SlideShare ist ein Scribd-Unternehmen logo
1 von 14
6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Stress Testing of Cities ─ How to
Live and Plan with New Risks
Theo KÖTTER, Dominik WEISS, Asad ASADZADEH,
University of Bonn, Germany
6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Motivation & Targets
Motivation:
To find out how the concept of urban resilience can be addressed for better perception,
managing, and governning urban areas (106 German Cities) as complex socio-
ecological systems in times of crisis and disturbances.
Targets:
 Understanding components (factors) that contribute to urban resilience and interactions that
are needed to build and sustain it.
 Developing a simple and practicable benchmarking tool for:
1) Measuring functionality and potential performance of cities against multiple stresses.
2) Comparative assessment of urban case studies in terms of their resilience level.
 To operate the inherent capacity of urban areas to cope with, adapt to crisis and shocks, and
shape changes.
Bild: Colourbox.de
6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Robusteness
Redundancy
Resourcefulness
Flexiblity
Innovation
Adaptability
Multifunctionality
InherentconditionsAdaptivecapacity
Operationalizing by selecting relevant and representative indicators
Robust structures resist to and mitigate against the negative impacts of
urban stresses and thus limit the adverse effects.
 Quantitative Indicators (antecedent conditions or products of a place-specific multiscaler
processes that occur within and between social, natural, and built-environment systems).
Adaptability enables a system to adjust multiple disturbances, moderate
potential damage, take advantages of opportunities, and cope with the
consequences of a transformation that occurs.
 Qualitative Indicators (attributes associated with strategies, plans, and governing urban
resilience).
Characteristics of Resilience
Concept of Urban Resileince
The ability of an urban system-and all its constituent socio-ecological and socio-technical
networks across temporal and spatial scales-to maintain or rapidly return to desired functions in
the face of a disturbance, to adapt to change, and to quickly transform systems that limit current
or future adaptive capacity (Meerow et al. 2016).
6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Methodological Steps
1. Theoretical foundation (functional concept of a dynamic city)
2. Characterizing descriptors (9 assets) that contribute to urban resilience
3. Developing stress scenarios (8 various possible shocks)
4. Defining potential indicators for each discriptor and data standardization
5. Results:
a) Mapping robustness
b) Resilience profile for each city (robustness and adaptability)
6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Dynamic Functionalities of Urban Areas
6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Working Living
Resilience Descriptors
Housing Market
Demographic Structure
Social Capital
Environment
Technical Infrastructure
Economic Structure
Finances
Energy
Social Infrastructure
 The structural elements
or assets of a city that
are required for urban
functions.
6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
1. Huge and continuous migration and refugees
2. Decreasing/increasing population
3. Economic changes; insolvency of a single dominant company
4. Social polarization
5. Heavy rainfall
6. Heat wave
7. Energy import
8. Energy transition
Stress Scenarios
6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Descriptors
Scenarios
Financesituation
TechnicalInfrastructure
SocialInfrastructure
Energy
Demographicstructure
Economicstructure
Housingmarket
Environmentalquality
Socialcapital
Immigration ο ο ο ο ο
Decreasing/increasing population ο ο ο ο ο ο ο
Economic changes; company drop out ο ο ο
Social polarization ο ο ο ο
Heavy rainfall, flooding ο ο ο
Heat wave ο ο ο
Energy import ο ο ο ο
Energy turn around ο ο ο
Relationship Between Descriptors and Stress Scenarios
6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Robustness: 57 indicators based on availability
of consistent quality data from national and
community data sources (secondary data).
Very low= 1 Low =2 Moderate = 3 High =4 Very high= 5
𝑥 𝑛𝑜𝑟𝑚 = 1 −
𝑥 − 𝑥 𝑚𝑖𝑛
𝑥 𝑚𝑎𝑥 − 𝑥 𝑚𝑖𝑛
∗ 4 + 1
Adaptability: 47 indicators based on
questionnaire survey (primary data).
Question example: Does your city apply
special forms of cooperation with local
companies to integrate young unemployed
into work.
Indicators, Standardization and Rating
Criteria of
Adaptability
Possible answers
Rating
scales
Local coordination plan
Not on agenda 1
In planning 2
Exists 3
Approved, applied 4
Approved, evaluated and updated 5
Unemploymentrate
6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Mapping Robustness: Social Polarization Scenario
Population Structure Housing Market Social Infrastructure
6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Resileince Profile (Robusteness & Adaptability)
Overview of all Stresses Scenarios For Scenario of Social Polarization
6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Next Step: Interpretation and Verification
For verification and implementation purpose, the obtained results were sent to pilot
cities in order to check the findings:
1. To what extent the developed stress scenarios are robust, relevant, and representativeness
(verification).
2. To what extent the resilience profile are able to communicate with local politicians and
decision-makers in order to prioritizing strategies, planning, and actions (connectability).
3. To what extent the results can be integrated in local urban planning and development
processes (implementation).
6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
 The empirical study has advanced the understanding of multidimensional nature of
resilience.
 The stress and risk perspective provides new insights in urban developments in times of
crises and hazards.
 The assessment provides a comparative evaluation of resilience index and points out
where interactions are more necessary.
 It provides a self-evaluating tool for operationalizing the concept of urban resilience that
can be adopted by every city if necessary.
 Support decision-makers and local administrators for successful management of various
urban stresses.
Result and Conclusion
6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Theo Kötter
Nußallee 1
53115, Bonn
Tele: 0228. 732612
Email: tkoetter@uni-bonn.de

Weitere ähnliche Inhalte

Was ist angesagt?

