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Excerpt Intelligence Report: Mobile
                                                                                          To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.com




                                                                                               MobileFEBRUARY 14, 2013




                                                                                                                                                          Intelligence
                                                                                                                                                                Report

Circulation of the report violates copyright, trademark and intellectual property laws.                                                                    © L2 2013 L2ThinkTank.com
Intelligence Report
                                                                             Excerpt Intelligence Report: Mobile                                                                                                                         February 14, 2013
                                                                             To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.com
Mobile


M-Commerce: Overhyped                                                                                                                                                                                                Watch the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Mobile Video

M-Influence: Underhyped                                                                                                                                                                                              Click to Play




              While U.S. e-commerce revenues represent about 7 percent of overall retail
              sales, revenues from m-commerce (including sales from tablet devices) remain
              at less than one percent.1


              T
                         hrough 2016, e-commerce revenues will grow at twice the rate                                     influence in retail. A more old-school device, the television, provides an apt
                         of overall retail, and m-commerce’s share of online commerce will                                analogy: while home shopping (TV commerce) is a relatively small business,
                         more than double, from 11 percent to 24 percent. In real terms,                                  broadcast advertising continues to drive sales of beer, cars, insurance, and
              however, mobile sales will remain a pimple on the elephant of U.S. retail.                                  cures for Restless Legs Syndrome. For every dollar spent via a mobile phone
              	 Mobile is the next big thing, but its influence will register on other devices                            today, the new appendage of choice will inspire $13 of purchases in-store (and
              and offline. Just as Google, which produces no content, is now the most                                     $22 by 2016).2
              powerful media company on Earth, mobile will become a key arbiter of
                                                                                                                          Tomorrow Becomes Today
                                                                                                                          Nearly one in four site visits originate from a mobile or tablet device (up
                                       U.S. Retail M-Commerce Sales                                                       84 percent year over year).3 One fifth of search traffic is driven by queries
                                                          ($ in Billions)                                                 received from mobile users (evenly split between smartphones and tablets),4

                             Retail M-Commerce Sales           % of Retail E-Commerce           % Change YoY
                                                                                                                          including 23 percent of searches for prestige brands (up from 14 percent last
                                                                                                                          year). And as of May, the average time spent on Facebook’s mobile properties
                   169%                                                                                                   (441 minutes per month) exceeded that spent on the social network’s
                                                                                                          $86.9
                                                                                                                          desktop site (391 minutes) for those who use both platforms.5
                                                                                         $68.3
                                                                                                                          Poorly Prepared
                                                                       $52.2                                              The majority of prestige brands are not prepared to capitalize on this tectonic shift.
                                        81%
                                                      $38.4                                                               Sites actively promoting daily deals, including Amazon, eBay, Gilt Groupe, and
                                                                                                                          Groupon, generate a third of all m-commerce retail revenues.6 Their primary point
                                      $24.6
                                                       56%              36%               31%                             of differentiation: targeted offers combined with express checkout functionality,
                    $13.6                                                                                  27%
                                      11%              15%                                                                often requiring only “one click” to purchase.
                     7%
                                                                        18%               21%              24%
                      2011            2012             2013             2014              2015             2016
                  Source: eMarketer                                                                                       2.	 The Dawn of Mobile Influence: Discovering the value of mobile in retail, Deloitte Digital, 2013.
                                                                                                                          3.	“Mobile Traffic Has Quadrupled in Last Two Years,” Heather Leonard, Business Insider, January 10, 2013.
                                                                                                                          4.	 RKG, Digital Marketing Report: Q4 2012, Rimm-Kaufman Group, January 2013.
                                                                                                                          5.	“Americans Now Spend More Time On Facebook Mobile Than Its Website,” Josh Constine, TechCrunch, May 11, 2012.
              1.	“Record Retail Sales on Smartphones, Tablets Take Great Ecommerce Share,” eMarketer, January 20, 2013.   6.	“M-commerce sales via smartphones hit $8 billion in 2012,” Bill Siwicki, Internet Retailer, January 16, 2013.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2
Intelligence Report
                                                                                       Excerpt Intelligence Report: Mobile                                                                                                         February 14, 2013
                                                                                       To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.com
Mobile

