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VALUING IP IN THE CHEMICAL SPACE – SCIENCE, ART AND SPECIAL CONSIDERATIONS 
Bob Stembridge 
Customer Relations Manager Thomson Reuters 
13th October 2014 
REUTERS/Nikola Solic
AGENDA 
•The importance & value of IP 
•How IP can be exploited 
•Valuation of IP 
–Quantitative 
–Qualitative 
•Information to support valuation 
•Case study
THE IMPORTANCE OF IP 
•Protection for innovation 
•Various types 
–Copyright© 
–Designs 
–Trademarks®, Service marksSM 
–Patents 
•Utility, design, petit.. 
•Can be bought, sold, licensed etc… 
3
VALUE OF INTANGIBLE ASSETS 
4 
after Ocean Tomo
THE VALUE OF PATENTS 
Research & Innovation 
Application & Prosecution 
Maintenance & Monitoring 
Licensing & 
Commercialization 
Protection & 
Assertion 
COMMERCIAL RETURN ON INVESTMENT 
A patent is a contract between the state and an individual whereby the state grants monopoly rights to the individual to exploit their invention in return for which the individual provides full disclosure of the invention 
5
HOW CAN IP VALUE BE EXPLOITED? 
•Direct 
–Licensing agreements 
–Sale 
–Investment collateral 
–Infringement damages 
•Indirect 
–Joint ventures 
–Partnerships 
–Spin offs 
6
WHAT MAKES VALUABLE IP? 
•Gateway technology (standard essential patents) 
•Disruptive technology – e.g. Digital photography 
•High value and/or global markets 
•Solutions to important unsolved problems 
7
QUANTITATIVE METHODS FOR VALUATION 
1.Cost-based method 
2.Market-based method 
3.Income-based method 
4.Option-based method 
8
COST-BASED VALUATION 
•Based on direct relation between costs of development of the IP and its economic value 
•Two key methods: 
–Reproduction cost method: estimates of costs to reproduce IP through purchase or development 
–Replacement cost method: estimate of costs to obtain equivalent IP asset 
•Costs considered: 
–a) Direct expenditures, such as costs of materials, labour and management 
–b) Opportunity costs, relating to the lost profits due to delays in market entrance or lost investment opportunities 
9
MARKET-BASED VALUATION 
•Based on estimation of value of similar market transactions (e.g. similar licence agreements) 
•Comparison is performed in terms of utility, technological specificity and property 
•Comparable transactions may be recorded in 
–company annual reports; 
–specialised online databases; 
–publications dedicated to licensing and royalties; 
–court decisions concerning damages 
10
INCOME-BASED VALUATION 
•Based on the existing or expected income flow of the IP asset 
•A discount factor is applied to the estimated income to adjust it to present circumstances 
–Discounted cash flow method 
–Relief from royalty method 
11
OPTION-BASED VALUATION 
•Based on options and opportunities related to the investment 
•Reliant on option pricing models (e.g. Black- Scholes) for stock options to achieve a valuation of a given IP asset 
12
QUALITATIVE EVALUATION 
•Valuation through analysis of different indicators to determine the importance of the IP asset 
•Valuation indicators include: 
–Technology level of the innovation 
–Competition activity in the innovation space 
–Market for the innovation 
–Legal aspects (validity, remaining term) 
13
INFORMATION TO SUPPORT VALUATION 
•Technology landscape 
•Competitive landscape 
•Market landscape 
•Strength of IP 
–Maintenance status 
–Remaining protection time 
–Likely validity 
–Technological importance (impact) 
14
INFORMATION SOURCES, TOOLS AND SERVICES TO SUPPORT VALUATION 
•Derwent World Patents Index® (DWPI) 
•Thomson Innovation 
•Trademark.com® 
•SAEGIS 
•File Histories 
•Thomson IP ManagerSM 
•IP Search Services 
•IP Translation Services 
15
THOMSON INNOVATION: THE NEW STANDARD IN IP RESEARCH 
16 
Patent Search: Access the most relevant and comprehensive, global IP data, including the Derwent World Patents Index®, Asia-Pacific patents and Scientific Literature. 
Streamline your work with powerful productivity and collaboration tools. 
Patent Analysis: Turn large volumes of data into actionable intelligence with interactive analysis and visualization tools.