A Holistic Approach Towards International Disaster Resilient Architecture by ...
A Holistic Approach Towards International Disaster Resilient Architecture by ...A Holistic Approach Towards International Disaster Resilient Architecture by ...
A Holistic Approach Towards International Disaster Resilient Architecture by ...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Towards the Validation of National Risk Assessments against Historical Observ...
Towards the Validation of National Risk Assessments against Historical Observ...Towards the Validation of National Risk Assessments against Historical Observ...
Towards the Validation of National Risk Assessments against Historical Observ...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Climate Change Impacts at the Household Level Food Security in the Mountainou...
Climate Change Impacts at the Household Level Food Security in the Mountainou...Climate Change Impacts at the Household Level Food Security in the Mountainou...
Climate Change Impacts at the Household Level Food Security in the Mountainou...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Working with the Towns, Cities and Provinces of Small Island Developing State...
Working with the Towns, Cities and Provinces of Small Island Developing State...Working with the Towns, Cities and Provinces of Small Island Developing State...
Working with the Towns, Cities and Provinces of Small Island Developing State...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
The Moroccan Experiences with the OECD Review Process, Aziz AJBILOU
The Moroccan Experiences with the OECD Review Process, Aziz AJBILOUThe Moroccan Experiences with the OECD Review Process, Aziz AJBILOU
The Moroccan Experiences with the OECD Review Process, Aziz AJBILOUGlobal Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Consequences of the Armed Conflict as a Stressor of Climate Change in Colombi...
Consequences of the Armed Conflict as a Stressor of Climate Change in Colombi...Consequences of the Armed Conflict as a Stressor of Climate Change in Colombi...
Consequences of the Armed Conflict as a Stressor of Climate Change in Colombi...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Resilient Cities, SMEs, Communities and Infrastructure Four Pioneering Projec...
Resilient Cities, SMEs, Communities and Infrastructure Four Pioneering Projec...Resilient Cities, SMEs, Communities and Infrastructure Four Pioneering Projec...
Resilient Cities, SMEs, Communities and Infrastructure Four Pioneering Projec...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Sendais Reconstruction and Strategies, Yukimoto ITO
Sendais Reconstruction and Strategies,  Yukimoto ITOSendais Reconstruction and Strategies,  Yukimoto ITO
Sendais Reconstruction and Strategies, Yukimoto ITOGlobal Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Linking the dots From islands of knowledge to resilient societies, Dan CHIRON...
Linking the dots From islands of knowledge to resilient societies, Dan CHIRON...Linking the dots From islands of knowledge to resilient societies, Dan CHIRON...
Linking the dots From islands of knowledge to resilient societies, Dan CHIRON...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Integrative Risk Management for Catastrophe Destroying 10-20% of Global Food ...
Integrative Risk Management for Catastrophe Destroying 10-20% of Global Food ...Integrative Risk Management for Catastrophe Destroying 10-20% of Global Food ...
Integrative Risk Management for Catastrophe Destroying 10-20% of Global Food ...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
HADIDIAN MOGHADAM-Aviation industry and its actions on crisis management proc...
HADIDIAN MOGHADAM-Aviation industry and its actions on crisis management proc...HADIDIAN MOGHADAM-Aviation industry and its actions on crisis management proc...
HADIDIAN MOGHADAM-Aviation industry and its actions on crisis management proc...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Suggestion from the Elderly Person Facilities at the 2011 Great East Japan Ea...
Suggestion from the Elderly Person Facilities at the 2011 Great East Japan Ea...Suggestion from the Elderly Person Facilities at the 2011 Great East Japan Ea...
Suggestion from the Elderly Person Facilities at the 2011 Great East Japan Ea...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
NEUSSNER-Risk maps for the support of reconstruction after Typhoon Haiyan-ID1...
NEUSSNER-Risk maps for the support of reconstruction after Typhoon Haiyan-ID1...NEUSSNER-Risk maps for the support of reconstruction after Typhoon Haiyan-ID1...
NEUSSNER-Risk maps for the support of reconstruction after Typhoon Haiyan-ID1...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
SPEAK Social media and crisis communication during cascading disasters, Elisa...
SPEAK Social media and crisis communication during cascading disasters, Elisa...SPEAK Social media and crisis communication during cascading disasters, Elisa...
SPEAK Social media and crisis communication during cascading disasters, Elisa...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
The challenge in the recovery process and solutions for the future, Takuya ITO
The challenge in the recovery process and solutions for the future, Takuya ITOThe challenge in the recovery process and solutions for the future, Takuya ITO
The challenge in the recovery process and solutions for the future, Takuya ITOGlobal Risk Forum GRFDavos
 

Was ist angesagt? (20)

A Holistic Approach Towards International Disaster Resilient Architecture by ...
A Holistic Approach Towards International Disaster Resilient Architecture by ...A Holistic Approach Towards International Disaster Resilient Architecture by ...
A Holistic Approach Towards International Disaster Resilient Architecture by ...
 
Towards the Validation of National Risk Assessments against Historical Observ...
Towards the Validation of National Risk Assessments against Historical Observ...Towards the Validation of National Risk Assessments against Historical Observ...
Towards the Validation of National Risk Assessments against Historical Observ...
 
Climate Change Impacts at the Household Level Food Security in the Mountainou...
Climate Change Impacts at the Household Level Food Security in the Mountainou...Climate Change Impacts at the Household Level Food Security in the Mountainou...
Climate Change Impacts at the Household Level Food Security in the Mountainou...
 
Working with the Towns, Cities and Provinces of Small Island Developing State...
Working with the Towns, Cities and Provinces of Small Island Developing State...Working with the Towns, Cities and Provinces of Small Island Developing State...
Working with the Towns, Cities and Provinces of Small Island Developing State...
 
The Moroccan Experiences with the OECD Review Process, Aziz AJBILOU
The Moroccan Experiences with the OECD Review Process, Aziz AJBILOUThe Moroccan Experiences with the OECD Review Process, Aziz AJBILOU
The Moroccan Experiences with the OECD Review Process, Aziz AJBILOU
 
Consequences of the Armed Conflict as a Stressor of Climate Change in Colombi...
Consequences of the Armed Conflict as a Stressor of Climate Change in Colombi...Consequences of the Armed Conflict as a Stressor of Climate Change in Colombi...
Consequences of the Armed Conflict as a Stressor of Climate Change in Colombi...
 
Resilient Cities, SMEs, Communities and Infrastructure Four Pioneering Projec...
Resilient Cities, SMEs, Communities and Infrastructure Four Pioneering Projec...Resilient Cities, SMEs, Communities and Infrastructure Four Pioneering Projec...
Resilient Cities, SMEs, Communities and Infrastructure Four Pioneering Projec...
 
Sendais Reconstruction and Strategies, Yukimoto ITO
Sendais Reconstruction and Strategies,  Yukimoto ITOSendais Reconstruction and Strategies,  Yukimoto ITO
Sendais Reconstruction and Strategies, Yukimoto ITO
 
Linking the dots From islands of knowledge to resilient societies, Dan CHIRON...
Linking the dots From islands of knowledge to resilient societies, Dan CHIRON...Linking the dots From islands of knowledge to resilient societies, Dan CHIRON...
Linking the dots From islands of knowledge to resilient societies, Dan CHIRON...
 
Integrative Risk Management for Catastrophe Destroying 10-20% of Global Food ...
Integrative Risk Management for Catastrophe Destroying 10-20% of Global Food ...Integrative Risk Management for Catastrophe Destroying 10-20% of Global Food ...
Integrative Risk Management for Catastrophe Destroying 10-20% of Global Food ...
 
Introducing EPIC_CamilleBuyck_Final
Introducing EPIC_CamilleBuyck_FinalIntroducing EPIC_CamilleBuyck_Final
Introducing EPIC_CamilleBuyck_Final
 
IDRC14-Luu et al
IDRC14-Luu et alIDRC14-Luu et al
IDRC14-Luu et al
 
HADIDIAN MOGHADAM-Aviation industry and its actions on crisis management proc...
HADIDIAN MOGHADAM-Aviation industry and its actions on crisis management proc...HADIDIAN MOGHADAM-Aviation industry and its actions on crisis management proc...
HADIDIAN MOGHADAM-Aviation industry and its actions on crisis management proc...
 
Giriraj_Floodactivities_IDRCAug252014
Giriraj_Floodactivities_IDRCAug252014Giriraj_Floodactivities_IDRCAug252014
Giriraj_Floodactivities_IDRCAug252014
 
Suggestion from the Elderly Person Facilities at the 2011 Great East Japan Ea...
Suggestion from the Elderly Person Facilities at the 2011 Great East Japan Ea...Suggestion from the Elderly Person Facilities at the 2011 Great East Japan Ea...
Suggestion from the Elderly Person Facilities at the 2011 Great East Japan Ea...
 
