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SOCIAL INNOVATION




Geoff Mulgan
% of 15 year olds with cognitive skills at the
                    highest level
            18%
            16%           UK
            14%           Singapore
            12%
            10%
             8%
             6%
             4%
             2%
             0%
                          Reading          Maths            Science

Source: PISA 2009
1. WHY NOW?
The priorities for innovation are changing
How we innovate is changing




     Elberfelder Farbenfabriken
     vorm. Friedrich Bayer & Co




     Bell Labs, Holmdel, NJ
User innovation
                                                 Innovation in
                                                 services
Elberfelder Farbenfabriken
vorm. Friedrich Bayer & Co


                             Social innovation




                               Open innovation
Bell Labs, Holmdel, NJ
Health spend as % GDP (2005) versus adult mortality rate (2006)



                             16
                             15
     Health spend as % GDP




                             14
                             13
                             12
                             11
                             10
                              9
                              8
                              7
                              6
                                  40   60           80             100   120
                                            Adult mortality rate

 Source: OECD Health Data 2010
Change in health spend share of GDP
versus % improvement in adult mortality rate

                                   3.0%
 % growth in share of GDP (p.a.)




                                   2.5%

                                   2.0%

                                   1.5%

                                   1.0%

                                   0.5%

                                   0.0%
                                      0.0%   0.5%   1.0%    1.5%    2.0%     2.5%    3.0%   3.5%
                                                % improvement in mortality rate (p.a.)
• Evolution of civil society’s economic roles – eg 11m
  jobs in Europe
• Growth of socially oriented commercial economy: US
  Congressional Budget Office: projections forecast total
  spending on health care will rise from 16% of GDP in
  2007 to 25% in 2025, 37% in 2050 and 49% in 2082.
• Visible exemplars: Grameen, BRAC, Pratham,
  Mondragon ...
2. WHAT SKILLS?
What skills for what kinds of innovation?




Technologist III

“Work involves testing patient
samples for efficacy/exploratory
biomarkers and pharmacokinetic
measurements using established
protocols and written procedures.
You should have experience in
techniques such as ELISA,
multiplex assays, and enzymatic
assays, as well as experience in
handling human samples.”
A craft that combines:
• Understanding of science, social science, evidence,
  experience …
• The subtle realities of taking ideas into effect and then
  scale
• What works in terms of impact, results
• What works in terms of public acceptability, politics
• How to organise, finance, assess innovations
• ???
3. THE NATURE OF THE FIELD
CONTRIBUTORS TO THE FIELD
         Web entrepreneurs. innovators
                                         Community projects

            Social scientists                      Mutuals, coops
                                          Politicians and parties
 Service design companies

                                    Design advocates
Professions                 User groups/NGOs

   Social                                Policy makers
   entrepreneurs
                                         IT/egovernment
         Public sector managers
                                              Consultancies
4. A THEORETICAL MODEL ON
THE NATURE OF INNOVATION
AND TECHNOLOGY
1. OBSERVE natural processes and
  social phenomena (light, electricity,
  care, exchange), REPLICATE and
  AMPLIFY
2. BUILDING BLOCKS- the web, portals,
  paraprofessionals, the universal
  benefit/tax credit, personal account,
  each forming a domain …
3. Innovations evolve systems and sub-systems
  with their own logics and architecture
4. Innovations give to rise to other innovations
  and combinations drive evolution
5. Radical innovation comes from
  ‘redomaining’, applying ideas from one field
  to another
Applying the model to social and public
innovation



  • Observation
  • Replication/amplification leads to
    building blocks
  • Evolution
  • Combination
  • Redomaining
5. THE SCALE OF PRACTICE
THE INNOVATOR’S PERSPECTIVE



              1 Prompts

2 Proposals
                                  6 Systemic
3 Prototypes                      change
    4 Sustaining
                      5 Scaling
THE SYSTEM’S PERSPECTIVE



          1 Prompts

    1.Mutation
2 Proposals
                              3.Replication
                               6 Systemic
3 Prototypes                   change
    4 Sustaining
             2.Selection
                  5 Scaling
2 Proposals
              1 Prompts
                                                        Customer journey maps
                                  6 Systemic
3 Prototypes

    4 Sustaining
                                  change
                                                user feedback
                      5 Scaling
                                                                        rights to time
                                                    failure demand
                    political mandates                                  for ideas
                                                            new technology
  data and evidence crisis
                                                                surveys and sousveys
needs mapping                                  diagnosis     ethnography
  1. prompts and triggers           cost escalation new paradigms
              critical walking
                    reviewing extremes, positive deviance
                   petitions, campaigns          visits
                                                complaints choirs
GATHERING INSIGHTS


