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FASHION RETAIL
AFTER COVID-
19:
APOCALYPSE
OR
RENAISSANCE?
PRESENTATION OFFERED
BY GABRIELE BIANCHINI
PRESENTATION STRUCTURE
• Divide before Covid-19
• Thesis
Introduction
• Customers
• Retailers
• Retail workers
Retail business model after Covid-19
• Fast vs Slow Fashion
• Retail Data Literacy
• Italian Retail Industry
Structural issues in the Fashion Business
• Mindset
• Solutions
• Business plan
Proposals for a successful retailer
DIVIDE BEFORE
COVID-19
 Retail had been predicted to change more in the last 5 years
than in the last 50 (Fitch in Retail 2020) before the Covid-19
epidemic.
 The Coronavirus epidemic is not the cause of the dramatic
changes the Retail Industry and the Fashion&Luxury business
are facing.
 As a matter of fact, most Retailers have proven to be slow to
adapt to the trends that were already visible:
 Customers had demolished the barrier between online and offline
 E-commerce had proven to be the real driver of growth
 The focus of Digital Marketing had already shifted from transactions
to experiences
CUSTOMERS WITHOUT BARRIERS
 60% of the workforce is made of Millennials and Gen Z (UK)
 Millennials: born between 1980 and 1995, they are considered
the world's first truly digital generation
 Gen Z: born after 1995, they don’t know a time without digital
and are called “digital natives”
 More than 50% of Millennials say they would rather spend money
on an experience than on a possession
 64% of 16 to 24-year-olds say they are more likely to become a
loyal customer if a brand engages with them on social media
Digital skills: Retail Accenture (Prediction for 2020, pre-Coronavirus)
E-COMMERCE AS THE REAL DRIVER
In Italy E-commerce is the real driver of Retail growth, in 2019
(before Covid-19):
 E-commerce has grown by +19% (+21% considering only
B2C products).
 Even tough E-commerce represents only 7.3% of total
purchases, E-commerce is responsible for 65% of the total
growth of Retail sales.
Osservatori Digital Innovation Politecnico di Milano, 2019
BEST PRACTISES IN DIGITAL
MARKETING
 Focus on communicating values and not on selling products:
 Corporate Mission and Vision
 Brand philosophy and culture
 Social responsibility
 Reach your customers where they are:
 95% of audiences don’t see the organic content produced
by brands on social media
 Invest in new platforms such as Spotify, Twitch and Netflix
with specific content related to the media
Patrizio Miceli, head of creative agency Al Dente
THESIS
 My thesis is that the current crisis will cause both short-term
and medium-term consequences:
1. Short-term changes: Retailers will have to adapt their procedures
according to the indication the Public Authority
2. Medium-term changes: Retailers will have to fully embrace the
Industry 4.0 revolution and make up for the lost time
The creation of a vaccine, which will take between 12 to 18
months, will not restore the status quo ante: the entire world
has been changing in the last decades and Covid-19 has only
shown how weak an old-fashioned business model was
In short, Covid-19 is the accelerator of the medium-term
changes, not the cause of them.
THE CONSEQUENCES IN A SENTENCE
“Some apparel, fashion, and luxury companies won’t survive the current crisis; others will emerge better
positioned for the future. Much will depend on their digital and analytics capabilities.”
(Fashion’s digital transformation: Now or never, McKinsey)
My prediction is that up to 80% of Fashion and Retail companies will face a high risk of closure in the next
2 years: heavily leveraged companies and traditional SMEs are the most vulnerable.