Idrc peer review
Idrc peer reviewIdrc peer review
Idrc peer review
 
NEUSSNER-Risk maps for the support of reconstruction after Typhoon Haiyan-ID1...
NEUSSNER-Risk maps for the support of reconstruction after Typhoon Haiyan-ID1...NEUSSNER-Risk maps for the support of reconstruction after Typhoon Haiyan-ID1...
NEUSSNER-Risk maps for the support of reconstruction after Typhoon Haiyan-ID1...
 
Davos Maposa 2014-IDRC14
Davos Maposa 2014-IDRC14Davos Maposa 2014-IDRC14
Davos Maposa 2014-IDRC14
 
SPEAK Social media and crisis communication during cascading disasters, Elisa...
SPEAK Social media and crisis communication during cascading disasters, Elisa...SPEAK Social media and crisis communication during cascading disasters, Elisa...
SPEAK Social media and crisis communication during cascading disasters, Elisa...
 
The challenge in the recovery process and solutions for the future, Takuya ITO
The challenge in the recovery process and solutions for the future, Takuya ITOThe challenge in the recovery process and solutions for the future, Takuya ITO
The challenge in the recovery process and solutions for the future, Takuya ITO
 

Andere mochten auch

Global Multiple Natural Hazards Risk Landscape and Climate Change Regionaliza...
Global Multiple Natural Hazards Risk Landscape and Climate Change Regionaliza...Global Multiple Natural Hazards Risk Landscape and Climate Change Regionaliza...
Global Multiple Natural Hazards Risk Landscape and Climate Change Regionaliza...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
The Role of New and Traditional Media in Alerting and Risk Communication, Bri...
The Role of New and Traditional Media in Alerting and Risk Communication, Bri...The Role of New and Traditional Media in Alerting and Risk Communication, Bri...
The Role of New and Traditional Media in Alerting and Risk Communication, Bri...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
The Role of Media in Disaster Risk Reduction From the Experience of the Great...
The Role of Media in Disaster Risk Reduction From the Experience of the Great...The Role of Media in Disaster Risk Reduction From the Experience of the Great...
The Role of Media in Disaster Risk Reduction From the Experience of the Great...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Risk Communication by Government and the Role of the Social Media in Crisis C...
Risk Communication by Government and the Role of the Social Media in Crisis C...Risk Communication by Government and the Role of the Social Media in Crisis C...
Risk Communication by Government and the Role of the Social Media in Crisis C...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Global Environmental Risk and its Governance Consilience Mode, Shi PEIJUN
Global Environmental Risk and its Governance Consilience Mode, Shi PEIJUNGlobal Environmental Risk and its Governance Consilience Mode, Shi PEIJUN
Global Environmental Risk and its Governance Consilience Mode, Shi PEIJUNGlobal Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
The Role of the Media in Risk Communication, Sidika TEKELI-YESIL
The Role of the Media in Risk Communication, Sidika TEKELI-YESILThe Role of the Media in Risk Communication, Sidika TEKELI-YESIL
The Role of the Media in Risk Communication, Sidika TEKELI-YESILGlobal Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
How to efficiently manage corruption risks in an organization with 23,000 peo...
How to efficiently manage corruption risks in an organization with 23,000 peo...How to efficiently manage corruption risks in an organization with 23,000 peo...
How to efficiently manage corruption risks in an organization with 23,000 peo...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Linkages in Disasters A Perspective on Migrants Inclusivity in Disaster Risk ...
Linkages in Disasters A Perspective on Migrants Inclusivity in Disaster Risk ...Linkages in Disasters A Perspective on Migrants Inclusivity in Disaster Risk ...
Linkages in Disasters A Perspective on Migrants Inclusivity in Disaster Risk ...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
IRGC Guidelines for Emerging Risk Governance, Marie-Valentine FLORIN
IRGC Guidelines for Emerging Risk Governance, Marie-Valentine FLORINIRGC Guidelines for Emerging Risk Governance, Marie-Valentine FLORIN
IRGC Guidelines for Emerging Risk Governance, Marie-Valentine FLORINGlobal Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
The Power of Communities in Coping with Natural Disasters The Case of El Morr...
The Power of Communities in Coping with Natural Disasters The Case of El Morr...The Power of Communities in Coping with Natural Disasters The Case of El Morr...
The Power of Communities in Coping with Natural Disasters The Case of El Morr...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Measuring the Progress of a Recovery Process after an Earthquake The Case of ...
Measuring the Progress of a Recovery Process after an Earthquake The Case of ...Measuring the Progress of a Recovery Process after an Earthquake The Case of ...
Measuring the Progress of a Recovery Process after an Earthquake The Case of ...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Social Capital and Disaster Resilience A Canadian Case Study, Niru NIRUPAMA
Social Capital and Disaster Resilience A Canadian Case Study, Niru NIRUPAMASocial Capital and Disaster Resilience A Canadian Case Study, Niru NIRUPAMA
Social Capital and Disaster Resilience A Canadian Case Study, Niru NIRUPAMAGlobal Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Development & Application of Ichi-Nichi-Mae Project for Disaster Awareness If...
Development & Application of Ichi-Nichi-Mae Project for Disaster Awareness If...Development & Application of Ichi-Nichi-Mae Project for Disaster Awareness If...
Development & Application of Ichi-Nichi-Mae Project for Disaster Awareness If...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Who Can Save our Cultural Heritage in Time of War, Laila MOUSTAFA
Who Can Save our Cultural Heritage in Time of War, Laila MOUSTAFAWho Can Save our Cultural Heritage in Time of War, Laila MOUSTAFA
Who Can Save our Cultural Heritage in Time of War, Laila MOUSTAFAGlobal Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
The Influence of Public Awareness and Transparency on Corporate Governance an...
The Influence of Public Awareness and Transparency on Corporate Governance an...The Influence of Public Awareness and Transparency on Corporate Governance an...
The Influence of Public Awareness and Transparency on Corporate Governance an...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
The multiscale patterns of urban disaster resilience Case study of Tehran Cit...
The multiscale patterns of urban disaster resilience Case study of Tehran Cit...The multiscale patterns of urban disaster resilience Case study of Tehran Cit...
The multiscale patterns of urban disaster resilience Case study of Tehran Cit...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Risks of Industry 4.0 - An Information Technology Perspective, Thomas USLÄNDER
Risks of Industry 4.0 - An Information Technology Perspective, Thomas USLÄNDERRisks of Industry 4.0 - An Information Technology Perspective, Thomas USLÄNDER
Risks of Industry 4.0 - An Information Technology Perspective, Thomas USLÄNDERGlobal Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Development of a Women s Safety Index on Gender-based Violence A Cross-Region...
Development of a Women s Safety Index on Gender-based Violence A Cross-Region...Development of a Women s Safety Index on Gender-based Violence A Cross-Region...
Development of a Women s Safety Index on Gender-based Violence A Cross-Region...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Migrants, Asylum Seekers and Refugees with Disabilities in the Context of Maj...
Migrants, Asylum Seekers and Refugees with Disabilities in the Context of Maj...Migrants, Asylum Seekers and Refugees with Disabilities in the Context of Maj...
Migrants, Asylum Seekers and Refugees with Disabilities in the Context of Maj...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Methods and Compliance Programs for Anti-Corruption, Pascal HANS
Methods and Compliance Programs for Anti-Corruption, Pascal HANSMethods and Compliance Programs for Anti-Corruption, Pascal HANS
Methods and Compliance Programs for Anti-Corruption, Pascal HANSGlobal Risk Forum GRFDavos
 

Andere mochten auch (20)

Global Multiple Natural Hazards Risk Landscape and Climate Change Regionaliza...
Global Multiple Natural Hazards Risk Landscape and Climate Change Regionaliza...Global Multiple Natural Hazards Risk Landscape and Climate Change Regionaliza...
Global Multiple Natural Hazards Risk Landscape and Climate Change Regionaliza...
 
