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New Financial Worlds Conference
M&A Competition Finals
.

Vodafone’s potential acquisition of KT Corp
December 15, 2012

•   Tarah Bouaricha
•   Geri Cupi
•   Mattia Zarulli
Vodafone Overview | Vodafone is one of the world‟s leading providers
of mobile telecommunication services

              Company Overview                                            Challenges
• One of the world‟s leading providers of mobile       • Intense competition could reduce market share
  telecom services                                       and revenues
• The most valuable telecom brand in the world         • Weak economic outlook for European telecom
  (valued at approximately $30 bn by Brand               market
  Finance)                                             • Mature European mobile markets may impact
• Global reach: equity interest in +30 countries and     future growth prospects
  partners in +40 countries
• Serving over 404 million customers
• A leader in the global M2M services market




                                                                                                     2
Vodafone Key Financials | Vodafone‟s financials show over £8 bn. in
cash and a Debt/EBITDA ratio of 2.6x

                  Income Statement                                           Balance Sheet
    March 31st                                   2012A     March 31st                           2012A
    Revenues                                  46,417.0     Cash & Equivalents                  8,286.0
    Cost of Goods Sold                        31,546.0     A/Receivable                        7,218.0
    Gross Profit                              14,871.0     Inventory                             486.0
                                                           Other Current Assets                4,035.0
    as % of Revenues                              32.0%
                                                           Total Current Assets               20,025.0
    Operating Expenses                         8,312.0
    EBITDA                                     6,559.0     PP&E, Net                          18,655.0
    as % of Revenues                              14.1%    Other L-T Assets                  100,896.0
                                                           Total Assets                      139,576.0
    Depn & Amortization                             -
    as % of Revenues                               0.0%    A/Payable                           4,526.0
    EBIT                                       6,559.0     S-T Debt                            6,258.0
    as % of Revenues                              14.1%    Other Current Liabilities          13,241.0
    Net Income                                 6,597.0     Total Current Liabilities          24,025.0
    as % of Revenues                              14.2%    L-T Debt                           28,362.0
                                                Debt
                                                           Other L-T Liabilities               8,987.0
                                               35,515      Total Liabilities                  61,374.0
                                               (33%)
                                                           Common Stock                        3,866.0
                                                 Min.      Additional Paid In Capital        154,123.0
                                               Interest
                                              1,037 (1%)   Retained Earnings                 -84,184.0
                                                           Treasury Stock                     -7,841.0
                                                Equity     Minority Interest                   1,267.0
                                                69,435     Comprehensive Inc. and Other       10,971.0
                                                (66%)
                                                           Total Equity                       78,202.0
                                                           Total Libailities & Equity        139,576.0
                 Vodafone Capital Structure
                                                                                                     3
KT Corp. Overview | KT Corp is the leading telecommunication, data
provider and broadband internet access provider in Korea

              Company Overview                       Share Price Movement
• The leading telecommunication, data provider and
  broadband internet access provider in Korea
• The second largest telecommunications service
  provider: 16.5 million subscribers as of FY2011,
  representing a market share of 31.5%
• Robust network capabilities
• Other services include: IPTV, Leased line, Data
  communication, Satellite, Credit cards, IT and
  Cloud computing
• In 2011, it launched its M2M communication
  technologies




                                                                            4
KT Corp – Key Financials | KT Corp‟s financials show good
profitability

                Income Statement                                            Balance Sheet
     December 31st                              2011A     December 31st                       2011A
     Revenues                                12,697.1     Cash & Equivalents                   978.5
     Cost of Goods Sold                        4,878.4    A/Receivable                       4,103.3
     Gross Profit                              7,818.7    Inventory                            389.6
                                                          Other Current Assets                 181.8
     as % of Revenues                            61.6%
                                                          Total Current Assets               5,653.2
     Operating Expenses                        4,970.4
     EBITDA                                    2,848.3    PP&E, Net                          8,096.7
     as % of Revenues                            22.4%    Other L-T Assets                   4,776.3
                                                          Total Assets                      18,526.2
     Depn & Amortization                       1,708.8
     as % of Revenues                            13.5%    A/Payable                            944.3
     EBIT                                      1,139.5    S-T Debt                           1,219.8
     as % of Revenues                              9.0%   S-T Capital Leases                    26.7
     Net Income                                  834.1    Other Current Liabilities          2,858.7
     as % of Revenues                              6.6%   Total Current Liabilities          5,049.5
                                                          L-T Debt                           5,130.9
                                               Debt       Capital Leases                        52.0
                                            6,632 (47%)   Other L-T Liabilities              1,054.4
                                                          Total Liabilities                 11,286.8

                                               Min.       Common Stock                         903.3
                                             Interest     Additional Paid In Capital           831.6
                                             490 (3%)
                                                          Retained Earnings                  5,900.8
                                               Equity     Treasury Stock                      -550.6
                                            7,126 (50%)   Minority Interest                    481.3
                                                          Comprehensive Inc. and Other        -327.1
                KT Corp Capital Structure                 Total Equity                       7,239.3
                                                          Total Libailities & Equity        18,526.15
Acquisition Rationale | The acquisition of KT will allow Vodafone to
    expand in Asia and act as an entrance in a technological savvy country.

