A majority of Britons do not think that the American President Donald Trump should be invited to the Royal Wedding between Prince Harry and Meghan Markle, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. The new poll shows that 69% of the public believe that he should not be invited – 23% think he should. Opposition to the invitation is higher amongst younger people (79% of 18-34s compared with 59% of those aged 55+. Women are also more likely to oppose (78%) than men (58%), as are Labour voters (80%) than Conservative voters (63%).

1. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION)
© 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information
and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
1
Ipsos MORIPOLITICAL
MONITOR
January
2018

2. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 2
VOTING
INTENTIONS

3. 3Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,031 British adults 18+, 19th January – 23rd January 2018; Headline Voting Intention: all 9/10 certain to vote and always/usually/it
depends vote in General Elections = 817. Margin of error is displayed at +/- 4%
Voting Intention
ALL GIVING A VOTING INTENTIONHEADLINE VOTING INTENTION
CONSERVATIVE LEAD = +2
CONSERVATIVE LEAD = -3
39%
42%
9%
3%
2%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
CONSERVATIVE
LABOUR
LIB DEM
UKIP
GREEN
42%
40%
9%
2%
2%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
CONSERVATIVE
LABOUR
LIB DEM
UKIP
GREEN

4. 4Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote
and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections
Headline voting intention: Since 2015 General Election
2015 General Election
CONSERVATIVE LABOUR
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
May15
Jun15
Jul15
Aug15
Sep15
Oct15
Nov15
Dec15
Jan16
Feb16
Mar16
Apr16
May16
Jun16
Jul16
Aug16
Sep16
Oct16
Nov16
Dec16
Jan17
Feb17
Mar17
Apr17
May17
Jun17
Jul17
Aug17
Sep17
Oct17
Nov17
Dec17
Jan18
Corbyn
elected
(Sept 15)
May
as PM
(July 16)

5. 5Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Jan04
Jul04
Jan05
Jul05
Jan06
Jul06
Jan07
Jul07
Jan08
Jul08
Jan09
Jul09
Jan10
Jul10
Jan11
Jul11
Jan12
Jul12
Jan13
Jul13
Jan14
Jul14
Jan15
Jul15
Jan16
Jul16
Jan17
Jul17
Jan18
2015 General Election
Miliband
elected
(Sept 10)
Corbyn
elected
(Sept 15)
May
as PM
(July 16)
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote
and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections
Headline voting intention: January ‘04 – January ‘18
2005 General Election 2010 General Election
Cameron
elected
(Dec 05)
Brown
as PM
(June 07)
CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP GREEN LIB DEM

6. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 6
SATISFACTION WITH THE
GOVERNMENT AND
PARTY LEADERS

7. 7Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY…. IS RUNNING THE COUNTRY / DOING HIS/HER JOB
AS PRIME MINISTER /LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY/LEADER OF THE LIBERAL DEMOCRATS?
Theresa May
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,031 British adults 18+ 19th January – 23rd January 2018. Swing is calculated as the average of change in % “satisfied” and % “dissatisfied
Satisfaction with leaders and the Government
28%
64%
9%
38%
55%
8%
38%
49%
14%
Jeremy Corbyn The Government
+5%
swing from November 2017
-2%
swing from November 2017
0%
swing from November 2017
+2.5%
swing from November 2017
-17 Net -11 Net -12 Net -36 Net
SATISFIED 38% SATISFIED 38% SATISFIED 25% SATISFIED 28%
DISSATISFIED 55% DISSATISFIED 49% DISSATISFIED 37% DISSATISFIED 64%
25%
37%
39%
Vince Cable

8. 8Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS PRIME MINISTER
/LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month.
Satisfaction with Party leaders Sept 2015 – Jan 2018
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Sep15
Oct15
Nov15
Dec15
Jan16
Feb16
Mar16
Apr16
May16
Jun16
Jul16
Aug16
Sep16
Oct16
Nov16
Dec16
Jan17
Feb17
Mar17
Apr17
May17
Jun17
Jul17
Aug17
Sep17
Oct17
Nov17
Dec17
Jan18
MAY CORBYN CABLE
38%38%
25%

9. 9Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Net satisfaction with Prime Ministers (1979-2018)
MAY CAMERON BROWN MAJOR BLAIR THATCHER
Netsatisfaction
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
May
Number of months after becoming Prime Minister

10. 10Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE …
PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Net satisfaction with Opposition Leaders (1980 – 2018)
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
Hague (97-01) Duncan Smith (01-03) Howard (03-05) Cameron (05-10)
Blair (94-97) Miliband (10-15) Corbyn (15-present) Kinnock (83-92)
Foot (80-83) Smith (92-94)
Number of months after becoming Opposition Leader
Netsatisfaction
Corbyn