THE RETAIL BUSINESS MODEL AFTER COVID-19
Change in Demand (Customers)
 Consumers Lifestyle
 Values
 Needs
 Purchasing behavior
Change in Supply (Retailers)
 Products
 Marketing strategies
 Sales Channels
 Role of Stores and Shopping Experience
CUSTOMERS
POST-
CORONAVIRUS
BIRTH OF THE
VALUE THINKER
Focus on
Overall
Value
Phygital
Mindset
Activist
Consumer
VALUES
Sustainability
Purpose
Fairness
Diversity
Inclusion
NEEDS
Digital connection
Personalization
Immediacy
Safety
Value for money
NEW HABITS
AND NEW
HOMES
Covid-19 has forced billions of people to social isolation with
limited opportunities to leave their homes
The main trends will be:
 Decline of apartments, rise of independent houses:
 Small but with a courtyard and a terrace
 Self-sufficient in case of a new emergency
 Increase of smart-working:
 Home workplace as a separate room with large windows, blackout
curtains and comfortable furniture
 Technically equipped and sound-insulated
 Active mindset:
 Workout workplace as a separate room with indoor equipment
 Athleisure wear
NEW CONCEPT OF HOME
PURCHASING BEHAVIOR
Higher price sensitivity
Search for discounts and promos
(“Discount mindset”)
Expansion of the contactless
experience
Smart payments and virtual try-on
(Just Walk Out technology and AR)
Onlife customer journey
Phygital shopping experience
(“Digital Escalation”)
Value Thinker: Buy less, buy better (and for longer)
RETAILERS POST-
CORONAVIRUS
NEW PRODUCTS
HIGH-END PERFUMED HAND SANITIZERS FASHIONABLE CLOTH
FACEMASKS
LIGHT AND TOUCH GLOVES
CUSTOMER-
DRIVEN
MARKETING
 Customer-centric strategy: focus on customer experience as
core KPI
 Personalization of the interaction: promotional discounts, product
recommendation, one-to-one communications
 Data-driven marketing: integration of online and offline data
(loyalty card) to analyze customer experience
 Customer insights: analysis and improvement of every marketing
initiative (ROI)
 Social media listening: continuous interaction with our
community and customer base
 Community listening: feedback, brand image management, brand
and campaign awareness
CHANNELS: THE CUSTOMER IS IN CHARGE
E-COMMERCE SOCIAL MEDIA PHYSICAL STORE
75% of online
purchasers had never
previously
experimented e-
commerce
Online purchasing behavior during the
epidemic
No previous experience in E-
commerce
Previous experience in E-
commerce
THE COVID-19
IMPULSE
TOWARDS
DIGITAL
Netcomm analysis of the
2020 lockdown effects
THE NEW ROLE
OF STORES
 Store as small and nimble
showroom focused on
customer experience
 Shop as Media Store
 Store Media Value as the
new KPI
TRADITIONAL KPI: THE CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE KILLER
Traditional KPIs adopted in physical store conflict with a
customer-centric strategy:
 ATV (Average transaction value)
 UPT (Units per transaction)
 CR (Conversion Rate)
 Gross sales
These KPIs shift the focus of the sales associate from the long-
term value of customer experience to the short-term return in
sales.
The real thing that matters is the store Store Media Value.
STORE MEDIA
VALUE
Store as a pillar for both the customer acquisition and the
customer retention strategy
Store Media Value = Value per consumer impression * Quality
of the average impression * Quantity of consumer impressions
 Value per consumer impression
 APPC = Average Pay-per-click cost
Average pay-per-click cost across the different channels
 Quality of the average impression
 NPS = Net Promoter Score
How likely is it that you would recommend our company/product/service
to a friend or colleague? (0-10)
%Promoters (9-10) - %Detractors (0-6)
 Quantity of consumer impressions
 Walk-ins = Number of customers entering the store
WHICH STORE WOULD YOU CLOSE?
KPIs STORE 1 STORE 2
Walk-ins 100,000 100,000
Conversion Rate (CR) 10.0% 7.5%
Average Transaction Value (ATV) $ 1,000 $ 667
Units Per Transaction 2.0 1.5
Average Item Price $ 500 $ 444
Annual Sales $ 10,000,000 $ 5,000,000
WHAT ABOUT NOW?