1
    Vittorio Colaco, Vodafone‟s Chief Executive, said “Our focus on the key growth areas of data, emerging markets
    and enterprise is positioning us well in a difficult macroeconomic environment. Our commercial performance and
    our ability to leverage scale continue to be strong, enabling us to gain or hold market share in most of our key
    markets, and reduce the rate of margin decline”.




2
    Vodafone is highly focused in the mature European
    market. In order to compete with other global providers,
    an expansion in Asia is necessary. In Asia, Vodafone
    operates only in India and has partners in other
    countries.




3
    M2M market is projected to reach a value of more than
    $36 billion by the end of 2016. The acquisition of KT
    will allow Vodafone to expand in the fast growth market
    of Asia and act as an entrance in in a technological
    savvy country.




                                                                                                                   6
Discounted Cash Flows Analysis | The analysis results in an                                                                                         1
 EV of £17.5 bn. And an EqV of £11.5 bn.
                                      2011A    2012P    2013P    2014P    2015P    2016P Terminal Value
December 31st                              0        1        2        3        4        5                              WACC
Revenues                           12,697.1 14,131.9 15,107.0 15,862.3 16,655.4 17,488.2      17,663.1                 Rf (30yr UK Govt Bond)        3.1%
                                                                                                                       Equity Risk Premium           6.3%
EBITDA                              2,848.3    3,170.2      3,388.9    3,558.3     3,736.3     3,923.1      3,962.3    KT Corp. Beta                   0.2
Depn & Amortization                 1,708.8    1,901.9      2,033.1    2,134.8     2,241.5     2,353.6      2,377.1    Country Risk Premium          1.3%
EBIT                                1,139.5    1,268.3      1,355.8    1,423.6     1,494.7     1,569.5      1,585.2    Equity Cost of Capital        5.7%
                                                                                                                       Cost of Debt                  5.9%
Tax Margin                            42.6%      42.6%        42.6%      42.6%       42.6%       42.6%        42.6%
Tax on EBIT                          485.0       539.9       577.1       606.0       636.3       668.1       674.8     Number of Shares (mm)      243.7
NOPAT                                654.5       728.4       778.7       817.6       858.5       901.4       910.4     Share Price                 22.0
                                                                                                                       Market Cap               5,354.1
Depn & Amortization                 1,708.8     1,901.9     2,033.1     2,134.8     2,241.5     2,353.6     2,377.1    Net Debt                   5,372
Change in Working Capital            (871.7)      (33.9)      (62.5)      (48.4)      (50.8)      (53.4)      (11.2)
CAPEX as % of Depn          110%   (1,879.7)   (2,092.1)   (2,236.4)   (2,348.3)   (2,465.7)   (2,589.0)   (2,614.8)   WACC                          4.5%
Free Cash Flow                                    504.3       512.9       555.7       583.5       612.7       661.5

WACC                        4.5%
Discount factor                                   0.96        0.92        0.88        0.84        0.80        0.80
PV                                               482.5       469.4       486.6       488.8       491.1
Terminal Value                                                                                             18,769.3
PV of Terminal Value                                                                                       15,043.9




   Enterprise Value                                        17,462.3                       Equity Value                                     11,530.1

   Implied EV/Revenues                                          1.2x                      Equity Value/Share                                    47.3

   Implied EV/EBITDA                                            5.5x                      Share Premium                                         115%




                                                                                                                                                 7
Trading Comparables Analysis | KT Corp.‟s peer group trades                                                                                2
 at 2.0x revenues and 5.5x EBITDA

                                                                       MCap and EV                          Valuation Multiples
Trading Comparables                                                 Market     Enterprise
                                           Country     Currency
(in millions, except where noted)                                    Cap         Value      EV/Revenues        EV/EBITDA          P/E
LG Uplus Corp. (KOSE:A032640)              Korea        GBP          1,852.9      4,365.0            0.7x              5.2x                 NM
Onse Telecom Corporation (KOSE:A036630)    Korea        GBP             45.3         72.7               -                 -                   -
Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT
                                           Indonesia    GBP         11,278.7    12,476.6             2.5x                 4.9x          14.0x
Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (JKSE:TLKM)
PT Indosat Tbk (JKSE:ISAT)                 Indonesia    GBP          2,238.1     3,483.4             2.5x                 5.5x          24.6x
SK Broadband Co., Ltd. (KOSE:A033630)      Korea        GBP            773.3     1,487.1             1.1x                 4.8x           NM
Telstra Corporation Limited (ASX:TLS)      USA          GBP         34,533.3    42,494.3             2.6x                 6.7x          15.5x
Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE:VZ)      USA          GBP         79,223.1   139,623.9             2.0x                 7.0x          41.4x
VimpelCom Ltd. (NYSE:VIP)                  USA          GBP         11,091.3    26,719.5             1.9x                 4.5x          18.6x
Vodafone Group Public Limited Company
                                           UK           GBP         79,433.2   108,378.2             2.4x                 5.6x              NM
(LSE:VOD)

