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Where is the smart money going in
Food & Beverage?
Foreword
                                             In the face of continuing economic difficulties and a protracted recovery from the downturn,
                                             conditions in the food and beverage (F&B) sector in the UK and Ireland continue to be challenging                                             Trefor Griffith                      Ciara Jackson
                                                                                                                                                                                           Head of Food & Beverage, UK          Head of Food & Beverage, Ireland
                                             and in many cases trading is flat. Acquisitive corporates are seeing Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A)
                                             as a way of acquiring skills and products and removing costs as a route to growth. Private Equity (PE)
                                             investors are seeing opportunities to benefit from the changing dynamics of the sector.

                                             To better understand what is driving investors to get                                                                                         Our research suggests the time is ripe for M&A activity.
                                             involved in the F&B market, Grant Thornton has                                                                                                While some businesses might still be feeling the pressure,
                                                                                                                                     The key findings from the research are:
                                             commissioned a research project to assess the views of                                                                                        many others have reacted to the downturn by tightening
                                             senior representatives from PE houses and companies                                     • 80% of PE houses plan to do some form of M&A        their processes. This philosophy of streamlining is
                                             currently investing in the F&B sector across the UK                                       activity in the F&B sector in the next 12 months.   reaping benefits as businesses focus on embedding
                                             and Ireland. We would like to thank them sincerely for                                  • Acquisition of brands is a route to new products    on-going innovation into their organisational culture
                                             their invaluable assistance with this project.                                            and markets for investors.                          in order to deliver from a lower and more productive
                                                 In Ireland, the F&B sector is the biggest indigenous                                • M&A activity is defensive rather than offensive.
                                                                                                                                                                                           cost base. Strategies such as re-engineering products,
                                             export sector, tipping the €9 billion mark in 2011.                                                                                           removing waste and cutting out non-value-adding
                                                                                                                                     • Innovation, Research and Development (R&D)
Contents                                     Ireland, with its population of 4.6 million, produces                                                                                         activities are all having an impact. These leaner, battle
                                                                                                                                       and New Product Development (NPD) are key
                                             enough food to feed 36 million people. UK F&B                                             to stability and growth.                            hardened businesses need to push on now and the M&A
Foreword                                1    (non alcoholic) exports increased in 2011 by 11.4% to                                                                                         markets at home and abroad are the next logical step.
                                                                                                                                     • There is a huge opportunity waiting to be
UK and Ireland Food & Beverage review   2    just over £12 billion¹. In both countries ambitious F&B                                                                                           At the same time PE houses are awash with unspent
                                                                                                                                       seized in growth markets.
Investor predictions                    6    growth targets have been set. In Ireland the government                                                                                       capital and are keen to deploy this to companies that
                                             set a target of 42% growth in exports by 2020². In the                                  • Mid market PE is mainly focused on niche            can offer growth, security and sustainability in these
Drivers of growth                       8                                                                                              innovative businesses.
                                             UK the Food and Drink Federation (FDF) have set a                                                                                             uncertain times. Although the incentives to buy among
Consumer trends                         12                                                                                           • Corporate acquirers are also keen to add to their
                                             target of 20% for overall sector growth. Given these                                                                                          both camps are different, the recent statistics and the
                                                                                                                                       offering, as well as consolidating operations and
Consolidation                           14   targets, future wars may not be fought on battlefields.                                   reducing costs.                                     forward looking predictions suggest that M&A activity
                                             As the global population continues to grow, demand for                                                                                        in the F&B sector is set to rise further, irrespective of
Access to finance                       16
                                             food is increasing, consumer preferences are changing                                                                                         the global economic worries.
Conclusion                              18   and people are living longer, therefore the battles may
About us                                19   well become economic.
Contact us                              20
                                             ¹ UK Food & Drink performance – Full year 2011 (FDF)
                                             ² Food Harvest 2020 – A vision for Irish agri-food and fisheries. Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food

                                                                                                                                                                                                         Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage?        1
UK and Ireland Food & Beverage review
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Trefor Griffith
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Head of Food     CASE
  Before looking ahead to the prospects for 2012                                                            2009 saw M&A deal volume and value in the F&B sector
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      & Beverage,     STUDY                                                           Announced PE activity in the F&B sector, 2007-2011                                                          Examples of PE backed deals include:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Grant Thornton
  and beyond, it is worth casting an eye back                                                               fall to its lowest point in some time. Since then volume                                                       UK                                                                                    35                                                            4                                  •	 Blackstone’s acquisition of Tangerine Confectionery
  over M&A activity in the sector over the last                                                             has been climbing steadily buoyed by restructuring and                                                                                                                                               30                                                            3.5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     for a reported £124 million which then acquired




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Value of deals (£ billion)
  five years.                                                                                               consolidation as businesses seek to strip out dead weight        “A large proportion of the recent transactions were                                                                                 25
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     the Wham and Highland Toffee brands from
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Hain Celestial acquired Daniel’s Group from




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  No. of deals
                                                                                                            and operate in a more efficient way.                             driven by the need to consolidate supply channels                                                                                   20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2.5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Millar McCowan.
                                                                                                                                                                             and diversify customer bases. The current market         SATS (Ltd)
                                                                                                                 In 2011 overall M&A deal numbers rose 22% on                                                                                                                                                    15
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  •	 Exponent Private Equity and Intermediate Capital’s
  M&A activity in the F&B sector, 2007-2011
                                                                                                                                                                             conditions and pressures from customers are forcing      The acquisition has enabled Hain to expand its existing
                                                                                                            the previous year reaching almost pre-recession levels.                                                                                                                                                                                                            1.5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     acquisition of Marlow Foods which produces Quorn
                                                                                                                                                                             food manufacturers to think about cost control and       UK portfolio, bolting on strong brands that complement                     10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               1
                                                                                                            Deal value totalled £4.7 billion in 2011. This was               reduction as well as effective pricing to maintain                                                                                                                                                                                      and Cauldron, the meat-free businesses which were
               180                                                        18                                                                                                                                                          its current offering. New Covent Garden Soup Co. and                        5                                                            0.5
                                                                                                            down 71% on 2010 value, due to Kraft’s acquisition               margins. Companies can achieve economies of scale        Johnson’s Juice sit well alongside Hain’s Daily Bread
               160                                                        16                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         owned by Premier Foods.
                                                                                                            of Cadbury’s for £11.9 billion. If the Kraft deal was            through M&A which can then be used to improve control                                                                                0                                                            0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      (which it acquired in April 2004). The chilled foods to
                                                                               Value of deals (£ billion)



               140                                                        14
                                                                                                                                                                             of the distribution process and to expand scale                                                                                                                                                                                      •	 Change Capital made an investment in McDuff,




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2007




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2008




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2009




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2010




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2011
               120                                                        12                                removed from the equation, deal value in 2011 would be           and reach.”                                              go offering and its International Cuisine, ready meals
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     a Scottish seafood business. Its stated intention was
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      business are a good fit with the Linda McCartney meal
No. of deals