Data Replaces Opinion                                                                                                   Mobile-Influenced Store Sales vs.
                                                                                                                       M-Commerce and E-Commerce Sales
The aging “site vs. app” debate is becoming moot in the
                                                                                                                                           ($ in Billions)
face of real data. During the 2011 holiday season, the top
                                                                                                                                              2012        2016
five retail mobile apps and sites (in combination) reached
nearly 60 percent of U.S. smartphone owners.7 Mobile sites
                                                                                                                                                           689
reached 51 percent of smartphone users while mobile apps
reached just 28 percent. For brands and retailers outside of
the top five, which often struggle to build awareness in the
app store, the scale tips even more staggeringly in favor of
sites. Several successive industry developments, including
Google’s endorsement of responsive design in June and
Apple’s support of new developer tools (iOS6: file input                                                                                                                               327
type, web audio API, app caching, etc.) in September, have
served to further undermine the advantages of native app                                                                                                             226
development.       8,9
                                                                                                                                        158




                                                                                                                                                                                             Source: Deloitte
L2 Intelligence                                                                                                            31
In January 2012, L2 examined the mobile competence of 100                                                      12
prestige brands. This supplemental report attempts to update key
data and provide insight as the industry rethinks its approach to                                                M-Commerce             Mobile influence on           E-Commerce Sales
                                                                                                                                            Store Sales
mobile and tablet platforms. Our aim is not to examine mobile in
isolation, but to define and illustrate its impact on brands’ digital
marketing, e-commerce, and in-store sales. Like the medium we
are assessing, our approach is dynamic. Please reach out with
                                                                                                                 Percentage of Site Traffic From Mobile Devices
                                                                                                                                          Q4 2011–Q4 2012
comments to improve our methodolgy and findings. You can
reach me at scott@stern.nyu.edu.


                                                                                                                                                                             23.1%




                                                                                                                                                                                             Source: Walter Sands Communications
Scott Galloway
Professor of Marketing, NYU Stern
Founder, L2                                                                                                                                                      17.5%
                                                                                                                                                16.6%

                                                                                                                              13.4%
7.	“A Store in Your Pocket: Retailer Mobile Websites Beat Apps among U.S. Smartphone                             12.6%
Owners,” Nielsen Wire, March 12, 2012.
8.	“iOS6: The Benefits for HTML5 Web App Development,” Aaron Lumsden, September 12,
2012.                                                                                                            Q4 2011      Q1 2012           Q2 2012          Q3 2012     Q4 2012
9.	“Recommendations for building smartphone-optimized websites,” Pierre Far, Google
Webmaster Central Blog, June 6, 2012.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  3
Intelligence Report
                                                                                                           Excerpt Intelligence Report: Mobile                                                                                               February 14, 2013
                                                                                                           To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.com
                Mobile
Spotlight
The Year of Mobile (Again):                                                                                                                  Traffic vs. Time:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Unique Audience:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        (U.S., July 2012)

                                                                                                                                             searches for L2 100 brands by Device Type:
                                                          Customers spent         525%   more time with
                                                          retailer apps in December 2012 vs. December 2011                                                                                        Mobile Web             Mobile Apps                  Desktop

                                                                                                                                                                                                 95.2 million          101.8 million            204.7 million
                                                                                                                                                         14%                   23%                 +82% YoY              +85% YoY                     -4% YoY

4 in 5 owners use device to shop                            by the end of            2013                                                            December 2011             january 2013


smartphone
                                                                                                                                                                Mobile Search


                                                                                                                                                              Growth in Desktop searches                         Total Minutes per Month:

                                                                                                                                                              +3%YoY
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        (U.S., July 2012)


                                                              54% of phones globally
                                                                  will be smartphones                         1in 5                                                                               Mobile Web             Mobile Apps                  Desktop
                 More than                                                                                     consumers are now
                                                                                                             “showrooming”                              Growth in Mobile searches                28.1billion           129.4 billion             367.7 billion
                 1 in 3 emails
                 are opened on a mobile device                                                                                                                       +94%YoY                       +22% YoY              +120% YoY                    +4% YoY



                                                                                                                                             Flash Forward:
Different Screen / Different User Behavior:
                                                                                                                                                                     Smartphone Market Share:
Couch Surfing:                                                                                                    Out and About:


                                                                                                                                                                     Symbian           Android       iOS            Blackberry              Windows


                                                                                                                                                       2009          44%                4%         14%               20%                    8%
       41%                           3 8%
                                               of smartphone
                                                                             Info related to TV                             94%
                                                                                                                 of smartphone owners look
                                                                                                                                                       2012          3%                67%         20%                 5%                   3%
                                                                              advertisements
                                                                                                                                                                     0%                62%         22%                 8%                   5%
         of tablet owners
                             &                 owners…                                                           for local information on
                                                                                                                 their phones
                                                                                                                                                       2015

                                                                             26% 15%
   …use their device daily while watching TV;                                                                                                Tablet Shipments:
    activities performed on devices include:                                    iPad       iPhone
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Mobile Payments:

