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FUTURETRONIUM®,

The Revolution II I!
by Andres Agostini

V er s i o n 3 0 0 . 0 ─ D e c e m b e r / 2 7 / 2 01 1




( F o r t h c o m i n g v e r s i o n s , a s w e l l a s o th e r r e s o u r c e s , w i l l b e
announced            via     www.twitter.com/Futuretronium                             ─Until
indicated otherwise via www.twitter.com/Futuretronium ,
T h e F u t u r e t r o n i u m B o o k w i l l b e a n on g o i n g i n i t i a t i v e a n d
p er i o d i c a l l y u p g r a d e d , r e f i n e d a n d ex t e n d e d . )
2




(This        Proprietary             Book         may         be      reproduced               for
noncommercial purposes if it is copied in its entirety,
i n c l u d i n g t h i s n o t i c e . Pl e a s e r e c a l l t h a t “ i f i t i s c o p i e d in
its entirety, including this notice.”)


# 1 F U T U R E T R O N I U M ® , A N D T H E A D M I N I S T R A T I O N AN D
A P P L I C A T I O N O F T H E S C I E N T I F I C M E T HO D W I T H O U T
I N N U EN D O S AN D I N C R E S C E N D O A S F L U I D P O I N T S O F
INFLECTIONS               ASCERTAIN              T H AT      THE       MORROW             IS      A
THING OF THE PAST.


#2 FUTURETRONIUM®, SUBSEQUENTLY, THERE IS NOW
AN D           HERE             AVAILABLE                  THE            U N A BR I D G E D ,
AUTHORITATIVE                  ELICITATION               AND       ELUCIDATION                   OF
ACTIONABLE                K N O W L ED G E            FROM          AND         FOR         THE
I N C E S S AN T L Y AR R H Y T H M I C , A B R U P T , A N T A G O N I S T I C ,
MORDANT,             CAUSTIC,           AN D      ANARCHISTIC                FUTURE,             AS
WELL         AS       THE        C O N T EN T I O U S         INTERRELATIONSHIP
B E T W E E N S U C H F U T U R E AN D T H E P R E S EN T .


#3     FUTURETRONIUM®,                       A     RADICAL            YET        RIGOROUS
STRONG-SENSE                   AND         C R I T I C O - CR E A T I V E        «FUTURES
T H I N K I N G » , S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O Q U I N T E S S EN T I A L
U N D ER S T A N D I N G O F T H E C O M P L E X I T I E S , S U B T L E T I E S ,
3




AN D I N T R I C A C I E S , A S W E L L A S T H E O P P O R T U N I T I E S T O
BE        EXPLOITED                  OUT           OF        THE          DRIVING               FORCES
INSTILLING AND INFLICTING PERPETUAL CHANGE INTO
TWENTIETH-ONE CENTURY .


By ( c ) C o p y r i g h t 2 0 1 1 b y An d r e s A g o s t i n i — A l l R i g h t s
R es e r v e d ―




W       h a t d o e s n ’ t g e t u n d e r s t o o d i n t h i s a g e b e c o m e s a ma j o r

liability. To this end Henry Kissinger’s quotation is timely.
E n s u i n g : “ A n i gn o r e d i s s u e i s a n i n v i t a t i on t o a p r o b l e m. ” [ 1 2 ]


Forget what you know and just believe in what you see and sense.
I t’ s t i m e f o r y o u t o e x p l o r e , c on c e iv e , d e v e l o p , d i s c o v e r a n d
institute        your      own       Futures         —     exploiting          the     UPSIDES            and
D OW N S I D E S o f t h e s u r r e p t i t i o u s l y c ov e r t a n d i g n o r e d o n e s —
u n l e s s y ou w i l l m a k e y o u r s e l f e n s l a v e d b y c i r c u m s t a n c e s b e y o n d
y o u r c o n t r o l , r e g a r d l e s s o f y o u r “ p o w e r s . ” K i n d l y p l e a s e , if y o u ’ d
like, make your choices wisely and by you and for yourself!


T h e u n d e r s i g n e d i s i n n o wa y a t t e m p t i n g t o b e e i t h e r a s e e r , o r a
soothsayer, diviner, foreteller, or prophet, who can foretell the
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future. In managing corporate and operational risks of many
diverse natures, one needs not only to identify and recognize
h a z a r d s b u t t o a n t i c i p a t e , v e r y e a r l y o n , f u t u r e a n d a dv a n c e d
d i s r u p t i o n p o t e n t i a l , d o i n g s o i n t h e t r a d i t i o n o f r i g o r o u s f u tu r e s
studies coupled with other disciplines. In the last analysis and
v e r y s e r i o u s l y s t a t e d , t h e v ie w h e r e o f f e r s a l u c r a t iv e a n d a u se f u l
learning and a practical tool that requires from practitioners much
better         p r e pa r e d n e s s     before          systemic           volatility,           universal
uncertainty and ubiquitous change and ambiguity.


T h e o b j e c t i v e i s t h e u n de r s t a n d i n g t h e c o m p l e x a n d s u b t l e n a t u r e
and progression of many explosive driving forces that shape and
r e - s h a p e t h e k n o w n a n d u n k n o w n w o r l d . F u tu r i s t s s p e a k , o u t o f
b r i e f s y n t h e s i s , a b o u t t r e n d s a n d t e n d e n c ie s a n d p r o p e n s i t i e s o f
s o m e o f s a i d d r i v i n g f o r c e s . T he s e d r i v i n g f o r c e s a re n o t o n l y
m e g a , d i v e r s e d y n a m o s t h a t o u t p u t c h a n g e b u t a l s o c ha l l e n g e s ,
opportunities and benefits for those who are prepared and paying
incessantly great detailed attention.


T h e s e d r i v i n g f o rc e s , i n c i d e n t a l l y , e x p e l : ( 1) O p e n - e n d e d c h a n g e s ,
(2) Preemptive changes, and (3) “All-out war-waging” (that is,
boundaryless) changes.
5




You manage risks to increase your benefits and opportunities and
t o a u g m e n t t h e r e s i l i e n c y a n d a da p t a b i l i t y o f t h e s u s t a i n a b i l i t y o f
said benefits and opportunities. In Transformative and Integrative
R i s k M a n a g e m e n t ( be l o w ) , m a n a g i n g r i s k s ─ n o t t o b r i n g a b o u t
i l lu s i o n s   of   meaning           ─     are     nothing          else      than       the     optimum
management of the upsides and downsides embedded in the driving
forces.


Subsequently,              the      material          in     this      book        ranges         over      many
disciplines, as well as the work of many outstanding scientists.


F u r t h e r m o r e , p r e s e n t d r i v i n g f o r c e s ( sc i e n c e , t e c h n o l o g y , s o c i e t y ,
p o l i t i c s a n d e c o n o m y ) a r e c hu r n i n g i n s u r m o u n t a b l e a m o u n t s o f
unprecedented                 change          with         increasing           energy          and        scope.
A c c o r d i n g l y , t h e p r e s e n t m a t e r i a l i s c o m m u n ic a t e d w i t h m a r k e d
e m p h a s i s i n d e e d . E m p h a s i s w i l l b e r e i t e r a t e d . T he u n d e r s i g n e d
does not and will not dare to oversimplify and/or underestimate
the consequences and sequels of these gargantuan driving forces.


TO       O F F ER        G R E AT E R           INSIGHT              QUICKLY,               LET’        SEE        A
PRIMER                  ON          TECHNOLOGICAL                             AND             SCIENTIFIC
KNOWLEDGE. ENSUING:
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D r . M i c h i o Ka k u , P h . D . i n d i c a t e s : “ . . . . B y t h e e n d o f t h e t w e n t i e t h
c e n t u r y , s c i e n c e h ad r e a c h e d t h e en d o f a n e r a , u n l o c k i n g t h e
s e c r e t s o f t h e a t o m , u n r a v e l i n g t h e m o l ec u l e o f l i f e , an d c r e at i n g
the       e l ec t r o n i c    c o m p u t er .      With           these       three     fundamental
discoveries,            t r i g g e r ed   by      the     quantum           revolution,         the     DNA
r e v o l u t i on , a n d t h e c o m p u t e r r e v o lu t i on , t h e b a s i c l a w s o f m at t e r ,
li f e , a n d c o m p u t at i o n w e r e, i n t h e m a i n , f i n a l l y s o l v e d . . . . T h at
epic phase of science is now drawing to a close; one era is ending
a n d a n ot h e r i s o n l y b e g i n n i n g              ....      T h e n e x t e r a o f s c i en c e
p r o m i s e s t o b e a n e v e n d e ep e r , m o r e t h or o u g h g o i n g , m or e
p en e t r a t i n g o n e t h a n t h e l a s t              ....      C l e ar l y , w e a r e o n t h e
t h r e s h o l d o f y e t an o t h e r r e v o l u t i o n . H U M A N K N O W L E D G E I S
D O U B L I N G E V E R Y T E N Y E A R S [ A S P E R T H E 1 9 9 8 S T A N D A R DS ] .
I n t h e p a s t d e c ad e , m o r e s c i en t i fi c k n o w l e d g e h a s b e e n c r e at e d
t h a n i n a l l o f h u m an h i st o r y . C O M P U T E R P O W E R I S D O U B L I N G
E V E R Y E I G H T E E N M O N T HS . T H E I NT E R N E T I S D O U B L I N G
EVERY YEAR. THE NUMBER OF DNA SEQUENCES WE CAN
ANALYZE IS DOUBLING EVERY TWO YEARS. Almost daily, the
h e ad l i n e s h e r a l d n e w ad v a n c e s i n c o m pu t e r s , t e l ec o m m u n i c a t i o n s ,
b i o t ec h n o l o g y ,     and    space        e x p l o r a t i on .   In    the    wake       of    this
t e c h n o l o g i c a l u p h e a v a l , en t i r e i n d u st r i e s an d li f e s t y l e s a r e b e i n g
o v e r t u r n e d , on l y t o g i v e r i s e t o e n t i r el y n e w o n e s . B u t t h e s e
r ap i d , b e w i l d e r i n g c h a n g e s a r e n o t j u s t q u an t i t a t i v e . T h e y m a r k
t h e b i r t h p an g s o f a n e w er a . . . . F R O M N O W T O T H E Y E A R 2 0 2 0 ,
7




S C I E N T I S T S F O R E S E E A N E X P L O S I O N I N S C I E N T I FI C AC T I V I T Y
SUCH AS THE WORLD HAS NEVER SEEN BEFORE. IN TWO KEY
TECHNOLOGIES,                     COMPUTER                  POWER             AND          THE          DNA
S E Q U E N C I N G , W E W I L L S E E E N T I R E I ND U S T R I E S R I S E A N D
FALL         ON        THE        BASIS          OF       B R E A T HT A K I N G           S CI E N T I F I C
ADVANCES.               SINCE          THE         1950S,         THE         POWER            OF       OUR
C O M P U T E R S H A S A D V A N C E D B Y A FA C T O R O F R O U G H L Y T E N
B I L L I O N . I N F A C T , B E C A U S E B OT H C O M P U T E R P O W E R A N D
DNA SEQUENCING DOUBLE ROUGHLY EVERY TWO YEARS, ONE
CAN COMPUTE THE ROUGH TIME FRAME OVER WHICH MANY
SCIENTIFIC BREAKTHROUGHS WILL TAKE PLACE .... BY 2020,
MICROPROCESSORS                       WILL         LIKELY          BE      AS      A     CHEAP          AND
PLENTIFUL AS SCRAP PAPER, SCATTERED BY THE MILLIONS
I NT O E N V I R O N M E N T , A L L O W I N G US T O P L A C E I NT E L L I G E N T
S YS T E M S E V E R Y W H E R E . T H I S W I L L C H A N G E E V E R Y T H I N G
AROUND US, INCLUDING THE NATURE OF COMMERCE, THE
WEALTH OF NATIONS, AND THE WAY WE COMMUNICATE,
WORK, PLAY, AND LIVE.” [171]


President John F. Kennedy’s speech on September 12, 1962 at Race
U n i v e r s i t y : “ D e s p i t e t h e s t r i k i n g f ac t t h a t m o s t o f t h e s c i e n t i s t s
that the world has ever known are alive and working today,
d e s p i t e t h e f ac t t h a t t h i s N a t i o n ’ s o wn s c i en t i f i c m a n p o w e r i s
d o u b l i n g e v er y 1 2 y e a r s i n a r a t e o f gr o w t h m o r e t h an t h r e e t i m e s
8




t h a t o f ou r p o p u l a t i o n a s a w h o l e , d e s p i t e t h at , t h e v a s t st r e t c h e s
o f t h e u n k n o w n a n d t h e u n an s w e r e d a n d t h e u n f i n i s h e d s t i ll f ar
ou t s t r i p o u r c ol l e c t i v e c o m pr e h e n s i o n . ” [ 8 0 ]


T o f u r t h e r s e t t h e s t a g e f o r t h i s m a t e r i a l , t h e t e x t b o o k “ E i n st e i n i n
t h e B o ar d r o o m ” b y S u za n n e S . H a r r i s o n a n d P a t r i c k H . S u l l iv a n S r .
may offer some lucid ideas on the “current” state of affairs when
t h e y c la i m :


“ Hu m a n s h a v e b e en ad d i n g t o t h ei r t o t a l k n o w l e d g e st e a d i l y o v e r
the     c en t u r i e s ,   and     the      amount          of    knowledge            we      create        is
mu l t i p l y i n g a t a n i n c r ed i b l e r a t e . B e g i n n i n g w i t h t h e a m o u n t o f
k n o w l e d g e i n t h e k n o w n w o r ld at t h e t i m e o f C h r i s t , s t u d i e s h a v e
e s t i m a t e d t h a t t h e f i r s t d ou b l i n g o f t h a t k n o w l ed g e t o o k p l ac e
ab o u t 1 7 0 0 A . D . T h e s e c on d d ou b li n g o c c u r r e d a r ou n d t h e y e a r
1900. It is estimated today that the world's knowledge base will
d o u b l e a g a i n b y 2 0 1 0 a n d a g a i n a ft e r t h a t b y 2 0 1 3 . ” [ 3 7 ]


A r e w e r e a l i z i n g t h a t e v e r y t h i n g w e d o c r e a t e k n o w l e dg e ,
r eg a r d l e s s o f h o w w e u s e i t o r n o t ?


H.G. Wells (Herbert George Wells ─ 21 September 1866 -1946):
“An      i m m en s e        an d    e v er - i n c r e a s i n g   wealth        of     knowledge             is
s c at t e r ed ab o u t t h e w or l d t o d a y ; k n o w l e d g e t h a t w ou l d pr o b ab l y
9




s u f f i c e t o s o l v e a l l t h e mi g h t y d i f f i c u lt i e s o f o u r a g e b u t i t i s
dispersed           and        u n or g a n i z ed .         We    n e ed        a    sort      of     mental
c l e a r i n g h o u s e f o r t h e m i n d : a d e p o t wh e r e k n o w l e d g e a n d i d e a s
a r e r ec e i v e d , s o r t e d , s u m m a r i z e d , c l a r i f i e d a n d c o m p a r ed . ” [ 1 8 8 ]


T h e r e a r e m a n y s e r i o u s pu b l i c a t i o n s , f r o m 2 0 0 3 t o t h i s d a t e ,
s p e a k i n g o f t h e e n t i r e t y o f s c i e n t i f i c kn o w l e d g e d o u b l i n g e v e r y f i v e
(5) years and sooner. How, then, can one undertake such a
g a r g a n t u a n c ha l l e n g e , t h r o u g h t h e “ S o c i e t y o f K n o w l e d g e ” ( t h a t
also embraces the “infotech economy”), unless it is through the
s t e w a r d s h i p o f t h e m o s t r i g o r o u s a n d a d v a n c e d s c i e n t if i c m e t h o d ?
[129]


Hu m a n k n o w l e d g e c a p ab i l i t y wi l l c o n t i n u e t o d o u b l e e v e r y y e a r .
“ Hu m a n       knowledge            c a p ab i l i t y ”    is   the      quantity         of      available
k n o w l e d g e m u l t i p l i ed b y t h e p o w e r o f t e c h n o l o g y t o pr o c e s s t h a t
knowledge. This capability will increase by two to the power of
1 0 0 , t h e e q u i v a l e n t o f a t h o u s a n d b i l li o n b i ll i o n , i n t h e t w en t y -
first century. — James Martin, “The 17 Great Challenges of the
T we n t y - F i r s t   Century,”           Jan-Feb           2007,        p.       24   [ T he      Fu t u r i s t
Magazine’s Top-10 Forecast for 2010]


I s t h e r e a n y t e c h n o l o g i c a l b r e a k t h r o u g h i s g r e en e n er g y ?
10




Dr. Ray Kurzweil Ph.D.: “[THERE IS A] DOUBLING EVERY TWO
Y E A R S [ R E G A R D I N G T H E T E C H N O L O G I C A L AD V A N C E M E N T O F ]
SOLAR ENERGY BY APPLYING NANOTECHNOLOGY TO SOLAR
PANELS.” [177]


Is genetics and genomic making landmark progression to
solve complicated challenges?


Dr. Ray Kurzweil Ph.D.: “...NANO-GENETIC SEQUENCING DATA
… IS DOUBLING EVERY YEAR.” [177]


What        has       become           of     novel        k n o w l e dg e     content
manufacturing as of now?


D r . R a y K u r z w e i l P h . D . : “ K N O W L E D G E I S D O UB L I N G B Y E V E R Y
FOURTEEN MONTHS.” [177]


I s M o o r e' s L a w b e g i n n i n g t o r u n o u t o f s t e a m ?


Dr. Ray Kurzweil Ph.D.:                “MORE THAN THE DOUBLING OF
COMPUTATIONAL POWER [IS TAKING PLACE] EVERY YEAR.”
[177]
11




Subsequently, given the immense level of complexity progression
and density, there is one axiom we will need to live by (that is, if
we wish to be successful in prevailing) that indicates:                                               “The
s i g n i f i c a n t p r o b l e m s w e f ac e c an n o t b e s o l v e d at t h e s a m e l e v e l o f
t h i n k i n g w e w e r e at w h e n w e c r e a t e d t h e m. ” ( B y A l b e r t E i n s t e i n )
[153]


C h i n a m u l l s $ 1 . 5 t r i l l i o n s t r a t e g i c i n du s t r i e s b o o s t ? Ho w
far can China go to pervasively cutting-edge science and
technology while the West, seemingly and allegedly, does
n o t g e t i t s a c t t o g et h e r ? W h a t d o e s a p r o m i n en t n e w s
agency have to report on it?


R e u t e r s ( D e c 0 3 , 2 0 1 0 ) : “ C h i n a i s c on s i d er i n g i n v e s t m e n t s o f u p
t o $ 1 . 5 t r i l l i on o v e r f i v e y e a r s i n s e v e n s t r a t e g i c i n d u st r i e s ,
sources        said,      a    plan      aimed         at    a c c e l e r at i n g   the     country's
t r a n s i t i o n f r o m t h e w or l d ' s su p p l i er o f c h e a p g o o d s t o a l e ad i n g
purveyor of high-value technologies                                ....      An a l y s t s e x p r e s s e d
s k e p t i c i s m at t h e s h e e r a m ou n t o f m o n e y ─ i t eq u a t e s t o a b o u t 5
p er c en t o f C h i n a ' s g r o s s d o m e s t i c pr o d u c t o n a n a n n u a l b a s i s ─
b u t s a i d t h a t t h e e y e - p o p p i n g h e a d l i n e fi g u r e w a s an i n d i c at i o n o f
t h e g o v e r n m en t ' s d et e r m i n a t i on t o c a t a l y z e a s t r u c t u r a l s h i ft i n
t h e ec o n o m y         ....      T H E T AR G E T E D S E C T O R S I N C L U D E
A L T ER N A T I V E              ENERGY,                B I O T E C H N O LO G Y ,               NEW-
12




G E N E R A T IO N        INFORMATION                   T E C H N O LO G Y ,         HIGH-END
EQUIPMENT MANUFACTURING, ADVANCED MATERIALS,
A L T ER N A T I V E - F U E L         CARS         AND        ENERGY-SAVING                    AND
E N V IR O N M E N T A L L Y            FRIENDLY               T E C H N O LO G I E S              ....
B e i j i n g h a s s a i d b e f o r e t h at i t w a n t s t o p r o m o t e t h e s e c t o r s , a
p o l i c y t h at i t h o p e s w i l l m a k e t h e c ou n t r y l e s s d e p en d e n t o n l o w -
en d , d i r t y m a n u f a c t u r i n g . T h e v a l u e - ad d ed o u t p u t o f t h e s e v e n
s t r a t e g i c i n d u st r i e s t o g e t h er ac c o u n t f or a b ou t 2 p er c en t o f G D P
n o w. T h e g o v e r n m e n t h a s s a i d i t w a n t s t h e m t o g en e r a t e 8
p er c en t o f G D P i n 2 0 1 5 a n d 1 5 p e r c e n t b y 2 0 2 0. ” [ 1 7 6 ] N . B . :
W h e n c o n c e r n ed a b o u t c a r e e r c h o i c e s a n d j o b s m a r k e t , a s
well as selecting professional and investment choices, do
k e ep i n m i n d : “ . . . .         T H E T A R G E T ED S E C T O R S I N C L U D E
A L T ER N A T I V E            ENERGY,               B I O T E C H N O LO G Y ,              NEW-
G E N E R A T IO N        INFORMATION                   T E C H N O LO G Y ,         HIGH-END
EQUIPMENT MANUFACTURING, ADVANCED MATERIALS,
A L T ER N A T I V E - F U E L         CARS         AND        ENERGY-SAVING                    AND
E N V IR O N M E N T A L L Y F R I E N D L Y T E C H N O LO G I E S . . . . ”


H o w d o e s F u t u r e t r o n i u m a r g u e a b o u t t h e l i n k a g e b e t w e en
o u r t h o u g h t s , t h e M u l t i v e r s e a n d t h e f o rt h c o m i n g a d v e n t o f
the Singularity?
13




“ B a r t S i m p s o n : ‘ D a d , W h at i s t h e m i n d ? I s i t j u s t a s y s t e m o f
i mp u l s e s o r s o m e t h i n g t a n g i b l e ? [ T h i n k i n g b e t t er m y q u e s t i o n ,
D ad , I s t h e mi n d a p r oj e c t i o n o f C o m pu t r o n i u m i n st i l l ed i n t o ou r
b r a i n ? I f s o , W i l l m y m i n d s u p er s e d e a b o v e a n d b e y o n d b y t h e
S t r on g     Artificial          Intelligence              devices          e m b ed d ed      in     the
t r a n s b i o l o g i c a l s ’ a n d r o b ot s ’ o w n q u a n t u m C P U s ? ] ’ … ” [ 1 8 7 ]


Zillion        impossible                science        facts            turned       into     rampant
realities?


D r . M i c h i o Ka k u , P h . D . p o i n t s o u t : “ A s a p h y s i c i s t , I h a v e l e a r n e d
that the ‘impossible’ is often a relative term                                     ....     IN MY OWN
SHORT LIFETIME I HAVE SEEN THE SEEMINGLY IMPOSSIBLE
BECOME ESTABLISHED SCIENTIFIC FACT OVER AND OVER
A G A I N . S o i s i t i m p o s s i b l e t o t h i n k w e m i gh t o n e d a y b e a b l e t o
teleport ourselves from one place to another, or build a spaceship
t h a t wi l l o n e d a y t a k e u s l i g h t - y e a r s t o t h e s t a r s ? . . . . I f w e w er e
to    somehow           en c ou n t er     a    c i v i l i z at i o n   a   mi l l i o n   years      more
ad v a n c e d t h an o u r s , w o u ld t h e i r e v e r y d a y t e c h n o l o g y a p p e a r t o
be ‘magic’ to us?                 ....     J u s t b ec a u s e s o m e t h i n g i s ‘ i m p o s s i b l e ’
t od a y , w i l l i t r e m a i n i m p o s s i b l e c e n t u r i e s o r mi l l i o n s o f y e a r s
into the future? .... Given the remarkable advances in science in
t h e p a s t c e n t u r y , e s p ec i a l l y t h e c r e a t i o n o f t h e q u a n t u m t h e or y
a n d g e n er a l r el a t i v i t y , i t i s n o w p o s s i b l e t o g i v e r o u g h e st i m a t e s
14




o f w h en , i f e v e r , s o m e o f t h e s e f a n t a s t i c t e c h n o l o g i e s m a y b e
r e a l i z e d . W i t h t h e c o m i n g o f e v e n m o r e ad v a n c ed t h e o r i e s , su c h a s
s t r i n g t h e o r y , e v e n c o n c e p t s b o r d e r i n g o n s c i en c e f i c t i on , s u c h a s
time      travel       and      parallel         u n i v er s e s ,     are     now     b ec o m i n g     re-
e v a l u at e d    by     physicists.           Think        back          150       years     to     those
technological             advances           that      were           d ec l a r ed   ‘impossible’          by
s c i e n t i s t s a t t h e t i m e a n d t h a t h a v e n o w b ec o m e p a r t o f o u r
e v e r y d a y l i v e s . J u l e s V e r n e wr o t e a n o v e l i n 1 8 6 3 , P a r i s i n t h e
T w e n t i e t h C e n t u r y , w h i c h w a s l o c k ed a w a y a n d f o r g o t t en f o r o v e r
a c e n t u r y u n t i l i t w a s a c c i d e n t a l l y d i sc o v e r e d b y h i s g r e at -
g r an d s o n an d p u b l i s h e d f o r t h e f i r s t t i m e i n 1 9 9 4 . I n i t V e r n e
p r e d i c t ed w h at P a r i s m i g h t l o o k l i k e i n t h e y e a r 1 9 6 0 . H i s n o v e l
w a s f i l l e d w i t h t ec h n o l o g y t h a t w a s c l e a r l y c o n s i d e r ed i m p o s s i b l e
i n t h e n i n et e e n t h c e n t u r y , i n c l u d i n g f a x m a c h i n e s , a w o r ld - wi d e
communications                 n et w o r k ,      glass         skyscrapers,             g a s - p o w er e d
au t o m o b i l e s , a n d h i g h - s p e e d e l e v a t e d t r a i n s … N o t su r p r i s i n g l y ,
V e r n e c ou l d m a k e s u c h s t u n n i n g l y a c c u r a t e pr e d i c t i o n s b ec a u s e
h e w a s i m m e r s e d i n t h e w o r ld o f s c i en c e, pi c k i n g t h e b r a i n s o f
s c i e n t i s t s ar o u n d h i m . A d e ep a p pr e c i a t i o n f o r t h e f u n d a m e n t a l s
o f s c i e n c e a l l o w e d h i m t o m a k e s u c h s t a r t l i n g p r ed i c t i o n s           ....
IRONICALLY, THE SERIOUS STUDY OF THE IMPOSSIBLE HAS
FREQUENTLY OPENED UP RICH AND ENTIRELY UNEXPECTED
D O M A I N S O F S C I E N C E . F or e x a m p l e , o v e r t h e c e n t u r i e s t h e
f r u s t r a t i n g a n d f u t i l e s e a r c h f o r a ‘ p e r p e t u a l m o t i o n m a c h i n e ’ l ed
15




physicists to conclude that such a machine was impossible,
f o r c i n g t h e m t o p o s t u l a t e t h e c on s e r v a t i o n o f e n er g y an d t h e t h r e e
l a w s o f t h e r m o d y n a mi c s . T h u s t h e fu t i l e s e a r c h t o b u i l d p er p e t u a l
m o t i o n m a c h i n e s h e l p e d t o o p e n u p t h e e n t i r el y n e w f i e ld o f
t h e r m od y n a m i c s , w h i c h i n p ar t l a i d t h e f o u n d a t i o n o f t h e s t e a m
en g i n e , t h e m a c h i n e a g e , an d m o d e r n i n d u s t r i a l s o c i et y     ....    We
i gn o r e t h e i mp o s s i b l e at ou r p e r i l . I n t h e 1 9 2 0 s a n d 1 9 3 0 s R o b er t
G o d d a r d , t h e f o u n d e r o f m o d e r n r oc k e t r y , w a s t h e su b j ec t o f
i n t en s e c r i t i c i s m b y t h o s e w h o t h ou g h t t h a t r oc k e t s c o u ld n e v e r
t r a v e l i n o u t e r s p a c e . T h e y s a r c a s t i c a l l y c a l l ed h i s pu r s u i t
G o d d a r d ’ s F o l l y . I n 1 9 2 1 t h e e d i t o r s o f t h e N e w Y o r k T i m e s r a i l ed
a g a i n st D r . G od d a r d ’ s w o r k : ‘ P r o f e s s o r G o d d a r d d o e s n ot k n o w
t h e r e l a t i o n b et w e e n ac t i on a n d r e ac t i on a n d t h e n e ed t o h a v e
s o m e t h i n g b et t e r t h a n a v a c u u m a g a i n s t w h i c h t o r e a c t . H e s e e m s
t o l a c k t h e b a s i c k n o w l e d g e l ad l e d o u t d a i l y i n h i g h s c h o o l s . ’
R o c k et s w e r e i m p o s s i b l e , t h e ed i t or s h u f f ed , b e c au s e t h er e w a s n o
a i r t o p u s h a g a i n s t i n ou t er s p a c e. S a d l y , o n e h e a d o f s t a t e d i d
u n d e r s t a n d t h e i m p l i c at i o n s o f G od d ar d ’ s ‘ i m p o s s i b l e ’ r oc k e t s ─
A d o l p h Hi t l e r . D u r i n g W or l d W a r I I , G er m a n y ’ s b ar r a g e o f
i mp o s s i b l y a d v a n c e d V - 2 r oc k e t s r a i n e d d e at h a n d d e s t r u c t i o n o n
L o n d on , a l m o s t b r i n g i n g i t t o i t s k n e e s    ....    Time and again we
s e e t h at t h e s t u d y o f t h e i mp o s s i b l e h a s o p e n ed u p e n t i r e l y n e w
v i s t a s , p u s h i n g t h e b ou n d a r i e s o f ph y s i c s an d c h e m i s t r y a n d
f o r c i n g s c i en t i st s t o r ed e f i n e w h a t t h e y m e a n b y ‘ i m p o s s i b l e . ’ A s
16




