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Investment Risks from Climate Change
The COP21 climate change conference in Paris has focused attention on the issues of fossil fuel emissions, global warming and climate change. From an investment viewpoint what are the risks of climate change? How real is the issue and what could happen that could cause you to lose money? The European Commission provides the sort of background needed to get a grasp on the subject of climate change from the perspective of the European Union.
Climate change threatens to disrupt livelihoods, destabilize societies, and disrupt development in its tracks. The greatest single impact of climate change could be on human migration with millions of people displaced by shoreline erosion, coastal flooding and agricultural disruption – a crisis in the making.
Continued emission of greenhouse gases will cause further warming and long-lasting changes in all aspects of the climate system. Greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere will continue to increase unless the billions of tons of our annual emissions decrease substantially.
Drought in the Middle East may have been a contributor to the civil wars in Syria and Iraq and the resulting mass migration into Europe of refugees. Forty percent of the world population lives within 60 miles of an oceanic coast and 39 percent of Americans live near the coast. To the extent that sea levels might raise this is a significant issue.
Risky Business
US News writes about the huge economic costs if climate change is ignored.
“The U.S. faces significant and diverse economic risks from climate change.” No, that’s not a scary pronouncement from the Obama administration to justify its climate policies. That’s the first sentence of the report “Risky Business”- from a staid committee co-chaired by former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg, former George W. Bush administration Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and retired hedge fund founder Tom Steyer – urging the business community “to rise to the challenge and lead the way in helping reduce climate risks.”
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5. How real is the issue and what could
happen that could cause you to lose
money?
6. The European Commission provides
the sort of background needed to get
a grasp on the subject of climate
change from the perspective of the
European Union.
7. Climate change threatens to disrupt
livelihoods, destabilize societies, and
disrupt development in its tracks.
8. The greatest single impact of climate
change could be on human migration
with millions of people displaced by
shoreline erosion, coastal flooding and
agricultural disruption – a crisis in the
making.
9. Continued emission of greenhouse gases
will cause further warming and long-
lasting changes in all aspects of the
climate system.
10. Greenhouse gas concentrations in the
atmosphere will continue to increase
unless the billions of tons of our annual
emissions decrease substantially.
11. Drought in the Middle East may
have been a contributor to the civil
wars in Syria and Iraq and the
resulting mass migration into Europe
of refugees.
12. Forty percent of the world
population lives within 60 miles of
an oceanic coast and 39 percent of
Americans live near the coast.
13. To the extent that sea levels might
raise this is a significant issue.
15. US News writes about the huge
economic costs if climate change is
ignored.
16. “The U.S. faces significant and diverse
economic risks from climate change.”
17. No, that’s not a scary pronouncement
from the Obama administration to
justify its climate policies.
18. That’s the first sentence of the report
“Risky Business”- from a staid
committee co-chaired by former New
York Mayor Michael Bloomberg, former
George W. Bush administration
Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and
retired hedge fund founder Tom Steyer –
urging the business community “to rise
to the challenge and lead the way in
helping reduce climate risks.”
19. Most importantly, the report focuses on
the geographical diversity of risks that
U.S. businesses and households face and
the capacities of different areas to
address those risks, factoring in
differences in climate conditions and the
mix of economic activity.
20. In contrast to ubiquitous scare stories
about the harm to businesses and
households from policies that combat
climate change, this report highlights the
dangers from not pursuing such policies.
22. Damage to coastal property and
infrastructure from rising sea levels and
increased storm surge, climate-driven
changes in agricultural production and
energy demand, and the impact of higher
temperatures on labor productivity and
public health.
23. In the extreme outdoor work will
become difficult and indoor work
and living will require air
conditioning, raising the need for
electric generation, which if derived
from fossil fuels will worsen the
situation.
24. The investment risks in the medium
term will be in coastal areas, in farm
production where drought becomes
the norm instead of a periodic risk,
and in the fossil fuel business when
conditions dictate that coal, oil and
natural gas will no longer be used
except to make medicines and
plastics.
26. You may believe that there is
altogether too much hype about
global warming and climate change.
27. Or you may take the doomsday
approach and believe that we are too
late and that humanity is doomed.
28. From a sound investment viewpoint
neither extreme is likely to be the
case.
29. So, what are the investment risks
from climate change?
30. Perhaps you should avoid
investment in agricultural property
in the Southwest or beachfront
property in the Caribbean.
31. How about putting your next office
high rise in Chicago instead of lower
Manhattan?
32. And if you are looking for profitable
investment opportunities consider
water purification and clean energy
but only with companies that can
turn a profit and don’t need
subsidies.