KPIs STORE 1 STORE 2
Annual Sales $10,000,000 $5,000,000
Average Pay per Click Cost $1.50 $1.50
Detractors (%) 50 25
Promoters (%) 25 50
NPS -25 25
Walk-ins 100,000 100,000
Store Media Value (SMV) -$3,750,000 $3,750,000
Annual Sales + SMV $6,250,000 $8,750,000
SHOPPING EXPERIENCE 4.0
 Total integration between the online and the offline
dimension: consumer-centric customer journey
 Interactive changing rooms and Smart Mirrors
 Contactless checkouts (Just walk-out by Amazon)
 Personalization of the shopping experience
 Curated shopping and Digital Assistants (Brand App)
 Tailored offers (Bluetooth beacons)
 Interactive displays and shopping tags to show product
information
RETAIL WORKERS
POST-
CORONAVIRUS
RETAIL
WORKFORCE
4.0
Digital and Data literacy across
every level and role
Automation of administrative and
repetitive tasks
Remote connectivity and smart-
working
RETAIL WORKERS: WINNERS AND LOSERS
Most promising jobs
1. Digital marketers
2. Social media managers
3. Data analysts
Disappearing jobs
1. Cashiers
2. Traditional Sales Assistant
3. Traditional Warehouse workers
STRUCTURAL
ISSUES IN THE
FASHION
BUSINESS
RISE OF SLOW FASHION
 Fast-fashion existential crisis
 Widespread criticism for the Fashion Industry pollution and waste
(92% of the items produced are not sold in the primary channel)
 Upsurge of No-season fashion items
 Growing concern for climate change among new generations are
making sustainable brands gain market share
 New Fashion Calendar
 Plans to realign collections with seasons in stores are already in
place (ex: Giorgio Armani)
NEW YEARLY
FASHION
CALENDAR
GIORGIO ARMANI’S OPEN LETTER
“The current state of things is absurd, with the overproduction of
garments and a criminal nonalignment between the weather and
the commercial season.
The decline of the fashion system as we know it began when
the luxury segment adopted the operating methods of fast
fashion, mimicking the latter’s endless delivery cycle in the hope
of selling more.
This crisis is an opportunity to slow down and realign
everything; to define a more meaningful landscape. It is also an
opportunity to restore value to authenticity.”
IS FAST FASHION
GOING TO DIE?
MY PREDICTION
As income inequality and the impact of the economic crisis
intensify, the polarization in our society will likely become a
polarization in customers behaviors
The working and lower-middle classes will rely on Low Cost
Retailers due to their shrinking purchasing power: the mainstream
consumers will buy from retailers such as Walmart while the
fashion consumerists will be the new customer base of the Fast
Fashion Retailers.
 Mainstream consumers: consumers with little to no interest in
fashion trends
 Fashion consumerists: consumers with an extreme interest in
fashion and desire to wear the last trend
LOW COST AND FAST FASHION
Mainstream consumers Fashion consumerists
IS SLOW
FASHION GOING
TO DOMINATE?
MY PREDICTION
The upper-middle and upper classes will become the customer
base of the Slow Fashion Retailers: the value thinkers will choose
brands that are both innovative and sustainable while the fashion
elitists will choose luxury brands that offer a form of responsible
luxury.
 Value thinkers: activist consumers with a digital mindset and a
strong set of values, mainly Millennials and Gen Z belonging to
the new middle-class
 Fashion elitists: consumers with an elevated purchasing power
that see fashion items as their main status symbol, mainly the
top-earners urban elite
SLOW FASHION
Value thinkers Fashion elitists
SO WHAT?
 The economic opportunities and the
willingness to sacrifice a short-term gain for a
long-term value will be the key factors to
determine how much market share Fast Fashion
will lose and how much Slow Fashion will win.
The middle class and the young generations will
shape the future of the Fashion Retail Business
HOW DATA-
FRIENDLY IS THE
RETAIL INDUSTRY?
The Qlik Data Literacy Index,
2018
The Retail Trade median score is
extremely low.
Besides, considering the traditional
adversity of the Fashion Retail
Business towards Data Analytics, the
picture becomes even more dramatic.
