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When resources collide: Towards a theory of coincidence in
information spaces
Markus Luczak-Roesch, Ramine Tinati, Nigel Shadbolt
@mluczak | http://sociam.org
Does the accumulated information propagation behaviour on the
Web form giant purposeful processes?
Source:MichaelDales,https://goo.gl/IKXs4X,CCBY-NC2.0
2-state model infinite-state model
HF LF
[1] Kleinberg, Jon. "Bursty and hierarchical structure in streams." Data
Mining and Knowledge Discovery 7.4 (2003): 373-397.
Time
Numberofobserveddocuments
Content streams as automata [1]
“An informational
cascade occurs when it
is optimal for an
individual, having
observed the actions of
those ahead him, to follow
the behavior of the
preceding individual
without regard to his own
information.” [2]
[3]	
  
[2] Bikhchandani, Sushil, David Hirshleifer, and Ivo Welch. "A theory of fads, fashion, custom, and cultural
change as informational cascades." Journal of political Economy (1992): 992-1026.
[3] Cheng, Justin, et al. "Can cascades be predicted?." Proceedings of the 23rd international conference
on World wide web. International World Wide Web Conferences Steering Committee, 2014.
We can observe situations when online communication does not
happen along explicit social ties (especially in critical situations
when time to make decisions is rare). Instead of talking
explicitly with each other people are
broadcasting about the same event or topic.
Source: United Nations Development Programme, https://goo.gl/Z1uXdV, CC BY-NC-ND 2.0
System A
System B
System C
Collective action?
t	
  
t	
  
Transcendental
information cascades
Transcendental
information cascades
t	
  
#A	
  
#A#B	
  
#A#B#C	
  
#B#D	
  
#C	
  
Building transcendental information cascades
Zooniverse case study
40.5%
Talkcontributions
Classifications
PH SG SW NN GZ CC PF SF AP WS
91%
Vocabularyshift
2	
  
0	
  
6	
  
4	
  
10	
  
8	
  
Microposts
Capturing the unintended action resulting from information
sharing activities of human collectives.
t	
  
#transit	
  
#transit	
  
#eclipsingbinary	
  
#transit	
  
#eclipsingbinary	
  
KID	
  10864656	
  
#eclipsingbinary	
  
#glitch	
  
KID	
  10864656	
  
t	
  
Document stream	
  
Transcendental Information Cascade	
  
Emergent informational traces
Emergent informational traces
Cascade motifs as an indicator of state?
Cascade motifs as an indicator of state?
?
t	
   t	
  
F1	
  
Fn	
  
…	
  
…	
  
C11	
  
C21	
  
C22	
  
C23	
  
t0	
   t1	
   t2	
   t3	
   t4	
  t5	
   t7	
   t8	
  
t6	
  
t6	
  -­‐	
  t0	
  
t2	
  -­‐	
  t1	
   t8	
  -­‐	
  t2	
  
t4	
  -­‐	
  t2	
  
t7	
  -­‐	
  t4	
  
t5	
  -­‐	
  t3	
  
t1	
  -­‐	
  t0	
  
t2	
  -­‐	
  t1	
  
t4	
  -­‐	
  t1	
  
t4	
  -­‐	
  t3	
  
t6	
  -­‐	
  t5	
  
t8	
  -­‐	
  t6	
  
t7	
  -­‐	
  t4	
  
t5	
  -­‐	
  t4	
  
t3	
  -­‐	
  t2	
  
Current and future work
t	
  
F1	
  
Fn	
  
…	
  
…	
  
C11	
  
C21	
  
C22	
  
C23	
  
Formalising the
multiple possible
representations of
a system at any time
and their relationships.
Not all representing
purposeful action but
reflecting useful
informational properties.
By focusing only on the
coincidence of
information occurrence,
we can capture and
analyse emergent
collective action across
system boundaries and
independent from social
network contexts.
Markus Luczak-Roesch
@mluczak
http://markus-luczak.de
Source:GiuliaForsythe,http://goo.gl/6hpZ0W,CCBY-NC-SA2.0
References
•  Markus Luczak-Roesch, Ramine Tinati, Kieron O'Hara, and Nigel
Shadbolt. 2015. Socio-technical Computation. In
Proceedings of the 18th ACM Conference Companion on Computer
Supported Cooperative Work & Social Computing (CSCW'15
Companion). ACM, New York, NY, USA, 139-142. http://
doi.acm.org/10.1145/2685553.2698991
•  Markus Luczak-Roesch, Ramine Tinati, and Nigel Shadbolt. 2015.
When Resources Collide: Towards a Theory of
Coincidence in Information Spaces. To appear in
WWW’15 Companion, May 18–22, 2015, Florence, Italy. http://
dx.doi.org/10.1145/2740908.2743973