11. 11Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,031 British adults 18+ 19th January – 23rd January 2018
Theresa May (satisfaction)
38%
55%
8%
January 2018 August 2016 – January 2018
SATISFIED 38%
DISSATISFIED 55%
DON’T KNOW 8%
Net = -17
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Dissatisfied
Satisfied

12. 12Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 405 Conservative supporters 18+ , 19th January – 23rd January 2018
Theresa May (satisfaction amongst Conservative supporters)
76%
21%
3%
January 2018
SATISFIED 76%
DISSATISFIED 21%
DON’T KNOW 3%
Net = +55
August 2016 – January 2018
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Dissatisfied
Satisfied

13. 13Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
38%
49%
14%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Aprl-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
SATISFIED 38%
DISSATISFIED 49%
DON’T KNOW 14%
Net = -11
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF
THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,031 British adults 18+ 19th January – 23rd January 2018
Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction)
January 2018 September 2015 – January 2018
Satisfied
Dissatisfied

14. 14Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
69%
21%
10%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Aprl-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
SATISFIED 69%
DISSATISFIED 21%
DON’T KNOW 10%
Net = +48
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF
THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 336 Labour supporters 18+ , 19th January – 23rd January 2018
Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction amongst Labour supporters)
January 2018 September 2015 – January 2018
Satisfied
Dissatisfied

15. 15Political Monitor | January 2018 | Final | Public
25%
37%
39%
SATISFIED 25%
DISSATISFIED 37%
DON’T KNOW 39%
Net = -12
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY VINCE CABLE IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Vince Cable (satisfaction)
January 2018
Base: 1,031 British adults 18+ 19th January – 23rd January 2018
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
September 2017 – January 2018
Satisfied
Dissatisfied

16. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 16
ECONOMIC
OPTIMISM

17. 17Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
20%
24%
52%
4%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Jan-07
May-07
Jul-07
Sep-07
Dec-07
Feb-08
Apr-08
Jun-08
Aug-08
Oct-08
Dec-08
Feb-09
Apr-09
Jun-09
Aug-09
Oct-09
Dec-09
Feb-10
Apr-10
Jun-10
Sep-10
Nov-10
Jan-11
Mar-11
May-11
Jul-117
Sep-11
Nov-11
Jan-12
Mar-12
May-12
Jul-12
Sep-12
Nov-12
Jan-13
Mar-13
May-13
Jul-13
Sep-13
Nov-13
Jan-14
Mar-14
May-14
Jul-14
Sep-14
Nov-14
Jan-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
Jul-15
Oct-15
Dec-15
Feb-16
Aprl-16
Jun-16
Aug-16
Oct-16
Dec-16
Feb-17
Apr-17
Jul-17
Oct-17
Jan-18
IMPROVE 20%
STAY THE SAME 24%
GET WORSE 52%
DON’T KNOW 4%
EOI = -32
DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE
SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,031 British adults 18+ 19th January – 23rd January 2018
Economic Optimism Index
January 2018

18. 18Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE
SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Slight increase in optimism since November 2017
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
Jan1998
May1998
Sep1998
Jan1999
May1999
Sep1999
Jan2000
May2000
Sep2000
Jan2001
May2001
Sep2001
Jan2002
May2002
Sep2002
Jan2003
May2003
Sep2003
Jan2004
May2004
Sep2004
Jan2005
May2005
Sep2005
Jan2006
May2006
Sep2006
Jan2007
May2007
Sep2007
Jan2008
May2008
Sep2008
Jan2009
May2009
Sep2009
Jan2010
May2010
Sep2010
Jan2011
May2011
Sep2011
Jan2012
May2012
Sep2012
Jan2013
May2013
Sep2013
Jan2014
May2014
Sep2014
Jan2015
May2015
Sep2015
Jan2016
May2016
Sep2016
Jan2017
May2017
Sep2017
Jan2018
-32

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President Trump and
the Royal Wedding

20. 20Political Monitor | January 2018| Final | Public
Majority think Trump should not be invited to Royal Wedding –
though opposition falls if Obama is invited
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: Split sampled- each question was asked of c.500 British adults 18+ 19th January – 23rd January 2018
23%
39%
69%
54%
Should be invited Should not be invited
As you may know, Prince Harry and Meghan Markle are going to get married in May. Looking forward
to the Royal Wedding:
Do you think that American President
Donald Trump should be, or should not be
invited to attend the wedding?
Do you think that American President
Donald Trump should be, or should not be
invited to attend the wedding if former
American President Barack Obama is
invited?

21. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION)
© 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information
and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
21
Ipsos MORI
January 2018 POLITICAL MONITOR