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INNOVATE
                        ...Change Your World.

ENTREPRENEURIAL OPPORTUNITIES IN
AGRIFOOD SYSTEM IN NIGERIA.

By:

Dr Olatunde Agbato
President
Animal Care Services Konsult (Nig. ) Ltd
Ogere Remo
Ogun State.
PREAMBLE
   My utmost pleasure to be present here today.
   First time, but good impression. Why?
     ◦ The +ve impact the church is making in Nigeria –
       especially among the youth.
     ◦ The initial ambition of its founder to be a Veterinarian
       like myself.
   www.daystar.com = “the Word works wonders @
    Daystar - come. It is now a reality that the word of God
    works at Daystar.
   Thanks for inviting me to share my experience and
    inspire participants to take practical action in the area
    of my calling – agriculture.
                                                                  2
Topic for the Day:


ENTREPRENEURAL
OPPORTUNITIES IN
AGRIFOOD SYSTEM IN
NIGERIA
What is Agrifood System?
 Encompasses the interlinked set of
  activities that run from “Seed to Table”.
 Includes agricultural input production and
  distribution, farm level production, raw
  agricultural product assembly, processing
  and marketing.
 Encompasses the value chains for
  different agricultural and food products
  and inputs and the linkages among them.
                                               4
What is Agrifood System?
 Is also a shorthand term for agriculture
  and related agro industries.
 Refers essentially to “expanded
  agriculture” that produces food, and its
  analysis could also be extended equally to
  those parts of agriculture and agro
  industry that produce non-food products
  such as fibres and biofuels.


                                               5
OVERVIEW
OF
“EXPANDED
AGRICULTURE”
IN
NIGERIA
               6
1. Agriculture and the Economy
 Agriculture sector is central to Nigeria’s
  economy; accounting for 40% of GDP and
  providing 60% of employment.
 It is a major source of employment growth.
 Between 2001 – 2007, it accounted for 51%
  of job creation in Nigeria.
 In the 1960s, Nigeria had over 60% of global
  palm oil exports, 30% of global groundnut
  exports, 20-30% of global groundnut oil
  exports, and 15% of global Cocoa exports.

                                                 7
2.   Decline in Contribution of
     Agriculture to Export
 Since the 1960’s, Nigeria has lost a
  dominant position in exports of key crops
  such as Cocoa, groundnuts, groundnut oil
  and palm oil.
 By year 2000, Nigeria’s global share of
  exports of each of these crops was 5% or
  less.



                                          8
NIGERIA’S AGRICULTURAL SECTOR
IS UNDERPERFORMING
   Cereal yields
   Tons per Hectare
    7.5



           3.8    3.5
                        2.1   1.7         +121%
                                    1.6


    Egypt South World ZambiaCôte Nigeria
          Africa Average    d'Ivoire


                                                  9
Expenditure on agriculture
Low               % total budget expenditure on agriculture
agricultural
funding               8x            25.0
                      3.0                       5.0

                    Nigeria       Malaysia   Indonesia
Agricultural
raw material
contribution to
merchandise                                    5.04
                            50x     2.53
exports is very
                     0.01
low
                    Nigeria       Malaysia   Indonesia
                  Mechanization intensity
Low               Tractors/100 ha
mechanization
                            26x


                    Nigeria       Malaysia Indonesia     Thailand   Brazil   USA
                  Irrigation intensity
Low irrigation    % of arable land
levels                                                    28.0
                            32x
                                               12.4
                      0.8           4.8                              4.4

                    Nigeria       Malaysia Indonesia Thailand       Brazil
                                                                                   10
Analysis

▪ Nigeria is under
  investing in its
  agricultural sector
  on an aggregate
  level
▪ Lack of overall
  investment limits
  capacity for
  adequate capital
  allocation to key
  inputs across the
  value chain
▪ There are key policy
  changes that have
  potential to enable
  increased
  performance in the
  agricultural sector
                         11
Nigeria’s Natural Strengths
   Nigeria has many strengths:
    ◦ Our land is some of the most fertile in the
      world
    ◦ 79m ha of agricultural land of which 40m
      ha is arable
    ◦ Over 40% of arable land remains
      uncultivated
    ◦ Average precipitation 1,150mm/year,
    ◦ Potential to irrigate 3m ha.
    ◦ 14m farming families.
    ◦ Capable of growing almost all crops.

                                                    12
…but is not achieving its
potential
                    Productivity of arable land (kg/ha

 14,000

 12,000

 10,000

 8,000

 6,000

 4,000

 2,000

 0
          Brazil   China     India      Mexico     Nigeria




                                                             13
Reasons for low productivity
 Small land holdings
 Uncoordinated aid projects
 Lack of storage facilities
    ◦   Inputs
    ◦   Mechanization
    ◦   Credit
    ◦   Irrigation
    ◦   Infrastructure
    ◦   Reach of extension network
   Non availability of proper entrepreneurial skills to
    harness available resources for maximum impact.

                                                       14
Current Yield Scenario Nigeria
vs International Benchmark
 Maize               – 1.5 tons/hectare against 7 – 8 tons
 Groundnut           – 400kg/hectare against 2; 700kg in
                        Turkey
   Onion             – 4 metric tons/hectare against 120
                        tons in Yemen
   Tomatoes          – 5 tons/hectare against 100tons in
                        Israel
   Rice              – 1.5tons/hectare against 20 tons in
                        Thailand
   Cattle            – Milk yield – 300 litres/lactation against
                       10,000 litres
    ◦ First calving – 4.5 years against 20 – 22 months
    ◦ Calving rate – 2 years average against annual
    ◦ Carcass weight at 3 years – 250kg against 1,500kg

                                                                15
3.   Nigeria now Imports Agricultural
     Produce
 Today, Nigeria is a net importer of
  agricultural produce with imports totaling
  NGN 630bn.
 Large import food product include
  ◦ Wheat (NGN, 165),
  ◦ Fish (NGN 105bn),
  ◦ Rice (NGN 75bn), and
  ◦ Sugar (NGN 60bn).

