0
2014

2013

Rig count
rigs
350

new-well gas production per rig

300

rig count

250

2,400

200

1,800

150

1,200

100

600

50
2008

thousand cubic feet/day
month over month

thousand cubic feet/day
3,600

250

400

Gas
+11

thousand cubic feet/day

300

rig count

0
2007

December

1,237
1,226

350

new-well oil production per rig

500

January

0
2007

50
2008

2009

2010

Eagle Ford
Legacy oil production change

2012

2013

Eagle Ford
Legacy gas production change

thousand barrels/day
0
(10)
(20)
(30)
(40)
(50)
(60)
(70)
(80)
(90)
(100)
2007
2008

2011

0
2014

million cubic feet/day
0
(50)
(100)

(150)
(200)
(250)
2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

(300)
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Eagle Ford
Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec)

Eagle Ford
Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec)

thousand barrels/day

million cubic feet/day
+351
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
Dec
Production
5,982
from
MMcf/d
new wells

2014

+120

+29

-91

100

50

0
Dec
1,226
Mbbl/d

Production
from
new wells

Legacy
production
change

Eagle Ford
Oil production

Net
change

Jan
1,255
Mbbl/d

Legacy
production
change

Eagle Ford
Natural gas production

Oil +29

thousand barrels/day
month over month

thousand barrels/day
1,400

-244

million cubic feet/day
month over month

5,000

800

4,000

600

3,000

400

2,000

200

Jan
6,089
MMcf/d

6,000

1,000

Net
change

Gas +107

million cubic feet/day
7,000

1,200

+107

1,000

0
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report

2014

0
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014
4
Haynesville

December 2013
drilling data through November
projected production through January

Drilling Productivity Report

35
35

Oil
0

barrels/day
month over month

Monthly
additions
from one
average rig

January
December

barrels/day

Haynesville
New-well oil production per rig

Rig count
rigs

barrels/day
1,000

January
December

5,059
5,040

Gas
+19

thousand cubic feet/day
month over month

thousand cubic feet/day

Haynesville
New-well gas production per rig

Rig count
rigs

300
250

400
200
0
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

150

2,000

100

50

600

3,000

100

rig count

4,000

150

800

5,000

200

new-well oil production per rig

thousand cubic feet/day
6,000

1,000

50

0
2014

2013

300

new-well gas production per rig

250

rig count

0
2007

2008

200

2009

2010

Haynesville
Legacy oil production change

2012

2013

Haynesville
Legacy gas production change

thousand barrels/day
0

2011

0
2014

million cubic feet/day
0
(100)
(200)

(1)

(300)
(400)
(2)

(500)
(600)

(3)
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

(700)
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Haynesville
Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec)

Haynesville
Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec)

thousand barrels/day

million cubic feet/day
350

2014

2.0

+2

+0

-2

+239

-370

-131

250

1.5

150

1.0

50

0.5

-50

0.0

-150
Dec
54
Mbbl/d

Production
from
new wells

Legacy
production
change

Haynesville
Oil production

Net
change

Jan
54
Mbbl/d

Dec
6,492
MMcf/d

Legacy
production
change

Haynesville
Natural gas production

Oil +0

thousand barrels/day
month over month

thousand barrels/day
2,000

Production
from
new wells

Net
change

Jan
6,361
MMcf/d

Gas -131

million cubic feet/day
month over month

million cubic feet/day
12,000
10,000

1,600

8,000

1,200

6,000
800

4,000

400
0
2007

2,000
2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report

2014

0
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014
5
Marcellus

December 2013
drilling data through November
projected production through January

Drilling Productivity Report

41
40

Oil
+1

barrels/day
month over month

Monthly
additions
from one
average rig

January
December

barrels/day

Marcellus
New-well oil production per rig

Rig count
rigs

barrels/day
1,000

160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2014

new-well oil production per rig
800

rig count

600
400
200
0
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

January
December

6,193
6,038

Gas
+155

thousand cubic feet/day
month over month

thousand cubic feet/day

Marcellus
New-well gas production per rig

Rig count
rigs

thousand cubic feet/day
6,000

new-well gas production per rig

4,800

rig count

3,600

2,400
1,200
0
2007

2008

2009

2010

Marcellus
Legacy oil production change

2012

2013

Marcellus
Legacy gas production change

thousand barrels/day
0

2011

160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2014

million cubic feet/day
0
(40)
(80)