THE THEMESCAPE ANALYTICAL AND VISUALIZATION TOOL 
17 
ThemeScape Map 
• Integrates data from multiple patent records in a visual form 
• Uncover relationships between patent documents and helps focus on related technology in a crowded space 
ThemeScape Map allows you to understand quickly the patent landscape and market dynamics
MAPPING IP TO THE INNOVATION SPACE 
•ThemeScape Map can be used to support IP valuation through: 
–Technology landscape: understand how patents fit in the overall technology landscape and identify dependencies 
–Competitive landscape: compare IP position in the landscape relative to competitors to identify threats/opportunities 
•Thomson Innovation can be used to support IP valuation through: 
–Market landscape: determine potential market size 
–Legal considerations: claims scope, citation impact 
18
CASE STUDY 
19
VALSARTAN 
20
MAJOR PLAYERS 
21
TECHNOLOGY LANDSCAPE 
22 
Key Novartis technology links to other areas
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE 
23 
Major competitors in the Valsartan space
MARKET LANDSCAPE 
24
MARKET LANDSCAPE 
25
MARKET LANDSCAPE 
26
MARKET LANDSCAPE 
27
LEGAL CONSIDERATIONS 
•Strength of IP 
–Maintenance status 
–Remaining protection time 
–Likely validity 
–Technological importance (impact) 
28
MAINTENANCE STATUS/REMAINING TERM 
29 
1 
2 
3 
3 
3 
4 
US Patent term normally 20 years from date of filing 
1: Filing date 2: Grant date 3: Maintenance fees 4: Patent expiry 
1 
2 
3 
4
LIKELY VALIDITY 
30 
Original claims
LIKELY VALIDITY 
31 
Patent office examination finds novelty destroying prior art
LIKELY VALIDITY 
32 
Modified claims of granted patent
TECHNOLOGICAL IMPORTANCE (IMPACT) 
33
VALUE OF NOVARTIS VALSARTAN PATENTS 
34
SPECIAL CONSIDERATIONS 
•Given high failure rate, early stage licensing is high risk, therefore lower value 
•To bolster value, product on offer should form part of a strong portfolio 
–Patents should cover broad chemistry space and sizeable market 
–Patents surrounding core technology are useful to ring fence the core offering – novel molecules, synthesis, compositions, method of treatment, administration routes etc. 
–Patents should be valid and in force in anticipated markets of interest 
35
CONCLUSIONS 
•The value of IP can be realised through licensing or sale, as investment collateral, or as the basis of joint ventures, partnerships or spin-offs 
•IP valuation is a mixture of science and art 
•Quantitative methods exist to help put a dollar value on the IP 
•True value lies in how important the IP is, how dependent other technologies are, the market the IP addresses, what the competition are doing in the IP space and how strong the IP is 
•Reliable information sources, tools and services are critical in determining the status of IP and its value 
36
THANK YOU! 
bob.stembridge@thomsonreuters.com

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ICIC 2014 Valuing IP in the Chemical Space – Science, Art and Special Considerations

  • 1. VALUING IP IN THE CHEMICAL SPACE – SCIENCE, ART AND SPECIAL CONSIDERATIONS Bob Stembridge Customer Relations Manager Thomson Reuters 13th October 2014 REUTERS/Nikola Solic
  • 2. AGENDA •The importance & value of IP •How IP can be exploited •Valuation of IP –Quantitative –Qualitative •Information to support valuation •Case study
  • 3. THE IMPORTANCE OF IP •Protection for innovation •Various types –Copyright© –Designs –Trademarks®, Service marksSM –Patents •Utility, design, petit.. •Can be bought, sold, licensed etc… 3
  • 4. VALUE OF INTANGIBLE ASSETS 4 after Ocean Tomo
  • 5. THE VALUE OF PATENTS Research & Innovation Application & Prosecution Maintenance & Monitoring Licensing & Commercialization Protection & Assertion COMMERCIAL RETURN ON INVESTMENT A patent is a contract between the state and an individual whereby the state grants monopoly rights to the individual to exploit their invention in return for which the individual provides full disclosure of the invention 5
  • 6. HOW CAN IP VALUE BE EXPLOITED? •Direct –Licensing agreements –Sale –Investment collateral –Infringement damages •Indirect –Joint ventures –Partnerships –Spin offs 6
  • 7. WHAT MAKES VALUABLE IP? •Gateway technology (standard essential patents) •Disruptive technology – e.g. Digital photography •High value and/or global markets •Solutions to important unsolved problems 7
  • 8. QUANTITATIVE METHODS FOR VALUATION 1.Cost-based method 2.Market-based method 3.Income-based method 4.Option-based method 8
  • 9. COST-BASED VALUATION •Based on direct relation between costs of development of the IP and its economic value •Two key methods: –Reproduction cost method: estimates of costs to reproduce IP through purchase or development –Replacement cost method: estimate of costs to obtain equivalent IP asset •Costs considered: –a) Direct expenditures, such as costs of materials, labour and management –b) Opportunity costs, relating to the lost profits due to delays in market entrance or lost investment opportunities 9