                                               16
…But has a huge Agricultural Growth
Potentials
   Nigeria’s agriculture sector has enormous potential
    with an opportunity to grow output by 160% from
    USD 99 billion today to USD 256 billion by 2030.
   This growth potential comes from potential to
    ◦ increase yields to 80 – 100% of benchmark
      countries;
    ◦ increase acreage by 14m ha new agricultural land,
      approximately 38% of Nigeria’s unused arable
      land of 36.9m ha; and
    ◦ shift 20% of production to higher value
      agricultural produce.
                                                      17
… With global Opportunities
 Nigeria faces a large and growing global
  agricultural market – rising commodity prices,
  growing demand for food and opportunities in
  bio-fuel, all present significant opportunities for
  Nigeria.
 For example, global cereal demand will grow by
  between 31% and 150% by 2050 depending on
  the region, and global commodity prices are in
  their second spike in three years.
 Agriculture can become the main driver for more
  equitable income growth, compared to oil and gas
  sector .

                                                    18
OPPORTUNITIES,
POSITIVE INITIATIVES
AND SOLUTIONS TO
CHALLENGES IN THE
AGRICULTURE SECTOR IN
NIGERIA.
                    19
Agriculture now looking up in
Nigeria
 Nigerian agriculture has shown good
  growth rates in the recent past with
  growth rates of 7.4%, 7.2% and 6.5% in
  2006, 2007, and 2008 respectively.
 Between 2003 and 2007 its average share
  of national real GDP was 41.5% thus
  underscoring its importance in the
  livelihood of Nigerians.


                                            20
Government Positive Initiatives at making
Agriculture key driver of the economy

 Vision 2020
 Agricultural Policy 2001
 National Food Security
  Programme (NFSP)




                                            21
Other Positive
Developments & Initiatives
 Continual rise in national population.
 Improved stability in the polity.
 Return and consistent increase of the middle
  class (increased disposable income and
  beneficial trends in food spending habits).
 Nigeria remains a veritable destination for
  investment because of the relatively high
  ROI – attested to by increased influx of
  international brands in the FMCG, fast food
  and hospitality industries (some drivers of
  agricultural value chain).

                                             22
NIGERIA’S
AGRICULTURAL
POTENTIAL

               23
Using the same amount of land,
we could become a major global
crop producer …




                                 24
… combining yield gains with
increasing harvested area has
a dramatic effect




                                25
Agriculture in Transition
   While historically Africa has accounted for only
    2% of global agricultural trade, shifts in global
    demand for agricultural products now present a
    tipping point opportunity for African countries
    for the following reasons.
    ◦ Rising population
    ◦ Steady income growth
    ◦ Demand for high-value crops, dairy products, fruits
      and vegetables;
    ◦ Rising demand for processed and semi-processed
      food staples and
    ◦ Growth in demand for bio-fuel present new
      opportunities.

                                                            26
Agriculture in Transition
 The global food crisis clearly demonstrated that
  food is more valuable than any other commodity.
 Several major food producing countries have
  reached their plateau in terms of food production
  capacity. Many can no longer expand food
  production without serious negative
  environmental consequences.
 Resource rich but water deficient countries (e.g.
  Saudi Arabia, Qatar, UAE, etc.) are increasingly
  looking outwards to import food given water
  constraints.
 Africa is where the opportunities exist to meet
  global food demand.

                                                  27
FUNDING AND FINANCING
AGRICULTURE
 The underdeveloped states of many
  markets in developing countries like
  Nigeria makes government involvement in
  agricultural investment necessary.
 To achieve the objectives of the NFSP,
  funding will come from three major
  sources – namely
    ◦ government,
    ◦ commercial banks and
    ◦ development partners.

                                        28
FUNDING AND FINANCING
AGRICULTURE
   Historically, government budgetary allocation to
    agriculture has been at average of less than 3%.
   However, there are some indications the government is
    now improving on both the allocation and spending and
    the federal government has also indicated its commitment
    to achieving and exceeding the 10% Maputo target.
   It has further designated its Natural Resources Fund (i.e.
    1.68% of the federal account) to the funding of the
    National Food Security Programme.
   The federal government has floated a N200 billion naira
    bond (Federal Government Intervention Bond Issue) to
    provide long-term credit to private sector organizations
    which is currently being facilitated by the Central Bank
    through the Commercial Banks.                              29
CBN Intervention
 Irked by the disproportionate low level of credit to the
  agricultural sector by the banks (when compared to the total
  level of credit to the economy) despite all its previous
  interventions, the Central Bank recently launched a new
  scheme to promote increased finance to Agriculture.
 Previous schemes include ACGS, Presidential Agricultural
  Initiative, Bankers’ Committee Agric Loan Initiative, Interest
  Drawback Scheme, and the Commercial Agriculture Credit
  Scheme (CACS).
 Yet, the lending to Agriculture is about 1.4% of total lending in
  the economy (despite the fact that Agriculture contributes
  close to 42% of the GDP);
 New scheme is the Nigerian Incentive-Based Risk Sharing
  System for Agricultural Lending (NIRSAL).
                                                                      30
NIRSAL
   According to the Central Bank, NIRSAL is
    a financing initiative that will;
    ◦ Provide farmers with affordable financial
      products
    ◦ Reduce the risk of granting bank loan to
      farmers.




                                                  31
The Objectives of NIRSAL
   Spark agricultural industrialization process
    through increased production and processing
    across the value chains.
   Build capacities of Nigerian banks to lend to
    agriculture
   Deploy risk sharing instruments that will lower
    the risks of lending
   Provide technical assistance for farmers and
    banks
   Develop a bank rating scheme that will incentivize
    and show case/situate banks based on their
    capacities to lend to the agriculture sectors.


                                                     32
OPPORTUNITIES FOR
 INVESTMENT IN THE
 AGRIFOOD SYSTEM.

To effectively identify and profitably exploit business
opportunities within the agricultural value chain, you
must be ready for the challenges of an
ENTREPRENEUR.