               100                                                        10                                up 6.7% on 2010, a steady improvement since 2009 but                                                                                                                                                             No. of deals                                                                            to inject capital to accelerate growth and potentially
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      range and all products slot comfortably within Hain’s                                  Value of deals (£ billion)
                80                                                        8                                 still substantially below the £14 billion+ levels witnessed                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              move into new geographies.
                60                                                        6
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      strong healthy eating offering, which is currently a
                                                                                                            in 2007.                                                      •	 Greencore’s acquisition of Uniq, the chilled and         highly attractive sector.                                                                                                                                                   •	 Piper sold Bottlegreen to SHS Group in 2011 having
                40                                                        4                                                                                                                                                                                                                         The sector has also suffered from a substantial reduction
                                                                                                                 This steady rise in annual deal value can in part be        frozen food producer for the own label market.                                                                                                                                                                                          invested in the company in 2007. It was reported they
                20                                                        2                                                                                                                                                           In acquiring Daniels, Hain has also consciously moved         in PE investment. Since 2007, when 32 PE-backed deals
                                                                                                            attributed to the activity amongst the large manufacturers       Greencore paid in the region of £113 million.            to broaden its geographic presence. Hain now has a                                                                                                                             made 5x money.
                 0                                                        0                                                                                                                                                                                                                         were completed, deal numbers have remained relatively
                                                                                                            that has taken place in 2011, which included:                 •	 Hain Celestial’s acquisition of Daniels Group from       presence in seven countries, up from three countries
                      2007




                                     2008




                                                     2009




                                                            2010




                                                                   2011




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    low.                                                                                                          •	 Bridgepoint backed Symington’s acquired the
                                                                                                                                                                             SATS (Ltd). This included New Covent Garden Soup         at the end of 2010, and their intention is to continue to
                                                                                                            •	 Kerry Group’s acquisition of the UK flavour                                                                                                                                              The discrepancy in deal volume vs. deal value is due                                                         ‘Chicken Tonight’ and ‘Ragu’ ambient sauce brands
                             No. of deals
                                                                                                                                                                             Co, Johnson Juices and also hot pudding company          make global acquisitions, looking at Asia, Australia
                             Value of deals (£ billion)                                                        technology business of US F&B giant, Cargill, Cargill                                                                  and the Middle East as well as Europe and the US.             to economic conditions preventing opportunities for                                                              from Unilever.
                                                                                                                                                                             Farmhouse Fare. Hain are believed to have paid                                                                                                                                                                                       •	 Risk Capital invested in Bread, a London based
                                                                                                               Flavor Systems (UK). Kerry are believed to have paid                                                                   This strategy is being adopted by many of the larger          investors to get a lot more for a lot less. The trend of
                                                                                                                                                                             around £142 million for the company.                     corporates in order to spread their exposure to                                                                                                                                specialist bakery.
                                                                                                               around £146 million for the company.                                                                                                                                                 consolidation means companies are more likely to offload
 The rise and fall of M&A trends over this period                                                                                                                         •	 Premier Foods sold four Irish brands (including          fluctuating exchange rates and commodity prices
                                                                                                            •	 Ranjit Boparan’s BH Acquisitions paid a reported                                                                                                                                     parts of their business or brands that are not yielding                                                       •	 Manfield Partners’ acquisition of MCM Foods,
 demonstrates the context in which businesses today                                                                                                                          Chivers preserves, Erin’s soup brands, Gateaux           as well as rationalising distribution networks.
                                                                                                               £342 million for Northern Foods which included                                                                                                                                       high returns which represents a great opportunity for                                                            a canned fish and fruit supplier.
 and in the future will have to operate in order to grow.                                                                                                                    ambient cakes and McDonnells dried noodles)
                                                                                                               bakery, chilled and frozen foods, own label foods and                                                                                                                                savvy PE buyers.
 Between 2008 – 2009 tough economic conditions forced                                                                                                                        to Boyne Valley. Boyne Valley were reported to
                                                                                                               also the Fox’s biscuit brand and the Goodfella’s and
 a steep decline in M&A activity. In the UK and Ireland,                                                                                                                     have paid £34.5 million.
                                                                                                               San Marco frozen pizza brands.




 2	            Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage?                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         	 Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage?	   3
Confectionery                                                     Dairy



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Acquisition activity in the confectionery sector has risen
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Ciara Jackson    steadily in the last few years as cash rich backers hit the   The dairy sector has (and will continue to be) an area
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Head of Food    market looking to acquire ‘heritage’ brands. In July 2011     of activity. On the one hand acquisitions of branded
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     & Beverage,                                                                   dairy products will continue as large corporates seek to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Blackstone acquired Tangerine Confectionery and followed
   Among the F&B sub-sectors, the main volume                                                                                                                                                                                       Grant Thornton                                                                 bolt on to their existing portfolio of brands. And on the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     this up in September 2011 with the acquisition of the                                                                              Alcoholic Beverages
   areas of Meat, Fish and Poultry, Dry Groceries                                                                                                                                                                                       Ireland                                                                    other hand it is anticipated that commodity prices will
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Wham and Highland Toffee brands from Millar McCowan
   and Alcoholic Beverages fared relatively well,                                                                                                                                                                                                    and in January 2012 with the acquisition of York Fruits       continue to squeeze the liquid milk industry, creating
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     and Smith Kendon, both of which they have bolted onto         more consolidation opportunity for the few larger
   with modest growth in the last couple of years.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 players that remain in liquid milk. This is evidenced by
                                                                                         “With EU milk quotas ending in 2015, Ireland’s milk output is expected to increase by 50%. The large Irish corporates                                       the Tangerine portfolio. Zetar has also continued its push                                                                  Deal activity in alcoholic beverages remained strong
   More robust growth was seen in the Bakery,                                            are working hard to position themselves to capitalise on this, with Glanbia investing in new plant and Kerry acquiring                                      into the UK confectionery market as has Glisten (via its      the administration of Farmright (Quadra Foods) and            in 2010 and 2011 with branded players selling off
   Confectionery,	and	Frozen	Foods	segments.	                                            Newmarket’s liquid milk business. Danone have invested €50m in a new plant to expand capacity to produce infant formula.                                    parent Raisio). This is a sector that is backed by PE and     Rock Farm Dairies this year as well as Müller acquiring       non core assets to competitors – such as Heineken
                                                                                         Ireland currently supplies 16% of the world supply of infant formula. Demand in China alone for infant formula is growing at                                large foreign conglomerates, all with money to spend          Wiseman Dairies and Connaught Gold acquiring Donegal          selling off its Youngers and McEwan’s brands to Wells
                                                                                         an estimated rate of 20% per annum.”                                                                                                                        on building their portfolios. This is supported by our        Creameries liquid milk business. For dairy products there     & Young in October. Conditions have remained difficult
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     research, which underpins the importance from a buyer’s       was Uniq’s acquisition by Greencore, and the acquisition      due to commodity prices and the reduction in consumer
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     perspective of strong and performing brands.                  of Rachel’s by Lactalis in May 2010.                          pub spend. In reaction to this the larger brewers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 have targeted smaller specialist players to enhance
                             UK and Ireland M&A activity by F&B subsector, 2007-2011                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             differentiation and innovation in their portfolios.
               40                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                An example of such activity is the acquisition of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Sharp’s brewery by Molson Coors in February 2011.
               35                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Dry Grocery                                          Meat, Fish & Poultry                             The recent UK budget has provided no comfort to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 brewers as beer duty has been raised and large drinks
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 companies will continue to seek acquisitions in order
               30
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 to build their geographic footprint within the UK (and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Activity in this sector has been steadily rising over the    Activity in the sector has made a recovery since 2009,        beyond) and diversify their offering. It is anticipated that
               25
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      last couple of years as corporates seek to acquire           with activity on the rise again. Here we have seen            this trend will continue into 2012.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      brands to bolt on to their portfolios thus reducing          companies acquire in order to consolidate their supply        In Ireland, pubs have experienced a sharp decline
No. of deals




