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Are German Bonds Safe?
In response to chaotic and falling stock markets many investors are searching for safe havens for their money. In an article by reuters about global stocks there is an interesting note. Investors are buying national debt, Swiss franc, United States, Japanese and German bonds.
nervous investors put more money into low-risk yen, swiss franc, gold, u.s. and german government debt as they await more clues whether the federal reserve and other central banks would provide support to stabilize markets that have been roiled partly due to worries about weakening economic growth in china.
Is this a good strategy? Are Japanese, Swiss, U. S. or German bonds safe? When purchasing national debt one is betting on interest rates and on the relative value of a given currency versus other currencies. If you are going to convert U.S. dollars to Euros in order to buy German debt you want to know the rate of return you will get on your bonds and how well or poorly the Euro will do versus the U.S. dollar.
Euro versus Dollar
According to exchangerates.org.uk there is a downside risk to the Euro.
a strong downside euro trend continues today, after ecb president draghi stated that monetary policy “may need to be reviewed” in the next meeting (march 2016).
exchange rate analysts at lloyds commented on the euro vs dollar exchange rate outlook in the near-term:
“eurusd declined toward the bottom of its range, having printed a low of 1.0778, although it has now retraced some of this move.”
4. http://profitabletradingtips.com/profitable-trading-tips/are-german-bonds-
safe
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