                                                          33
WHO IS AN
ENTREPRENEUR?
 The dictionary defines an entrepreneur as
  one who organizes, operates, and assumes
  the risk for a business venture.
 An entrepreneur is a risk taker.
 He is an adventurer.
 He is someone who ventures out not
  without fears, but in spite of them.
 Courage is his trademark.


                                          34
WHO IS AN
ENTREPRENEUR?
 ◦ He dreams of starting an enterprise and he dares to pursue and
   actualize his dream. He is driven by his desires to venture out, to
   explore, and to risk much security in an attempt to create a product or
   a service that will be a solution to a problem in this world.
 ◦ He is never satisfied and will never be satisfied with his status quo. He
   asks questions, queries the norm and he experiments.
 ◦ He is not a quitter – He hangs in there against all odds even if others
   have quit or are quitting. When he falls, he rises again. He gets knocked
   down several many times, but never stays down.
 ◦ He is a fighter – fights battles within and without. Within himself, he
   must battle fear, doubts and anxieties. Outside of himself, he must battle
   foes and ironically friends. His foes are motivated by their desire to see
   his downfall; and his friends who oppose him are motivated by their
   concern for his welfare. He usually finds the oppositions of friends much
   tougher to overcome.
 ◦ He faces many tough days – days when cash is seriously lacking, days
   when employees have to be paid but money is not enough, the days he
   meets angry creditors, the days employees steal from him or
   unexpectedly quit on him, the day he loses key clients, the days he just
   doesn’t feel like continuing.

                                                                            35
“PECULIAR MESS”
 The Nigerian entrepreneur faces peculiar
  problems. His battles are tougher, and his
  obstacles are greater.
 Apart from the usual battle every
  entrepreneur fights, the Nigerian
  entrepreneur has also to contend with:
    ◦   Poor power supply
    ◦   Corruption
    ◦   Poverty
    ◦   Poor infrastructure
    ◦   Unstable economic and political environment and
        policies

                                                      36
FUNCTIONS OF THE
ENTREPRENEUR IN AGRIFOOD
SYSTEM IN NIGERIA
 Perception of economic opportunities
  within the Agriculture value chain
 Providing technical and organizational
  innovations or adapting technologies for
  his own use to exploit identified
  opportunities
 Gaining command over other resources
 Taking responsibilities for the internal
  management and external advancement of
  the enterprise.
                                         37
OPPORTUNITIES
 A business opportunity implies the
  availability of NEED with guaranteed sales
  volume at low enough cost.
 The main and basic function of an
  Entrepreneur is scanning the environment in
  order to identify business opportunities for
  profitable investments.
 Do you see yourself as one?
 There are many opportunities within the
  Nigerian Agrifood System value chain for you
  as an entrepreneur to identify and profitably
  exploit.
                                              38
THE DOOR TO OPPORTUNITY
Please note and observe the followings in your
  search for opportunities.
 Opportunities and motivation are connected. Motivated
  people see opportunities and opportunities are often
  what motivate people.
 Great attitudes precede great opportunities. Who you are
  determines what you are.
 Today is the best day for an opportunity. Opportunity
  always takes “now” for an answer.
 Opportunities are the result of pluck, not luck. The
  people who succeed seek out opportunities, and if they
  can’t find them, they create them.


                                                         39
THE DOOR TO OPPORTUNITY ctd
   Opportunities don’t present themselves in ideal
    circumstances. If you wait for the lights light to turn green,
    you will never leave your driveway.
   Opportunity without commitment will be lost.
    Abandoned opportunities are simply pursued by the
    competitors.
   Opportunity is birthed out of problems. If you are looking
    for a big opportunity, find a big problem.
   Opportunities either multiply or disappear. The more
    opportunities you pursue, the more you find behind
    them.
   Opportunities must be nourished if they are to survive.
    As Peter Drucker, the father of modern management says,
    “feed an opportunity, starve a problem.
                                                                 40
OPPORTUNITY SPHERE IN THE
            AGRICULTURE VALUE CHAIN.

                            Agriculture value chain

                                                 Industrial
Input                 Agro         Agro                       Trade
            Farmers                              manu-
producers             Dealers      processors                 and exports
                                                 facturers




                                                                            41
Input producers
 e.g.
 - Fertilizers
 - Agrochemical
 - Poultry feed
 - Medicaments and Vaccines, etc.




                                     42
Farming
 e.g.
 - Arable Crops
 - Poultry and Livestock
 - Fisheries, etc.




                            43
Agro Dealers
 e.g.
 - Grain merchants
 - Egg Marketers, etc.




                          44
Agro Processors
-   Feedmillers
-   Flourmillers
-   Tomato puree production
-   Egg Breaking
-   Cereal Meats production, etc.




                                     45
Trades and Export
   Processed agric products merchandising,
    etc.




                                              46
Value Chain Maps - Soybean
                                     Soybean
                                    Meal/Cake
                                                      * Animal feed

                                                      * Protein foods
Input industry   Farmer        Industrial
                               Processor              * Texturised bag
Seed and other   Combines
inputs           inputs to     Transforms
                 Soybeans      soybeans into
                               products


                 Household
                 process to
                 local foods     Soybean        * Coking oil
                                   Oil
                                                * Lubricants

                                                * Paints, inks

                                                * Textile

                                                 Finisher, etc

                                                 ff
                                                                         47
EXPLOITING IDENTIFIED
OPPORTUNTIES
 Having identified the opportunity, you as the
  Entrepreneur, would now have to start a business
  organization to profitably exploit the opportunity.
 Before you start the business venture, it is very
  important that you rate your personal capabilities and
  qualities to run the business efficiently. Such qualities
  include your
    ◦   Personal drive and initiative
    ◦   Creative thinking ability
    ◦   Communicative ability
    ◦   Leadership and responsibility; and
    ◦   Above all, technical know-how
   A knowledge of book-keeping will be of immense
    advantage in running the business concern.