               20                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  chain (such as Morrison’s acquiring supplier, Farmer’s
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      expense on Innovation and R&D. They are choosing                                                                           in trade, and as a result there is an expectation that
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2007        instead to mix NPD with brand extension and brand            Boy) or to enable diversification into aligned product        this sub-sector is ripe for consolidation. Many pubs
               15                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     reinvention. For example the acquisitions of Unilever’s      offering, such as ABP acquiring RWM Group in order            are individually owned, but we believe it’s likely that a
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2008        Ragu and Chicken Tonight brands by Symington’s,              to enhance its lamb processing capability. Ireland            number of ‘super pub’ groups will emerge.
               10                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Kellogg’s acquisition of the household brand ‘Pringles’      exports 90% of its beef almost exclusively to the EU.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2009                                                                                                                                   Demand for Irish whisky is growing at a rapid rate
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      from Procter & Gamble, Boyne Valley’s acquisition of         There is speculation in Ireland that America will ‘re-open’
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 (11.5% in 2011), and the large players are positioning
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Premier Foods four Irish brands and Baxters acquisition      for trading of Irish beef. This is a huge opportunity
                5                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2010                                                                                                                                   themselves well to capitalise on this opportunity.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      of Fray Bentos (from Princes).                               for the sector, and there is strong demand for grass
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jim Beam acquired Cooley Distillery for a reported
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   fed premium quality beef. On the flip side changing
               0                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2011                                                                                                                                   consideration of $95 million. Meanwhile, Irish Distillers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   consumer demand in the emerging economies is pushing
                                             es        ry                  ry      iry
                                                                                             De
                                                                                               li                    ry                     ds
                                                                                                                                                             Ve
                                                                                                                                                                g             al                              ry               ks                                                                                                                                                Pernod Ricard are due to invest $100 million on its
                                        r ag        ke                  ne      Da                                ce                     oo                              tion                             ult              rin                                                                                     up the price of meat and making it more difficult for
                                     ve           Ba               ct
                                                                     io
                                                                                                               Gr
                                                                                                                 o                      F                &
                                                                                                                                                                      nc                                Po                D                                                                                                                                                      whisky distillery in Cork in 2012.
                                   Be                           fe                                                                 en              uit              Fu                              &                ft
                                                               n                                         Dr
                                                                                                           y
                                                                                                                                 oz              Fr                                             h                  So                                                                                              some corporates operating in this space.
                           ol
                              ic                            Co                                                                 Fr                                                           Fis
                         h                                                                                                                                                             t,
                      co                                                                                                                                                            ea
                    Al                                                                                                                                                             M
                                                                                                               F&B subsector




  4             Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage?                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage?      5
Investor predictions
                                                          Corporate prediction of investment in the F&B sector   Our research indicates that 46% of corporates predict          Financial buyers warm to a resilient sector                    PE prediction of levels of investment in the F&B sector   Does your firm plan to make an investment in the F&B sector
                                                          over the next 12 months                                                                                               PE investors do not expect to see a huge amount of             over the next 12 months                                   over the next 12 months?
                                                                                                                 that investment in the F&B sector will increase in 2012.
                                                                                                                 Activity in the early half of the year suggests that this is   change in the levels of investment over the next year.
                                                                                                                 accurate. For example:                                         Just 5% of PE investors surveyed expected activity to
  What are                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Yes

                                                                                                                 •	 Kellogg’s bought Pringles from Procter & Gamble             increase significantly. This is in line with relatively flat
  investors                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                No

                                                                                                                    after Diamond Foods pulled out of the acquisition due       investment trends post-recession. The deterioration in the
looking for?                                                                                                                                                                    banking environment has hit the PE community harder
                                                                                                                    to funding problems.                                                                                                                                                                               18%
                                                                                                                 •	 Robert Wiseman was acquired by Müller.                      than the corporate buyers who often fund M&A deals
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          5%   5%
                                                                                                                 •	 Wessanen acquired Clipper Teas.                             directly from their balance sheets.
                                                                                    23%          23%                                                                                Despite this conservative view of future funding, over
      Our research shows that PE houses value                                                                    80% of corporate respondents believe growth will be
      innovative businesses offering niche services                                                                                                                             80% of the PE investors interviewed did have plans to
                                                                                                                 driven by acquisition, a higher proportion than amongst
      which do not depend entirely on the multiple                                                                                                                              invest in the F&B sector in the next 12 months.                                     27%                     27%
                                                                                                                 financial buyers. In days gone by this may have been a
      retailers to survive. The corporate acquirers we                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               82%
      spoke to value niche offerings, innovation and                                                             sign that the sector was showing aggressive expansionary
      R&D just as highly but they are further looking                                                            tendencies, in today’s market it is more of an indication
      for businesses with a capacity for overseas                                                                that the industry is adapting to survive.
      expansion or to acquire strong consumer                                                                        It is clear that a lot of M&A activity is still being
      brands to add to their stable.                                                                 23%                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Trefor Griffith
                                                                                    31%                          driven by the continued trend for restructuring and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Head of Food
                                                                                                                 consolidation but realistically the high volume, low value                                                                                                 36%                                                                         & Beverage,
                                                                                                                 of these deals is likely to continue. 31% of our corporate                                                                                                                                                                            Grant Thornton
                                                                                                                                                                                        At Grant Thornton, we
                                                                                                                 respondents believe that nothing will change at all,                                                                                                                                                                                        UK
                                                                                                                                                                                       believe that this sentiment
                                                                                                                 whilst 23% think investment will in fact decrease.
                                                                                                                                                                                       is probably an indication
                                                                                                                 The fact that our respondents’ opinions are so evenly
                                                                                                                                                                                       of the strength, safety and                                                                                           “Only 5% of PE investors expect a significant increase
                                                                                                                 divided demonstrates not only the uncertainty driven by                                                                                                                                     in levels of investment in the sector, yet 80% of those
                                                                                                                                                                                         potential of the sector.                               Increase significantly
                                                                                                                 current economic conditions but also the widely differing                                                                      Increase slightly
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             we spoke to plan to make an investment in 2012. It is
                                                           Increase significantly
                                                                                                                 opinions held by the broad spectrum of businesses within                                                                       Won’t change
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             difficult to see how these two positions reconcile but
                                                           Increase slightly
                                                           Won’t change                                          this sector.                                                                                                                   Decrease slightly                                            it is very encouraging to know that PE is committed to
                                                           Decrease slightly                                                                                                                                                                    Decrease significantly                                       further investment in the sector.”



