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Inverse Modeling of NH3 Emissions
              Using
  Time-Averaged Concentrations


                       Kira Shonkwiler

   Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University
Inverse Modeling
 What if…                      wind
    You can’t directly                     Cattle Pens
                                                              North
     measure emissions?
                               West                           Base
    The instruments are too
     expensive?                               700 m           South

    You only know             N
     concentration?


 Know average concentration, wind
  characteristics, and site layout…
    Can estimate how much was emitted for that location to report
     that concentration!
FIDES
 Flux Interpretation by Dispersion Exchange
  over Short-range (FIDES)
   Inverse model (inputs: u* and L)
   Solves the advection-dispersion equation
         Uses concentration ( ) from a location (x, z) to estimate
          source strength of a different location (xs, zs)




     Cbgd is the constant background concentration
     S is the source strength
     D is a dispersion function
                                                      Loubet et al., 2001; 2010
FIDES
 Applied successfully in Europe
 (Loubet et al., 2001; 2009; 2010)

   NH3 concentrations measured with high-speed
    instrumentation
   Expensive



 Work at CSU is first attempt at modeling NH3
  emissions from time-averaged data (i.e., the
  conditional passive samplers)
Model Output – Emissions
 Average emissions for each deployment cycle (Oct 2012 – Feb 2013)




   Decrease in volatilization from surface during winter
Model Output – Emissions
    Histogram (frequency distribution) of output emissions from FIDES




   Skewed distribution, 92% of values fall between 20 – 100 g m-2 s-1
Model Output – Emissions

                                Emissions summary




   Average Emissions: 4.7 g m-2 d-1; 41 g head-1 d-1
   Percent of Fed-Nitrogen emitted as NH3 averaged 53%
Conclusions
  Emissions decreased throughout the winter as
   volatilization decreased

  Predicted emissions have a skewed distribution

  Average output from the model was 20 – 100 g
   m-2 s-1

  Emissions averaged 41 g head-1 d-1 and 4.7 g m-2
   d-1

  53% of Fed N emitted to air as NH3
References
1.   Fdfs




        Thank
         You!

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Inverse Modeling of NH3 Emissions Using Time-Averaged Concentrations

  • 1. Inverse Modeling of NH3 Emissions Using Time-Averaged Concentrations Kira Shonkwiler Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University
  • 2. Inverse Modeling  What if… wind  You can’t directly Cattle Pens North measure emissions? West Base  The instruments are too expensive? 700 m South  You only know N concentration?  Know average concentration, wind characteristics, and site layout…  Can estimate how much was emitted for that location to report that concentration!
  • 3. FIDES  Flux Interpretation by Dispersion Exchange over Short-range (FIDES)  Inverse model (inputs: u* and L)  Solves the advection-dispersion equation  Uses concentration ( ) from a location (x, z) to estimate source strength of a different location (xs, zs)  Cbgd is the constant background concentration  S is the source strength  D is a dispersion function Loubet et al., 2001; 2010
  • 4. FIDES  Applied successfully in Europe (Loubet et al., 2001; 2009; 2010)  NH3 concentrations measured with high-speed instrumentation  Expensive  Work at CSU is first attempt at modeling NH3 emissions from time-averaged data (i.e., the conditional passive samplers)
  • 5. Model Output – Emissions Average emissions for each deployment cycle (Oct 2012 – Feb 2013)  Decrease in volatilization from surface during winter
  • 6. Model Output – Emissions Histogram (frequency distribution) of output emissions from FIDES  Skewed distribution, 92% of values fall between 20 – 100 g m-2 s-1
  • 7. Model Output – Emissions Emissions summary  Average Emissions: 4.7 g m-2 d-1; 41 g head-1 d-1  Percent of Fed-Nitrogen emitted as NH3 averaged 53%
  • 8. Conclusions  Emissions decreased throughout the winter as volatilization decreased  Predicted emissions have a skewed distribution  Average output from the model was 20 – 100 g m-2 s-1  Emissions averaged 41 g head-1 d-1 and 4.7 g m-2 d-1  53% of Fed N emitted to air as NH3
  • 9. References 1. Fdfs Thank You!

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