S i r W i l l i a m O s l e r o n c e s a i d , ‘ T H E P H I L O S O P H I E S O F O N E AG E
HAVE BECOME THE ABSURDITIES OF THE NEXT, AND THE
FOOLISHNESS OF YESTERDAY HAS BECOME THE WISDOM OF
T OM O R R O W . ’          ....        M a n y ph y s i c i s t s s u b s c r i b e t o t h e f a m o u s
d i c t u m o f T . H . W h i t e , w h o wr o t e i n T h e O n c e a n d F u t u r e K i n g ,
‘ A n y t h i n g t h a t i s n ot f o r b i d d e n , i s m a n d a t o r y ! ’ I n p h y s i c s w e fi n d
evidence of this all the time                                  ....    For example, cosmologist
S t e p h en H a w k i n g t r i e d t o pr o v e t h a t t i m e t r a v e l w a s i m p o s s i b l e
b y f i n d i n g a n e w l a w o f p h y s i c s t h at w o u ld f o r b i d i t , w h i c h h e
c a l l e d t h e ‘c h r o n o l o g y p r o t ec t i on c o n j ec t u r e. ’ U n f or t u n a t e l y , a f t er
m a n y y e a r s o f h a r d w or k h e w a s u n ab l e t o p r o v e t h i s p r i n c i p l e . I n
f ac t , t o t h e c o n t r a r y , p h y s i c i s t s h a v e n o w d e m o n s t r a t ed t h a t a
law      t h at     prevents            time     travel           is   beyond        our      pr e s e n t - d a y
mathematics.               T od a y ,      b ec a u s e    t h er e     is   no      law       of     physics
p r e v e n t i n g t h e e x i s t en c e o f t i m e m a c h i n e s , p h y s i c i s t s h a v e h a d t o
t ak e t h e i r p o s s i b i l i t y v e r y s e r i o u s l y . . . . A l r e ad y o n e ‘ i m p o s s i b l e ’
technology            is    now         proving           to      be   possible:        the      notion          of
t e l e p o r t at i o n ( at l e a s t at t h e l e v e l o f a t o m s ) . E v e n a f e w y e a r s
a g o p h y s i c i s t s w o u l d h a v e s a i d t h at s e n d i n g o r b e a m i n g a n o b j e c t
f r o m o n e p o i n t t o a n o t h e r v i o l a t ed t h e l a w s o f q u an t u m p h y s i c s .
T h e w r i t er s o f t h e o r i g i n a l S t a r T r e k t e l e v i s i o n s e r i e s , i n f a c t ,
w er e s o s t u n g b y t h e c r i t i c i s m f r o m p h y s i c i s t s t h at t h e y a d d ed
‘ H e i s e n b e r g c o m p e n s a t o r s ’ t o e x p l a i n t el e p o r t er s i n o r d er t o
ad d r e s s t h i s f l a w . T o d a y , b e c a u s e o f a r e c en t b r e a k t h r ou g h ,
17




p h y s i c i s t s c a n t el e p o r t a t o m s ac r o s s a r o o m or ph o t o n s u n d er t h e
D an u b e R i v er . ” [ 1 7 4 ] T o r e a d m o r e o n t h i s c i t a t i o n , g o t o A m a z o n
at http://amzn.to/dHGkOW


F r u i t f u l l y p l a n t i n g i n w h i c h t e n s e?


“ T h e h e r i t a g e o f t h e p a s t i s t h e s e ed t h a t b r i n g s f o r t h t h e h a r v e s t
o f t h e f u t u r e . ” ─ I n s c r i p t i o n f r o m s t a t u a r y pe d e s t a l a t N a t i o n a l
Archives in Washington


Many forces are not predictable but some others are
predictable based on omniscience!


Y o g i B e r r a : “ P r ed i c t i on i s v e r y h ar d , e s p e c i a l l y w h en i t ' s ab o u t
the future.” [171]


W h o c r e a t e s t h e fu t u r e a n d w h o d o e s n ’ t ?


M i c h a e l A n i s s i m o v : “ O n e o f t h e b i g g e s t fl a w s i n t h e c o m m on
c o n c ep t i on o f t h e f u t u r e i s t h at t h e f u t u r e i s s o m e t h i n g t h a t
h a p p en s t o u s, n ot s o m e t h i n g w e c r e a t e . ” [ 1 4 2 ]


What are the ruthless drivers?
18




Ha r o l d V a r m u s , N I H D i r e c t o r : “T h e r e a r e t h r e e g r e a t t h e m e s i n
s c i e n c e i n t h e t w en t i et h c e n t u r y ─ t h e at o m , t h e c o m pu t e r , a n d t h e
g e n e. ” [ 1 7 1 ]


I n t e r a c t i n g w i t h t h e fu t u r e?


R a i n e r M a r i a R i l k e : “ T h e fu t u r e e n t e r s i n t o u s i n o r d er t o
t r a n s f o r m i t s e l f i n u s l o n g b e f or e i t h a p p en s . ” [ 1 4 2]


I can offer this perspective as of now (the wonderful continuum)
a n d u n d e r m y h u m a n a n d h u m a n e pe r s p e c t i v e . I d o l i k e a g r e a t
d e a l s c i e n c e a n d t e c h n o l o g y , b u t o n l y t o t h e t r u e s t s e r v ic e o f t h e
g l o b a l c i v i l i za t i o n . G i v e n t h e u b i q u i t o u s d y n a m i c s s h i f t i n g t h r o u g h
tsunamis,              these     days       I    find        the    term        “continuum”              beyond
i n e f f e c t u a l a n d m o s t l y lu d i c r o u s .


N o n e t h e l e s s , i f y o u w a n t t o “ r e a l i t y - c h e c k ” t h e s e r e f le c t i o n s , y o u
will be able, soonest, to have every detailed explanation by, say, an
o m n i s c i e n t r o b o t h o v e r i n g “ m i d a i r ” i f y o u i n d e f in i t e l y p o s t p o n e
y o u r h o m e w o r k a n d f a i l t o d o y o u r o w n in d e p e n d e n t r e s e a r c h , d o n e
for and by you (as of now).


What to consider about gauging the future?
19




W i r e d ( 1 9 9 4 ) : “ T h e f u t u r e b e l on g s t o n ei t h er t h e c on d u i t o r
c o n t en t p l a y e r s , b u t t h o s e w h o c on t r o l t h e f i lt e r i n g , s e a r c h i n g
a n d s e n s e - m a k i n g t o o l s w e w i l l r e l y o n t o n a v i g a t e t h r ou g h t h e
e x p a n s i on o f c yb e r s p a c e . ” [ 1 4 5 ]


Horses, dogs and robotic dominance of all?


S a m u e l B u t l e r ( 1 8 6 3 l e t t e r ) : “W h o wi l l b e m a n ’ s s u c c e s s o r ? T o
which       the      answer         is:    We      ar e    ourselves         creating         our      own
s u c c e s s o r s . M an w i l l b e c o m e t o t h e m a c h i n e wh a t t h e h o r s e an d
t h e d o g a r e t o m a n ; t h e c on c lu s i o n b ei n g t h at m ac h i n e s a r e, or
a r e b ec o m i n g , a n i m a t e. ” [ 1 4 2]


G o t o a n y “ s n a i l p a c e d ” n e w s p a p e r s ( on l i n e o r o l d - f a s h i o n e d
“ o f f l i n e ” ) i n a d e v e l o p i n g c o u n t r y a n d t h i s y o u ’ l l f in d w i t h i n t h e
daily headlines: Fiction immensely superseded — through many
orders of magnitudes (that is, by hyper-geometrical exponential
rates) — by realities, that is: the most incontrovertible and yet the
most dramatic realities.


People kind of see a part of the waves, but are famously infamously
u n a wa r e t h a t m o s t p e r v a s i v e c u r r e n t s u n d e r n e a t h a re t h e t r u e
d y n a m o s o f t h e s e s w i r l i n g c ha n g e d c h a n g e s .
20




Brainy ones hyper-accelerating industries and beyond?


J u a n E n r i q u e z : “ M e an w h i l e , l on e i n d i v i d u a l s a r e b i r t h i n g n o t j u st
c o m p a n i e s b u t e n t i r e i n d u s t r i e s t h a t r ap i d l y b e c o m e b i g g e r t h a n
t h e e c o n o m i e s o f m o s t c ou n t r i e s . B u t u n li k e gr o w t h i n d u st r i e s o f
t h e p a s t … c ar s an d a e r o s p a c e , f o r e x a m p l e … t h e i n d u s t r i e s t h at
w i l l d o m i n at e ou r f u t u r e d e p e n d o n j u st a f e w s m a r t m i n d s … N o t
a l o t o f m an p o w e r … S o d u r i n g a p e r i o d o f pr o s p e r i t y a n d
ec o n o m i c      gr o w t h         …   Wealth         is     ever        more        mobile         and
c o n c en t r a t e d . ” [ 1 6 3 ]


What is the current rate of change? What is the as-of-now
r a t e o f t e c h n o l o g i c a l a n d s c i e n t i f i c k n o w l e d g e do u b l i n g ?


Mark Miller, computer scientist: “You know, things are going to
b e r e a l l y d i f f er e n t … N o , n o , I m e a n r e a l l y d i f f e r en t . ” [ 1 4 2 ]


What are we morphing into?


S i r A r t h u r C . C la r k e : “ I t ’ s a l s o a t ou r d e f o r c e o f p h ot o g r a p h y : t h e
i m a g e s r e v e a l a wh o l e n e w or d e r o f c r e a t i on a b o u t t o c o m e i n t o
e x i s t en c e. N o o n e w h o h a s an y i n t e r e s t i n t h e fu t u r e c a n a f f o r d
it.” [164]
21




The        outcomes              stemming               of      the        intermixing                of     the
exuberant technologies?


J u a n E n r i q u e z : “ Y ou a n d y o u r c h i l d r e n ar e a b o u t t o f a c e a s e r i e s
o f u n p r ec e d en t ed m o r a l , et h i c a l , e c on o m i c , a n d f i n an c i a l i s s u e s .
T h e c h oi c e s y o u m a k e [ a s w e l l a s t h o s e y o u ’ r e f ai l i n g t o m a k e
b e c au s e o f l a c k o f d e t a i l e d , a d v a n c ed a n d d e e p a w a r e n e s s ] wi l l
i mp a c t w h er e y o u l i v e , w h at y o u e a r n , w h a t y o u r g r an d c h i ld r en
w i l l l o o k l i k e, h o w l on g y o u l i v e . I t a l l s t a r t s b e c au s e w e a r e
m i xi n g a p p l e s , or a n g e s , a n d f l o p p y d i s k s . ” [ 1 6 3 ]


W ha t i s i t m e a n t b y “ F u t u r e ” ? W h e n s p e a k in g a b o u t “ F UT U R E ” a s
t h e u n d e r s i g n e d i s s p e a k in g a b o u t c ha n g e , t h e r e i s i n c lu d e d
positive change and negative change (as well as the grave tradeoffs
b e t w e e n [ a ] p o s i t i v e c h a n g e a n d [ b] n e g a t i v e c ha n g e ) . H o w e v e r ,
t h e e m p h a s i s i s t o u n d e r p i n t h e u p s i d e c h a n g e s a n d t o c r i p p le t h e
downside changes.


The      undersigned             will      also      be     reflecting         about        some        of    the
c o n s e q u e n c e s a n d p o s s i b i l i t i e s b y s a i d c ha n g e s a n d t r a d e o f f s .


F r o m p e r e n n i a l l y u p g r a d e d k n o w l e dg e i n t o d e c i s i v e , r u l i n g
empires?
22




J u a n E n r i q u e z : “ T h e k n o w l e d g e r e v o lu t i on i s t a k i n g p l ac e i n
s m a l l , s h a r p l y d e f i n e d a r e a s . O n e c o m p a n y g e n e r at e s m o r e U . S .
p at e n t s t h a n 1 3 9 c ou n t r i e s d o t o g e t h e r … T h i s [ r e v o lu t i on ]
g e n er a t e s n e w E M P I R E S a n d n e w g h e t t o s                  ....      It slams into
existing systems and destroys them while creating new systems.
C ou n t r i e s a n d i n d i v i d u a l s c an e i t h e r s u r f n e w a n d p o w e r f u l
w a v e s o f c h an g e ─ o r t r y t o s t o p t h e m an d g et c r u s h ed . ” [ 1 6 3 ]


S h o c k i n g t i m e s e q u a t e t o s h o c k i n g fu t u r es ?


J o s e O r t e g a y G a s s e t : “ L i f e i s a s e r i e s o f c o l l i s i on s w i t h t h e fu t u r e ;
i t i s n o t t h e s u m o f w h a t w e h a v e b e e n , b u t w h at w e y e a r n t o b e . ”
[149]


Why everything changes, beginning with change itself?


N i c o l a T e s l a , 1 8 9 6 , I n v e n t o r o f A l t e r n a t i v e C u r r e n t : “ I d o n ot t h i n k
t h e r e i s a n y t h r i l l t h at c a n g o t h r ou g h t h e h u m a n h e a r t li k e t h at
f e l t b y t h e i n v e n t o r a s h e s e e s s o m e c r e at i o n o f t h e b r ai n
unfolding to success.” [142]


Which one is the future of computing and science?
23




D r . R a y K u r z w e i l P h . D . : “ . . . [ I N T H E N E A R F UT U R E ] C O M P U T E R S
[WILL BE] DOING HARD SCIENCE.” [177]


Is the new paradigm changing to so many paradigms
simultaneously                 r es u l t i n g     impossible             to     figure         out       any
paradigm correctly?


Juan       Enriquez:          “ M an y       people,        even      some        of      the   h e ad s       of
m e g a c or p o r a t i on s , f e e l t h a t t h e w o r l d i s m o v i n g t o o f a s t a s
companies, even industries, disappear.” [163]


W h a t a r e t h e b r a i n ’ s p r i o r i t i e s b e y on d s e i z i n g l i f e - s u p p o r t
capabilities for its own sustainability?


Michael         Polanyi:         “The      mind        is    attracted          by     b e au t i fu l   [and
ad v a n c e d ] p r o b l e m s , p r o m i s i n g b e a u t i f u l [ a n d u s e fu l s o l u t i o n s ] . ”
[160]


What         has      become            of     fate      and       d es t i n y      in    times         that
neuroscience                researchers               are       coming            out      with          some
PRELIMINARY                    outcomes              that       seem         to      suggest:            “The
p r e s en t i s a f u n c t i o n o f t h e f u t u r e ” ?
24




R o b e r t T h e o b a l d : “ O u r f u t u r e i s d e t er m i n ed b y t h e a c t i o n s o f a l l
o f u s a l i v e t od a y . O u r c h o i c e s d et e r m i n e o u r d e s t i n y . ” [ 1 6 0 ]


Which destiny is that?


W i l l i a m J e n n i n g s B r y a n : “ D e s t i n y i s n o t a m at t e r o f c h an c e ─ i t i s a
m a t t e r o f c h o i c e . I t i s n o t a t h i n g t o b e w a i t ed f o r ─ i t i s a t h i n g t o
be achieved.” [174]


W h a t a r e t h e c o s m o l o g i c a l t r a i t s o f t h i s o v e r - f r a g m e n t ed
“society”? Certainly!


D a v i d B r i n : “ W h a t d i st i n g u i s h e s s o c i e t y t o d a y i s n o t o n l y t h e p a c e
o f e v e n t s , b u t a l s o t h e n at u r e o f t h e t o o l k i t f o r f a c i n g t h e fu t u r e . ”
[160]


What are the origins of future?


“Do        not       presume             that      past        success          i n d i c at e s      future
i mp r e g n ab i l i t y . ” [ 1 5 4]


There is here a point of view about change (as change is
partly explored here):
25




A d a m G o r d o n : “ W e h a v e s e e n e y e - p o p p i n g d e v e l o p m e n t s ac r o s s
s o c i e t y , t ec h n o l o g y , i n s t i t u t i on s , a n d p r od u c t s an d s e r v i c e s i n t h e
l a s t g en e r a t i o n ; t h i s wi l l s u r e l y c o n t i n u e i n t o t h e fu t u r e . . . . i f w e
d e c i d e t o d a y t o l au n c h a pr o d u c t , b u y a h ou s e , s t u d y f o r a d e g r e e ,
b u i l d a n e w l i gh t r ai l s y s t e m , o r t a k e a n y s i m i l a r d e c i s i on o f
s i g n i f i c a n c e, t h e e n v i r o n m e n t o f t o m o r r o w wi l l b e a k e y f a c t o r i n
t h e s u c c e s s o r f a i l u r e o f t h a t d e c i s i on . . . . O u r d ec i s i o n s a r e o n l y
a s g o o d a s t h e v i e w o f t h e f u t u r e t h e y r e s t on [ p r o f ou n d
understanding of all of the driving forces shaping and re-shaping
t h e en v i r o n m en t ] . A l l o p p or t u n i t i e s a n d s u c c e s s e s an d pr o f i t s ar e
r e a l i z e d i n t h e f u t u r e . A l l t h r e at s , f a i l u r e s , a n d l o s s e s a r e r e a l i z ed
in the future              ....     E i t h er w a y , t h e e ar l i er an d c l e ar e r w e s e e
f u t u r e c i r c u m s t a n c e s , t h e b et t er w e w i l l b e ab l e t o b en e f i t b y
c h a n g i n g o u r c u r r e n t r ec i p e s f o r s u c c e s s t o k e e p u p w i t h t h e
c h a n g e s i n t h e w or l d . T h e b e t t e r m a n a g e r s ’ v i e w o f t h e fu t u r e , t h e
b e t t e r t h e i r d ec i s i o n s wi l l t u r n o u t t o b e . . . . ” [ 1 0 2 ]


H o w d o e s c h a n g e a n d fu t u r e i n t e r r e l a t e ?


A lv i n T of f l e r : “ C h a n g e i s t h e pr o c e s s b y w h i c h t h e fu t u r e i n v a d e s
ou r l i v e s . ” [ 1 4 7 ]


What can we do about the future if we have failed to do the
p r o p e r a n d s en s i b l e t h i n g s w i t h t h e p a s t a n d p r es e n t ?
26




“ … T h a t i t i s p o s s i b l e f or u s t o a n t i c i p a t e a c t i o n s , t o pr e d i c t t h e
f u t u r e , a n d , b y l o o k i n g f o r w a y s t o c h a n g e i n c e n t i v e s , t o e n gi n e e r
t h e f u t u r e ac r o s s a st u n n i n g r an g e o f c on s i d er a t i on s . . . . o n e o f
p ar t i c u l ar i m p o r t i s t h at t h e f u t u r e ─ o r a t l e a s t i t s a n t i c i p a t i o n
─ c a n c a u s e t h e p a s t , pe r h a p s e v e n m or e o f t e n t h an t h e p a s t
c a u s e s t h e f u t u r e … . mu s t w e c h a n g e o u r b a s e t h i n k i n g t o w o r k
ou t a n y v a r i e t y o f p r e d i c t i o n s an d , e s p e c i a l l y , t o c h a n g e t h e
future?...” [183]


“ I n s u m m a r y , t h e f u t u r e i s a p h en o m e n o n t h at wi l l b e c o m p l et e l y
r e a l s o m e d a y e v en t h o u g h i t d o e s n o t e x i s t t od a y . . . . E v e n i f t h e
f u t u r e i s a p p r o x i m a t e l y e q u a l t o t o d a y , i t wi l l a l s o d i f f er
dramatically from today in many particular ways.” [184]


What is static? Say what?


T h e u n d e r s i g n e d a n d t h e p r e s e n t m a t e r ia l ’ s a u t h o r i n d i c a t e d :
“Change           is      n ot      c on s t a n t     ─ s o - c a l l ed ─ ,    but       incessantly
i mp e r m a n en t i n e v e r - e x p o n en t i a l , d i s r u p t i v e a n d d i s c on t i n u ou s
w a y s a n d b y u n p r on o u n c e a b l e o r d er s o f m a g n i t u d e s . ” [ 1 2 9 ]
27




W e h a v e g o n e u b i q u i t o u s l y d i g i t a l a n d g en e t i c a n d t h e
c o n s eq u e n c e s     are      u n p r on o u n c e a b l e       even        in    or d e r s        of
magnitude?