The Role of New and Traditional Media in Alerting and Risk Communication, Bri...
The Role of New and Traditional Media in Alerting and Risk Communication, Bri...The Role of New and Traditional Media in Alerting and Risk Communication, Bri...
The Role of New and Traditional Media in Alerting and Risk Communication, Bri...
 
The Role of Media in Disaster Risk Reduction From the Experience of the Great...
The Role of Media in Disaster Risk Reduction From the Experience of the Great...The Role of Media in Disaster Risk Reduction From the Experience of the Great...
The Role of Media in Disaster Risk Reduction From the Experience of the Great...
 
Risk Communication by Government and the Role of the Social Media in Crisis C...
Risk Communication by Government and the Role of the Social Media in Crisis C...Risk Communication by Government and the Role of the Social Media in Crisis C...
Risk Communication by Government and the Role of the Social Media in Crisis C...
 
Global Environmental Risk and its Governance Consilience Mode, Shi PEIJUN
Global Environmental Risk and its Governance Consilience Mode, Shi PEIJUNGlobal Environmental Risk and its Governance Consilience Mode, Shi PEIJUN
Global Environmental Risk and its Governance Consilience Mode, Shi PEIJUN
 
The Role of the Media in Risk Communication, Sidika TEKELI-YESIL
The Role of the Media in Risk Communication, Sidika TEKELI-YESILThe Role of the Media in Risk Communication, Sidika TEKELI-YESIL
The Role of the Media in Risk Communication, Sidika TEKELI-YESIL
 
How to efficiently manage corruption risks in an organization with 23,000 peo...
How to efficiently manage corruption risks in an organization with 23,000 peo...How to efficiently manage corruption risks in an organization with 23,000 peo...
How to efficiently manage corruption risks in an organization with 23,000 peo...
 
Linkages in Disasters A Perspective on Migrants Inclusivity in Disaster Risk ...
Linkages in Disasters A Perspective on Migrants Inclusivity in Disaster Risk ...Linkages in Disasters A Perspective on Migrants Inclusivity in Disaster Risk ...
Linkages in Disasters A Perspective on Migrants Inclusivity in Disaster Risk ...
 
IRGC Guidelines for Emerging Risk Governance, Marie-Valentine FLORIN
IRGC Guidelines for Emerging Risk Governance, Marie-Valentine FLORINIRGC Guidelines for Emerging Risk Governance, Marie-Valentine FLORIN
IRGC Guidelines for Emerging Risk Governance, Marie-Valentine FLORIN
 
The Power of Communities in Coping with Natural Disasters The Case of El Morr...
The Power of Communities in Coping with Natural Disasters The Case of El Morr...The Power of Communities in Coping with Natural Disasters The Case of El Morr...
The Power of Communities in Coping with Natural Disasters The Case of El Morr...
 
Measuring the Progress of a Recovery Process after an Earthquake The Case of ...
Measuring the Progress of a Recovery Process after an Earthquake The Case of ...Measuring the Progress of a Recovery Process after an Earthquake The Case of ...
Measuring the Progress of a Recovery Process after an Earthquake The Case of ...
 
Social Capital and Disaster Resilience A Canadian Case Study, Niru NIRUPAMA
Social Capital and Disaster Resilience A Canadian Case Study, Niru NIRUPAMASocial Capital and Disaster Resilience A Canadian Case Study, Niru NIRUPAMA
Social Capital and Disaster Resilience A Canadian Case Study, Niru NIRUPAMA
 
Development & Application of Ichi-Nichi-Mae Project for Disaster Awareness If...
Development & Application of Ichi-Nichi-Mae Project for Disaster Awareness If...Development & Application of Ichi-Nichi-Mae Project for Disaster Awareness If...
Development & Application of Ichi-Nichi-Mae Project for Disaster Awareness If...
 
Who Can Save our Cultural Heritage in Time of War, Laila MOUSTAFA
Who Can Save our Cultural Heritage in Time of War, Laila MOUSTAFAWho Can Save our Cultural Heritage in Time of War, Laila MOUSTAFA
Who Can Save our Cultural Heritage in Time of War, Laila MOUSTAFA
 
The Influence of Public Awareness and Transparency on Corporate Governance an...
The Influence of Public Awareness and Transparency on Corporate Governance an...The Influence of Public Awareness and Transparency on Corporate Governance an...
The Influence of Public Awareness and Transparency on Corporate Governance an...
 
The multiscale patterns of urban disaster resilience Case study of Tehran Cit...
The multiscale patterns of urban disaster resilience Case study of Tehran Cit...The multiscale patterns of urban disaster resilience Case study of Tehran Cit...
The multiscale patterns of urban disaster resilience Case study of Tehran Cit...
 
Risks of Industry 4.0 - An Information Technology Perspective, Thomas USLÄNDER
Risks of Industry 4.0 - An Information Technology Perspective, Thomas USLÄNDERRisks of Industry 4.0 - An Information Technology Perspective, Thomas USLÄNDER
Risks of Industry 4.0 - An Information Technology Perspective, Thomas USLÄNDER
 
Development of a Women s Safety Index on Gender-based Violence A Cross-Region...
Development of a Women s Safety Index on Gender-based Violence A Cross-Region...Development of a Women s Safety Index on Gender-based Violence A Cross-Region...
Development of a Women s Safety Index on Gender-based Violence A Cross-Region...
 
Migrants, Asylum Seekers and Refugees with Disabilities in the Context of Maj...
Migrants, Asylum Seekers and Refugees with Disabilities in the Context of Maj...Migrants, Asylum Seekers and Refugees with Disabilities in the Context of Maj...
Migrants, Asylum Seekers and Refugees with Disabilities in the Context of Maj...
 
Methods and Compliance Programs for Anti-Corruption, Pascal HANS
Methods and Compliance Programs for Anti-Corruption, Pascal HANSMethods and Compliance Programs for Anti-Corruption, Pascal HANS
Methods and Compliance Programs for Anti-Corruption, Pascal HANS
 

Ähnlich wie Stress Testing Cities - How to Live and Plan with New Risks, Theo KOETTER

