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Reducing risk

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Risk benefit analysis
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Reducing risk

  1. 1. 1
  2. 2. ETHICS Ethics, also called moral philosophy, the discipline concerned with what is morally good and bad and morally right and wrong. The term is also applied to any system or theory of moral values or principles. 2
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  4. 4. Risk Any work which might lead to harm us and is not considered safe, can be understood as a risk. According to a popular definition, “A risk is the potential that something unwanted and harmful may occur.” According to William D Rowe, potential for the realization of unwanted consequences from impending events. 4
  5. 5. Cont.. Risk is a broad concept covering many different types of unwanted occurrences. When it comes to technology, it can equally well include dangers of bodily harm, of economic loss or of environmental degradation. These in turn can be caused by delayed job completion, faulty products or systems or economically or environmentally injurious solutions to technological problems. 5
  6. 6. Acceptability of Risk The acceptability of risk depends upon the types of risks such as voluntary and involuntary risks, short term and long term consequences, expected probability, reversible effects, threshold levels for risk, delayed and immediate risk, etc 6
  7. 7. Voluntarism and Control The person who breaks a red signal, is prone to be a victim of an accident, but risks. A person who lives near a dumping yard is prone to ill-health, but neglects. A boy who rides a vehicle at a high speed cannot rely on the perfect functioning of the brakes. But these people take voluntary risks thinking they can control. 7
  8. 8. Effective information on Risk assessment The acceptance of risks also depends on the manner in which information necessary for decision making is presented. A person can be motivated to violate the safety rules by explaining the higher probability of success, whereas the same person can be demotivated from such task, by explaining the probability of failure and the fatal effects of it. 8
  9. 9. Job-related Risks In some jobs where the workers are exposed to chemicals, radiations and poisonous gases etc., they are not informed about the probable risks the workers would be facing, in doing their jobs. These are such dangers where the toxic environments cannot readily be seen, smelled, heard or sensed otherwise. 9
  10. 10. Magnitude and Proximity It is unfortunate that most of us, realize the magnitude of risk only when we ourselves or the person who is in our close proximity or a relative, gets affected. A group of 20 friends including us, if gets affected or if had a narrow escape from death, affects us more than the incident occurred to a group of 50 strangers, in a group of a 1000. This proximity effect arises in perceptions of risk over time as well. A future risk is easily dismissed by various rationalizations including − • The attitude of “out of sight, out of mind”. • The assumption that predictions for the future must be discounted by using lower probabilities. • The belief that a counter-measure will be found in time. 10
  11. 11. Risk Analysis Some of step wise risk analysis includes- • Hazards identification • Failure modes and frequencies evaluation from established sources and best practices. • Selection of credible scenarios and risks. • Fault and event trees for various scenarios. • Consequences-effect calculations with work out from models. • Individual and societal risks. 11
  12. 12. Risk Benefit Analysis As per the famous saying, “A Ship in harbor is safe. But that’s not what ships are built for” risk is somewhat common to be accepted. The most common risk we all take is driving an automobile in a traffic. Though we are not sure about the perfect functionality of the brake system and the timings of other drivers’ responses, we take risk. The controlling factor appears to be their perception of their individual ability to manage the risk-creating situation. 12
  13. 13. Types of risk The risk to be occurred in future is completely known after it gets fully developed. It is called as Real future risk. If the idea of risk is developed using current data, such one is called as Statistical risk. The risk which is analytically based on system models structured from historical studies is called as Projected risk. The risk which is intuitively seen by individuals is called as Perceived risk. 13
  14. 14. Example If risks of traveling on an air-plane is considered for observation, then the flight insurance company can observe it as a statistical risk, while the risk the passenger faces is Perceived Risk and the Federal aviation administration, faces a Projected risk. Hence, the view of accepting the risk and the idea of risk to benefit ratio motivates the individual. 14
  15. 15. Risk Reduction Risk reduction is one of the four main risk management techniques to be used in conjunction with other techniques to help an individual or organization effectively manage the risk of loss. Risk reduction refers to the way an insurance company or organization can reduce its financial losses by implementing measures that reduce the financial impacts of potential losses. 15
  16. 16. Some examples of common and effective risk reduction practices include: • Installing security systems or alarms to reduce the frequency of crime losses. • Installing sprinklers and smoke detectors to reduce the amount of damage a fire loss can cause. Risk reduction is also sometimes called loss mitigation. 16
  17. 17. The risks we generally face can be reduced to a great extent by proper analysis with steps. as mentioned below − • Define the Problem. • Generate Several Solutions. • Analyze each solution to determine the pros and cons of each. • Test the solutions. • Select the best solution. • Implement the chosen solution. • Analyze the risk in the chosen solution. • Try to solve or move to next solution. 17
  18. 18. Examples of risk reduction are: • medical care, • fire departments, • night security guards, • sprinkler systems, • burglar alarms —attempts to deal with risk by preventing the loss or reducing the chance that it will occur. 18
  19. 19. Risk Avoidance vs. Risk Reduction Risk Avoidance Risk avoidance is not performing any activity that may carry risk. A risk avoidance methodology attempts to minimize vulnerabilities that can pose a threat. Risk avoidance is the elimination of hazards, activities and exposures that can negatively affect an organization's assets. Risk Reduction Risk reduction is a risk management technique that involves reducing the financial consequences of a loss. This encompasses a whole range of things including reducing the seriousness of a loss, reducing its frequency, or making it less likely to occur overall. 19
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