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  5 billion
                                                                               Info related to                   66%                                                                                               Active mobile phone accounts worldwide
                                                                                TV program                       Visit businesses either
  Unrelated shopping                   Visit social network
                                                                                                                 in store or online after
                                                                                                                                              2010 17million (iPad released April)                 1.3 billion
   45%                                                                     35%              23%
                                                                                                                 a local search               2011 65 million                                      Active credit/debit card accounts worldwide


        iPad
                    22%
                                        44% 38%                                 iPad       iPhone                                             2012 122 million                                          Number of mobile payment users in 2012:
                    iPhone
                                             iPad       iPhone                                                                                2013 200 million+ forecast                               112.3 million in 2012 vs. 447.9 million in 2016E

Sources: Business Insider, CNNMoney, comScore, GigaOM, Google, Litmus, Nielsen, Statistica, Teradata, & TechCrunch.
Intelligence Report
                                                                      Excerpt Intelligence Report: Mobile                                                                    February 14, 2013
                                                                      To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.com
         Mobile
Methodology

                                                                                      The Methodology
                   L2 Intelligence Reports complement L2’s flagship Digital IQ Index® with a deeper dive on platforms or geographies driving future
                   growth. This report examines Mobile and Tablet data across 100 brands in five industries. Critical areas of investigation include:


                                         Brand Experience                                                                      Support and Influence

Site                                              Mobile Apps                                   Digital Marketing                          Social Media
Adoption:                                         Presence:                                     Paid Search Strategy:                      Foursquare vs. Instagram:
E-Commerce, Mobile-Optimized Sites,               iOS, Android, BlackBerry, Windows Phone       Symmetrical vs. Asymmetrical               Brand Presence, Followers, Campaigns
M-Commerce
                                                  App Store Performance:                        Mobile Ads:                                Legacy Platforms:
Next-Generation Implementations:                  Ratings, Comments                             Campaigns                                  Impact of Mobile Promotions
Responsive / Adaptive Design, Mobile Web Apps
                                                  App Lifespan:                                                                            New Platforms:
Ability to Transact:                              Initial Release, Update Frequency                                                        WeChat
PayPal Support, Interoperable ID, Mobile Offers




                                   By combining longitudinal data on the brands that L2 tracks with third-party research, this report helps
                                        illustrate mobile progress observed since January 2012 and define areas of future investment.




                                                                                                                                                                                            5
Intelligence Report
                                              Excerpt Intelligence Report: Mobile                                            February 14, 2013
                                              To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.com
    Mobile
Brand List
       Fashion (29)       Watches & Jewelry (24)                    Beauty (18)                    Hospitality (20)   Retail (9)




                                                                                                                                            6
Intelligence Report
                                                                                              Excerpt Intelligence Report: Mobile                                                                                  February 14, 2013
                                                                                              To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.com
    Mobile
Key Findings
    Search:                                                                                                                             Classification of Paid Search Activity
    Space Premium on the Small Screen                                                                                                                   Desktop vs. Mobile
                                                                                                                                                         January 2013, n=100
    In January 2012, only 57 percent of the 100 brands
    assessed were engaging in paid search for brand terms on                                                                                 37%
                                                                                                                  25%
    mobile devices. This has risen to 65 percent in 2013—still                                                                                                          19%               16%
    shy of the 81 percent that buy their own terms on desktop                                                                                                                                                  3%
    search engines.
    	 The absence of parallel activity on mobile search is
    surprising. Desktop search is responsible for generating                                                                                                                                              Paid Search Only
                                                                                                                                                                                       Not Engaged in        on Mobile
    more traffic, but real estate on mobile search is arguably                                                                                                      Paid Search Only
                                                                                                                                                                      on Desktop        Paid Search
    more valuable given space constraints imposed by the                                                    Paid Search on Both
                                                                                                                (Different Ad)         Paid Search on Both
    smaller screen size. On average, a Google search query                                                                                  (Same Ad)
    on an iPhone for the 100 brands examined yields only
    three initial results visible on the device’s four-inch screen.
    Consequently, the addition of a new paid ad can easily                                                                          Average Google Search Results Returned
    push a brand’s first organic search result “below the fold.”                                                                                  By Screen Size Without Scrolling
    Google’s next iteration of AdWords, announced on February                                                                                               January 2013
    6th, may address some of these challenges.10
    	 While all of the brands reviewed own the top organic                                                                                                         1024 × 768
    search result for their brand term, one fifth of these links do                                                         1256 × 1440
                                                                                                                                                                                           640 × 960
    not appear in the default view returned, requiring the user
    to scroll down. On mobile screens, 58 percent of immediate
    results are paid ads, which require a different approach
                                                                                                                           10 Results + Sidebar                     5–6 Results             2–3 Results
    altogether. Still, the majority of brands engaged in mobile
    paid search mirror their desktop efforts—only 25 percent
    alter content by pushing mobile offers, embedding direct
    phone numbers, or including directions to local boutiques.




