2. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
Joint Force Commander to :
• Approve a recommended course of action for accomplishing the
assigned mission
• Provide additional guidance for the COA refinement and the
Operational CONOPS development
Purpose
Possible
3. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
• Political and Strategic Commander’s Direction and
Guidance
• Commander’s OPG Highlight
• Situation Analysis
• Opposing COAs
• Own Forces COAs
• Analysis and Comparison of COAs
• Unresolved Critical Issues
• Commander’s Decision and Guidance
– Decision on COA
– Commander’s Intent
– Planning Guidance
• Way Ahead
Overall Agenda
Utile
5. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
Review of the STRAT Intent
• Summarize the key points of the Strategic Commander’s intent
• Do not simply cut and paste the entire intent statement from the
Strategic Planning Directive onto slides
Political and Strategic Commander’s
Direction and Guidance
Utile
Possible
6. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
Political and Strategic Commander’s
Direction and Guidance
• STRAT military objectives
– …
– …
– …
• STRAT military effects
– …
– …
– …
• STRAT military actions
– …
– …
– …
Utile
Possible
7. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
Possible
• Mission
• Initial Intent
• Operational CoGs
• Initial Operational Design
– Operational Objectives / Lines of Operation
– Decisive Conditions / Operational Effects / Operational Actions
– Provisional Missions to CC Cders
• Review of Key Elements
– E.g: Assumptions / Limitations
– E.g: CNMA or liaison requirements
– E.g: CCIRs / CRM requirements
• Présenté uniquement en cas d’évolution ou si des
conclusions spécifiques ont été tirées
COM’s OPG Highlights
Agenda
10. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
COM’s OPG Highlights
Operational CoGs
Assessed Aim and desired Outcome: What is the actor’s main goal and what conditions
does he seek to achieve by his actions?
Centre of Gravity: What is the primary
element of power upon which an actor
depends to accomplish his operational
objectives (to be targeted in an opponent and
protect in a friend)?
Critical Capabilities: What are the primary
means that enables the COG to gain and
maintain dominant influence over an opponent
or situation?
Critical Vulnerabilities: What are the
weaknesses, gaps or deficiencies in the key
system elements and essential conditions,
characteristics, capabilities, relationships,
specific resources or influences through which
the COG may be influenced or neutralised?
Critical requirements: What are those key
system elements and essential conditions,
characteristics, capabilities and influences
required to generate and sustain the COG’s
critical capabilities, such as specific assets,
physical resources, or relationships with other
actors?
CONCLUSION:
Which weaknesses, gaps or deficiencies in the key system elements and essential conditions,
characteristics, capabilities, relationships, specific resources or influences could be exploited or
should be protected.
Possible
14. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
• Assumptions
– ….
– ….
• Limitations
– ….
– ….
• Other Points as required
– ….
– ….
COM’s OPG Highlights
Other Key Elements
Utile
Possible
15. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
Key changes in the situation with an operational impact.
Adapted Key Factors and Deductions that have direct effect on potential
COAs (Opposing and Own).
Situation Analysis
Utile
TEMPS
INFO
FORCES
ESPACE
Possible
16. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
• General Description
• Potential Operational Timeline
• Analysis (Advantages and Disadvantages)
• Assessment of Opposing COAs
Opposing COAs
Agenda
Requis
17. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
Opposing COAs
General Description
Requis
ACOA1: TITLE
Description: Description sommaire de la rationalité
ACOA2: TITLE
Description : Description sommaire de la rationalité du
MO envisagé
Croquis /
carte
Croquis /
carte
MOST DANGEROUS
18. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
Opposing COAs
Common Points Applicable to All
Requis
Croquis / Carte
Liste des Eléments communs par
fonction opérationnelle / zone
géographique / espace temps…
•nnnn
•nnnn
•nnnnn
20. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
• Les MO doivent être représentés chacun par
une Idée-force et, autant que possible, un
Graphique (Espace / Temps).
