6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Hurricane Katrina Slam
Source: Adapted from archive.episcopalchurch.org

6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Floods after Cyclone Phailin: The Indian Express
Source: Adapted from http://archive.indianexpress.com/

6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Flood in Paris 2016
Source: Adapted from http://www.financialexpress.com/

6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Who Will Suffer Most???
Source: Adapted from https://www.theguardian.com

6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Exploring Vulnerability of Low Income People due to
Consecutive Disasters:
A Case Study on Kalapara Urban Area of Bangladesh
Papon Kumar Dev
Academic & Research Associate,
Technical University Berlin, Germany.
E-mail: dev@tu-berlin.de

6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Study Area

6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Aim & Objective
The aim of the research is to explore the vulnerability of low
income people due to consecutive natural disasters and
strengthening the risk reduction mechanism in urban center.
Objective
 To find out the socio-spatial dimension of natural disasters
 To identify asset vulnerability of poor individuals, households
and communities due to these natural disasters and climate
change induced hazards

6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Objective 01: Socio-Spatial Dimension

6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Objective 01: Socio-Spatial Dimension
Flood 2004 SIDR 2007 Water-logging

6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
m
Social Vulnerability, V = ∑ aiqi
i=1
Here,
V is the social vulnerability index
m the numbers of factors
ai the relative importance of factor i
qi is the amount of factor i
Hazard Vulnerability= Exposure + Sensitivity + Level of Incapacity
Objective 02: Vulnerability Analysis

6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Educational Level,
Income/Savings, Age
Group, Household Size,
Sex, Access to Social
Safety-net Programs etc.
Objective 02: Vulnerability Analysis/Social
Unions
Social
Vulnerability
Kalapara
Paurashava
0.55
Nilganj 0.65
Mithaganj 0.71

6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Cyclone and flood both perspectives
Objective 02: Vulnerability Analysis/Hazard
Hazard Vulnerability= Exposure + Sensitivity + Level of Incapacity
Cyclone
At every year 1
0.8After 1-2 years 0.8
After 3-4 years 0.6
After 4-5 years 0.4
After 5+ years 0.2

6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Objective 02: Vulnerability Analysis/Sensitivity
Variable
Cyclone
1998
Flood
1998
Flood
2004
Sidr
2007
Flood
2008
Aila
2009
House got flooded 74.30 72.73 74.24 80.76 75.76 77.23
Roof
damaged/blown
off
10.55 1.09 1.06 7.58 6.06 6.56
Damage to wall 1.51 12.55 7.03 1.03 4.55 2.42
Damage to items 6.06 4.55 7.06 4.06 6.06 5.02
Others 7.58 9.09 10.61 7.58 7.58 8.77
Loss of Homestead (Dwelling Unit) due to Disasters (%)
Loss of Homestead (Except the Dwelling Unit), loss of valuable goods, Loss of
Agricultural Crop

6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Objective 02: Vulnerability Analysis/incapacity level
• Collect information beforehand of possible disaster to
ensure secure shelter
• Ensure safe keeping of household valuables
• Contingency plan to overcome the crisis period
• Deposit/save maximum possible of income in good
time to use in bad time
• Access to social safety-net programs
• Engagement in local disaster management committee
• Perception level on disaster/climate change
• Knowledge on disaster risk reduction strategies

6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Objective 02: Vulnerability Analysis/ Hazard

6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Objective 02: Vulnerability Analysis/ Composite

6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Discussion and Remarks
• Ranking based Targeting Approach
• Spatial feature (e.g. cyclone shelter, embankment)
• Actions focused on low income people (sections A.2 and A.3
in Hyogo Framework)
• Vulnerability typologies- physical, social, environmental etc.
• Involvement in local body and contingency plan
• Disaster community forum
• Monitoring and Evaluation

6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org