    10.	 Google, “Enhancing AdWords for a constantly connected world,” Inside AdWords Blog,
    February 6, 2013.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  7
Intelligence Report
                                                                    Excerpt Intelligence Report: Mobile                                                               February 14, 2013
                                                                    To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.com
    Mobile
Key Findings
                                                                                               Brand Participation in Competing App Stores
    Mobile Apps:                                                                                                        n=100
    Churn                                                                                                     January 2012      January 2013
    In the past 12 months, the 100 prestige brands reviewed
    introduced 94 new apps for the iOS platform (and removed
                                                                                                                     70%
    52). This mixed investment is indicative of an industry still                                                                              196
                                                                                                                                               apps
    struggling with the underlying utility of native mobile apps.                                                                                     iOS

    Although participation on the iOS platform remained fixed,
    this figure obscures the ecosystem’s “revolving door.”
    Specifically, six brands (Bare Escentuals, Chloé, De Beers,
    Morgans Hotel, Prada, and Tory Burch) joined the platform,                                                       22%
                                                                                                                                               28
    while six brands (Calvin Klein, Clinique, David Yurman, Diane                          2012                                                apps
                                                                                                                                                      Android
    von Furstenberg, Harry Winston, and Piaget) exited.
    	 Predictably, in the last year there has been a notable                                                          7%
    uptick in iPad app development—53 percent of the new                                                                                       7
                                                                                                                                               apps   BlackBerry
    apps are either iPad native or provide dual iPhone/iPad                                                           2%
    support. More important, 35 percent of the new apps                                                                                        2
                                                                                                                                               apps   Windows Phone
    released on the iTunes store now have a direct counterpart
    in the Android store.


                                                                                                                     70%
                                                                                                                                               238
                                                                                                                                               apps
                                                                                                                                                      iOS


                                                                                                                     37%
                                                                                                                                               65
                                                                                                                                               apps
                                                                                                                                                      Android


                                                                                           2013
                                                                                                                      7%
                                                                                                                                               7
                                                                                                                      3%                       apps   BlackBerry

                                                                                                                                               3
                                                                                                                                               apps
                                                                                                                                                      Windows Phone




                                                                                                                                                                                     8
Intelligence Report
                                                                   Excerpt Intelligence Report: Mobile                                                                                                                                                              February 14, 2013
                                                                   To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.com
    Mobile
Key Findings
    Mobile Apps:                                                                                                                                             Mobile App Proliferation by Industry
    Gimmick Graveyard vs. Utility Shed                                                                                                                                          September 2008–January 2013
    Across the 238 apps assessed, the average app has been                                                                                           Hospitality            Watches & Jewelry        Fashion          Beauty           Retail
                                                                                                            80
    live on the App Store for 17 months. Twenty-seven percent
    of the apps reviewed have never been updated after initial
                                                                                                            70
    release—signaling inattention to fixing bugs, ensuring




                                                                        Number of Apps Live on Given Date
    compatibility with new devices, incorporating user feedback,
                                                                                                            60
    and enhancing features and functionality.

                                                                                                            50
    Other observations:
                                                                                                            40
    Fashion brands are the most likely to release an app
    and not support it with incremental updates (40 percent).
                                                                                                            30



    58 percent of Beauty brand apps found in the U.S.                                                       20

    App Store were created for APAC markets (45 percent
    have no user ratings).                                                                                  10


                                                                                                             0
    Watch & Jewelry brands are the most likely to                                                                July 2008                                                                                                                                       January 2013
    create iPad apps (89 percent).                                                                                   July 2008                                     April 2010           June 2010              March 2011                             September 2012


                                                                                                                 3     iPhone 3G                                   iPad             4     iPhone 4         2      iPad 2                                 iPhone 5      5
    Hospitality brands brands remain the most prolific
                                                                                                                         App Store
    app developers (45 percent of available apps released
    within the past year, driven by the steady release of
    property-specific apps).
                                                                                                                                               % of apps           Time average                                                                 Average #
                                                                                                            % of brands          Average #     released            app has been      Average # of      % apps               Average # of        of ratings       % of brands
                                                                                                            producing            of apps per   in past 12          live in App       updates over      NEVER                days since          received per     supporting
                                                                                                            apps                 brand         months              Store             app lifespan      updated              last update         app              iPad
    Retail brands release far fewer (but better) apps,
    update them with much greater frequency, universally                                                    55%                  2.8           29%                 590 days          4                 40%                  269 days            310              80%
    support in-app cart functionality, and solicit substantially
                                                                                                            50%                  4.1           43%                 463 days          3                 22%                  291 days            15               67%
    higher user feedback (1,032 user ratings).
                                                                                                            75%                  3.4           38%                 546 days          3                 30%                  277 days            139              89%