                                                                                                             Multiples Range
                                                                  High                              2.6x                 7.0x           41.4x
                                                                  Low                               0.7x                 4.5x           14.0x
                                                                  Mean                              2.0x                 5.5x           22.8x
                                                                  Median                            2.2x                 5.4x           18.6x




                                                                                                                                        8
Transaction Comparables Analysis | The EV/EBITDA multiple 3
  for Asia-Pacific telecommunication companies is, on average, 5.7x

                                                                                                                   Valuation Multiples
                                                   Target             %   Enterprise
Date      Buyer              Target               Country      acquired       Value Curr.          Sales                 EBITDA              EBIT
Oct2012   SOFTBANK CORP.     eAccess Ltd.          Japan       100.0%      346,566.4    JPY     203,862.6   1.7x       45,600.8   7.6x   21,004.0       16.5x


Oct2012   Vodafone New       TelstraClear       New Zealand    100.0%          657.5    NZD        657.5    1.0x          149.4   4.4x       17.8       36.9x
          Zealand Ltd.       Limited
Oct2009   LG Uplus Corp.     LG Powercom        South Korea    100.0%     2,198,878.0   KRW   1,374,298.8   1.6x      372,691.2   5.9x   82,664.6       26.6x
                             Corporation
Nov2011   NTT DOCOMO, Inc.   Philippine Long     Philippines    2.1%       597,757.5    PHP     142,323.2   4.2x       83,021.9   7.2x   56,392.2       10.6x
                             Distance
Jun2009   NTT DOCOMO, Inc.   Telephone Co., Ltd. South Korea
                             KT Freetel                        47.0%      6,853,496.2   KRW   8,566,870.3   0.8x 1,489,890.5      4.6x 362,618.8        18.9x


Sep2010   Vodafone Group     China Mobile        Hong Kong     100.0%      107,578.0    GBP      44,824.2   2.4x       22,888.9   4.7x   14,941.4        7.2x
          Public Limited     Limited
          Company

                                                                                                                     Multiples Range
                                                                                              High          4.2x                  7.6x              36.9x
                                                                                              Low           0.8x                  4.4x               7.2x
                                                                                              Mean          2.0x                  5.7x              19.5x
                                                                                              Median        1.7x                  5.3x              17.7x




                                                                                                                                                    9
Summary of Findings | Plotting together the three methodologies                                                      4
reveals that the DCF values are in line with market multiples



                                           EV/Revenues                          EV/EBITDA

                                    DCF                                         DCF
                                    1.2x                                        5.5x


                              0.7x               2.6x                4.5x                  7.0x
    Trading Comps


                             0.8x                            4.2x   4.4x                          7.6x
Transaction Comps


                                 1           2          3       4           5          6      7




An accretion/dilution analysis (see Appendix) reveals that an all equity acquisition would be slightly dilutive for
Vodafone. We would therefore recommend financing the acquisition of KT Corp through a combination of cash on
the balance sheet, additional debt and new equity.




                                                                                                                10
Appendices:

M&A Competition
Vodafone’s potential acquisition of KT Corp




                                              11
KT Corp. Projected Income Statement

                                           2011A       2012P       2013P       2014P       2015P       2016P    Terminal Value
                 December 31st                  0           1           2           3           4           5
Revenues                                12,697.1    14,131.9    15,107.0    15,862.3    16,655.4    17,488.2         17,663.1
Average Historic Growth          4.0%
LTM Growth (Sep2012)                                  12.5%
Consensus Growth                                      10.1%         3.9%        2.5%        4.6%
Industry Growth (Asia-Pacific)                         5.5%         5.5%        5.5%        5.5%        5.5%
Growth used in model                                  11.3%         6.9%        5.0%        5.0%        5.0%             1.0%

Cost of Goods Sold                       4,878.4     5,429.7     5,804.3     6,094.5     6,399.2     6,719.2          6,786.4
Gross Profit                             7,818.7     8,702.2     9,302.7     9,767.8    10,256.2    10,769.0         10,876.7
             as % of Revenues              61.6%       61.6%       61.6%       61.6%       61.6%       61.6%            61.6%

Operating Expenses                       4,970.4     5,532.1     5,913.8     6,209.5     6,519.9     6,845.9          6,914.4
EBITDA                                   2,848.3     3,170.2     3,388.9     3,558.3     3,736.3     3,923.1          3,962.3
EBITDA Margin used in model                22.4%       22.4%       22.4%       22.4%       22.4%       22.4%            22.4%

Depn & Amortization                      1,708.8     1,901.9     2,033.1     2,134.8     2,241.5     2,353.6          2,377.1
             as % of Revenues              13.5%       13.5%       13.5%       13.5%       13.5%       13.5%            13.5%
EBIT                                     1,139.5     1,268.3     1,355.8     1,423.6     1,494.7     1,569.5          1,585.2
             as % of Revenues               9.0%        9.0%        9.0%        9.0%        9.0%        9.0%             9.0%
KT Corp. Project Balance Sheet

