Basics of Technical Analysis - Picking stocks in the market Part 2

1. P2 PICKING STOCKS IN THE MARKET 19 The analysis of securities Made by: Imran Almaleh
2. PART 2 agenda:  Price patterns:       19 ALWAYS AFTER A TREND Break-out & target rules The Rectangle Heads and Shoulders & reversed Double tops & Double bottoms Advanced technical analysis MACD  CCI  RSI 
3. BREAK-OUT AND TARGET  Break-out rules: The 3%-5% move  The volume move   Setting your target: Measurement  Sell before you hit your target 
4. THE RECTANGLE 4 points formation  Break-out confirmation  Target 
5. HEADS & SHOULDERS After a long trend  Major trend reversal  Support line  Reversed H&S  Break-out  Target 
6. Reversed H&S
7. THE DOUBLE TOPS & BOTTOMS  Formation: 1. 2. 3. Peak then 10 to 20% decline ±3% second peak Decline More people selling  Break-out  Target 
8. H&S
9. INDICATORS
10. MACD CCI RSI
11. THE MACD INDICATOR  The concept Simple momentum indicator  The formula: MACD: (12-day EMA - 26-day EMA) Signal Line: 9-day EMA of MACD  Divergence
12. THE CCI INDICATOR  The concept Extreme moves indicator  The formula: CCI = (TP - 20-period MA) / (.015 x Mean Deviation) Typical Price (TP) = (High + Low + Close)/3 Constant = 0.015  Divergence
13. THE RSI INDICATOR The concept  Between 30-70  The formula:  RSI = 100 RS = Average Gain / Average Loss  Divergence

يدعّم قرار الشراء أو البيع عند الإختراق بزيادة الكميات عن نقطة الاختراق في الاتجاهين
الهدف = من الدعم إلى أعلى الرأس
أول كتف = بدايات الخوف مجموعه من المستثمرين الخائفينالرأس = الرعب من السهم المستثمرين يبيعون للهروبالكتف الثاني = نهاية الخوف المجموعه المتبقية من المستثمرين الخائفين يخرجون من السوق
نلاحظ وجود شكل الH&S ولكنه لم يأتي بعد صعود, بل بعد هبوط, فهذا ليس شكل الH&S
Ema= تمهيد أسي
Lambert set the constant at .015 to ensure that approximately 70 to 80 percent of CCI values would fall between -100 and +100

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