                                                                                                            95%                  4.1           45%                 495 days          3                 30%                  234 days            66               79%

                                                                                                            89%                  2.9           24%                 554 days          6                 13%                  89 days             1,032            88%



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   9
Intelligence Report
                                          Excerpt Intelligence Report: Mobile                                                                 February 14, 2013
                                          To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.com
    Mobile
Table of Contents



  5 Spotlight             8 Key Findings                                                 15 Flash of Genius
                              8 Mobile Sites: Commerce Anywhere, Anytime                        15 Ermenegildo Zegna: Zegna LIVE
  6 Methodology               9 Tablet Sites: Touch Folly                                       16 Benefit Cosmetics: Mobile Site Redesign
                             1 0 Search: Space Premium on the Small Screen                      17 Montblanc: Worldsecond
  7 Brand List               1 1 Mobile Ads: The Bad Kind of Disruptive?                        18 Nordstrom: Déjà Vu
                             1 2 Social Media: New Platforms, New Opportunities                 19 Conrad: Concierge
                             1 3 Mobile Apps: Churn                                             20 Starwood, Hyatt, and Sephora: Mobile Wallet (Lite):
                             1 4 Mobile Apps: Gimmick Graveyard vs. Utility Shed                Third-Party Loyalty Programs
                                                                                                21 Crate&Barrel, Clarins, and Kiehl’s:
                                                                                                Showrooming: Friend or Foe?
                                                                                                22 Kiehl’s, Clinique, Barneys, and Burberry: The Blurring
                                                                                                of Online vs. Offline


                                                                                         23 L2 Team

                                                                                         24 About L2




                                                                                                                                                            10
Excerpt Intelligence Report: Mobile
                                            To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.com




                 A Think Tank
                   for DIGITAL INNOVATION


51 East 12th Street, 2nd Floor
New York, NY 10003
                                                                                                                              © L 2 2013 L 2 ThinkTank.com Reproductions Prohibited
L2ThinkTank.com                                                            This report is the property of L2 Think Tank. No copyrighted materials may be reproduced, redistributed, or transferred
info@L2ThinkTank.com                                                                         without prior consent from L2. L2 reports are available to L2 Members for internal business purposes.

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2013 Intelligence Report: Mobile