Dynamic Risk Map (DRM) for Enhancing Risk Assessment of Construction Projects...
Dynamic Risk Map (DRM) for Enhancing Risk Assessment of Construction Projects...Dynamic Risk Map (DRM) for Enhancing Risk Assessment of Construction Projects...
Dynamic Risk Map (DRM) for Enhancing Risk Assessment of Construction Projects...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
The Factors Affecting Institutional Performance in Disaster Management in Oma...
The Factors Affecting Institutional Performance in Disaster Management in Oma...The Factors Affecting Institutional Performance in Disaster Management in Oma...
The Factors Affecting Institutional Performance in Disaster Management in Oma...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Untangling the Drivers of Disaster Resilience Developing a Context, Capacity ...
Untangling the Drivers of Disaster Resilience Developing a Context, Capacity ...Untangling the Drivers of Disaster Resilience Developing a Context, Capacity ...
Untangling the Drivers of Disaster Resilience Developing a Context, Capacity ...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Seismic Fragility of Equipment and Support Structure in a Unit of an Oil Comp...
Seismic Fragility of Equipment and Support Structure in a Unit of an Oil Comp...Seismic Fragility of Equipment and Support Structure in a Unit of an Oil Comp...
Seismic Fragility of Equipment and Support Structure in a Unit of an Oil Comp...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Critical Infrastructure, Panarchies and the Vulnerability Paths of Cascading ...
Critical Infrastructure, Panarchies and the Vulnerability Paths of Cascading ...Critical Infrastructure, Panarchies and the Vulnerability Paths of Cascading ...
Critical Infrastructure, Panarchies and the Vulnerability Paths of Cascading ...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Certified Systems to Reduce Security Risks in Modern Societies and the Contri...
Certified Systems to Reduce Security Risks in Modern Societies and the Contri...Certified Systems to Reduce Security Risks in Modern Societies and the Contri...
Certified Systems to Reduce Security Risks in Modern Societies and the Contri...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Seismic Performance Risk Assessment of a Chilean Hospital, Philomene FAVIER
Seismic Performance Risk Assessment of a Chilean Hospital, Philomene FAVIERSeismic Performance Risk Assessment of a Chilean Hospital, Philomene FAVIER
Seismic Performance Risk Assessment of a Chilean Hospital, Philomene FAVIERGlobal Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Use of Catastrophe Modelling Data to Help Earthquake Risk Assessment for Deve...
Use of Catastrophe Modelling Data to Help Earthquake Risk Assessment for Deve...Use of Catastrophe Modelling Data to Help Earthquake Risk Assessment for Deve...
Use of Catastrophe Modelling Data to Help Earthquake Risk Assessment for Deve...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Estimating Post-Earthquake Shelter Requirements, Annibale VECERE
Estimating Post-Earthquake Shelter Requirements, Annibale VECEREEstimating Post-Earthquake Shelter Requirements, Annibale VECERE
Estimating Post-Earthquake Shelter Requirements, Annibale VECEREGlobal Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Operationalization of an ISO 31000-Compliant Resilience Engineering Method, A...
Operationalization of an ISO 31000-Compliant Resilience Engineering Method, A...Operationalization of an ISO 31000-Compliant Resilience Engineering Method, A...
Operationalization of an ISO 31000-Compliant Resilience Engineering Method, A...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Expected Skills, Required Program Content and Assessment System to Address th...
Expected Skills, Required Program Content and Assessment System to Address th...Expected Skills, Required Program Content and Assessment System to Address th...
Expected Skills, Required Program Content and Assessment System to Address th...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Longterm Impacts of Natural Disasters on Public Health Systems, LORENZONI Nina
Longterm Impacts of Natural Disasters on Public Health Systems, LORENZONI NinaLongterm Impacts of Natural Disasters on Public Health Systems, LORENZONI Nina
Longterm Impacts of Natural Disasters on Public Health Systems, LORENZONI NinaGlobal Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Three Dilemmas of the Resilient City, Charles W. STEGER
Three Dilemmas of the Resilient City, Charles W. STEGERThree Dilemmas of the Resilient City, Charles W. STEGER
Three Dilemmas of the Resilient City, Charles W. STEGERGlobal Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Implications of Cascading Effects for the EU Floods Directive, Gianluca PESCA...
Implications of Cascading Effects for the EU Floods Directive, Gianluca PESCA...Implications of Cascading Effects for the EU Floods Directive, Gianluca PESCA...
Implications of Cascading Effects for the EU Floods Directive, Gianluca PESCA...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
The Resilience of Territories to Disasters, Clara VILLAR
The Resilience of Territories to Disasters, Clara VILLARThe Resilience of Territories to Disasters, Clara VILLAR
The Resilience of Territories to Disasters, Clara VILLARGlobal Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Save Yourself - Predicting Whether Communities Will be Able to Prepare Themse...
Save Yourself - Predicting Whether Communities Will be Able to Prepare Themse...Save Yourself - Predicting Whether Communities Will be Able to Prepare Themse...
Save Yourself - Predicting Whether Communities Will be Able to Prepare Themse...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Resilience in High-Speed Train Networks - Promising, New Approach, Florian ST...
Resilience in High-Speed Train Networks - Promising, New Approach, Florian ST...Resilience in High-Speed Train Networks - Promising, New Approach, Florian ST...
Resilience in High-Speed Train Networks - Promising, New Approach, Florian ST...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
The Process of Involving Citizens in the Planning of Green Cities, Gisela WAC...
The Process of Involving Citizens in the Planning of Green Cities, Gisela WAC...The Process of Involving Citizens in the Planning of Green Cities, Gisela WAC...
The Process of Involving Citizens in the Planning of Green Cities, Gisela WAC...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
A Multi-objective Goal Programming Approach for Locating Emergency Shelters u...
A Multi-objective Goal Programming Approach for Locating Emergency Shelters u...A Multi-objective Goal Programming Approach for Locating Emergency Shelters u...
A Multi-objective Goal Programming Approach for Locating Emergency Shelters u...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
C&A Save the Children Urban DRR Project, Ray KANCHARLA
C&A Save the Children Urban DRR Project, Ray KANCHARLAC&A Save the Children Urban DRR Project, Ray KANCHARLA
C&A Save the Children Urban DRR Project, Ray KANCHARLAGlobal Risk Forum GRFDavos
 

Ähnlich wie Stress Testing Cities - How to Live and Plan with New Risks, Theo KOETTER (20)

Dynamic Risk Map (DRM) for Enhancing Risk Assessment of Construction Projects...
Dynamic Risk Map (DRM) for Enhancing Risk Assessment of Construction Projects...Dynamic Risk Map (DRM) for Enhancing Risk Assessment of Construction Projects...
Dynamic Risk Map (DRM) for Enhancing Risk Assessment of Construction Projects...
 
The Factors Affecting Institutional Performance in Disaster Management in Oma...
The Factors Affecting Institutional Performance in Disaster Management in Oma...The Factors Affecting Institutional Performance in Disaster Management in Oma...
The Factors Affecting Institutional Performance in Disaster Management in Oma...
 
Untangling the Drivers of Disaster Resilience Developing a Context, Capacity ...
Untangling the Drivers of Disaster Resilience Developing a Context, Capacity ...Untangling the Drivers of Disaster Resilience Developing a Context, Capacity ...
Untangling the Drivers of Disaster Resilience Developing a Context, Capacity ...
 
Seismic Fragility of Equipment and Support Structure in a Unit of an Oil Comp...
Seismic Fragility of Equipment and Support Structure in a Unit of an Oil Comp...Seismic Fragility of Equipment and Support Structure in a Unit of an Oil Comp...
Seismic Fragility of Equipment and Support Structure in a Unit of an Oil Comp...
 
Critical Infrastructure, Panarchies and the Vulnerability Paths of Cascading ...
Critical Infrastructure, Panarchies and the Vulnerability Paths of Cascading ...Critical Infrastructure, Panarchies and the Vulnerability Paths of Cascading ...
Critical Infrastructure, Panarchies and the Vulnerability Paths of Cascading ...
 