J u a n E n r i q u e z : “ D i g i t a l c o d e i s w h a t d r i v e s r a p i d s p e e d g r o wt h
t od a y . I t a l l o w s m er g e r s li k e A O L T i m e W ar n e r … I t d r i v e s t h e
I n t er n et ,   TV,     music,       f i n an c e ,   IT,    news       coverage,          research,
m a n u f a c t u r i n g . A f e w c o u n t r i e s an d c o m p an i e s u n d e r s t o o d t h e
c h a n g e . T h a t i s h o w p o o r c ou n t r i e s l i k e Fi n l a n d , S i n g a p o r e , a n d
T ai w a n g o t s o w e a l t h y … S o q u i c k l y … B u t a l o t o f f o l k s j u s t d i d
n ot l e a r n t o r e a d a n d w r i t e a n e w l a n g u a g e … An d e v e n t h o u g h
t h e y p r od u c e d m or e a n d m o r e g o o d s , p ar t i c u l a r l y c o m m o d i t i e s …
A n d e v e n t h ou g h t h e y r e s t r u c t u r e d c o m p a n i e s a n d g o v e r n m en t s …
C u t b u d g e t s , r a i s e d t a x e s , b u i l t l a r g e f a c t o r i e s an d b u i l d i n g s …
T h e y g o t a l o t p o o r e r . ( I n 1 9 3 8 t h e r i c h e s t c ou n t r y p er p e r s o n i n
A s i a w a s … t h e P h i l i p p i n e s . I n 1 9 5 4 , ac c or d i n g t o t h e W o r l d B an k ,
t h e m o s t p r o m i s i n g A s i a n e c on o m y w a s … B u r m a . B ot h r e m a i n
c o m m o d i t y ec o n o m i e s … B o t h a r e s i d e l i n ed fr o m t h e d i gi t a l
r e v o l u t i on … A n d y o u p r ob a b l y w ou l d n ot li k e t o l i v e i n e i t h e r
c o u n t r y ) . Y o u r w o r l d c h an g e d wh e n y o u w en t ‘ O n L i n e . ’ O n e d a y
y o u u s e d a f a x or e - m a i l … An d i t s o o n b e c a m e h a r d t o c o n c ei v e o f
li v i n g w i t h on l y s n a i l m a i l. I f y o u u n d e r s t o o d t h i s c h a n g e e a r l y …
A n d i n v e s t e d o r w o r k ed i n s o m e o f t h e c o m p a n i e s d r i v i n g t h e
d i g i t a l r e v o l u t i o n … Y o u a r e p r ob a b l y q u i t e w e l l o f f … ( a s a
28




c o u n t r y a n d / or a s a n i n d i v i d u a l ) . I f y o u c a m e l a t e, a s a
s p e c u l a t or , w i t h ou t u n d er s t a n d i n g w h a t a d i gi t a l l a n g u a g e d o e s ,
o r d o e s n ot d o … Y o u p r o b a b l y l o s t a l o t o f m o n e y d u r i n g t h e y e a r
2 0 0 0 . Y o u r w o r l d … a n d y o u r l a n g u a g e … ar e a b ou t t o c h an g e
a g a i n . T h e t w o n u c l e o t i d e b a s e p ai r s t h at c od e a l l li f e … A - T , C - G
… H a v e a l r e ad y l e d s o m e o f t h e w o r ld ’ s l a r g e s t c o m p an i e s …
M on s a n t o … D u P o n t … N o v a r t i s … I B M … H o e s c h s t … C o m p a q …
G l a x o S m i t h K l i n e … T o d ec l a r e t h at t h ei r f u t u r e li e s i n l i f e s c i en c e .
T h e y h a v e a b a n d o n ed , s o l d , s p u n o f f c o r e b u si n e s s d i vi s i o n s …
A n d l a u n c h e d t h e m s e l v e s i n t o s e l l i n g c o m pl e t e l y n e w p r o d u c t s …
Which        is     wh y       so     many         chemical,            seed,     cosmetic,          food,
p h a r m a c eu t i c a l c o m p an i e s … Ar e p a r t n e r i n g , M e r g i n g , G r o w i n g .
S o m e l i f e - s c i e n c e c o m p a n i e s w i l l c r a s h s p ec t a c u l a r l y … Ot h e r s
w i l l g et l ar g e r t h an M i c r o s o f t an d C i s c o … ( C o m p a n i e s t h a t a r e
already        l ar g e r   t h an     the     e c o n o mi e s    of    most      of     the     w o r ld ’ s
c o u n t r i e s . ) . T h e w or l d ’ s m e g a - m e r g er s a r e g o i n g t o b e d r i v e n b y
d i g i t a l an d g e n e t i c c od e . C o n s i d e r w h a t i s a b o u t t o h a p p e n t o
m ed i c i n e . Y o u c u r r e n t l y s p e n d a b o u t n i n e t i m e s a s m u c h f o r
d o c t or s a n d m e d i c a l i n t er v e n t i on s … A s y o u d o o n m ed i c i n e s a n d
p r e v e n t i o n . I n t h e m e a s u r e t h at w e u n d e r s t a n d h o w v i r u s e s ,
b a c t er i a , a n d o u r b o d i e s a r e pr o g r a m m e d … An d h o w t h e y c a n b e
reprogrammed                 …      Treatment            wi l l     shift       from        e m e r g en c y
i n t er v e n t i o n s … T o w a r d d e l i b e r a t e a n d p e r s o n a l i z ed p r e v e n t i o n …
( Ju s t a s d en t i st r y d i d . ) . An d w e m a y e n d u p s p e n d i n g j u s t a s
29




mu c h o n p h ar m a c e u t i c a l s a s w e d o o n d oc t or s . T h e s e m ed i c i n e s d o
n ot h a v e t o b e p i l l s or i n j ec t i o n s … T h e y c ou ld b e a p a r t o f t h e
food you eat every day, your soap or cosmetics … Perhaps you
w i l l i n h a l e t h e m o r s i m p l y pu t v a r i o u s p a t c h e s o n y o u r s k i n . ( T h i s
is    wh y       P r o c t er     &     Gamble           is    thinking           of       m er g i n g   wi t h    a
p h a r m a c eu t i c a l      c o m p an y ,       why        L’Oréal           is       hiring     m o l ec u l ar
b i o l o g i s t s , a n d w h y C a m p b e l l ’ s i s s e l l i n g s o u p s d e s i gn e d f o r
h o s p i t a l p a t i e n t s wi t h s p e c i f i c d i s e a s e s . ) . ” [ 1 6 3 ]


“ I n e v e r y s c i en c e an d t h er e f o r e i n a l l t h e t e c h n o l o g i e s u n d e r ,
t h e r e a r e g r e at l i m i t s . T h e pr o b l e m o r t h e s o lu t i on or t h e
c h a l l e n g e s , h o w e v e r ─ an d d e p en d i n g o n t h e c o s m o l o g y o f e a c h
p er s o n ( er g o : t h e f r a g m e n t ed , o v e r - B a lk a n i z e d s o c i e t y a s a
w h o l e) ─ i s t h at t h e s e b o u n d ar i e s ar e b e i n g c i r c u mn a v i g a t e d o r
a v o i d ed     rampantly,              almost          to     the      e x t en t        as   if   they    w er e
n on e x i s t en t . T h e c i r c u m n a v i g a t i o n r at e a n d / o r e v a s i o n o f t h e
p r o g r e s s i o n o f t h e s e s c i e n t i f i c an d t ec h n o l o g i c a l l i m i t s a t a
g e o m e t r i c e x p o n en t i a l e x p l o s i v e l y . An d b e s i d e s s o , t h e r a t e o f
ac c e l er a t i o n o f t h e p r o g r e s s i o n i s b ec o m i n g m o r e a n d f a s t e r b y
e v e r - i n c r e a s i n g o r d e r s o f m a g n i t u d e s . Ac c o r d i n g l y , p u b l i c - o f fi c e
l e ad e r s , s t at e s m e n a n d p o l i t i c i a n s ─ s o - c al l e d ─ h a v e gr a v e l y
u n d e r e s t i m at e d      and        even         m i su n d e r s t o o d       these         gargantuan
p r o f o u n d f o r c e s . I n t h e m i d s t o f t h i s pr o c e s s , t h e s e i n f a m o u s
30




' l e a d er s ' h a v e c o m m i t t e d t h e e x i s t e n c e o f t h e e n t i r e p l a n et E a r t h . ”
[129]


Can we exercise our brains to solve c omplex problems
e m b e d d e d i n t h e f u t u r e f o r t h e s a k e o f t h e c u r r en t p r e s e n t ?


D r . M a r s h a l l M c L u h a n , P h . D . ( 1 9 6 2 ) : “ O u r w o r ld t o m or r o w w i l l b e
u t t e r l y d i f f e r en t , i n w a y s w e c an n o t e v e n c on c ei v e . ” [ 1 7 5 ]


What hijacks what?


D r . S t e p h e n C o v e y : “ A g a i n , y e s t e r d a y h o ld s t o m or r o w h o s t a g e . . . .
M e m or y i s p a s t . I t i s f i n i t e . V i s i o n i s fu t u r e . I t i s i n fi n i t e . V i s i o n
i s gr e a t e r t h an h i s t or y … ” [ 1 5 3 ]


T h e c o n s e q u en c e s o f a w or l d g o i n g f r o m r ou n d t o f l a t ?


Thomas Friedman: “…the flattening of the world is going to be
h u g e l y d i s r u p t i v e t o b ot h t r ad i t i o n a l a n d d e v e l o p e d s o c i et i e s . T h e
w e a k wi l l f a l l f u r t h e r b e h i n d f a s t e r . T h e t r ad i t i o n a l w i ll f e e l t h e
f o r c e o f m od e r n i z a t i o n m u c h m o r e pr o f o u n d l y . T h e n e w w i l l g et
t u r n e d i n t o o l d q u i c k er . T h e d e v e l o p e d w i l l b e c h a l l en g e d b y t h e
u n d e r d e v e l o p e d mu c h m or e pr o f o u n d l y . I w o r r y , b e c a u s e s o m u c h
p o l i t i c a l s t a b i l i t y i s b u i lt o n ec o n o m i c s t a b i l i t y , a n d e c o n o m i c
31




s t ab i l i t y i s n ot g o i n g t o b e a f e a t u r e o f t h e f l a t w o r ld . A d d i t a l l
u p a n d y o u c a n s e e t h a t t h e d i s r u p t i o n s a n d g o i n g t o c o m e f a s t er
a n d h ar d er . N o o n e i s i m m u n e ─ n ot m e , n o t y o u , n o t M i c r o s o f t .
W e ar e en t er i n g a n e r a o f c r e at i v e d e s t r u c t i o n o n s t er o i d s .
D e a l i n g w i t h f l at i s m i s g o i n g t o b e a c h al l e n g e o f a w h o l e n e w
d i m e n s i on e v e n i f y o u r c o u n t r y h a s a s t r a t e g y . B u t i f y o u d o n ’ t
h a v e a s t r a t e g y a t a l l , w e l l , a g a i n , y o u ’ v e w a r n ed … ” [ 1 3 9 ]


W hy t h i s c h a n g e d c h a n g e i s u n pr e c e d e n t e d a n d d i f f e r e n t ?
S a n F r a n c i s c o fu t u r i s t J a m e s C a n t o n o f f er s i n s i g h t .


“ C I O I n s i g h t : I n T h e E x t r e m e Fu t u r e, y o u s a y t h e 2 1 s t c en t u r y i s
g o i n g t o b e l i g h t n i n g - f a s t , c o m p l e x an d d r i v en b y d i s r u p t i v e
changes.         But       a r en ' t   we      a lr e a d y    in     this      extreme           future?
[RESPONDING THE QUESTION,] JAMES CANTON [INDICATES]:
WE ARE TO A CERTAIN EXTENT. BUT THE POINT OF MY BOOK
IS THAT THINGS ARE GOING TO GET EVEN MORE DISRUPTIVE,
C O M P L E X A N D C O M P E T I T I V E ; T H I N G S A R E N O T G OI N G T O
E A S E O F F , T H E Y ' R E A C T U A L L Y G OI N G T O A C C E L E R A T E . ” [ 1 3 8 ]


W h a t a r e t h e o r g a n i c p r o p e rt i e s o f c h a n g e a n d i t s i m p a c t ?


David Schlesinger, global managing director at Reuters, indicates:
“ C h a n g e i s h ar d . C h an g e i s h ar d e s t o n t h o s e c au g h t b y s u r pr i s e .
32




C h a n g e i s h ar d e s t o n t h o s e w h o h a v e d i f f i c u lt y c h a n g i n g t o o . B u t
c h a n g e i s n a t u r a l ; c h an g e i s n ot n e w ; c h an g e i s i m p or t a n t . ” [ 1 3 9 ]


T h e u n i v e r s e a n d t h e m o r r ow ?


I sa a c A s i m o v : “ Hu m a n i t y h a s t h e s t a r s i n i t s fu t u r e , a n d t h at
f u t u r e i s t o o i m p o r t an t t o b e l o s t u n d er t h e b u r d e n o f j u v e n i l e
f o l l y a n d i gn o r a n t s u p er s t i t i o n . ” [ 1 4 1 ]


Understanding the universe as we don’t think it is and as
many people cannot align it with their belief system?


D r . C a r l S a ga n , P h D : “ I t i s f a r b e t t er t o g r a s p t h e u n i v e r s e a s i t
r e a l l y i s t h an t o p e r s i s t i n d e l u s i on , h o w e v e r s a t i s f y i n g a n d
r e a s s u r i n g. ” [ 1 5 7 ]


W h o s e r e a l i t i e s a n d m y t hs a r e t h o s e?


Voltaire          (1694            –   1778),        French           writer         and      philosopher:
“ E v e r y t h i n g ’ s f i n e t o d a y , t h a t i s ou r i l l u s i on . ” [ 1 5 7 ]


Is anyone exaggerating about the dynamics of change?
33




I a n P e a r s o n : “ B y m i d - c e n t u r y , c o m p u t e r s w i l l b e l i n k e d d i r ec t l y
i n t o o u r n e r v o u s s y s t e m s v i a n an o t e c h n o l o g y , wh i c h i s s o s m a l l i t
c o u l d c on n ec t e v e r y n e u r o n i n o u r b r a i n s . B y a b ou t 2 0 4 0, t h e r e
w i l l b e a b a c k u p o f o u r b r ai n s i n a c o m p u t e r s o m e w h e r e , s o t h a t
w h en y o u d i e i t w on ’ t b e a m a j o r c a r e e r p r o b l e m . ” [ 1 4 0]


Q u e s t i o n : A l l e g e d l y , T o w h a t e x t e n t i s t h e w or l d c h a n g i n g
and       what         are       some         of      the       c o n s e q u en c e s ,       sometimes
infamously ignored?


D r . S t e p h e n C o v e y : “ T h e w o r ld h a s pr o f o u n d l y c h a n g ed … T h e
c h a l l e n g e s a n d c o m p l e x i t y w e f ac e i n o u r p e r s o n a l li v e s an d
r e l a t i on s h i p s , i n o u r f a m i li e s , i n o u r p r o f e s s i o n a l li v e s , an d i n
ou r o r g an i z a t i on s ar e o f a d i f f e r en t or d er o f m a g n i t u d e . I n f ac t ,
many mark 1989 ─ the year we witnessed the fall of the Berlin
W al l ─ a s t h e b e g i n n i n g o f t h e I n f o r m a t i o n A g e , t h e b i r t h o f a n e w
r e a l i t y , a s e a c h an g e o f i n c r e d i b l e s i g n i fi c a n c e ─ t r u l y a n e w e r a
─ B e i n g e f f e c t i v e a s i n d i v i d u a l s a n d o r g a n i z a t i o n s i s n o l o n g er
m er e l y a n o p t i o n ─ s u r v i v a l i n t o d a y ’ s w o r l d r e q u i r e s i t . B u t i n
o r d e r t o t h r i v e , i n n o v a t e , e x c el , a n d l e a d i n w h a t C o v e y c a l l s t h e
n e w Kn o w l e d g e W o r k er A g e, w e m u s t b u i l d o n a n d m o v e b e y o n d
e f f ec t i v en e s s [ l o n g - h e l d a s s u m p t i o n s , f a l l ac i e s a n d f l a w e d b e l i e f s
a n d f au l t y c on v e n t i o n s ] … Ac c e s s i n g t h e h i g h e r le v e l s o f h u m a n
g e n i u s a n d m o t i v a t i o n i n t o d a y ’ s n e w r e a li t y R E Q U I R E S A S E A
34




C H A N G E I N T H I N K I N G : a n e w m i n d - s e t , a n e w s k i ll - s e t , a n e w
t o o l - s e t ─ i n s h or t , a w h o l e n e w h a b i t . ” [ 1 5 3 ]


Bringing down a handful of millenarian fallacies in the
twentieth-one century?


G re g o r y S . P a u l a n d E a r l C o x : “ Fr o m C on v e n t i on a l W i s d o m t o
S h o c k i n g P r o b ab i l i t y . M a y b e s o m e d a y , s o o n er o r l at e r , t r u l y
i n t e l l i g e n t m ac h i n e s w i l l b e b u i l t . Un t i l t h a t t i m e , s p e c u l at i o n w i l l
ab o u n d . M u c h o f t h a t s p e c u l a t i o n i s b a s e d o n w h a t m i g h t b e
c a l l e d ‘ C o n v en t i on a l W i sd o m , ’ t h e u n d e r l y i n g a s s u m p t i on s an d
c o n v e n t i o n s w e c ol l e c t i v e l y s h a r e . W e c an l i s t s o m e o f t h e s e
a s s u m p t i o n s a s f o l l o w s : T h e n e x t c en t u r y wi l l b e a n e x t en s i o n o f
t h i s o n e , w i t h i n c r e a s i n g l y s m a r t e r m a c h i n e s b ei n g r u n b y p e o p l e
a n d f o r p e o p l e … B e c au s e t h e h u m a n m i n d i s l i n k e d t o a s o u l ,
c yb e r n e t i c m a c h i n e s wi l l n e v er b e f u l l y s e l f - a w a r e l i k e w e a r e …
I f i n t e l l i g e n t r o b o t s c an b e b u i l t , i t w i l l b e a l o n g t i m e b e f o r e t h e y
c a n b e m a d e t o d o w h a t h u m a n s d o, a s w e l l a s h u m an s d o i t .
P e r h a p s c e n t u r i e s w i l l b e r e q u i r ed … E v e n a f t er i n t e l li g e n t r o b o t s
a r e m a d e , mu l t i t u d e s o f h u m a n s w i l l c o n t i n u e t o e x i s t on e a r t h ,
a n d m a y b e e v e n i n s p a c e … Hu m a n m i n d s a n d p er s o n a l i d e n t i t i e s
w i l l n e v e r b e ab l e t o m e r g e w i t h a n e l e c t r o m e c h a n i c a l s y s t e m …
E v e n i f i t w e r e p o s s i b l e, w e h u m a n s w o u ld r e fu s e t o d o w n l o a d ou r
m i n d s o n t o h ar d w a r e , n o m a t t e r h o w t e m pt i n g a n d i n t e l l i g e n t t h e
35




n e w s u r r o u n d i n g s m i g h t b e . W e b e l i e v e t h a t c yb e r b e i n g s wi l l b e
e m o t i o n l e s s , s o u l l e s s , a n d h u m o r l e s s m ec h a n i c a l z o m b i e s ─ r a t h er
li k e ‘ S t ar T r e k ’ s ’ L t . C o m m a n d e r D a t a , a s o m e w h a t s a d a n d r o i d
p i n i n g f or a h u m a n i t y h e w i l l n e v e r ac h i e v e … N o m a t t er h o w
s m a r t t h e y ar e , d i g i t a l m i n d s w i l l n e v e r h a v e t h e i n s i g h t ,
i n t u i t i o n , a n d s m o o t h s a v v y o f t h e h u m an m i n d . T h e y w i l l f o r e v e r
r e m a i n m e n t a l l y i n f e r i o r , a n d ou r f a i t h f u l , s e l f - m a i n t a i n i n g
s e r v a n t s … T h e r ob o t s w i l l s o o n pr o v e o u r m e n t a l a n d ph y s i c a l
s u p er i o r s . S e l f - g e n e r at e d en h a n c e m e n t s w i l l r e f i n e t h e m b e y o n d
ou r c o n t r o l . T h e y wi l l en s l a v e u s a l l e x c e p t , o f c ou r s e , f o r a
r e n e g a d e b an d o f r e b el l i o u s , y o u n g , g o o d - l o o k i n g, d a r i n g h u m a n s
a r m ed     with       b a t t er e d ,   r ec y c l ed     s u r pl u s   weapons,          fearlessly
f o l l o w i n g t h e i r c r a g g y b u t wi s e l e ad e r i n t o a f i g h t f o r t r u t h ,
j u s t i c e , a n d t h e h o mi n i d w a y … T H I S B O O K A R G U E S T H AT T H E
N E X T C E N T U R Y W I L L P R O V E T O B E N O T H I N G L I K E T HI S O N E ,
NOR         ANY         FORECAST                SO         FAR.        C O M P U T I NG          POWER,
NEUROSCIENCE, AND NANOTECHNOLOGIES ARE ADVANCING
SO RAPIDLY THAT THEY WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE THE
M OS T S I G N I F I C A N T E V O L U T I O N A R Y D E V E L O P M E N T S S I N C E
T H E O R I G I N O F L I F E I T S E L F … W E M A I N T A I N T H AT T H E
H U M A N M I N D A N D C O N S C I O US T H O U G HT A R E E X C L U S I V E L Y
NATURAL              AND         PHYSICAL               IN       ORIGIN            AND         NATURE.
ULTIMATELY,                   THEIR            NATURES                AND           FUNDAMENTAL
36




P R O C E S S E S A R E K N O W AB L E A N D C A N B E R E P L I C A T E D F O R
THE PURPOSES OF PERSONAL IMMORTALITY.” [169]


Pervasive               genetics,               pervasive             medicine,         pervasive
diagnostics and pervasive monitoring?


Juan Enriquez: “If it seems like your world has been topsy-turvy
o v e r t h e p a s t f e w y e a r s … C o n s i d e r w h at ’ s c o m i n g . Y o u r g en e t i c
c o d e w i l l b e i mp r i n t ed on an d I D c a r d … F o r b e t t er a n d w o r s e .
M ed i c i n e s w i l l b e t a i l o r ed t o y o u r g e n e s an d w i l l h e l p pr e v e n t
s p e c i f i c d i s e a s e s f o r w h i c h y o u m a y b e at r i s k . ( B u t … y o u r
i n s u r a n c e c o m p an y a n d y o u r p r o s p e c t i v e e m pl o y e r m a y a l s o f i n d
ou t t h at y o u a r e g e n et i c a l l y d i s p o s e d t o , s a y , h e a r t d i s e a s e , or
b r e a s t c a n c e r , or A l z h ei m e r ’ s . ) . ” [ 1 6 3 ]


W h a t e v e r t h e l e t h a l c o n s e q u en c e s , A r e y o u s t i l l do g g e d l y
insisting            on      not        u n d e rs t a n d i n g      the   r a t es   of    hy p e r -
g e o m e t r i c a l e x p o n e n t i a l g r o w t h a n d h e n c e n ot h a v e a s e n s e
o f p r o p o r t i o n s i n a l i g n m e n t w i t h t h e dr i v i n g f o r c e s o f t h e
twentieth-one century?


J a m e s J o h n B e l l : “ W e w on ’ t j u s t e x p e r i e n c e 1 0 0 y e a r s o f p r o gr e s s
i n t h e t w en t y - f i r s t c en t u r y ─ i t w i l l b e m or e l i k e 2 0 , 0 0 0 y e a r s o f
progress.” [161]
37




H o w c a n w e g e t t o a n ew t e rr a i n c o g n i t a w i t h a n o l d m a p ?


R o w a n G i b s o n : “ T h e l e s s o n o f t h e l a s t t h r e e d ec a d e s i s t h a t
n ob o d y c a n d r i v e t o t h e f u t u r e o n c r u i s e c on t r o l . ” [ 1 6 1 ]


Where and how do we live?


G re g o r y S . P a u l a n d E a r l C o x : “ W e li v e i n s t r a n g e t i m e s , i n c a s e
y o u h a v e n o t n o t i c e d . H e r e w e a r e w i t h ou r h o m e c o m p u t e r s a n d
o t h e r h i g h - t ec h a p p l i a n c e s , li v i n g wh a t w e r e g a r d a s a n o r m a l
li f e … T h e w o r l d w e a r e l i v i n g i n ─ a w o r l d t h a t c o u p l e s H o m o
                                   li
s a p i en s w i t h f a s t - p ac e d h y p e r t e c h n o l o g y ─ i s s t r a n g e t o u s
b e c au s e s o m e t i m e s i t f e e l s li k e w h a t i t i s, a t r a n s i e n t d r e a m . . . .
W e a r e d r e a m i n g a s t r an g e , w a k i n g d r e a m ; a n i n e v i t a b l y b r i e f
i n t er l u d e s a n d w i c h ed b e t w e en t h e l o n g a g e o f l o w - t e c h h u m a n i t y
o n t h e o n e h an d , a n d t h e a g e o f h u m a n b ei n g s t r an s c e n d e d o n t h e
other.       We       ar e     living        in     the      l a t t er   days       of       humanity;
c yb e r t e c h n o l o g i e s w i l l q u i c k l y r ep l a c e u s. J u s t i n c h e s o f t i m e
a w a y e x i s t s a s p e ed y r e a l i t y b e a r i n g d o w n o n u s t h a t w e m a y
s e n s e , b u t d o n ot s h o w o n o u r f a c e s . . . . W h i l e on e m a y b e m a d e
u n c o m f or t a b l e b y t h e t h ou g h t o f a t r u l y s t r an g e 2 1 s t c en t u r y ,
t h e r e i s a r o u n d u s a n i m p en d i n g s e n s e o f a r r i v a l ─ a s t r a n g e n e s s
in the air, an uneasiness, a feeling that deep down, things are
38




s t ar t i n g t o c h a n g e i n s w i ft , f u n d a m e n t a l w a y s t o o fu z z y t o p u t a
f i n g e r o n . M o r e t h an j u s t t h e o n s e t o f t h e t h i r d mi l l e n n i u m, i t i s
t h e q u i e t b e f or e t h e s t o r m . T h e pr o d u c t s o f t ec h n o l o g y ar e
becoming more curious ─ a little too smart, a little too fast. It’s
d o w n r i g h t u n s et t l i n g . A n d , h e y , p e o p l e a r e n ’ t d u mb . T h e y k n o w
t h a t w e h a v e j u s t b e g u n t o b u i ld s m a r t d u mb m a c h i n e s ; s o o n i t
w i l l b e d u m b s m a r t m a c h i n e s . W h er e w i l l i t s t o p ? I f w e c on t i n u e
t o b u i l d m a c h i n e s s m a r t e r t h an t h e l a s t o n e s , a n d t h e n o n e t h a t i s
s m a r t er t h an t h a t a n d s o o n ─ w e l l, y o u d o n ot h a v e t o b e a
p ar t i c l e p h y s i c i st t o s e e t h at t h e m a c h i n e s c a n n o t k e e p g e t t i n g
s m a r t er a n d s m a r t er , y e t f o r e v e r r e m a i n d u mb e r t h an u s . G ar r y
‘ J o h n H e n r y ’ K a s p a r o v , c h e s s G r an d M a s t e r , l o s t a c h a m pi o n s h i p
game to a machine for the first time in history this year. Perhaps
s o m e d a y , w e ’ l l h e ar t h e b at t l e c r y o f h u m an i t y r a l l y i n g i n
d e s p e r a t i on : ‘ R e m e m b e r D e e p B l u e ’ … ” [ 1 6 5]


Technologies, societies and possibilities?


Freeman Dyson: “There is nothing so big nor so crazy that one out
o f a mi l l i o n t e c h n o l o g i c a l s o c i et i e s m a y n o t f e e l i t s e l f d r i v e n t o
d o , p r o v i d e d i t i s p h y s i c a l l y p o s s i b l e. ” [ 1 7 4 ]


D o es t h e p r o g r e s s i v e a n d a l w a y s - s u d d e n ( e x p l o s i v e l y s o )
advent          of the future bring                          about          adversaries       of such
39




future? If so, Are those the same ones that like to stay in
rooms of stalemate air in which the status quo is invariably
for the own sake and enjoyment of said those perpetually?