                          Customer journey maps

                                             Ethnography




Asset mapping
ISSUE TREES
SYSTEMS THINKING
1 Prompts

2 Proposals
                                  6 Systemic
3 Prototypes                      change


                                               Competitions and prizes
    4 Sustaining
                      5 Scaling




                           Hybridisation, recombination
                                                                 creative meeting methods
                    collaborative networks                           SI Camps
    incubation                                 inspiration       Idea marketplaces

  2. proposals and ideas
               Design tools               User led design        Living Labs
                                              crowdsourcing Skunkworks
                          Artists in residence      Creativity methods
                                A teams                  reflection
                                           brainstorms
                                                          TRIZ
                                          Staged prizes
1 Prompts

2 Proposals
                                  6 Systemic
3 Prototypes                      change
    4 Sustaining
                      5 Scaling
                                                     pilots
                                  proof of concept             pathfinders
                          rapid prototyping                      simulations
                                               trials           beta testing

  3. prototypes and tests
                            Randomised control trials                    open testing
                                                              test marketing
                                  experimental zones
                                                         trailblazers
INCUBATORS AND ACCELERATORS
FORMAL PILOTS

• RCTs and random assignment – eg Creative
  Credits, J-PAL
• Experimental zones
• Living Labs
1 Prompts

2 Proposals
                                  6 Systemic
3 Prototypes

    4 Sustaining
                                  change
                                                       programme funding
                      5 Scaling


                                  formal validation
                           policy commitment
                          loans, equity, quasi-equity                  Refining business
                                                                       models
                                                  embedding
  4. sustaining                                                         Commissioner
                                                                        commitment
                      Ownership structures
                                                                       Professional
                                                 Public share issues   development
                                               Crowd-funding
Implementing
involves          Money and
putting         business model       Know-how
resources
and
structures
around the     Physical      INNOVATION
                                           People and
innovation     Resources                   governance


                            Reputation
                               and
                           effectiveness
•Developing a business model                                                    Intellectual
•Securing initial funds –                Developing
                                                      Building operational         property
                                           strategy                              protection
 customers and investment                             systems and
                                                      processes to deliverDistribution
      Business planning             Money and         for users
                                                                          channels and
                                                                          systems
    Banking and                   business model        Know-how
   working capital                                                      Management
                        Pricing
                                                                         information
   Sales and business       Purchasing                                       systems
   development
                        Leasing
•Acquiring the premises                                                   Co-operatives
 and equipment to       Physical          INNOVATION
                                                          People and
 deliver the innovation Resources                         governance Community
•Accessing the raw xxxx chain
                     Supply                                                 Interest
                                                               •Setup up Company
                     management      Advertising       Independent
 materials the innovation                            evaluationgovernance
                                                                 and      Industrial and
 requires                               Reputation             •Recruit
                                                      benchmarking             Provident
                   •Evaluating effectiveness
                                              and               leadership and Society
                     •Building brand, profile,       Non-executive       Partnerships
                                       effectiveness            team
                                  reputation         Directors             Charities
                   •Switching from previous             Shareholders
                                    solutions PR        agreements
1 Prompts

2 Proposals
                                  6 Systemic
3 Prototypes                      change


                                                federations
    4 Sustaining
                      5 Scaling


                                           franchises
                      licensing    policy and programme funding
                 investment for growth – loans, equity, quasi-equity
                                               diffusion          commissioning

  5. scaling and growth
               Brands                          Strategies for diffusion and adoption
                                                        consumer advocacy
                                                  growth through people        takeover

                                     professional networks
                                                  National policy directives
UNDERSTANDING THE POTENTIAL FOR SCALE
   Is there a viable                                               Are the systems /
   business model and                                           processes capable of
   evidence of demand Money and                                  operating at higher
   / market?          business model              Know-how       volume, or capable
                                                                      of expansion?

Are the resources
necessary for
expansion readily
available, affordable,   Physical         INNOVATION
                                                        People and         What are the
controllable?            Resources                      governance      aspirations and
                                                                    motivations of the
                                                                    key people behind
                Is there evidence of                              the innovation? How
                 the effectiveness of    Reputation                    critical are they?
                   the innovation? Is       and
                         that known,    effectiveness
                         understood,
                accepted by others?
1 Prompts

2 Proposals
                                  6 Systemic
3 Prototypes

    4 Sustaining
                                  change
                                                    law
                      5 Scaling

                                                                coalitions for change
                                    regulation        changed power relationships
                 changed scripts                          whole system demonstrators
                                               new mentalities
  6. systemic change
               recalibrated markets                new metrics      finance for
                          technical diffusion through supply chains outcomes
                                                fast colleges
Sonoma Mountain Village, Northern California USA




