This document summarizes a presentation on the future of travel by Dr. Ian Yeoman. It identifies several key drivers of change including wealth, resources, technology, and demographics. It discusses how populations are aging in developed countries while youth populations are growing rapidly in developing countries. It also explores how life courses and identities are changing. New types of tourists are emerging who seek new experiences and simplicity. The document outlines several potential futures for various industries including transportation, food, architecture, science, meetings, visitor information centers, sports, and more. Emerging technologies like artificial intelligence, augmented reality, haptics, and brain-computer interfaces are also discussed.

1. Imagining the Future of Travel
Dr. Ian Yeoman
Victoria Business School, New Zealand
European Tourism Futures Institute, Netherlands

2. Key Drivers of Change
Wealth
Resources Technology

3. Wealth
3

4. Net Gen by Population
% of total
Growth in under-25
Country population under
population since 1980
25
India 52 46
China 38 -9
United States 35 11
Brazil 47 22
Mexico 49 14
Russia 32 -15
Japan 25 -27
Germany 26 -20
France 31 -7
UK 31 -10
Spain 27 -27
Canada 31 -4
Source: UN 2009
4

5. % of total
Growth in under-25
Country population under
population since 1980
25
India 52 46
China 38 -9
United States 35 11
Brazil 47 22
Mexico 49 14
Russia 32 -15
Japan 25 -27
Germany 26 -20
France 31 -7
UK 31 -10
Spain 27 -27
Canada 31 -4
Source: UN 2009
5

6. Changing Life Courses
Early Life: Adult Older Age
Growth and Development Maintaining highest Maintaining independence and
possible level of function Preventing disability
Functionality of capacity
Rang
eo
in ind f function
ividu s
als
Disability threshold
Rehabilitation and ensuring
the quality of life
Age
Source: Yeoman & Butterfield 2010
6

7. 7

8. 8

9. New Tourist
9

10. The transition of changing values

11. Fluid identity

12. Simplicity
Flatters & Wilmott 2009

13. Thomas Malthus has become widely known
for his theories concerning population and its
increase or decrease in response to various
factors. The six editions of his An Essay on
the Principle of Population, published from
1798 to 1826, observed that sooner or later
population gets checked
by famine and disease.
13

15. Future of Flight
15

16. Future of Transport
16

17. Future of Transport
Tesla Roadster
Robotic Power Suites
17

18. Future of Food
18

19. Sustainable architecture
seeks to minimize the
negative environmental
impact of buildings by
enhancing efficiency and
moderation in the use of
materials, energy, and
development space.
Photo: Songjiang Inter Continental, Shangai
19

20. Space is Scarce
Futuris
20

21. New Sciences: Programmable Matter
21

22. 22

23. What’s new in housekeeping?
23

24. Future of the Meetings Industry
Events
5000
4500
4000
3500
Absolute figures
Medical science
3000
Technology
2500 Science
Industry
2000
Other
1500
1000
500
0
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Meetings by Sector (Source: ICCA)
24

25. 25

26. In Japan 30% of online
travel agents report
30% of hotel bookings
coming via mobile
phones on the day of
arrival (Hatton 2009)
Augmented audio and visual
recognition technology means
that a smartphone with a camera
can recognise the environment
and provide information

28. Scientists at the University of Washington have been developing
a contact lens containing one built-in LED, powered wirelessly with
radio frequency waves, facial recognition systems etc (Nelson 2008)

29. Future of Sporting Events
29

30. What will the fan experience be?
Real or virtual

31. What is the Future of Visitor Information Centres?
31

32. Artificial Intelligence
Google’s cross-language
search can retrieve results
in another by providing
Adaptive Inc, is an artificial automatic translation
general intelligence system services
that can conduct smart
intelligence conservations with
you. SmartActionIVR
monitors the conversation for
mood, degree of certainty,
learns how to respond and
even ask you on a date
32

33. Artificial Intelligence
Google’s cross-language
search can retrieve results
Adaptive Inc, is an artificial in another by providing
general intelligence system automatic translation
that can conduct smart services
intelligence conservations with
you. SmartActionIVR
monitors the conversation for
mood, degree of certainty,
learns how to respond and
even ask you on a date
33

34. Can I read your mind?
DAPRA’s Silent Talk. The goal is
to “allow user-to-user
communication on the
battlefield without the use of
vocalized speech through analysis
of neural signals.” This is were
telepathy becomes real.
34

35. Haptic Technologies
The concept of
haptic technology
builds on the users’
sense of touch,
allowing them to
touch and feel
objects within the
virtual real.
(Yeoman 2011)
35

36. 36

37. The Future
According to Charles Duell of the US Patent
Office, everything that can be invented has
been invented. That’s the end of innovation and
technological change then!
37

38. The Future
It was Thomas Watson of
IBM that said “I think there
is a world market for
maybe five computers”.
38

40. Yeoman I (2012) 2050: Tomorrows Schanzel H. Yeoman, I. & Backer, E
Tourism. Channelview, Bristol (2012) Family Tourism, Channelview,