V i r g i n i a P o s t r e l : “ T h at i n s t ab i l i t y [ b et w e e n s t a s i s a n d d y n a m i s m ] ,
o r o u r a w a r e n e s s o f i t , h ei g h t en e d b y t h e f l u i d i t y o f c on t e m p o r a r y
li f e : b y t h e e a s e w i t h wh i c h i d e a s an d m e s s a g e s , g o o d s an d
p e o p l e, c r o s s b or d er s ; b y t e c h n o l o g i e s t h a t s e e k t o su r p a s s t h e
q u i c k n e s s o f t h e h u m a n m i n d a n d o v e r c o m e t h e c on s t r a i n t s o f t h e
h u m a n b od y ; b y t h e ‘ u n i v e r s a l s o l v e n t s ’ o f c o m m e r c e a n d p o pu l a r
culture;         by      the     dissolution            or     r e f o r m at i o n    of     e s t a b l i s h ed
i n s t i t u t i o n s , p a r t i c u l a r l y l a r g e c or p o r a t i on s , an d t h e r i s e o f n e w
ones;       by     the     synthesis          of     East      and       W e st ,     of    a n c i en t   an d
m o d er n ─b y t h e c o m b i n a t i o n a n d r ec o m b i n a t i o n o f s e e m i n g l y
e v e r y a r t i f a c t o f h u m an c u lt u r e . O u r s i s a m a g n i f i c en t l y c r e a t i v e
er a . B u t t h e c r e a t i v i t y p r o d u c e s c h an g e , an d t h at c h an g e a t t r ac t s
en e m i e s , p h i l o s o p h i c a l a s w e l l a s s e l f - i n t e r e s t ed … W i t h s o m e
e xc e p t i on s , t h e e n e m i e s o f t h e f u t u r e ai m t h e i r at t a c k s n ot at
c r e a t i v i t y i t s e l f b u t at t h e d y n a m i c pr o c e s s e s t h r ou g h w h i c h i t i s
carried. In our post─Cold War era, for instance, free markets are
recognized            as       powerful            forces       for       social        cultural,          an d
t e c h n o l o g i c a l c h an g e ─ l i b er a t i n g i n t h e e y e s o f s o m e , t h r e a t e n i n g
t o o t h e r s . T h e s a m e i s t r u e f o r m a r k et s i n i d e a s : f o r fr e e s p e ec h
a n d w o r l d wi d e c o m mu n i c a t i on ; f o r w h a t J o h n S t u a r t M i l l c a l l ed
40




‘ e x p e r i m e n t s i n l i v i n g ’ ; f o r s c i e n t i fi c r e s e a r c h , a r t i s t i c e x p r e s s i o n ,
a n d t ec h n o l o g i c a l i n n o v a t i o n . A l l o f t h e s e p r o c e s s e s a r e s h a p i n g
an unknown, and unknowable, future. Some people look at such
d i v e r s e , d ec e n t r a l i z ed , c h oi c e - d r i v e n s y s t e m s a n d r ej o i c e, e v e n
w h en t h e y d o n ’ t l i k e p ar t i c u l a r c h o i c e s . O t h er r ec o i l . I n p u r s u i t o f
s t ab i l i t y a n d c o n t r o l , t h e y s e e k t o e l i m i n a t e or c u r b t h e s e u n r u l y ,
t o o - c r e a t i v e f o r c e s … S t a s i st s a n d d y n a m i s t s a r e t h u s d i v i d e d n o t
j u s t b y s i m p l e , s h o r t - t e r m p o l i c y i s s u e s b u t b y fu n d a m e n t a l
d i s a g r e e m e n t s ab o u t t h e w a y t h e w o r l d w o r k s . T h e y c l a s h o v e r
t h e n at u r e o f p r o g r e s s a n d o v e r i t s d e s i r a b i l i t y : D o e s i t r e q u i r e a
p l an t o r e a c h a s p e c i f i e d g o a l ? O r i s i t a n u n b o u n d ed p r oc e s s o f
e x p l o r at i o n a n d d i sc o v e r y ? D o e s t h e q u e s t f or i m pr o v e m e n t
e x p r e s s d e s t r u c t i v e , n i h i li s t i c d i sc o n t e n t , o r t h e h i g h e s t h u m a n
q u a l i t i e s ? D o e s p r o g r e s s d e p e n d o n p u r i t an i c a l r e p r e s s i o n o r a
p l a y f u l s p i r i t ? … S t a s i s t s a n d d yn a m i s t s d i s a g r e e a b o u t t h e l i mi t s
a n d u s e o f k n o w l ed g e . S t a s i s t s                   demand that knowledge be
a r t i c u l at e d an d e a s i l y s h a r ed . D yn a m i s t s , b y c o n t r a s t , a p pr e c i a t e
d i s p e r s e d , o f t e n t ac i t k n o w l e d g e . T h e y r ec o g n i z e t h e li m i t s o f
h u m a n m i n d s e v en a s t h e y c e l eb r a t e l e a r n i n g … T h o s e c on f l i c t s
l e ad t o v e r y d i f f er e n t b e li e f s a b o u t g o o d i n s t i t u t i o n s a n d r u l e s :
S t a s i s t s s e e k s p e c i f i c s t o g o v e r n e a c h n e w s i t u at i o n a n d k e e p
t h i n g s u n d e r c o n t r o l . D yn a m i c i s t s w a n t t o l i mi t u n i v er s a l r u l e
m a k i n g t o b r o a d l y a p p l i c a b l e a n d r a r e l y c h an g e d p r i n c i p l e s ,
within which people can create and test countless combinations.
41




S t a s i s t s w an t t h ei r d et a i l ed r u l ed t o a p p l y t o e v e r y o n e ; d yn a m i s t s
p r e f e r c o m p et i n g , n e s t e d r u l e s e t s … S u c h d i s a g r e e m e n t s h a v e
p o l i t i c a l r a m i f i c at i o n s t h a t g o mu c h d e e p er t h an t h e s h o r t - t e r m
b u s i n e s s o f c a m p a i g n s an d l e g i s l a t i o n . T h e y a f f e c t ou r g o v e r n i n g
a s s u m p t i o n s a b o u t h o w p o li t i c a l , ec o n o m i c , s o c i a l , i n t e l l ec t u a l ,
a n d c u l t u r a l s y s t e m s w o r k ; w h a t t h o s e s y s t e m s s h o u l d v a l u e; an d
w h at t h e y m e an . . . . T h e s e a r e n o t t h e c o m f o r t ab l e o ld C o l d W a r
d i v i s i o n s o f h a w k s an d d o v e s , e g a li t a r i a n s a n d i n d i v i d u a li s t s , l e f t
a n d r i gh t . N o r a r e t h e y t h e o n e - d i m e n s i o n a l l a b el s o f t e c h n o p h i l e
a n d t e c h n o p h o b e, o p t i mi s t a n d p e s s i m i s t , o r li b e r t a r i an a n d
s t a s i s t t h a t p u n d i t s s o m e t i m e s g r a b t o r e p l a c e t h e o ld c at e g o r i e s .
T h e y c o n t ai n e l e m e n t s o f t h o s e s i m p l e r c l a s s i f i c a t i on s , b u t t h e y
a r e mu c h r i c h e r , e n c o m p a s s i n g m o r e a s p e c t s o f l i f e ─ m o r e a s p e c t s
o f t h e e m er g e n t , c o m p l e x fu t u r e . ” [ 1 7 0 ]


Minds             vs.         computational                      algorithms,                  man -made
computational algorithms?


“ F u n n y t h i n g , ou r mi n d . T h e m o m e n t o u r s o f t w a r e c at c h e s u p , t h e
mind seems to travel beyond the capability of the software ....
[ H o w e v e r , ] O u r mi n d s f o c u s o n r e n d i t i o n s , d a r li n g , n ot t h e
u n d e r l y i n g a l g o r i t h m . Y o u r an a l y s t s a n d pr o g r a m m e r s h a v e t o
d e a l w i t h a l g o r i t h m t h a t pr o d u c e s n e w r en d i t i o n s . ” [ 1 6 1 ]
42




D r . C o v e y ’ s l u c i d p e r s p e c t i v e b e c o m e s g r e a t l y s u p p o r t ed
and refined by Peter Drucker.


P e t e r D r u c k e r : “ I n a f e w h u n d r ed y e a r s , w h en t h e s t o r y o f o u r
[ c u r r e n t ] t i m e i s w r i t t en fr o m a l o n g - t er m p er s p e c t i v e , i t i s l i k e l y
t h a t t h e m o s t i m p o r t an t e v e n t t h o s e h i s t o r i a n s w i l l s e e i s n o t
t e c h n o l o g y , n o t t h e I n t e r n et , n o t e - c o m m er c e [ n o t ‘ s o c i a l m e d i a ’ ─
s o - c a l l e d ] . I T I S A N U N P R E C E D E N T E D C H A N G E I N T H E H UM A N
CONDITION.                FOR        THE         FIRST          TIME         ─      LITERALLY                ─
SUBSTANTIAL AND GROWING NUMBERS OF PEOPLE HAVE
CHOICES. FOR THE FIRST TIME, THEY WILL HAVE TO MANAGE
THEMSELVES. AND SOCIETY IS TOTALLY UNPREPARED FOR
IT.” [153]


A n d t h e p o l i t i c a l a n g l e o f t h e fu t u r e?


T h e H o n o r a b l e T o m R i d g e , F i r s t S e c r e t a r y o f t h e U . S . De p a r t m e n t
o f H o m e l a n d S e c u r i t y a n d F o r m e r G o v e r n o r o f P e n n s y l v a n ia : “ T h e
p o l i t i c a l w o r l d p r o mi s e s c h a n g e a n d t h e d i g i t a l w o r l d d e li v e r s i t .
And      wh e n      that     change         potentially          affects        our     privacy        an d
f r e e d o m , w e s h o u l d a l l p a y a t t en t i o n . T h i s i s a f a s c i n at i n g ,
p r o v o c a t i v e a n d t h o r o u g h l y r e ad a b l e l o o k i n t o a n u n c e r t ai n
future.” [155]
43




Internet and yesterday?


S c o u t B ra d n e r : “ W e h a v e t h e I n t e r n e t t h a t w e h a v e t od a y b e c au s e
t h e I n t er n et o f y e s t e r d a y d i d n ot f o c u s o n t h e t od a y o f y e s t e r d a y . ”
[155]


T h e r i g h t s a n d t h e fu t u r e?


“Legal scholars can debate whether copyright law mandates a
f u t u r e o f ‘ a u t h o r i z e d u s e o n l y ’ f o r d i g i t a l i n f or m a t i o n . T h e a n s w e r
m a y n ot m a t t er m u c h , b ec a u s e t h at fu t u r e i s c o m i n g t o p a s s
t h r ou g h    t h e t ec h n o l o g i e s o f       digital       rights        management              an d
t r u st e d s y s t e m s . ” [ 1 5 5 ]


Future and forces embedded?


“ T h e f o r c e s s h a p i n g y o u r fu t u r e a r e d i gi t a l , a n d y o u n e e d t o
understand them.” [155]


Can we picture the future?


“ C an w e e n v i s i on t h e f u t u r e t r a n s c o n t i n e n t a l f l i g h t s , w h e r e b o o k s ,
m u si c , i m a g e s , a n d v i d e o s a r e a u t o m a t i c a l l y e x t r a c t ed , s a m p l ed ,
m i x ed , a n d r e m i x e d ; f ed i n t o m a s s i v e a u t o m a t e d r e a s o n i n g
44




en g i n e s ; a s s i m i l a t e d i n t o t h e c o r e s o f t w a r e o f e v e r y p e r s o n a l
c o m p u t er a n d e v e r y c e l l p h on e ─ a n d t h o u s a n d s o f o t h er t h i n g s
f o r w h i c h t h e w o r d s d o n ’t e v e n e x i s t y e t ? ” [ 1 5 5]


History vs. future?


“ W i l l t h e v a s t a m o u n t s o f i n f o r m a t i o n n o w a v a i l ab l e b ec a u s e o f
t h e a d v a n c e s i n s t o r a g e a n d c o m mu n i c a t i o n t ec h n o l o g y a c t u a l l y
b e u s a b l e a h u n d r ed o r a t h o u s a n d y e a r s i n t h e f u t u r e , o r W I L L
THE SHIFT FROM PAPER TO DIGITAL MEDIA MEAN THE LOSS
O F HI S T O R Y ? ” [ 1 5 5 ]


R eg a r d i n g t h e C y b e r s p a c e , a p r i m e r t o C o m p u t r on i u m ?


J o h n P e r r y B a r l o w : “ G o v e r n m e n t s o f t h e I n d u st r i a l W or l d , y o u r
w e a r y g i a n t s o f f l e s h an d s t e e l , I c o m e fr o m C y b er s p a c e , t h e n e w
h o m e o f M i n d . On b eh a l f o f t h e f u t u r e , I a s k y o u o f t h e p a s t t o
l e a v e u s a l on e . Y o u h a v e n o s o s o v e r e i g n t y w h er e w e g a t h e r . . . .
W e a r e c r e at i n g a w or l d t h a t a l l m a y e n t er w i t h o u t p r i v i l e g e o r
p r e j u d i c e a c c o r d e d b y r ac e , ec o n o m i c p o w e r , mi l i t ar y f o r c e, o r
s t at i o n o f b i r t h . W e a r e c r e at i n g a w o r l d w h er e an y o n e , a n y w h e r e
m a y e x p r e s s h i s or h e r b e li e f s , n o m a t t e r h o w s i n gu l a r , wi t h ou t
f e a r o f b ei n g c o e r c e d i n t o s i l e n c e o r c o n f or m i t y … I n o u r w o r l d ,
a l l t h e s e n t i m en t s a n d e x p r e s s i o n s o f h u m a n i t y , f r o m d e b a s i n g t o
45




the     angelic,         are      parts       of     a    seamless          whole,         the    global
c o n v e r s a t i on o f b i t s . . . . [ Y ] o u a r e t r y i n g t o w a r d o f f t h e v i r u s o f
li b er t y b y er e c t i n g gu a r d p o s t s a t t h e fr o n t i e r s o f C y b er s p a c e . ”
[155]


C a n w e u s e a c h a i n t o r e p r e s en t a m e t a p h o r a b o u t t h e
future?


“You      can’t      u n d er s t a n d    the     knot      w i t h ou t    u n d e r s t an d i n g    the
s t r a n d s , b u t i n t h e f u t u r e , t h e st r a n d s n e ed n o t r e m a i n t i e d u p i n
t h e s a m e w a y a s t h e y a r e t o d a y . ” [ 1 5 5]


To get engaged in “a sea change in thinking,” along with the
m a x i m u m a n d m o s t s o p h i s t i c a t e d c o n s c ie n t i o u s a wa r e n e s s s o m e
v o i c e s m u s t b e i g n o r e d w h i l e pa y i n g i m m e n s e a t t e n t i o n t o o n e o f
A m e r i c a ’ s f i n e s t , n a m e l y He n r y B u c k m i n s t e r F u l l e r .   H e a r gu e s ,
“ A L L C H I L D R E N A R E B O R N G E N I US E S ; 9 , 9 9 9 O U T O F E V E R Y
10,000 ARE SWIFTLY, INADVERTENTLY DEGENIUNIZED BY
G R OW N U P S . ” [ 1 5 3 ]


T h e w o r l d i s n o t a n a l o g a n y m o r e . I t s qu a l i t y i s o n l y d i g i t a l a n d
hence emphatically over-mathematical. Ergo, if you don’t attach
t h e f u t u r e , t h e f u tu r e w i l l a t t a c k y ou a n d o u t s m a r t y o u w i t h o u t a
fail.
46




S u p p o r t i n g t h e m o t i o n s o f a l l o f t h e a b o v e i n t h i s d i g i t a l u n iv e r s e
o f o u r s , c h e c k o u t t h e t a ke b y t h e a u t h o r o f “ T h e W o r l d i s F la t . ”
T h o m a s F r i e d m a n i n d i c a t e s : “ P e o p l e a r e a l w a y s [ a n d w r o n g fu l l y ]
a s s u m i n g t h at e v e r y t h i n g t h a t i s g o i n g t o b e i n v e n t ed mu s t h a v e
been invented already. But it hasn’t.” [139] I could easily offer,
b a s e d o n u n i m p e a c h a b l e f a c t s , ma n y i n s t a n c e s o f w h y F r i e d m a n i s
a b s o l u t e l y r i g h t t o t h e d i s m a y o f s o m e w i s h i n g b u t n o t s u f f ic i e n t l y
enculturating themselves.


W h a t h a p p e n s t o y o u r v i s i o n w h e n y o u do n ’ t u n d e r s t a n d
that the world is not analog but pervasively ─ increasingly
so ─ over-digital?


M u h a m a d Y u n u s : “ T h e r e e y e s w e r e b li n d e d b y t h e k n o w l e d g e t h e y
h ad . ” [ 1 5 3 ]


Brainy discoveries and the IT revolution?


J. G. Taylor, B. Horowitz, K. J. Friston: “Now, for the first time,
w e a r e o b s e r v i n g t h e b r ai n a t w o r k i n a g l o b a l m a n n e r w i t h su c h
c l a r i t y t h a t w e s h o u l d b e ab l e t o d i sc o v e r t h e o v e r a l l pr o g r a m s
b e h i n d i t s m a g n i f i c en t p o w er s . ” [ 1 4 2 ]
47




F r o m D a r w i n a n d w e l l i n t o t h e p r e s en t t w en t i e t h - o n e
century?


G re g o r y S . P a u l a n d E a r l C o x : “ W h en Q u e en V i c t o r i a w a s i n h er
p r i m e , an E n g l i s h m a n , C h a r l e s D ar w i n , d i sc o v e r e d a f u n d a m e n t a l
t r u t h t h a t s h o o k m a n k i n d s o s e v e r e l y t h at i t r e m a i n s t od a y a
m a t t e r o f e x t r e m e d i st r e s s an d m a s s i v e d e n i a l. D ar w i n r e a l i z e d
t h a t l i f e o n o u r p l a n e t i s n ot t h e r ec e n t a n d f i x e d pr o d u c t o f d ei t y -
m ed i a t ed s p e c i a l c r e a t i o n , b u t h a s b e en c on s t a n t l y c h a n g i n g o v e r
a long span of time … The paleontologist who followed Darwin
h a v e t a u gh t u s t h at t i m e h a s n o r e s p e c t f o r s p e c i e s . W h o l e
d yn a s t i e s o f l i f e h a v e b e en s w e p t a w a y a n d r e p l ac e d wi t h n e w
o n e s . M or e t h a n 6 5 mi l l i o n y e a r s a g o , t h e w or l d w a s f i l l e d w i t h
s w i f t , d e a d l y m e a t - e a t e r s , i n c lu d i n g h u g e t yr a n n o s a u r s s t a l k i n g
elephant-sized             h o r n ed    dinosaurs           and      duck-billed            herbivores.
F l y i n g p t er o s a u r s w e r e a s b i g a n d h e a v y a s s a i l p l a n e s . S m a l l,
g r ac e f u l , p r e d ac e o u s d i n o s a u r s h ad b i n o c u l a r v i s i o n , b i g b r ai n s ,
and      grasping          hands.        After      17 0     mi l l i o n   years       of    successful
e v o l u t i o n , t h e y ac h i e v e d t h e h e i g h t o f v a r i at i o n a n d p o w er .
R e s p l e n d e n t an d n u m e r o u s o n t h e f er t i l e Cr e t a c e ou s p l ai n s , h o w
c o u l d i t b e t h a t w i t h i n a f e w y e a r s t h e y a l l w o u l d b e g on e
f o r e v er ? T h i s c h i l l i n g s t or y s u g g e s t s a t i c k i n g c l oc k f or h u m a n i t y ,
as well; dare we think of our own extinction? There is ticking
c l o c k f or h u m a n i t y , a n d i t m a y b e m er e s e c o n d s b e f o r e m i d n i g h t .
48




T OM O R R O W I S U P O N U S , A N D W HA T I S AB O U T T O H A P P E N I N
THE NEW DAY IS FAR, FAR STRANGER THAN MOST PEOPLE
D A R E T O T H I N K … E v e n D ar w i n d i d n o t r e a l i z e h o w r i gh t h e w a s ,
o r h o w f a r e v o l u t i o n w i l l t a k e u s . W e s h ou l d n ot f au l t D a r wi n f o r
h i s l ac k o f v i s i o n . D ar w i n li v e d i n a t i m e w h en t h e m o d e r n
scientific revolution was just beginning. It was also a time of
s t e a m en g i n e s , g a s l a m p s , a n d p h r e n o l o g y . S c i en c e , i n o u r l a t e
20th century sense, was still a few years away. Yet even today,
f e w n o n s c i e n t i s t s h a v e m o r e t h a n an i n k l i n g o f h o w l i f e e v o l v e d o r
h o w t ec h n o l o g i e s s u c h a s t h e au t o m o b i l e, t h e l i g h t s w i t c h , o r t h e
a i r p l a n e ac t u a l l y w o r k … W E L I V E I N A HI G H - T E C H N O L O G Y
WORLD, WITH LITTLE APPRECIATION FOR HOW THINGS GOT
THE WAY THEY ARE.” [169]


What is the personal cosmology in the orbit of a person
seeking foresight?


Antonio           Machado:             “ M an ,       i n c u r ab l e   futurist,   is     the      only
t r a d i t i on a l i s t an i m a l . ” [ 1 3 0 ]


D o n ’ t w i n t h e i r “ h e a r t s ,” j u s t w i n t h e i r m i n ds k i n d l y a n d
r es p e c t f u l l y ?
49




T h e u n d e r s i g n e d a n d t h e p r e s e n t m a t e r i a l ’ s a u t h o r in d i c a t e d : “I f
y o u r e a l l y w a n t t o m a k e a n o p e r a t i o n a l d i f f e r en c e i n y o u r
p r o f e s s i o n a l t h e at e r o f o p er a t i o n s , g o a n d g e t a fu l l i m m er s i o n i n
the      fringe.         Right    in    their,        under     that      tense       an d     pr e s s i n g
d yn a m i c s , y o u ’ l l h a v e t h e v a n t a g e f l u x o f t h e ou t pu t t e d mi r a g e . ”
[129]


I just wonder: Is it about Scientific Method or is it about
Scientific               Method         U n d er       The        Tutelage             of      Applied
O mn i s c i e n c e a n d W it h T h e A p p l i c a t i o n o f T h e S y s t e m s
Methodology                 Approach?             I    designed,          to    this      effect,       the
i l lu s t r a t i o n   viewable      at    http://bit.ly/d6d84w                  and       also     note
http://slidesha.re/omisci


The more scientific and technological knowledge doubling, the
most         indispensable             becomes         the     grasping          of     the      applied
omniscience notion in every execution for Life.


A      technological             and        academic           institution             outsmarting
cutting-edge science and technology to a point to generate
more wealth than the combination of many countries?
50




J u a n E n r i q u e z : “ W e a l t h i s c o n c e n t r a t ed a n d p or t a b l e. M I T f a c u l t y
a n d a l u m n i p r o d u c e a s mu c h w e a l t h a s a l l b u t t w e n t y - t w o
c o u n t r i e s i n t h e w or l d . ” [ 1 6 3 ]


B e f o r e w e p r o c e e d a n y f u rt h e r , p l e a s e a l w a y s r e m e m b e r
the following.


“ E v e r y t h in g i s r el a t e d t o ev e r y t h i n g el s e . ” [ 1 0 9 ] . W h e n
invoking “Everything is related to everything else,” it is succinctly
to say (that is) by way of matter-of-fact example:


“ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er r e l at e d t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s c o n n ec t ed t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er c on n e c t e d t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“Everything is intricate to everything else.”
“Everything is involved in everything else.”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er - a s s o c i at e d t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er l o c k ed t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er - c o u p l ed t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er - j o i n ed t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“Everything is conjoint to everything else.”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er - t i ed t o e v er y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er d e p en d en t t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s c o r r e l at e d t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
51




“ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er t w i n e d w i t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er - m e s h ed w i t h e v e r y t h i n g el s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s i mp l i c at e d i n e v er y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s en t a n g l ed w i t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s en t w i n e d wi t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s t an g l e d w i t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s k n o t t ed w i t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er w o v e n i n t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s en g a g e d w i t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s p ar e n t h e t i c a l t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”


“Everything is related to everything else” does not make any sense
a t a l l f o r pe o p l e w h o h a v e c h o s e n n o t t o g e t e d u c a t e d a n d s e l f -
e du c a t e d o n i n d i s p e n s a b l e b a s i c s c ie n c e f o r E t e r n i t y .


Einstein has an appropriate thought to share: “... [the
h u m a n b e i n g ] e x p er i e n c e s h i m s e l f , h i s t h ou g h t s an d f e e l i n g s a s
s o m e t h i n g s e p a r a t e d f r o m t h e r e s t — a k i n d o f o p t i c a l d e lu s i o n o f
ou r c o n sc i o u s n e s s . T h i s d e l u s i o n i s a k i n d o f pr i s o n f o r u s ,
r e s t r i c t i n g u s t o o u r p er s o n a l d e s i r e s a n d t o a f f e c t i o n f o r a f e w
p er s o n s n e a r e s t t o u s . O u r t a s k m u s t b e t o f r e e o u r s e l v e s f r o m t h i s
p r i s o n b y w i d en i n g o u r c i r c l e o f c o m p a s s i o n t o e m b r ac e a l l li v i n g
creatures and the whole of nature in its beauty...” [108]
52




C O N T EN T S


CONTENT BY THEME AND PAGE
( O n l y t h e d u l y p r i n t e d b o o k v e r s i o n s h a v e a p r e c i s e pa g e n u m b e r .
However, the rest of the structure is as indicated.)


