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International Journal of Research in Engineering and Science (IJRES)
ISSN (Online): 2320-9364, ISSN (Print): 2320-9356
www.ijres.org Volume 3 Issue 3 ǁ March. 2015 ǁ PP.61-64
www.ijres.org 61 | Page
Heart Disease Prediction Using Data Mining Techniques
Andrea D’Souza
1
(Information Technology, Padre Conçeicao College of Engineering, Goa, India)
ABSTRACT: There are huge amounts of data in the medical industry which is not processed properly and
hence cannot be used effectively in making decisions. We can use data mining techniques to mine these patterns
and relationships. This research has developed a prototype Heart Disease Prediction using data mining
techniques, namely Neural Network, K-Means Clustering and Frequent Item Set Generation. Using medical
profiles such as age, sex, blood pressure and blood sugar it can predict the likelihood patients getting a heart
disease. It enables significant knowledge, e.g. patterns, relationships between medical factors related to heart
disease to be established. Performance of these techniques is compared through sensitivity, specificity and
accuracy. It has been observed that Artificial Neural Networks outperform K Means clustering in all the
parameters i.e. Sensitivity, Specificity and Accuracy.
Keywords- Apriori, Heart Disease, Data Mining, K-Means, Neural Network
I. INTRODUCTION
Cardiovascular diseases are one of the most common diseases of the modern world.There are certain things
that increase a person’s chances of getting cardiovascular disease. Cardiovascular disease (CVD) refers to any
condition that affects the heart. Many CVD patients have symptoms such as chest pain (angina) and fatigue,
which occur when the heart isn’t receiving adequate oxygen. As per a survey nearly 50 percent of patients,
however, have no symptoms until a heart attack occurs. A number of factors have been shown to increase the
risk of developing CVD. Some of these are family history of cardiovascular disease, High levels of LDL (bad)
cholesterol, Low level of HDL (good) cholesterol, Hypertension, High fat diet, Lack of regular exercise and
Obesity. With so many factors to analyze for a diagnosis of cardiovascular disease, physicians generally make a
diagnosis by evaluating a patient’s current test results. Previous diagnoses made on other patients with the same
results are also examined by physicians. These complex procedures are not easy. Therefore, a physician must be
experienced and highly skilled to diagnose cardiovascular disease in a patient.Data mining has been heavily
used in the medical field, to include patient diagnosis records to help identify best practices. The difficulties
posed by prediction problems have resulted in a variety of problem-solving techniques. For example, data
mining methods comprise Artificial Neural Networks and Clustering Techniques (K-Means Clustering). It is
difficult, however, to compare the accuracy of the techniques and determine the best one because their
performance is data dependent. A few studies have compared data mining and statistical approaches to solve
prediction problems. The comparison studies have mainly considered a specific data set.
II. LITERATURE REVIEW
Up to now, several studies have been reported that have focused on cardiovascular disease diagnosis. These
studies have applied different approaches to the given problem and achieved high classification accuracies of
77% or higher.
Robert Detrano’s experimental results showed correct classification accuracy of approximately 77% with
logistic regression derived discriminant function.
Colombet et al. evaluated implementation and performance of CART and artificial neural networks
comparatively with a LR model, in order to predict the risk of cardiovascular disease in a real database.
Imran Kurt , MevlutTure , A. TurhanKurum compare performances of logistic regression, classification and
regression tree, and neural networks for predicting coronary artery disease.
The John Gennari’s CLASSIT conceptual clustering system achieved a 78.9% accuracy on the Cleveland
database
III. METHODOLOGY
This paper exhibits the analysis of various data mining techniques which can be helpful for medical analysts
for predicting heart diseases accurately. The Artificial Neural Network, K Means Clustering Algorithm and
Frequent Item Set generation using Apriori Techniques are used to classify whether a patient suffers from heart
disease or not. A study is performed on the techniques to find the most accurate one.
Heart Disease Prediction Using Data Mining Techniques
www.ijres.org 62 | Page
Data Mining Review
Data mining techniques analyze data and perform learning to extract hidden patterns and relationships from
large databases.
Artificial Neural Network(ANN)the neural network approach is used for analyzing the heart disease
dataset. Applying feed forward neural network model and back propagation learning.the heart disease database
are trained by the neural network. The input layer contains 13 neurons to represent 13 attributes. There is one
output class variable that takes the value 1 or 0 depending on whether a patient suffering from heart disease or
not respectively.
