However, when inflation is below 4% stocks work as a hedge and above 4%, they tend not to. Thus we have to think about investing when inflation is over 4% in a different light than when inflation is more moderate.
https://youtu.be/sTDPEVluV2c
https://profitableinvestingtips.com/profitable-investing-
tips/investing-when-inflation-is-over-4
Bloomberg published an article noting that, according to
Credit Suisse, when inflation is entrenched at about
8% that over the decades it has been extremely
difficult to bring down and stock investment returns
suffer. In years when inflation ranks in the top 5% of
all years, stocks have fallen by an average of 9.6% in
terms of real value. In the next top 15% of inflation
years stocks have averaged a 0.7% return in real value
adjusted for inflation.
https://profitableinvestingtips.com/profitable-investing-
tips/investing-when-inflation-is-over-4
In general, higher interest rates encourage investors to
put part of their portfolio in bonds, CDs, or Treasuries.
Investors typically do this because these interest
bearing investments are more secure in the short term
as they are immune from stock market volatility.
Another good reason to pivot to these vehicles is that
when interest rates are going up stocks tend to
perform poorly and it is when rates are going down
that they do better.
https://profitableinvestingtips.com/profitable-investing-
tips/investing-when-inflation-is-over-4
The US stock market averages a 2.6% return on
investment during periods of rising rates and a 9.6%
return on investment as rates are going down. What
investors need to be aware of is that these are average
returns. There is a split between good years and bad
years in these numbers as stock market returns can
rise with interest rate increases and fall when rates
are lowered. This means that the investor needs to
consider specific cases and the intrinsic value of each
stock in their portfolio.
https://profitableinvestingtips.com/profitable-investing-
tips/investing-when-inflation-is-over-4
A basic question that every investor needs to constantly
ask themself is if they are looking for short term gains
or best performance over the long haul. This brings us
back to the fact that the US stock market has
outperformed other investments for investors who
choose good stocks with good intrinsic value and hold
them for years and years. This does not mean that
timing your investments is not important.
https://profitableinvestingtips.com/profitable-investing-
tips/investing-when-inflation-is-over-4
We just saw Warren Buffett, whose preferred time to
hold a stock is forever, sell the bulk of his shares in
Taiwan Semiconductor. We have noted that bear
markets can be the key to future wealth if the
investor buys the right stocks when they are
discounted. Thus, an investor needs to avoid gutting
his portfolio of stocks that are promising for the long
term simply because the economy, and the market are
going through a period of inflation and rising interest
rates.