                        December 31st                2011A     2012P     2013P     2014P     2015P     2016P    Terminal Value
Cash & Equivalents                         738.5      978.5
A/Receivable                             2,952.7    4,103.3   4,567.0   4,882.1   5,126.2   5,382.5   5,651.6         5,708.2
                                DSO                   118.0     118.0     118.0     118.0     118.0     118.0            118.0
Inventory                                 410.3      389.6     389.6     416.5     437.3     459.2     482.1            487.0
                                 DIO                   26.2      26.2      26.2      26.2      26.2      26.2             26.2
Other Current Assets                      240.2      181.8     181.8     194.3     204.1     214.3     225.0            227.2
                  as % of Revenues                    1.3%       1.3%      1.3%      1.3%      1.3%      1.3%            1.3%
Total Current Assets                     4,341.7    5,653.2
PP&E, Net                                7,736.2    8,096.7
Other L-T Assets                         3,478.3    4,776.3
Total Assets                            15,556.2   18,526.2
A/Payable                                 880.0      944.3    1,051.0   1,123.5   1,179.7   1,238.7   1,300.6         1,313.6
                                DPO                    70.7      70.7      70.7      70.7      70.7      70.7             70.7
S-T Debt                                 1,572.6    1,219.8
S-T Capital Leases                          19.1       26.7
Other Current Liabilities                2,080.9    2,858.7   3,181.7   3,401.3   3,571.3   3,749.9   3,937.4          3,976.8
                  as % of Revenues                   22.5%      22.5%     22.5%     22.5%     22.5%     22.5%           22.5%
Total Current Liabilities                4,552.6    5,049.5
L-T Debt                                 3,845.5    5,130.9
Capital Leases                              35.1       52.0
Other L-T Liabilities                      567.1    1,054.4
Total Liabilities                        9,000.3   11,286.8

Total Equity                             6,555.8    7,239.3
Total Libailities & Equity              15,556.1   18,526.1

Working Capital                           642.3       871.7     905.6     968.1   1,016.5   1,067.4   1,120.7          1,131.9
Changes in Working Capital                           229.4      33.9      62.5      48.4      50.8      53.4             11.2
Accretion/Dilution Analysis

Vodafone Share Price                 1.6
Vodafone Shares Out             49,163.4
Vodafone Net Income              6,957.0
Vodafone EPS                       0.142
KT Corp NOPAT (no synergies)      728.4


Transaction Value per Share        47.3        47.3       47.3       47.3
Common Stock KT                 11,530.1    11,530.1   11,530.1   11,530.1
Stock Portion of acquisition       100%         50%        40%        20%
Shares Issued for KT Corp        7,073.7     3,536.8    2,829.5    1,414.7
Total Shares Post Transaction   56,237.1    52,700.2   51,992.9   50,578.1

Pro-Forma Net Income             7,685.4     7,685.4    7,685.4    7,685.4
EPS Post acquisition               0.137      0.146      0.148      0.152
Accretion/Dilution                (0.005)     0.004      0.006      0.010
Asia-Pacific telecommunication services market value
2011-2016

South Korea has one of the
world‟s most active
telecommunications and IT
markets backed by strong
support from the government.
As well as the commitment of
the government, the sector is
boosted by an innovative
private sector and a
technologically savvy
population. Spending on ICT
and high-technology equipment
helped lead a transformation of
the economy. The government
aims to transform the country
into a knowledge-based
information society in a „smart-
age‟.

South Korea accounts for 5.1%
of the Asia Pacific
telecommunications market
value
M&A Competition Team Members

          Geri (Rigers) Cupi, President at Bath University Management Society
          rc456@bath.ac.uk
          Geri is a 2nd year Undergraduate at University of Bath studying Business Administration
          expected to graduate in 2015. Currently, Geri is having a 6 month placement as Northern
          Europe Sales Operations Admin at Vodafone Global Enterprise HQ. In the past, Geri
          worked as Credit Risk Analyst Intern at National Commerce Bank (BKT) in Albania. Geri
          has been involved in leading different student societies (CEO of Young Enterprise in
          St. Clares, Oxford, President of Management Society, Committee member of Bath
          Entrepreneurs Society).

          Mattia Zarulli, Mergers and Acquisitions Associate
          mattiazarulli@gmail.com
          Mattia has worked for the past 5 years in New York as an Associate at Clairfield
          International; a top-ranked M&A investment bank boutique specialized in mid-market,
          cross-border transactions. During his tenure at Clairfield, Mattia has worked with large
          multinationals as well as small/medium enterprises on transactions across a variety of
          industries. Mattia is currently enrolled in the MBA programme at the University of
          Cambridge – Judge Business School.

          Tarah Bouaricha, 4th year in Financial Engineering
          b.tarah@gmail.com
          Tarah is studying Financial Engineering in 4th year at ECE Paris. She spent one semester
          at Concordia University to study Computer Science. Tarah carried out two internships at
          Societe Generale and discovered the bank management. She's looking for an off cycle
          internship in investment banking.