Hiriko City Car,
          Spain
HEALTH AND CARE

• Whole system demonstrators
• Social Networks for support
• Patient peer influence




                           46
Which tools could be useful to you as an
innovator? What’s good about what you see –
but where is scope for evolution, combination?
SOCIAL DESIGN TOOLS
^   inversion (peasants become bankers, patients become
    doctors)

∫   integration (personal advisers, one stop shops, portals,
    speeding flow)


x   extension (extended schools, outreach)

∂   differentiation (segmenting services by groups, or
    personalisation)
+   addition (getting GPs to do a new test, libraries running
    speech therapy)

-   subtraction (no frills, cutting targets, decluttering)

t   translation (airport management into hospitals,
    business planning into families)

g   grafting an element from one field into another,
    creating a new fusion (coaching into a secondary
    school)
∞   creative extremism – pushing ideas and methods to
    their furthest boundaries

r   random inputs (eg dictionaries, Yellow Pages)

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GIA Singapore - Introduction (Mulgan)

  • 2. % of 15 year olds with cognitive skills at the highest level 18% 16% UK 14% Singapore 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Reading Maths Science Source: PISA 2009
  • 4. The priorities for innovation are changing
  • 5. How we innovate is changing Elberfelder Farbenfabriken vorm. Friedrich Bayer & Co Bell Labs, Holmdel, NJ
  • 6. User innovation Innovation in services Elberfelder Farbenfabriken vorm. Friedrich Bayer & Co Social innovation Open innovation Bell Labs, Holmdel, NJ
  • 7.
  • 8. Health spend as % GDP (2005) versus adult mortality rate (2006) 16 15 Health spend as % GDP 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 40 60 80 100 120 Adult mortality rate Source: OECD Health Data 2010
  • 9. Change in health spend share of GDP versus % improvement in adult mortality rate 3.0% % growth in share of GDP (p.a.) 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% % improvement in mortality rate (p.a.)
  • 10. • Evolution of civil society’s economic roles – eg 11m jobs in Europe • Growth of socially oriented commercial economy: US Congressional Budget Office: projections forecast total spending on health care will rise from 16% of GDP in 2007 to 25% in 2025, 37% in 2050 and 49% in 2082. • Visible exemplars: Grameen, BRAC, Pratham, Mondragon ...
  • 12. What skills for what kinds of innovation? Technologist III “Work involves testing patient samples for efficacy/exploratory biomarkers and pharmacokinetic measurements using established protocols and written procedures. You should have experience in techniques such as ELISA, multiplex assays, and enzymatic assays, as well as experience in handling human samples.”
  • 13. A craft that combines: • Understanding of science, social science, evidence, experience … • The subtle realities of taking ideas into effect and then scale • What works in terms of impact, results • What works in terms of public acceptability, politics • How to organise, finance, assess innovations • ???
  • 14. 3. THE NATURE OF THE FIELD
  • 15.
  • 16. CONTRIBUTORS TO THE FIELD Web entrepreneurs. innovators Community projects Social scientists Mutuals, coops Politicians and parties Service design companies Design advocates Professions User groups/NGOs Social Policy makers entrepreneurs IT/egovernment Public sector managers Consultancies
  • 17. 4. A THEORETICAL MODEL ON THE NATURE OF INNOVATION AND TECHNOLOGY
  • 18. 1. OBSERVE natural processes and social phenomena (light, electricity, care, exchange), REPLICATE and AMPLIFY
  • 19. 2. BUILDING BLOCKS- the web, portals, paraprofessionals, the universal benefit/tax credit, personal account, each forming a domain …
  • 20. 3. Innovations evolve systems and sub-systems with their own logics and architecture
  • 21. 4. Innovations give to rise to other innovations and combinations drive evolution
  • 22. 5. Radical innovation comes from ‘redomaining’, applying ideas from one field to another
  • 23. Applying the model to social and public innovation • Observation • Replication/amplification leads to building blocks • Evolution • Combination • Redomaining
  • 24. 5. THE SCALE OF PRACTICE
  • 25. THE INNOVATOR’S PERSPECTIVE 1 Prompts 2 Proposals 6 Systemic 3 Prototypes change 4 Sustaining 5 Scaling
  • 26. THE SYSTEM’S PERSPECTIVE 1 Prompts 1.Mutation 2 Proposals 3.Replication 6 Systemic 3 Prototypes change 4 Sustaining 2.Selection 5 Scaling
  • 27. 2 Proposals 1 Prompts Customer journey maps 6 Systemic 3 Prototypes 4 Sustaining change user feedback 5 Scaling rights to time failure demand political mandates for ideas new technology data and evidence crisis surveys and sousveys needs mapping diagnosis ethnography 1. prompts and triggers cost escalation new paradigms critical walking reviewing extremes, positive deviance petitions, campaigns visits complaints choirs