K- Means Clustering is one of the widely recognized clustering tools that are applied in a variety of
scientific and industrial applications. K-means groups the data in accordance with their characteristic values into
K distinct clusters. Data categorized into the same cluster have identical feature values. K, the positive integer
denoting the number of clusters, needs to be provided inadvance.Since theCleveland heart database contains
different types of variables: symmetric binary, asymmetric binary, nominal, ordinal, interval and ratio the
dissimilarity between the objects is calculated by
(1)
f is binary or nominal: dij(f) = 0 if xif = xjf , or else dij(f) = 1
f is interval-based: use the normalized distance
f is ordinal or ratio-scaled: compute ranks rif and treat zif as interval-scaled
Apriori is a classic algorithm for learning association rules. Apriori is designed to operate on databases
containing transactions. Other algorithms are designed for finding association rules in data having no
transactions.As is common in association rule mining, given a set of item sets, the algorithm attempts to find
subsets which are common to at least a minimum number C of the item sets. Apriori uses a "bottom up"
approach, where frequent subsets are extended one item at a time (a step known as candidate generation), and
groups of candidates are tested against the data. The algorithm terminates when no further successful extensions
are found. Apriori uses breadth-first search and a tree structure to count candidate item sets efficiently. It
generates candidate item sets of length k from item sets of length k − 1. Then it prunes the candidates which
have an infrequent sub pattern. According to the downward closure lemma, the candidate set contains all
frequent k-length item sets. After that, it scans the transaction database to determine frequent item sets among
the candidates.
Data Sources
A total of 297 records with 14 medical attributes (factors) were obtained from the Cleveland Heart Disease
database. Table 1 lists the attributes. The records were split into two datasets: training dataset (200 records) and
testing dataset (97 records). To avoid bias, the records for each set were selected randomly. The attribute “Num”
was identified as the predictable attribute with value “1” for patients with heart disease and value “0” for
patients with no heart disease.
Heart Disease Prediction Using Data Mining Techniques
www.ijres.org 63 | Page
Table 1: Attributes of Cardiovascular dataset
Results and Findings
Initially dataset had 14 attributes and 303 records. During data pre processing missing value records were
identified and deleted from dataset. After deleting records with missing values we were left with 297 records. .
On these 297 records data mining techniques Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), K Means Clustering and
Frequent Item Set Generation using Apriori Algorithm were applied.
A distinguished confusion matrix was obtained to calculate sensitivity, specificity and accuracy. Confusion
matrix is a matrix representation of the classification results. Table 2 shows confusion matrix.
The upper left cell denotes the number of samples classifies as true while they were true (i.e., TP), and the
lower right cell denotes the number of samples classified as false while they were actually false (i.e., TN). The
other two cells (lower left cell and upper right cell) denote the number of samples misclassified. Specifically the
upper right cell denoting the number of samples classified as false while they actually were true (i.e., FN), and
the lower left cell denoting the number of samples classified as true while they actually were false (i.e., FP).
Below formulae were used to calculate sensitivity, specificity and accuracy:
Sensitivity = TP / (TP + FN)
Specificity = TN / (TN + FP)
Accuracy = (TP + TN) / (TP + FP + TN + FN)
Table 2: Confusion matrix
The configuration used for the neural network architecture is
Error tolerance = 0.1
Learning rate = 0.09Maximum number of cycles = 20Number of layers = 3
Number of Neurons in input layer = 13
Number of Neurons in hidden layer = 9
Number of Neurons in output layer = 1
Classified as healthy Classified as not healthy
Actual healthy TP FN
Actual not healthy FP TN
Heart Disease Prediction Using Data Mining Techniques
www.ijres.org 64 | Page
The configuration of the K Means Clustering algorithm is K=2(heart disease or no heart disease)
Table 3: Sensitivity, Specificity and Accuracy of ANN and K Means
The Apriori algorithm was analysed for different values of minimum support count. The most frequent
itemsets generated are given below:
Case 1: minimum support count=15
{age>40 AND age<60, male, chest pain type 4, trestBps> 90, chol>200 AND chol<400, fbs NOT > 120,
restecg=probable, thalach< 150 , oldPeak=1 ,diagnosis= 1} Support: 15
Case 2: minimum support count= 10
{ male, chest pain type 4, trestBps> 90, chol>200 AND chol<400, fbs NOT > 120, restecg=probable, thalach<
150 , oldPeak=1 , exang<1.5, diagnosis= 1} Support: 10
IV. CONCLUSION
Through this work, three techniques to classify patients as having heart disease or not are compared. The
techniques used are Artificial Neural Network, K Means Clustering and Frequent ItemSet Generation Using
Apriori Algorithm. The techniques were compared on the basis of Sensitivity, Specificity and Accuracy.The
results show that Artificial Neural Networks outperform K Means Clustering in all the parameters i.e.