(1)

(120)
(160)

(2)

(200)
(3)
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

(240)
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Marcellus
Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec)

Marcellus
Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec)

thousand barrels/day
4.0

million cubic feet/day
600

2014

+4

+2

-2

3.0

+612

-193

+419

400

2.0
200

1.0
0.0

0
Dec
39
Mbbl/d

Production
from
new wells

Legacy
production
change

Marcellus
Oil production

Net
change

Jan
41
Mbbl/d

Dec
13,303
MMcf/d

thousand barrels/day
month over month

1,600
1,200
800
400
0
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report

Legacy
production
change

Marcellus
Natural gas production

Oil +2

thousand barrels/day
2,000

Production
from
new wells

2014

million cubic feet/day
16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
2007
2008

2009

Net
change

Jan
13,721
MMcf/d

Gas +419

million cubic feet/day
month over month

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014
6
Niobrara

December 2013
drilling data through November
projected production through January

Drilling Productivity Report

323
317

Oil
+6

barrels/day
month over month

Monthly
additions
from one
average rig

January
December

barrels/day

Niobrara
New-well oil production per rig

Rig count
rigs

barrels/day
600

December

1,222
1,258

rig count

3,000

80

300

2009

2010

2011

2012

0
2014

2013

100

2,400

600

20
2008

120
80
60

1,200

40

100

140

1,800

60

200

Rig count
rigs

thousand cubic feet/day
3,600

100

400

thousand cubic feet/day
month over month

Niobrara
New-well gas production per rig

120

new-well oil production per rig

Gas
-36

thousand cubic feet/day

140

500

0
2007

January

0
2007

40

new-well gas production per rig

20

rig count
2008

2009

2010

Niobrara
Legacy oil production change

2012

2013

Niobrara
Legacy gas production change

thousand barrels/day
0

2011

0
2014

million cubic feet/day
0

(5)

(50)

(10)

(100)

(15)
(150)

(20)

(25)

(200)

(30)
2007

(250)
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Niobrara
Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec)

Niobrara
Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec)

thousand barrels/day

million cubic feet/day
100

2014

+32

+7

-25

30

+122

-157

-35

50

20

0

10

-50

0

-100
Dec
275
Mbbl/d

Production
from
new wells

Legacy
production
change

Niobrara
Oil production

Net
change

Jan
282
Mbbl/d

Dec
4,634
MMcf/d

Legacy
production
change

Niobrara
Natural gas production

Oil +7

thousand barrels/day
month over month

thousand barrels/day
1,000

Production
from
new wells

Net
change

Jan
4,600
MMcf/d

Gas -35

million cubic feet/day
month over month

million cubic feet/day
6,000
5,000

800

4,000

600

3,000
400

2,000

200
0
2007

1,000
2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report

2014

0
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014
7
Permian

December 2013
drilling data through November
projected production through January

Drilling Productivity Report

81
81

Oil
0

barrels/day
month over month

Monthly
additions
from one
average rig

January
December

barrels/day

Permian
New-well oil production per rig

Rig count
rigs

barrels/day
600

189
188

January
December

Gas
+1

thousand cubic feet/day
month over month

thousand cubic feet/day

Permian
New-well gas production per rig

Rig count
rigs

600

thousand cubic feet/day
3,600

500

3,000

400

400

2,400

400

300

300

1,800

300

200

200

1,200

200

100

100

600

100

new-well oil production per rig

500

rig count

0
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

0
2014

2013

600

new-well gas production per rig

0
2007

500

rig count

2008

2009

2010

Permian
Legacy oil production change

2012

2013

Permian
Legacy gas production change

thousand barrels/day
0

2011

0
2014

million cubic feet/day
0

(5)

(20)

(10)

(40)

(15)

(60)

(20)

(80)

(25)
(30)

(100)