Certified Systems to Reduce Security Risks in Modern Societies and the Contri...
Certified Systems to Reduce Security Risks in Modern Societies and the Contri...Certified Systems to Reduce Security Risks in Modern Societies and the Contri...
Certified Systems to Reduce Security Risks in Modern Societies and the Contri...
 
Seismic Performance Risk Assessment of a Chilean Hospital, Philomene FAVIER
Seismic Performance Risk Assessment of a Chilean Hospital, Philomene FAVIERSeismic Performance Risk Assessment of a Chilean Hospital, Philomene FAVIER
Seismic Performance Risk Assessment of a Chilean Hospital, Philomene FAVIER
 
Use of Catastrophe Modelling Data to Help Earthquake Risk Assessment for Deve...
Use of Catastrophe Modelling Data to Help Earthquake Risk Assessment for Deve...Use of Catastrophe Modelling Data to Help Earthquake Risk Assessment for Deve...
Use of Catastrophe Modelling Data to Help Earthquake Risk Assessment for Deve...
 
Estimating Post-Earthquake Shelter Requirements, Annibale VECERE
Estimating Post-Earthquake Shelter Requirements, Annibale VECEREEstimating Post-Earthquake Shelter Requirements, Annibale VECERE
Estimating Post-Earthquake Shelter Requirements, Annibale VECERE
 
Operationalization of an ISO 31000-Compliant Resilience Engineering Method, A...
Operationalization of an ISO 31000-Compliant Resilience Engineering Method, A...Operationalization of an ISO 31000-Compliant Resilience Engineering Method, A...
Operationalization of an ISO 31000-Compliant Resilience Engineering Method, A...
 
Expected Skills, Required Program Content and Assessment System to Address th...
Expected Skills, Required Program Content and Assessment System to Address th...Expected Skills, Required Program Content and Assessment System to Address th...
Expected Skills, Required Program Content and Assessment System to Address th...
 
Longterm Impacts of Natural Disasters on Public Health Systems, LORENZONI Nina
Longterm Impacts of Natural Disasters on Public Health Systems, LORENZONI NinaLongterm Impacts of Natural Disasters on Public Health Systems, LORENZONI Nina
Longterm Impacts of Natural Disasters on Public Health Systems, LORENZONI Nina
 
Three Dilemmas of the Resilient City, Charles W. STEGER
Three Dilemmas of the Resilient City, Charles W. STEGERThree Dilemmas of the Resilient City, Charles W. STEGER
Three Dilemmas of the Resilient City, Charles W. STEGER
 
Implications of Cascading Effects for the EU Floods Directive, Gianluca PESCA...
Implications of Cascading Effects for the EU Floods Directive, Gianluca PESCA...Implications of Cascading Effects for the EU Floods Directive, Gianluca PESCA...
Implications of Cascading Effects for the EU Floods Directive, Gianluca PESCA...
 
The Resilience of Territories to Disasters, Clara VILLAR
The Resilience of Territories to Disasters, Clara VILLARThe Resilience of Territories to Disasters, Clara VILLAR
The Resilience of Territories to Disasters, Clara VILLAR
 
Save Yourself - Predicting Whether Communities Will be Able to Prepare Themse...
Save Yourself - Predicting Whether Communities Will be Able to Prepare Themse...Save Yourself - Predicting Whether Communities Will be Able to Prepare Themse...
Save Yourself - Predicting Whether Communities Will be Able to Prepare Themse...
 
Resilience in High-Speed Train Networks - Promising, New Approach, Florian ST...
Resilience in High-Speed Train Networks - Promising, New Approach, Florian ST...Resilience in High-Speed Train Networks - Promising, New Approach, Florian ST...
Resilience in High-Speed Train Networks - Promising, New Approach, Florian ST...
 
The Process of Involving Citizens in the Planning of Green Cities, Gisela WAC...
The Process of Involving Citizens in the Planning of Green Cities, Gisela WAC...The Process of Involving Citizens in the Planning of Green Cities, Gisela WAC...
The Process of Involving Citizens in the Planning of Green Cities, Gisela WAC...
 
A Multi-objective Goal Programming Approach for Locating Emergency Shelters u...
A Multi-objective Goal Programming Approach for Locating Emergency Shelters u...A Multi-objective Goal Programming Approach for Locating Emergency Shelters u...
A Multi-objective Goal Programming Approach for Locating Emergency Shelters u...
 
C&A Save the Children Urban DRR Project, Ray KANCHARLA
C&A Save the Children Urban DRR Project, Ray KANCHARLAC&A Save the Children Urban DRR Project, Ray KANCHARLA
C&A Save the Children Urban DRR Project, Ray KANCHARLA
 

