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Delivering the efficiency challenge
John Curnow
Economics Director
26 May 2016
2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2003 2013
Totalexpenditureohhealth,%GDP
Germany
France
France
Germany
UK
UK
Italy
Italy
3
Whilst in recent years the growth in health spending has been lower, it’s
still been a ‘winner’ in spending reviews compared to other public services
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
Real Change between 10/11 and 19/20 Real Change between 15/16 to 19/20
* Estimated from DH and NHS TDEL data, NHS from 2014/15
4
* Spending defined as Total Managed Expenditure, minus social security and debt payments
Non-Health
71%
Health
29%
2014/15
Non-Health
78%
Health
22%
1996/97
Non-Health
86%
Health
14%
1978/79
And health continues to take a greater proportion of discretionary public
spending
Our framework for thinking about savings opportunities
Inputs (staff,
drugs, …)
Outputs (FCEs,
…)
Outcomes
(QALYs, …)
Budget
Economy
Controlling input
costs
Efficiency
Productivity /
technical efficiency
Effectiveness
Allocative efficiency
/ managing demand
VALUE FOR MONEY
We should recognise that the NHS has
performed well compared to other sectors in last
ten years
How the £22bn of savings will be delivered
7
21.6 6.7
14.9 1.0
13.9 4.3
8.6
1.0
0
5
10
15
20
25
NHS Efficiencies Of which nationally
delivered
To be delivered
locally
Of which already
secured
To be secured Activity related Secondary care
NHS provider
productivity
improvement 2%
Other
commissioner
£bn
In 2016/17 plans

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John Curnow

  • 1. Delivering the efficiency challenge John Curnow Economics Director 26 May 2016
  • 3. 3 Whilst in recent years the growth in health spending has been lower, it’s still been a ‘winner’ in spending reviews compared to other public services -80% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% Real Change between 10/11 and 19/20 Real Change between 15/16 to 19/20 * Estimated from DH and NHS TDEL data, NHS from 2014/15
  • 4. 4 * Spending defined as Total Managed Expenditure, minus social security and debt payments Non-Health 71% Health 29% 2014/15 Non-Health 78% Health 22% 1996/97 Non-Health 86% Health 14% 1978/79 And health continues to take a greater proportion of discretionary public spending
  • 5. Our framework for thinking about savings opportunities Inputs (staff, drugs, …) Outputs (FCEs, …) Outcomes (QALYs, …) Budget Economy Controlling input costs Efficiency Productivity / technical efficiency Effectiveness Allocative efficiency / managing demand VALUE FOR MONEY
  • 6. We should recognise that the NHS has performed well compared to other sectors in last ten years
  • 7. How the £22bn of savings will be delivered 7 21.6 6.7 14.9 1.0 13.9 4.3 8.6 1.0 0 5 10 15 20 25 NHS Efficiencies Of which nationally delivered To be delivered locally Of which already secured To be secured Activity related Secondary care NHS provider productivity improvement 2% Other commissioner £bn In 2016/17 plans