THE ITALIAN
RETAIL
INDUSTRY IN 3
DATA
CORPORATE
DATA LITERACY
INVESTMENTS IN
DIGITAL
LEVEL OF
FRAGMENTATION
CORPORATE
DATA LITERACY*
*The index is related to any
Italian Industries
The Qlik Data Literacy Index,
2018
The Italian median score is among the lowest measured:
only Spain and Japan have a lower score.
Only 1.5% of
revenues are
invested in digital
Revenues
Investments in Digital
Other expenses
INVESTMENTS
IN DIGITAL*
*The data is related only to
Top Italian Retailers
Osservatori Digital
Innovation Politecnico di
Milano, 2019
ITALIAN RETAIL INDUSTRY
 979.000 stores and restaurants in Italy in 2019
 In 2019 (before the Covid-19 epidemic), 8.330 stores have
been closed
The 300 Top Retailers control only the 6% of the market
Osservatori Digital Innovation Politecnico di Milano, 2019
THE WINNING ATTITUDE
Be Customer-
centric
1
Be Smart
2
Be Innovative
3
BE CUSTOMER-
CENTRIC
Your customer is both physical and digital: integrate every channel
and communicate a unified message!
 Click-and-collect
 In-store return of online purchases
 Online check of products availability in-store
 Online selling in-store
E-commerce needs physical operations and stores need to be
visible online.
BE SMART
Your customer wants both convenience and value.
 Smartphone and cashless friendly
 Small stores close to your customers
 Store focused on relations, digital commerce (E-commerce or
Social commerce) focused on transactions
 Division of store areas and segmentation of customers visits
BE INNOVATIVE
Your budget or your size are no excuse for resignation.
 Open-source/low cost solutions for Analytics and CRM
Access, Power BI Desktop, Google Analytics, Hubspot CRM
 Contactless experience for hygiene purposes
Cashless payments and Smart Mirrors
 E-commerce and Marketplace solutions for digital sales
Farfetch, Amazon, eBay or Proprietary E-commerce
 Strategic partnerships
Post offices, restaurants
SOLUTIONS FOR
A RETAILER 4.0
 Retailer App
 Smart Mirror
 Proprietary E-commerce
 Open-source/low cost Analytics and CRM solutions
RETAILER APP
“In today's competitive
landscape, a mobile
application is not just another
piece of technology for retailers,
it is a vital tool to engage
shoppers with their brand”
(Synchrony 2018 Digital Study)
THE ROI OF A RETAILER APP
BENEFITS
Incremental sales up to $2.300.000 in 18
months
(App with a user base of 100.000 users)
(Engaging the unengaged customer: The value of a
retailer mobile app, International Journal of
Research in Marketing)
COSTS
30.000€ - 40.000€
(Cost of development for a Retail Mobile App Like
Walmart)
(Apptunix, mobile app development company)
SMART MIRROR
”Overall, customers spend
less time in the store, and
buy more of what they try.
This has the added benefit of
reducing the time shop staff
spends returning unwanted
items to shelves and racks.”
(Universiti Putra Malaysia
UPM, 2017)
THE ROI OF A SMART MIRROR
BENEFITS
Up to 100% more customers visits
(Smart Mirror placed outside the shopping area)
(Analysis on the DPCM regarding restrictions on
store visits)
COSTS
9.000€
(Equipment and Service Fee)
(Magic Mirror)
E-COMMERCE
“An e-commerce store is a must-
have in order to increase sales
and build your brand. Your
customers are increasingly
browsing and shopping online,
and an e-commerce store will
keep you competitive, expand
your reach and allow you to offer
a better customer experience.”
