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Lack of Certainty in
Washington Hurts the
Dollar
By www.ForexConspiracyReport.com
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
The Trump administration
treats policy decisions like
promotions for the Trump
television show, The
Apprentice.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
With much hoopla an
announcement is scheduled
and when the day comes the
hype disappoints.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
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http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
The markets and the dollar
responded to the promise of a
stronger economy, more jobs,
deregulation, lower taxes, and
repatriation of offshore
corporate cash.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
Very little of any of that is
happening and the things that
have happened are causes for
uncertainty.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
And, lack of certainty in
Washington hurts the dollar.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
Reuters writes that U.S.
dollar gains are being held
back by lack of clarity on
reforms.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
The dollar will rise only slightly
over the coming year on
waning expectations for
sweeping tax cuts and several
rate rises from the Federal
Reserve
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
according to foreign exchange
forecasters who say the risks
are skewed more to the
downside.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
After surging a little over 30
percent over the last five
years, the dollar index —
which measures the currency’s
value against a basket of six
major currencies — has fallen
more than 5 percent this year.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
Growing political tension in
Washington over Donald
Trump’s presidency has raised
worries of delays in the U.S.
administration’s efforts to
implement sweeping tax cuts,
and has pressured the dollar.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
The consensus of currency
traders is that it is that Trump
has a long road ahead of him
digging out from scandals and
possibly impeachable offenses
relating to Russia hacking the
election to accomplishment of
his campaign promises.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
He has not demonstrated an
ability to work with congress
and will likely be an
increasingly isolated president.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
The dollar will be one of the
casualties of his continuing
problems.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
Expectations versus
Reality
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
Business Insider writes
that reality never met
expectations in regard to
Trump, repeal of the
Affordable Care Act, tax cuts
and the rest.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
A united Republican Congress
and presidency had increased
the odds of fiscal stimulus
which, coupled with monetary
tightening already underway
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
created the potential for
meaningful fiscal and
monetary policy divergence
between the United States and
other major developed
countries.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
As we explained at the time,
such a policy mix was likely to
boost the greenback against
other major currencies.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
Five months later, the dollar
has instead fallen 3.8% on a
trade-weighted basis.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
Trump’s plan was to repeal the
Affordable Care Act and
replace it with an alternative
that would have reduced
benefits and greatly reduced
the cost to the government.
That did not fly.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
Then the border-adjusted tax
was going to help find the
money to cut corporate taxes.
That also did not fly.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
In each case a substantial
number of Republicans as well
as virtually all Democrats
opposed these measures and
they died.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
If Trump cannot get the first
steps of his plan in place how
can he accomplish the rest?
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
And especially how can he go
forward without the spending
cuts and extra income that his
defeated measures would
have provided.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
Now there is no certainty that
Trump and his agenda can go
forward
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
but there is certainty of
investigation by a special
prosecutor
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
as well as House and Senate
committees into whether or
not members of Trump’s team
colluded with the Russians to
hack the election in Trump’s
favor.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/lack-of-certainty-in-washington-hurts-the-dollar/
It will in all likelihood be an
uncertain year in Washington
and not a good year for the
dollar.

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Lack of Certainty in Washington Hurts the Dollar