  • 1. Excerpt Intelligence Report: Mobile To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.com MobileFEBRUARY 14, 2013 Intelligence Report Circulation of the report violates copyright, trademark and intellectual property laws. © L2 2013 L2ThinkTank.com
  • 2. Intelligence Report Excerpt Intelligence Report: Mobile February 14, 2013 To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.com Mobile M-Commerce: Overhyped Watch the Mobile Video M-Influence: Underhyped Click to Play While U.S. e-commerce revenues represent about 7 percent of overall retail sales, revenues from m-commerce (including sales from tablet devices) remain at less than one percent.1 T hrough 2016, e-commerce revenues will grow at twice the rate influence in retail. A more old-school device, the television, provides an apt of overall retail, and m-commerce’s share of online commerce will analogy: while home shopping (TV commerce) is a relatively small business, more than double, from 11 percent to 24 percent. In real terms, broadcast advertising continues to drive sales of beer, cars, insurance, and however, mobile sales will remain a pimple on the elephant of U.S. retail. cures for Restless Legs Syndrome. For every dollar spent via a mobile phone Mobile is the next big thing, but its influence will register on other devices today, the new appendage of choice will inspire $13 of purchases in-store (and and offline. Just as Google, which produces no content, is now the most $22 by 2016).2 powerful media company on Earth, mobile will become a key arbiter of Tomorrow Becomes Today Nearly one in four site visits originate from a mobile or tablet device (up U.S. Retail M-Commerce Sales 84 percent year over year).3 One fifth of search traffic is driven by queries ($ in Billions) received from mobile users (evenly split between smartphones and tablets),4 Retail M-Commerce Sales % of Retail E-Commerce % Change YoY including 23 percent of searches for prestige brands (up from 14 percent last year). And as of May, the average time spent on Facebook’s mobile properties 169% (441 minutes per month) exceeded that spent on the social network’s $86.9 desktop site (391 minutes) for those who use both platforms.5 $68.3 Poorly Prepared $52.2 The majority of prestige brands are not prepared to capitalize on this tectonic shift. 81% $38.4 Sites actively promoting daily deals, including Amazon, eBay, Gilt Groupe, and Groupon, generate a third of all m-commerce retail revenues.6 Their primary point $24.6 56% 36% 31% of differentiation: targeted offers combined with express checkout functionality, $13.6 27% 11% 15% often requiring only “one click” to purchase. 7% 18% 21% 24% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: eMarketer 2. The Dawn of Mobile Influence: Discovering the value of mobile in retail, Deloitte Digital, 2013. 3. “Mobile Traffic Has Quadrupled in Last Two Years,” Heather Leonard, Business Insider, January 10, 2013. 4. RKG, Digital Marketing Report: Q4 2012, Rimm-Kaufman Group, January 2013. 5. “Americans Now Spend More Time On Facebook Mobile Than Its Website,” Josh Constine, TechCrunch, May 11, 2012. 1. “Record Retail Sales on Smartphones, Tablets Take Great Ecommerce Share,” eMarketer, January 20, 2013. 6. “M-commerce sales via smartphones hit $8 billion in 2012,” Bill Siwicki, Internet Retailer, January 16, 2013. 2
  • 3. Intelligence Report Excerpt Intelligence Report: Mobile February 14, 2013 To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.com Mobile Data Replaces Opinion Mobile-Influenced Store Sales vs. M-Commerce and E-Commerce Sales The aging “site vs. app” debate is becoming moot in the ($ in Billions) face of real data. During the 2011 holiday season, the top 2012 2016 five retail mobile apps and sites (in combination) reached nearly 60 percent of U.S. smartphone owners.7 Mobile sites 689 reached 51 percent of smartphone users while mobile apps reached just 28 percent. For brands and retailers outside of the top five, which often struggle to build awareness in the app store, the scale tips even more staggeringly in favor of sites. Several successive industry developments, including Google’s endorsement of responsive design in June and Apple’s support of new developer tools (iOS6: file input 327 type, web audio API, app caching, etc.) in September, have served to further undermine the advantages of native app 226 development. 8,9 158 Source: Deloitte L2 Intelligence 31 In January 2012, L2 examined the mobile competence of 100 12 prestige brands. This supplemental report attempts to update key data and provide insight as the industry rethinks its approach to M-Commerce Mobile influence on E-Commerce Sales Store Sales mobile and tablet platforms. Our aim is not to examine mobile in isolation, but to define and illustrate its impact on brands’ digital marketing, e-commerce, and in-store sales. Like the medium we are assessing, our approach is dynamic. Please reach out with Percentage of Site Traffic From Mobile Devices Q4 2011–Q4 2012 comments to improve our methodolgy and findings. You can reach me at scott@stern.nyu.edu. 23.1% Source: Walter Sands Communications Scott Galloway Professor of Marketing, NYU Stern Founder, L2 17.5% 16.6% 13.4% 7. “A Store in Your Pocket: Retailer Mobile Websites Beat Apps among U.S. Smartphone 12.6% Owners,” Nielsen Wire, March 12, 2012. 8. “iOS6: The Benefits for HTML5 Web App Development,” Aaron Lumsden, September 12, 2012. Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 9. “Recommendations for building smartphone-optimized websites,” Pierre Far, Google Webmaster Central Blog, June 6, 2012. 3
