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1
Gazing
into the
Future
Maggie Greyson
June 2, 2017
2
MDes Strategic Foresight and Innovation
Futurist
Strategic Designer
Art School dropout
Maggie
Greyson
3
THE DISTANT
FUTURE IS
unknown
4
THE DISTANT
FUTURE IS
unknown
blurry
5
THE DISTANT
FUTURE IS
UNKNOWN
blurry
menacing
6
1955
Fortune Magazine listed the 500 largest
companies in a list that has become
synonymous with success.
60 years later
only 71 of those companies still remain.
7
Share moments,
Share life
1892
Kodak was founded by George Eastman
credited with inventing the first photographic
film in roll form
1975
Kodak invented the digital camera
January 19, 2012
8
Netflix sent videos that you would have rented
through Blockbuster straight to your home without
due dates or late fees.
Blockbuster was unconcerned and even had the
opportunity to buy Netflix for $50 million in 2000.
make it a
blockbuster
night
Foresight
champions and frameworks
innovation
& Systems thinking
trends & emerging trends
uncertainty
strategic planning
9
10
The future cannot
be predicted,
but futures can be
invented.
From the book “Inventing the Future” written
by Dennis Gabor who was later awarded a Nobel
Prize in Physics for his work in holography.
11
Pablo Picasso, Artist
12
albert Einstein, Theoretical Physicist
13
Buckminster Fuller, Architect
14
Mary Jackson, NASA Engineer
15
Col. Chris Hadfield, Canadian Astronaut
16
Heather Reisman, indigo Founder and CEO
Foresight
champions and frameworks
innovation
& Systems thinking
trends & emerging trends
uncertainty
strategic planning
17
18
policy horizons
canada
foresight Framework
19
World Economic
Forum
Future of Jobs and Skills in Africa
Four Scenarios
1. Mad Max
2. Transparently Blurred
3. Turbulence and Trust Deficits
4. Privatized World
20
arup
foresight and innovation
Report: Cities Alive - Rethinking greeni nfrastructure
21
arup
foresight and innovation
Report: Cities Alive - Rethinking greeni nfrastructure
22
shell
foresight
scenarios
since the
1970’s
Prepared for an oil shock
			
A vision of post-apartheid
South Africa
Responding to AIDS
Energy-water-food
23
Volkswagen Group
Strategy
2025
24
ontario college of art
and design university
strategic innovation lab (Slab)
25
Uncertain futures
26
Uncertain futures
27
Clarifies planning
assumptions
Identifies emerging
policy challenges
and opportunities
Develops more
robust policy and
strategy
Helps individuals
and organizations
prepare and
rehearse for
change.
results
Foresight
champions and frameworks
innovation
& Systems thinking
trends & emerging trends
uncertainty
strategic planning
28
29
how is innovation
like a garden?
30
how is innovation
like a forest?
31
You’ve got to think
about big things while
you’re doing small
things, so that all the
small things go in the
right direction.
“Future Shock” by Alvin Toffler
Foresight
champions and frameworks
innovation
& Systems thinking
trends & emerging trends
uncertainty
strategic planning
32
33
start with
trends we
know
34
iphone is Here to stay
35
the light
phone
a signal of change?
36
United Nation's population
projections by world region
Japan’s Demographic Time Bomb
simultaneous futures
37
weak
signals
esight
38
emerging trends
“i can do it”
39
40
Fad
trend
41
mega trend
“let’s chat”
Traditional marketing
tries to draw clients
to you
42
mega trend
“let’s chat”
now People are
expecting to interact
with you in the way
they want
Foresight
champions and frameworks
innovation
& Systems thinking
trends & emerging trends
uncertainty
strategic planning
43
44
Aimee mullins, Record-Breaking Paralympian, l’oreal
45
This is Joy.
her software can’t see her
46
47
susur lee, canadian iron chef
48
Foresight
champions and frameworks
innovation
& Systems thinking
trends & emerging trends
uncertainty
strategic planning
49
50
Probing the limits of
our current reality
and
Making new realities
possible
51
megatrend
open
everything
52
F
R
E
E
WW
A
T
E
R
CONCESSION
STAND
NESTLE WATERS
CONCESSION STAND
GIVE YOUR THUMBPRINT TO NESTLE
IN EXCHANGE FOR
TWO FREE GLASSES OF
WATER PER DAY.
feel the
future, don’t
fear the
future
experiential futures
53
conclusion
54
55
what’s the cost in not exploring
plausible futures? the future is not
unknowable, menacing and blurry
You are supported by foresight
champions and frameworks
look broadly and be aware of
the dynamic system
evaluate multiple futures
get comfortable with uncertainty
mindset
56
An Introduction to
Corporate Foresight
POLICY
CHALLENGE:
An issue that current
policies or institutions
may not be ready or
able to address.
downloads
57
thank you for
today
and
tomorrow

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Emerging Trends and Foresight by Maggie Greyson