6	   Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage?                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          	 Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage?	   7
Michael Neary
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Corporate Finance

Drivers of growth                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Partner,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Grant Thornton
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Ireland



What will be the main drivers of growth over the next                                    New Product Development                                                     However, whilst NPD is vital for survival it also                              Acquisitions                                                      “While many well capitalised businesses in the F&B
12 months?                                                                               It is clear from our research that both PE and corporate                                                                                                                                                                     sector are seeking to grow by acquisition, smaller less
                                                                                                                                                                     represents significant capital outlay in tough economic                        According to our research the second most popular
                                                                        PE View                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       well capitalised businesses may consider merging to
 Investment in skills base and staff        7%                                           respondents view NPD as the key driver of growth for                        times.	Consequently	some	businesses	have	acquired	                             driver of growth in the sector, as viewed by our
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      deliver operating synergies and improve performance.
                                                                                         the sector over the next 12 months, a view supported                        brands to bolt on to their existing portfolio with a view                      respondents, are acquisitions. The last Grant Thornton            In the market today, a key consideration for many F&B
Investment in plant and machinery           7%                                           in a recent Grant Thornton UK report commissioned                           to adding value to these brands rather than innovating                         IBR	report,	which	surveys	businesses	globally,	tells	a	           businesses is insulating themselves from commodity
                                                                                         by the Food & Drink Federation³ and in the Grant                            from scratch. This is evidenced by the acquisition of Fray                     less optimistic tale with only 17% seeing M&A as an               price fluctuations and we believe M&A can be a key
Expansion into overseas territories                 20%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      strategic tool in helping to achieve this objective.”
                                                                                         Thornton	International	Business	Report	(IBR)4. Product                      Bentos	by	Baxters	and	the	recent	activity	by	Symington’s	                      important area of focus (although this is increasing in
                                                                                         development	and	R&D	are	huge	differentiators	and	                           which	has	been	acquiring	brands	such	as	Chicken	                               many countries). The main driver of M&A activity
Investment in sales and marketing                   20%
                                                                                         important	factors	in	staying	competitive.	Consumer	                         Tonight	and	Ragu.	This	type	of	model	has	recently	                             among food businesses in the current market is the on-
        New Product Development                                               73%
                                                                                         tastes are changing and their time is becoming more                         proved very successful for businesses like Tangerine                           going process of consolidation, which will be discussed in
                                                                                         precious so the emphasis is now to develop new                                                                                                                                                                           over the coming year. Perhaps the only caveat is that
                                                                                                                                                                     and Big Bear.                                                                  more detail later. However, a good indicator of whether
                                                                                         functional and technical ingredients as well as products                                                                                                                                                                 obtaining these at the right price may yet be difficult as
                        Acquisition                                     60%                                                                                              Programmes such as the Manufacturing Advisory                              this appetite turns into significant activity may well come
                                                                                         that have health and nutritional benefits which will meet                                                                                                                                                                price expectations on the part of vendors have yet to fall
                                                                                                                                                                     Service (MAS), which Grant Thornton UK is delivering                           to light in 2012, with the much publicised sell-off of the
                                       0%     20%         40%         60%         80%
                                                                                         consumer needs.                                                                                                                                                                                                          to levels that fully reflect the market realities. One senior
                                                                                                                                                                     on behalf of the Department for Business, Innovation and                       non-core divisions of debt-laden Premier Foods. With
                                            Percentage of respondents                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Irish respondent explained, there have been relatively few
                                                                                                                                                                     Skills, are dedicated to helping manufacturers improve                         PE buyers likely to be among the most interested parties
                                                                Corporate view                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    ‘tail	brands’	(typically	the	large,	but	not	market-leading	
                                                                                                                                                                     any aspect of their manufacturing operations, processes,                       all eyes are on the process: if Premier succeeds in selling
 Investment in skills base and staff              20%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  brands) put on the block so far, but this might change
                                                                                                                                                                     production or materials technologies and can provide                           units off at attractive multiples it may encourage other
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  and these could represent attractive opportunities for
Investment in plant and machinery                   27%                                                                                                              welcome assistance to businesses looking to conduct                            trade vendors to test the water, thereby increasing the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  larger, well-funded UK corporates.
                                                                                                                                                                     NPD	or	R&D.	Similarly	in	Ireland	Bord	Bia,	Enterprise	                         flow of opportunities for financial bidders.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       However, as a number of interviewees stressed, speed
Expansion into overseas territories                     33%                                                                                                          Ireland and Teagasc all provide strong support for                                  Risk	management	and	mitigation	is	a	further	driver	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  is of the essence in this rapidly changing M&A landscape.
                                                                                                                                                                     F&B businesses.                                                                of M&A activity, as acquisitions can help reduce over
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  As one respondent explains: “The key to making the
Investment in sales and marketing                   27%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    dependency on any one customer and maximise potential
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  most of the opportunities in this environment is to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    buying power thus significantly helping to reduce risk.
        New Product Development                                               87%                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 be flexible and prepared to act quickly, both to seize
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Whatever the motivation, there appears to be real
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  opportunities when they arise and to axe things that
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    confidence among industry professionals that there
                        Acquisition                                         80%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  aren’t	working”5.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    will be a plentiful supply of acquisition opportunities
                                       0%   20%      40%        60%    80%        100%
                                            Percentage of respondents
                                                                                                 ³ Sustainable Growth in the Food and Drink Manufacturing Industry, 2011, Grant Thornton report commissioned by the Food and Drink Federation       5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        UK Food & Drink performance – Full year 2011 (FDF)
                                                                                                                       4
                                                                                                                         Managing	through	uncertainty:	Food	&	Beverage	industry	in	transition,	Grant	Thornton	International	Business	Report	(IBR)