  • 4. Intelligence Report Excerpt Intelligence Report: Mobile February 14, 2013 To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.com Mobile Spotlight The Year of Mobile (Again): Traffic vs. Time: Unique Audience: (U.S., July 2012) searches for L2 100 brands by Device Type: Customers spent 525% more time with retailer apps in December 2012 vs. December 2011 Mobile Web Mobile Apps Desktop 95.2 million 101.8 million 204.7 million 14% 23% +82% YoY +85% YoY -4% YoY 4 in 5 owners use device to shop by the end of 2013 December 2011 january 2013 smartphone Mobile Search Growth in Desktop searches Total Minutes per Month: +3%YoY (U.S., July 2012) 54% of phones globally will be smartphones 1in 5 Mobile Web Mobile Apps Desktop More than consumers are now “showrooming” Growth in Mobile searches 28.1billion 129.4 billion 367.7 billion 1 in 3 emails are opened on a mobile device +94%YoY +22% YoY +120% YoY +4% YoY Flash Forward: Different Screen / Different User Behavior: Smartphone Market Share: Couch Surfing: Out and About: Symbian Android iOS Blackberry Windows 2009 44% 4% 14% 20% 8% 41% 3 8% of smartphone Info related to TV 94% of smartphone owners look 2012 3% 67% 20% 5% 3% advertisements 0% 62% 22% 8% 5% of tablet owners & owners… for local information on their phones 2015 26% 15% …use their device daily while watching TV; Tablet Shipments: activities performed on devices include: iPad iPhone Mobile Payments: 5 billion Info related to 66% Active mobile phone accounts worldwide TV program Visit businesses either Unrelated shopping Visit social network in store or online after 2010 17million (iPad released April) 1.3 billion 45% 35% 23% a local search 2011 65 million Active credit/debit card accounts worldwide iPad 22% 44% 38% iPad iPhone 2012 122 million Number of mobile payment users in 2012: iPhone iPad iPhone 2013 200 million+ forecast 112.3 million in 2012 vs. 447.9 million in 2016E Sources: Business Insider, CNNMoney, comScore, GigaOM, Google, Litmus, Nielsen, Statistica, Teradata, & TechCrunch.
  • 5. Intelligence Report Excerpt Intelligence Report: Mobile February 14, 2013 To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.com Mobile Methodology The Methodology L2 Intelligence Reports complement L2’s flagship Digital IQ Index® with a deeper dive on platforms or geographies driving future growth. This report examines Mobile and Tablet data across 100 brands in five industries. Critical areas of investigation include: Brand Experience Support and Influence Site Mobile Apps Digital Marketing Social Media Adoption: Presence: Paid Search Strategy: Foursquare vs. Instagram: E-Commerce, Mobile-Optimized Sites, iOS, Android, BlackBerry, Windows Phone Symmetrical vs. Asymmetrical Brand Presence, Followers, Campaigns M-Commerce App Store Performance: Mobile Ads: Legacy Platforms: Next-Generation Implementations: Ratings, Comments Campaigns Impact of Mobile Promotions Responsive / Adaptive Design, Mobile Web Apps App Lifespan: New Platforms: Ability to Transact: Initial Release, Update Frequency WeChat PayPal Support, Interoperable ID, Mobile Offers By combining longitudinal data on the brands that L2 tracks with third-party research, this report helps illustrate mobile progress observed since January 2012 and define areas of future investment. 5
  • 6. Intelligence Report Excerpt Intelligence Report: Mobile February 14, 2013 To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.com Mobile Brand List Fashion (29) Watches & Jewelry (24) Beauty (18) Hospitality (20) Retail (9) 6
  • 7. Intelligence Report Excerpt Intelligence Report: Mobile February 14, 2013 To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.com Mobile Key Findings Search: Classification of Paid Search Activity Space Premium on the Small Screen Desktop vs. Mobile January 2013, n=100 In January 2012, only 57 percent of the 100 brands assessed were engaging in paid search for brand terms on 37% 25% mobile devices. This has risen to 65 percent in 2013—still 19% 16% shy of the 81 percent that buy their own terms on desktop 3% search engines. The absence of parallel activity on mobile search is surprising. Desktop search is responsible for generating Paid Search Only Not Engaged in on Mobile more traffic, but real estate on mobile search is arguably Paid Search Only on Desktop Paid Search more valuable given space constraints imposed by the Paid Search on Both (Different Ad) Paid Search on Both smaller screen size. On average, a Google search query (Same Ad) on an iPhone for the 100 brands examined yields only three initial results visible on the device’s four-inch screen. Consequently, the addition of a new paid ad can easily Average Google Search Results Returned push a brand’s first organic search result “below the fold.” By Screen Size Without Scrolling Google’s next iteration of AdWords, announced on February January 2013 6th, may address some of these challenges.10 While all of the brands reviewed own the top organic 1024 × 768 search result for their brand term, one fifth of these links do 1256 × 1440 640 × 960 not appear in the default view returned, requiring the user to scroll down. On mobile screens, 58 percent of immediate results are paid ads, which require a different approach 10 Results + Sidebar 5–6 Results 2–3 Results altogether. Still, the majority of brands engaged in mobile paid search mirror their desktop efforts—only 25 percent alter content by pushing mobile offers, embedding direct phone numbers, or including directions to local boutiques. 10. Google, “Enhancing AdWords for a constantly connected world,” Inside AdWords Blog, February 6, 2013. 7
