1. CONFLICT STUDY
CONFLICT BETWEEN UKRAINE AND RUSSIA
UKRAINE CRISES
CLASS OF PEACE STUDY AND INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
SUNGKONGHOE UNIVERSITY – MAINS PROGRAM
2. BACKGROUND
• IN NOV, 2013, EUROMAIDAN PROTESTS STARTED DUE TO PRESIDENT, YANUKOVYCH’S
ACTION OF REJECTION TO THE TRADE AGREEMENT WITH THE EU BUT A LARGE
POPULATION OPPOSED THE PROTESTS.
• ANTI-GOVERNMENT DEMONSTRATORS OCCUPIED GOV BUILDINGS IN THE CENTRE OF
KIEV.
• POROSHENKO WAS BECOME PRESIDENT FROM PRO-EU
• IN MAR, 2014, UNMARKED, ARMED RUSSIAN SOLDIERS ENTERED
TO CRIMEA TO DEPLOY RUSSIAN TROOPS TO UKRAINE & TOOK
CONTROL OF THE CRIMEAN PENANCULA.
• BIG CITIES DECLARED INDEPENDENCE (UNRECOGNIZED STATES),
ADMITTED AS
REPUBLIC OF CRIMEA
DONETSK PEOPLE’S REPUBLIC
LUGANSK PEOPLE’S REPUBLIC
HTTPS://WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/WATCH?V=VDXG-FLV0VI
6. Strategy of peaceful
federating over Ukraine
Intention to divide
Ukraine into three parts
(east, central & west)
Helsinki Final Act, Paris Chapter,
Budapest Memorandum – Promise
of USA,UK, Ireland & Russia
ANALYZE ON DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVE
7. IT IS NOT SIMPLE CONFLICT BUT PART OF BROADER ENERGY WAR
• RUSSIA SUPPLIES 30% OF EUROPEAN NATURAL GAS & 35% OF OIL.
66% OF PIPLELINELINE FLOW IS THOUG UKRAINE.
• EUROPEAN NATO IS DEPENDENT ON NATURAL GAS FROM RUSSIA.
• UKRAINE’S TRADE DEAL WITH RUSSIA INSTEAD OF EU WOULD HAVE
DEEP INTO THE EU AND NATO’S ENERGY DEPENDENCE ON RUSSIA.
• PRO-EU PROTESTS GROUPS FUNDED BY USAID
• NEW GAS NATURAL SOURCES ARE FOUND IN WEST UKRAINE AND
POLAND.
• IF THEY SIGN ON THE DEAL TO EXPLOIT THIS GAZFIELDS WHICH
WOULD MAKE EU AND NATO INDEPENDENT ON RUSSIA.
• IT WOULD BE EASY TO FOLLOW THROUGH NATO’S AGENDA OF
ENCIRCLING RUSSIA WITH MILITARY BASIS.
ANALYZE ON DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVE
8.
9. POTENTIAL POSITIVE CHANGES
• WEST UKRAINE’S ASSOCIATION TO THE EU /NATO
• EAST UKRAINE’S ASSOCIATION TO THE EUASEC / RUSSIAN FEDERATION – NEW
ALIEN’S ESTABLISHMENT
• BECAUSE OF BAD EXAMPLE OF SEPARATISM – FURTHER CAUSE OF REGIONAL
CONFECTS
