8. The old style of politics is losing younger generations
All data points represent > 200 responses
8DO YOU THINK OF YOURSELF AS A SUPPORTER OF ANY ONE POLITICAL PARTY?
Source: British Social Attitudes
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Pre war
Baby
boomers
Gen X
Gen Y
9. Jeremy Corbyn’s debut on the Ipsos MORI satisfaction
ratings does not bode well
9
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY … DOING HIS JOB AS PRIME MINISTER/ LEADER OF
XX PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
21
13
22
12
16
13
15
17
17
20
22
36
23
33
37
30
34
12
15
26
31
36
41
33
Foot - Nov. '80
Kinnock - Oct '83
Major - Dec '90
Smith - July '92
Blair - Aug '94
Hague - Jun '97
Duncan Smith - Sep '01
Howard - Nov '03
Cameron - Jan '06
Brown - July '07
Miliband - Oct '10
Corbyn - Sep '15
% Dissatisfied % Satisfied
Net +%
+2
+20
+15
+18
+18
-1
0
+9
+16
+14
+19
-3
c. 1,000 British adults aged 18+ each month
10. …although satisfaction with the new leader is higher
among the young
10ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB
AS LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,255 British adults 18+, 19th –22ND September 2015
*
Net satisfied +%
14
19
4
-4
-11
-28
18-24 25-34 35-44
45-54 55-64 65+
11. 62%
51%
46%
76%
51%
56%
45%
41%
51%
64%
30%
32%
23%
32%
37%
49%
47%
25%
41%
49%
39%
54%
Capable leader
Good in a crisis
Sound judgement
Patriotic
Understands the problems facing Britain
Has a clear vision for Britain
More style than substance
Has got a lot of personality
Understands the problems facing Britain
Out of touch with ordinary people
More honest than most politicians
A different type of politics? Jeremy Corbyn is seen as being
more honest than most politicians and less out of touch…..
11
I AM GOING TO READ OUT SOME THINGS BOTH FAVOURABLE AND UNFAVOURABLE THAT HAVE BEEN
SAID ABOUT VARIOUS POLITICIANS.
WHICH OF THESE, IF ANY, DO YOU THINK APPLY TO JEREMY CORBYN?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,255 British adults 18+, 19th– 22nd September 2015.
CORBYN CAMERON
12. 43%
14%
36%
63%
24%
28%
40%
43%
52%
39%
75%
36%
55%
60%
26%
27%
35%
43%
51%
62%
61%
Divided
Extreme
Out of date
Will promise anything to win votes
Keeps its promises
Has a good team of leaders
Fit to govern
Looks after the interests of people like me
Understands the problems facing Britain
Different to the other parties
Concerned about people in real need in Britain
And leading a party concerned about those in real need – but also as
more divided and more extreme
12
I AM GOING TO READ OUT SOME THINGS BOTH FAVOURABLE AND UNFAVOURABLE THAT HAVE BEEN
SAID ABOUT VARIOUS POLITICAL PARTIES.
WHICH OF THESE, IF ANY, DO YOU THINK APPLY TO THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
SEPTEMBER 2015 APRIL 2015
Base: 1,255 British adults 18+, 19th – 22nd September 2015.
13. But while Jeremy Corbyn is seen as more left-wing than Ed
Miliband, perceptions of Cameron have drifted right-ward too
13HOW WOULD YOU DESCRIBE THE VIEWS OF DAVID CAMERON?
LEFT WING
LEFT OF CENTRE
CENTRE
RIGHT OF CENTRE
RIGHT WING
DON’T KNOW
October 2010
October 2013
September 2015
6%
5%
4%
5%
4%
4%
14%
13%
13%
28%
33%
31%
21%
24%
30%
26%
21%
18%
Base: 1,255British adults 18+, 19th – 22nd September 2015 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
61%
57%
49%
15. 45%
38%
17%
Reaction to the Summer Budget was largely positive
15AS YOU MAY KNOW, THE GOVERNMENT RECENTLY ANNOUNCED ITS SUMMER 2015 BUDGET LAST WEEK. FROM WHAT YOU
KNOW OR HAVE HEARD, DO YOU THINK THE BUDGET PROPOSALS ARE A GOOD THING OR A BAD THING….?
Base: 1,026 British adults 18+, 18th –20th July 2015 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Good thing
Bad thing
46%
44%
10%
Don’t know
...for the country
Good thing
Bad thing
...for you personally
16. And George Osborne’s ratings best for a Conservative
since Nigel Lawson
Base: c1,000 British adults aged 18+
16
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY XXX IS DOING HIS JOB AS CHANCELLOR OF THE
EXCHEQUER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
% saying ‘satisfied’
66%
44%
67%
52%
45% 45%
34%
39%
44%
42%
37%
39%
36%37%
18%
31%
17%
24%
28%
38%
34%
52%
44%
56%
45%
42%
48%
52%
34%
41%
55%
57%
48%
46%
49%
47%
42%
32%
28%
36%
40%
36%
38%
28%27%
47%
43%44%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Mar-…
Mar-…
Apr-78
Jul-80
Mar-…
Jun-83
Mar-…
Mar-…
Mar-…
Mar-…
Mar-…
Mar-…
Mar-…
Mar-…
Mar-…
Dec…
Dec…
Nov…
Dec…
Nov…
Dec…
Jul-97
Feb-…
Mar-…
Mar-…
Feb-…
Mar-…
Jul-00
Sep…
Nov…
Mar-…
Apr-02
Apr-03
Mar-…
Nov…
Feb-…
Dec…
Apr-07
Mar-…
Mar-…
Jun-10
Mar-…
Dec…
Apr-12
Mar-…
Apr-14
Mar-…
Jul-15
Healey MajorHowe Lawson Lamont Clarke Brown Darling Osborne
17. But concern about public services and austerity
Base: 1,025 British adults 18+, 8th -11th March 2015
17ON BALANCE, DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
October 2013 March 2015
59%
35%
6%
60%
33%
7%
AGREE DISAGREE DON’T KNOW
IN THE LONG TERM, THIS GOVERNMENT’S POLICIES WILL IMPROVE BRITAIN’S PUBLIC SERVICES
19. Cameron becomes PM
Public concern around immigration is at the highest
level we’ve ever recorded
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
* Up until Sept 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
Border controls relaxed for “A8” EU
Countries (Poland, etc.)
