Special Report on the Climate Change and LandJesbin Baidya
Ähnlich wie Sandor SZALAI "Development of a framework for cost/benefit analysis of ecosystem based CC adaptation actions in the Carpathian region" (20)
7. Change of the seasonal precipitation sums
1961-2010 Lakatos et al., 2012
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference, Bonn, 9-12 April 2013
8. THE FRAMEWORK PROJECT (1/2)
• IN-DEPTH ASSESSMENTS OF
VULNERABILITY OF ECOSYSTEMS AND
ADAPTATION MEASURES IN THE
CARPATHIAN REGION
• SR1: Main impacts of the climate change on
the water resources and water related natural
disasters
• SR2: Vulnerability of the natural ecosystems
to climate change (forest, grasslands,
wetlands)
9. THE FRAMEWORK PROJECT (2/2)
• SR3: Impact of the climate change on
ecosystem production systems and
tourism
• SR4: Collect and evaluate adaptation
measures
• SR5: Stakeholder dialogues:
communication, meetings
• SR6: focal areas, where the SRs are
applied on integrated basis
10. CBA FRAMEWORK
1. ADAPTATION MEASURES AND
ECOSYSTEM SERVICES
2. ECONOMIC VALUATION
3. INTERPRETATION AND REPORTING
11. ADAPTATION MEASURES AND
ECOSYSTEM SERVICES
Changes New situation
Present
situation Ecosystems with
Climate adaptation measuress
Ecosystems without
Land use
Benefits adaptation measures
from the Change in the benefit
Territorial
ecosystem from ecosystem services
(abandonment)
services and the costs of the
adaptation measures
12. CLIMATE CHANGE
• Determined based on the A1B scenario
ECHAM5 REMO 5.7 model calculations
Temperature and precipitation changes for the period 2021-2050 compared to 1971-2000
14. ECONOMIC VALUATION
• Quantifying costs of adaptation measures
compared to the baseline option (preparatory,
investment, operating and maintenance
costs)
• Identifying human populations affected by
impacts
• Economic valuation of ecosystem service
changes
• Calculation of discounted costs and benefits
(select time scale and discount rate)
• Accounting for non-monetised impacts
18. IMPACTS ON HABITAT DISTRIBUTION
Vulnerability assessment by habitat tíypes
• Change in species composition
• Increased spread of alien species
• Reduced productivity
• Change in habitat distribution
21. ADAPTATION MEASURES
• Long list: about 150 measures collected
• Short list: about 20 measures (umbrella
measures)
• Final outcome will be 2-3 tailored
adaptation measures
22. ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
• Author thanks to European Comission, for
CarpathCC, which is supported by the EU
DG ENV Contract no
ENV.D.1/FRA/2011/0006
UNCCD 2nd Scientific