  • 10. MARKET-BASED VALUATION •Based on estimation of value of similar market transactions (e.g. similar licence agreements) •Comparison is performed in terms of utility, technological specificity and property •Comparable transactions may be recorded in –company annual reports; –specialised online databases; –publications dedicated to licensing and royalties; –court decisions concerning damages 10
  • 11. INCOME-BASED VALUATION •Based on the existing or expected income flow of the IP asset •A discount factor is applied to the estimated income to adjust it to present circumstances –Discounted cash flow method –Relief from royalty method 11
  • 12. OPTION-BASED VALUATION •Based on options and opportunities related to the investment •Reliant on option pricing models (e.g. Black- Scholes) for stock options to achieve a valuation of a given IP asset 12
  • 13. QUALITATIVE EVALUATION •Valuation through analysis of different indicators to determine the importance of the IP asset •Valuation indicators include: –Technology level of the innovation –Competition activity in the innovation space –Market for the innovation –Legal aspects (validity, remaining term) 13
  • 14. INFORMATION TO SUPPORT VALUATION •Technology landscape •Competitive landscape •Market landscape •Strength of IP –Maintenance status –Remaining protection time –Likely validity –Technological importance (impact) 14
  • 15. INFORMATION SOURCES, TOOLS AND SERVICES TO SUPPORT VALUATION •Derwent World Patents Index® (DWPI) •Thomson Innovation •Trademark.com® •SAEGIS •File Histories •Thomson IP ManagerSM •IP Search Services •IP Translation Services 15
  • 16. THOMSON INNOVATION: THE NEW STANDARD IN IP RESEARCH 16 Patent Search: Access the most relevant and comprehensive, global IP data, including the Derwent World Patents Index®, Asia-Pacific patents and Scientific Literature. Streamline your work with powerful productivity and collaboration tools. Patent Analysis: Turn large volumes of data into actionable intelligence with interactive analysis and visualization tools.
  • 17. THE THEMESCAPE ANALYTICAL AND VISUALIZATION TOOL 17 ThemeScape Map • Integrates data from multiple patent records in a visual form • Uncover relationships between patent documents and helps focus on related technology in a crowded space ThemeScape Map allows you to understand quickly the patent landscape and market dynamics
  • 18. MAPPING IP TO THE INNOVATION SPACE •ThemeScape Map can be used to support IP valuation through: –Technology landscape: understand how patents fit in the overall technology landscape and identify dependencies –Competitive landscape: compare IP position in the landscape relative to competitors to identify threats/opportunities •Thomson Innovation can be used to support IP valuation through: –Market landscape: determine potential market size –Legal considerations: claims scope, citation impact 18
  • 22. TECHNOLOGY LANDSCAPE 22 Key Novartis technology links to other areas
  • 23. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE 23 Major competitors in the Valsartan space
  • 28. LEGAL CONSIDERATIONS •Strength of IP –Maintenance status –Remaining protection time –Likely validity –Technological importance (impact) 28
  • 29. MAINTENANCE STATUS/REMAINING TERM 29 1 2 3 3 3 4 US Patent term normally 20 years from date of filing 1: Filing date 2: Grant date 3: Maintenance fees 4: Patent expiry 1 2 3 4
  • 30. LIKELY VALIDITY 30 Original claims
  • 31. LIKELY VALIDITY 31 Patent office examination finds novelty destroying prior art
  • 32. LIKELY VALIDITY 32 Modified claims of granted patent
  • 34. VALUE OF NOVARTIS VALSARTAN PATENTS 34
  • 35. SPECIAL CONSIDERATIONS •Given high failure rate, early stage licensing is high risk, therefore lower value •To bolster value, product on offer should form part of a strong portfolio –Patents should cover broad chemistry space and sizeable market –Patents surrounding core technology are useful to ring fence the core offering – novel molecules, synthesis, compositions, method of treatment, administration routes etc. –Patents should be valid and in force in anticipated markets of interest 35
  • 36. CONCLUSIONS •The value of IP can be realised through licensing or sale, as investment collateral, or as the basis of joint ventures, partnerships or spin-offs •IP valuation is a mixture of science and art •Quantitative methods exist to help put a dollar value on the IP •True value lies in how important the IP is, how dependent other technologies are, the market the IP addresses, what the competition are doing in the IP space and how strong the IP is •Reliable information sources, tools and services are critical in determining the status of IP and its value 36