  • 28. GATHERING INSIGHTS Customer journey maps Ethnography Asset mapping
  • 31. 1 Prompts 2 Proposals 6 Systemic 3 Prototypes change Competitions and prizes 4 Sustaining 5 Scaling Hybridisation, recombination creative meeting methods collaborative networks SI Camps incubation inspiration Idea marketplaces 2. proposals and ideas Design tools User led design Living Labs crowdsourcing Skunkworks Artists in residence Creativity methods A teams reflection brainstorms TRIZ Staged prizes
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34. 1 Prompts 2 Proposals 6 Systemic 3 Prototypes change 4 Sustaining 5 Scaling pilots proof of concept pathfinders rapid prototyping simulations trials beta testing 3. prototypes and tests Randomised control trials open testing test marketing experimental zones trailblazers
  • 36. FORMAL PILOTS • RCTs and random assignment – eg Creative Credits, J-PAL • Experimental zones • Living Labs
  • 37. 1 Prompts 2 Proposals 6 Systemic 3 Prototypes 4 Sustaining change programme funding 5 Scaling formal validation policy commitment loans, equity, quasi-equity Refining business models embedding 4. sustaining Commissioner commitment Ownership structures Professional Public share issues development Crowd-funding
  • 38. Implementing involves Money and putting business model Know-how resources and structures around the Physical INNOVATION People and innovation Resources governance Reputation and effectiveness
  • 39. •Developing a business model Intellectual •Securing initial funds – Developing Building operational property strategy protection customers and investment systems and processes to deliverDistribution Business planning Money and for users channels and systems Banking and business model Know-how working capital Management Pricing information Sales and business Purchasing systems development Leasing •Acquiring the premises Co-operatives and equipment to Physical INNOVATION People and deliver the innovation Resources governance Community •Accessing the raw xxxx chain Supply Interest •Setup up Company management Advertising Independent materials the innovation evaluationgovernance and Industrial and requires Reputation •Recruit benchmarking Provident •Evaluating effectiveness and leadership and Society •Building brand, profile, Non-executive Partnerships effectiveness team reputation Directors Charities •Switching from previous Shareholders solutions PR agreements
  • 40. 1 Prompts 2 Proposals 6 Systemic 3 Prototypes change federations 4 Sustaining 5 Scaling franchises licensing policy and programme funding investment for growth – loans, equity, quasi-equity diffusion commissioning 5. scaling and growth Brands Strategies for diffusion and adoption consumer advocacy growth through people takeover professional networks National policy directives
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43. UNDERSTANDING THE POTENTIAL FOR SCALE Is there a viable Are the systems / business model and processes capable of evidence of demand Money and operating at higher / market? business model Know-how volume, or capable of expansion? Are the resources necessary for expansion readily available, affordable, Physical INNOVATION People and What are the controllable? Resources governance aspirations and motivations of the key people behind Is there evidence of the innovation? How the effectiveness of Reputation critical are they? the innovation? Is and that known, effectiveness understood, accepted by others?
  • 44. 1 Prompts 2 Proposals 6 Systemic 3 Prototypes 4 Sustaining change law 5 Scaling coalitions for change regulation changed power relationships changed scripts whole system demonstrators new mentalities 6. systemic change recalibrated markets new metrics finance for technical diffusion through supply chains outcomes fast colleges
  • 45. Sonoma Mountain Village, Northern California USA Hiriko City Car, Spain
  • 46. HEALTH AND CARE • Whole system demonstrators • Social Networks for support • Patient peer influence 46
  • 47. Which tools could be useful to you as an innovator? What’s good about what you see – but where is scope for evolution, combination?
  • 48. SOCIAL DESIGN TOOLS ^ inversion (peasants become bankers, patients become doctors) ∫ integration (personal advisers, one stop shops, portals, speeding flow) x extension (extended schools, outreach) ∂ differentiation (segmenting services by groups, or personalisation) + addition (getting GPs to do a new test, libraries running speech therapy) - subtraction (no frills, cutting targets, decluttering) t translation (airport management into hospitals, business planning into families) g grafting an element from one field into another, creating a new fusion (coaching into a secondary school) ∞ creative extremism – pushing ideas and methods to their furthest boundaries r random inputs (eg dictionaries, Yellow Pages)