Sensitivity, Specificity and Accuracy. The frequent itemset patterns that The limitations of this project are that
data sets are not available. The available data sets are not updated and do not contain parameters that are found
to be relevant through latest research.The proposed work can be improved and expanded for building a Heart
disease prediction system. Real and complete data from Health care organizations and agencies needs to be
collected.
REFERENCES
Journal Papers:
[1] Detrano, R.; Steinbrunn, W.; Pfisterer, M., “International application of a new probability algorithm for the diagnosis of
coronary artery disease”. American Journal of Cardiology,Vol. 64, No. 3, 1987, pp. 304-310.
[2] Colombet, I.; Ruelland, A.; Chatellier, G.; Gueyffier, F. (2000). “Models to predict cardiovascular risk: comparison of CART,
multilayer perceptron and logistic regression”Proceedings of AMIA Symp 2000, p 156-160.
[3] Kurt, I.; Ture, M.; Turhan, A., “Comparing performances of logistic regression, classification and regression tree, and neural
networks for predicting coronary artery disease”. Journal of Expert Systems with Application, Vol. 3, 2008, pp. 366-374.
[4] Gennari, J., “Models of incremental concept formation”. Journal of Artificial Intelligence, Vol. 1, 1989, pp. 11-61.
[5] SellappanPalaniappan, RafiahAwang, "Intelligent Heart Disease Prediction System Using Data Mining Techniques", IJCSNS
International Journal of Computer Science and Network Security, Vol.8 No.8, August 2008
[6] AnchanaKhemphila, VeeraBoonjing ,Comparing performances of logistic regression, decision trees , and neural networks for
classifying heart disease patients
[7] ShantakumarB.Patil, Y.S.Kumaraswamy, “Intelligent and Effective Heart At-tack Prediction System Using Data Mining and
Artificial Neural Network” European Journal of Scientific Research ISSN 1450-216X Vol.31 No.4 (2009), pp.642-656
[8] N.Deepika* et al. “ Association rule for classification of Heart attack patients” (IJAEST) International Journal Of Advanced
Engineering Sciences And Technologies. Vol No. 11, Issue No. 2, 253 – 257
Books:
[1] Simon Haykin, Neural Networks: A Comprehensive Foundation (China machine press, Beijing, 2004).
.
Sensitivity Specificity Accuracy
ANN 68% 83.33% 79.38%
K Means Clustering 54.0145% 71.25% 63.299%

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Heart Disease Prediction Using Data Mining Techniques

  • 1. International Journal of Research in Engineering and Science (IJRES) ISSN (Online): 2320-9364, ISSN (Print): 2320-9356 www.ijres.org Volume 3 Issue 3 ǁ March. 2015 ǁ PP.61-64 www.ijres.org 61 | Page Heart Disease Prediction Using Data Mining Techniques Andrea D’Souza 1 (Information Technology, Padre Conçeicao College of Engineering, Goa, India) ABSTRACT: There are huge amounts of data in the medical industry which is not processed properly and hence cannot be used effectively in making decisions. We can use data mining techniques to mine these patterns and relationships. This research has developed a prototype Heart Disease Prediction using data mining techniques, namely Neural Network, K-Means Clustering and Frequent Item Set Generation. Using medical profiles such as age, sex, blood pressure and blood sugar it can predict the likelihood patients getting a heart disease. It enables significant knowledge, e.g. patterns, relationships between medical factors related to heart disease to be established. Performance of these techniques is compared through sensitivity, specificity and accuracy. It has been observed that Artificial Neural Networks outperform K Means clustering in all the parameters i.e. Sensitivity, Specificity and Accuracy. Keywords- Apriori, Heart Disease, Data Mining, K-Means, Neural Network I. INTRODUCTION Cardiovascular diseases are one of the most common diseases of the modern world.There are certain things that increase a person’s chances of getting cardiovascular disease. Cardiovascular disease (CVD) refers to any condition that affects the heart. Many CVD patients have symptoms such as chest pain (angina) and fatigue, which occur when the heart isn’t receiving adequate oxygen. As per a survey nearly 50 percent of patients, however, have no symptoms until a heart attack occurs. A number of factors have been shown to increase the risk of developing CVD. Some of these are family history of cardiovascular disease, High levels of LDL (bad) cholesterol, Low level of HDL (good) cholesterol, Hypertension, High fat diet, Lack of regular exercise and Obesity. With so many factors to analyze for a diagnosis of cardiovascular disease, physicians generally make a diagnosis by evaluating a patient’s current test results. Previous diagnoses made on other patients with the same results are also examined by physicians. These complex procedures are not easy. Therefore, a physician must be experienced and highly skilled to diagnose cardiovascular disease in a patient.Data mining has been heavily used in the medical field, to