CHAPTER 1 ─ NOTICE TO READERS ─ 10 ─ 14 PAG. (S)
CHAPTER 1 ─ THE IMPERATIVE NOTE ─ 14 ─ 24 PAG. (S)
CHAPTER 1 ─ OBJECTIVE ─ 24 ─ 64 PAG. (S)
CHAPTER 1 ─ PROLOGUE ─ 64 ─ 99 PAG. (S)
CHAPTER 2 ─ THE CHALLENGE ─ 98 ─ 109 PAG. (S)
C H A P T E R 2 ─ A N A C T U A L DI A L O G U E O F D A R W I N , K A N T ,
NEWTON, GOETHE ─ 99 ─ 112 PAG. (S)
CHAPTER 2 ─ AN EPIC OMISSION(S)? ─ 113 ─ 115 PAG. (S)
CHAPTER             2     ─     THE         PEER-TO-PEER                 MESSAGE             AM O N G
IGNORAMUSES ─ 116 ─ 117 PAG. (S)
C H A P T E R 2 ─ C OM P L E X I T Y A N D T H E D E A T H O F S I M P L I C I T Y ─
117 ─ 118 PAG. (S)
CHAPTER 2 ─ TO BE OR NOT TO BE IN EXECUTION? ─ 118 — 119
PAG. (S)
CHAPTER 2 ─ THE INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY REVOLUTION
AND THE ABSENCE OF COHESIVE LANGUAGE? ─ 119 ─ 121 PAG.
(S)
53




CHAPTER 2 ─ BONAPARTE’S PROPHECIES ON HURRICANE
KATRINA’ AND GULF OF MEXICO’S ─ 132 ─ 134 PAG. (S)
CHAPTER         2     ─       STRATEGOS          I N S T I T UT E ’ S   FOUNDER        AND
L O N D O N B U S I N E S S S C H O O L ’ S P R O F E S S O R O N T H E F UT U R E ─
125 ─ 128 PAG. (S)
C H A P T E R 3 ─ R O C K E T S C I E N C E AB O U T A C T U A L DI S CI P L I N E D
S U C C E S S C A P T U R I N G ? ─ 1 2 8 ─ 1 3 1 P AG . ( S )
C H A P T E R 3 ─ I N T R O D U CT O R Y Q U O T A T I O N S – A N D W I T H
COMMENTARIES – BY ENLIGHTENED MINDS! ─131 ─ 163 PAG.
(S)
CHAPTER         3     ─       THE   F UT U R E     AND       THE        TECHNOLOGICAL
SINGULARITY AS PER RAY KURZWEIL, PH.D. ─ 165 ─ 167 PAG.
(S)
CHAPTER 3 ─ WHAT IS HAPPENING NOW? HOW MANY “NOWS”
ARE THERE? ARE THOSE “NOWS” STILL RELEVANT? ─ 163 ─ 173
PAG. (S)
C H A P T E R 3 ─ M E T H O D FI R S T , T E C H N O L O G Y S E C O N D ! ─ 1 7 3
PAG. (S)
CHAPTER          4        ─    DEEPENING             OUR        M U L T I DI M E N S I O N A L
APPROACH IN AND TO THIS BOOK! ─ 174 ─ 222 PAG. (S)
CHAPTER         5     ─       RELEVANT        COMMENTARIES                TO     CLARIFY
HI D E O U S        M I S U N D E R S T A N D I NG S        (UNDER          S YS T E M A T I C
COMMISSION) BY MAGNIFICENT PEOPLE ─ 222 ─ 251 PAG. (S)
C H A P T E R 5 ─ “ O N P R E D I C T I O N S ” ─ 2 5 1 ─ 2 5 2 P AG . ( S )
54




CHAPTER           6    ─   D E M Y S T I F YI N G    THE      “REAL       DEAL”          IN
PROFESSION,            TECHNOLOGY,             LEADERSHIP,          MANAGEMENT,
S T R A T E G Y , A N D B U S I N E S S , A S W E L L AS ─ O F F E R I N G T H E
CLEAREST BLUEPRINT! ─ 251 ─ 255 PAG. (S)
CHAPTER 6 ─ QUESTION: WHAT DO RALPH WALDO EMERSON,
JAMES        D.       WATSON,       T H O M AS       JEFFERSON,           THEODORE
ROOSEVELT,            WINSTON        CHURCHILL,          ARTHUR         C.   CLARKE,
BERNARD           D'ESPAGNAT,         A LB E R T     EINSTEIN,       CARL      S AG A N ,
M A L C O L M S . K N O W L E S , B E R T R A N D R US S E L L , F R A N C I S B A C O N ,
H E N R Y K I S S I N G E R , OT T O H E R M A N K H A N , B U R R H U S F R E D E R I C
S KI N N E R , A N D ─ 2 5 5 ─ 2 6 4 P A G . ( S )
CHAPTER 6 ─ CONCLUSION ─ 264 ─ 265 PAG. (S)
C H A P T E R 6 ─ Q U E S T I O N : A R E W E A D RI F T I N A S E A O F
CONFUSION? CAN THE UNDERSIGNED OFFER A REASONABLE
P A T HW A Y ? ─ 2 6 5 ─ 2 6 8 P A G . ( S )
CHAPTER 6 ─ GLOBAL SEISMIC SHIFTS BY DR. STEPHEN
COVEY, PHD!
CHAPTER 6 ─ THE TOP TRENDS FOR 2010 BY SAN FRANCISCO
FUTURIST DR. JAMES CANTON, PH.D. ─ 268 ─ 274 PAG. (S)
C H A P T E R 6 ─ F O U RT E E N F U T U R E T R E N D S F O R B US I N E S S I N
2 0 0 9 A N D B E Y O N D B Y T H O M A S F R E Y , S E N I O R F UT U R I S T A T
THE DAVINCI INSTITUTE
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Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3
Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3

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Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at http://linkd.in/9wp7bP & http://bit.ly/hbCcL5 & http://bit.ly/foZGYz & http://bit.ly/dAmsCS & http://bit.ly/dgNeS3

