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Bockline  Omedo Bebe IDRC Davos 2010 Conference, 30 May - 03 June Vulnerability Assessment of Livestock Production Systems to Climate-related Transboundary Animal Diseases   (TADS)
Climate-related Transboundary Animal Diseases (TADS) in Eastern Africa Region  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Hotspots of outbreaks of climate-related TADs in Eastern Africa region  TADS are already occurring more frequently with adverse impacts on livestock assets  of the poor
Pastoral  Livestock Production Systems in Arid and semi lands S mallholder Dairy Production Systems In Lake basin and coastal lowlands
The three hotspots ecosystems support the most important  livestock systems of the poor ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Climate change induced  Severity of Outbreaks of  TADs… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Climate change elements fuelling the outbreaks of Climate-related TADS
Containing TADS outbreaks important ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],V =  Impacts  x  Adaptability
Exposure  to CC hazards Sensitivity  to CC hazards ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Adaptive capacity to CC Vulnerability  susceptibility & inability to cope with climate changes Vulnerability  = Impacts x Adaptability
Vulnerability assessment framework… Criterion Pastoral systems Smallholder dairy systems Exposure PPR, RVF, CCPP, CBPP, FMD RVF,  FMD, ECF Sensitivity ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Adaptive capacity ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Insecurity in livestock assets  Food and Nutrition, Income and Wealth, Health ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Impacts of outbreaks of climate-related TADs
Vulnerability framework index Vulnerability criterion   High Vulnerability   Low Vulnerability Exposure to climate change and variability   high low Low High Sensitivity of livestock production system   high High Low High Adaptive capacity of livestock production system   low Low High Low Adverse social and economic implications of outbreak of climate-related TADS   high High Low Low Potential to benefit from management intervention high high low Low  Priority planned adaptation measures   high low
Challenges in implementing vulnerability assessment for  climate related TADS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Challenges in informative and valuable assessment of vulnerability to TADS... ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Current approaches ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Effective containment of TADS is important for securing these livestock assets of the poor  Thank you for thinking about the poor livestock keepers
Thank you for listening

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Vulnerability Assessment of Livestock Production Systems to Climate-related Transboundary Animal Diseases

  • 1. Bockline Omedo Bebe IDRC Davos 2010 Conference, 30 May - 03 June Vulnerability Assessment of Livestock Production Systems to Climate-related Transboundary Animal Diseases (TADS)
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. Pastoral Livestock Production Systems in Arid and semi lands S mallholder Dairy Production Systems In Lake basin and coastal lowlands
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13. Vulnerability framework index Vulnerability criterion High Vulnerability Low Vulnerability Exposure to climate change and variability high low Low High Sensitivity of livestock production system high High Low High Adaptive capacity of livestock production system low Low High Low Adverse social and economic implications of outbreak of climate-related TADS high High Low Low Potential to benefit from management intervention high high low Low Priority planned adaptation measures high low
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. Effective containment of TADS is important for securing these livestock assets of the poor Thank you for thinking about the poor livestock keepers
  • 18. Thank you for listening