How might we plan for the future if the future is blurry, menacing and unknowable? Using foresight methodology, we can survey the landscape to look for emerging trends. This is one of the fundamentals of futures work. We take a strategic approach to evaluating interesting projects, policies, businesses, products, etc. to identify relevant opportunities or threats. We also consider things that many not at first seem relevant, but that could really throw a wrench into things.
Futurists sometimes build scenarios to help you understand the concept of an uncertain future. These stories can be brought to life with design fiction -- artifacts and experiences that help you to visualize something that doesn't yet exist -- they are prototypes of the future.
Feel the future, don't fear the future.
6. 6
1955
Fortune Magazine listed the 500 largest
companies in a list that has become
synonymous with success.
60 years later
only 71 of those companies still remain.
7. 7
Share moments,
Share life
1892
Kodak was founded by George Eastman
credited with inventing the first photographic
film in roll form
1975
Kodak invented the digital camera
January 19, 2012
8. 8
Netflix sent videos that you would have rented
through Blockbuster straight to your home without
due dates or late fees.
Blockbuster was unconcerned and even had the
opportunity to buy Netflix for $50 million in 2000.
make it a
blockbuster
night
10. 10
The future cannot
be predicted,
but futures can be
invented.
From the book “Inventing the Future” written
by Dennis Gabor who was later awarded a Nobel
Prize in Physics for his work in holography.
19. 19
World Economic
Forum
Future of Jobs and Skills in Africa
Four Scenarios
1. Mad Max
2. Transparently Blurred
3. Turbulence and Trust Deficits
4. Privatized World
31. 31
You’ve got to think
about big things while
you’re doing small
things, so that all the
small things go in the
right direction.
“Future Shock” by Alvin Toffler
55. 55
what’s the cost in not exploring
plausible futures? the future is not
unknowable, menacing and blurry
You are supported by foresight
champions and frameworks
look broadly and be aware of
the dynamic system
evaluate multiple futures
get comfortable with uncertainty
mindset
56. 56
An Introduction to
Corporate Foresight
POLICY
CHALLENGE:
An issue that current
policies or institutions
may not be ready or
able to address.
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