  • 1. 1 FUTURETRONIUM®, The Revolution II I! by Andres Agostini V er s i o n 3 0 0 . 0 ─ D e c e m b e r / 2 7 / 2 01 1 ( F o r t h c o m i n g v e r s i o n s , a s w e l l a s o th e r r e s o u r c e s , w i l l b e announced via www.twitter.com/Futuretronium ─Until indicated otherwise via www.twitter.com/Futuretronium , T h e F u t u r e t r o n i u m B o o k w i l l b e a n on g o i n g i n i t i a t i v e a n d p er i o d i c a l l y u p g r a d e d , r e f i n e d a n d ex t e n d e d . )
  • 2. 2 (This Proprietary Book may be reproduced for noncommercial purposes if it is copied in its entirety, i n c l u d i n g t h i s n o t i c e . Pl e a s e r e c a l l t h a t “ i f i t i s c o p i e d in its entirety, including this notice.”) # 1 F U T U R E T R O N I U M ® , A N D T H E A D M I N I S T R A T I O N AN D A P P L I C A T I O N O F T H E S C I E N T I F I C M E T HO D W I T H O U T I N N U EN D O S AN D I N C R E S C E N D O A S F L U I D P O I N T S O F INFLECTIONS ASCERTAIN T H AT THE MORROW IS A THING OF THE PAST. #2 FUTURETRONIUM®, SUBSEQUENTLY, THERE IS NOW AN D HERE AVAILABLE THE U N A BR I D G E D , AUTHORITATIVE ELICITATION AND ELUCIDATION OF ACTIONABLE K N O W L ED G E FROM AND FOR THE I N C E S S AN T L Y AR R H Y T H M I C , A B R U P T , A N T A G O N I S T I C , MORDANT, CAUSTIC, AN D ANARCHISTIC FUTURE, AS WELL AS THE C O N T EN T I O U S INTERRELATIONSHIP B E T W E E N S U C H F U T U R E AN D T H E P R E S EN T . #3 FUTURETRONIUM®, A RADICAL YET RIGOROUS STRONG-SENSE AND C R I T I C O - CR E A T I V E «FUTURES T H I N K I N G » , S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O Q U I N T E S S EN T I A L U N D ER S T A N D I N G O F T H E C O M P L E X I T I E S , S U B T L E T I E S ,
  • 3. 3 AN D I N T R I C A C I E S , A S W E L L A S T H E O P P O R T U N I T I E S T O BE EXPLOITED OUT OF THE DRIVING FORCES INSTILLING AND INFLICTING PERPETUAL CHANGE INTO TWENTIETH-ONE CENTURY . By ( c ) C o p y r i g h t 2 0 1 1 b y An d r e s A g o s t i n i — A l l R i g h t s R es e r v e d ― W h a t d o e s n ’ t g e t u n d e r s t o o d i n t h i s a g e b e c o m e s a ma j o r liability. To this end Henry Kissinger’s quotation is timely. E n s u i n g : “ A n i gn o r e d i s s u e i s a n i n v i t a t i on t o a p r o b l e m. ” [ 1 2 ] Forget what you know and just believe in what you see and sense. I t’ s t i m e f o r y o u t o e x p l o r e , c on c e iv e , d e v e l o p , d i s c o v e r a n d institute your own Futures — exploiting the UPSIDES and D OW N S I D E S o f t h e s u r r e p t i t i o u s l y c ov e r t a n d i g n o r e d o n e s — u n l e s s y ou w i l l m a k e y o u r s e l f e n s l a v e d b y c i r c u m s t a n c e s b e y o n d y o u r c o n t r o l , r e g a r d l e s s o f y o u r “ p o w e r s . ” K i n d l y p l e a s e , if y o u ’ d like, make your choices wisely and by you and for yourself! T h e u n d e r s i g n e d i s i n n o wa y a t t e m p t i n g t o b e e i t h e r a s e e r , o r a soothsayer, diviner, foreteller, or prophet, who can foretell the
  • 4. 4 future. In managing corporate and operational risks of many diverse natures, one needs not only to identify and recognize h a z a r d s b u t t o a n t i c i p a t e , v e r y e a r l y o n , f u t u r e a n d a dv a n c e d d i s r u p t i o n p o t e n t i a l , d o i n g s o i n t h e t r a d i t i o n o f r i g o r o u s f u tu r e s studies coupled with other disciplines. In the last analysis and v e r y s e r i o u s l y s t a t e d , t h e v ie w h e r e o f f e r s a l u c r a t iv e a n d a u se f u l learning and a practical tool that requires from practitioners much better p r e pa r e d n e s s before systemic volatility, universal uncertainty and ubiquitous change and ambiguity. T h e o b j e c t i v e i s t h e u n de r s t a n d i n g t h e c o m p l e x a n d s u b t l e n a t u r e and progression of many explosive driving forces that shape and r e - s h a p e t h e k n o w n a n d u n k n o w n w o r l d . F u tu r i s t s s p e a k , o u t o f b r i e f s y n t h e s i s , a b o u t t r e n d s a n d t e n d e n c ie s a n d p r o p e n s i t i e s o f s o m e o f s a i d d r i v i n g f o r c e s . T he s e d r i v i n g f o r c e s a re n o t o n l y m e g a , d i v e r s e d y n a m o s t h a t o u t p u t c h a n g e b u t a l s o c ha l l e n g e s , opportunities and benefits for those who are prepared and paying incessantly great detailed attention. T h e s e d r i v i n g f o rc e s , i n c i d e n t a l l y , e x p e l : ( 1) O p e n - e n d e d c h a n g e s , (2) Preemptive changes, and (3) “All-out war-waging” (that is, boundaryless) changes.
  • 5. 5 You manage risks to increase your benefits and opportunities and t o a u g m e n t t h e r e s i l i e n c y a n d a da p t a b i l i t y o f t h e s u s t a i n a b i l i t y o f said benefits and opportunities. In Transformative and Integrative R i s k M a n a g e m e n t ( be l o w ) , m a n a g i n g r i s k s ─ n o t t o b r i n g a b o u t i l lu s i o n s of meaning ─ are nothing else than the optimum management of the upsides and downsides embedded in the driving forces. Subsequently, the material in this book ranges over many disciplines, as well as the work of many outstanding scientists. F u r t h e r m o r e , p r e s e n t d r i v i n g f o r c e s ( sc i e n c e , t e c h n o l o g y , s o c i e t y , p o l i t i c s a n d e c o n o m y ) a r e c hu r n i n g i n s u r m o u n t a b l e a m o u n t s o f unprecedented change with increasing energy and scope. A c c o r d i n g l y , t h e p r e s e n t m a t e r i a l i s c o m m u n ic a t e d w i t h m a r k e d e m p h a s i s i n d e e d . E m p h a s i s w i l l b e r e i t e r a t e d . T he u n d e r s i g n e d does not and will not dare to oversimplify and/or underestimate the consequences and sequels of these gargantuan driving forces. TO O F F ER G R E AT E R INSIGHT QUICKLY, LET’ SEE A PRIMER ON TECHNOLOGICAL AND SCIENTIFIC KNOWLEDGE. ENSUING:
  • 6. 6 D r . M i c h i o Ka k u , P h . D . i n d i c a t e s : “ . . . . B y t h e e n d o f t h e t w e n t i e t h c e n t u r y , s c i e n c e h ad r e a c h e d t h e en d o f a n e r a , u n l o c k i n g t h e s e c r e t s o f t h e a t o m , u n r a v e l i n g t h e m o l ec u l e o f l i f e , an d c r e at i n g the e l ec t r o n i c c o m p u t er . With these three fundamental discoveries, t r i g g e r ed by the quantum revolution, the DNA r e v o l u t i on , a n d t h e c o m p u t e r r e v o lu t i on , t h e b a s i c l a w s o f m at t e r , li f e , a n d c o m p u t at i o n w e r e, i n t h e m a i n , f i n a l l y s o l v e d . . . . T h at epic phase of science is now drawing to a close; one era is ending a n d a n ot h e r i s o n l y b e g i n n i n g .... T h e n e x t e r a o f s c i en c e p r o m i s e s t o b e a n e v e n d e ep e r , m o r e t h or o u g h g o i n g , m or e p en e t r a t i n g o n e t h a n t h e l a s t .... C l e ar l y , w e a r e o n t h e t h r e s h o l d o f y e t an o t h e r r e v o l u t i o n . H U M A N K N O W L E D G E I S D O U B L I N G E V E R Y T E N Y E A R S [ A S P E R T H E 1 9 9 8 S T A N D A R DS ] . I n t h e p a s t d e c ad e , m o r e s c i en t i fi c k n o w l e d g e h a s b e e n c r e at e d t h a n i n a l l o f h u m an h i st o r y . C O M P U T E R P O W E R I S D O U B L I N G E V E R Y E I G H T E E N M O N T HS . T H E I NT E R N E T I S D O U B L I N G EVERY YEAR. THE NUMBER OF DNA SEQUENCES WE CAN ANALYZE IS DOUBLING EVERY TWO YEARS. Almost daily, the h e ad l i n e s h e r a l d n e w ad v a n c e s i n c o m pu t e r s , t e l ec o m m u n i c a t i o n s , b i o t ec h n o l o g y , and space e x p l o r a t i on . In the wake of this t e c h n o l o g i c a l u p h e a v a l , en t i r e i n d u st r i e s an d li f e s t y l e s a r e b e i n g o v e r t u r n e d , on l y t o g i v e r i s e t o e n t i r el y n e w o n e s . B u t t h e s e r ap i d , b e w i l d e r i n g c h a n g e s a r e n o t j u s t q u an t i t a t i v e . T h e y m a r k t h e b i r t h p an g s o f a n e w er a . . . . F R O M N O W T O T H E Y E A R 2 0 2 0 ,
  • 7. 7 S C I E N T I S T S F O R E S E E A N E X P L O S I O N I N S C I E N T I FI C AC T I V I T Y SUCH AS THE WORLD HAS NEVER SEEN BEFORE. IN TWO KEY TECHNOLOGIES, COMPUTER POWER AND THE DNA S E Q U E N C I N G , W E W I L L S E E E N T I R E I ND U S T R I E S R I S E A N D FALL ON THE BASIS OF B R E A T HT A K I N G S CI E N T I F I C ADVANCES. SINCE THE 1950S, THE POWER OF OUR C O M P U T E R S H A S A D V A N C E D B Y A FA C T O R O F R O U G H L Y T E N B I L L I O N . I N F A C T , B E C A U S E B OT H C O M P U T E R P O W E R A N D DNA SEQUENCING DOUBLE ROUGHLY EVERY TWO YEARS, ONE CAN COMPUTE THE ROUGH TIME FRAME OVER WHICH MANY SCIENTIFIC BREAKTHROUGHS WILL TAKE PLACE .... BY 2020, MICROPROCESSORS WILL LIKELY BE AS A CHEAP AND PLENTIFUL AS SCRAP PAPER, SCATTERED BY THE MILLIONS I NT O E N V I R O N M E N T , A L L O W I N G US T O P L A C E I NT E L L I G E N T S YS T E M S E V E R Y W H E R E . T H I S W I L L C H A N G E E V E R Y T H I N G AROUND US, INCLUDING THE NATURE OF COMMERCE, THE WEALTH OF NATIONS, AND THE WAY WE COMMUNICATE, WORK, PLAY, AND LIVE.” [171] President John F. Kennedy’s speech on September 12, 1962 at Race U n i v e r s i t y : “ D e s p i t e t h e s t r i k i n g f ac t t h a t m o s t o f t h e s c i e n t i s t s that the world has ever known are alive and working today, d e s p i t e t h e f ac t t h a t t h i s N a t i o n ’ s o wn s c i en t i f i c m a n p o w e r i s d o u b l i n g e v er y 1 2 y e a r s i n a r a t e o f gr o w t h m o r e t h an t h r e e t i m e s
  • 8. 8 t h a t o f ou r p o p u l a t i o n a s a w h o l e , d e s p i t e t h at , t h e v a s t st r e t c h e s o f t h e u n k n o w n a n d t h e u n an s w e r e d a n d t h e u n f i n i s h e d s t i ll f ar ou t s t r i p o u r c ol l e c t i v e c o m pr e h e n s i o n . ” [ 8 0 ] T o f u r t h e r s e t t h e s t a g e f o r t h i s m a t e r i a l , t h e t e x t b o o k “ E i n st e i n i n t h e B o ar d r o o m ” b y S u za n n e S . H a r r i s o n a n d P a t r i c k H . S u l l iv a n S r . may offer some lucid ideas on the “current” state of affairs when t h e y c la i m : “ Hu m a n s h a v e b e en ad d i n g t o t h ei r t o t a l k n o w l e d g e st e a d i l y o v e r the c en t u r i e s , and the amount of knowledge we create is mu l t i p l y i n g a t a n i n c r ed i b l e r a t e . B e g i n n i n g w i t h t h e a m o u n t o f k n o w l e d g e i n t h e k n o w n w o r ld at t h e t i m e o f C h r i s t , s t u d i e s h a v e e s t i m a t e d t h a t t h e f i r s t d ou b l i n g o f t h a t k n o w l ed g e t o o k p l ac e ab o u t 1 7 0 0 A . D . T h e s e c on d d ou b li n g o c c u r r e d a r ou n d t h e y e a r 1900. It is estimated today that the world's knowledge base will d o u b l e a g a i n b y 2 0 1 0 a n d a g a i n a ft e r t h a t b y 2 0 1 3 . ” [ 3 7 ] A r e w e r e a l i z i n g t h a t e v e r y t h i n g w e d o c r e a t e k n o w l e dg e , r eg a r d l e s s o f h o w w e u s e i t o r n o t ? H.G. Wells (Herbert George Wells ─ 21 September 1866 -1946): “An i m m en s e an d e v er - i n c r e a s i n g wealth of knowledge is s c at t e r ed ab o u t t h e w or l d t o d a y ; k n o w l e d g e t h a t w ou l d pr o b ab l y
  • 9. 9 s u f f i c e t o s o l v e a l l t h e mi g h t y d i f f i c u lt i e s o f o u r a g e b u t i t i s dispersed and u n or g a n i z ed . We n e ed a sort of mental c l e a r i n g h o u s e f o r t h e m i n d : a d e p o t wh e r e k n o w l e d g e a n d i d e a s a r e r ec e i v e d , s o r t e d , s u m m a r i z e d , c l a r i f i e d a n d c o m p a r ed . ” [ 1 8 8 ] T h e r e a r e m a n y s e r i o u s pu b l i c a t i o n s , f r o m 2 0 0 3 t o t h i s d a t e , s p e a k i n g o f t h e e n t i r e t y o f s c i e n t i f i c kn o w l e d g e d o u b l i n g e v e r y f i v e (5) years and sooner. How, then, can one undertake such a g a r g a n t u a n c ha l l e n g e , t h r o u g h t h e “ S o c i e t y o f K n o w l e d g e ” ( t h a t also embraces the “infotech economy”), unless it is through the s t e w a r d s h i p o f t h e m o s t r i g o r o u s a n d a d v a n c e d s c i e n t if i c m e t h o d ? [129] Hu m a n k n o w l e d g e c a p ab i l i t y wi l l c o n t i n u e t o d o u b l e e v e r y y e a r . “ Hu m a n knowledge c a p ab i l i t y ” is the quantity of available k n o w l e d g e m u l t i p l i ed b y t h e p o w e r o f t e c h n o l o g y t o pr o c e s s t h a t knowledge. This capability will increase by two to the power of 1 0 0 , t h e e q u i v a l e n t o f a t h o u s a n d b i l li o n b i ll i o n , i n t h e t w en t y - first century. — James Martin, “The 17 Great Challenges of the T we n t y - F i r s t Century,” Jan-Feb 2007, p. 24 [ T he Fu t u r i s t Magazine’s Top-10 Forecast for 2010] I s t h e r e a n y t e c h n o l o g i c a l b r e a k t h r o u g h i s g r e en e n er g y ?
  • 10. 10 Dr. Ray Kurzweil Ph.D.: “[THERE IS A] DOUBLING EVERY TWO Y E A R S [ R E G A R D I N G T H E T E C H N O L O G I C A L AD V A N C E M E N T O F ] SOLAR ENERGY BY APPLYING NANOTECHNOLOGY TO SOLAR PANELS.” [177] Is genetics and genomic making landmark progression to solve complicated challenges? Dr. Ray Kurzweil Ph.D.: “...NANO-GENETIC SEQUENCING DATA … IS DOUBLING EVERY YEAR.” [177] What has become of novel k n o w l e dg e content manufacturing as of now? D r . R a y K u r z w e i l P h . D . : “ K N O W L E D G E I S D O UB L I N G B Y E V E R Y FOURTEEN MONTHS.” [177] I s M o o r e' s L a w b e g i n n i n g t o r u n o u t o f s t e a m ? Dr. Ray Kurzweil Ph.D.: “MORE THAN THE DOUBLING OF COMPUTATIONAL POWER [IS TAKING PLACE] EVERY YEAR.” [177]
  • 11. 11 Subsequently, given the immense level of complexity progression and density, there is one axiom we will need to live by (that is, if we wish to be successful in prevailing) that indicates: “The s i g n i f i c a n t p r o b l e m s w e f ac e c an n o t b e s o l v e d at t h e s a m e l e v e l o f t h i n k i n g w e w e r e at w h e n w e c r e a t e d t h e m. ” ( B y A l b e r t E i n s t e i n ) [153] C h i n a m u l l s $ 1 . 5 t r i l l i o n s t r a t e g i c i n du s t r i e s b o o s t ? Ho w far can China go to pervasively cutting-edge science and technology while the West, seemingly and allegedly, does n o t g e t i t s a c t t o g et h e r ? W h a t d o e s a p r o m i n en t n e w s agency have to report on it? R e u t e r s ( D e c 0 3 , 2 0 1 0 ) : “ C h i n a i s c on s i d er i n g i n v e s t m e n t s o f u p t o $ 1 . 5 t r i l l i on o v e r f i v e y e a r s i n s e v e n s t r a t e g i c i n d u st r i e s , sources said, a plan aimed at a c c e l e r at i n g the country's t r a n s i t i o n f r o m t h e w or l d ' s su p p l i er o f c h e a p g o o d s t o a l e ad i n g purveyor of high-value technologies .... An a l y s t s e x p r e s s e d s k e p t i c i s m at t h e s h e e r a m ou n t o f m o n e y ─ i t eq u a t e s t o a b o u t 5 p er c en t o f C h i n a ' s g r o s s d o m e s t i c pr o d u c t o n a n a n n u a l b a s i s ─ b u t s a i d t h a t t h e e y e - p o p p i n g h e a d l i n e fi g u r e w a s an i n d i c at i o n o f t h e g o v e r n m en t ' s d et e r m i n a t i on t o c a t a l y z e a s t r u c t u r a l s h i ft i n t h e ec o n o m y .... T H E T AR G E T E D S E C T O R S I N C L U D E A L T ER N A T I V E ENERGY, B I O T E C H N O LO G Y , NEW-
  • 12. 12 G E N E R A T IO N INFORMATION T E C H N O LO G Y , HIGH-END EQUIPMENT MANUFACTURING, ADVANCED MATERIALS, A L T ER N A T I V E - F U E L CARS AND ENERGY-SAVING AND E N V IR O N M E N T A L L Y FRIENDLY T E C H N O LO G I E S .... B e i j i n g h a s s a i d b e f o r e t h at i t w a n t s t o p r o m o t e t h e s e c t o r s , a p o l i c y t h at i t h o p e s w i l l m a k e t h e c ou n t r y l e s s d e p en d e n t o n l o w - en d , d i r t y m a n u f a c t u r i n g . T h e v a l u e - ad d ed o u t p u t o f t h e s e v e n s t r a t e g i c i n d u st r i e s t o g e t h er ac c o u n t f or a b ou t 2 p er c en t o f G D P n o w. T h e g o v e r n m e n t h a s s a i d i t w a n t s t h e m t o g en e r a t e 8 p er c en t o f G D P i n 2 0 1 5 a n d 1 5 p e r c e n t b y 2 0 2 0. ” [ 1 7 6 ] N . B . : W h e n c o n c e r n ed a b o u t c a r e e r c h o i c e s a n d j o b s m a r k e t , a s well as selecting professional and investment choices, do k e ep i n m i n d : “ . . . . T H E T A R G E T ED S E C T O R S I N C L U D E A L T ER N A T I V E ENERGY, B I O T E C H N O LO G Y , NEW- G E N E R A T IO N INFORMATION T E C H N O LO G Y , HIGH-END EQUIPMENT MANUFACTURING, ADVANCED MATERIALS, A L T ER N A T I V E - F U E L CARS AND ENERGY-SAVING AND E N V IR O N M E N T A L L Y F R I E N D L Y T E C H N O LO G I E S . . . . ” H o w d o e s F u t u r e t r o n i u m a r g u e a b o u t t h e l i n k a g e b e t w e en o u r t h o u g h t s , t h e M u l t i v e r s e a n d t h e f o rt h c o m i n g a d v e n t o f the Singularity?
  • 13. 13 “ B a r t S i m p s o n : ‘ D a d , W h at i s t h e m i n d ? I s i t j u s t a s y s t e m o f i mp u l s e s o r s o m e t h i n g t a n g i b l e ? [ T h i n k i n g b e t t er m y q u e s t i o n , D ad , I s t h e mi n d a p r oj e c t i o n o f C o m pu t r o n i u m i n st i l l ed i n t o ou r b r a i n ? I f s o , W i l l m y m i n d s u p er s e d e a b o v e a n d b e y o n d b y t h e S t r on g Artificial Intelligence devices e m b ed d ed in the t r a n s b i o l o g i c a l s ’ a n d r o b ot s ’ o w n q u a n t u m C P U s ? ] ’ … ” [ 1 8 7 ] Zillion impossible science facts turned into rampant realities? D r . M i c h i o Ka k u , P h . D . p o i n t s o u t : “ A s a p h y s i c i s t , I h a v e l e a r n e d that the ‘impossible’ is often a relative term .... IN MY OWN SHORT LIFETIME I HAVE SEEN THE SEEMINGLY IMPOSSIBLE BECOME ESTABLISHED SCIENTIFIC FACT OVER AND OVER A G A I N . S o i s i t i m p o s s i b l e t o t h i n k w e m i gh t o n e d a y b e a b l e t o teleport ourselves from one place to another, or build a spaceship t h a t wi l l o n e d a y t a k e u s l i g h t - y e a r s t o t h e s t a r s ? . . . . I f w e w er e to somehow en c ou n t er a c i v i l i z at i o n a mi l l i o n years more ad v a n c e d t h an o u r s , w o u ld t h e i r e v e r y d a y t e c h n o l o g y a p p e a r t o be ‘magic’ to us? .... J u s t b ec a u s e s o m e t h i n g i s ‘ i m p o s s i b l e ’ t od a y , w i l l i t r e m a i n i m p o s s i b l e c e n t u r i e s o r mi l l i o n s o f y e a r s into the future? .... Given the remarkable advances in science in t h e p a s t c e n t u r y , e s p ec i a l l y t h e c r e a t i o n o f t h e q u a n t u m t h e or y a n d g e n er a l r el a t i v i t y , i t i s n o w p o s s i b l e t o g i v e r o u g h e st i m a t e s
  • 14. 14 o f w h en , i f e v e r , s o m e o f t h e s e f a n t a s t i c t e c h n o l o g i e s m a y b e r e a l i z e d . W i t h t h e c o m i n g o f e v e n m o r e ad v a n c ed t h e o r i e s , su c h a s s t r i n g t h e o r y , e v e n c o n c e p t s b o r d e r i n g o n s c i en c e f i c t i on , s u c h a s time travel and parallel u n i v er s e s , are now b ec o m i n g re- e v a l u at e d by physicists. Think back 150 years to those technological advances that were d ec l a r ed ‘impossible’ by s c i e n t i s t s a t t h e t i m e a n d t h a t h a v e n o w b ec o m e p a r t o f o u r e v e r y d a y l i v e s . J u l e s V e r n e wr o t e a n o v e l i n 1 8 6 3 , P a r i s i n t h e T w e n t i e t h C e n t u r y , w h i c h w a s l o c k ed a w a y a n d f o r g o t t en f o r o v e r a c e n t u r y u n t i l i t w a s a c c i d e n t a l l y d i sc o v e r e d b y h i s g r e at - g r an d s o n an d p u b l i s h e d f o r t h e f i r s t t i m e i n 1 9 9 4 . I n i t V e r n e p r e d i c t ed w h at P a r i s m i g h t l o o k l i k e i n t h e y e a r 1 9 6 0 . H i s n o v e l w a s f i l l e d w i t h t ec h n o l o g y t h a t w a s c l e a r l y c o n s i d e r ed i m p o s s i b l e i n t h e n i n et e e n t h c e n t u r y , i n c l u d i n g f a x m a c h i n e s , a w o r ld - wi d e communications n et w o r k , glass skyscrapers, g a s - p o w er e d au t o m o b i l e s , a n d h i g h - s p e e d e l e v a t e d t r a i n s … N o t su r p r i s i n g l y , V e r n e c ou l d m a k e s u c h s t u n n i n g l y a c c u r a t e pr e d i c t i o n s b ec a u s e h e w a s i m m e r s e d i n t h e w o r ld o f s c i en c e, pi c k i n g t h e b r a i n s o f s c i e n t i s t s ar o u n d h i m . A d e ep a p pr e c i a t i o n f o r t h e f u n d a m e n t a l s o f s c i e n c e a l l o w e d h i m t o m a k e s u c h s t a r t l i n g p r ed i c t i o n s .... IRONICALLY, THE SERIOUS STUDY OF THE IMPOSSIBLE HAS FREQUENTLY OPENED UP RICH AND ENTIRELY UNEXPECTED D O M A I N S O F S C I E N C E . F or e x a m p l e , o v e r t h e c e n t u r i e s t h e f r u s t r a t i n g a n d f u t i l e s e a r c h f o r a ‘ p e r p e t u a l m o t i o n m a c h i n e ’ l ed
  • 15. 15 physicists to conclude that such a machine was impossible, f o r c i n g t h e m t o p o s t u l a t e t h e c on s e r v a t i o n o f e n er g y an d t h e t h r e e l a w s o f t h e r m o d y n a mi c s . T h u s t h e fu t i l e s e a r c h t o b u i l d p er p e t u a l m o t i o n m a c h i n e s h e l p e d t o o p e n u p t h e e n t i r el y n e w f i e ld o f t h e r m od y n a m i c s , w h i c h i n p ar t l a i d t h e f o u n d a t i o n o f t h e s t e a m en g i n e , t h e m a c h i n e a g e , an d m o d e r n i n d u s t r i a l s o c i et y .... We i gn o r e t h e i mp o s s i b l e at ou r p e r i l . I n t h e 1 9 2 0 s a n d 1 9 3 0 s R o b er t G o d d a r d , t h e f o u n d e r o f m o d e r n r oc k e t r y , w a s t h e su b j ec t o f i n t en s e c r i t i c i s m b y t h o s e w h o t h ou g h t t h a t r oc k e t s c o u ld n e v e r t r a v e l i n o u t e r s p a c e . T h e y s a r c a s t i c a l l y c a l l ed h i s pu r s u i t G o d d a r d ’ s F o l l y . I n 1 9 2 1 t h e e d i t o r s o f t h e N e w Y o r k T i m e s r a i l ed a g a i n st D r . G od d a r d ’ s w o r k : ‘ P r o f e s s o r G o d d a r d d o e s n ot k n o w t h e r e l a t i o n b et w e e n ac t i on a n d r e ac t i on a n d t h e n e ed t o h a v e s o m e t h i n g b et t e r t h a n a v a c u u m a g a i n s t w h i c h t o r e a c t . H e s e e m s t o l a c k t h e b a s i c k n o w l e d g e l ad l e d o u t d a i l y i n h i g h s c h o o l s . ’ R o c k et s w e r e i m p o s s i b l e , t h e ed i t or s h u f f ed , b e c au s e t h er e w a s n o a i r t o p u s h a g a i n s t i n ou t er s p a c e. S a d l y , o n e h e a d o f s t a t e d i d u n d e r s t a n d t h e i m p l i c at i o n s o f G od d ar d ’ s ‘ i m p o s s i b l e ’ r oc k e t s ─ A d o l p h Hi t l e r . D u r i n g W or l d W a r I I , G er m a n y ’ s b ar r a g e o f i mp o s s i b l y a d v a n c e d V - 2 r oc k e t s r a i n e d d e at h a n d d e s t r u c t i o n o n L o n d on , a l m o s t b r i n g i n g i t t o i t s k n e e s .... Time and again we s e e t h at t h e s t u d y o f t h e i mp o s s i b l e h a s o p e n ed u p e n t i r e l y n e w v i s t a s , p u s h i n g t h e b ou n d a r i e s o f ph y s i c s an d c h e m i s t r y a n d f o r c i n g s c i en t i st s t o r ed e f i n e w h a t t h e y m e a n b y ‘ i m p o s s i b l e . ’ A s
  • 16. 16 S i r W i l l i a m O s l e r o n c e s a i d , ‘ T H E P H I L O S O P H I E S O F O N E AG E HAVE BECOME THE ABSURDITIES OF THE NEXT, AND THE FOOLISHNESS OF YESTERDAY HAS BECOME THE WISDOM OF T OM O R R O W . ’ .... M a n y ph y s i c i s t s s u b s c r i b e t o t h e f a m o u s d i c t u m o f T . H . W h i t e , w h o wr o t e i n T h e O n c e a n d F u t u r e K i n g , ‘ A n y t h i n g t h a t i s n ot f o r b i d d e n , i s m a n d a t o r y ! ’ I n p h y s i c s w e fi n d evidence of this all the time .... For example, cosmologist S t e p h en H a w k i n g t r i e d t o pr o v e t h a t t i m e t r a v e l w a s i m p o s s i b l e b y f i n d i n g a n e w l a w o f p h y s i c s t h at w o u ld f o r b i d i t , w h i c h h e c a l l e d t h e ‘c h r o n o l o g y p r o t ec t i on c o n j ec t u r e. ’ U n f or t u n a t e l y , a f t er m a n y y e a r s o f h a r d w or k h e w a s u n ab l e t o p r o v e t h i s p r i n c i p l e . I n f ac t , t o t h e c o n t r a r y , p h y s i c i s t s h a v e n o w d e m o n s t r a t ed t h a t a law t h at prevents time travel is beyond our pr e s e n t - d a y mathematics. T od a y , b ec a u s e t h er e is no law of physics p r e v e n t i n g t h e e x i s t en c e o f t i m e m a c h i n e s , p h y s i c i s t s h a v e h a d t o t ak e t h e i r p o s s i b i l i t y v e r y s e r i o u s l y . . . . A l r e ad y o n e ‘ i m p o s s i b l e ’ technology is now proving to be possible: the notion of t e l e p o r t at i o n ( at l e a s t at t h e l e v e l o f a t o m s ) . E v e n a f e w y e a r s a g o p h y s i c i s t s w o u l d h a v e s a i d t h at s e n d i n g o r b e a m i n g a n o b j e c t f r o m o n e p o i n t t o a n o t h e r v i o l a t ed t h e l a w s o f q u an t u m p h y s i c s . T h e w r i t er s o f t h e o r i g i n a l S t a r T r e k t e l e v i s i o n s e r i e s , i n f a c t , w er e s o s t u n g b y t h e c r i t i c i s m f r o m p h y s i c i s t s t h at t h e y a d d ed ‘ H e i s e n b e r g c o m p e n s a t o r s ’ t o e x p l a i n t el e p o r t er s i n o r d er t o ad d r e s s t h i s f l a w . T o d a y , b e c a u s e o f a r e c en t b r e a k t h r ou g h ,
  • 17. 17 p h y s i c i s t s c a n t el e p o r t a t o m s ac r o s s a r o o m or ph o t o n s u n d er t h e D an u b e R i v er . ” [ 1 7 4 ] T o r e a d m o r e o n t h i s c i t a t i o n , g o t o A m a z o n at http://amzn.to/dHGkOW F r u i t f u l l y p l a n t i n g i n w h i c h t e n s e? “ T h e h e r i t a g e o f t h e p a s t i s t h e s e ed t h a t b r i n g s f o r t h t h e h a r v e s t o f t h e f u t u r e . ” ─ I n s c r i p t i o n f r o m s t a t u a r y pe d e s t a l a t N a t i o n a l Archives in Washington Many forces are not predictable but some others are predictable based on omniscience! Y o g i B e r r a : “ P r ed i c t i on i s v e r y h ar d , e s p e c i a l l y w h en i t ' s ab o u t the future.” [171] W h o c r e a t e s t h e fu t u r e a n d w h o d o e s n ’ t ? M i c h a e l A n i s s i m o v : “ O n e o f t h e b i g g e s t fl a w s i n t h e c o m m on c o n c ep t i on o f t h e f u t u r e i s t h at t h e f u t u r e i s s o m e t h i n g t h a t h a p p en s t o u s, n ot s o m e t h i n g w e c r e a t e . ” [ 1 4 2 ] What are the ruthless drivers?
  • 18. 18 Ha r o l d V a r m u s , N I H D i r e c t o r : “T h e r e a r e t h r e e g r e a t t h e m e s i n s c i e n c e i n t h e t w en t i et h c e n t u r y ─ t h e at o m , t h e c o m pu t e r , a n d t h e g e n e. ” [ 1 7 1 ] I n t e r a c t i n g w i t h t h e fu t u r e? R a i n e r M a r i a R i l k e : “ T h e fu t u r e e n t e r s i n t o u s i n o r d er t o t r a n s f o r m i t s e l f i n u s l o n g b e f or e i t h a p p en s . ” [ 1 4 2] I can offer this perspective as of now (the wonderful continuum) a n d u n d e r m y h u m a n a n d h u m a n e pe r s p e c t i v e . I d o l i k e a g r e a t d e a l s c i e n c e a n d t e c h n o l o g y , b u t o n l y t o t h e t r u e s t s e r v ic e o f t h e g l o b a l c i v i l i za t i o n . G i v e n t h e u b i q u i t o u s d y n a m i c s s h i f t i n g t h r o u g h tsunamis, these days I find the term “continuum” beyond i n e f f e c t u a l a n d m o s t l y lu d i c r o u s . N o n e t h e l e s s , i f y o u w a n t t o “ r e a l i t y - c h e c k ” t h e s e r e f le c t i o n s , y o u will be able, soonest, to have every detailed explanation by, say, an o m n i s c i e n t r o b o t h o v e r i n g “ m i d a i r ” i f y o u i n d e f in i t e l y p o s t p o n e y o u r h o m e w o r k a n d f a i l t o d o y o u r o w n in d e p e n d e n t r e s e a r c h , d o n e for and by you (as of now). What to consider about gauging the future?
  • 19. 19 W i r e d ( 1 9 9 4 ) : “ T h e f u t u r e b e l on g s t o n ei t h er t h e c on d u i t o r c o n t en t p l a y e r s , b u t t h o s e w h o c on t r o l t h e f i lt e r i n g , s e a r c h i n g a n d s e n s e - m a k i n g t o o l s w e w i l l r e l y o n t o n a v i g a t e t h r ou g h t h e e x p a n s i on o f c yb e r s p a c e . ” [ 1 4 5 ] Horses, dogs and robotic dominance of all? S a m u e l B u t l e r ( 1 8 6 3 l e t t e r ) : “W h o wi l l b e m a n ’ s s u c c e s s o r ? T o which the answer is: We ar e ourselves creating our own s u c c e s s o r s . M an w i l l b e c o m e t o t h e m a c h i n e wh a t t h e h o r s e an d t h e d o g a r e t o m a n ; t h e c on c lu s i o n b ei n g t h at m ac h i n e s a r e, or a r e b ec o m i n g , a n i m a t e. ” [ 1 4 2] G o t o a n y “ s n a i l p a c e d ” n e w s p a p e r s ( on l i n e o r o l d - f a s h i o n e d “ o f f l i n e ” ) i n a d e v e l o p i n g c o u n t r y a n d t h i s y o u ’ l l f in d w i t h i n t h e daily headlines: Fiction immensely superseded — through many orders of magnitudes (that is, by hyper-geometrical exponential rates) — by realities, that is: the most incontrovertible and yet the most dramatic realities. People kind of see a part of the waves, but are famously infamously u n a wa r e t h a t m o s t p e r v a s i v e c u r r e n t s u n d e r n e a t h a re t h e t r u e d y n a m o s o f t h e s e s w i r l i n g c ha n g e d c h a n g e s .