(35)

(120)

(40)
2007

(140)
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Permian
Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec)

Permian
Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec)

thousand barrels/day

million cubic feet/day

2014

+37

+1

-36

+88

-88

+0

80

30

60

20

40
10

20

0

0
Dec
1,335
Mbbl/d

Production
from
new wells

Legacy
production
change

Permian
Oil production

Net
change

Jan
1,335
Mbbl/d

Dec
5,046
MMcf/d

thousand barrels/day
month over month

1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report

Legacy
production
change

Permian
Natural gas production

Oil +1

thousand barrels/day
1,600

Production
from
new wells

2014

million cubic feet/day
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
2007
2008

2009

Net
change

Jan
5,046
MMcf/d

Gas +0

million cubic feet/day
month over month

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014
8
Explanatory notes

December 2013

Drilling Productivity Report
The Drilling Productivity Report uses recent data on the total number of drilling rigs in operation along
with estimates of drilling productivity and estimated changes in production from existing oil and natural
gas wells to provide estimated changes in oil and natural gas production for six key fields. EIA’s
approach does not distinguish between oil-directed rigs and gas-directed rigs because once a well is
completed it may produce both oil and gas; more than half of the wells do that.

Monthly additions from one average rig
Monthly additions from one average rig represent EIA’s estimate of an average rig’s1 contribution to
production of oil and natural gas from new wells.2 The estimation of new-well production per rig uses
several months of recent historical data on total production from new wells for each field divided by the
region's monthly rig count, lagged by two months.3 Current- and next-month values are listed on the top
header. The month-over-month change is listed alongside, with +/- signs and color-coded arrows to
highlight the growth or decline in oil (brown) or natural gas (blue).

New-well oil/gas production per rig
Charts present historical estimated monthly additions from one average rig coupled with the number of
total drilling rigs as reported by Baker Hughes.
Legacy oil and natural gas production change
Charts present EIA’s estimates of total oil and gas production changes from all the wells other than the
new wells. The trend is dominated by the well depletion rates, but other circumstances can influence the
direction of the change. For example, well freeze-offs or hurricanes can cause production to significantly
decline in any given month, resulting in a production increase the next month when production simply
returns to normal levels.

Projected change in monthly oil/gas production
Charts present the combined effects of new-well production and changes to legacy production. Total
new-well production is offset by the anticipated change in legacy production to derive the net change in
production. The estimated change in production does not reflect external circumstances that can affect
the actual rates, such as infrastructure constraints, bad weather, or shut-ins based on environmental or
economic issues.
Oil/gas production
Charts present oil and natural gas production from both new and legacy wells since 2007. This
production is based on all wells reported to the state oil and gas agencies. Where state data are not
immediately available, EIA estimates the production based on estimated changes in new-well oil/gas
production and the corresponding legacy change.

Footnotes:
1. The monthly average rig count used in this report is calculated from weekly data on total oil and gas rigs
reported by Baker Hughes
2. A new well is defined as one that began producing for the first time in the previous month. Each well belongs to
the new-well category for only one month. Reworked and recompleted wells are excluded from the calculation.
3. Rig count data lag production data because EIA has observed that the best predictor of the number of new
wells beginning production in a given month is the count of rigs in operation two months earlier.

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report

9
Sources

December 2013

Drilling Productivity Report
The data used in the preparation of this report come from the following sources. EIA is solely
responsible for the analysis, calculations, and conclusions.
Drilling Info (http://www.drillinginfo.com) Source of production, permit, and spud data for counties
associated with this report. Source of real-time rig location to estimate new wells spudded and completed
throughout the United States.
Baker Hughes (http://www.bakerhughes.com) Source of rig and well counts by county, state, and basin.
North Dakota Oil and Gas Division (https://www.dmr.nd.gov/oilgas) Source of well production, permit,
and completion data in the counties associated with this report in North Dakota
Railroad Commission of Texas (http://www.rrc.state.tx.us) Source of well production, permit, and
completion data in the counties associated with this report in Texas
Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection
(https://www.paoilandgasreporting.state.pa.us/publicreports/Modules/Welcome/Welcome.aspx) Source
of well production, permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in
Pennsylvania
West Virginia Department of Environmental Protection (http://www.dep.wv.gov/oil-andgas/Pages/default.aspx) Source of well production, permit, and completion data in the counties
associated with this report in West Virginia
Colorado Oil and Gas Conservation Commission (http://cogcc.state.co.us) Source of well production,
permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Colorado