(Software Advice tech
consultancy company, 2017)
THE ROI OF AN E-COMMERCE
BENEFITS
Survival of the Retail Business
(Must-have due to Covid-19 crisis and consumer
trends)
COSTS
Professionally-built e-Commerce website:
5,000€ – 10,000€
Domain name:
2€ - 20€ per year
Hosting:
300€ per month
OPEN-SOURCE/LOW
COST SOLUTIONS
Cost:
0€
Return:
Invaluable
THE BENEFITS OF A DATA-DRIVEN
STRATEGY
The effective use of data can determine up to 60% increase in
operating margin
The Data Science of Retail, Sales, and Commerce, Barton
Poulson
TIME TO THINK DIFFERENT
THE REAL LESSON FROM CHINA
“In the Chinese language, the word "crisis" is composed of two characters,
one representing danger and the other, opportunity.”
(JFK)
Which side are you on, Retailers?

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Retailers post-Coronavirus

  • 2. PRESENTATION STRUCTURE • Divide before Covid-19 • Thesis Introduction • Customers • Retailers • Retail workers Retail business model after Covid-19 • Fast vs Slow Fashion • Retail Data Literacy • Italian Retail Industry Structural issues in the Fashion Business • Mindset • Solutions • Business plan Proposals for a successful retailer
  • 3.
  • 4. DIVIDE BEFORE COVID-19  Retail had been predicted to change more in the last 5 years than in the last 50 (Fitch in Retail 2020) before the Covid-19 epidemic.  The Coronavirus epidemic is not the cause of the dramatic changes the Retail Industry and the Fashion&Luxury business are facing.  As a matter of fact, most Retailers have proven to be slow to adapt to the trends that were already visible:  Customers had demolished the barrier between online and offline  E-commerce had proven to be the real driver of growth  The focus of Digital Marketing had already shifted from transactions to experiences
  • 5. CUSTOMERS WITHOUT BARRIERS  60% of the workforce is made of Millennials and Gen Z (UK)  Millennials: born between 1980 and 1995, they are considered the world's first truly digital generation  Gen Z: born after 1995, they don’t know a time without digital and are called “digital natives”  More than 50% of Millennials say they would rather spend money on an experience than on a possession  64% of 16 to 24-year-olds say they are more likely to become a loyal customer if a brand engages with them on social media Digital skills: Retail Accenture (Prediction for 2020, pre-Coronavirus)
  • 6. E-COMMERCE AS THE REAL DRIVER In Italy E-commerce is the real driver of Retail growth, in 2019 (before Covid-19):  E-commerce has grown by +19% (+21% considering only B2C products).  Even tough E-commerce represents only 7.3% of total purchases, E-commerce is responsible for 65% of the total growth of Retail sales. Osservatori Digital Innovation Politecnico di Milano, 2019
  • 7. BEST PRACTISES IN DIGITAL MARKETING  Focus on communicating values and not on selling products:  Corporate Mission and Vision  Brand philosophy and culture  Social responsibility  Reach your customers where they are:  95% of audiences don’t see the organic content produced by brands on social media  Invest in new platforms such as Spotify, Twitch and Netflix with specific content related to the media Patrizio Miceli, head of creative agency Al Dente
  • 8. THESIS  My thesis is that the current crisis will cause both short-term and medium-term consequences: 1. Short-term changes: Retailers will have to adapt their procedures according to the indication the Public Authority 2. Medium-term changes: Retailers will have to fully embrace the Industry 4.0 revolution and make up for the lost time The creation of a vaccine, which will take between 12 to 18 months, will not restore the status quo ante: the entire world has been changing in the last decades and Covid-19 has only shown how weak an old-fashioned business model was In short, Covid-19 is the accelerator of the medium-term changes, not the cause of them.
  • 9. THE CONSEQUENCES IN A SENTENCE “Some apparel, fashion, and luxury companies won’t survive the current crisis; others will emerge better positioned for the future. Much will depend on their digital and analytics capabilities.” (Fashion’s digital transformation: Now or never, McKinsey) My prediction is that up to 80% of Fashion and Retail companies will face a high risk of closure in the next 2 years: heavily leveraged companies and traditional SMEs are the most vulnerable.