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Border controls relaxed for Romanians
and Bulgarians
Highest concern ever
recorded (56%)
21. The trend before the summer was towards Britain’s
membership of the EU – will this last?
21
IF THERE WERE A REFERENDUM NOW ON WHETHER BRITAIN SHOULD STAY IN OR GET OUT OF THE
EUROPEAN UNION, HOW WOULD YOU VOTE?
26%
60%
63%
52%
49%
53%
51%
41%
61%
65%
29% 27%
36% 35%
32%
39%
49%
27%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Jun-77
Jun-79
Jun-81
Jun-83
Jun-85
Jun-87
Jun-89
Jun-91
Jun-93
Jun-95
Jun-97
Jun-99
Jun-01
Jun-03
Jun-05
Jun-07
Jun-09
Jun-11
Jun-13
Jun-15
Base: 501 British adults 18+, 14th -16th June 2015 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
STAY IN GET OUT
22. More Britons want a scaled-back relationship with the EU
rather than leaving altogether
22
WHICH OF THE OPTIONS BEST DESCRIBES YOUR OWN PREFERENCE FOR BRITAIN'S FUTURE ROLE IN
EUROPE?
Base: 1,005 British adults 18+, 14th -16th June 2015 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
13%
17%
20%
23%
19%
33%
34%
30%
28%
28%
31%
29%
32%
29%
24%
14%
14%
13%
13%
24%
Britain leaving the
European Union
altogether
Britain’s relationship
with Europe remaining
broadly the same as
at present
Britain returning to
being part on
economic community,
without political links
Britain and other
member states of the
European Union
moving towards closer
political and
economic integration
Apr ‘96
Nov ‘12
May ‘14
Oct ‘14
Jun ‘15
Apr ‘96
Nov ‘12
May ‘14
Oct ‘14
Jun ‘15
Apr ‘96
Nov ‘12
May ‘14
Oct ‘14
Jun ‘15
Apr ‘96
Nov ‘12
May ‘14
Oct ‘14
Jun ‘15
23. 6%
32%
37%
20%
4%
Though Britons are unsure whether Cameron will be able to
deliver a good deal Britain with the EU in any case
23
PLEASE TELL ME HOW CONFIDENT, IF AT ALL, YOU ARE THAT DAVID CAMERON WILL GET A GOOD DEAL
FOR BRITAIN IN NEGOTIATIONS WITH OTHER EUROPEAN LEADERS?
VERY CONFIDENT
FAIRLY CONFIDENT
NOT VERY
CONFIDENT
NOT AT ALL
CONFIDENT
NO OPINION
Source: Ipsos MORI
June 2015
Base: 1,005 British adults 18+, 14th -16th June 2015
25. Who would Britons like to see lead the Conservative Party?
25
AS YOU MAY KNOW, DAVID CAMERON HAS SAID THAT HE WILL STEP DOWN AS LEADER OF THE
CONSERVATIVE PARTY BEFORE THE NEXT GENERAL ELECTION IN 2020
WHICH ONE OF THE FOLLOWING POLITICIANS I AM GOING TO READ OUT, IF ANY, WOULD MAKE YOU
MOST LIKELY TO VOTE FOR THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI
Base: 1,255 British adults 18+, 395 Conservative supporters 19th – 22nd September 2015
*Red herring
8%
25%
3%
4%
15%
17%
27%
Don't know
None of these
Strewart Lewis
Michael Gove
Sajid Javid
George Osborne
Theresa May
Boris Johnson
*
September 2015
BRITISH ADULTS 18+
26. But Conservative voters prefer George
26
AS YOU MAY KNOW, DAVID CAMERON HAS SAID THAT HE WILL STEP DOWN AS LEADER OF THE
CONSERVATIVE PARTY BEFORE THE NEXT GENERAL ELECTION IN 2020
WHICH ONE OF THE FOLLOWING POLITICIANS I AM GOING TO READ OUT, IF ANY, WOULD MAKE YOU
MOST LIKELY TO VOTE FOR THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORIBase: British adults 18+, 395 Conservative supporters, 408 Labour, 103 LibDem, 70 UKIP 19th – 22nd September 2015
16%
2%
10%
18%
43%
28%
1%
8%
6%
28%
21%
42%
2%
4%
9%
17%
18%
7%
4%
3%
32%
18%
29%
None of these
Michael Gove
Sajid Javid
George Osborne
Theresa May
Boris Johnson
*
September 2015
CONSERVATIVE SUPPORTERS LABOUR SUPPORTERS
LIBERAL DEMOCRAT
SUPPORTERS UKIP SUPPORTERS