                                                          48
FORMS OF ORGANISATION
The business could be organized as:
 A Sole Proprietorship company or
 A Partnership with other entrepreneurs
  or
 A Limited Liability Company




                                           49
BUSINESS LOCATION
   After deciding on the type of business
    organization to start with, you would have to
    select the location of the business. In selecting a
    location, you have to consider factors such as:
    ◦ Availability of inputs for your operations;
    ◦ Market for the goods and services
    ◦ Understanding of the culture of people of that
      location
    ◦ Availability of labour for the business
    ◦ Availability of necessary infrastructure that are
      required for the smooth operation of the
      business e.g. good access roads,
      telecommunications, electricity, water etc.

                                                          50
THE FEASIBILITY STUDY
 The feasibility study in itself gives details on
  the financial, materials, machinery and
  manpower requirements of the proposed
  business concern.
 The expected sales volume/revenue and
  return on capital employed/return on
  investment are also to be incorporated into
  the feasibility study.
 A good feasibility study is essential for the
  successful take-off of the business as it
  would act as a guide in the implementation
  of the project.
                                                     51
CAPITAL
   2 major sources:
    ◦ Personal Savings – (P.S.)
    ◦ Other people’s money - (O.P.M.)
   Other peoples’ money could be made
    available to you as:
    ◦ Loans, advances, grants and gifts from family,
      friends relations, and philanthropic organization;
    ◦ Loans from Financial Institutions e.g. Commercial
      Banks, Microfinance Institutions, Development
      Banks, Insurance Companies, Finance Houses.
    ◦ Aids from Government agencies such as National
      Directorate of Employment.

                                                       52
CAPITAL
   You must carefully estimate your capital needs. Luke 14:28
   If you have collateral security, you may be able to borrow
    from financial institutions such as Banks.
   It could be initially difficult to secure other peoples’ fund
    when you are first starting the new business because of lack
    of track record and guarantee of success at the beginning.
   In short, you need a small budget that spells out into details
    the breakdown of your expenses and capital requirements.
   The capital need will vary according to the type of business
    within the value chain you want to get involved in.
   On acquisition of enough financial resources to profitably
    exploit the business opportunity, you are now ready to
    execute the project.
                                                                     53
MANAGEMENT
   Now, having set up the business, you as
    the Entrepreneur would have to harness
    all the resources employed for profitable
    operation; and this you can only do
    through efficient management.




                                                54
VISION and MISSION
   Your Vision is the statement of goals and objectives in very
    clear perspective i.e. the dreams of the organization.
   Habakkuk 2:2 – write the vision, make it plain on tablets.
   If your vision does not scare you, then it is not big enough.
   Your goals must be clearly spelt out, and you must make
    yourself accountable for its realization.
   Your mission must be the statement of strategies or
    systematic plan of actions for the accomplishment of the
    defined objectives of the company set out in the Vision
    statement.
   These set goals, objectives, and strategies for actualizing
    them for the organization must never be subordinated to
    any other desires within the organization, including your
    personal desire if different from that of the organization.
                                                                55
PROBLEMS
 Various problems will emerge in the course of
  your managing the business, and these problems
  always vary according to the type of business you
  operate. Each of these problems will need a
  special treatment, and the problem solved before
  success is assured. Problem brings experience,
  and experience brings wisdom.
 Rather than allowing problems or adversity to
  break you down, you should see and use it as
  opportunity to break new grounds and records.
  Every problem has the seeds of its own solution.
 In all problems is buried some great opportunity.

                                                      56
RECORD KEEPING
 Good record-keeping is very essential in
  successful management
 The Entrepreneur will have to install good
  mechanism for keeping records of all
  transactions within the organisation.
 No job is completed until it is recorded.




                                           57
INGREDIENTS OF SUCCESS
AS AN ENTREPRENEUR
 Passion
 Time Management
 Courageous Persistence
 Integrity
 Competitive Edge
 Action




                           58
The Seven Secrets of Success
 ◦ There is no secret of success
 ◦ Success is for every one
 ◦ Your life becomes better only when you
   become better
 ◦ There is no success without sacrifice
 ◦ Success is achieved in inches not miles
 ◦ The greatest enemy of tomorrow’s success is
   today’s success.
 ◦ No advice on success works unless you do.

                                                 59
Continuous Prayers
 All the above ingredients must be backed
  up with continual prayers with firm and
  unshaken understanding and belief in the
  role of the Almighty God in achieving
  defined objectives.
 Through prayers, barriers and constraints
  are supernaturally and mysteriously
  removed.
 You must find time to pray.

                                              60
Towards Achieving Fulfillment
 The proper applications of the ingredients of
  success earlier discussed are very key and
  fundamental for achievement of fulfillment.
 These are all time-tested principles that will
  enable you achieve your visions.
 More importantly, you must pay attention to
  the principles of God. While it is necessary
  to be ambitious in life, it is not virtue to be
  in so much hurry as to take short cuts.

                                                61
Respect Processes
 We must be earnest; but we must have respect for processes.
 Meanwhile, processes take time (however short) and those
  who cannot wait usually end up truncating divine processes
  in their lives.
 Mark 4:26-32 – The two parables of our Lord Jesus Christ
  in the text show us a few things about growth or success or
  building a thing;
    ◦   Success takes time
    ◦   Success follows a process
    ◦   Success is multi-stage
    ◦   Success is tangible and measurable
    ◦   Success has rewards
    ◦   The process that leads to success is guided divinely.   62
MY
PERSONAL
STORY
To the glory of God, I am a living example of
the fact that you can stay in this country and
be a simple farmer and actualize your dream.