  • 10. THE RETAIL BUSINESS MODEL AFTER COVID-19 Change in Demand (Customers)  Consumers Lifestyle  Values  Needs  Purchasing behavior Change in Supply (Retailers)  Products  Marketing strategies  Sales Channels  Role of Stores and Shopping Experience
  • 12. BIRTH OF THE VALUE THINKER Focus on Overall Value Phygital Mindset Activist Consumer
  • 15. NEW HABITS AND NEW HOMES Covid-19 has forced billions of people to social isolation with limited opportunities to leave their homes The main trends will be:  Decline of apartments, rise of independent houses:  Small but with a courtyard and a terrace  Self-sufficient in case of a new emergency  Increase of smart-working:  Home workplace as a separate room with large windows, blackout curtains and comfortable furniture  Technically equipped and sound-insulated  Active mindset:  Workout workplace as a separate room with indoor equipment  Athleisure wear
  • 17. PURCHASING BEHAVIOR Higher price sensitivity Search for discounts and promos (“Discount mindset”) Expansion of the contactless experience Smart payments and virtual try-on (Just Walk Out technology and AR) Onlife customer journey Phygital shopping experience (“Digital Escalation”) Value Thinker: Buy less, buy better (and for longer)
  • 19. NEW PRODUCTS HIGH-END PERFUMED HAND SANITIZERS FASHIONABLE CLOTH FACEMASKS LIGHT AND TOUCH GLOVES
  • 20. CUSTOMER- DRIVEN MARKETING  Customer-centric strategy: focus on customer experience as core KPI  Personalization of the interaction: promotional discounts, product recommendation, one-to-one communications  Data-driven marketing: integration of online and offline data (loyalty card) to analyze customer experience  Customer insights: analysis and improvement of every marketing initiative (ROI)  Social media listening: continuous interaction with our community and customer base  Community listening: feedback, brand image management, brand and campaign awareness
  • 21. CHANNELS: THE CUSTOMER IS IN CHARGE E-COMMERCE SOCIAL MEDIA PHYSICAL STORE
  • 22. 75% of online purchasers had never previously experimented e- commerce Online purchasing behavior during the epidemic No previous experience in E- commerce Previous experience in E- commerce THE COVID-19 IMPULSE TOWARDS DIGITAL Netcomm analysis of the 2020 lockdown effects
  • 23. THE NEW ROLE OF STORES  Store as small and nimble showroom focused on customer experience  Shop as Media Store  Store Media Value as the new KPI
  • 24. TRADITIONAL KPI: THE CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE KILLER Traditional KPIs adopted in physical store conflict with a customer-centric strategy:  ATV (Average transaction value)  UPT (Units per transaction)  CR (Conversion Rate)  Gross sales These KPIs shift the focus of the sales associate from the long- term value of customer experience to the short-term return in sales. The real thing that matters is the store Store Media Value.
  • 25. STORE MEDIA VALUE Store as a pillar for both the customer acquisition and the customer retention strategy Store Media Value = Value per consumer impression * Quality of the average impression * Quantity of consumer impressions  Value per consumer impression  APPC = Average Pay-per-click cost Average pay-per-click cost across the different channels  Quality of the average impression  NPS = Net Promoter Score How likely is it that you would recommend our company/product/service to a friend or colleague? (0-10) %Promoters (9-10) - %Detractors (0-6)  Quantity of consumer impressions  Walk-ins = Number of customers entering the store
  • 26.