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When resources collide: Towards a theory of coincidence in information spaces (talk given at #SOCM2015)

  • 1. When resources collide: Towards a theory of coincidence in information spaces Markus Luczak-Roesch, Ramine Tinati, Nigel Shadbolt @mluczak | http://sociam.org
  • 2. Does the accumulated information propagation behaviour on the Web form giant purposeful processes? Source:MichaelDales,https://goo.gl/IKXs4X,CCBY-NC2.0
  • 3. 2-state model infinite-state model HF LF [1] Kleinberg, Jon. "Bursty and hierarchical structure in streams." Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery 7.4 (2003): 373-397. Time Numberofobserveddocuments Content streams as automata [1]
  • 4. “An informational cascade occurs when it is optimal for an individual, having observed the actions of those ahead him, to follow the behavior of the preceding individual without regard to his own information.” [2] [3]   [2] Bikhchandani, Sushil, David Hirshleifer, and Ivo Welch. "A theory of fads, fashion, custom, and cultural change as informational cascades." Journal of political Economy (1992): 992-1026. [3] Cheng, Justin, et al. "Can cascades be predicted?." Proceedings of the 23rd international conference on World wide web. International World Wide Web Conferences Steering Committee, 2014.
  • 5. We can observe situations when online communication does not happen along explicit social ties (especially in critical situations when time to make decisions is rare). Instead of talking explicitly with each other people are broadcasting about the same event or topic. Source: United Nations Development Programme, https://goo.gl/Z1uXdV, CC BY-NC-ND 2.0
  • 6. System A System B System C Collective action? t  
  • 8. Transcendental information cascades t   #A   #A#B   #A#B#C   #B#D   #C  
  • 10. Zooniverse case study 40.5% Talkcontributions Classifications PH SG SW NN GZ CC PF SF AP WS 91% Vocabularyshift 2   0   6   4   10   8   Microposts
  • 11. Capturing the unintended action resulting from information sharing activities of human collectives. t   #transit   #transit   #eclipsingbinary   #transit   #eclipsingbinary   KID  10864656   #eclipsingbinary   #glitch   KID  10864656   t   Document stream   Transcendental Information Cascade  
  • 14. Cascade motifs as an indicator of state?
  • 15. Cascade motifs as an indicator of state? ?
  • 16. t   t   F1   Fn   …   …   C11   C21   C22   C23   t0   t1   t2   t3   t4  t5   t7   t8   t6   t6  -­‐  t0   t2  -­‐  t1   t8  -­‐  t2   t4  -­‐  t2   t7  -­‐  t4   t5  -­‐  t3   t1  -­‐  t0   t2  -­‐  t1   t4  -­‐  t1   t4  -­‐  t3   t6  -­‐  t5   t8  -­‐  t6   t7  -­‐  t4   t5  -­‐  t4   t3  -­‐  t2   Current and future work
  • 17. t   F1   Fn   …   …   C11   C21   C22   C23   Formalising the multiple possible representations of a system at any time and their relationships. Not all representing purposeful action but reflecting useful informational properties.
  • 18. By focusing only on the coincidence of information occurrence, we can capture and analyse emergent collective action across system boundaries and independent from social network contexts. Markus Luczak-Roesch @mluczak http://markus-luczak.de Source:GiuliaForsythe,http://goo.gl/6hpZ0W,CCBY-NC-SA2.0
  • 19. References •  Markus Luczak-Roesch, Ramine Tinati, Kieron O'Hara, and Nigel Shadbolt. 2015. Socio-technical Computation. In Proceedings of the 18th ACM Conference Companion on Computer Supported Cooperative Work & Social Computing (CSCW'15 Companion). ACM, New York, NY, USA, 139-142. http:// doi.acm.org/10.1145/2685553.2698991 •  Markus Luczak-Roesch, Ramine Tinati, and Nigel Shadbolt. 2015. When Resources Collide: Towards a Theory of Coincidence in Information Spaces. To appear in WWW’15 Companion, May 18–22, 2015, Florence, Italy. http:// dx.doi.org/10.1145/2740908.2743973