BM7037-15: Corporate Governance, Ethics & Risk Management Risk Management (There are internet links in this presentation that you should explore.) Learning outcomes At the end of the lecture, you’ll be able to: Critically define ‘risk’ and distinguish it from other things Critically explore a given organisation’s risk appetite Evaluate an organisation’s risk management processes against best practice Critically explore interrelationships between risk management and corporate governance What is risk? “Uncertainty of outcome, whether positive opportunity or negative threat, of actions and events” (HM Treasury, ‘The Orange Book’, 2004, p.9) “An uncertain event or set of events that, should it occur, will have an effect on the achievement of objectives.” (PRINCE2 2017, p.120) “An unrealised future loss arising from a present action or inaction” (Kaplan) 1️⃣ 3 What is risk? Is: Uncertain – not, then, known (known as ‘dis-benefits’ in PRINCE2) Uncertain – in that we might never realise it as a risk! (Particularly if we don’t even try) Uncertain – and we might try to measure its probability Impactful – whether that’s minimal, moderate, or severe Impactful – in one or several respects: Strategic, operational, etc. Possibly beneficial, known as ‘upside risk’ (if we ignore Kaplan def.) As it can be terminal (think Carillion; also here) but can also give a competitive advantage, it should not be overlooked by management. 4 Risk ‘appetite’ You go to a casino. Would you rather: Wager £10 to possibly win £100? or Wager £100 to possibly win £10,000? or Do neither, and keep your money? 2️⃣ 5 Risk ‘appetite’ Investments often are expressed in terms of risk-reward Organisations are also on this risk-seeking to risk-adverse continuum. 6 Risk ‘appetite’ All organisations have a risk appetite, however: They may not be consciously aware of it It may not be expressed/articulated anywhere It may not be known across the organisation It may not inform decision-making (consistently, across the organisation) See COSO Report (2014) 7 Risk ‘appetite’ Q Try to think of 2 types of firm: One which is high-risk-taking and one which is low-risk-taking. Why do they take this approach? 8 Risk management There are lots of risk management models. They all broadly include the same elements: Risk… Identification Assessment (probability/impact) Planning (responses) Monitoring (responsibilities) This process is cyclical. Risk-related activities should be recorded, including lessons. 3️⃣ 9 Risk management: 1/4 Identification ‘Risk workshop’: Brainstorming. Also: Previous lessons, checklists, prompt-lists, breakdown structures External auditing can help – a fresh view (Can be compulsory; think SOX) 10 Risk management: 1/4 Identification Risks can be classified: Business or operational: relating to activities carried out within an entity, arising from structure, systems, people, products or proce ...