  • 20. 20 Brainy ones hyper-accelerating industries and beyond? J u a n E n r i q u e z : “ M e an w h i l e , l on e i n d i v i d u a l s a r e b i r t h i n g n o t j u st c o m p a n i e s b u t e n t i r e i n d u s t r i e s t h a t r ap i d l y b e c o m e b i g g e r t h a n t h e e c o n o m i e s o f m o s t c ou n t r i e s . B u t u n li k e gr o w t h i n d u st r i e s o f t h e p a s t … c ar s an d a e r o s p a c e , f o r e x a m p l e … t h e i n d u s t r i e s t h at w i l l d o m i n at e ou r f u t u r e d e p e n d o n j u st a f e w s m a r t m i n d s … N o t a l o t o f m an p o w e r … S o d u r i n g a p e r i o d o f pr o s p e r i t y a n d ec o n o m i c gr o w t h … Wealth is ever more mobile and c o n c en t r a t e d . ” [ 1 6 3 ] What is the current rate of change? What is the as-of-now r a t e o f t e c h n o l o g i c a l a n d s c i e n t i f i c k n o w l e d g e do u b l i n g ? Mark Miller, computer scientist: “You know, things are going to b e r e a l l y d i f f er e n t … N o , n o , I m e a n r e a l l y d i f f e r en t . ” [ 1 4 2 ] What are we morphing into? S i r A r t h u r C . C la r k e : “ I t ’ s a l s o a t ou r d e f o r c e o f p h ot o g r a p h y : t h e i m a g e s r e v e a l a wh o l e n e w or d e r o f c r e a t i on a b o u t t o c o m e i n t o e x i s t en c e. N o o n e w h o h a s an y i n t e r e s t i n t h e fu t u r e c a n a f f o r d it.” [164]
  • 21. 21 The outcomes stemming of the intermixing of the exuberant technologies? J u a n E n r i q u e z : “ Y ou a n d y o u r c h i l d r e n ar e a b o u t t o f a c e a s e r i e s o f u n p r ec e d en t ed m o r a l , et h i c a l , e c on o m i c , a n d f i n an c i a l i s s u e s . T h e c h oi c e s y o u m a k e [ a s w e l l a s t h o s e y o u ’ r e f ai l i n g t o m a k e b e c au s e o f l a c k o f d e t a i l e d , a d v a n c ed a n d d e e p a w a r e n e s s ] wi l l i mp a c t w h er e y o u l i v e , w h at y o u e a r n , w h a t y o u r g r an d c h i ld r en w i l l l o o k l i k e, h o w l on g y o u l i v e . I t a l l s t a r t s b e c au s e w e a r e m i xi n g a p p l e s , or a n g e s , a n d f l o p p y d i s k s . ” [ 1 6 3 ] W ha t i s i t m e a n t b y “ F u t u r e ” ? W h e n s p e a k in g a b o u t “ F UT U R E ” a s t h e u n d e r s i g n e d i s s p e a k in g a b o u t c ha n g e , t h e r e i s i n c lu d e d positive change and negative change (as well as the grave tradeoffs b e t w e e n [ a ] p o s i t i v e c h a n g e a n d [ b] n e g a t i v e c ha n g e ) . H o w e v e r , t h e e m p h a s i s i s t o u n d e r p i n t h e u p s i d e c h a n g e s a n d t o c r i p p le t h e downside changes. The undersigned will also be reflecting about some of the c o n s e q u e n c e s a n d p o s s i b i l i t i e s b y s a i d c ha n g e s a n d t r a d e o f f s . F r o m p e r e n n i a l l y u p g r a d e d k n o w l e dg e i n t o d e c i s i v e , r u l i n g empires?
  • 22. 22 J u a n E n r i q u e z : “ T h e k n o w l e d g e r e v o lu t i on i s t a k i n g p l ac e i n s m a l l , s h a r p l y d e f i n e d a r e a s . O n e c o m p a n y g e n e r at e s m o r e U . S . p at e n t s t h a n 1 3 9 c ou n t r i e s d o t o g e t h e r … T h i s [ r e v o lu t i on ] g e n er a t e s n e w E M P I R E S a n d n e w g h e t t o s .... It slams into existing systems and destroys them while creating new systems. C ou n t r i e s a n d i n d i v i d u a l s c an e i t h e r s u r f n e w a n d p o w e r f u l w a v e s o f c h an g e ─ o r t r y t o s t o p t h e m an d g et c r u s h ed . ” [ 1 6 3 ] S h o c k i n g t i m e s e q u a t e t o s h o c k i n g fu t u r es ? J o s e O r t e g a y G a s s e t : “ L i f e i s a s e r i e s o f c o l l i s i on s w i t h t h e fu t u r e ; i t i s n o t t h e s u m o f w h a t w e h a v e b e e n , b u t w h at w e y e a r n t o b e . ” [149] Why everything changes, beginning with change itself? N i c o l a T e s l a , 1 8 9 6 , I n v e n t o r o f A l t e r n a t i v e C u r r e n t : “ I d o n ot t h i n k t h e r e i s a n y t h r i l l t h at c a n g o t h r ou g h t h e h u m a n h e a r t li k e t h at f e l t b y t h e i n v e n t o r a s h e s e e s s o m e c r e at i o n o f t h e b r ai n unfolding to success.” [142] Which one is the future of computing and science?
  • 23. 23 D r . R a y K u r z w e i l P h . D . : “ . . . [ I N T H E N E A R F UT U R E ] C O M P U T E R S [WILL BE] DOING HARD SCIENCE.” [177] Is the new paradigm changing to so many paradigms simultaneously r es u l t i n g impossible to figure out any paradigm correctly? Juan Enriquez: “ M an y people, even some of the h e ad s of m e g a c or p o r a t i on s , f e e l t h a t t h e w o r l d i s m o v i n g t o o f a s t a s companies, even industries, disappear.” [163] W h a t a r e t h e b r a i n ’ s p r i o r i t i e s b e y on d s e i z i n g l i f e - s u p p o r t capabilities for its own sustainability? Michael Polanyi: “The mind is attracted by b e au t i fu l [and ad v a n c e d ] p r o b l e m s , p r o m i s i n g b e a u t i f u l [ a n d u s e fu l s o l u t i o n s ] . ” [160] What has become of fate and d es t i n y in times that neuroscience researchers are coming out with some PRELIMINARY outcomes that seem to suggest: “The p r e s en t i s a f u n c t i o n o f t h e f u t u r e ” ?
  • 24. 24 R o b e r t T h e o b a l d : “ O u r f u t u r e i s d e t er m i n ed b y t h e a c t i o n s o f a l l o f u s a l i v e t od a y . O u r c h o i c e s d et e r m i n e o u r d e s t i n y . ” [ 1 6 0 ] Which destiny is that? W i l l i a m J e n n i n g s B r y a n : “ D e s t i n y i s n o t a m at t e r o f c h an c e ─ i t i s a m a t t e r o f c h o i c e . I t i s n o t a t h i n g t o b e w a i t ed f o r ─ i t i s a t h i n g t o be achieved.” [174] W h a t a r e t h e c o s m o l o g i c a l t r a i t s o f t h i s o v e r - f r a g m e n t ed “society”? Certainly! D a v i d B r i n : “ W h a t d i st i n g u i s h e s s o c i e t y t o d a y i s n o t o n l y t h e p a c e o f e v e n t s , b u t a l s o t h e n at u r e o f t h e t o o l k i t f o r f a c i n g t h e fu t u r e . ” [160] What are the origins of future? “Do not presume that past success i n d i c at e s future i mp r e g n ab i l i t y . ” [ 1 5 4] There is here a point of view about change (as change is partly explored here):
  • 25. 25 A d a m G o r d o n : “ W e h a v e s e e n e y e - p o p p i n g d e v e l o p m e n t s ac r o s s s o c i e t y , t ec h n o l o g y , i n s t i t u t i on s , a n d p r od u c t s an d s e r v i c e s i n t h e l a s t g en e r a t i o n ; t h i s wi l l s u r e l y c o n t i n u e i n t o t h e fu t u r e . . . . i f w e d e c i d e t o d a y t o l au n c h a pr o d u c t , b u y a h ou s e , s t u d y f o r a d e g r e e , b u i l d a n e w l i gh t r ai l s y s t e m , o r t a k e a n y s i m i l a r d e c i s i on o f s i g n i f i c a n c e, t h e e n v i r o n m e n t o f t o m o r r o w wi l l b e a k e y f a c t o r i n t h e s u c c e s s o r f a i l u r e o f t h a t d e c i s i on . . . . O u r d ec i s i o n s a r e o n l y a s g o o d a s t h e v i e w o f t h e f u t u r e t h e y r e s t on [ p r o f ou n d understanding of all of the driving forces shaping and re-shaping t h e en v i r o n m en t ] . A l l o p p or t u n i t i e s a n d s u c c e s s e s an d pr o f i t s ar e r e a l i z e d i n t h e f u t u r e . A l l t h r e at s , f a i l u r e s , a n d l o s s e s a r e r e a l i z ed in the future .... E i t h er w a y , t h e e ar l i er an d c l e ar e r w e s e e f u t u r e c i r c u m s t a n c e s , t h e b et t er w e w i l l b e ab l e t o b en e f i t b y c h a n g i n g o u r c u r r e n t r ec i p e s f o r s u c c e s s t o k e e p u p w i t h t h e c h a n g e s i n t h e w or l d . T h e b e t t e r m a n a g e r s ’ v i e w o f t h e fu t u r e , t h e b e t t e r t h e i r d ec i s i o n s wi l l t u r n o u t t o b e . . . . ” [ 1 0 2 ] H o w d o e s c h a n g e a n d fu t u r e i n t e r r e l a t e ? A lv i n T of f l e r : “ C h a n g e i s t h e pr o c e s s b y w h i c h t h e fu t u r e i n v a d e s ou r l i v e s . ” [ 1 4 7 ] What can we do about the future if we have failed to do the p r o p e r a n d s en s i b l e t h i n g s w i t h t h e p a s t a n d p r es e n t ?
  • 26. 26 “ … T h a t i t i s p o s s i b l e f or u s t o a n t i c i p a t e a c t i o n s , t o pr e d i c t t h e f u t u r e , a n d , b y l o o k i n g f o r w a y s t o c h a n g e i n c e n t i v e s , t o e n gi n e e r t h e f u t u r e ac r o s s a st u n n i n g r an g e o f c on s i d er a t i on s . . . . o n e o f p ar t i c u l ar i m p o r t i s t h at t h e f u t u r e ─ o r a t l e a s t i t s a n t i c i p a t i o n ─ c a n c a u s e t h e p a s t , pe r h a p s e v e n m or e o f t e n t h an t h e p a s t c a u s e s t h e f u t u r e … . mu s t w e c h a n g e o u r b a s e t h i n k i n g t o w o r k ou t a n y v a r i e t y o f p r e d i c t i o n s an d , e s p e c i a l l y , t o c h a n g e t h e future?...” [183] “ I n s u m m a r y , t h e f u t u r e i s a p h en o m e n o n t h at wi l l b e c o m p l et e l y r e a l s o m e d a y e v en t h o u g h i t d o e s n o t e x i s t t od a y . . . . E v e n i f t h e f u t u r e i s a p p r o x i m a t e l y e q u a l t o t o d a y , i t wi l l a l s o d i f f er dramatically from today in many particular ways.” [184] What is static? Say what? T h e u n d e r s i g n e d a n d t h e p r e s e n t m a t e r ia l ’ s a u t h o r i n d i c a t e d : “Change is n ot c on s t a n t ─ s o - c a l l ed ─ , but incessantly i mp e r m a n en t i n e v e r - e x p o n en t i a l , d i s r u p t i v e a n d d i s c on t i n u ou s w a y s a n d b y u n p r on o u n c e a b l e o r d er s o f m a g n i t u d e s . ” [ 1 2 9 ]
  • 27. 27 W e h a v e g o n e u b i q u i t o u s l y d i g i t a l a n d g en e t i c a n d t h e c o n s eq u e n c e s are u n p r on o u n c e a b l e even in or d e r s of magnitude? J u a n E n r i q u e z : “ D i g i t a l c o d e i s w h a t d r i v e s r a p i d s p e e d g r o wt h t od a y . I t a l l o w s m er g e r s li k e A O L T i m e W ar n e r … I t d r i v e s t h e I n t er n et , TV, music, f i n an c e , IT, news coverage, research, m a n u f a c t u r i n g . A f e w c o u n t r i e s an d c o m p an i e s u n d e r s t o o d t h e c h a n g e . T h a t i s h o w p o o r c ou n t r i e s l i k e Fi n l a n d , S i n g a p o r e , a n d T ai w a n g o t s o w e a l t h y … S o q u i c k l y … B u t a l o t o f f o l k s j u s t d i d n ot l e a r n t o r e a d a n d w r i t e a n e w l a n g u a g e … An d e v e n t h o u g h t h e y p r od u c e d m or e a n d m o r e g o o d s , p ar t i c u l a r l y c o m m o d i t i e s … A n d e v e n t h ou g h t h e y r e s t r u c t u r e d c o m p a n i e s a n d g o v e r n m en t s … C u t b u d g e t s , r a i s e d t a x e s , b u i l t l a r g e f a c t o r i e s an d b u i l d i n g s … T h e y g o t a l o t p o o r e r . ( I n 1 9 3 8 t h e r i c h e s t c ou n t r y p er p e r s o n i n A s i a w a s … t h e P h i l i p p i n e s . I n 1 9 5 4 , ac c or d i n g t o t h e W o r l d B an k , t h e m o s t p r o m i s i n g A s i a n e c on o m y w a s … B u r m a . B ot h r e m a i n c o m m o d i t y ec o n o m i e s … B o t h a r e s i d e l i n ed fr o m t h e d i gi t a l r e v o l u t i on … A n d y o u p r ob a b l y w ou l d n ot li k e t o l i v e i n e i t h e r c o u n t r y ) . Y o u r w o r l d c h an g e d wh e n y o u w en t ‘ O n L i n e . ’ O n e d a y y o u u s e d a f a x or e - m a i l … An d i t s o o n b e c a m e h a r d t o c o n c ei v e o f li v i n g w i t h on l y s n a i l m a i l. I f y o u u n d e r s t o o d t h i s c h a n g e e a r l y … A n d i n v e s t e d o r w o r k ed i n s o m e o f t h e c o m p a n i e s d r i v i n g t h e d i g i t a l r e v o l u t i o n … Y o u a r e p r ob a b l y q u i t e w e l l o f f … ( a s a
  • 28. 28 c o u n t r y a n d / or a s a n i n d i v i d u a l ) . I f y o u c a m e l a t e, a s a s p e c u l a t or , w i t h ou t u n d er s t a n d i n g w h a t a d i gi t a l l a n g u a g e d o e s , o r d o e s n ot d o … Y o u p r o b a b l y l o s t a l o t o f m o n e y d u r i n g t h e y e a r 2 0 0 0 . Y o u r w o r l d … a n d y o u r l a n g u a g e … ar e a b ou t t o c h an g e a g a i n . T h e t w o n u c l e o t i d e b a s e p ai r s t h at c od e a l l li f e … A - T , C - G … H a v e a l r e ad y l e d s o m e o f t h e w o r ld ’ s l a r g e s t c o m p an i e s … M on s a n t o … D u P o n t … N o v a r t i s … I B M … H o e s c h s t … C o m p a q … G l a x o S m i t h K l i n e … T o d ec l a r e t h at t h ei r f u t u r e li e s i n l i f e s c i en c e . T h e y h a v e a b a n d o n ed , s o l d , s p u n o f f c o r e b u si n e s s d i vi s i o n s … A n d l a u n c h e d t h e m s e l v e s i n t o s e l l i n g c o m pl e t e l y n e w p r o d u c t s … Which is wh y so many chemical, seed, cosmetic, food, p h a r m a c eu t i c a l c o m p an i e s … Ar e p a r t n e r i n g , M e r g i n g , G r o w i n g . S o m e l i f e - s c i e n c e c o m p a n i e s w i l l c r a s h s p ec t a c u l a r l y … Ot h e r s w i l l g et l ar g e r t h an M i c r o s o f t an d C i s c o … ( C o m p a n i e s t h a t a r e already l ar g e r t h an the e c o n o mi e s of most of the w o r ld ’ s c o u n t r i e s . ) . T h e w or l d ’ s m e g a - m e r g er s a r e g o i n g t o b e d r i v e n b y d i g i t a l an d g e n e t i c c od e . C o n s i d e r w h a t i s a b o u t t o h a p p e n t o m ed i c i n e . Y o u c u r r e n t l y s p e n d a b o u t n i n e t i m e s a s m u c h f o r d o c t or s a n d m e d i c a l i n t er v e n t i on s … A s y o u d o o n m ed i c i n e s a n d p r e v e n t i o n . I n t h e m e a s u r e t h at w e u n d e r s t a n d h o w v i r u s e s , b a c t er i a , a n d o u r b o d i e s a r e pr o g r a m m e d … An d h o w t h e y c a n b e reprogrammed … Treatment wi l l shift from e m e r g en c y i n t er v e n t i o n s … T o w a r d d e l i b e r a t e a n d p e r s o n a l i z ed p r e v e n t i o n … ( Ju s t a s d en t i st r y d i d . ) . An d w e m a y e n d u p s p e n d i n g j u s t a s
  • 29. 29 mu c h o n p h ar m a c e u t i c a l s a s w e d o o n d oc t or s . T h e s e m ed i c i n e s d o n ot h a v e t o b e p i l l s or i n j ec t i o n s … T h e y c ou ld b e a p a r t o f t h e food you eat every day, your soap or cosmetics … Perhaps you w i l l i n h a l e t h e m o r s i m p l y pu t v a r i o u s p a t c h e s o n y o u r s k i n . ( T h i s is wh y P r o c t er & Gamble is thinking of m er g i n g wi t h a p h a r m a c eu t i c a l c o m p an y , why L’Oréal is hiring m o l ec u l ar b i o l o g i s t s , a n d w h y C a m p b e l l ’ s i s s e l l i n g s o u p s d e s i gn e d f o r h o s p i t a l p a t i e n t s wi t h s p e c i f i c d i s e a s e s . ) . ” [ 1 6 3 ] “ I n e v e r y s c i en c e an d t h er e f o r e i n a l l t h e t e c h n o l o g i e s u n d e r , t h e r e a r e g r e at l i m i t s . T h e pr o b l e m o r t h e s o lu t i on or t h e c h a l l e n g e s , h o w e v e r ─ an d d e p en d i n g o n t h e c o s m o l o g y o f e a c h p er s o n ( er g o : t h e f r a g m e n t ed , o v e r - B a lk a n i z e d s o c i e t y a s a w h o l e) ─ i s t h at t h e s e b o u n d ar i e s ar e b e i n g c i r c u mn a v i g a t e d o r a v o i d ed rampantly, almost to the e x t en t as if they w er e n on e x i s t en t . T h e c i r c u m n a v i g a t i o n r at e a n d / o r e v a s i o n o f t h e p r o g r e s s i o n o f t h e s e s c i e n t i f i c an d t ec h n o l o g i c a l l i m i t s a t a g e o m e t r i c e x p o n en t i a l e x p l o s i v e l y . An d b e s i d e s s o , t h e r a t e o f ac c e l er a t i o n o f t h e p r o g r e s s i o n i s b ec o m i n g m o r e a n d f a s t e r b y e v e r - i n c r e a s i n g o r d e r s o f m a g n i t u d e s . Ac c o r d i n g l y , p u b l i c - o f fi c e l e ad e r s , s t at e s m e n a n d p o l i t i c i a n s ─ s o - c al l e d ─ h a v e gr a v e l y u n d e r e s t i m at e d and even m i su n d e r s t o o d these gargantuan p r o f o u n d f o r c e s . I n t h e m i d s t o f t h i s pr o c e s s , t h e s e i n f a m o u s
  • 30. 30 ' l e a d er s ' h a v e c o m m i t t e d t h e e x i s t e n c e o f t h e e n t i r e p l a n et E a r t h . ” [129] Can we exercise our brains to solve c omplex problems e m b e d d e d i n t h e f u t u r e f o r t h e s a k e o f t h e c u r r en t p r e s e n t ? D r . M a r s h a l l M c L u h a n , P h . D . ( 1 9 6 2 ) : “ O u r w o r ld t o m or r o w w i l l b e u t t e r l y d i f f e r en t , i n w a y s w e c an n o t e v e n c on c ei v e . ” [ 1 7 5 ] What hijacks what? D r . S t e p h e n C o v e y : “ A g a i n , y e s t e r d a y h o ld s t o m or r o w h o s t a g e . . . . M e m or y i s p a s t . I t i s f i n i t e . V i s i o n i s fu t u r e . I t i s i n fi n i t e . V i s i o n i s gr e a t e r t h an h i s t or y … ” [ 1 5 3 ] T h e c o n s e q u en c e s o f a w or l d g o i n g f r o m r ou n d t o f l a t ? Thomas Friedman: “…the flattening of the world is going to be h u g e l y d i s r u p t i v e t o b ot h t r ad i t i o n a l a n d d e v e l o p e d s o c i et i e s . T h e w e a k wi l l f a l l f u r t h e r b e h i n d f a s t e r . T h e t r ad i t i o n a l w i ll f e e l t h e f o r c e o f m od e r n i z a t i o n m u c h m o r e pr o f o u n d l y . T h e n e w w i l l g et t u r n e d i n t o o l d q u i c k er . T h e d e v e l o p e d w i l l b e c h a l l en g e d b y t h e u n d e r d e v e l o p e d mu c h m or e pr o f o u n d l y . I w o r r y , b e c a u s e s o m u c h p o l i t i c a l s t a b i l i t y i s b u i lt o n ec o n o m i c s t a b i l i t y , a n d e c o n o m i c
  • 31. 31 s t ab i l i t y i s n ot g o i n g t o b e a f e a t u r e o f t h e f l a t w o r ld . A d d i t a l l u p a n d y o u c a n s e e t h a t t h e d i s r u p t i o n s a n d g o i n g t o c o m e f a s t er a n d h ar d er . N o o n e i s i m m u n e ─ n ot m e , n o t y o u , n o t M i c r o s o f t . W e ar e en t er i n g a n e r a o f c r e at i v e d e s t r u c t i o n o n s t er o i d s . D e a l i n g w i t h f l at i s m i s g o i n g t o b e a c h al l e n g e o f a w h o l e n e w d i m e n s i on e v e n i f y o u r c o u n t r y h a s a s t r a t e g y . B u t i f y o u d o n ’ t h a v e a s t r a t e g y a t a l l , w e l l , a g a i n , y o u ’ v e w a r n ed … ” [ 1 3 9 ] W hy t h i s c h a n g e d c h a n g e i s u n pr e c e d e n t e d a n d d i f f e r e n t ? S a n F r a n c i s c o fu t u r i s t J a m e s C a n t o n o f f er s i n s i g h t . “ C I O I n s i g h t : I n T h e E x t r e m e Fu t u r e, y o u s a y t h e 2 1 s t c en t u r y i s g o i n g t o b e l i g h t n i n g - f a s t , c o m p l e x an d d r i v en b y d i s r u p t i v e changes. But a r en ' t we a lr e a d y in this extreme future? [RESPONDING THE QUESTION,] JAMES CANTON [INDICATES]: WE ARE TO A CERTAIN EXTENT. BUT THE POINT OF MY BOOK IS THAT THINGS ARE GOING TO GET EVEN MORE DISRUPTIVE, C O M P L E X A N D C O M P E T I T I V E ; T H I N G S A R E N O T G OI N G T O E A S E O F F , T H E Y ' R E A C T U A L L Y G OI N G T O A C C E L E R A T E . ” [ 1 3 8 ] W h a t a r e t h e o r g a n i c p r o p e rt i e s o f c h a n g e a n d i t s i m p a c t ? David Schlesinger, global managing director at Reuters, indicates: “ C h a n g e i s h ar d . C h an g e i s h ar d e s t o n t h o s e c au g h t b y s u r pr i s e .
  • 32. 32 C h a n g e i s h ar d e s t o n t h o s e w h o h a v e d i f f i c u lt y c h a n g i n g t o o . B u t c h a n g e i s n a t u r a l ; c h an g e i s n ot n e w ; c h an g e i s i m p or t a n t . ” [ 1 3 9 ] T h e u n i v e r s e a n d t h e m o r r ow ? I sa a c A s i m o v : “ Hu m a n i t y h a s t h e s t a r s i n i t s fu t u r e , a n d t h at f u t u r e i s t o o i m p o r t an t t o b e l o s t u n d er t h e b u r d e n o f j u v e n i l e f o l l y a n d i gn o r a n t s u p er s t i t i o n . ” [ 1 4 1 ] Understanding the universe as we don’t think it is and as many people cannot align it with their belief system? D r . C a r l S a ga n , P h D : “ I t i s f a r b e t t er t o g r a s p t h e u n i v e r s e a s i t r e a l l y i s t h an t o p e r s i s t i n d e l u s i on , h o w e v e r s a t i s f y i n g a n d r e a s s u r i n g. ” [ 1 5 7 ] W h o s e r e a l i t i e s a n d m y t hs a r e t h o s e? Voltaire (1694 – 1778), French writer and philosopher: “ E v e r y t h i n g ’ s f i n e t o d a y , t h a t i s ou r i l l u s i on . ” [ 1 5 7 ] Is anyone exaggerating about the dynamics of change?
  • 33. 33 I a n P e a r s o n : “ B y m i d - c e n t u r y , c o m p u t e r s w i l l b e l i n k e d d i r ec t l y i n t o o u r n e r v o u s s y s t e m s v i a n an o t e c h n o l o g y , wh i c h i s s o s m a l l i t c o u l d c on n ec t e v e r y n e u r o n i n o u r b r a i n s . B y a b ou t 2 0 4 0, t h e r e w i l l b e a b a c k u p o f o u r b r ai n s i n a c o m p u t e r s o m e w h e r e , s o t h a t w h en y o u d i e i t w on ’ t b e a m a j o r c a r e e r p r o b l e m . ” [ 1 4 0] Q u e s t i o n : A l l e g e d l y , T o w h a t e x t e n t i s t h e w or l d c h a n g i n g and what are some of the c o n s e q u en c e s , sometimes infamously ignored? D r . S t e p h e n C o v e y : “ T h e w o r ld h a s pr o f o u n d l y c h a n g ed … T h e c h a l l e n g e s a n d c o m p l e x i t y w e f ac e i n o u r p e r s o n a l li v e s an d r e l a t i on s h i p s , i n o u r f a m i li e s , i n o u r p r o f e s s i o n a l li v e s , an d i n ou r o r g an i z a t i on s ar e o f a d i f f e r en t or d er o f m a g n i t u d e . I n f ac t , many mark 1989 ─ the year we witnessed the fall of the Berlin W al l ─ a s t h e b e g i n n i n g o f t h e I n f o r m a t i o n A g e , t h e b i r t h o f a n e w r e a l i t y , a s e a c h an g e o f i n c r e d i b l e s i g n i fi c a n c e ─ t r u l y a n e w e r a ─ B e i n g e f f e c t i v e a s i n d i v i d u a l s a n d o r g a n i z a t i o n s i s n o l o n g er m er e l y a n o p t i o n ─ s u r v i v a l i n t o d a y ’ s w o r l d r e q u i r e s i t . B u t i n o r d e r t o t h r i v e , i n n o v a t e , e x c el , a n d l e a d i n w h a t C o v e y c a l l s t h e n e w Kn o w l e d g e W o r k er A g e, w e m u s t b u i l d o n a n d m o v e b e y o n d e f f ec t i v en e s s [ l o n g - h e l d a s s u m p t i o n s , f a l l ac i e s a n d f l a w e d b e l i e f s a n d f au l t y c on v e n t i o n s ] … Ac c e s s i n g t h e h i g h e r le v e l s o f h u m a n g e n i u s a n d m o t i v a t i o n i n t o d a y ’ s n e w r e a li t y R E Q U I R E S A S E A
  • 34. 34 C H A N G E I N T H I N K I N G : a n e w m i n d - s e t , a n e w s k i ll - s e t , a n e w t o o l - s e t ─ i n s h or t , a w h o l e n e w h a b i t . ” [ 1 5 3 ] Bringing down a handful of millenarian fallacies in the twentieth-one century? G re g o r y S . P a u l a n d E a r l C o x : “ Fr o m C on v e n t i on a l W i s d o m t o S h o c k i n g P r o b ab i l i t y . M a y b e s o m e d a y , s o o n er o r l at e r , t r u l y i n t e l l i g e n t m ac h i n e s w i l l b e b u i l t . Un t i l t h a t t i m e , s p e c u l at i o n w i l l ab o u n d . M u c h o f t h a t s p e c u l a t i o n i s b a s e d o n w h a t m i g h t b e c a l l e d ‘ C o n v en t i on a l W i sd o m , ’ t h e u n d e r l y i n g a s s u m p t i on s an d c o n v e n t i o n s w e c ol l e c t i v e l y s h a r e . W e c an l i s t s o m e o f t h e s e a s s u m p t i o n s a s f o l l o w s : T h e n e x t c en t u r y wi l l b e a n e x t en s i o n o f t h i s o n e , w i t h i n c r e a s i n g l y s m a r t e r m a c h i n e s b ei n g r u n b y p e o p l e a n d f o r p e o p l e … B e c au s e t h e h u m a n m i n d i s l i n k e d t o a s o u l , c yb e r n e t i c m a c h i n e s wi l l n e v er b e f u l l y s e l f - a w a r e l i k e w e a r e … I f i n t e l l i g e n t r o b o t s c an b e b u i l t , i t w i l l b e a l o n g t i m e b e f o r e t h e y c a n b e m a d e t o d o w h a t h u m a n s d o, a s w e l l a s h u m an s d o i t . P e r h a p s c e n t u r i e s w i l l b e r e q u i r ed … E v e n a f t er i n t e l li g e n t r o b o t s a r e m a d e , mu l t i t u d e s o f h u m a n s w i l l c o n t i n u e t o e x i s t on e a r t h , a n d m a y b e e v e n i n s p a c e … Hu m a n m i n d s a n d p er s o n a l i d e n t i t i e s w i l l n e v e r b e ab l e t o m e r g e w i t h a n e l e c t r o m e c h a n i c a l s y s t e m … E v e n i f i t w e r e p o s s i b l e, w e h u m a n s w o u ld r e fu s e t o d o w n l o a d ou r m i n d s o n t o h ar d w a r e , n o m a t t e r h o w t e m pt i n g a n d i n t e l l i g e n t t h e
  • 35. 35 n e w s u r r o u n d i n g s m i g h t b e . W e b e l i e v e t h a t c yb e r b e i n g s wi l l b e e m o t i o n l e s s , s o u l l e s s , a n d h u m o r l e s s m ec h a n i c a l z o m b i e s ─ r a t h er li k e ‘ S t ar T r e k ’ s ’ L t . C o m m a n d e r D a t a , a s o m e w h a t s a d a n d r o i d p i n i n g f or a h u m a n i t y h e w i l l n e v e r ac h i e v e … N o m a t t er h o w s m a r t t h e y ar e , d i g i t a l m i n d s w i l l n e v e r h a v e t h e i n s i g h t , i n t u i t i o n , a n d s m o o t h s a v v y o f t h e h u m an m i n d . T h e y w i l l f o r e v e r r e m a i n m e n t a l l y i n f e r i o r , a n d ou r f a i t h f u l , s e l f - m a i n t a i n i n g s e r v a n t s … T h e r ob o t s w i l l s o o n pr o v e o u r m e n t a l a n d ph y s i c a l s u p er i o r s . S e l f - g e n e r at e d en h a n c e m e n t s w i l l r e f i n e t h e m b e y o n d ou r c o n t r o l . T h e y wi l l en s l a v e u s a l l e x c e p t , o f c ou r s e , f o r a r e n e g a d e b an d o f r e b el l i o u s , y o u n g , g o o d - l o o k i n g, d a r i n g h u m a n s a r m ed with b a t t er e d , r ec y c l ed s u r pl u s weapons, fearlessly f o l l o w i n g t h e i r c r a g g y b u t wi s e l e ad e r i n t o a f i g h t f o r t r u t h , j u s t i c e , a n d t h e h o mi n i d w a y … T H I S B O O K A R G U E S T H AT T H E N E X T C E N T U R Y W I L L P R O V E T O B E N O T H I N G L I K E T HI S O N E , NOR ANY FORECAST SO FAR. C O M P U T I NG POWER, NEUROSCIENCE, AND NANOTECHNOLOGIES ARE ADVANCING SO RAPIDLY THAT THEY WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE THE M OS T S I G N I F I C A N T E V O L U T I O N A R Y D E V E L O P M E N T S S I N C E T H E O R I G I N O F L I F E I T S E L F … W E M A I N T A I N T H AT T H E H U M A N M I N D A N D C O N S C I O US T H O U G HT A R E E X C L U S I V E L Y NATURAL AND PHYSICAL IN ORIGIN AND NATURE. ULTIMATELY, THEIR NATURES AND FUNDAMENTAL
  • 36. 36 P R O C E S S E S A R E K N O W AB L E A N D C A N B E R E P L I C A T E D F O R THE PURPOSES OF PERSONAL IMMORTALITY.” [169] Pervasive genetics, pervasive medicine, pervasive diagnostics and pervasive monitoring? Juan Enriquez: “If it seems like your world has been topsy-turvy o v e r t h e p a s t f e w y e a r s … C o n s i d e r w h at ’ s c o m i n g . Y o u r g en e t i c c o d e w i l l b e i mp r i n t ed on an d I D c a r d … F o r b e t t er a n d w o r s e . M ed i c i n e s w i l l b e t a i l o r ed t o y o u r g e n e s an d w i l l h e l p pr e v e n t s p e c i f i c d i s e a s e s f o r w h i c h y o u m a y b e at r i s k . ( B u t … y o u r i n s u r a n c e c o m p an y a n d y o u r p r o s p e c t i v e e m pl o y e r m a y a l s o f i n d ou t t h at y o u a r e g e n et i c a l l y d i s p o s e d t o , s a y , h e a r t d i s e a s e , or b r e a s t c a n c e r , or A l z h ei m e r ’ s . ) . ” [ 1 6 3 ] W h a t e v e r t h e l e t h a l c o n s e q u en c e s , A r e y o u s t i l l do g g e d l y insisting on not u n d e rs t a n d i n g the r a t es of hy p e r - g e o m e t r i c a l e x p o n e n t i a l g r o w t h a n d h e n c e n ot h a v e a s e n s e o f p r o p o r t i o n s i n a l i g n m e n t w i t h t h e dr i v i n g f o r c e s o f t h e twentieth-one century? J a m e s J o h n B e l l : “ W e w on ’ t j u s t e x p e r i e n c e 1 0 0 y e a r s o f p r o gr e s s i n t h e t w en t y - f i r s t c en t u r y ─ i t w i l l b e m or e l i k e 2 0 , 0 0 0 y e a r s o f progress.” [161]