  • 27. WHICH STORE WOULD YOU CLOSE? KPIs STORE 1 STORE 2 Walk-ins 100,000 100,000 Conversion Rate (CR) 10.0% 7.5% Average Transaction Value (ATV) $ 1,000 $ 667 Units Per Transaction 2.0 1.5 Average Item Price $ 500 $ 444 Annual Sales $ 10,000,000 $ 5,000,000
  • 28. WHAT ABOUT NOW? KPIs STORE 1 STORE 2 Annual Sales $10,000,000 $5,000,000 Average Pay per Click Cost $1.50 $1.50 Detractors (%) 50 25 Promoters (%) 25 50 NPS -25 25 Walk-ins 100,000 100,000 Store Media Value (SMV) -$3,750,000 $3,750,000 Annual Sales + SMV $6,250,000 $8,750,000
  • 29. SHOPPING EXPERIENCE 4.0  Total integration between the online and the offline dimension: consumer-centric customer journey  Interactive changing rooms and Smart Mirrors  Contactless checkouts (Just walk-out by Amazon)  Personalization of the shopping experience  Curated shopping and Digital Assistants (Brand App)  Tailored offers (Bluetooth beacons)  Interactive displays and shopping tags to show product information
  • 31. RETAIL WORKFORCE 4.0 Digital and Data literacy across every level and role Automation of administrative and repetitive tasks Remote connectivity and smart- working
  • 32. RETAIL WORKERS: WINNERS AND LOSERS Most promising jobs 1. Digital marketers 2. Social media managers 3. Data analysts Disappearing jobs 1. Cashiers 2. Traditional Sales Assistant 3. Traditional Warehouse workers
  • 34. RISE OF SLOW FASHION  Fast-fashion existential crisis  Widespread criticism for the Fashion Industry pollution and waste (92% of the items produced are not sold in the primary channel)  Upsurge of No-season fashion items  Growing concern for climate change among new generations are making sustainable brands gain market share  New Fashion Calendar  Plans to realign collections with seasons in stores are already in place (ex: Giorgio Armani)
  • 36. GIORGIO ARMANI’S OPEN LETTER “The current state of things is absurd, with the overproduction of garments and a criminal nonalignment between the weather and the commercial season. The decline of the fashion system as we know it began when the luxury segment adopted the operating methods of fast fashion, mimicking the latter’s endless delivery cycle in the hope of selling more. This crisis is an opportunity to slow down and realign everything; to define a more meaningful landscape. It is also an opportunity to restore value to authenticity.”
  • 37. IS FAST FASHION GOING TO DIE? MY PREDICTION As income inequality and the impact of the economic crisis intensify, the polarization in our society will likely become a polarization in customers behaviors The working and lower-middle classes will rely on Low Cost Retailers due to their shrinking purchasing power: the mainstream consumers will buy from retailers such as Walmart while the fashion consumerists will be the new customer base of the Fast Fashion Retailers.  Mainstream consumers: consumers with little to no interest in fashion trends  Fashion consumerists: consumers with an extreme interest in fashion and desire to wear the last trend
  • 38. LOW COST AND FAST FASHION Mainstream consumers Fashion consumerists
  • 39. IS SLOW FASHION GOING TO DOMINATE? MY PREDICTION The upper-middle and upper classes will become the customer base of the Slow Fashion Retailers: the value thinkers will choose brands that are both innovative and sustainable while the fashion elitists will choose luxury brands that offer a form of responsible luxury.  Value thinkers: activist consumers with a digital mindset and a strong set of values, mainly Millennials and Gen Z belonging to the new middle-class  Fashion elitists: consumers with an elevated purchasing power that see fashion items as their main status symbol, mainly the top-earners urban elite
  • 40. SLOW FASHION Value thinkers Fashion elitists
  • 41. SO WHAT?  The economic opportunities and the willingness to sacrifice a short-term gain for a long-term value will be the key factors to determine how much market share Fast Fashion will lose and how much Slow Fashion will win. The middle class and the young generations will shape the future of the Fashion Retail Business
  • 42. HOW DATA- FRIENDLY IS THE RETAIL INDUSTRY? The Qlik Data Literacy Index, 2018 The Retail Trade median score is extremely low. Besides, considering the traditional adversity of the Fashion Retail Business towards Data Analytics, the picture becomes even more dramatic.
  • 43. THE ITALIAN RETAIL INDUSTRY IN 3 DATA CORPORATE DATA LITERACY INVESTMENTS IN DIGITAL LEVEL OF FRAGMENTATION
  • 44. CORPORATE DATA LITERACY* *The index is related to any Italian Industries The Qlik Data Literacy Index, 2018 The Italian median score is among the lowest measured: only Spain and Japan have a lower score.