                                                 63
CLOSING REMARK
 Making a career in the Nigerian Agrifood System
  – the Expanded Agriculture is good and
  rewarding.
 Agricultural productivity is generally low in Nigeria,
  but where there are many skilled entrepreneurs; who
  know what to do, and where to get relevant
  information and technology to improve their
  productivity, things can only improve.
 We must take agriculture from the present
  subsistence level to commercial, and industrial; and it
  is only through the entrepreneurial initiatives and
  involvements of young people like you who are
  gathered here that we can achieve this.
                                                            64
CLOSING REMARK
   In the last four decades, countries such as Brazil, Malaysia,
    and Thailand have been able to achieve global
    competitiveness in agribusiness through initiatives
    spearheaded by the private sector with the commitment
    of public resources. We can do the same here in Nigeria.
   Government has expressed its readiness to commit public
    resources to create the enabling environment .
    The private sector must key into this agenda for the
    development and global competitiveness of the agrifood
    system in Nigeria.
    *This is my message at this conference*
   It is the way to go, not just for its value to the nation; but
    also for the value it has for personal success and
    fulfillment.                                                     65
CLOSING REMARK
 It would be my joy to see many of
  you become farmers and operators
  in the agriculture value chain very
  soon,
 Or that those of you already in the
  chain deepen your stake in the
  business.


                                        66
CLOSING REMARK
 However, whether or not you choose to
  join us in the agriculture value chain,
  please just make a positive impact in your
  little corner.
 Remember that slogan – “It begins with
  you”.
 Can our country Nigeria be better than
  what it is now?
  Yes, it can; but it begins with you!
                                               67
Thank you & God bless you.
Olatunde Aiyedun Agbato
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Agriculture in Nigeria