8     Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage?                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage?   9
Anuj Chande                                                                                                                                                                               Peter
                                                                                                                                                                     Jim Moseley                                                                                                                Kemp-Welch
                                                                                                        Head of South                                                  President,                                                         CASE
                                                                                                         Asia Group,                                                                                                                                                                                Partner,
Overseas expansion
                                                                                                                                                                     Food and Drink                                                      STUDY                                                    Piper Private
                                                                                                        Grant Thornton                                                 Federation
The third most popular driver of growth for the sector                                                        UK                                                                                                                                                                                     Equity
is	the	expansion	into	overseas	territories.	Companies	
need to diversify their activities abroad and look to both
developed and emerging markets to grow their business.       “The World Bank forecasts that at the current rate of       “According to our recent research, many people from          come to light in Products the much publicised sell-off
                                                                                                                                                                                          Quick Food 2012, with                                     “Whilst the sector is facing some challenges and the
Why? Because many businesses are looking to spread           income growth in emerging markets, the middle class         Asia and the BRICs, who are increasingly travelling to       involving Food Products, run byof debt-strapped Premier
                                                                                                                                                                                          Quick non-core divisions Sean Young, is a                 macroeconomic environment cannot be underestimated,
their geographic exposure in the face of the Eurozone        will account for 17% of the total global population in      the West and the UK, are developing a growing appetite           manufacturer of savoury meat, poultry, fish and
                                                                                                                                                                                      Foods. With private equity buyers likely to be among          there are still food and drink businesses that continue
crisis. Others recognise the advantages of expanding         2030, as opposed to 8% in 2000. This expanding              for Western premium products. In addition, according                                                                       to grow well. It’s a good reminder that this is a large
                                                                                                                                                                                      the most interested parties all eyes are on arson attack if
                                                                                                                                                                                          vegetable pasties. Having experienced an the process:
                                                             middle class, with increased disposable income is           to OECD and FAO, consumer demand on a global scale                                                                         market with shifting segments within it. This creates
to other potentially lucrative geographies including
                                                             expected to shift diets in emerging markets more            will continue shifting from staple foods towards more        Premier succeeds in production ground at decent multiples
                                                                                                                                                                                          seven years ago,
                                                                                                                                                                                                            selling units off to a halt for eight   instability but also opportunities, particularly for smaller
the emerging economies where consumer tastes are                                                                                                                                          months and competitors quickly filled the gap in the
                                                             towards Western style processed and prepared foods          processed and prepared food products that contain a          it may encourageFood Products first approachedthe water,
                                                                                                                                                                                          market. Quick
                                                                                                                                                                                                         other trade vendors to test the            businesses.
changing in line with their increased spending power.        that contain a higher amount of protein. Gondola            higher amount of protein driven by the growing middle        thereby increasing the flow of opportunities for financial
                                                                                                                                                                                          Manufacturing Advisory Service (MAS) for help with        You have to look at it from the perspective of the
However, due to increasing local and international           Holdings’ joint venture with the Bharti family to bring     class. For UK and Irish business this represents an          bidders.
                                                                                                                                                                                          sharpening up their manufacturing control systems.        consumer: their perception of value is changing
competition, penetrating these markets is expected to be     Pizza Express to India’s middle classes is an example       opportunity to build businesses relationships with               They were keen to develop a new range of patties with     and this drives the innovation of new products
difficult.	Demand	for	infant	formula	in	China	is	growing	    of this trend in action.                                    emerging market companies wanting to develop top                 flavours aimed at the Nigerian market and to develop      and new business models and ways of doing things.
                                                             Private consumption forecasts suggest that during the       quality manufacturing operations and high standards              patties certified to carry a Halal label.                 The restaurant space has some good examples of
exponentially year on year, and following a food safety
                                                             coming years UK businesses need to divert attention         of food hygiene.”                                                                                                          this: the emergence and strength of ‘fast casual’ is a
crisis a number of years ago, Western brands have gained                                                                                                                                  Their MAS adviser introduced them to an innovation
                                                             outside established Western markets – towards BRIC                                                                           specialist which, with subsidised assistance from MAS,    good example of how some operators are undercutting
huge traction. For example, Danone have 70 factories         economies and Eastern Europe in particular.                                                                                                                                            traditional restaurants while still providing a restaurant
                                                                                                                                                                                          helped them to:
in	China,	manufacturing	a	range	of	products	and	they	                                                                                                                                                                                               experience. It’s a sign of the consumer experimenting
                                                             Market entry through M&A or joint venture is an                                                                              • improve process controls and capacity utilisation
aim to be market leader in the infant formula sector.        attractive option as in such unfamiliar markets                                                                                                                                        because they are under pressure and of entrepreneurs
                                                                                                                                                                                            which freed up capacity to develop the new range
Interestingly in 2011, more than 50% of Danone global        successful foreign players usually have access to local                                                                                                                                responding with new offerings to meet that need.”
                                                                                                                                                                                            of products
revenues have been generated from emerging markets.          manufacturing operations and product development
                                                                                                                                                                                          • reduce distribution and packing costs which was
Dairy	Crest	have	moved	into	America	with	the	Cathedral	      tailored to local tastes. Ultimately, success hinges on
                                                                                                                                                                                            of key importance for the Halal market, meeting
                                                             a thoroughly researched and carefully executed long
City	Cheese	brand	and	the	Scotch	Whisky	industry	is	                                                                                                                                        customer requirements for data content
                                                             term strategy which involves being visible and working
thriving in Asia due to a rise in the number of affluent     collaboratively with people in the local market.”                                                                            Sean believes the projects with MAS paid for
middle class consumers, indeed whisky now accounts                                                                                                                                        themselves in a matter of weeks.
for 63% of all UK beverage exports (by value).                                                                                                                                            For more information about MAS visit www.mymas.org




10 Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage?                                                                                                                                                                                                      Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage?      11
Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage
Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage
Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage
Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage
Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage
Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage

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Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage

  • 1. Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage?
  • 2. Foreword In the face of continuing economic difficulties and a protracted recovery from the downturn, conditions in the food and beverage (F&B) sector in the UK and Ireland continue to be challenging Trefor Griffith Ciara Jackson Head of Food & Beverage, UK Head of Food & Beverage, Ireland and in many cases trading is flat. Acquisitive corporates are seeing Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) as a way of acquiring skills and products and removing costs as a route to growth. Private Equity (PE) investors are seeing opportunities to benefit from the changing dynamics of the sector. To better understand what is driving investors to get Our research suggests the time is ripe for M&A activity. involved in the F&B market, Grant Thornton has While some businesses might still be feeling the pressure, The key findings from the research are: commissioned a research project to assess the views of many others have reacted to the downturn by tightening senior representatives from PE houses and companies • 80% of PE houses plan to do some form of M&A their processes. This philosophy of streamlining is currently investing in the F&B sector across the UK activity in the F&B sector in the next 12 months. reaping benefits as businesses focus on embedding and Ireland. We would like to thank them sincerely for • Acquisition of brands is a route to new products on-going innovation into their organisational culture their invaluable assistance with this project. and markets for investors. in order to deliver from a lower and more productive In Ireland, the F&B sector is the biggest indigenous • M&A activity is defensive rather than offensive. cost base. Strategies such as re-engineering products, export sector, tipping the €9 billion mark in 2011. removing waste and cutting out non-value-adding • Innovation, Research and Development (R&D) Contents Ireland, with its population of 4.6 million, produces activities are all having an impact. These leaner, battle and New Product Development (NPD) are key enough food to feed 36 million people. UK F&B to stability and growth. hardened businesses need to push on now and the M&A Foreword 1 (non alcoholic) exports increased in 2011 by 11.4% to markets at home and abroad are the next logical step. • There is a huge opportunity waiting to be UK and Ireland Food & Beverage review 2 just over £12 billion¹. In both countries ambitious F&B At the same time PE houses are awash with unspent seized in growth markets. Investor predictions 6 growth targets have been set. In Ireland the government capital and are keen to deploy this to companies that set a target of 42% growth in exports by 2020². In the • Mid market PE is mainly focused on niche can offer growth, security and sustainability in these Drivers of growth 8 innovative businesses. UK the Food and Drink Federation (FDF) have set a uncertain times. Although the incentives to buy among Consumer trends 12 • Corporate acquirers are also keen to add to their target of 20% for overall sector growth. Given these both camps are different, the recent statistics and the offering, as well as consolidating operations and Consolidation 14 targets, future wars may not be fought on battlefields. reducing costs. forward looking predictions suggest that M&A activity As the global population continues to grow, demand for in the F&B sector is set to rise further, irrespective of Access to finance 16 food is increasing, consumer preferences are changing the global economic worries. Conclusion 18 and people are living longer, therefore the battles may About us 19 well become economic. Contact us 20 ¹ UK Food & Drink performance – Full year 2011 (FDF) ² Food Harvest 2020 – A vision for Irish agri-food and fisheries. Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage? 1
  • 3. UK and Ireland Food & Beverage review Trefor Griffith Head of Food CASE Before looking ahead to the prospects for 2012 2009 saw M&A deal volume and value in the F&B sector & Beverage, STUDY Announced PE activity in the F&B sector, 2007-2011 Examples of PE backed deals include: Grant Thornton and beyond, it is worth casting an eye back fall to its lowest point in some time. Since then volume UK 35 4 • Blackstone’s acquisition of Tangerine Confectionery over M&A activity in the sector over the last has been climbing steadily buoyed by restructuring and 30 3.5 for a reported £124 million which then acquired Value of deals (£ billion) five years. consolidation as businesses seek to strip out dead weight “A large proportion of the recent transactions were 25 3 the Wham and Highland Toffee brands from Hain Celestial acquired Daniel’s Group from No. of deals and operate in a more efficient way. driven by the need to consolidate supply channels 20 2.5 Millar McCowan. and diversify customer bases. The current market SATS (Ltd) In 2011 overall M&A deal numbers rose 22% on 15 2 • Exponent Private Equity and Intermediate Capital’s M&A activity in the F&B sector, 2007-2011 conditions and pressures from customers are forcing The acquisition has enabled Hain to expand its existing the previous year reaching almost pre-recession levels. 1.5 acquisition of Marlow Foods which produces Quorn food manufacturers to think about cost control and UK portfolio, bolting on strong brands that complement 10 1 Deal value totalled £4.7 billion in 2011. This was reduction as well as effective pricing to maintain and Cauldron, the meat-free businesses which were 180 18 its current offering. New Covent Garden Soup Co. and 5 0.5 down 71% on 2010 value, due to Kraft’s acquisition margins. Companies can achieve economies of scale Johnson’s Juice sit well alongside Hain’s Daily Bread 160 16 owned by Premier Foods. of Cadbury’s for £11.9 billion. If the Kraft deal was through M&A which can then be used to improve control 0 0 (which it acquired in April 2004). The chilled foods to Value of deals (£ billion) 140 14 of the distribution process and to expand scale • Change Capital made an investment in McDuff, 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 120 12 removed from the equation, deal value in 2011 would be and reach.” go offering and its International Cuisine, ready meals a Scottish seafood business. Its stated intention was business are a good fit with the Linda McCartney meal No. of deals 100 10 up 6.7% on 2010, a steady improvement since 2009 but No. of deals to inject capital to accelerate growth and potentially range and all products slot comfortably within Hain’s Value of deals (£ billion) 80 8 still substantially below the £14 billion+ levels witnessed move into new geographies. 60 6 strong healthy eating offering, which is currently a in 2007. • Greencore’s acquisition of Uniq, the chilled and highly attractive sector. • Piper sold Bottlegreen to SHS Group in 2011 having 40 4 The sector has also suffered from a substantial reduction This steady rise in annual deal value can in part be frozen food producer for the own label market. invested in the company in 2007. It was reported they 20 2 In acquiring Daniels, Hain has also consciously moved in PE investment. Since 2007, when 32 PE-backed deals attributed to the activity amongst the large manufacturers Greencore paid in the region of £113 million. to broaden its geographic presence. Hain now has a made 5x money. 0 0 were completed, deal numbers have remained relatively that has taken place in 2011, which included: • Hain Celestial’s acquisition of Daniels Group from presence in seven countries, up from three countries 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 low. • Bridgepoint backed Symington’s acquired the SATS (Ltd). This included New Covent Garden Soup at the end of 2010, and their intention is to continue to • Kerry Group’s acquisition of the UK flavour The discrepancy in deal volume vs. deal value is due ‘Chicken Tonight’ and ‘Ragu’ ambient sauce brands No. of deals Co, Johnson Juices and also hot pudding company make global acquisitions, looking at Asia, Australia Value of deals (£ billion) technology business of US F&B giant, Cargill, Cargill and the Middle East as well as Europe and the US. to economic conditions preventing opportunities for from Unilever. Farmhouse Fare. Hain are believed to have paid • Risk Capital invested in Bread, a London based Flavor Systems (UK). Kerry are believed to have paid This strategy is being adopted by many of the larger investors to get a lot more for a lot less. The trend of around £142 million for the company. corporates in order to spread their exposure to specialist bakery. around £146 million for the company. consolidation means companies are more likely to offload The rise and fall of M&A trends over this period • Premier Foods sold four Irish brands (including fluctuating exchange rates and commodity prices • Ranjit Boparan’s BH Acquisitions paid a reported parts of their business or brands that are not yielding • Manfield Partners’ acquisition of MCM Foods, demonstrates the context in which businesses today Chivers preserves, Erin’s soup brands, Gateaux as well as rationalising distribution networks. £342 million for Northern Foods which included high returns which represents a great opportunity for a canned fish and fruit supplier. and in the future will have to operate in order to grow. ambient cakes and McDonnells dried noodles) bakery, chilled and frozen foods, own label foods and savvy PE buyers. Between 2008 – 2009 tough economic conditions forced to Boyne Valley. Boyne Valley were reported to also the Fox’s biscuit brand and the Goodfella’s and a steep decline in M&A activity. In the UK and Ireland, have paid £34.5 million. San Marco frozen pizza brands. 2 Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage? Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage? 3