include patient diagnosis records to help identify best practices. The difficulties posed by prediction problems have resulted in a variety of problem-solving techniques. For example, data mining methods comprise Artificial Neural Networks and Clustering Techniques (K-Means Clustering). It is difficult, however, to compare the accuracy of the techniques and determine the best one because their performance is data dependent. A few studies have compared data mining and statistical approaches to solve prediction problems. The comparison studies have mainly considered a specific data set. II. LITERATURE REVIEW Up to now, several studies have been reported that have focused on cardiovascular disease diagnosis. These studies have applied different approaches to the given problem and achieved high classification accuracies of 77% or higher. Robert Detrano’s experimental results showed correct classification accuracy of approximately 77% with logistic regression derived discriminant function. Colombet et al. evaluated implementation and performance of CART and artificial neural networks comparatively with a LR model, in order to predict the risk of cardiovascular disease in a real database. Imran Kurt , MevlutTure , A. TurhanKurum compare performances of logistic regression, classification and regression tree, and neural networks for predicting coronary artery disease. The John Gennari’s CLASSIT conceptual clustering system achieved a 78.9% accuracy on the Cleveland database III. METHODOLOGY This paper exhibits the analysis of various data mining techniques which can be helpful for medical analysts for predicting heart diseases accurately. The Artificial Neural Network, K Means Clustering Algorithm and Frequent Item Set generation using Apriori Techniques are used to classify whether a patient suffers from heart disease or not. A study is performed on the techniques to find the most accurate one.
  • 2. Heart Disease Prediction Using Data Mining Techniques www.ijres.org 62 | Page Data Mining Review Data mining techniques analyze data and perform learning to extract hidden patterns and relationships from large databases. Artificial Neural Network(ANN)the neural network approach is used for analyzing the heart disease dataset. Applying feed forward neural network model and back propagation learning.the heart disease database are trained by the neural network. The input layer contains 13 neurons to represent 13 attributes. There is one output class variable that takes the value 1 or 0 depending on whether a patient suffering from heart disease or not respectively. K- Means Clustering is one of the widely recognized clustering tools that are applied in a variety of scientific and industrial applications. K-means groups the data in accordance with their characteristic values into K distinct clusters. Data categorized into the same cluster have identical feature values. K, the positive integer denoting the number of clusters, needs to be provided inadvance.Since theCleveland heart database contains different types of variables: symmetric binary, asymmetric binary, nominal, ordinal, interval and ratio the dissimilarity between the objects is calculated by (1) f is binary or nominal: dij(f) = 0 if xif = xjf , or else dij(f) = 1 f is interval-based: use the normalized distance f is ordinal or ratio-scaled: compute ranks rif and treat zif as interval-scaled Apriori is a classic algorithm for learning association rules. Apriori is designed to operate on databases containing transactions. Other algorithms are designed for finding association rules in data having no transactions.As is common in association rule mining, given a set of item sets, the algorithm attempts to find subsets which are common to at least a minimum number C of the item sets. Apriori uses a "bottom up" approach, where frequent subsets are extended one item at a time (a step known as candidate generation), and groups of candidates are tested against the data. The algorithm terminates when no further successful extensions are found. Apriori uses breadth-first search and a tree structure to count candidate item sets efficiently. It generates candidate item sets of length k from item sets of length k − 1. Then it prunes the candidates which have an infrequent sub pattern. According to the downward closure lemma, the candidate set contains all frequent k-length item sets. After that, it scans the transaction database to determine frequent item sets among the candidates. Data Sources A total of 297 records with 14 medical attributes (factors) were obtained from the Cleveland Heart Disease database. Table 1 lists the attributes. The records were split into two datasets: training dataset (200 records) and testing dataset (97 records). To avoid bias, the records for each set were selected randomly. The attribute “Num” was identified as the predictable attribute with value “1” for patients with heart disease and value “0” for patients with no heart disease.