  • 1. INNOVATE ...Change Your World. ENTREPRENEURIAL OPPORTUNITIES IN AGRIFOOD SYSTEM IN NIGERIA. By: Dr Olatunde Agbato President Animal Care Services Konsult (Nig. ) Ltd Ogere Remo Ogun State.
  • 2. PREAMBLE  My utmost pleasure to be present here today.  First time, but good impression. Why? ◦ The +ve impact the church is making in Nigeria – especially among the youth. ◦ The initial ambition of its founder to be a Veterinarian like myself.  www.daystar.com = “the Word works wonders @ Daystar - come. It is now a reality that the word of God works at Daystar.  Thanks for inviting me to share my experience and inspire participants to take practical action in the area of my calling – agriculture. 2
  • 3. Topic for the Day: ENTREPRENEURAL OPPORTUNITIES IN AGRIFOOD SYSTEM IN NIGERIA
  • 4. What is Agrifood System?  Encompasses the interlinked set of activities that run from “Seed to Table”.  Includes agricultural input production and distribution, farm level production, raw agricultural product assembly, processing and marketing.  Encompasses the value chains for different agricultural and food products and inputs and the linkages among them. 4
  • 5. What is Agrifood System?  Is also a shorthand term for agriculture and related agro industries.  Refers essentially to “expanded agriculture” that produces food, and its analysis could also be extended equally to those parts of agriculture and agro industry that produce non-food products such as fibres and biofuels. 5
  • 7. 1. Agriculture and the Economy  Agriculture sector is central to Nigeria’s economy; accounting for 40% of GDP and providing 60% of employment.  It is a major source of employment growth.  Between 2001 – 2007, it accounted for 51% of job creation in Nigeria.  In the 1960s, Nigeria had over 60% of global palm oil exports, 30% of global groundnut exports, 20-30% of global groundnut oil exports, and 15% of global Cocoa exports. 7
  • 8. 2. Decline in Contribution of Agriculture to Export  Since the 1960’s, Nigeria has lost a dominant position in exports of key crops such as Cocoa, groundnuts, groundnut oil and palm oil.  By year 2000, Nigeria’s global share of exports of each of these crops was 5% or less. 8
  • 9. NIGERIA’S AGRICULTURAL SECTOR IS UNDERPERFORMING  Cereal yields  Tons per Hectare 7.5 3.8 3.5 2.1 1.7 +121% 1.6 Egypt South World ZambiaCôte Nigeria Africa Average d'Ivoire 9
  • 10. Expenditure on agriculture Low % total budget expenditure on agriculture agricultural funding 8x 25.0 3.0 5.0 Nigeria Malaysia Indonesia Agricultural raw material contribution to merchandise 5.04 50x 2.53 exports is very 0.01 low Nigeria Malaysia Indonesia Mechanization intensity Low Tractors/100 ha mechanization 26x Nigeria Malaysia Indonesia Thailand Brazil USA Irrigation intensity Low irrigation % of arable land levels 28.0 32x 12.4 0.8 4.8 4.4 Nigeria Malaysia Indonesia Thailand Brazil 10
  • 11. Analysis ▪ Nigeria is under investing in its agricultural sector on an aggregate level ▪ Lack of overall investment limits capacity for adequate capital allocation to key inputs across the value chain ▪ There are key policy changes that have potential to enable increased performance in the agricultural sector 11
  • 12. Nigeria’s Natural Strengths  Nigeria has many strengths: ◦ Our land is some of the most fertile in the world ◦ 79m ha of agricultural land of which 40m ha is arable ◦ Over 40% of arable land remains uncultivated ◦ Average precipitation 1,150mm/year, ◦ Potential to irrigate 3m ha. ◦ 14m farming families. ◦ Capable of growing almost all crops. 12
  • 13. …but is not achieving its potential Productivity of arable land (kg/ha 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Brazil China India Mexico Nigeria 13
  • 14. Reasons for low productivity  Small land holdings  Uncoordinated aid projects  Lack of storage facilities ◦ Inputs ◦ Mechanization ◦ Credit ◦ Irrigation ◦ Infrastructure ◦ Reach of extension network  Non availability of proper entrepreneurial skills to harness available resources for maximum impact. 14
  • 15. Current Yield Scenario Nigeria vs International Benchmark  Maize – 1.5 tons/hectare against 7 – 8 tons  Groundnut – 400kg/hectare against 2; 700kg in Turkey  Onion – 4 metric tons/hectare against 120 tons in Yemen  Tomatoes – 5 tons/hectare against 100tons in Israel  Rice – 1.5tons/hectare against 20 tons in Thailand  Cattle – Milk yield – 300 litres/lactation against 10,000 litres ◦ First calving – 4.5 years against 20 – 22 months ◦ Calving rate – 2 years average against annual ◦ Carcass weight at 3 years – 250kg against 1,500kg 15
  • 16. 3. Nigeria now Imports Agricultural Produce  Today, Nigeria is a net importer of agricultural produce with imports totaling NGN 630bn.  Large import food product include ◦ Wheat (NGN, 165), ◦ Fish (NGN 105bn), ◦ Rice (NGN 75bn), and ◦ Sugar (NGN 60bn). 16
  • 17. …But has a huge Agricultural Growth Potentials  Nigeria’s agriculture sector has enormous potential with an opportunity to grow output by 160% from USD 99 billion today to USD 256 billion by 2030.  This growth potential comes from potential to ◦ increase yields to 80 – 100% of benchmark countries; ◦ increase acreage by 14m ha new agricultural land, approximately 38% of Nigeria’s unused arable land of 36.9m ha; and ◦ shift 20% of production to higher value agricultural produce. 17
  • 18. … With global Opportunities  Nigeria faces a large and growing global agricultural market – rising commodity prices, growing demand for food and opportunities in bio-fuel, all present significant opportunities for Nigeria.  For example, global cereal demand will grow by between 31% and 150% by 2050 depending on the region, and global commodity prices are in their second spike in three years.  Agriculture can become the main driver for more equitable income growth, compared to oil and gas sector . 18
  • 19. OPPORTUNITIES, POSITIVE INITIATIVES AND SOLUTIONS TO CHALLENGES IN THE AGRICULTURE SECTOR IN NIGERIA. 19
  • 20. Agriculture now looking up in Nigeria  Nigerian agriculture has shown good growth rates in the recent past with growth rates of 7.4%, 7.2% and 6.5% in 2006, 2007, and 2008 respectively.  Between 2003 and 2007 its average share of national real GDP was 41.5% thus underscoring its importance in the livelihood of Nigerians. 20
  • 21. Government Positive Initiatives at making Agriculture key driver of the economy  Vision 2020  Agricultural Policy 2001  National Food Security Programme (NFSP) 21
  • 22. Other Positive Developments & Initiatives  Continual rise in national population.  Improved stability in the polity.  Return and consistent increase of the middle class (increased disposable income and beneficial trends in food spending habits).  Nigeria remains a veritable destination for investment because of the relatively high ROI – attested to by increased influx of international brands in the FMCG, fast food and hospitality industries (some drivers of agricultural value chain). 22
  • 24. Using the same amount of land, we could become a major global crop producer … 24
  • 25. … combining yield gains with increasing harvested area has a dramatic effect 25
  • 26. Agriculture in Transition  While historically Africa has accounted for only 2% of global agricultural trade, shifts in global demand for agricultural products now present a tipping point opportunity for African countries for the following reasons. ◦ Rising population ◦ Steady income growth ◦ Demand for high-value crops, dairy products, fruits and vegetables; ◦ Rising demand for processed and semi-processed food staples and ◦ Growth in demand for bio-fuel present new opportunities. 26
  • 27. Agriculture in Transition  The global food crisis clearly demonstrated that food is more valuable than any other commodity.  Several major food producing countries have reached their plateau in terms of food production capacity. Many can no longer expand food production without serious negative environmental consequences.  Resource rich but water deficient countries (e.g. Saudi Arabia, Qatar, UAE, etc.) are increasingly looking outwards to import food given water constraints.  Africa is where the opportunities exist to meet global food demand. 27
