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Interest Rates Went Up: What Is Next for Investing?
The long, often boring and sometimes painful wait for the U.S. Federal Reserve to raise interest rates is over. On December 16, 2015 the Federal Reserve raised a key interest rate for the first time in almost ten years. The Washington Post covered the story.
The Federal Reserve voted Wednesday to raise interest rates and begin pulling back its unprecedented support for the American economy, ending an era of easy money that helped save the nation from another Great Depression but has yet to produce a full-throttled recovery.
The unanimous decision will nudge the central bank’s benchmark interest rate up from near zero by a quarter of one percent to a range of 0.25 to 0.5 percent. The move is small, but it amounts to a vote of confidence that the American economy — dogged by volatile oil prices, a slowdown in China and weak global growth – will stand resilient. But the Fed also pledged to wean the nation off its stimulus slowly, an acknowledgement that further progress is not guaranteed and that the central bank is operating in uncharted territory.
The Federal Reserve under its previous chairman, Ben Bernanke, was largely responsible for not only rescuing the U.S. economy from the worst recession since the Great Depression but also preventing a slide into financial chaos. Due to the fragility of the U.S. and global economy the Fed has been cautious about raising rates for fear of choking off the recovery. However, as the U.S. economy strengthens there is the risk of inflation and thus the Fed intends to raise interest rates sufficiently to stem inflation while still not damaging the economy. So, interest rates went up. What is next for investing?
Interest Rates and the U.S. Dollar
The U.S. dollar has gained in value against most global currencies in the last five years due to the increasing strength of the U.S. economy while Europe, Asia and much of the developing world have struggled. Bloomberg Business shows the BCWIUSD:IND, the U.S. dollar versus a basket of currencies over the last five years. The index has risen from 90 to 120, a one third increase for the U.S. dollar.
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