  • 37. 37 H o w c a n w e g e t t o a n ew t e rr a i n c o g n i t a w i t h a n o l d m a p ? R o w a n G i b s o n : “ T h e l e s s o n o f t h e l a s t t h r e e d ec a d e s i s t h a t n ob o d y c a n d r i v e t o t h e f u t u r e o n c r u i s e c on t r o l . ” [ 1 6 1 ] Where and how do we live? G re g o r y S . P a u l a n d E a r l C o x : “ W e li v e i n s t r a n g e t i m e s , i n c a s e y o u h a v e n o t n o t i c e d . H e r e w e a r e w i t h ou r h o m e c o m p u t e r s a n d o t h e r h i g h - t ec h a p p l i a n c e s , li v i n g wh a t w e r e g a r d a s a n o r m a l li f e … T h e w o r l d w e a r e l i v i n g i n ─ a w o r l d t h a t c o u p l e s H o m o li s a p i en s w i t h f a s t - p ac e d h y p e r t e c h n o l o g y ─ i s s t r a n g e t o u s b e c au s e s o m e t i m e s i t f e e l s li k e w h a t i t i s, a t r a n s i e n t d r e a m . . . . W e a r e d r e a m i n g a s t r an g e , w a k i n g d r e a m ; a n i n e v i t a b l y b r i e f i n t er l u d e s a n d w i c h ed b e t w e en t h e l o n g a g e o f l o w - t e c h h u m a n i t y o n t h e o n e h an d , a n d t h e a g e o f h u m a n b ei n g s t r an s c e n d e d o n t h e other. We ar e living in the l a t t er days of humanity; c yb e r t e c h n o l o g i e s w i l l q u i c k l y r ep l a c e u s. J u s t i n c h e s o f t i m e a w a y e x i s t s a s p e ed y r e a l i t y b e a r i n g d o w n o n u s t h a t w e m a y s e n s e , b u t d o n ot s h o w o n o u r f a c e s . . . . W h i l e on e m a y b e m a d e u n c o m f or t a b l e b y t h e t h ou g h t o f a t r u l y s t r an g e 2 1 s t c en t u r y , t h e r e i s a r o u n d u s a n i m p en d i n g s e n s e o f a r r i v a l ─ a s t r a n g e n e s s in the air, an uneasiness, a feeling that deep down, things are
  • 38. 38 s t ar t i n g t o c h a n g e i n s w i ft , f u n d a m e n t a l w a y s t o o fu z z y t o p u t a f i n g e r o n . M o r e t h an j u s t t h e o n s e t o f t h e t h i r d mi l l e n n i u m, i t i s t h e q u i e t b e f or e t h e s t o r m . T h e pr o d u c t s o f t ec h n o l o g y ar e becoming more curious ─ a little too smart, a little too fast. It’s d o w n r i g h t u n s et t l i n g . A n d , h e y , p e o p l e a r e n ’ t d u mb . T h e y k n o w t h a t w e h a v e j u s t b e g u n t o b u i ld s m a r t d u mb m a c h i n e s ; s o o n i t w i l l b e d u m b s m a r t m a c h i n e s . W h er e w i l l i t s t o p ? I f w e c on t i n u e t o b u i l d m a c h i n e s s m a r t e r t h an t h e l a s t o n e s , a n d t h e n o n e t h a t i s s m a r t er t h an t h a t a n d s o o n ─ w e l l, y o u d o n ot h a v e t o b e a p ar t i c l e p h y s i c i st t o s e e t h at t h e m a c h i n e s c a n n o t k e e p g e t t i n g s m a r t er a n d s m a r t er , y e t f o r e v e r r e m a i n d u mb e r t h an u s . G ar r y ‘ J o h n H e n r y ’ K a s p a r o v , c h e s s G r an d M a s t e r , l o s t a c h a m pi o n s h i p game to a machine for the first time in history this year. Perhaps s o m e d a y , w e ’ l l h e ar t h e b at t l e c r y o f h u m an i t y r a l l y i n g i n d e s p e r a t i on : ‘ R e m e m b e r D e e p B l u e ’ … ” [ 1 6 5] Technologies, societies and possibilities? Freeman Dyson: “There is nothing so big nor so crazy that one out o f a mi l l i o n t e c h n o l o g i c a l s o c i et i e s m a y n o t f e e l i t s e l f d r i v e n t o d o , p r o v i d e d i t i s p h y s i c a l l y p o s s i b l e. ” [ 1 7 4 ] D o es t h e p r o g r e s s i v e a n d a l w a y s - s u d d e n ( e x p l o s i v e l y s o ) advent of the future bring about adversaries of such
  • 39. 39 future? If so, Are those the same ones that like to stay in rooms of stalemate air in which the status quo is invariably for the own sake and enjoyment of said those perpetually? V i r g i n i a P o s t r e l : “ T h at i n s t ab i l i t y [ b et w e e n s t a s i s a n d d y n a m i s m ] , o r o u r a w a r e n e s s o f i t , h ei g h t en e d b y t h e f l u i d i t y o f c on t e m p o r a r y li f e : b y t h e e a s e w i t h wh i c h i d e a s an d m e s s a g e s , g o o d s an d p e o p l e, c r o s s b or d er s ; b y t e c h n o l o g i e s t h a t s e e k t o su r p a s s t h e q u i c k n e s s o f t h e h u m a n m i n d a n d o v e r c o m e t h e c on s t r a i n t s o f t h e h u m a n b od y ; b y t h e ‘ u n i v e r s a l s o l v e n t s ’ o f c o m m e r c e a n d p o pu l a r culture; by the dissolution or r e f o r m at i o n of e s t a b l i s h ed i n s t i t u t i o n s , p a r t i c u l a r l y l a r g e c or p o r a t i on s , an d t h e r i s e o f n e w ones; by the synthesis of East and W e st , of a n c i en t an d m o d er n ─b y t h e c o m b i n a t i o n a n d r ec o m b i n a t i o n o f s e e m i n g l y e v e r y a r t i f a c t o f h u m an c u lt u r e . O u r s i s a m a g n i f i c en t l y c r e a t i v e er a . B u t t h e c r e a t i v i t y p r o d u c e s c h an g e , an d t h at c h an g e a t t r ac t s en e m i e s , p h i l o s o p h i c a l a s w e l l a s s e l f - i n t e r e s t ed … W i t h s o m e e xc e p t i on s , t h e e n e m i e s o f t h e f u t u r e ai m t h e i r at t a c k s n ot at c r e a t i v i t y i t s e l f b u t at t h e d y n a m i c pr o c e s s e s t h r ou g h w h i c h i t i s carried. In our post─Cold War era, for instance, free markets are recognized as powerful forces for social cultural, an d t e c h n o l o g i c a l c h an g e ─ l i b er a t i n g i n t h e e y e s o f s o m e , t h r e a t e n i n g t o o t h e r s . T h e s a m e i s t r u e f o r m a r k et s i n i d e a s : f o r fr e e s p e ec h a n d w o r l d wi d e c o m mu n i c a t i on ; f o r w h a t J o h n S t u a r t M i l l c a l l ed
  • 40. 40 ‘ e x p e r i m e n t s i n l i v i n g ’ ; f o r s c i e n t i fi c r e s e a r c h , a r t i s t i c e x p r e s s i o n , a n d t ec h n o l o g i c a l i n n o v a t i o n . A l l o f t h e s e p r o c e s s e s a r e s h a p i n g an unknown, and unknowable, future. Some people look at such d i v e r s e , d ec e n t r a l i z ed , c h oi c e - d r i v e n s y s t e m s a n d r ej o i c e, e v e n w h en t h e y d o n ’ t l i k e p ar t i c u l a r c h o i c e s . O t h er r ec o i l . I n p u r s u i t o f s t ab i l i t y a n d c o n t r o l , t h e y s e e k t o e l i m i n a t e or c u r b t h e s e u n r u l y , t o o - c r e a t i v e f o r c e s … S t a s i st s a n d d y n a m i s t s a r e t h u s d i v i d e d n o t j u s t b y s i m p l e , s h o r t - t e r m p o l i c y i s s u e s b u t b y fu n d a m e n t a l d i s a g r e e m e n t s ab o u t t h e w a y t h e w o r l d w o r k s . T h e y c l a s h o v e r t h e n at u r e o f p r o g r e s s a n d o v e r i t s d e s i r a b i l i t y : D o e s i t r e q u i r e a p l an t o r e a c h a s p e c i f i e d g o a l ? O r i s i t a n u n b o u n d ed p r oc e s s o f e x p l o r at i o n a n d d i sc o v e r y ? D o e s t h e q u e s t f or i m pr o v e m e n t e x p r e s s d e s t r u c t i v e , n i h i li s t i c d i sc o n t e n t , o r t h e h i g h e s t h u m a n q u a l i t i e s ? D o e s p r o g r e s s d e p e n d o n p u r i t an i c a l r e p r e s s i o n o r a p l a y f u l s p i r i t ? … S t a s i s t s a n d d yn a m i s t s d i s a g r e e a b o u t t h e l i mi t s a n d u s e o f k n o w l ed g e . S t a s i s t s demand that knowledge be a r t i c u l at e d an d e a s i l y s h a r ed . D yn a m i s t s , b y c o n t r a s t , a p pr e c i a t e d i s p e r s e d , o f t e n t ac i t k n o w l e d g e . T h e y r ec o g n i z e t h e li m i t s o f h u m a n m i n d s e v en a s t h e y c e l eb r a t e l e a r n i n g … T h o s e c on f l i c t s l e ad t o v e r y d i f f er e n t b e li e f s a b o u t g o o d i n s t i t u t i o n s a n d r u l e s : S t a s i s t s s e e k s p e c i f i c s t o g o v e r n e a c h n e w s i t u at i o n a n d k e e p t h i n g s u n d e r c o n t r o l . D yn a m i c i s t s w a n t t o l i mi t u n i v er s a l r u l e m a k i n g t o b r o a d l y a p p l i c a b l e a n d r a r e l y c h an g e d p r i n c i p l e s , within which people can create and test countless combinations.
  • 41. 41 S t a s i s t s w an t t h ei r d et a i l ed r u l ed t o a p p l y t o e v e r y o n e ; d yn a m i s t s p r e f e r c o m p et i n g , n e s t e d r u l e s e t s … S u c h d i s a g r e e m e n t s h a v e p o l i t i c a l r a m i f i c at i o n s t h a t g o mu c h d e e p er t h an t h e s h o r t - t e r m b u s i n e s s o f c a m p a i g n s an d l e g i s l a t i o n . T h e y a f f e c t ou r g o v e r n i n g a s s u m p t i o n s a b o u t h o w p o li t i c a l , ec o n o m i c , s o c i a l , i n t e l l ec t u a l , a n d c u l t u r a l s y s t e m s w o r k ; w h a t t h o s e s y s t e m s s h o u l d v a l u e; an d w h at t h e y m e an . . . . T h e s e a r e n o t t h e c o m f o r t ab l e o ld C o l d W a r d i v i s i o n s o f h a w k s an d d o v e s , e g a li t a r i a n s a n d i n d i v i d u a li s t s , l e f t a n d r i gh t . N o r a r e t h e y t h e o n e - d i m e n s i o n a l l a b el s o f t e c h n o p h i l e a n d t e c h n o p h o b e, o p t i mi s t a n d p e s s i m i s t , o r li b e r t a r i an a n d s t a s i s t t h a t p u n d i t s s o m e t i m e s g r a b t o r e p l a c e t h e o ld c at e g o r i e s . T h e y c o n t ai n e l e m e n t s o f t h o s e s i m p l e r c l a s s i f i c a t i on s , b u t t h e y a r e mu c h r i c h e r , e n c o m p a s s i n g m o r e a s p e c t s o f l i f e ─ m o r e a s p e c t s o f t h e e m er g e n t , c o m p l e x fu t u r e . ” [ 1 7 0 ] Minds vs. computational algorithms, man -made computational algorithms? “ F u n n y t h i n g , ou r mi n d . T h e m o m e n t o u r s o f t w a r e c at c h e s u p , t h e mind seems to travel beyond the capability of the software .... [ H o w e v e r , ] O u r mi n d s f o c u s o n r e n d i t i o n s , d a r li n g , n ot t h e u n d e r l y i n g a l g o r i t h m . Y o u r an a l y s t s a n d pr o g r a m m e r s h a v e t o d e a l w i t h a l g o r i t h m t h a t pr o d u c e s n e w r en d i t i o n s . ” [ 1 6 1 ]
  • 42. 42 D r . C o v e y ’ s l u c i d p e r s p e c t i v e b e c o m e s g r e a t l y s u p p o r t ed and refined by Peter Drucker. P e t e r D r u c k e r : “ I n a f e w h u n d r ed y e a r s , w h en t h e s t o r y o f o u r [ c u r r e n t ] t i m e i s w r i t t en fr o m a l o n g - t er m p er s p e c t i v e , i t i s l i k e l y t h a t t h e m o s t i m p o r t an t e v e n t t h o s e h i s t o r i a n s w i l l s e e i s n o t t e c h n o l o g y , n o t t h e I n t e r n et , n o t e - c o m m er c e [ n o t ‘ s o c i a l m e d i a ’ ─ s o - c a l l e d ] . I T I S A N U N P R E C E D E N T E D C H A N G E I N T H E H UM A N CONDITION. FOR THE FIRST TIME ─ LITERALLY ─ SUBSTANTIAL AND GROWING NUMBERS OF PEOPLE HAVE CHOICES. FOR THE FIRST TIME, THEY WILL HAVE TO MANAGE THEMSELVES. AND SOCIETY IS TOTALLY UNPREPARED FOR IT.” [153] A n d t h e p o l i t i c a l a n g l e o f t h e fu t u r e? T h e H o n o r a b l e T o m R i d g e , F i r s t S e c r e t a r y o f t h e U . S . De p a r t m e n t o f H o m e l a n d S e c u r i t y a n d F o r m e r G o v e r n o r o f P e n n s y l v a n ia : “ T h e p o l i t i c a l w o r l d p r o mi s e s c h a n g e a n d t h e d i g i t a l w o r l d d e li v e r s i t . And wh e n that change potentially affects our privacy an d f r e e d o m , w e s h o u l d a l l p a y a t t en t i o n . T h i s i s a f a s c i n at i n g , p r o v o c a t i v e a n d t h o r o u g h l y r e ad a b l e l o o k i n t o a n u n c e r t ai n future.” [155]
  • 43. 43 Internet and yesterday? S c o u t B ra d n e r : “ W e h a v e t h e I n t e r n e t t h a t w e h a v e t od a y b e c au s e t h e I n t er n et o f y e s t e r d a y d i d n ot f o c u s o n t h e t od a y o f y e s t e r d a y . ” [155] T h e r i g h t s a n d t h e fu t u r e? “Legal scholars can debate whether copyright law mandates a f u t u r e o f ‘ a u t h o r i z e d u s e o n l y ’ f o r d i g i t a l i n f or m a t i o n . T h e a n s w e r m a y n ot m a t t er m u c h , b ec a u s e t h at fu t u r e i s c o m i n g t o p a s s t h r ou g h t h e t ec h n o l o g i e s o f digital rights management an d t r u st e d s y s t e m s . ” [ 1 5 5 ] Future and forces embedded? “ T h e f o r c e s s h a p i n g y o u r fu t u r e a r e d i gi t a l , a n d y o u n e e d t o understand them.” [155] Can we picture the future? “ C an w e e n v i s i on t h e f u t u r e t r a n s c o n t i n e n t a l f l i g h t s , w h e r e b o o k s , m u si c , i m a g e s , a n d v i d e o s a r e a u t o m a t i c a l l y e x t r a c t ed , s a m p l ed , m i x ed , a n d r e m i x e d ; f ed i n t o m a s s i v e a u t o m a t e d r e a s o n i n g
  • 44. 44 en g i n e s ; a s s i m i l a t e d i n t o t h e c o r e s o f t w a r e o f e v e r y p e r s o n a l c o m p u t er a n d e v e r y c e l l p h on e ─ a n d t h o u s a n d s o f o t h er t h i n g s f o r w h i c h t h e w o r d s d o n ’t e v e n e x i s t y e t ? ” [ 1 5 5] History vs. future? “ W i l l t h e v a s t a m o u n t s o f i n f o r m a t i o n n o w a v a i l ab l e b ec a u s e o f t h e a d v a n c e s i n s t o r a g e a n d c o m mu n i c a t i o n t ec h n o l o g y a c t u a l l y b e u s a b l e a h u n d r ed o r a t h o u s a n d y e a r s i n t h e f u t u r e , o r W I L L THE SHIFT FROM PAPER TO DIGITAL MEDIA MEAN THE LOSS O F HI S T O R Y ? ” [ 1 5 5 ] R eg a r d i n g t h e C y b e r s p a c e , a p r i m e r t o C o m p u t r on i u m ? J o h n P e r r y B a r l o w : “ G o v e r n m e n t s o f t h e I n d u st r i a l W or l d , y o u r w e a r y g i a n t s o f f l e s h an d s t e e l , I c o m e fr o m C y b er s p a c e , t h e n e w h o m e o f M i n d . On b eh a l f o f t h e f u t u r e , I a s k y o u o f t h e p a s t t o l e a v e u s a l on e . Y o u h a v e n o s o s o v e r e i g n t y w h er e w e g a t h e r . . . . W e a r e c r e at i n g a w or l d t h a t a l l m a y e n t er w i t h o u t p r i v i l e g e o r p r e j u d i c e a c c o r d e d b y r ac e , ec o n o m i c p o w e r , mi l i t ar y f o r c e, o r s t at i o n o f b i r t h . W e a r e c r e at i n g a w o r l d w h er e an y o n e , a n y w h e r e m a y e x p r e s s h i s or h e r b e li e f s , n o m a t t e r h o w s i n gu l a r , wi t h ou t f e a r o f b ei n g c o e r c e d i n t o s i l e n c e o r c o n f or m i t y … I n o u r w o r l d , a l l t h e s e n t i m en t s a n d e x p r e s s i o n s o f h u m a n i t y , f r o m d e b a s i n g t o
  • 45. 45 the angelic, are parts of a seamless whole, the global c o n v e r s a t i on o f b i t s . . . . [ Y ] o u a r e t r y i n g t o w a r d o f f t h e v i r u s o f li b er t y b y er e c t i n g gu a r d p o s t s a t t h e fr o n t i e r s o f C y b er s p a c e . ” [155] C a n w e u s e a c h a i n t o r e p r e s en t a m e t a p h o r a b o u t t h e future? “You can’t u n d er s t a n d the knot w i t h ou t u n d e r s t an d i n g the s t r a n d s , b u t i n t h e f u t u r e , t h e st r a n d s n e ed n o t r e m a i n t i e d u p i n t h e s a m e w a y a s t h e y a r e t o d a y . ” [ 1 5 5] To get engaged in “a sea change in thinking,” along with the m a x i m u m a n d m o s t s o p h i s t i c a t e d c o n s c ie n t i o u s a wa r e n e s s s o m e v o i c e s m u s t b e i g n o r e d w h i l e pa y i n g i m m e n s e a t t e n t i o n t o o n e o f A m e r i c a ’ s f i n e s t , n a m e l y He n r y B u c k m i n s t e r F u l l e r . H e a r gu e s , “ A L L C H I L D R E N A R E B O R N G E N I US E S ; 9 , 9 9 9 O U T O F E V E R Y 10,000 ARE SWIFTLY, INADVERTENTLY DEGENIUNIZED BY G R OW N U P S . ” [ 1 5 3 ] T h e w o r l d i s n o t a n a l o g a n y m o r e . I t s qu a l i t y i s o n l y d i g i t a l a n d hence emphatically over-mathematical. Ergo, if you don’t attach t h e f u t u r e , t h e f u tu r e w i l l a t t a c k y ou a n d o u t s m a r t y o u w i t h o u t a fail.
  • 46. 46 S u p p o r t i n g t h e m o t i o n s o f a l l o f t h e a b o v e i n t h i s d i g i t a l u n iv e r s e o f o u r s , c h e c k o u t t h e t a ke b y t h e a u t h o r o f “ T h e W o r l d i s F la t . ” T h o m a s F r i e d m a n i n d i c a t e s : “ P e o p l e a r e a l w a y s [ a n d w r o n g fu l l y ] a s s u m i n g t h at e v e r y t h i n g t h a t i s g o i n g t o b e i n v e n t ed mu s t h a v e been invented already. But it hasn’t.” [139] I could easily offer, b a s e d o n u n i m p e a c h a b l e f a c t s , ma n y i n s t a n c e s o f w h y F r i e d m a n i s a b s o l u t e l y r i g h t t o t h e d i s m a y o f s o m e w i s h i n g b u t n o t s u f f ic i e n t l y enculturating themselves. W h a t h a p p e n s t o y o u r v i s i o n w h e n y o u do n ’ t u n d e r s t a n d that the world is not analog but pervasively ─ increasingly so ─ over-digital? M u h a m a d Y u n u s : “ T h e r e e y e s w e r e b li n d e d b y t h e k n o w l e d g e t h e y h ad . ” [ 1 5 3 ] Brainy discoveries and the IT revolution? J. G. Taylor, B. Horowitz, K. J. Friston: “Now, for the first time, w e a r e o b s e r v i n g t h e b r ai n a t w o r k i n a g l o b a l m a n n e r w i t h su c h c l a r i t y t h a t w e s h o u l d b e ab l e t o d i sc o v e r t h e o v e r a l l pr o g r a m s b e h i n d i t s m a g n i f i c en t p o w er s . ” [ 1 4 2 ]
  • 47. 47 F r o m D a r w i n a n d w e l l i n t o t h e p r e s en t t w en t i e t h - o n e century? G re g o r y S . P a u l a n d E a r l C o x : “ W h en Q u e en V i c t o r i a w a s i n h er p r i m e , an E n g l i s h m a n , C h a r l e s D ar w i n , d i sc o v e r e d a f u n d a m e n t a l t r u t h t h a t s h o o k m a n k i n d s o s e v e r e l y t h at i t r e m a i n s t od a y a m a t t e r o f e x t r e m e d i st r e s s an d m a s s i v e d e n i a l. D ar w i n r e a l i z e d t h a t l i f e o n o u r p l a n e t i s n ot t h e r ec e n t a n d f i x e d pr o d u c t o f d ei t y - m ed i a t ed s p e c i a l c r e a t i o n , b u t h a s b e en c on s t a n t l y c h a n g i n g o v e r a long span of time … The paleontologist who followed Darwin h a v e t a u gh t u s t h at t i m e h a s n o r e s p e c t f o r s p e c i e s . W h o l e d yn a s t i e s o f l i f e h a v e b e en s w e p t a w a y a n d r e p l ac e d wi t h n e w o n e s . M or e t h a n 6 5 mi l l i o n y e a r s a g o , t h e w or l d w a s f i l l e d w i t h s w i f t , d e a d l y m e a t - e a t e r s , i n c lu d i n g h u g e t yr a n n o s a u r s s t a l k i n g elephant-sized h o r n ed dinosaurs and duck-billed herbivores. F l y i n g p t er o s a u r s w e r e a s b i g a n d h e a v y a s s a i l p l a n e s . S m a l l, g r ac e f u l , p r e d ac e o u s d i n o s a u r s h ad b i n o c u l a r v i s i o n , b i g b r ai n s , and grasping hands. After 17 0 mi l l i o n years of successful e v o l u t i o n , t h e y ac h i e v e d t h e h e i g h t o f v a r i at i o n a n d p o w er . R e s p l e n d e n t an d n u m e r o u s o n t h e f er t i l e Cr e t a c e ou s p l ai n s , h o w c o u l d i t b e t h a t w i t h i n a f e w y e a r s t h e y a l l w o u l d b e g on e f o r e v er ? T h i s c h i l l i n g s t or y s u g g e s t s a t i c k i n g c l oc k f or h u m a n i t y , as well; dare we think of our own extinction? There is ticking c l o c k f or h u m a n i t y , a n d i t m a y b e m er e s e c o n d s b e f o r e m i d n i g h t .
  • 48. 48 T OM O R R O W I S U P O N U S , A N D W HA T I S AB O U T T O H A P P E N I N THE NEW DAY IS FAR, FAR STRANGER THAN MOST PEOPLE D A R E T O T H I N K … E v e n D ar w i n d i d n o t r e a l i z e h o w r i gh t h e w a s , o r h o w f a r e v o l u t i o n w i l l t a k e u s . W e s h ou l d n ot f au l t D a r wi n f o r h i s l ac k o f v i s i o n . D ar w i n li v e d i n a t i m e w h en t h e m o d e r n scientific revolution was just beginning. It was also a time of s t e a m en g i n e s , g a s l a m p s , a n d p h r e n o l o g y . S c i en c e , i n o u r l a t e 20th century sense, was still a few years away. Yet even today, f e w n o n s c i e n t i s t s h a v e m o r e t h a n an i n k l i n g o f h o w l i f e e v o l v e d o r h o w t ec h n o l o g i e s s u c h a s t h e au t o m o b i l e, t h e l i g h t s w i t c h , o r t h e a i r p l a n e ac t u a l l y w o r k … W E L I V E I N A HI G H - T E C H N O L O G Y WORLD, WITH LITTLE APPRECIATION FOR HOW THINGS GOT THE WAY THEY ARE.” [169] What is the personal cosmology in the orbit of a person seeking foresight? Antonio Machado: “ M an , i n c u r ab l e futurist, is the only t r a d i t i on a l i s t an i m a l . ” [ 1 3 0 ] D o n ’ t w i n t h e i r “ h e a r t s ,” j u s t w i n t h e i r m i n ds k i n d l y a n d r es p e c t f u l l y ?
  • 49. 49 T h e u n d e r s i g n e d a n d t h e p r e s e n t m a t e r i a l ’ s a u t h o r in d i c a t e d : “I f y o u r e a l l y w a n t t o m a k e a n o p e r a t i o n a l d i f f e r en c e i n y o u r p r o f e s s i o n a l t h e at e r o f o p er a t i o n s , g o a n d g e t a fu l l i m m er s i o n i n the fringe. Right in their, under that tense an d pr e s s i n g d yn a m i c s , y o u ’ l l h a v e t h e v a n t a g e f l u x o f t h e ou t pu t t e d mi r a g e . ” [129] I just wonder: Is it about Scientific Method or is it about Scientific Method U n d er The Tutelage of Applied O mn i s c i e n c e a n d W it h T h e A p p l i c a t i o n o f T h e S y s t e m s Methodology Approach? I designed, to this effect, the i l lu s t r a t i o n viewable at http://bit.ly/d6d84w and also note http://slidesha.re/omisci The more scientific and technological knowledge doubling, the most indispensable becomes the grasping of the applied omniscience notion in every execution for Life. A technological and academic institution outsmarting cutting-edge science and technology to a point to generate more wealth than the combination of many countries?
  • 50. 50 J u a n E n r i q u e z : “ W e a l t h i s c o n c e n t r a t ed a n d p or t a b l e. M I T f a c u l t y a n d a l u m n i p r o d u c e a s mu c h w e a l t h a s a l l b u t t w e n t y - t w o c o u n t r i e s i n t h e w or l d . ” [ 1 6 3 ] B e f o r e w e p r o c e e d a n y f u rt h e r , p l e a s e a l w a y s r e m e m b e r the following. “ E v e r y t h in g i s r el a t e d t o ev e r y t h i n g el s e . ” [ 1 0 9 ] . W h e n invoking “Everything is related to everything else,” it is succinctly to say (that is) by way of matter-of-fact example: “ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er r e l at e d t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ” “ E v e r y t h i n g i s c o n n ec t ed t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ” “ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er c on n e c t e d t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ” “Everything is intricate to everything else.” “Everything is involved in everything else.” “ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er - a s s o c i at e d t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ” “ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er l o c k ed t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ” “ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er - c o u p l ed t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ” “ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er - j o i n ed t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ” “Everything is conjoint to everything else.” “ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er - t i ed t o e v er y t h i n g e l s e . ” “ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er d e p en d en t t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ” “ E v e r y t h i n g i s c o r r e l at e d t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
  • 51. 51 “ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er t w i n e d w i t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ” “ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er - m e s h ed w i t h e v e r y t h i n g el s e . ” “ E v e r y t h i n g i s i mp l i c at e d i n e v er y t h i n g e l s e . ” “ E v e r y t h i n g i s en t a n g l ed w i t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ” “ E v e r y t h i n g i s en t w i n e d wi t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ” “ E v e r y t h i n g i s t an g l e d w i t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ” “ E v e r y t h i n g i s k n o t t ed w i t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ” “ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er w o v e n i n t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ” “ E v e r y t h i n g i s en g a g e d w i t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ” “ E v e r y t h i n g i s p ar e n t h e t i c a l t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ” “Everything is related to everything else” does not make any sense a t a l l f o r pe o p l e w h o h a v e c h o s e n n o t t o g e t e d u c a t e d a n d s e l f - e du c a t e d o n i n d i s p e n s a b l e b a s i c s c ie n c e f o r E t e r n i t y . Einstein has an appropriate thought to share: “... [the h u m a n b e i n g ] e x p er i e n c e s h i m s e l f , h i s t h ou g h t s an d f e e l i n g s a s s o m e t h i n g s e p a r a t e d f r o m t h e r e s t — a k i n d o f o p t i c a l d e lu s i o n o f ou r c o n sc i o u s n e s s . T h i s d e l u s i o n i s a k i n d o f pr i s o n f o r u s , r e s t r i c t i n g u s t o o u r p er s o n a l d e s i r e s a n d t o a f f e c t i o n f o r a f e w p er s o n s n e a r e s t t o u s . O u r t a s k m u s t b e t o f r e e o u r s e l v e s f r o m t h i s p r i s o n b y w i d en i n g o u r c i r c l e o f c o m p a s s i o n t o e m b r ac e a l l li v i n g creatures and the whole of nature in its beauty...” [108]
  • 52. 52 C O N T EN T S CONTENT BY THEME AND PAGE ( O n l y t h e d u l y p r i n t e d b o o k v e r s i o n s h a v e a p r e c i s e pa g e n u m b e r . However, the rest of the structure is as indicated.) CHAPTER 1 ─ NOTICE TO READERS ─ 10 ─ 14 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 1 ─ THE IMPERATIVE NOTE ─ 14 ─ 24 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 1 ─ OBJECTIVE ─ 24 ─ 64 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 1 ─ PROLOGUE ─ 64 ─ 99 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 2 ─ THE CHALLENGE ─ 98 ─ 109 PAG. (S) C H A P T E R 2 ─ A N A C T U A L DI A L O G U E O F D A R W I N , K A N T , NEWTON, GOETHE ─ 99 ─ 112 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 2 ─ AN EPIC OMISSION(S)? ─ 113 ─ 115 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 2 ─ THE PEER-TO-PEER MESSAGE AM O N G IGNORAMUSES ─ 116 ─ 117 PAG. (S) C H A P T E R 2 ─ C OM P L E X I T Y A N D T H E D E A T H O F S I M P L I C I T Y ─ 117 ─ 118 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 2 ─ TO BE OR NOT TO BE IN EXECUTION? ─ 118 — 119 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 2 ─ THE INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY REVOLUTION AND THE ABSENCE OF COHESIVE LANGUAGE? ─ 119 ─ 121 PAG. (S)
  • 53. 53 CHAPTER 2 ─ BONAPARTE’S PROPHECIES ON HURRICANE KATRINA’ AND GULF OF MEXICO’S ─ 132 ─ 134 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 2 ─ STRATEGOS I N S T I T UT E ’ S FOUNDER AND L O N D O N B U S I N E S S S C H O O L ’ S P R O F E S S O R O N T H E F UT U R E ─ 125 ─ 128 PAG. (S) C H A P T E R 3 ─ R O C K E T S C I E N C E AB O U T A C T U A L DI S CI P L I N E D S U C C E S S C A P T U R I N G ? ─ 1 2 8 ─ 1 3 1 P AG . ( S ) C H A P T E R 3 ─ I N T R O D U CT O R Y Q U O T A T I O N S – A N D W I T H COMMENTARIES – BY ENLIGHTENED MINDS! ─131 ─ 163 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 3 ─ THE F UT U R E AND THE TECHNOLOGICAL SINGULARITY AS PER RAY KURZWEIL, PH.D. ─ 165 ─ 167 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 3 ─ WHAT IS HAPPENING NOW? HOW MANY “NOWS” ARE THERE? ARE THOSE “NOWS” STILL RELEVANT? ─ 163 ─ 173 PAG. (S) C H A P T E R 3 ─ M E T H O D FI R S T , T E C H N O L O G Y S E C O N D ! ─ 1 7 3 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 4 ─ DEEPENING OUR M U L T I DI M E N S I O N A L APPROACH IN AND TO THIS BOOK! ─ 174 ─ 222 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 5 ─ RELEVANT COMMENTARIES TO CLARIFY HI D E O U S M I S U N D E R S T A N D I NG S (UNDER S YS T E M A T I C COMMISSION) BY MAGNIFICENT PEOPLE ─ 222 ─ 251 PAG. (S) C H A P T E R 5 ─ “ O N P R E D I C T I O N S ” ─ 2 5 1 ─ 2 5 2 P AG . ( S )
  • 54. 54 CHAPTER 6 ─ D E M Y S T I F YI N G THE “REAL DEAL” IN PROFESSION, TECHNOLOGY, LEADERSHIP, MANAGEMENT, S T R A T E G Y , A N D B U S I N E S S , A S W E L L AS ─ O F F E R I N G T H E CLEAREST BLUEPRINT! ─ 251 ─ 255 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 6 ─ QUESTION: WHAT DO RALPH WALDO EMERSON, JAMES D. WATSON, T H O M AS JEFFERSON, THEODORE ROOSEVELT, WINSTON CHURCHILL, ARTHUR C. CLARKE, BERNARD D'ESPAGNAT, A LB E R T EINSTEIN, CARL S AG A N , M A L C O L M S . K N O W L E S , B E R T R A N D R US S E L L , F R A N C I S B A C O N , H E N R Y K I S S I N G E R , OT T O H E R M A N K H A N , B U R R H U S F R E D E R I C S KI N N E R , A N D ─ 2 5 5 ─ 2 6 4 P A G . ( S ) CHAPTER 6 ─ CONCLUSION ─ 264 ─ 265 PAG. (S) C H A P T E R 6 ─ Q U E S T I O N : A R E W E A D RI F T I N A S E A O F CONFUSION? CAN THE UNDERSIGNED OFFER A REASONABLE P A T HW A Y ? ─ 2 6 5 ─ 2 6 8 P A G . ( S ) CHAPTER 6 ─ GLOBAL SEISMIC SHIFTS BY DR. STEPHEN COVEY, PHD! CHAPTER 6 ─ THE TOP TRENDS FOR 2010 BY SAN FRANCISCO FUTURIST DR. JAMES CANTON, PH.D. ─ 268 ─ 274 PAG. (S) C H A P T E R 6 ─ F O U RT E E N F U T U R E T R E N D S F O R B US I N E S S I N 2 0 0 9 A N D B E Y O N D B Y T H O M A S F R E Y , S E N I O R F UT U R I S T A T THE DAVINCI INSTITUTE C H A P T E R 6 ─ S I X P R O F O U N D S H I FT S B Y D R . S H O S T A K