                                                                                             16
References

• Vodafone Group Public Limited Company website – www.vodafone.com
• Vodafone group fact sheet - www.vodafone.com/content/dam/vodafone/investors/factsheet/group_factsheet.pdf
• Vodafone group releases -
 www.vodafone.com/content/index/media/group_press_releases/2012/prelim_31march2012.html
• KT Corp website - www.kt.com/eng/
• Marketile – www.marketline.com
• Marketline Industry Profile Telecommunication Services in Asia-Pacific
• Capital IQ
• http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/investing/article-2097825/Credit-Suisse-stock-market-returns-1900-The-24-
 year-spell-UK-shares-failed.html
• www.budde.com.au/Research/South-Korea-Key-Statistics-Infrastructure-Regulatory-Overview-and-Forecasts.html
• www.rcrwireless.com/blog/20120105/industry/report-global-telecom-industry-revenue-to-grow-at-5-3-annually/




                                                                                                               17
Vodafone’s potential acquisition of KT Corp by Geri Cupi Mattia Zarulli Tarah Bouaricha at New Financial Worlds Conference - M&A Competition Finals

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Vodafone’s potential acquisition of KT Corp by Geri Cupi Mattia Zarulli Tarah Bouaricha at New Financial Worlds Conference - M&A Competition Finals