  • 28. FUNDING AND FINANCING AGRICULTURE  The underdeveloped states of many markets in developing countries like Nigeria makes government involvement in agricultural investment necessary.  To achieve the objectives of the NFSP, funding will come from three major sources – namely ◦ government, ◦ commercial banks and ◦ development partners. 28
  • 29. FUNDING AND FINANCING AGRICULTURE  Historically, government budgetary allocation to agriculture has been at average of less than 3%.  However, there are some indications the government is now improving on both the allocation and spending and the federal government has also indicated its commitment to achieving and exceeding the 10% Maputo target.  It has further designated its Natural Resources Fund (i.e. 1.68% of the federal account) to the funding of the National Food Security Programme.  The federal government has floated a N200 billion naira bond (Federal Government Intervention Bond Issue) to provide long-term credit to private sector organizations which is currently being facilitated by the Central Bank through the Commercial Banks. 29
  • 30. CBN Intervention  Irked by the disproportionate low level of credit to the agricultural sector by the banks (when compared to the total level of credit to the economy) despite all its previous interventions, the Central Bank recently launched a new scheme to promote increased finance to Agriculture.  Previous schemes include ACGS, Presidential Agricultural Initiative, Bankers’ Committee Agric Loan Initiative, Interest Drawback Scheme, and the Commercial Agriculture Credit Scheme (CACS).  Yet, the lending to Agriculture is about 1.4% of total lending in the economy (despite the fact that Agriculture contributes close to 42% of the GDP);  New scheme is the Nigerian Incentive-Based Risk Sharing System for Agricultural Lending (NIRSAL). 30
  • 31. NIRSAL  According to the Central Bank, NIRSAL is a financing initiative that will; ◦ Provide farmers with affordable financial products ◦ Reduce the risk of granting bank loan to farmers. 31
  • 32. The Objectives of NIRSAL  Spark agricultural industrialization process through increased production and processing across the value chains.  Build capacities of Nigerian banks to lend to agriculture  Deploy risk sharing instruments that will lower the risks of lending  Provide technical assistance for farmers and banks  Develop a bank rating scheme that will incentivize and show case/situate banks based on their capacities to lend to the agriculture sectors. 32
  • 33. OPPORTUNITIES FOR INVESTMENT IN THE AGRIFOOD SYSTEM. To effectively identify and profitably exploit business opportunities within the agricultural value chain, you must be ready for the challenges of an ENTREPRENEUR. 33
  • 34. WHO IS AN ENTREPRENEUR?  The dictionary defines an entrepreneur as one who organizes, operates, and assumes the risk for a business venture.  An entrepreneur is a risk taker.  He is an adventurer.  He is someone who ventures out not without fears, but in spite of them.  Courage is his trademark. 34
  • 35. WHO IS AN ENTREPRENEUR? ◦ He dreams of starting an enterprise and he dares to pursue and actualize his dream. He is driven by his desires to venture out, to explore, and to risk much security in an attempt to create a product or a service that will be a solution to a problem in this world. ◦ He is never satisfied and will never be satisfied with his status quo. He asks questions, queries the norm and he experiments. ◦ He is not a quitter – He hangs in there against all odds even if others have quit or are quitting. When he falls, he rises again. He gets knocked down several many times, but never stays down. ◦ He is a fighter – fights battles within and without. Within himself, he must battle fear, doubts and anxieties. Outside of himself, he must battle foes and ironically friends. His foes are motivated by their desire to see his downfall; and his friends who oppose him are motivated by their concern for his welfare. He usually finds the oppositions of friends much tougher to overcome. ◦ He faces many tough days – days when cash is seriously lacking, days when employees have to be paid but money is not enough, the days he meets angry creditors, the days employees steal from him or unexpectedly quit on him, the day he loses key clients, the days he just doesn’t feel like continuing. 35
  • 36. “PECULIAR MESS”  The Nigerian entrepreneur faces peculiar problems. His battles are tougher, and his obstacles are greater.  Apart from the usual battle every entrepreneur fights, the Nigerian entrepreneur has also to contend with: ◦ Poor power supply ◦ Corruption ◦ Poverty ◦ Poor infrastructure ◦ Unstable economic and political environment and policies 36
  • 37. FUNCTIONS OF THE ENTREPRENEUR IN AGRIFOOD SYSTEM IN NIGERIA  Perception of economic opportunities within the Agriculture value chain  Providing technical and organizational innovations or adapting technologies for his own use to exploit identified opportunities  Gaining command over other resources  Taking responsibilities for the internal management and external advancement of the enterprise. 37
  • 38. OPPORTUNITIES  A business opportunity implies the availability of NEED with guaranteed sales volume at low enough cost.  The main and basic function of an Entrepreneur is scanning the environment in order to identify business opportunities for profitable investments.  Do you see yourself as one?  There are many opportunities within the Nigerian Agrifood System value chain for you as an entrepreneur to identify and profitably exploit. 38
  • 39. THE DOOR TO OPPORTUNITY Please note and observe the followings in your search for opportunities.  Opportunities and motivation are connected. Motivated people see opportunities and opportunities are often what motivate people.  Great attitudes precede great opportunities. Who you are determines what you are.  Today is the best day for an opportunity. Opportunity always takes “now” for an answer.  Opportunities are the result of pluck, not luck. The people who succeed seek out opportunities, and if they can’t find them, they create them. 39
  • 40. THE DOOR TO OPPORTUNITY ctd  Opportunities don’t present themselves in ideal circumstances. If you wait for the lights light to turn green, you will never leave your driveway.  Opportunity without commitment will be lost. Abandoned opportunities are simply pursued by the competitors.  Opportunity is birthed out of problems. If you are looking for a big opportunity, find a big problem.  Opportunities either multiply or disappear. The more opportunities you pursue, the more you find behind them.  Opportunities must be nourished if they are to survive. As Peter Drucker, the father of modern management says, “feed an opportunity, starve a problem. 40
  • 41. OPPORTUNITY SPHERE IN THE AGRICULTURE VALUE CHAIN. Agriculture value chain Industrial Input Agro Agro Trade Farmers manu- producers Dealers processors and exports facturers 41
  • 42. Input producers  e.g.  - Fertilizers  - Agrochemical  - Poultry feed  - Medicaments and Vaccines, etc. 42
  • 43. Farming  e.g.  - Arable Crops  - Poultry and Livestock  - Fisheries, etc. 43
  • 44. Agro Dealers  e.g.  - Grain merchants  - Egg Marketers, etc. 44
  • 45. Agro Processors - Feedmillers - Flourmillers - Tomato puree production - Egg Breaking - Cereal Meats production, etc. 45
  • 46. Trades and Export  Processed agric products merchandising, etc. 46
  • 47. Value Chain Maps - Soybean Soybean Meal/Cake * Animal feed * Protein foods Input industry Farmer Industrial Processor * Texturised bag Seed and other Combines inputs inputs to Transforms Soybeans soybeans into products Household process to local foods Soybean * Coking oil Oil * Lubricants * Paints, inks * Textile Finisher, etc ff 47
  • 48. EXPLOITING IDENTIFIED OPPORTUNTIES  Having identified the opportunity, you as the Entrepreneur, would now have to start a business organization to profitably exploit the opportunity.  Before you start the business venture, it is very important that you rate your personal capabilities and qualities to run the business efficiently. Such qualities include your ◦ Personal drive and initiative ◦ Creative thinking ability ◦ Communicative ability ◦ Leadership and responsibility; and ◦ Above all, technical know-how  A knowledge of book-keeping will be of immense advantage in running the business concern. 48