  • 8. Intelligence Report Excerpt Intelligence Report: Mobile February 14, 2013 To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.com Mobile Key Findings Brand Participation in Competing App Stores Mobile Apps: n=100 Churn January 2012 January 2013 In the past 12 months, the 100 prestige brands reviewed introduced 94 new apps for the iOS platform (and removed 70% 52). This mixed investment is indicative of an industry still 196 apps struggling with the underlying utility of native mobile apps. iOS Although participation on the iOS platform remained fixed, this figure obscures the ecosystem’s “revolving door.” Specifically, six brands (Bare Escentuals, Chloé, De Beers, Morgans Hotel, Prada, and Tory Burch) joined the platform, 22% 28 while six brands (Calvin Klein, Clinique, David Yurman, Diane 2012 apps Android von Furstenberg, Harry Winston, and Piaget) exited. Predictably, in the last year there has been a notable 7% uptick in iPad app development—53 percent of the new 7 apps BlackBerry apps are either iPad native or provide dual iPhone/iPad 2% support. More important, 35 percent of the new apps 2 apps Windows Phone released on the iTunes store now have a direct counterpart in the Android store. 70% 238 apps iOS 37% 65 apps Android 2013 7% 7 3% apps BlackBerry 3 apps Windows Phone 8
  • 9. Intelligence Report Excerpt Intelligence Report: Mobile February 14, 2013 To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.com Mobile Key Findings Mobile Apps: Mobile App Proliferation by Industry Gimmick Graveyard vs. Utility Shed September 2008–January 2013 Across the 238 apps assessed, the average app has been Hospitality Watches & Jewelry Fashion Beauty Retail 80 live on the App Store for 17 months. Twenty-seven percent of the apps reviewed have never been updated after initial 70 release—signaling inattention to fixing bugs, ensuring Number of Apps Live on Given Date compatibility with new devices, incorporating user feedback, 60 and enhancing features and functionality. 50 Other observations: 40 Fashion brands are the most likely to release an app and not support it with incremental updates (40 percent). 30 58 percent of Beauty brand apps found in the U.S. 20 App Store were created for APAC markets (45 percent have no user ratings). 10 0 Watch & Jewelry brands are the most likely to July 2008 January 2013 create iPad apps (89 percent). July 2008 April 2010 June 2010 March 2011 September 2012 3 iPhone 3G iPad 4 iPhone 4 2 iPad 2 iPhone 5 5 Hospitality brands brands remain the most prolific App Store app developers (45 percent of available apps released within the past year, driven by the steady release of property-specific apps). % of apps Time average Average # % of brands Average # released app has been Average # of % apps Average # of of ratings % of brands producing of apps per in past 12 live in App updates over NEVER days since received per supporting apps brand months Store app lifespan updated last update app iPad Retail brands release far fewer (but better) apps, update them with much greater frequency, universally 55% 2.8 29% 590 days 4 40% 269 days 310 80% support in-app cart functionality, and solicit substantially 50% 4.1 43% 463 days 3 22% 291 days 15 67% higher user feedback (1,032 user ratings). 75% 3.4 38% 546 days 3 30% 277 days 139 89% 95% 4.1 45% 495 days 3 30% 234 days 66 79% 89% 2.9 24% 554 days 6 13% 89 days 1,032 88% 9
  • 10. Intelligence Report Excerpt Intelligence Report: Mobile February 14, 2013 To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.com Mobile Table of Contents 5 Spotlight 8 Key Findings 15 Flash of Genius 8 Mobile Sites: Commerce Anywhere, Anytime 15 Ermenegildo Zegna: Zegna LIVE 6 Methodology 9 Tablet Sites: Touch Folly 16 Benefit Cosmetics: Mobile Site Redesign 1 0 Search: Space Premium on the Small Screen 17 Montblanc: Worldsecond 7 Brand List 1 1 Mobile Ads: The Bad Kind of Disruptive? 18 Nordstrom: Déjà Vu 1 2 Social Media: New Platforms, New Opportunities 19 Conrad: Concierge 1 3 Mobile Apps: Churn 20 Starwood, Hyatt, and Sephora: Mobile Wallet (Lite): 1 4 Mobile Apps: Gimmick Graveyard vs. Utility Shed Third-Party Loyalty Programs 21 Crate&Barrel, Clarins, and Kiehl’s: Showrooming: Friend or Foe? 22 Kiehl’s, Clinique, Barneys, and Burberry: The Blurring of Online vs. Offline 23 L2 Team 24 About L2 10
  • 11. Excerpt Intelligence Report: Mobile To access the full report, contact membership@L2ThinkTank.com A Think Tank for DIGITAL INNOVATION 51 East 12th Street, 2nd Floor New York, NY 10003 © L 2 2013 L 2 ThinkTank.com Reproductions Prohibited L2ThinkTank.com This report is the property of L2 Think Tank. No copyrighted materials may be reproduced, redistributed, or transferred info@L2ThinkTank.com without prior consent from L2. L2 reports are available to L2 Members for internal business purposes.