Mehr von Global Risk Forum GRFDavos

Disaster Risk Management Knowledge Centre, Brian Doherty
Disaster Risk Management Knowledge Centre, Brian DohertyDisaster Risk Management Knowledge Centre, Brian Doherty
Disaster Risk Management Knowledge Centre, Brian DohertyGlobal Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Disaster risk reduction and nursing - human science research the view of surv...
Disaster risk reduction and nursing - human science research the view of surv...Disaster risk reduction and nursing - human science research the view of surv...
Disaster risk reduction and nursing - human science research the view of surv...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Global alliance of disaster research institutes (GADRI) discussion session, A...
Global alliance of disaster research institutes (GADRI) discussion session, A...Global alliance of disaster research institutes (GADRI) discussion session, A...
Global alliance of disaster research institutes (GADRI) discussion session, A...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Making Hard Choices An Analysis of Settlement Choices and Willingness to Retu...
Making Hard Choices An Analysis of Settlement Choices and Willingness to Retu...Making Hard Choices An Analysis of Settlement Choices and Willingness to Retu...
Making Hard Choices An Analysis of Settlement Choices and Willingness to Retu...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
The Relocation Challenges in Coastal Urban Centers Options and Limitations, A...
The Relocation Challenges in Coastal Urban Centers Options and Limitations, A...The Relocation Challenges in Coastal Urban Centers Options and Limitations, A...
The Relocation Challenges in Coastal Urban Centers Options and Limitations, A...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Involving the Mining Sector in Achieving Land Degradation Neutrality, Simone ...
Involving the Mining Sector in Achieving Land Degradation Neutrality, Simone ...Involving the Mining Sector in Achieving Land Degradation Neutrality, Simone ...
Involving the Mining Sector in Achieving Land Degradation Neutrality, Simone ...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Disaster Risk Reduction and Nursing - Human Science research the view of surv...
Disaster Risk Reduction and Nursing - Human Science research the view of surv...Disaster Risk Reduction and Nursing - Human Science research the view of surv...
Disaster Risk Reduction and Nursing - Human Science research the view of surv...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Training and awareness raising in Critical Infrastructure Protection & Resili...
Training and awareness raising in Critical Infrastructure Protection & Resili...Training and awareness raising in Critical Infrastructure Protection & Resili...
Training and awareness raising in Critical Infrastructure Protection & Resili...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
IDRC Davos 2016 - Workshop Awareness Raising, Education and Training - Capaci...
IDRC Davos 2016 - Workshop Awareness Raising, Education and Training - Capaci...IDRC Davos 2016 - Workshop Awareness Raising, Education and Training - Capaci...
IDRC Davos 2016 - Workshop Awareness Raising, Education and Training - Capaci...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Global Alliance of Disaster Research Institutes - Hirokazu TATANO
Global Alliance of Disaster Research Institutes - Hirokazu TATANOGlobal Alliance of Disaster Research Institutes - Hirokazu TATANO
Global Alliance of Disaster Research Institutes - Hirokazu TATANOGlobal Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Capacity Development for DRR, Beatrice PROGIDA
Capacity Development for DRR, Beatrice PROGIDACapacity Development for DRR, Beatrice PROGIDA
Capacity Development for DRR, Beatrice PROGIDAGlobal Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Dynamic factors influencing the post-disaster resettlement success Lessons fr...
Dynamic factors influencing the post-disaster resettlement success Lessons fr...Dynamic factors influencing the post-disaster resettlement success Lessons fr...
Dynamic factors influencing the post-disaster resettlement success Lessons fr...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Disaster Risk Perception in Cameroon and its Implications for the Rehabilitat...
Disaster Risk Perception in Cameroon and its Implications for the Rehabilitat...Disaster Risk Perception in Cameroon and its Implications for the Rehabilitat...
Disaster Risk Perception in Cameroon and its Implications for the Rehabilitat...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Systematic Knowledge Sharing of Natural Hazard Damages in Public-private Part...
Systematic Knowledge Sharing of Natural Hazard Damages in Public-private Part...Systematic Knowledge Sharing of Natural Hazard Damages in Public-private Part...
Systematic Knowledge Sharing of Natural Hazard Damages in Public-private Part...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Exploring the Effectiveness of Humanitarian NGO-Private Sector Collaborations...
Exploring the Effectiveness of Humanitarian NGO-Private Sector Collaborations...Exploring the Effectiveness of Humanitarian NGO-Private Sector Collaborations...
Exploring the Effectiveness of Humanitarian NGO-Private Sector Collaborations...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Can UK Water Service Providers Manage Risk and Resilience as Part of a Multi-...
Can UK Water Service Providers Manage Risk and Resilience as Part of a Multi-...Can UK Water Service Providers Manage Risk and Resilience as Part of a Multi-...
Can UK Water Service Providers Manage Risk and Resilience as Part of a Multi-...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Architecture as a Catalyst for Sustainable Development, Anna HERINGER
Architecture as a Catalyst for Sustainable Development, Anna HERINGERArchitecture as a Catalyst for Sustainable Development, Anna HERINGER
Architecture as a Catalyst for Sustainable Development, Anna HERINGERGlobal Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Study on the Impact of Economic Growth on Meteorological Disaster Losses in C...
Study on the Impact of Economic Growth on Meteorological Disaster Losses in C...Study on the Impact of Economic Growth on Meteorological Disaster Losses in C...
Study on the Impact of Economic Growth on Meteorological Disaster Losses in C...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Study on Probability Distribution of Disaster Losses, Demographics and Social...
Study on Probability Distribution of Disaster Losses, Demographics and Social...Study on Probability Distribution of Disaster Losses, Demographics and Social...
Study on Probability Distribution of Disaster Losses, Demographics and Social...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 
Where and What Kind of Weather Insurance Indexes Could be Potentially Used fo...
Where and What Kind of Weather Insurance Indexes Could be Potentially Used fo...Where and What Kind of Weather Insurance Indexes Could be Potentially Used fo...
Where and What Kind of Weather Insurance Indexes Could be Potentially Used fo...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
 

Mehr von Global Risk Forum GRFDavos (20)

Disaster Risk Management Knowledge Centre, Brian Doherty
Disaster Risk Management Knowledge Centre, Brian DohertyDisaster Risk Management Knowledge Centre, Brian Doherty
Disaster Risk Management Knowledge Centre, Brian Doherty
 
Disaster risk reduction and nursing - human science research the view of surv...
Disaster risk reduction and nursing - human science research the view of surv...Disaster risk reduction and nursing - human science research the view of surv...
Disaster risk reduction and nursing - human science research the view of surv...
 
Global alliance of disaster research institutes (GADRI) discussion session, A...
Global alliance of disaster research institutes (GADRI) discussion session, A...Global alliance of disaster research institutes (GADRI) discussion session, A...
Global alliance of disaster research institutes (GADRI) discussion session, A...
 
Making Hard Choices An Analysis of Settlement Choices and Willingness to Retu...
Making Hard Choices An Analysis of Settlement Choices and Willingness to Retu...Making Hard Choices An Analysis of Settlement Choices and Willingness to Retu...
Making Hard Choices An Analysis of Settlement Choices and Willingness to Retu...
 
The Relocation Challenges in Coastal Urban Centers Options and Limitations, A...
The Relocation Challenges in Coastal Urban Centers Options and Limitations, A...The Relocation Challenges in Coastal Urban Centers Options and Limitations, A...
The Relocation Challenges in Coastal Urban Centers Options and Limitations, A...
 
Involving the Mining Sector in Achieving Land Degradation Neutrality, Simone ...
Involving the Mining Sector in Achieving Land Degradation Neutrality, Simone ...Involving the Mining Sector in Achieving Land Degradation Neutrality, Simone ...
Involving the Mining Sector in Achieving Land Degradation Neutrality, Simone ...
 
Disaster Risk Reduction and Nursing - Human Science research the view of surv...
Disaster Risk Reduction and Nursing - Human Science research the view of surv...Disaster Risk Reduction and Nursing - Human Science research the view of surv...
Disaster Risk Reduction and Nursing - Human Science research the view of surv...
 
Training and awareness raising in Critical Infrastructure Protection & Resili...
Training and awareness raising in Critical Infrastructure Protection & Resili...Training and awareness raising in Critical Infrastructure Protection & Resili...
Training and awareness raising in Critical Infrastructure Protection & Resili...
 
IDRC Davos 2016 - Workshop Awareness Raising, Education and Training - Capaci...
IDRC Davos 2016 - Workshop Awareness Raising, Education and Training - Capaci...IDRC Davos 2016 - Workshop Awareness Raising, Education and Training - Capaci...
IDRC Davos 2016 - Workshop Awareness Raising, Education and Training - Capaci...
 
Global Alliance of Disaster Research Institutes - Hirokazu TATANO
Global Alliance of Disaster Research Institutes - Hirokazu TATANOGlobal Alliance of Disaster Research Institutes - Hirokazu TATANO
Global Alliance of Disaster Research Institutes - Hirokazu TATANO
 
Capacity Development for DRR, Beatrice PROGIDA
Capacity Development for DRR, Beatrice PROGIDACapacity Development for DRR, Beatrice PROGIDA
Capacity Development for DRR, Beatrice PROGIDA
 
Dynamic factors influencing the post-disaster resettlement success Lessons fr...
Dynamic factors influencing the post-disaster resettlement success Lessons fr...Dynamic factors influencing the post-disaster resettlement success Lessons fr...
Dynamic factors influencing the post-disaster resettlement success Lessons fr...
 
Disaster Risk Perception in Cameroon and its Implications for the Rehabilitat...
Disaster Risk Perception in Cameroon and its Implications for the Rehabilitat...Disaster Risk Perception in Cameroon and its Implications for the Rehabilitat...
Disaster Risk Perception in Cameroon and its Implications for the Rehabilitat...
 
Systematic Knowledge Sharing of Natural Hazard Damages in Public-private Part...
Systematic Knowledge Sharing of Natural Hazard Damages in Public-private Part...Systematic Knowledge Sharing of Natural Hazard Damages in Public-private Part...
Systematic Knowledge Sharing of Natural Hazard Damages in Public-private Part...
 