  • 49. FORMS OF ORGANISATION The business could be organized as:  A Sole Proprietorship company or  A Partnership with other entrepreneurs or  A Limited Liability Company 49
  • 50. BUSINESS LOCATION  After deciding on the type of business organization to start with, you would have to select the location of the business. In selecting a location, you have to consider factors such as: ◦ Availability of inputs for your operations; ◦ Market for the goods and services ◦ Understanding of the culture of people of that location ◦ Availability of labour for the business ◦ Availability of necessary infrastructure that are required for the smooth operation of the business e.g. good access roads, telecommunications, electricity, water etc. 50
  • 51. THE FEASIBILITY STUDY  The feasibility study in itself gives details on the financial, materials, machinery and manpower requirements of the proposed business concern.  The expected sales volume/revenue and return on capital employed/return on investment are also to be incorporated into the feasibility study.  A good feasibility study is essential for the successful take-off of the business as it would act as a guide in the implementation of the project. 51
  • 52. CAPITAL  2 major sources: ◦ Personal Savings – (P.S.) ◦ Other people’s money - (O.P.M.)  Other peoples’ money could be made available to you as: ◦ Loans, advances, grants and gifts from family, friends relations, and philanthropic organization; ◦ Loans from Financial Institutions e.g. Commercial Banks, Microfinance Institutions, Development Banks, Insurance Companies, Finance Houses. ◦ Aids from Government agencies such as National Directorate of Employment. 52
  • 53. CAPITAL  You must carefully estimate your capital needs. Luke 14:28  If you have collateral security, you may be able to borrow from financial institutions such as Banks.  It could be initially difficult to secure other peoples’ fund when you are first starting the new business because of lack of track record and guarantee of success at the beginning.  In short, you need a small budget that spells out into details the breakdown of your expenses and capital requirements.  The capital need will vary according to the type of business within the value chain you want to get involved in.  On acquisition of enough financial resources to profitably exploit the business opportunity, you are now ready to execute the project. 53
  • 54. MANAGEMENT  Now, having set up the business, you as the Entrepreneur would have to harness all the resources employed for profitable operation; and this you can only do through efficient management. 54
  • 55. VISION and MISSION  Your Vision is the statement of goals and objectives in very clear perspective i.e. the dreams of the organization.  Habakkuk 2:2 – write the vision, make it plain on tablets.  If your vision does not scare you, then it is not big enough.  Your goals must be clearly spelt out, and you must make yourself accountable for its realization.  Your mission must be the statement of strategies or systematic plan of actions for the accomplishment of the defined objectives of the company set out in the Vision statement.  These set goals, objectives, and strategies for actualizing them for the organization must never be subordinated to any other desires within the organization, including your personal desire if different from that of the organization. 55
  • 56. PROBLEMS  Various problems will emerge in the course of your managing the business, and these problems always vary according to the type of business you operate. Each of these problems will need a special treatment, and the problem solved before success is assured. Problem brings experience, and experience brings wisdom.  Rather than allowing problems or adversity to break you down, you should see and use it as opportunity to break new grounds and records. Every problem has the seeds of its own solution.  In all problems is buried some great opportunity. 56
  • 57. RECORD KEEPING  Good record-keeping is very essential in successful management  The Entrepreneur will have to install good mechanism for keeping records of all transactions within the organisation.  No job is completed until it is recorded. 57
  • 58. INGREDIENTS OF SUCCESS AS AN ENTREPRENEUR  Passion  Time Management  Courageous Persistence  Integrity  Competitive Edge  Action 58
  • 59. The Seven Secrets of Success ◦ There is no secret of success ◦ Success is for every one ◦ Your life becomes better only when you become better ◦ There is no success without sacrifice ◦ Success is achieved in inches not miles ◦ The greatest enemy of tomorrow’s success is today’s success. ◦ No advice on success works unless you do. 59
  • 60. Continuous Prayers  All the above ingredients must be backed up with continual prayers with firm and unshaken understanding and belief in the role of the Almighty God in achieving defined objectives.  Through prayers, barriers and constraints are supernaturally and mysteriously removed.  You must find time to pray. 60
  • 61. Towards Achieving Fulfillment  The proper applications of the ingredients of success earlier discussed are very key and fundamental for achievement of fulfillment.  These are all time-tested principles that will enable you achieve your visions.  More importantly, you must pay attention to the principles of God. While it is necessary to be ambitious in life, it is not virtue to be in so much hurry as to take short cuts. 61
  • 62. Respect Processes  We must be earnest; but we must have respect for processes.  Meanwhile, processes take time (however short) and those who cannot wait usually end up truncating divine processes in their lives.  Mark 4:26-32 – The two parables of our Lord Jesus Christ in the text show us a few things about growth or success or building a thing; ◦ Success takes time ◦ Success follows a process ◦ Success is multi-stage ◦ Success is tangible and measurable ◦ Success has rewards ◦ The process that leads to success is guided divinely. 62
  • 63. MY PERSONAL STORY To the glory of God, I am a living example of the fact that you can stay in this country and be a simple farmer and actualize your dream. 63
  • 64. CLOSING REMARK  Making a career in the Nigerian Agrifood System – the Expanded Agriculture is good and rewarding.  Agricultural productivity is generally low in Nigeria, but where there are many skilled entrepreneurs; who know what to do, and where to get relevant information and technology to improve their productivity, things can only improve.  We must take agriculture from the present subsistence level to commercial, and industrial; and it is only through the entrepreneurial initiatives and involvements of young people like you who are gathered here that we can achieve this. 64
  • 65. CLOSING REMARK  In the last four decades, countries such as Brazil, Malaysia, and Thailand have been able to achieve global competitiveness in agribusiness through initiatives spearheaded by the private sector with the commitment of public resources. We can do the same here in Nigeria.  Government has expressed its readiness to commit public resources to create the enabling environment .  The private sector must key into this agenda for the development and global competitiveness of the agrifood system in Nigeria. *This is my message at this conference*  It is the way to go, not just for its value to the nation; but also for the value it has for personal success and fulfillment. 65
  • 66. CLOSING REMARK  It would be my joy to see many of you become farmers and operators in the agriculture value chain very soon,  Or that those of you already in the chain deepen your stake in the business. 66
  • 67. CLOSING REMARK  However, whether or not you choose to join us in the agriculture value chain, please just make a positive impact in your little corner.  Remember that slogan – “It begins with you”.  Can our country Nigeria be better than what it is now? Yes, it can; but it begins with you! 67
  • 68. Thank you & God bless you. Olatunde Aiyedun Agbato olatundeagbato@yahoo.com 08022902318