Wyoming Oil and Conservation Commission (http://wogcc.state.wy.us ) Source of well production,
permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Wyoming
Louisiana Department of Natural Resources (http://dnr.louisiana.gov) Source of well production,
permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Louisiana

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report

10

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EIA's Monthly Drilling Productiviy Report - Dec 2013

  • 1. Independent Statistics & Analysis U.S. Energy Information Administration December 2013 Drilling Productivity Report For key tight oil and shale gas regions Bakken Marcellus Niobrara Permian Haynesville Eagle Ford The six regions analyzed in this report accounted for nearly 90% of domestic oil production growth and virtually all domestic natural gas production growth during 2011-12. Contents Year-over-year summary Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus Niobrara Permian Explanatory notes Sources 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
  • 2. Year-over-year summary December 2013 drilling data through November projected production through January Drilling Productivity Report New-well oil production per rig New-well gas production per rig barrels/day thousand cubic feet/day January-2013 January-2014 January-2013 1,000 January-2014 6,000 5,000 750 4,000 3,000 500 2,000 250 1,000 0 0 Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus Niobrara Legacy oil production change Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus Niobrara Permian Marcellus Niobrara Permian Legacy gas production change thousand barrels/day Bakken Bakken Permian million cubic feet/day Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus Niobrara Permian 0 Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville 0 (50) (10) (100) (20) (150) (30) (200) (40) (250) (300) (50) (350) (60) (400) January-2013 January-2014 (450) (70) January-2013 January-2014 Indicated monthly change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec) Indicated monthly change in gas production (Jan vs. Dec) thousand barrels/day million cubic feet/day January-2013 January-2013 January-2014 January-2014 500 40 400 30 300 20 200 10 0 100 -10 0 -20 -100 -30 -200 -300 -40 Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus Niobrara Bakken Permian Eagle Ford Haynesville Oil production Niobrara Permian Natural gas production thousand barrels/day Marcellus million cubic feet/day January-2013 January-2013 January-2014 2,000 12,000 1,600 January-2014 10,000 8,000 1,200 6,000 800 4,000 400 2,000 0 0 Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus Niobrara Permian U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus Niobrara Permian 2
  • 3. Bakken December 2013 drilling data through November projected production through January Drilling Productivity Report 508 494 Oil +14 barrels/day month over month Monthly additions from one average rig January December barrels/day Bakken New-well oil production per rig Rig count rigs barrels/day 600 December Bakken New-well gas production per rig 200 400 thousand cubic feet/day month over month thousand cubic feet/day 250 rig count Gas +8 3,000 Rig count rigs thousand cubic feet/day 3,600 new-well oil production per rig 500 477 469 January 150 300 250 new-well gas production per rig 200 rig count 2,400 150 1,800 100 200 50 100 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 50 600 0 2014 2013 100 1,200 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 Bakken Legacy oil production change 2012 2013 Bakken Legacy gas production change thousand barrels/day 0 2011 0 2014 million cubic feet/day 0 (10) (10) (20) (20) (30) (30) (40) (40) (50) (60) (50) (70) 2007 (60) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Bakken Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec) Bakken Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec) thousand barrels/day 100 million cubic feet/day 100 2014 +88 +25 -63 50 -55 +28 50 0 +83 0 Dec 1,000 Mbbl/d Production from new wells Legacy production change Bakken Oil production Net change Jan 1,025 Mbbl/d Dec 1,092 MMcf/d Legacy production change Bakken Natural gas production Oil +25 thousand barrels/day month over month thousand barrels/day 1,000 Production from new wells Net change Jan 1,119 MMcf/d Gas +28 million cubic feet/day month over month million cubic feet/day 6,000 5,000 800 4,000 600 3,000 400 2,000 200 0 2007 1,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 2014 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 3