Exploring the Effectiveness of Humanitarian NGO-Private Sector Collaborations...
Exploring the Effectiveness of Humanitarian NGO-Private Sector Collaborations...Exploring the Effectiveness of Humanitarian NGO-Private Sector Collaborations...
Exploring the Effectiveness of Humanitarian NGO-Private Sector Collaborations...
 
Can UK Water Service Providers Manage Risk and Resilience as Part of a Multi-...
Can UK Water Service Providers Manage Risk and Resilience as Part of a Multi-...Can UK Water Service Providers Manage Risk and Resilience as Part of a Multi-...
Can UK Water Service Providers Manage Risk and Resilience as Part of a Multi-...
 
Architecture as a Catalyst for Sustainable Development, Anna HERINGER
Architecture as a Catalyst for Sustainable Development, Anna HERINGERArchitecture as a Catalyst for Sustainable Development, Anna HERINGER
Architecture as a Catalyst for Sustainable Development, Anna HERINGER
 
Study on the Impact of Economic Growth on Meteorological Disaster Losses in C...
Study on the Impact of Economic Growth on Meteorological Disaster Losses in C...Study on the Impact of Economic Growth on Meteorological Disaster Losses in C...
Study on the Impact of Economic Growth on Meteorological Disaster Losses in C...
 
Study on Probability Distribution of Disaster Losses, Demographics and Social...
Study on Probability Distribution of Disaster Losses, Demographics and Social...Study on Probability Distribution of Disaster Losses, Demographics and Social...
Study on Probability Distribution of Disaster Losses, Demographics and Social...
 
Where and What Kind of Weather Insurance Indexes Could be Potentially Used fo...
Where and What Kind of Weather Insurance Indexes Could be Potentially Used fo...Where and What Kind of Weather Insurance Indexes Could be Potentially Used fo...
Where and What Kind of Weather Insurance Indexes Could be Potentially Used fo...
 

Stress Testing Cities - How to Live and Plan with New Risks, Theo KOETTER

  • 1. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Stress Testing of Cities ─ How to Live and Plan with New Risks Theo KÖTTER, Dominik WEISS, Asad ASADZADEH, University of Bonn, Germany
  • 2. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Motivation & Targets Motivation: To find out how the concept of urban resilience can be addressed for better perception, managing, and governning urban areas (106 German Cities) as complex socio- ecological systems in times of crisis and disturbances. Targets:  Understanding components (factors) that contribute to urban resilience and interactions that are needed to build and sustain it.  Developing a simple and practicable benchmarking tool for: 1) Measuring functionality and potential performance of cities against multiple stresses. 2) Comparative assessment of urban case studies in terms of their resilience level.  To operate the inherent capacity of urban areas to cope with, adapt to crisis and shocks, and shape changes. Bild: Colourbox.de
  • 3. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Robusteness Redundancy Resourcefulness Flexiblity Innovation Adaptability Multifunctionality InherentconditionsAdaptivecapacity Operationalizing by selecting relevant and representative indicators Robust structures resist to and mitigate against the negative impacts of urban stresses and thus limit the adverse effects.  Quantitative Indicators (antecedent conditions or products of a place-specific multiscaler processes that occur within and between social, natural, and built-environment systems). Adaptability enables a system to adjust multiple disturbances, moderate potential damage, take advantages of opportunities, and cope with the consequences of a transformation that occurs.  Qualitative Indicators (attributes associated with strategies, plans, and governing urban resilience). Characteristics of Resilience Concept of Urban Resileince The ability of an urban system-and all its constituent socio-ecological and socio-technical networks across temporal and spatial scales-to maintain or rapidly return to desired functions in the face of a disturbance, to adapt to change, and to quickly transform systems that limit current or future adaptive capacity (Meerow et al. 2016).
  • 4. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Methodological Steps 1. Theoretical foundation (functional concept of a dynamic city) 2. Characterizing descriptors (9 assets) that contribute to urban resilience 3. Developing stress scenarios (8 various possible shocks) 4. Defining potential indicators for each discriptor and data standardization 5. Results: a) Mapping robustness b) Resilience profile for each city (robustness and adaptability)
  • 5. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Dynamic Functionalities of Urban Areas
  • 6. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Working Living Resilience Descriptors Housing Market Demographic Structure Social Capital Environment Technical Infrastructure Economic Structure Finances Energy Social Infrastructure  The structural elements or assets of a city that are required for urban functions.
  • 7. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org 1. Huge and continuous migration and refugees 2. Decreasing/increasing population 3. Economic changes; insolvency of a single dominant company 4. Social polarization 5. Heavy rainfall 6. Heat wave 7. Energy import 8. Energy transition Stress Scenarios
  • 8. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Descriptors Scenarios Financesituation TechnicalInfrastructure SocialInfrastructure Energy Demographicstructure Economicstructure Housingmarket Environmentalquality Socialcapital Immigration ο ο ο ο ο Decreasing/increasing population ο ο ο ο ο ο ο Economic changes; company drop out ο ο ο Social polarization ο ο ο ο Heavy rainfall, flooding ο ο ο Heat wave ο ο ο Energy import ο ο ο ο Energy turn around ο ο ο Relationship Between Descriptors and Stress Scenarios
  • 9. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Robustness: 57 indicators based on availability of consistent quality data from national and community data sources (secondary data). Very low= 1 Low =2 Moderate = 3 High =4 Very high= 5 𝑥 𝑛𝑜𝑟𝑚 = 1 − 𝑥 − 𝑥 𝑚𝑖𝑛 𝑥 𝑚𝑎𝑥 − 𝑥 𝑚𝑖𝑛 ∗ 4 + 1 Adaptability: 47 indicators based on questionnaire survey (primary data). Question example: Does your city apply special forms of cooperation with local companies to integrate young unemployed into work. Indicators, Standardization and Rating Criteria of Adaptability Possible answers Rating scales Local coordination plan Not on agenda 1 In planning 2 Exists 3 Approved, applied 4 Approved, evaluated and updated 5 Unemploymentrate
  • 10. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Mapping Robustness: Social Polarization Scenario Population Structure Housing Market Social Infrastructure
  • 11. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Resileince Profile (Robusteness & Adaptability) Overview of all Stresses Scenarios For Scenario of Social Polarization
  • 12. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Next Step: Interpretation and Verification For verification and implementation purpose, the obtained results were sent to pilot cities in order to check the findings: 1. To what extent the developed stress scenarios are robust, relevant, and representativeness (verification). 2. To what extent the resilience profile are able to communicate with local politicians and decision-makers in order to prioritizing strategies, planning, and actions (connectability). 3. To what extent the results can be integrated in local urban planning and development processes (implementation).
  • 13. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org  The empirical study has advanced the understanding of multidimensional nature of resilience.  The stress and risk perspective provides new insights in urban developments in times of crises and hazards.  The assessment provides a comparative evaluation of resilience index and points out where interactions are more necessary.  It provides a self-evaluating tool for operationalizing the concept of urban resilience that can be adopted by every city if necessary.  Support decision-makers and local administrators for successful management of various urban stresses. Result and Conclusion
  • 14. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Theo Kötter Nußallee 1 53115, Bonn Tele: 0228. 732612 Email: tkoetter@uni-bonn.de