• Les MO doivent être représentés par phase
• Toutes les fonctions opérationnelles et toutes
les composantes doivent être représentés
• La Probabilité de chaque MO sera enfin
évaluée autant que possible.
CONCLUSION / ASSESSMENT
Faire figurer ici votre Evaluation générale sur cette Rubrique ou les Idées- force
que vous souhaitez souligner
Compléter
par une carte
Opposing COA
ACOA Analysis
Requis
MOST DANGEROUS
22. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
• Common Points Applicable to All COAs
• Specific for each COAs
– Aim
– General CONOPS
– CONOPS by Phase
– Task Organisation
– Operational Timeline
– Logistic Support Concept (if specific)
– Military Engineering Concept (if specific)
– C2 Arrangements and AOO (if specific)
– Major Differences to other COA
Own Force COAs
Agenda
Requis
23. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
Own Force COAs
Common Points Applicable to All
Requis
Croquis / Carte
Liste des Eléments communs par
fonction opérationnelle / zone
géographique / espace temps…
•nnnn
•nnnn
•nnnnn
24. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
• Describe detailed intent for the perspective COA.
• Describe the overall concept of operations for this COA in
general terms.
Own Force COAs
COA XX: “codename”
Requis
Intent and CONOPS
25. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
• Details each phase of the COA and specifies:
– Start and End Points, and purpose of the phase.
– Sub-sequencing as necessary.
– Decisive Conditions to achieve
– Most critical Joint Effects to be accomplished
– Most critical Joint actions to be done
– Required specific effects/actions to be accomplished for each
Subordinate Command.
– Key capabilities required for the phase, if appropriate.
Own Force COAs
COA XX: “codename”
Requis
CONOPS by Phase
26. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
ACC :
In JOA
• Participation in ICP
•Force preparation
•Support deployment
•APODs secured
•Force IOC achieved
•Support MIO
•Local air superiority to protect
deployment in the TP
•BPT engage KAM assets ICO
major crossing of TP border
MCC :
In JOA
• Participation in ICP
•Force preparation
• implement MIO
• SPODs secured
• Force IOC achieved
•NCAGS cell activated
SOCC :
In JOA
SOF deployed
• Participation in ICP
•Force preparation
•Start KLE
CJTF/J4 :
• Participation in ICP
INFO-CAMPAIGN :
• initiated ASAP ICW TYT
LCC :
In JOA
• Participation in ICP
Force deployment (France - UNAKOS)
•Force preparation
Battle group (GTIA motorised) + Force HQ
+ Force protection + key enablers (400
PAX by STRATAIR) / 2 days
4600 PAX by SEA/ 2 weeks FR -UNAKOS
Force deployment (UNAKOS - GAMBELLA)
- 3 days
Mentoring of TYTAN forces initiated
COORDINATION /
COOPERATION:
•
MIO Dep
MCC
F HQ
ACC
LCC
Narrative Description:
Initial elements are deployed. Crisis response measures established.
400 PAX deployed (ELRT, SOF, C2, ... )
4600 PAX deployed by sea in 2 weeks.
DCs to be Achieved:
-1- IO campaign initiated. 4- Maritime task Force deployed.
-2- TYT authorities protected. 5- FOC achieved.
-3- LNO’s deployed in TYT. 6- Red Sea monitored.
Required Joint Operational Effects:
• TYTAN authorities recognise the support of France and IC.
• France starts to restore hope.
• KAMON government and forces “disturbed”.
Required Joint Actions:
• KLE identified
• Info OPS campaign ICW TYTAN
• Intelligence collection plan initiated [Force situational awareness is initiated, ONG,
IO, environmental data, Indicator and warnings, (USHA + ASKALI) islands monitor]
• OLRT deployed (including mentoring teams for TYTAN armed forces)
• French forces in PETRACEROS assigned on alert (NTM 12 hour)
PHASE 1: PREPARE, DEPLOY and SHAPE
Begins with: D day / Ends with: D day + 29
D+2
D+15
D+28
D+20
27. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
Own Force COAs
COA XX: “codename”
Requis
Information Campaign Key Messages
Actor’s
behavior
Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3
Militias 1 We focus on HA
Election can’t be wan with
genocide
DDR
Main message
Our objective is to improve
refugees life conditions. We
won’t accept to be stop.