  • 1. New Financial Worlds Conference M&A Competition Finals . Vodafone’s potential acquisition of KT Corp December 15, 2012 • Tarah Bouaricha • Geri Cupi • Mattia Zarulli
  • 2. Vodafone Overview | Vodafone is one of the world‟s leading providers of mobile telecommunication services Company Overview Challenges • One of the world‟s leading providers of mobile • Intense competition could reduce market share telecom services and revenues • The most valuable telecom brand in the world • Weak economic outlook for European telecom (valued at approximately $30 bn by Brand market Finance) • Mature European mobile markets may impact • Global reach: equity interest in +30 countries and future growth prospects partners in +40 countries • Serving over 404 million customers • A leader in the global M2M services market 2
  • 3. Vodafone Key Financials | Vodafone‟s financials show over £8 bn. in cash and a Debt/EBITDA ratio of 2.6x Income Statement Balance Sheet March 31st 2012A March 31st 2012A Revenues 46,417.0 Cash & Equivalents 8,286.0 Cost of Goods Sold 31,546.0 A/Receivable 7,218.0 Gross Profit 14,871.0 Inventory 486.0 Other Current Assets 4,035.0 as % of Revenues 32.0% Total Current Assets 20,025.0 Operating Expenses 8,312.0 EBITDA 6,559.0 PP&E, Net 18,655.0 as % of Revenues 14.1% Other L-T Assets 100,896.0 Total Assets 139,576.0 Depn & Amortization - as % of Revenues 0.0% A/Payable 4,526.0 EBIT 6,559.0 S-T Debt 6,258.0 as % of Revenues 14.1% Other Current Liabilities 13,241.0 Net Income 6,597.0 Total Current Liabilities 24,025.0 as % of Revenues 14.2% L-T Debt 28,362.0 Debt Other L-T Liabilities 8,987.0 35,515 Total Liabilities 61,374.0 (33%) Common Stock 3,866.0 Min. Additional Paid In Capital 154,123.0 Interest 1,037 (1%) Retained Earnings -84,184.0 Treasury Stock -7,841.0 Equity Minority Interest 1,267.0 69,435 Comprehensive Inc. and Other 10,971.0 (66%) Total Equity 78,202.0 Total Libailities & Equity 139,576.0 Vodafone Capital Structure 3
  • 4. KT Corp. Overview | KT Corp is the leading telecommunication, data provider and broadband internet access provider in Korea Company Overview Share Price Movement • The leading telecommunication, data provider and broadband internet access provider in Korea • The second largest telecommunications service provider: 16.5 million subscribers as of FY2011, representing a market share of 31.5% • Robust network capabilities • Other services include: IPTV, Leased line, Data communication, Satellite, Credit cards, IT and Cloud computing • In 2011, it launched its M2M communication technologies 4
  • 5. KT Corp – Key Financials | KT Corp‟s financials show good profitability Income Statement Balance Sheet December 31st 2011A December 31st 2011A Revenues 12,697.1 Cash & Equivalents 978.5 Cost of Goods Sold 4,878.4 A/Receivable 4,103.3 Gross Profit 7,818.7 Inventory 389.6 Other Current Assets 181.8 as % of Revenues 61.6% Total Current Assets 5,653.2 Operating Expenses 4,970.4 EBITDA 2,848.3 PP&E, Net 8,096.7 as % of Revenues 22.4% Other L-T Assets 4,776.3 Total Assets 18,526.2 Depn & Amortization 1,708.8 as % of Revenues 13.5% A/Payable 944.3 EBIT 1,139.5 S-T Debt 1,219.8 as % of Revenues 9.0% S-T Capital Leases 26.7 Net Income 834.1 Other Current Liabilities 2,858.7 as % of Revenues 6.6% Total Current Liabilities 5,049.5 L-T Debt 5,130.9 Debt Capital Leases 52.0 6,632 (47%) Other L-T Liabilities 1,054.4 Total Liabilities 11,286.8 Min. Common Stock 903.3 Interest Additional Paid In Capital 831.6 490 (3%) Retained Earnings 5,900.8 Equity Treasury Stock -550.6 7,126 (50%) Minority Interest 481.3 Comprehensive Inc. and Other -327.1 KT Corp Capital Structure Total Equity 7,239.3 Total Libailities & Equity 18,526.15
  • 6. Acquisition Rationale | The acquisition of KT will allow Vodafone to expand in Asia and act as an entrance in a technological savvy country. 1 Vittorio Colaco, Vodafone‟s Chief Executive, said “Our focus on the key growth areas of data, emerging markets and enterprise is positioning us well in a difficult macroeconomic environment. Our commercial performance and our ability to leverage scale continue to be strong, enabling us to gain or hold market share in most of our key markets, and reduce the rate of margin decline”. 2 Vodafone is highly focused in the mature European market. In order to compete with other global providers, an expansion in Asia is necessary. In Asia, Vodafone operates only in India and has partners in other countries. 3 M2M market is projected to reach a value of more than $36 billion by the end of 2016. The acquisition of KT will allow Vodafone to expand in the fast growth market of Asia and act as an entrance in in a technological savvy country. 6