  • 45. Only 1.5% of revenues are invested in digital Revenues Investments in Digital Other expenses INVESTMENTS IN DIGITAL* *The data is related only to Top Italian Retailers Osservatori Digital Innovation Politecnico di Milano, 2019
  • 46. ITALIAN RETAIL INDUSTRY  979.000 stores and restaurants in Italy in 2019  In 2019 (before the Covid-19 epidemic), 8.330 stores have been closed The 300 Top Retailers control only the 6% of the market Osservatori Digital Innovation Politecnico di Milano, 2019
  • 47.
  • 48. THE WINNING ATTITUDE Be Customer- centric 1 Be Smart 2 Be Innovative 3
  • 49. BE CUSTOMER- CENTRIC Your customer is both physical and digital: integrate every channel and communicate a unified message!  Click-and-collect  In-store return of online purchases  Online check of products availability in-store  Online selling in-store E-commerce needs physical operations and stores need to be visible online.
  • 50. BE SMART Your customer wants both convenience and value.  Smartphone and cashless friendly  Small stores close to your customers  Store focused on relations, digital commerce (E-commerce or Social commerce) focused on transactions  Division of store areas and segmentation of customers visits
  • 51. BE INNOVATIVE Your budget or your size are no excuse for resignation.  Open-source/low cost solutions for Analytics and CRM Access, Power BI Desktop, Google Analytics, Hubspot CRM  Contactless experience for hygiene purposes Cashless payments and Smart Mirrors  E-commerce and Marketplace solutions for digital sales Farfetch, Amazon, eBay or Proprietary E-commerce  Strategic partnerships Post offices, restaurants
  • 52.
  • 53. SOLUTIONS FOR A RETAILER 4.0  Retailer App  Smart Mirror  Proprietary E-commerce  Open-source/low cost Analytics and CRM solutions
  • 54. RETAILER APP “In today's competitive landscape, a mobile application is not just another piece of technology for retailers, it is a vital tool to engage shoppers with their brand” (Synchrony 2018 Digital Study)
  • 55. THE ROI OF A RETAILER APP BENEFITS Incremental sales up to $2.300.000 in 18 months (App with a user base of 100.000 users) (Engaging the unengaged customer: The value of a retailer mobile app, International Journal of Research in Marketing) COSTS 30.000€ - 40.000€ (Cost of development for a Retail Mobile App Like Walmart) (Apptunix, mobile app development company)
  • 56. SMART MIRROR ”Overall, customers spend less time in the store, and buy more of what they try. This has the added benefit of reducing the time shop staff spends returning unwanted items to shelves and racks.” (Universiti Putra Malaysia UPM, 2017)
  • 57. THE ROI OF A SMART MIRROR BENEFITS Up to 100% more customers visits (Smart Mirror placed outside the shopping area) (Analysis on the DPCM regarding restrictions on store visits) COSTS 9.000€ (Equipment and Service Fee) (Magic Mirror)
  • 58. E-COMMERCE “An e-commerce store is a must- have in order to increase sales and build your brand. Your customers are increasingly browsing and shopping online, and an e-commerce store will keep you competitive, expand your reach and allow you to offer a better customer experience.” (Software Advice tech consultancy company, 2017)
  • 59. THE ROI OF AN E-COMMERCE BENEFITS Survival of the Retail Business (Must-have due to Covid-19 crisis and consumer trends) COSTS Professionally-built e-Commerce website: 5,000€ – 10,000€ Domain name: 2€ - 20€ per year Hosting: 300€ per month
  • 61. THE BENEFITS OF A DATA-DRIVEN STRATEGY The effective use of data can determine up to 60% increase in operating margin The Data Science of Retail, Sales, and Commerce, Barton Poulson
  • 62. TIME TO THINK DIFFERENT
  • 63. THE REAL LESSON FROM CHINA “In the Chinese language, the word "crisis" is composed of two characters, one representing danger and the other, opportunity.” (JFK) Which side are you on, Retailers?