Ethnic cleansing unacceptable
Regional stability means Tyt integrity
and sovereignty
28. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
• Graphically portray the proposed operational timeline for this COA
Own Force COAs
COA XX: “codename”
Requis
Timeline
29. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
Own Force COAs
COA XX: “codename”
Requis
C2 Arrangements
If specific to the COA
Provide a graphic portraying the
concept for the organization of the Joint
Force.
Determine required C2 functions and
locations.
Recall critical liaison and coordination
requirements.
Illustrer
par un graphique
30. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
Own Force COAs
COA XX: “codename”
Requis
TOO and JOA
If specific to the COA
Determine TOO/JOA requirements. Illustrer
par une carte
31. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
• War Game Results
• Comparison of COAs
– Advantages and Disadvantages
– Friendly COAs to Opposing COAs
– Against Commander’s Selection criteria
– COA Risk Assessment
• Recommended COA
• Branch Plan Requirements for Recommended COA
Analysis and Comparison of COAs
Agenda
Requis
32. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
Address the major lessons learned about this COA during the
wargame and the actions taken to correct any identified
deficiencies
Par exemple:
• Besoins en coordination liaison
• ROE
• Incompatibilités Espace/Temps
• Risques / opportunités
• Points de décisions, variantes et enchaînement
• Amendements / amélioration des MA
• Etudes à conduire
Analysis and Comparison of COAs
War Game Results
Requis
Possible
33. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
• Advantages and Disadvantages
• Friendly COAs to Opposing COAs
• Against Commander’s Selection criteria
• COA Risk Assessment
Analysis and Comparison of COAs
Comparison of COAs
Requis
34. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
• List the advantages and disadvantages of the COAs
• This means the advantages and disadvantages determined by evaluating
the COA independently during the initial analysis of COAs as well as those
revealed during the wargaming.
Advantages Disadvantages
COA1
COA2
Analysis and Comparison of COAs
Advantages and Disadvantages
Requis
35. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
ACOA COA1 COA2
Most
likely
Effectiveness:
Costs:
Risk:
Effectiveness:
Costs:
Risk:
Most
dangerous
Effectiveness:
Costs:
Risk:
Effectiveness:
Costs:
Risk:
Analysis and Comparison of COAs
Confrontation to ACOAs
Requis
36. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
Analysis and Comparison of COAs
Risk Analysis
Operational Risk Assessment
Source Consequence for Severity Probability
- Actions of the
opponent(s).
- Actions of
friendly forces.
- Operational
environmental
factors.
- Overall mission
- Line of operation
- Decisive Points
- Desired effect.
• Extremely high (could result failure to accomplish
mission).
• High (could result in failure to accomplish one or more
objectives).
• Moderate (could result in failure to meet criteria for
success or exceed time, space, forces/actors limits).
• Low (minimal impact on mission accomplishment).
- High
- Moderate
- Low
Risk Management
Can we neutralise the source?
Can we reduce our vulnerability to the source of the risk?
Can we limit the consequence and/or severity of the occurrence?
Can we reduce the probability of occurrence?
Conclusion
Unacceptable, risk management cannot reduce risk to an acceptable level!
Conditionally acceptable - risk can be reduced to an acceptable level by taking actions to: modify force
disposition/posture/composition, adjust current operations, and/or prepare branch plan or sequel.
