Weitere ähnliche Inhalte Ähnlich wie Presentation draft final report final Ähnlich wie Presentation draft final report final (20) Mehr von Indonesia Infrastructure Initiative Mehr von Indonesia Infrastructure Initiative (20) Kürzlich hochgeladen (20) Presentation draft final report final2. Agenda Time Minutes Topic Person in Charge 10:00 – 10:30 30 Registration Reception 10:30 – 10:35 5 Introduction DGCA/IndII & Mr Whittle 10:35 – 10:50 15 Summary & Overall Conclusions Mr Whittle 10:50 – 11:00 10 Methodology & Stakeholders Mr Whittle 11:00 – 11:25 25 Policy & Regulation Mr O’Donovan 11:25 – 11:50 25 Demand Forecasts Mr Folley 11:50 – 12:15 25 Airlines Mr Whittle 12:15 – 12:40 25 Airspace LFV 12:40 – 13:05 25 Airports Mr Whittle 13:05 – 13:30 25 Social & Economic Impact Ms Congdon 13:30 – 13:40 10 Implementation Mr Whittle 13:40 – 13:45 5 Closing Remarks Mr Whittle 13:45 – 15:00 75 Question & Answer Session Moderator 25. Indonesia in ASEAN Source: World Bank most recent statistics Country Population (millions) GDP Real Growth (2010) Indonesia 245.6 $540.3bn Singapore 4.7 $182.2bn Thailand 67.8 $263.8bn Malaysia 27.5 $193.1bn Cambodia 14.8 $10.5bn Brunei 0.4 $11.5bn Laos 6.3 $5.9bn Vietnam 87.3 $97.2bn Myanmar 50.0 Not reported Philippines 92.0 $161.2bn 27. Top 10 Countries by GDP Growth Source: Citigroup Rank Country Average Annual GDP Growth 1 Nigeria 8.5% 2 India 8.0% 3 Iraq 7.7% 4 Bangladesh 7.5% 5 Vietnam 7.5% 6 Philippines 7.3% 7 Mongolia 6.9% 8 Indonesia 6.8% 9 Sri Lanka 6.6% 10 Egypt 6.4% 28. Major Asian Airports: Passenger Traffic Trends Millions 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 AAGR 2005-2010 2010 vs. 2009 JAKARTA 28.3 29.0 30.9 32.5 37.3 44.0 9.2% 17.8% SINGAPORE 32.4 33.4 35.2 37.7 37.2 42.0 5.3% 13% KUALA LUMPUR 23.3 23.7 26.1 27.6 29.7 34.1 7.9% 14.8% BANGKOK 39.0 41.0 44.3 43.6 40.5 42.8 1.9% 5.6% DELHI 15.1 19.1 23.1 23.2 25.2 28.5 13.6% 13% BEIJING 41.0 48.7 53.6 55.9 65.4 73.9 12.5% 13% HONG KONG 40.3 43.3 46.3 47.9 45.6 50.4 4.6% 10.6% 43. Traffic Performance of Major Airlines (2010) Source: DGCA 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 Lion Air Garuda Sriwijaya Air Batavia Air Indonesia AirAsia Merpati Wings Air Passengers (millions) Domestic International 57. Terminal Facility Shortfall by Airport in 2025 * Planned development included in analysis ** Details of current facilities not available, hence unable to calculate 2025 shortfall Jakarta Surabaya Bali Makassar Medan Balikpapan Manado HBS Screening Lanes 7-18 7-10 7-9 * 4-7 * - ** 0-1 * 0 * Check-in Desks 34-68 0 * 0 * 0 * - ** 0 * 0 * Outbound Passport Control 58 4 7 * 3 * - ** 0 * 0 * Security Search Lanes – Domestic 5-10 2-4 0 * 5-6 * - ** 0 * 0 * Security Search Lanes – International 5-8 0 0 * - ** 0 * 0 * Gate Rooms – Domestic 10 Code C 15 Code C 1 Code E 4 Code C * 11 Code C * - ** 6 Code C * 0 * Gate Rooms – International 8 Code C 2 Code E 6 Code C * 0 * - ** 0 * 0 * Inbound Immigration Desks 35-83 1-9 23-43 * 5-9 * - ** 3-4 * 0 * Reclaim Belts – Domestic 8 Code C 6 Code E 9 Code C 2 Code C * 2 Code E * 4 Code C * - ** 0 * 0 * Reclaim Belts - International 8 Code E 1 Code C 2 Code C * 0 - ** 0 * 0 * 60. Airfield Facility Shortfall by Airport in 2025 * Planned development included in analysis ** Details of facilities not available, hence unable to calculate 2025 shortfall Jakarta Surabaya Bali Makassar Medan Balikpapan Manado Runway Capacity – Movements per Hour 61-63 * 9-11 * 4-6 * 10-12 0 * 0 * 0 * Runway Code Adequate * Adequate * Adequate * Adequate * Adequate * Adequate * Adequate * Taxiway Capacity Adequate * Adequate * Adequate * Adequate * Adequate * Adequate * Adequate * Taxiway Code Adequate * Adequate * Adequate * Adequate * Adequate * Adequate * Adequate * Aircraft Stands – Code E 0 * 0 * 0 * 0 * 0 * 0 * 0 * Aircraft Stands – Code C 147 * 56 * 34 * 34 * 11 * 18 * 0 * 63. Costs Directly Attributable to ASEAN Open Skies (£’000s) * Details of facilities not available, hence unable to calculate 2025 shortfall or costs attributable to ASEAN Open Skies. Costs derived using UK costs without contingency Terminal Facilities Airfield Facilities Jakarta Surabaya Bali Makassar Medan Balikpapan Manado Check-in Desks 2,035 0 0 0 - * 0 0 Outbound Passport Control 22.5 6.25 10 3.75 - * 0 0 Security Lanes - International 1,400 0 0 700 - * 0 0 Gate Rooms – International 4,585 1,310 1,310 0 - * 0 0 Inbound Immigration Desks 1,620 708.75 1,316.25 708.75 - * 303.75 0 Reclaim Belts - International 4,500 750 750 0 - * 0 0 TOTAL COSTS (£M) £14.2M £2.8M £3.4M £1.4M - * £0.3M £0.0M Jakarta Surabaya Bali Makassar Medan Balikpapan Manado Taxilane 4,488 1,870 1,870 748 374 1,122 0 Aircraft Stands 7,128 2,970 2,970 1,188 594 1,782 0 TOTAL COSTS (£M) £11.6M £4.8M £4.8M £1.9M £1.0M £2.9M £0.0M 84. Cost Benefit Analysis - Results Summary of Discounted Costs and Benefits (IDR Billions) Indonesian Users All Users Benefits Journey Time Savings 1,133 2,220 Air Fare Savings 18,426 31,671 Airport Surplus 1,286 1,286 Airline Surplus 1,177 10,473 Government Revenue 4,903 4,903 Total Benefits 26,925 50,553 Costs Airport Infrastructure -219 -219 ATM Costs -10 -10 Airline Equipment Costs -4,747 -18,557 Total Costs -4,976 -18,786 NPV 21,949 31,767 BCR 5.4 2.7 Hinweis der Redaktion Importance of ASEAN as trading partners and sources of investment – to what extent will air service liberalisation contribute