  • 3. Heart Disease Prediction Using Data Mining Techniques www.ijres.org 63 | Page Table 1: Attributes of Cardiovascular dataset Results and Findings Initially dataset had 14 attributes and 303 records. During data pre processing missing value records were identified and deleted from dataset. After deleting records with missing values we were left with 297 records. . On these 297 records data mining techniques Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), K Means Clustering and Frequent Item Set Generation using Apriori Algorithm were applied. A distinguished confusion matrix was obtained to calculate sensitivity, specificity and accuracy. Confusion matrix is a matrix representation of the classification results. Table 2 shows confusion matrix. The upper left cell denotes the number of samples classifies as true while they were true (i.e., TP), and the lower right cell denotes the number of samples classified as false while they were actually false (i.e., TN). The other two cells (lower left cell and upper right cell) denote the number of samples misclassified. Specifically the upper right cell denoting the number of samples classified as false while they actually were true (i.e., FN), and the lower left cell denoting the number of samples classified as true while they actually were false (i.e., FP). Below formulae were used to calculate sensitivity, specificity and accuracy: Sensitivity = TP / (TP + FN) Specificity = TN / (TN + FP) Accuracy = (TP + TN) / (TP + FP + TN + FN) Table 2: Confusion matrix The configuration used for the neural network architecture is Error tolerance = 0.1 Learning rate = 0.09Maximum number of cycles = 20Number of layers = 3 Number of Neurons in input layer = 13 Number of Neurons in hidden layer = 9 Number of Neurons in output layer = 1 Classified as healthy Classified as not healthy Actual healthy TP FN Actual not healthy FP TN
  • 4. Heart Disease Prediction Using Data Mining Techniques www.ijres.org 64 | Page The configuration of the K Means Clustering algorithm is K=2(heart disease or no heart disease) Table 3: Sensitivity, Specificity and Accuracy of ANN and K Means The Apriori algorithm was analysed for different values of minimum support count. The most frequent itemsets generated are given below: Case 1: minimum support count=15 {age>40 AND age<60, male, chest pain type 4, trestBps> 90, chol>200 AND chol<400, fbs NOT > 120, restecg=probable, thalach< 150 , oldPeak=1 ,diagnosis= 1} Support: 15 Case 2: minimum support count= 10 { male, chest pain type 4, trestBps> 90, chol>200 AND chol<400, fbs NOT > 120, restecg=probable, thalach< 150 , oldPeak=1 , exang<1.5, diagnosis= 1} Support: 10 IV. CONCLUSION Through this work, three techniques to classify patients as having heart disease or not are compared. The techniques used are Artificial Neural Network, K Means Clustering and Frequent ItemSet Generation Using Apriori Algorithm. The techniques were compared on the basis of Sensitivity, Specificity and Accuracy.The results show that Artificial Neural Networks outperform K Means Clustering in all the parameters i.e. Sensitivity, Specificity and Accuracy. The frequent itemset patterns that The limitations of this project are that data sets are not available. The available data sets are not updated and do not contain parameters that are found to be relevant through latest research.The proposed work can be improved and expanded for building a Heart disease prediction system. Real and complete data from Health care organizations and agencies needs to be collected. REFERENCES Journal Papers: [1] Detrano, R.; Steinbrunn, W.; Pfisterer, M., “International application of a new probability algorithm for the diagnosis of coronary artery disease”. American Journal of Cardiology,Vol. 64, No. 3, 1987, pp. 304-310. [2] Colombet, I.; Ruelland, A.; Chatellier, G.; Gueyffier, F. (2000). “Models to predict cardiovascular risk: comparison of CART, multilayer perceptron and logistic regression”Proceedings of AMIA Symp 2000, p 156-160. [3] Kurt, I.; Ture, M.; Turhan, A., “Comparing performances of logistic regression, classification and regression tree, and neural networks for predicting coronary artery disease”. Journal of Expert Systems with Application, Vol. 3, 2008, pp. 366-374. [4] Gennari, J., “Models of incremental concept formation”. Journal of Artificial Intelligence, Vol. 1, 1989, pp. 11-61. [5] SellappanPalaniappan, RafiahAwang, "Intelligent Heart Disease Prediction System Using Data Mining Techniques", IJCSNS International Journal of Computer Science and Network Security, Vol.8 No.8, August 2008 [6] AnchanaKhemphila, VeeraBoonjing ,Comparing performances of logistic regression, decision trees , and neural networks for classifying heart disease patients [7] ShantakumarB.Patil, Y.S.Kumaraswamy, “Intelligent and Effective Heart At-tack Prediction System Using Data Mining and Artificial Neural Network” European Journal of Scientific Research ISSN 1450-216X Vol.31 No.4 (2009), pp.642-656 [8] N.Deepika* et al. “ Association rule for classification of Heart attack patients” (IJAEST) International Journal Of Advanced Engineering Sciences And Technologies. Vol No. 11, Issue No. 2, 253 – 257 Books: [1] Simon Haykin, Neural Networks: A Comprehensive Foundation (China machine press, Beijing, 2004). . Sensitivity Specificity Accuracy ANN 68% 83.33% 79.38% K Means Clustering 54.0145% 71.25% 63.299%