Acceptable, no risk management actions required
One evaluation chart per risk for each COA (it is possible to mention the
differences between COAs on the same chart)
Requis
37. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
Risk Analysis (example)
Humanitarian situation deteriorate within camps
Source Consequence for Severity Probability
Delay in providing
assistance. NGOs
don’t resume HA
flow. Messaging
conveyed by
opponents
STAFORT
credibility
Endstate
DC 14
DC 17
COA1: High
COA2: High
COA3: High
COA1: medium
COA2: high
COA3: medium
Risk Mitigation
Whatever the selected CoA, humanitarian emergency package must be prepared to deliver swiftly food, water and
medicines to camps (Branch).
International media coverage must be anticipated since the deployment phase.
Conclusion
Except for CoA 1, contingency plan with appropriate humanitarian resources must be developed.
CCIR
Media release
Recorded exaction
% HA flow reaching Camps
Testimony on refugees camp sanitarian situation
39. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
COA 1
Risk Analysis (example)
Probability
Impact
1
COA 2
Probability
Impact
COA 3
Probability
Impact
Low Medium High
Low
Medium
High
Extremely
High
Low Medium High
Low
Medium
High
Extremely
High
Low Medium High
Low
Medium
High
Extremely
High
All Courses of Action have moderate risk but COA 2 is the most balanced
1 TYT SF attack 2 NGOs don’t resume HA 3 Degrading security Tigray 4 Sy deterioration in Unakos/key pop ctrs
5 EU nationals targeted in the region 6 Blockade of BeM
2
3
4
5
6 1
2
3
4
5 6
1
2
3
4
5 6
Requis
40. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
Analysis and Comparison of COAs
Confrontation to COM’s Criteria
Ensure that the each criterion is defined in a way that is quantifiable and easy
to understand
Key Word Criteria
Use a word to identify the criteria Describe the meaning of the criteria, eventually its scope and the factors and the
domains to consider
Requis
41. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
Analysis and Comparison of COAs
Confrontation to COM’s Criteria
CRITERIA WEIGHT COA XXX COA YYY
A 1 1 1 1 1
B 1 1 1 1 1
C 1 1 1 1 1
D 1 1 1 1 1
E 1 1 1 1 1
Total 5 5 5 5
Requis
42. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
• The JOPG Recommends COA Name because:
– Reason 1
– Reason 2
– Reason 3
• Proposed refinements /improvements are:
Analysis and Comparison of COAs
Recommended COA
Requis
43. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
Risk Branch or Sequel CCIR
FFIR: Informations sur les forces amies dont le
COMANFOR a besoin pour mener la
planification.
PIR: Renseignements, tirés de l’analyse, que le
COMANFOR doit recevoir en priorité pour être
en mesure de prendre ses décisions
EEFI: Informations sur les activites ou les forces
amies dont la divulgation aurait un impact
critique sur le risque opérationnel.
Analysis and Comparison of COAs
Contingency Planning Requirements for
Recommended COA
Branches are contingency options within a particular phase of an operation, planned and
executed in response to anticipated opportunity or reversal within that phase.
Sequels are options for subsequent operations within a campaign or the following
phase(s) of an operation.
Requis
45. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
• Decision on COA
– Decision on Final OPS Design
– Direction for COA or OPS Design revision
– Refined Component Provisionsl Missions
• Confirmation of Commander’s Intent
• Planning Guidance for CONOPS Development
COM’s Decision and Guidance
Agenda
Requis
46. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
• Decision on Final OPS Design
• Direction for COA or OPS Design revision
• Refined Component Provisional Missions
COM’s Decision and Guidance
Decision on COA
Requis
48. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
Requis
COM’s Decision and Guidance
Decision on COA
• Mission
• …
• …
• Objectives
• …
• …
Elabores et coordonnes avec les DL associes a la planification.
Une diapo par CC subordonne.
Refined CC Mission
Possible
51. OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXX
• Orientation en vue de la diffusion de l’OPD, notamment
concernant le calendrier, les liaisons/coordinations à établir
et la définition de travaux complémentaires éventuels.
Way Ahead / Conclusion
Possible