  • 4. Eagle Ford December 2013 drilling data through November projected production through January Drilling Productivity Report 422 413 Oil +9 barrels/day month over month Monthly additions from one average rig January December barrels/day Eagle Ford New-well oil production per rig Rig count rigs barrels/day 600 Eagle Ford New-well gas production per rig 3,000 200 300 150 200 100 100 2009 2010 2011 2012 0 2014 2013 Rig count rigs 350 new-well gas production per rig 300 rig count 250 2,400 200 1,800 150 1,200 100 600 50 2008 thousand cubic feet/day month over month thousand cubic feet/day 3,600 250 400 Gas +11 thousand cubic feet/day 300 rig count 0 2007 December 1,237 1,226 350 new-well oil production per rig 500 January 0 2007 50 2008 2009 2010 Eagle Ford Legacy oil production change 2012 2013 Eagle Ford Legacy gas production change thousand barrels/day 0 (10) (20) (30) (40) (50) (60) (70) (80) (90) (100) 2007 2008 2011 0 2014 million cubic feet/day 0 (50) (100) (150) (200) (250) 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 (300) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Eagle Ford Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec) Eagle Ford Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec) thousand barrels/day million cubic feet/day +351 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Dec Production 5,982 from MMcf/d new wells 2014 +120 +29 -91 100 50 0 Dec 1,226 Mbbl/d Production from new wells Legacy production change Eagle Ford Oil production Net change Jan 1,255 Mbbl/d Legacy production change Eagle Ford Natural gas production Oil +29 thousand barrels/day month over month thousand barrels/day 1,400 -244 million cubic feet/day month over month 5,000 800 4,000 600 3,000 400 2,000 200 Jan 6,089 MMcf/d 6,000 1,000 Net change Gas +107 million cubic feet/day 7,000 1,200 +107 1,000 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 2014 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 4
  • 5. Haynesville December 2013 drilling data through November projected production through January Drilling Productivity Report 35 35 Oil 0 barrels/day month over month Monthly additions from one average rig January December barrels/day Haynesville New-well oil production per rig Rig count rigs barrels/day 1,000 January December 5,059 5,040 Gas +19 thousand cubic feet/day month over month thousand cubic feet/day Haynesville New-well gas production per rig Rig count rigs 300 250 400 200 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 150 2,000 100 50 600 3,000 100 rig count 4,000 150 800 5,000 200 new-well oil production per rig thousand cubic feet/day 6,000 1,000 50 0 2014 2013 300 new-well gas production per rig 250 rig count 0 2007 2008 200 2009 2010 Haynesville Legacy oil production change 2012 2013 Haynesville Legacy gas production change thousand barrels/day 0 2011 0 2014 million cubic feet/day 0 (100) (200) (1) (300) (400) (2) (500) (600) (3) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 (700) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Haynesville Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec) Haynesville Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec) thousand barrels/day million cubic feet/day 350 2014 2.0 +2 +0 -2 +239 -370 -131 250 1.5 150 1.0 50 0.5 -50 0.0 -150 Dec 54 Mbbl/d Production from new wells Legacy production change Haynesville Oil production Net change Jan 54 Mbbl/d Dec 6,492 MMcf/d Legacy production change Haynesville Natural gas production Oil +0 thousand barrels/day month over month thousand barrels/day 2,000 Production from new wells Net change Jan 6,361 MMcf/d Gas -131 million cubic feet/day month over month million cubic feet/day 12,000 10,000 1,600 8,000 1,200 6,000 800 4,000 400 0 2007 2,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 2014 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 5
  • 6. Marcellus December 2013 drilling data through November projected production through January Drilling Productivity Report 41 40 Oil +1 barrels/day month over month Monthly additions from one average rig January December barrels/day Marcellus New-well oil production per rig Rig count rigs barrels/day 1,000 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2014 new-well oil production per rig 800 rig count 600 400 200 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 January December 6,193 6,038 Gas +155 thousand cubic feet/day month over month thousand cubic feet/day Marcellus New-well gas production per rig Rig count rigs thousand cubic feet/day 6,000 new-well gas production per rig 4,800 rig count 3,600 2,400 1,200 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 Marcellus Legacy oil production change 2012 2013 Marcellus Legacy gas production change thousand barrels/day 0 2011 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2014 million cubic feet/day 0 (40) (80) (1) (120) (160) (2) (200) (3) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 (240) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Marcellus Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec) Marcellus Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec) thousand barrels/day 4.0 million cubic feet/day 600 2014 +4 +2 -2 3.0 +612 -193 +419 400 2.0 200 1.0 0.0 0 Dec 39 Mbbl/d Production from new wells Legacy production change Marcellus Oil production Net change Jan 41 Mbbl/d Dec 13,303 MMcf/d thousand barrels/day month over month 1,600 1,200 800 400 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report Legacy production change Marcellus Natural gas production Oil +2 thousand barrels/day 2,000 Production from new wells 2014 million cubic feet/day 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2007 2008 2009 Net change Jan 13,721 MMcf/d Gas +419 million cubic feet/day month over month 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 6
  • 7. Niobrara December 2013 drilling data through November projected production through January Drilling Productivity Report 323 317 Oil +6 barrels/day month over month Monthly additions from one average rig January December barrels/day Niobrara New-well oil production per rig Rig count rigs barrels/day 600 December 1,222 1,258 rig count 3,000 80 300 2009 2010 2011 2012 0 2014 2013 100 2,400 600 20 2008 120 80 60 1,200 40 100 140 1,800 60 200 Rig count rigs thousand cubic feet/day 3,600 100 400 thousand cubic feet/day month over month Niobrara New-well gas production per rig 120 new-well oil production per rig Gas -36 thousand cubic feet/day 140 500 0 2007 January 0 2007 40 new-well gas production per rig 20 rig count 2008 2009 2010 Niobrara Legacy oil production change 2012 2013 Niobrara Legacy gas production change thousand barrels/day 0 2011 0 2014 million cubic feet/day 0 (5) (50) (10) (100) (15) (150) (20) (25) (200) (30) 2007 (250) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Niobrara Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec) Niobrara Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec) thousand barrels/day million cubic feet/day 100 2014 +32 +7 -25 30 +122 -157 -35 50 20 0 10 -50 0 -100 Dec 275 Mbbl/d Production from new wells Legacy production change Niobrara Oil production Net change Jan 282 Mbbl/d Dec 4,634 MMcf/d Legacy production change Niobrara Natural gas production Oil +7 thousand barrels/day month over month thousand barrels/day 1,000 Production from new wells Net change Jan 4,600 MMcf/d Gas -35 million cubic feet/day month over month million cubic feet/day 6,000 5,000 800 4,000 600 3,000 400 2,000 200 0 2007 1,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 2014 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 7
  • 8. Permian December 2013 drilling data through November projected production through January Drilling Productivity Report 81 81 Oil 0 barrels/day month over month Monthly additions from one average rig January December barrels/day Permian New-well oil production per rig Rig count rigs barrels/day 600 189 188 January December Gas +1 thousand cubic feet/day month over month thousand cubic feet/day Permian New-well gas production per rig Rig count rigs 600 thousand cubic feet/day 3,600 500 3,000 400 400 2,400 400 300 300 1,800 300 200 200 1,200 200 100 100 600 100 new-well oil production per rig 500 rig count 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 0 2014 2013 600 new-well gas production per rig 0 2007 500 rig count 2008 2009 2010 Permian Legacy oil production change 2012 2013 Permian Legacy gas production change thousand barrels/day 0 2011 0 2014 million cubic feet/day 0 (5) (20) (10) (40) (15) (60) (20) (80) (25) (30) (100) (35) (120) (40) 2007 (140) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Permian Indicated change in oil production (Jan vs. Dec) Permian Indicated change in natural gas production (Jan vs. Dec) thousand barrels/day million cubic feet/day 2014 +37 +1 -36 +88 -88 +0 80 30 60 20 40 10 20 0 0 Dec 1,335 Mbbl/d Production from new wells Legacy production change Permian Oil production Net change Jan 1,335 Mbbl/d Dec 5,046 MMcf/d thousand barrels/day month over month 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report Legacy production change Permian Natural gas production Oil +1 thousand barrels/day 1,600 Production from new wells 2014 million cubic feet/day 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2007 2008 2009 Net change Jan 5,046 MMcf/d Gas +0 million cubic feet/day month over month 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 8