  • 7. Discounted Cash Flows Analysis | The analysis results in an 1 EV of £17.5 bn. And an EqV of £11.5 bn. 2011A 2012P 2013P 2014P 2015P 2016P Terminal Value December 31st 0 1 2 3 4 5 WACC Revenues 12,697.1 14,131.9 15,107.0 15,862.3 16,655.4 17,488.2 17,663.1 Rf (30yr UK Govt Bond) 3.1% Equity Risk Premium 6.3% EBITDA 2,848.3 3,170.2 3,388.9 3,558.3 3,736.3 3,923.1 3,962.3 KT Corp. Beta 0.2 Depn & Amortization 1,708.8 1,901.9 2,033.1 2,134.8 2,241.5 2,353.6 2,377.1 Country Risk Premium 1.3% EBIT 1,139.5 1,268.3 1,355.8 1,423.6 1,494.7 1,569.5 1,585.2 Equity Cost of Capital 5.7% Cost of Debt 5.9% Tax Margin 42.6% 42.6% 42.6% 42.6% 42.6% 42.6% 42.6% Tax on EBIT 485.0 539.9 577.1 606.0 636.3 668.1 674.8 Number of Shares (mm) 243.7 NOPAT 654.5 728.4 778.7 817.6 858.5 901.4 910.4 Share Price 22.0 Market Cap 5,354.1 Depn & Amortization 1,708.8 1,901.9 2,033.1 2,134.8 2,241.5 2,353.6 2,377.1 Net Debt 5,372 Change in Working Capital (871.7) (33.9) (62.5) (48.4) (50.8) (53.4) (11.2) CAPEX as % of Depn 110% (1,879.7) (2,092.1) (2,236.4) (2,348.3) (2,465.7) (2,589.0) (2,614.8) WACC 4.5% Free Cash Flow 504.3 512.9 555.7 583.5 612.7 661.5 WACC 4.5% Discount factor 0.96 0.92 0.88 0.84 0.80 0.80 PV 482.5 469.4 486.6 488.8 491.1 Terminal Value 18,769.3 PV of Terminal Value 15,043.9 Enterprise Value 17,462.3 Equity Value 11,530.1 Implied EV/Revenues 1.2x Equity Value/Share 47.3 Implied EV/EBITDA 5.5x Share Premium 115% 7
  • 8. Trading Comparables Analysis | KT Corp.‟s peer group trades 2 at 2.0x revenues and 5.5x EBITDA MCap and EV Valuation Multiples Trading Comparables Market Enterprise Country Currency (in millions, except where noted) Cap Value EV/Revenues EV/EBITDA P/E LG Uplus Corp. (KOSE:A032640) Korea GBP 1,852.9 4,365.0 0.7x 5.2x NM Onse Telecom Corporation (KOSE:A036630) Korea GBP 45.3 72.7 - - - Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Indonesia GBP 11,278.7 12,476.6 2.5x 4.9x 14.0x Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (JKSE:TLKM) PT Indosat Tbk (JKSE:ISAT) Indonesia GBP 2,238.1 3,483.4 2.5x 5.5x 24.6x SK Broadband Co., Ltd. (KOSE:A033630) Korea GBP 773.3 1,487.1 1.1x 4.8x NM Telstra Corporation Limited (ASX:TLS) USA GBP 34,533.3 42,494.3 2.6x 6.7x 15.5x Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE:VZ) USA GBP 79,223.1 139,623.9 2.0x 7.0x 41.4x VimpelCom Ltd. (NYSE:VIP) USA GBP 11,091.3 26,719.5 1.9x 4.5x 18.6x Vodafone Group Public Limited Company UK GBP 79,433.2 108,378.2 2.4x 5.6x NM (LSE:VOD) Multiples Range High 2.6x 7.0x 41.4x Low 0.7x 4.5x 14.0x Mean 2.0x 5.5x 22.8x Median 2.2x 5.4x 18.6x 8
  • 9. Transaction Comparables Analysis | The EV/EBITDA multiple 3 for Asia-Pacific telecommunication companies is, on average, 5.7x Valuation Multiples Target % Enterprise Date Buyer Target Country acquired Value Curr. Sales EBITDA EBIT Oct2012 SOFTBANK CORP. eAccess Ltd. Japan 100.0% 346,566.4 JPY 203,862.6 1.7x 45,600.8 7.6x 21,004.0 16.5x Oct2012 Vodafone New TelstraClear New Zealand 100.0% 657.5 NZD 657.5 1.0x 149.4 4.4x 17.8 36.9x Zealand Ltd. Limited Oct2009 LG Uplus Corp. LG Powercom South Korea 100.0% 2,198,878.0 KRW 1,374,298.8 1.6x 372,691.2 5.9x 82,664.6 26.6x Corporation Nov2011 NTT DOCOMO, Inc. Philippine Long Philippines 2.1% 597,757.5 PHP 142,323.2 4.2x 83,021.9 7.2x 56,392.2 10.6x Distance Jun2009 NTT DOCOMO, Inc. Telephone Co., Ltd. South Korea KT Freetel 47.0% 6,853,496.2 KRW 8,566,870.3 0.8x 1,489,890.5 4.6x 362,618.8 18.9x Sep2010 Vodafone Group China Mobile Hong Kong 100.0% 107,578.0 GBP 44,824.2 2.4x 22,888.9 4.7x 14,941.4 7.2x Public Limited Limited Company Multiples Range High 4.2x 7.6x 36.9x Low 0.8x 4.4x 7.2x Mean 2.0x 5.7x 19.5x Median 1.7x 5.3x 17.7x 9
  • 10. Summary of Findings | Plotting together the three methodologies 4 reveals that the DCF values are in line with market multiples EV/Revenues EV/EBITDA DCF DCF 1.2x 5.5x 0.7x 2.6x 4.5x 7.0x Trading Comps 0.8x 4.2x 4.4x 7.6x Transaction Comps 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 An accretion/dilution analysis (see Appendix) reveals that an all equity acquisition would be slightly dilutive for Vodafone. We would therefore recommend financing the acquisition of KT Corp through a combination of cash on the balance sheet, additional debt and new equity. 10
  • 12. KT Corp. Projected Income Statement 2011A 2012P 2013P 2014P 2015P 2016P Terminal Value December 31st 0 1 2 3 4 5 Revenues 12,697.1 14,131.9 15,107.0 15,862.3 16,655.4 17,488.2 17,663.1 Average Historic Growth 4.0% LTM Growth (Sep2012) 12.5% Consensus Growth 10.1% 3.9% 2.5% 4.6% Industry Growth (Asia-Pacific) 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% Growth used in model 11.3% 6.9% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 1.0% Cost of Goods Sold 4,878.4 5,429.7 5,804.3 6,094.5 6,399.2 6,719.2 6,786.4 Gross Profit 7,818.7 8,702.2 9,302.7 9,767.8 10,256.2 10,769.0 10,876.7 as % of Revenues 61.6% 61.6% 61.6% 61.6% 61.6% 61.6% 61.6% Operating Expenses 4,970.4 5,532.1 5,913.8 6,209.5 6,519.9 6,845.9 6,914.4 EBITDA 2,848.3 3,170.2 3,388.9 3,558.3 3,736.3 3,923.1 3,962.3 EBITDA Margin used in model 22.4% 22.4% 22.4% 22.4% 22.4% 22.4% 22.4% Depn & Amortization 1,708.8 1,901.9 2,033.1 2,134.8 2,241.5 2,353.6 2,377.1 as % of Revenues 13.5% 13.5% 13.5% 13.5% 13.5% 13.5% 13.5% EBIT 1,139.5 1,268.3 1,355.8 1,423.6 1,494.7 1,569.5 1,585.2 as % of Revenues 9.0% 9.0% 9.0% 9.0% 9.0% 9.0% 9.0%
