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Strengthening developing-country seed systems and markets. Policy trade-offs, unintended consequences, and operational realities

  1. Introduction Design principles Policy options Conclusion Annexes Strengthening developing-country seed systems and markets Policy trade-offs, unintended consequences, and operational realities David J. Spielman International Food Policy Research Institute October 25, 2017
  2. Introduction Design principles Policy options Conclusion Annexes What do we expect from a better seed system? ADOPTION of improved varieties Change in genetic quality as farmers switch from traditional to improved varieties TURNOVER of improved varieties Change in genetic quality as farmers replace one improved variety with another USE of quality planting material Change in physical and/or genetic quality as farmers replace saved seed with better quality seed PRODUCTIVITY gains for farmers Increased yields, fewer losses to biotic and abiotic stresses WELFARE gains for resource-poor farmers Increased incomes, consumption, nutrition, well-being
  3. Introduction Design principles Policy options Conclusion Annexes What makes seed systems so difficult to change? Integration between formal, informal seed markets Assessment genetic/physical quality of seed ex ante Appropriation of the gains from innovation Articulation of demand for seed Scaling in fragmented markets
  4. Introduction Design principles Policy options Conclusion Annexes Which public policies matter? A shortlist 1 Seed laws and legislation 2 Seed rules, regulations, guidelines 3 Public investment in research, extension, production 4 Seed producer subsidies and taxes 5 Seed user subsidies and taxes 6 Trade rules and regulations
  5. Introduction Design principles Policy options Conclusion Annexes Which policies matter? A schematic
  6. Introduction Design principles Policy options Conclusion Annexes Seed policy reforms occur in a hotly contested space
  7. Introduction Design principles Policy options Conclusion Annexes Key design elements 1 Rules for accessing better genetics 2 Procedures for accelerating varietal release 3 Regulations for assuring seed quality 4 Investments for promoting new seeds and traits 5 Incentives for encouraging market growth
  8. Introduction Design principles Policy options Conclusion Annexes There is an optimal level of regulation wrt market size Q Regulatory costρl ρhρ∗ Regulatory cost ρ may increase market size Q, but only up to some optimal level ρ∗
  9. Introduction Design principles Policy options Conclusion Annexes “Integrate into the Informal” strategy Leverage informal seed systems Build farmers’ capacity to select, produce quality seed through project support Leverage farmer collective action, social networks to disseminate seeds and traits Concentrate public investment in breeding and extension Limit focus on varietal registration, seed certification, IP protection Ex: Sub-Saharan Africa: cassava, sweet potato, banana
  10. Introduction Design principles Policy options Conclusion Annexes “Formalize the Informal” strategy Regulate all seeds and traits in the system Maintain control over varietal registration and release Enforce quality assurance with strict inspection systems Encourage private investment with IP protections Discourage farmer production and marketing of seed Ex: Kenya: potato; Zambia: maize
  11. Introduction Design principles Policy options Conclusion Annexes “Formalize Where it Matters Most” strategy Regulate strategically Require varietal testing for strategic crops only Certify early generation seed only Allow farmers to produce and sell seed Introduce lower quality standards for farmer-produced seed Encourage private investment in commercial seed Ex: Pakistan, Ethiopia: wheat; Vietnam: cassava
  12. Introduction Design principles Policy options Conclusion Annexes “Focus on Commercial Potential” strategy Foster private sector-led growth of seed markets Allow for automatic/voluntary variety registration Allow for truthful seed labeling, not formal certification Enforce plant breeders rights and IP protections Encourage investment in breeding, production, marketing Let farmers respond to market signals Ex: Bangladesh: hybrid rice; Zambia: Hybrid maize
  13. Introduction Design principles Policy options Conclusion Annexes “Farmer Self-Regulation” strategy Encourage farmer-led development of seed markets Finance crop breeding through levies and contributions Encourage seed production and marketing through farmer-based organizations Rely on collective action/self-regulation to assure quality Invest in social organization, cooperative management, technical training Ex: US, Europe: wheat, potato
  14. Introduction Design principles Policy options Conclusion Annexes Crop and country matter
  15. Introduction Design principles Policy options Conclusion Annexes Political economy and policy processes matter How does a country navigate the policy change process? Consider... Where the change process occurs (centrally, locally) Roles, interests, and power of key actors Complementary investments in hard/soft infrastructure needed Technical, organizational and regulatory capacities required
  16. Introduction Design principles Policy options Conclusion Annexes Conclusion 1 No easy answers, no silver bullets 2 Lots of experience and more questions 3 More structure to our thinking: a clearer narrative 4 Urgent need for evidence on “what works” in seed policy
  17. Introduction Design principles Policy options Conclusion Annexes Questions, comments? Thank you d.spielman@cgiar.org
  18. Introduction Design principles Policy options Conclusion Annexes Acknowledgments This presentation was prepared with generous support from the CGIAR Research Program on Policies, Institutions, and Markets (PIM). The presentation also draws on prior work conducted under the Cereal Systems Initiative for South Asia (CSISA) and supported from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (BMGF) and U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID); and under the Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System in Asia (ReSAKSS-Asia), supported by USAID. Helpful insights were provided by Alan Rennison, Gary Atlin, and Tony Cavalieri at the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; Melinda Smale and Mywish Maredia at Michigan State University; Olaf Erenstein and Mariane B¨anziger at the International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT); Guy Hareau and Margaret McEwan at the International Potato Center (CIP) and the CGIAR Research Program on Roots, Tubers, and Bananas; Adam Kennedy and Todd Benson at IFPRI; Ahsan Rana at the Lahore School of Management Sciences; and Rob Tripp. Any and all errors are the sole responsibility of the presenter.
  19. Introduction Design principles Policy options Conclusion Annexes References & suggested reading 1 Kloppenburg, J. 1988. First the Seed. The Political Economy of Plant Biotechnology 1492–2000. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press. 2 Lipper, L., C.L. Anderson, C.L., and T.J. Dalton. 2010. Seed Trade in Rural Markets: Implications for Crop Diversity and Agricultural Development. London: FAO and Earthscan. 3 Louwaars, N., and W. de Boef. 2012. Integrated seed sector development in Africa: a conceptual framework for creating coherence between practices, programs, and policies. Journal of Crop Improvement 26: 39–59. 4 Spielman, D.J., and M. Smale. 2017. Policy Options to Accelerate Varietal Change among Smallholder Farmers in South Asia and Africa South of the Sahara. IFPRI Discussion Paper 01666. Washington, DC: IFPRI. 5 Spielman, D.J., and A. Kennedy. 2016. Towards better metrics and policymaking for seed system development: Insights from Asia’s seed industry. Agricultural Systems 147: 111–122. 6 Tripp, R., 1997. New Seed and Old Laws: Regulatory Reform and the Diversification of National Seed Systems. London: Intermediate Technology Publications. 7 Tripp, R., and N. Louwaars. 1997. Seed regulation: choices on the road to reform. Food Policy 22(5), 433–446. 8 World Bank Group. 2017. Enabling the Business of Agriculture. http://eba.worldbank.org/.
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