  • 4. Confectionery Dairy Acquisition activity in the confectionery sector has risen Ciara Jackson steadily in the last few years as cash rich backers hit the The dairy sector has (and will continue to be) an area Head of Food market looking to acquire ‘heritage’ brands. In July 2011 of activity. On the one hand acquisitions of branded & Beverage, dairy products will continue as large corporates seek to Blackstone acquired Tangerine Confectionery and followed Among the F&B sub-sectors, the main volume Grant Thornton bolt on to their existing portfolio of brands. And on the this up in September 2011 with the acquisition of the Alcoholic Beverages areas of Meat, Fish and Poultry, Dry Groceries Ireland other hand it is anticipated that commodity prices will Wham and Highland Toffee brands from Millar McCowan and Alcoholic Beverages fared relatively well, and in January 2012 with the acquisition of York Fruits continue to squeeze the liquid milk industry, creating and Smith Kendon, both of which they have bolted onto more consolidation opportunity for the few larger with modest growth in the last couple of years. players that remain in liquid milk. This is evidenced by “With EU milk quotas ending in 2015, Ireland’s milk output is expected to increase by 50%. The large Irish corporates the Tangerine portfolio. Zetar has also continued its push Deal activity in alcoholic beverages remained strong More robust growth was seen in the Bakery, are working hard to position themselves to capitalise on this, with Glanbia investing in new plant and Kerry acquiring into the UK confectionery market as has Glisten (via its the administration of Farmright (Quadra Foods) and in 2010 and 2011 with branded players selling off Confectionery, and Frozen Foods segments. Newmarket’s liquid milk business. Danone have invested €50m in a new plant to expand capacity to produce infant formula. parent Raisio). This is a sector that is backed by PE and Rock Farm Dairies this year as well as Müller acquiring non core assets to competitors – such as Heineken Ireland currently supplies 16% of the world supply of infant formula. Demand in China alone for infant formula is growing at large foreign conglomerates, all with money to spend Wiseman Dairies and Connaught Gold acquiring Donegal selling off its Youngers and McEwan’s brands to Wells an estimated rate of 20% per annum.” on building their portfolios. This is supported by our Creameries liquid milk business. For dairy products there & Young in October. Conditions have remained difficult research, which underpins the importance from a buyer’s was Uniq’s acquisition by Greencore, and the acquisition due to commodity prices and the reduction in consumer perspective of strong and performing brands. of Rachel’s by Lactalis in May 2010. pub spend. In reaction to this the larger brewers have targeted smaller specialist players to enhance UK and Ireland M&A activity by F&B subsector, 2007-2011 differentiation and innovation in their portfolios. 40 An example of such activity is the acquisition of Sharp’s brewery by Molson Coors in February 2011. 35 Dry Grocery Meat, Fish & Poultry The recent UK budget has provided no comfort to brewers as beer duty has been raised and large drinks companies will continue to seek acquisitions in order 30 to build their geographic footprint within the UK (and Activity in this sector has been steadily rising over the Activity in the sector has made a recovery since 2009, beyond) and diversify their offering. It is anticipated that 25 last couple of years as corporates seek to acquire with activity on the rise again. Here we have seen this trend will continue into 2012. brands to bolt on to their portfolios thus reducing companies acquire in order to consolidate their supply In Ireland, pubs have experienced a sharp decline No. of deals 20 chain (such as Morrison’s acquiring supplier, Farmer’s expense on Innovation and R&D. They are choosing in trade, and as a result there is an expectation that 2007 instead to mix NPD with brand extension and brand Boy) or to enable diversification into aligned product this sub-sector is ripe for consolidation. Many pubs 15 reinvention. For example the acquisitions of Unilever’s offering, such as ABP acquiring RWM Group in order are individually owned, but we believe it’s likely that a 2008 Ragu and Chicken Tonight brands by Symington’s, to enhance its lamb processing capability. Ireland number of ‘super pub’ groups will emerge. 10 Kellogg’s acquisition of the household brand ‘Pringles’ exports 90% of its beef almost exclusively to the EU. 2009 Demand for Irish whisky is growing at a rapid rate from Procter & Gamble, Boyne Valley’s acquisition of There is speculation in Ireland that America will ‘re-open’ (11.5% in 2011), and the large players are positioning Premier Foods four Irish brands and Baxters acquisition for trading of Irish beef. This is a huge opportunity 5 2010 themselves well to capitalise on this opportunity. of Fray Bentos (from Princes). for the sector, and there is strong demand for grass Jim Beam acquired Cooley Distillery for a reported fed premium quality beef. On the flip side changing 0 2011 consideration of $95 million. Meanwhile, Irish Distillers consumer demand in the emerging economies is pushing es ry ry iry De li ry ds Ve g al ry ks Pernod Ricard are due to invest $100 million on its r ag ke ne Da ce oo tion ult rin up the price of meat and making it more difficult for ve Ba ct io Gr o F & nc Po D whisky distillery in Cork in 2012. Be fe en uit Fu & ft n Dr y oz Fr h So some corporates operating in this space. ol ic Co Fr Fis h t, co ea Al M F&B subsector 4 Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage? Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage? 5
  • 5. Investor predictions Corporate prediction of investment in the F&B sector Our research indicates that 46% of corporates predict Financial buyers warm to a resilient sector PE prediction of levels of investment in the F&B sector Does your firm plan to make an investment in the F&B sector over the next 12 months PE investors do not expect to see a huge amount of over the next 12 months over the next 12 months? that investment in the F&B sector will increase in 2012. Activity in the early half of the year suggests that this is change in the levels of investment over the next year. accurate. For example: Just 5% of PE investors surveyed expected activity to What are Yes • Kellogg’s bought Pringles from Procter & Gamble increase significantly. This is in line with relatively flat investors No after Diamond Foods pulled out of the acquisition due investment trends post-recession. The deterioration in the looking for? banking environment has hit the PE community harder to funding problems. 18% • Robert Wiseman was acquired by Müller. than the corporate buyers who often fund M&A deals 5% 5% • Wessanen acquired Clipper Teas. directly from their balance sheets. 23% 23% Despite this conservative view of future funding, over Our research shows that PE houses value 80% of corporate respondents believe growth will be innovative businesses offering niche services 80% of the PE investors interviewed did have plans to driven by acquisition, a higher proportion than amongst which do not depend entirely on the multiple invest in the F&B sector in the next 12 months. 27% 27% financial buyers. In days gone by this may have been a retailers to survive. The corporate acquirers we 82% spoke to value niche offerings, innovation and sign that the sector was showing aggressive expansionary R&D just as highly but they are further looking tendencies, in today’s market it is more of an indication for businesses with a capacity for overseas that the industry is adapting to survive. expansion or to acquire strong consumer It is clear that a lot of M&A activity is still being brands to add to their stable. 23% Trefor Griffith 31% driven by the continued trend for restructuring and Head of Food consolidation but realistically the high volume, low value 36% & Beverage, of these deals is likely to continue. 31% of our corporate Grant Thornton At Grant Thornton, we respondents believe that nothing will change at all, UK believe that this sentiment whilst 23% think investment will in fact decrease. is probably an indication The fact that our respondents’ opinions are so evenly of the strength, safety and “Only 5% of PE investors expect a significant increase divided demonstrates not only the uncertainty driven by in levels of investment in the sector, yet 80% of those potential of the sector. Increase significantly current economic conditions but also the widely differing Increase slightly we spoke to plan to make an investment in 2012. It is Increase significantly opinions held by the broad spectrum of businesses within Won’t change difficult to see how these two positions reconcile but Increase slightly Won’t change this sector. Decrease slightly it is very encouraging to know that PE is committed to Decrease slightly Decrease significantly further investment in the sector.” 6 Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage? Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage? 7