  • 13. KT Corp. Project Balance Sheet December 31st 2011A 2012P 2013P 2014P 2015P 2016P Terminal Value Cash & Equivalents 738.5 978.5 A/Receivable 2,952.7 4,103.3 4,567.0 4,882.1 5,126.2 5,382.5 5,651.6 5,708.2 DSO 118.0 118.0 118.0 118.0 118.0 118.0 118.0 Inventory 410.3 389.6 389.6 416.5 437.3 459.2 482.1 487.0 DIO 26.2 26.2 26.2 26.2 26.2 26.2 26.2 Other Current Assets 240.2 181.8 181.8 194.3 204.1 214.3 225.0 227.2 as % of Revenues 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% Total Current Assets 4,341.7 5,653.2 PP&E, Net 7,736.2 8,096.7 Other L-T Assets 3,478.3 4,776.3 Total Assets 15,556.2 18,526.2 A/Payable 880.0 944.3 1,051.0 1,123.5 1,179.7 1,238.7 1,300.6 1,313.6 DPO 70.7 70.7 70.7 70.7 70.7 70.7 70.7 S-T Debt 1,572.6 1,219.8 S-T Capital Leases 19.1 26.7 Other Current Liabilities 2,080.9 2,858.7 3,181.7 3,401.3 3,571.3 3,749.9 3,937.4 3,976.8 as % of Revenues 22.5% 22.5% 22.5% 22.5% 22.5% 22.5% 22.5% Total Current Liabilities 4,552.6 5,049.5 L-T Debt 3,845.5 5,130.9 Capital Leases 35.1 52.0 Other L-T Liabilities 567.1 1,054.4 Total Liabilities 9,000.3 11,286.8 Total Equity 6,555.8 7,239.3 Total Libailities & Equity 15,556.1 18,526.1 Working Capital 642.3 871.7 905.6 968.1 1,016.5 1,067.4 1,120.7 1,131.9 Changes in Working Capital 229.4 33.9 62.5 48.4 50.8 53.4 11.2
  • 14. Accretion/Dilution Analysis Vodafone Share Price 1.6 Vodafone Shares Out 49,163.4 Vodafone Net Income 6,957.0 Vodafone EPS 0.142 KT Corp NOPAT (no synergies) 728.4 Transaction Value per Share 47.3 47.3 47.3 47.3 Common Stock KT 11,530.1 11,530.1 11,530.1 11,530.1 Stock Portion of acquisition 100% 50% 40% 20% Shares Issued for KT Corp 7,073.7 3,536.8 2,829.5 1,414.7 Total Shares Post Transaction 56,237.1 52,700.2 51,992.9 50,578.1 Pro-Forma Net Income 7,685.4 7,685.4 7,685.4 7,685.4 EPS Post acquisition 0.137 0.146 0.148 0.152 Accretion/Dilution (0.005) 0.004 0.006 0.010
  • 15. Asia-Pacific telecommunication services market value 2011-2016 South Korea has one of the world‟s most active telecommunications and IT markets backed by strong support from the government. As well as the commitment of the government, the sector is boosted by an innovative private sector and a technologically savvy population. Spending on ICT and high-technology equipment helped lead a transformation of the economy. The government aims to transform the country into a knowledge-based information society in a „smart- age‟. South Korea accounts for 5.1% of the Asia Pacific telecommunications market value
  • 16. M&A Competition Team Members Geri (Rigers) Cupi, President at Bath University Management Society rc456@bath.ac.uk Geri is a 2nd year Undergraduate at University of Bath studying Business Administration expected to graduate in 2015. Currently, Geri is having a 6 month placement as Northern Europe Sales Operations Admin at Vodafone Global Enterprise HQ. In the past, Geri worked as Credit Risk Analyst Intern at National Commerce Bank (BKT) in Albania. Geri has been involved in leading different student societies (CEO of Young Enterprise in St. Clares, Oxford, President of Management Society, Committee member of Bath Entrepreneurs Society). Mattia Zarulli, Mergers and Acquisitions Associate mattiazarulli@gmail.com Mattia has worked for the past 5 years in New York as an Associate at Clairfield International; a top-ranked M&A investment bank boutique specialized in mid-market, cross-border transactions. During his tenure at Clairfield, Mattia has worked with large multinationals as well as small/medium enterprises on transactions across a variety of industries. Mattia is currently enrolled in the MBA programme at the University of Cambridge – Judge Business School. Tarah Bouaricha, 4th year in Financial Engineering b.tarah@gmail.com Tarah is studying Financial Engineering in 4th year at ECE Paris. She spent one semester at Concordia University to study Computer Science. Tarah carried out two internships at Societe Generale and discovered the bank management. She's looking for an off cycle internship in investment banking. 16
  • 17. References • Vodafone Group Public Limited Company website – www.vodafone.com • Vodafone group fact sheet - www.vodafone.com/content/dam/vodafone/investors/factsheet/group_factsheet.pdf • Vodafone group releases - www.vodafone.com/content/index/media/group_press_releases/2012/prelim_31march2012.html • KT Corp website - www.kt.com/eng/ • Marketile – www.marketline.com • Marketline Industry Profile Telecommunication Services in Asia-Pacific • Capital IQ • http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/investing/article-2097825/Credit-Suisse-stock-market-returns-1900-The-24- year-spell-UK-shares-failed.html • www.budde.com.au/Research/South-Korea-Key-Statistics-Infrastructure-Regulatory-Overview-and-Forecasts.html • www.rcrwireless.com/blog/20120105/industry/report-global-telecom-industry-revenue-to-grow-at-5-3-annually/ 17