  • 9. Explanatory notes December 2013 Drilling Productivity Report The Drilling Productivity Report uses recent data on the total number of drilling rigs in operation along with estimates of drilling productivity and estimated changes in production from existing oil and natural gas wells to provide estimated changes in oil and natural gas production for six key fields. EIA’s approach does not distinguish between oil-directed rigs and gas-directed rigs because once a well is completed it may produce both oil and gas; more than half of the wells do that. Monthly additions from one average rig Monthly additions from one average rig represent EIA’s estimate of an average rig’s1 contribution to production of oil and natural gas from new wells.2 The estimation of new-well production per rig uses several months of recent historical data on total production from new wells for each field divided by the region's monthly rig count, lagged by two months.3 Current- and next-month values are listed on the top header. The month-over-month change is listed alongside, with +/- signs and color-coded arrows to highlight the growth or decline in oil (brown) or natural gas (blue). New-well oil/gas production per rig Charts present historical estimated monthly additions from one average rig coupled with the number of total drilling rigs as reported by Baker Hughes. Legacy oil and natural gas production change Charts present EIA’s estimates of total oil and gas production changes from all the wells other than the new wells. The trend is dominated by the well depletion rates, but other circumstances can influence the direction of the change. For example, well freeze-offs or hurricanes can cause production to significantly decline in any given month, resulting in a production increase the next month when production simply returns to normal levels. Projected change in monthly oil/gas production Charts present the combined effects of new-well production and changes to legacy production. Total new-well production is offset by the anticipated change in legacy production to derive the net change in production. The estimated change in production does not reflect external circumstances that can affect the actual rates, such as infrastructure constraints, bad weather, or shut-ins based on environmental or economic issues. Oil/gas production Charts present oil and natural gas production from both new and legacy wells since 2007. This production is based on all wells reported to the state oil and gas agencies. Where state data are not immediately available, EIA estimates the production based on estimated changes in new-well oil/gas production and the corresponding legacy change. Footnotes: 1. The monthly average rig count used in this report is calculated from weekly data on total oil and gas rigs reported by Baker Hughes 2. A new well is defined as one that began producing for the first time in the previous month. Each well belongs to the new-well category for only one month. Reworked and recompleted wells are excluded from the calculation. 3. Rig count data lag production data because EIA has observed that the best predictor of the number of new wells beginning production in a given month is the count of rigs in operation two months earlier. U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 9
  • 10. Sources December 2013 Drilling Productivity Report The data used in the preparation of this report come from the following sources. EIA is solely responsible for the analysis, calculations, and conclusions. Drilling Info (http://www.drillinginfo.com) Source of production, permit, and spud data for counties associated with this report. Source of real-time rig location to estimate new wells spudded and completed throughout the United States. Baker Hughes (http://www.bakerhughes.com) Source of rig and well counts by county, state, and basin. North Dakota Oil and Gas Division (https://www.dmr.nd.gov/oilgas) Source of well production, permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in North Dakota Railroad Commission of Texas (http://www.rrc.state.tx.us) Source of well production, permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Texas Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (https://www.paoilandgasreporting.state.pa.us/publicreports/Modules/Welcome/Welcome.aspx) Source of well production, permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Pennsylvania West Virginia Department of Environmental Protection (http://www.dep.wv.gov/oil-andgas/Pages/default.aspx) Source of well production, permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in West Virginia Colorado Oil and Gas Conservation Commission (http://cogcc.state.co.us) Source of well production, permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Colorado Wyoming Oil and Conservation Commission (http://wogcc.state.wy.us ) Source of well production, permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Wyoming Louisiana Department of Natural Resources (http://dnr.louisiana.gov) Source of well production, permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Louisiana U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 10