  • 6. Michael Neary Corporate Finance Drivers of growth Partner, Grant Thornton Ireland What will be the main drivers of growth over the next New Product Development However, whilst NPD is vital for survival it also Acquisitions “While many well capitalised businesses in the F&B 12 months? It is clear from our research that both PE and corporate sector are seeking to grow by acquisition, smaller less represents significant capital outlay in tough economic According to our research the second most popular PE View well capitalised businesses may consider merging to Investment in skills base and staff 7% respondents view NPD as the key driver of growth for times. Consequently some businesses have acquired driver of growth in the sector, as viewed by our deliver operating synergies and improve performance. the sector over the next 12 months, a view supported brands to bolt on to their existing portfolio with a view respondents, are acquisitions. The last Grant Thornton In the market today, a key consideration for many F&B Investment in plant and machinery 7% in a recent Grant Thornton UK report commissioned to adding value to these brands rather than innovating IBR report, which surveys businesses globally, tells a businesses is insulating themselves from commodity by the Food & Drink Federation³ and in the Grant from scratch. This is evidenced by the acquisition of Fray less optimistic tale with only 17% seeing M&A as an price fluctuations and we believe M&A can be a key Expansion into overseas territories 20% strategic tool in helping to achieve this objective.” Thornton International Business Report (IBR)4. Product Bentos by Baxters and the recent activity by Symington’s important area of focus (although this is increasing in development and R&D are huge differentiators and which has been acquiring brands such as Chicken many countries). The main driver of M&A activity Investment in sales and marketing 20% important factors in staying competitive. Consumer Tonight and Ragu. This type of model has recently among food businesses in the current market is the on- New Product Development 73% tastes are changing and their time is becoming more proved very successful for businesses like Tangerine going process of consolidation, which will be discussed in precious so the emphasis is now to develop new over the coming year. Perhaps the only caveat is that and Big Bear. more detail later. However, a good indicator of whether functional and technical ingredients as well as products obtaining these at the right price may yet be difficult as Acquisition 60% Programmes such as the Manufacturing Advisory this appetite turns into significant activity may well come that have health and nutritional benefits which will meet price expectations on the part of vendors have yet to fall Service (MAS), which Grant Thornton UK is delivering to light in 2012, with the much publicised sell-off of the 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% consumer needs. to levels that fully reflect the market realities. One senior on behalf of the Department for Business, Innovation and non-core divisions of debt-laden Premier Foods. With Percentage of respondents Irish respondent explained, there have been relatively few Skills, are dedicated to helping manufacturers improve PE buyers likely to be among the most interested parties Corporate view ‘tail brands’ (typically the large, but not market-leading any aspect of their manufacturing operations, processes, all eyes are on the process: if Premier succeeds in selling Investment in skills base and staff 20% brands) put on the block so far, but this might change production or materials technologies and can provide units off at attractive multiples it may encourage other and these could represent attractive opportunities for Investment in plant and machinery 27% welcome assistance to businesses looking to conduct trade vendors to test the water, thereby increasing the larger, well-funded UK corporates. NPD or R&D. Similarly in Ireland Bord Bia, Enterprise flow of opportunities for financial bidders. However, as a number of interviewees stressed, speed Expansion into overseas territories 33% Ireland and Teagasc all provide strong support for Risk management and mitigation is a further driver is of the essence in this rapidly changing M&A landscape. F&B businesses. of M&A activity, as acquisitions can help reduce over As one respondent explains: “The key to making the Investment in sales and marketing 27% dependency on any one customer and maximise potential most of the opportunities in this environment is to buying power thus significantly helping to reduce risk. New Product Development 87% be flexible and prepared to act quickly, both to seize Whatever the motivation, there appears to be real opportunities when they arise and to axe things that confidence among industry professionals that there Acquisition 80% aren’t working”5. will be a plentiful supply of acquisition opportunities 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Percentage of respondents ³ Sustainable Growth in the Food and Drink Manufacturing Industry, 2011, Grant Thornton report commissioned by the Food and Drink Federation 5 UK Food & Drink performance – Full year 2011 (FDF) 4 Managing through uncertainty: Food & Beverage industry in transition, Grant Thornton International Business Report (IBR) 8 Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage? Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage? 9
  • 7. Anuj Chande Peter Jim Moseley Kemp-Welch Head of South President, CASE Asia Group, Partner, Overseas expansion Food and Drink STUDY Piper Private Grant Thornton Federation The third most popular driver of growth for the sector UK Equity is the expansion into overseas territories. Companies need to diversify their activities abroad and look to both developed and emerging markets to grow their business. “The World Bank forecasts that at the current rate of “According to our recent research, many people from come to light in Products the much publicised sell-off Quick Food 2012, with “Whilst the sector is facing some challenges and the Why? Because many businesses are looking to spread income growth in emerging markets, the middle class Asia and the BRICs, who are increasingly travelling to involving Food Products, run byof debt-strapped Premier Quick non-core divisions Sean Young, is a macroeconomic environment cannot be underestimated, their geographic exposure in the face of the Eurozone will account for 17% of the total global population in the West and the UK, are developing a growing appetite manufacturer of savoury meat, poultry, fish and Foods. With private equity buyers likely to be among there are still food and drink businesses that continue crisis. Others recognise the advantages of expanding 2030, as opposed to 8% in 2000. This expanding for Western premium products. In addition, according to grow well. It’s a good reminder that this is a large the most interested parties all eyes are on arson attack if vegetable pasties. Having experienced an the process: middle class, with increased disposable income is to OECD and FAO, consumer demand on a global scale market with shifting segments within it. This creates to other potentially lucrative geographies including expected to shift diets in emerging markets more will continue shifting from staple foods towards more Premier succeeds in production ground at decent multiples seven years ago, selling units off to a halt for eight instability but also opportunities, particularly for smaller the emerging economies where consumer tastes are months and competitors quickly filled the gap in the towards Western style processed and prepared foods processed and prepared food products that contain a it may encourageFood Products first approachedthe water, market. Quick other trade vendors to test the businesses. changing in line with their increased spending power. that contain a higher amount of protein. Gondola higher amount of protein driven by the growing middle thereby increasing the flow of opportunities for financial Manufacturing Advisory Service (MAS) for help with You have to look at it from the perspective of the However, due to increasing local and international Holdings’ joint venture with the Bharti family to bring class. For UK and Irish business this represents an bidders. sharpening up their manufacturing control systems. consumer: their perception of value is changing competition, penetrating these markets is expected to be Pizza Express to India’s middle classes is an example opportunity to build businesses relationships with They were keen to develop a new range of patties with and this drives the innovation of new products difficult. Demand for infant formula in China is growing of this trend in action. emerging market companies wanting to develop top flavours aimed at the Nigerian market and to develop and new business models and ways of doing things. Private consumption forecasts suggest that during the quality manufacturing operations and high standards patties certified to carry a Halal label. The restaurant space has some good examples of exponentially year on year, and following a food safety coming years UK businesses need to divert attention of food hygiene.” this: the emergence and strength of ‘fast casual’ is a crisis a number of years ago, Western brands have gained Their MAS adviser introduced them to an innovation outside established Western markets – towards BRIC specialist which, with subsidised assistance from MAS, good example of how some operators are undercutting huge traction. For example, Danone have 70 factories economies and Eastern Europe in particular. traditional restaurants while still providing a restaurant helped them to: in China, manufacturing a range of products and they experience. It’s a sign of the consumer experimenting Market entry through M&A or joint venture is an • improve process controls and capacity utilisation aim to be market leader in the infant formula sector. attractive option as in such unfamiliar markets because they are under pressure and of entrepreneurs which freed up capacity to develop the new range Interestingly in 2011, more than 50% of Danone global successful foreign players usually have access to local responding with new offerings to meet that need.” of products revenues have been generated from emerging markets. manufacturing operations and product development • reduce distribution and packing costs which was Dairy Crest have moved into America with the Cathedral tailored to local tastes. Ultimately, success hinges on of key importance for the Halal market, meeting a thoroughly researched and carefully executed long City Cheese brand and the Scotch Whisky industry is customer requirements for data content term strategy which involves being visible and working thriving in Asia due to a rise in the number of affluent collaboratively with people in the local market.” Sean believes the projects with MAS paid for middle class consumers, indeed whisky now accounts themselves in a matter of weeks. for 63% of all UK beverage exports (by value). For more information about MAS visit www.mymas.org 10 Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage? Where is the smart money going in Food & Beverage? 11